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WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-03 15:09:22
July 03 2016 14:59 GMT
#3781
The government is not at the source of the problem tho, it's only a solution to a problem. The source is the fact that the housing market does not regulate well by itself, and the question in regards to migrants is similar. A housing market with no government action will lead to bad situations with spatial segregation (both ethnical and from an income standpoint).
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18832 Posts
July 03 2016 15:02 GMT
#3782
On July 03 2016 23:59 WhiteDog wrote:
The government is not at the source of the problem tho, it's only a solution to a problem. The source is the fact that the housing market does not regulate well by itself, and the question in regards to migrants is the similar. A housing market with no government action will lead to bad situations with spatial segregation (both ethnical and from an income standpoint).

I agree wholeheartedly with this perspective.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Lonyo
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United Kingdom3884 Posts
July 03 2016 15:30 GMT
#3783
On July 03 2016 22:35 Shield wrote:
Do most immigrants from outside EU do jobs which don't require higher education? I heard an opinion yesterday that people want to leave EU because Europeans are well educated, are willing to work for less and, therefore, "steal" their jobs. On the other hand, they're (people who want to Leave) not afraid of immigration outside EU because they work what the British people don't want to do. True/false? I don't know the whole picture to have an idea, but I see quite a lot of Middle Eastern people who have halal/kebab shops, bus drivers, etc.

Edit: I just remembered that the media often mentions Polish plumbers so that's a counter-argument.



https://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/feb/10/uk-plumbers-builders-engineers-skill-crisis-economy
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35667939
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/11/brexit-shortage-construction-staff-barratt-housebuilding-uk-eu-referendum

The problem is that people see foreign doctors, or plumbers, or anything, and think that they are taking away jobs. They are quite often filling skills gaps.

I wonder how much the build rate will decrease when we have even fewer skilled builders because we don't have access to the EU labour pool.

Hospitals are going to Indian and the Philippines to try and recruit to cover staff shortages already, pre-referendum.

Thomas estimates 30-40% of Barratt’s workforce in the capital hails from mainland Europe. “It wouldn’t be unusual to find 10-plus nationalities on a London construction site, and dual language signs,” he said.
HOLY CHECK!
Deleuze
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United Kingdom2102 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-03 15:43:36
July 03 2016 15:41 GMT
#3784
On July 03 2016 23:49 Jockmcplop wrote:
Its hard to see how the effect of migrants could be anywhere near the level of the effect of successive governments failing to ensure that there is enough new housing.
British governments have been failing at this for decades, this was a predictable housing crisis, not caused by migrants at all.
The most frustrating thing is that our current government seems to have no interest in trying to solve the problem by building new houses.


Yeah I know, it's crazy. It's as if the government wanted to scapegoat the most disenfranchised members of the community to excuse them from their mistakes.


Edit:

On July 04 2016 00:30 Lonyo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 03 2016 22:35 Shield wrote:
Do most immigrants from outside EU do jobs which don't require higher education? I heard an opinion yesterday that people want to leave EU because Europeans are well educated, are willing to work for less and, therefore, "steal" their jobs. On the other hand, they're (people who want to Leave) not afraid of immigration outside EU because they work what the British people don't want to do. True/false? I don't know the whole picture to have an idea, but I see quite a lot of Middle Eastern people who have halal/kebab shops, bus drivers, etc.

Edit: I just remembered that the media often mentions Polish plumbers so that's a counter-argument.



https://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/feb/10/uk-plumbers-builders-engineers-skill-crisis-economy
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-35667939
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/11/brexit-shortage-construction-staff-barratt-housebuilding-uk-eu-referendum

The problem is that people see foreign doctors, or plumbers, or anything, and think that they are taking away jobs. They are quite often filling skills gaps.

I wonder how much the build rate will decrease when we have even fewer skilled builders because we don't have access to the EU labour pool.

Hospitals are going to Indian and the Philippines to try and recruit to cover staff shortages already, pre-referendum.

Show nested quote +
Thomas estimates 30-40% of Barratt’s workforce in the capital hails from mainland Europe. “It wouldn’t be unusual to find 10-plus nationalities on a London construction site, and dual language signs,” he said.


Yep, and that's why the house-builders tanked the hardest on 'New Black Friday'.
“An image of thought called philosophy has been formed historically and it effectively stops people from thinking.” ― Gilles Deleuze, Dialogues II
Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-03 16:06:34
July 03 2016 16:05 GMT
#3785
On July 03 2016 23:49 Jockmcplop wrote:
Its hard to see how the effect of migrants could be anywhere near the level of the effect of successive governments failing to ensure that there is enough new housing.
British governments have been failing at this for decades, this was a predictable housing crisis, not caused by migrants at all.
The most frustrating thing is that our current government seems to have no interest in trying to solve the problem by building new houses.


I doubt the UK is socialist enough to be responsible for housing? It should be up to private businesses to build houses, then sell them. I could be wrong about the UK, but that's how it should be in a non-socialist state. Why don't private businesses build more houses? I don't know, but it's a good question.
puerk
Profile Joined February 2015
Germany855 Posts
July 03 2016 16:19 GMT
#3786
land is finite and i really like the german word for real estate in that context: it is immobile, so the fundamental will always be location
you can not add more prime location downtown london real estate to the market

so every building project outside of prime locations is increadibly risky: either people come and the project flurishes or they don't and all interdependent factors like infrastructure, shops, services do not come aswell.

no single company level actor can offer the needed security and backing that a real estate development will be profitable, as it is always about: will all factors align that people want to live and work there

and a third problem in my mind is that rent level is thought to be correlated with the value development of the property itself: building low rent housing has the added risk of deteriorating faster in the eyes of the real estate developers... to me there seems to be a vibe that affordable housing goes down the drain faster
(from my experience this is mostly due to neglect by the owners and not the renters but both happen)

so why would you invest in land (price only determined by location) and then build something cheap with low return on investment and an unfavourable degradation curve, when you can instead build something more expensive with higher return on investment and a development curve that might even slope upward, because even though the real estate gets worn and used the high rent clientel increases the value of the neighbourhood and attracts more of them, so it becomes an object of speculation and the price inflates

the absolute land price no matter what you want to build on it will always swing the balance to high return on investment decisions
Deleuze
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United Kingdom2102 Posts
July 03 2016 17:09 GMT
#3787
On July 04 2016 01:19 puerk wrote:
land is finite and i really like the german word for real estate in that context: it is immobile, so the fundamental will always be location
you can not add more prime location downtown london real estate to the market

so every building project outside of prime locations is increadibly risky: either people come and the project flurishes or they don't and all interdependent factors like infrastructure, shops, services do not come aswell.

no single company level actor can offer the needed security and backing that a real estate development will be profitable, as it is always about: will all factors align that people want to live and work there

and a third problem in my mind is that rent level is thought to be correlated with the value development of the property itself: building low rent housing has the added risk of deteriorating faster in the eyes of the real estate developers... to me there seems to be a vibe that affordable housing goes down the drain faster
(from my experience this is mostly due to neglect by the owners and not the renters but both happen)

so why would you invest in land (price only determined by location) and then build something cheap with low return on investment and an unfavourable degradation curve, when you can instead build something more expensive with higher return on investment and a development curve that might even slope upward, because even though the real estate gets worn and used the high rent clientel increases the value of the neighbourhood and attracts more of them, so it becomes an object of speculation and the price inflates

the absolute land price no matter what you want to build on it will always swing the balance to high return on investment decisions


I don't think you could say it any better.
“An image of thought called philosophy has been formed historically and it effectively stops people from thinking.” ― Gilles Deleuze, Dialogues II
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 03 2016 17:15 GMT
#3788
On housing, the demographia report is an interesting read if you want some detail:
http://www.demographia.com/dhi.pdf
I tend to agree with their findings.

a highlight:
"It is undeniable that demand factors played a role in stimulating the housing market and those factors
were, for the most part, in the hands of national governments. However, the real culprit, the real
source of the problem, was the refusal of local and state governments and their land management
agencies to provide an adequate and affordable supply of land for new housing stock to meet
demand."
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
puerk
Profile Joined February 2015
Germany855 Posts
July 03 2016 17:55 GMT
#3789
why don't these pescy, lazy, irresponsible local governments just curve space time to increase the area of central london?

selling more land will not change what real estate gets developed on it, affordable housing is not the best investment to make according to the reasoning i laid out earlier, so the government has to step in

i think it should tackle the problem from 2 sides:
- build, supply and maintain infrastructure, of transportation, leisure and services
- regulate the market via a rent cap, applied to a fraction of every development.
if you can build expensive housing you can certainly provide cheap as well. i.e. if you want to build a billionaires investment ghost town, fine as long as x% of total appartments/units are offered at the local social housing rate (not every city in every country will have such a rate predetermined already but for instance in my city in germany its 300€ a month for a single adult including heating and mandatory house services, so you could work that out aswell)


furthermore i would like a containment of sprawl, as deteriorating city centers <-> moving to suburbs is a vicious cycle wrecking not only economies but also the lifes of the least mobile residents...
strengthen current places of residence instead of replacing them for the afluent, mobile and well informed, and leaving everyone else behind
Shield
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Bulgaria4824 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-03 19:08:21
July 03 2016 19:07 GMT
#3790
The five Conservative leadership candidates have all said they would not hold a referendum on Britain's exit deal from the EU.

Work and pensions secretary Stephen Crabb, who campaigned for Remain, said the referendum was a "clear instruction to government" and there could be "no attempt to sidestep it".

Justice Secretary Michael Gove has said he would wait until at least 2017 to kick off the two-year process of negotiating the UK's withdrawal by invoking Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty.

Home Secretary Theresa May, who is seen as the frontrunner, has said the government should not invoke Article 50 before the end of the year.

But energy minister Andrea Leadsom says it should be triggered as quickly as possible, to remove economic uncertainty.


BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36698055
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
July 04 2016 09:22 GMT
#3791


Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4544 Posts
July 04 2016 09:46 GMT
#3792
Damage done, time to leave.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21767 Posts
July 04 2016 09:57 GMT
#3793
That timing to quit. I dont...

Feels like there has to be more behind this, you don't just quit and walk away so soon after winning a major victory you have been fighting for your entire career.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9128 Posts
July 04 2016 10:54 GMT
#3794
So Boris & Nigel got you to leave EU just for a quick giggle? What is going on
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4338 Posts
July 04 2016 11:37 GMT
#3795
This argument that local people don't want to do low paying work like cleaning, labouring etc is only a half truth.
The fact is that these jobs can no longer afford a basic standard of living - that is a house (even in a shitty area), food, electricity.The main cost here is housing which has been in a huge bubble and has increased far beyond reason.

Eastern Europeans stay for a few years and send whatever they can home, it is incredibly hard to raise a nuclear family in England on the wages for low paid workers with the housing situation being what it has been the past decade.Natives can get housing benefit and the rest and live better than if they were working f/t at a low wage job.That is not right and is totally unsustainable.

This guy puts it across well
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21767 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-04 11:44:33
July 04 2016 11:44 GMT
#3796
On July 04 2016 20:37 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
This argument that local people don't want to do low paying work like cleaning, labouring etc is only a half truth.
The fact is that these jobs can no longer afford a basic standard of living - that is a house (even in a shitty area), food, electricity.The main cost here is housing which has been in a huge bubble and has increased far beyond reason.

Eastern Europeans stay for a few years and send whatever they can home, it is incredibly hard to raise a nuclear family in England on the wages for low paid workers with the housing situation being what it has been the past decade.Natives can get housing benefit and the rest and live better than if they were working f/t at a low wage job.That is not right and is totally unsustainable.

And how exactly will leaving the EU fix the housing market and minimum wage.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4544 Posts
July 04 2016 11:44 GMT
#3797
On July 04 2016 20:37 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
This argument that local people don't want to do low paying work like cleaning, labouring etc is only a half truth.
The fact is that these jobs can no longer afford a basic standard of living - that is a house (even in a shitty area), food, electricity.The main cost here is housing which has been in a huge bubble and has increased far beyond reason.

Eastern Europeans stay for a few years and send whatever they can home, it is incredibly hard to raise a nuclear family in England on the wages for low paid workers with the housing situation being what it has been the past decade.Natives can get housing benefit and the rest and live better than if they were working f/t at a low wage job.That is not right and is totally unsustainable.

This guy puts it across well
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0gHLfMXb0Yg


Did you watch the vid though? All I see is the guy getting owned at the end by the tiny lady.
Not once does he explain how the Brexit would help any of his issues lmao.
As he rightly states, Britain has been multicultural for decades, EU or not, the Polish will still be there.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4338 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-04 11:47:54
July 04 2016 11:45 GMT
#3798
On July 04 2016 18:57 Gorsameth wrote:
That timing to quit. I dont...

Feels like there has to be more behind this, you don't just quit and walk away so soon after winning a major victory you have been fighting for your entire career.

Look at the sort of people he's had to put up with.Absolute scum.I salute the guy for lasting as long as he has.

[image loading]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4338 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-04 11:50:01
July 04 2016 11:47 GMT
#3799
On July 04 2016 20:44 Laurens wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 04 2016 20:37 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
This argument that local people don't want to do low paying work like cleaning, labouring etc is only a half truth.
The fact is that these jobs can no longer afford a basic standard of living - that is a house (even in a shitty area), food, electricity.The main cost here is housing which has been in a huge bubble and has increased far beyond reason.

Eastern Europeans stay for a few years and send whatever they can home, it is incredibly hard to raise a nuclear family in England on the wages for low paid workers with the housing situation being what it has been the past decade.Natives can get housing benefit and the rest and live better than if they were working f/t at a low wage job.That is not right and is totally unsustainable.

This guy puts it across well
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0gHLfMXb0Yg


Did you watch the vid though? All I see is the guy getting owned at the end by the tiny lady.
Not once does he explain how the Brexit would help any of his issues lmao.
As he rightly states, Britain has been multicultural for decades, EU or not, the Polish will still be there.

Wow.
If you think zero hours contracts helps your argument then there is no help for you.
Even back in 2007 i doubt we'd see Northern Rock lending to someone employed on a zero hours contract, what is your thoughts? 150,000 mortgage on a zero hours contract anyone? Hah!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Laurens
Profile Joined September 2010
Belgium4544 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-07-04 11:54:22
July 04 2016 11:52 GMT
#3800
On July 04 2016 20:47 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 04 2016 20:44 Laurens wrote:
On July 04 2016 20:37 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
This argument that local people don't want to do low paying work like cleaning, labouring etc is only a half truth.
The fact is that these jobs can no longer afford a basic standard of living - that is a house (even in a shitty area), food, electricity.The main cost here is housing which has been in a huge bubble and has increased far beyond reason.

Eastern Europeans stay for a few years and send whatever they can home, it is incredibly hard to raise a nuclear family in England on the wages for low paid workers with the housing situation being what it has been the past decade.Natives can get housing benefit and the rest and live better than if they were working f/t at a low wage job.That is not right and is totally unsustainable.

This guy puts it across well
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0gHLfMXb0Yg


Did you watch the vid though? All I see is the guy getting owned at the end by the tiny lady.
Not once does he explain how the Brexit would help any of his issues lmao.
As he rightly states, Britain has been multicultural for decades, EU or not, the Polish will still be there.

Wow.
If you think zero hours contracts helps your argument then there is no help for you.
Even back in 2007 i doubt we'd see Northern Rock lending to someone employed on a zero hours contract, what is your thoughts? 150,000 mortgage on a zero hours contract anyone? Hah!


Ignore that bit of the sentence and listen to the rest.
"This country has not protected their workers at all since the 80s, not once, and it is only because of Europe that we have any kind of protection."

Guy's response:
"Fair enough, but the bottom line is, we can not have a situation where the British come second, Britain can not be controlled by Belgium!"

All I can say to that is LMAO.
The guy is just spouting random stuff without any fact or reason to it.

e: Don't forget to answer to Gorsameth. How does the Brexit even fix any of the problems you talk about.
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