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President Obama Re-Elected - Page 592

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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here.

The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301
rogzardo
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
610 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-27 00:22:19
September 27 2012 00:17 GMT
#11821
Darknat
Profile Joined March 2011
United States122 Posts
September 27 2012 00:40 GMT
#11822
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-27 00:48:34
September 27 2012 00:48 GMT
#11823
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Well, the American Dream thinks that the greatest generation are a bunch of entitled moochers...
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
September 27 2012 00:49 GMT
#11824
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Obama very much wants to represent a new form of the American Dream but that seems to have fizzled quite a bit since his first campaign. The problem is that there's no place for a black President in the America Dream of our heritage.
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-27 00:57:50
September 27 2012 00:57 GMT
#11825
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.

The American Dream is the idea that people can make their way up and succeed through their work. You know there are measures of social mobility, right? And that the U.S.'s degree of social mobility is quite low compared to other developed countries?

Here's a recent OECD report explaining exactly that. Let me quote one of its conclusions:

Redistributive and income support policies are associated with greater intergenerational social mobility.

Obama's policies are the ones that support the American Dream, not Romney's.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Signet
Profile Joined March 2007
United States1718 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-27 01:34:32
September 27 2012 01:20 GMT
#11826
On September 27 2012 06:50 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 06:29 Signet wrote:
On September 27 2012 02:38 xDaunt wrote:
On September 27 2012 02:27 Signet wrote:
On September 27 2012 02:17 xDaunt wrote:
Before y'all start popping champagne corks, you may want to have a closer look at the samples of these new polls.

The same results are happening in polls that don't weight by party ID.

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/09/are-polls-skewed-too-heavily-against-republicans/262834/

Party ID is kinda a weird variable. Its trends don't always line up with actual party registration numbers. Many people call themselves "independent" even though they vote for the same party every time, or 90% of the time. We know that only about 6% of the electorate is in play this time around; everyone else made up their minds long ago.

In 2010, which was a route, equal numbers of voters in the exit polls self-identified as Democrats and Republicans. Remember, Republicans are more likely than Democrats to call themselves "Independent" (the opposite trend holds for partisans calling themselves "moderate").

The only time I think party ID is worth paying attention to is if they include leaners in with the self-labeled partisans. In that case, each party should have between 45-48% of likely voters with only a small number of true independents.


I disagree that the Party ID figure in these polls does not matter. Here's the problem: the Party ID numbers in these polls reflects a higher percentage of democrat voter turnout compared to republican voter turnout in 2012 than in 2008. This is clearly bullshit.

If it was all polls that weight by Party ID then I could see it being a systematic problem. Or if it were one or two polls that don't weight by party, it could be an issue of random sampling error. But the odds that polls which don't weight by Party ID would consistently oversample Democrats is low, particularly since the hardest households to get responses from tend to be those that speak Spanish, are young, or only own a cell phone - all of which lean D.

Can you think of a reason why Republicans would be refusing to answer polls? Am I missing something?

I find it much more plausible that, in the current political climate, a higher number of Obama voters are calling themselves "Democrats" while Romney voters may be calling themselves "Independent."


There was an article that I saw a while ago stating that republicans/conservatives were often more difficult to get ahold of relative to democrats/liberals for polling purposes. When pollsters make the calls during the 5-7 pm window that they typically use, republican/conservative households are more likely to be working still or eating dinner as a family, thus they are less likely to respond.

This is anecdotal, but I get calls from pollsters daily and ignore every one of them for those very reasons (plus I just don't want to be bothered period).

Quite frankly, I don't think it really matters why republicans are underrepresented in the polling samples. Just the mere fact that they are should raise some questions about the accuracy of the polls.

Who knows, it may not matter in the end. However, let's say Romney wins six weeks from now as I have predicted. Given these polls that are out there today showing Obama way ahead, what are we going to conclude regarding what happened? Is it likely that Romney will have affirmatively done something to cause a stunning turnaround? Or is it more likely that all of these polls are garbage? I'm thinking that the latter is more likely (of course, this only matters if Romney wins).

That's a plausible explanation.

I agree that ultimately it wouldn't matter why R's are being underrepresented. I'm just not sure they actually are. I think we might be going through a phase where liberals/Obama voters/Democrats are more willing to self-identify with the Democratic Party than conservatives/Romney voters/Republicans are willing to self-identify with the Republican Party. The polls that aren't deliberately weighting by Party ID are using the same methodology that they were earlier this summer, when polls were showing more or less a dead heat and there wasn't this apparent problem with Party ID sampling. Something has changed with the way people are responding to the questions they're asked.

Polls this far out aren't *that* predictive of the end margin. If the final polls are off, then something went wrong.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
September 27 2012 03:15 GMT
#11827
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Are we talking The American Dream as in the Edward Albee play?
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6221 Posts
September 27 2012 03:42 GMT
#11828
My thoughts as a Canadian:

The voter-ID crap is absurd. The only reason to do it this close to an election is to kick voters out. Do it after this election so people have 4 years to get new IDs if they need them. Making it harder for eligible voters to vote is undermining the fundamental guidelines of democracy. (Stuff like the closing of ID offices in democratic regions while extending hours in republican regions is also mind-boggling).

Fox-News. Who listens to this crap. I agree fully with free-speech but media like that doesn't classify as news anymore. It's informative in a way, but from everything I've seen on reddit/other sites, they only report statistics that are skewed in the republican's favour or stats that rarely tell the full story. Fair and Balanced my ass.

Electronic Voting Machines: Sort of scares me that there is no way of verification that they're working properly. There's no access to the underlying code because it's proprietary, there's no way of telling if there's a bug or not in the code, there's no secondary counting method. If you want an open voting process, have the voting machines print out a receipt AFTER you vote on them that can be checked against what you voted for, then place those receipts into a secondary ballot box. If any major discrepancy from expected results or any particularly close result occurs, manually count those paper ballots.

Romney:

http://www.reddit.com/r/ShitRomneySays/
http://www.quickmeme.com/Relatable-Romney/

That just about sums up my thoughts on romney. He's someone so far from the middle class as to look stupid and awkward when he tries to relate to them. People making 200k+ a year are middle class? Capital gains are taxed at a stupidly low rate even though 50% of capital gains are income to the 0.1%? Stuff like that makes me rather mad, especially since the USA's policies of late have been rubbing off on canada.
Signet
Profile Joined March 2007
United States1718 Posts
September 27 2012 05:02 GMT
#11829
On September 27 2012 12:42 Lmui wrote:
The voter-ID crap is absurd. The only reason to do it this close to an election is to kick voters out. Do it after this election so people have 4 years to get new IDs if they need them. Making it harder for eligible voters to vote is undermining the fundamental guidelines of democracy. (Stuff like the closing of ID offices in democratic regions while extending hours in republican regions is also mind-boggling).

Well, yes, I agree it's a thinly veiled attempt to keep certain groups of US citizens away from the polls.

Oddly, today I was looking up the status of the Wisconsin ID offices to see what had come of that. According to this article, there was enough outcry over the seemingly partisan decision to close certain offices and the state decided to keep them open.

http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D9OTEI1O0.htm

Does anyone know if this was the final decision, or if offices were closed later? Although from that story, it sounds like the final decision was to keep them open.
kmillz
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1548 Posts
September 27 2012 05:08 GMT
#11830
On September 27 2012 12:42 Lmui wrote:
My thoughts as a Canadian:

The voter-ID crap is absurd. The only reason to do it this close to an election is to kick voters out. Do it after this election so people have 4 years to get new IDs if they need them. Making it harder for eligible voters to vote is undermining the fundamental guidelines of democracy. (Stuff like the closing of ID offices in democratic regions while extending hours in republican regions is also mind-boggling).

Fox-News. Who listens to this crap. I agree fully with free-speech but media like that doesn't classify as news anymore. It's informative in a way, but from everything I've seen on reddit/other sites, they only report statistics that are skewed in the republican's favour or stats that rarely tell the full story. Fair and Balanced my ass.

Electronic Voting Machines: Sort of scares me that there is no way of verification that they're working properly. There's no access to the underlying code because it's proprietary, there's no way of telling if there's a bug or not in the code, there's no secondary counting method. If you want an open voting process, have the voting machines print out a receipt AFTER you vote on them that can be checked against what you voted for, then place those receipts into a secondary ballot box. If any major discrepancy from expected results or any particularly close result occurs, manually count those paper ballots.

Romney:

http://www.reddit.com/r/ShitRomneySays/
http://www.quickmeme.com/Relatable-Romney/

That just about sums up my thoughts on romney. He's someone so far from the middle class as to look stupid and awkward when he tries to relate to them. People making 200k+ a year are middle class? Capital gains are taxed at a stupidly low rate even though 50% of capital gains are income to the 0.1%? Stuff like that makes me rather mad, especially since the USA's policies of late have been rubbing off on canada.


I don't really understand how people can make a living without an I.D. to begin with, why do so many legal adults not have one?
Kaitlin
Profile Joined December 2010
United States2958 Posts
September 27 2012 05:10 GMT
#11831
On September 27 2012 09:48 DoubleReed wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Well, the American Dream thinks that the greatest generation are a bunch of entitled moochers...


The so-called "greatest generation" has earned their benefits. The "entitlement generation", which is the younger generation of today is full of "entitled moochers" who think they are the "greatest generation". They are wrong.
Kaitlin
Profile Joined December 2010
United States2958 Posts
September 27 2012 05:12 GMT
#11832
On September 27 2012 12:42 Lmui wrote:
My thoughts as a Canadian:

The voter-ID crap is absurd. The only reason to do it this close to an election is to kick voters out. Do it after this election so people have 4 years to get new IDs if they need them. Making it harder for eligible voters to vote is undermining the fundamental guidelines of democracy. (Stuff like the closing of ID offices in democratic regions while extending hours in republican regions is also mind-boggling).


Being Canadian, I guess you wouldn't know this, but IDs typically expire around every 4 years ....
Signet
Profile Joined March 2007
United States1718 Posts
September 27 2012 05:36 GMT
#11833
On September 27 2012 14:08 kmillz wrote:
I don't really understand how people can make a living without an I.D. to begin with, why do so many legal adults not have one?

tbh I don't understand a lot of things people do It is amazing to read that there are millions of legal adults in this country that the government knows about who simply don't have an ID. It would be easier, now that we're really integrating it into the voting process, if the federal government just issued everyone a mandatory photo ID card that worked for identification in all states.

Who are these people? They might be students -- some states accept college IDs as a form of voter ID, others don't. They might be retired. They might be unemployed.

Also, their ID might not be valid. There has been some discussion over whether or not women who have an ID with their maiden name on it and have since gotten married would have trouble at the polls. Or perhaps they have moved to a different state and had been able to get by with their old ID.

IDs expire after some time. If they have been at the same job for a long time, or if they have been unemployed for a long time, they might not have gotten a new one.

Typically, these are going to be lower-class people with fewer resources, and they might not know about these new rules. (kind of obviously... anyone who drives would have to have an ID, at least in theory)

On September 27 2012 14:10 Kaitlin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 09:48 DoubleReed wrote:
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Well, the American Dream thinks that the greatest generation are a bunch of entitled moochers...


The so-called "greatest generation" has earned their benefits. The "entitlement generation", which is the younger generation of today is full of "entitled moochers" who think they are the "greatest generation". They are wrong.

It's largely the "greatest generation" and the Boomers who decided to cut taxes while they were working, but now want to keep the entitlement programs running for themselves as they retire but cut them off for everyone else. (or at least, that is the plan the Republicans are promoting with regards to Social Security and people over vs under 55) I say that's a bunch of crap. Don't force the rest of us to pay for these programs then not get the benefits, just because those generations made really short-sighted political decisions when they came into power.

Not sure if that is what you're talking about or if you are talking about a more general "sense of entitlement." But that is my opinion on the generations and entitlement programs...
TheFrankOne
Profile Joined December 2010
United States667 Posts
September 27 2012 06:11 GMT
#11834
On September 27 2012 14:12 Kaitlin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 12:42 Lmui wrote:
My thoughts as a Canadian:

The voter-ID crap is absurd. The only reason to do it this close to an election is to kick voters out. Do it after this election so people have 4 years to get new IDs if they need them. Making it harder for eligible voters to vote is undermining the fundamental guidelines of democracy. (Stuff like the closing of ID offices in democratic regions while extending hours in republican regions is also mind-boggling).


Being Canadian, I guess you wouldn't know this, but IDs typically expire around every 4 years ....


Which is a great reason to give people months to get IDs, instead of anytime during the 4 years in between this election and the next presidential one right? Since they expire after 4 years if someone got an ID after the election it would be good for the next one, but if they got one now, they would probably just have to do so again before the next election.

More inconvenience, a new barrier to voting, for people who vote more than 50% Democrat every 4 years? Who does that benefit?

I really don't get your point, that IDs expire that often is a good reason to not enact these laws for this election so there's time for all the people who have expired IDs to get one that will be valid and so there's plenty of time to ensure awareness of these new... certainly don't want to call them poll taxes, restrictions? anti fraud measures?.
kmillz
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1548 Posts
September 27 2012 06:22 GMT
#11835
On September 27 2012 14:36 Signet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 14:08 kmillz wrote:
I don't really understand how people can make a living without an I.D. to begin with, why do so many legal adults not have one?

tbh I don't understand a lot of things people do It is amazing to read that there are millions of legal adults in this country that the government knows about who simply don't have an ID. It would be easier, now that we're really integrating it into the voting process, if the federal government just issued everyone a mandatory photo ID card that worked for identification in all states.

Who are these people? They might be students -- some states accept college IDs as a form of voter ID, others don't. They might be retired. They might be unemployed.

Also, their ID might not be valid. There has been some discussion over whether or not women who have an ID with their maiden name on it and have since gotten married would have trouble at the polls. Or perhaps they have moved to a different state and had been able to get by with their old ID.

IDs expire after some time. If they have been at the same job for a long time, or if they have been unemployed for a long time, they might not have gotten a new one.

Typically, these are going to be lower-class people with fewer resources, and they might not know about these new rules. (kind of obviously... anyone who drives would have to have an ID, at least in theory)

Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 14:10 Kaitlin wrote:
On September 27 2012 09:48 DoubleReed wrote:
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Well, the American Dream thinks that the greatest generation are a bunch of entitled moochers...


The so-called "greatest generation" has earned their benefits. The "entitlement generation", which is the younger generation of today is full of "entitled moochers" who think they are the "greatest generation". They are wrong.

It's largely the "greatest generation" and the Boomers who decided to cut taxes while they were working, but now want to keep the entitlement programs running for themselves as they retire but cut them off for everyone else. (or at least, that is the plan the Republicans are promoting with regards to Social Security and people over vs under 55) I say that's a bunch of crap. Don't force the rest of us to pay for these programs then not get the benefits, just because those generations made really short-sighted political decisions when they came into power.

Not sure if that is what you're talking about or if you are talking about a more general "sense of entitlement." But that is my opinion on the generations and entitlement programs...


What puzzles me more is how does the government know that they don't have a form of an ID?
Mindcrime
Profile Joined July 2004
United States6899 Posts
September 27 2012 07:01 GMT
#11836
On September 27 2012 15:22 kmillz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 27 2012 14:36 Signet wrote:
On September 27 2012 14:08 kmillz wrote:
I don't really understand how people can make a living without an I.D. to begin with, why do so many legal adults not have one?

tbh I don't understand a lot of things people do It is amazing to read that there are millions of legal adults in this country that the government knows about who simply don't have an ID. It would be easier, now that we're really integrating it into the voting process, if the federal government just issued everyone a mandatory photo ID card that worked for identification in all states.

Who are these people? They might be students -- some states accept college IDs as a form of voter ID, others don't. They might be retired. They might be unemployed.

Also, their ID might not be valid. There has been some discussion over whether or not women who have an ID with their maiden name on it and have since gotten married would have trouble at the polls. Or perhaps they have moved to a different state and had been able to get by with their old ID.

IDs expire after some time. If they have been at the same job for a long time, or if they have been unemployed for a long time, they might not have gotten a new one.

Typically, these are going to be lower-class people with fewer resources, and they might not know about these new rules. (kind of obviously... anyone who drives would have to have an ID, at least in theory)

On September 27 2012 14:10 Kaitlin wrote:
On September 27 2012 09:48 DoubleReed wrote:
On September 27 2012 09:40 Darknat wrote:
For me this election is about whether or not the United States turn it's back on it's heritage: the American Dream. Do you want the government doing everything for you or do you want the government out of your lives? A vote for Obama is a vote against the American Dream and a vote for Romney is a vote for the American Dream.


Well, the American Dream thinks that the greatest generation are a bunch of entitled moochers...


The so-called "greatest generation" has earned their benefits. The "entitlement generation", which is the younger generation of today is full of "entitled moochers" who think they are the "greatest generation". They are wrong.

It's largely the "greatest generation" and the Boomers who decided to cut taxes while they were working, but now want to keep the entitlement programs running for themselves as they retire but cut them off for everyone else. (or at least, that is the plan the Republicans are promoting with regards to Social Security and people over vs under 55) I say that's a bunch of crap. Don't force the rest of us to pay for these programs then not get the benefits, just because those generations made really short-sighted political decisions when they came into power.

Not sure if that is what you're talking about or if you are talking about a more general "sense of entitlement." But that is my opinion on the generations and entitlement programs...


What puzzles me more is how does the government know that they don't have a form of an ID?


If Texas state Republicans had their way (and they did before the law was struck down), the only valid ID for the purposes of voting would be government issued ID. The government would have to know
That wasn't any act of God. That was an act of pure human fuckery.
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10842 Posts
September 27 2012 07:09 GMT
#11837
Hm... Aside from some serious stuff you could also get around in Switzerland whiteout an ID. Most places also take your drivers license or something like this but you probably would need your ID to get the drivers license ^^.

Fun thing in Switzerland is: The by far biggest "practical" reason to get a Passport is that you want to go on Holydays in the US :p....
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6221 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-09-27 07:51:25
September 27 2012 07:46 GMT
#11838
http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=vot&dir=ids&document=index&lang=e

This is how we do elections/ID in canada. The simplest option is a single piece of government ID (driver's license is $75 in BC for 5 years, not a particularly large sum). Health card is valid from the day you're born to the day you die, same with other things like birth certificate, certificate of citizenship etc. and option 3 is relatively simple too. We haven't had any serious cases of voter fraud up here (a few allegations/cases of election fraud though) and in general, I think the system works fine.

I fail to see how requiring mandatory ID in order to vote 40 days before an election is held is considered reasonable. The political structure in the USA seems so corrupt in some places that it's a game of money and backroom deals to see who gets into a elected position.

Also:



AND

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/09/full-transcript-mitt-romney-secret-video
kmillz
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1548 Posts
September 27 2012 08:19 GMT
#11839
Personally, I think any changes to require a state I.D. for voting should begin AFTER this election is over, to give everyone 4 years to prepare for this change...or just issue state I.D.s for free...

I'm a Romney supporter and I do oppose voter fraud, but things like this really shouldn't be coming up so close to an election.
kmillz
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1548 Posts
September 27 2012 08:39 GMT
#11840
I have to say I am humbled by alot of the talk on here and thank alot of you for some feedback on many issues, I feel more educated and while I still hope for a Romney win, I have learned alot from both sides and will strive to keep an open mind from now on. My primary concern in politics is to get less government involvement, fairness on all levels, and protecting our freedoms. I am not as optimistic about Romney winning as I was before, but if he doesn't win I hope Obama makes some postitive improvements for country and is willing to come up with something that can combat our struggling economy
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