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Iraq & Syrian Civil Wars - Page 136

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Please guys, stay on topic.

This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria.
archonOOid
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
1983 Posts
September 09 2013 10:48 GMT
#2701
I think the civil war is the wrong label as more and more actors have engaged the Syrian scene. A proxy way is a better named as US and others are about to attack Assad held areas. The thing that is unclear is how airstrikes would stop the fighting in the short term and in the long term. There are many countries and groups that would fight for the Assad Agenda even if the odds of winning becomes slimmer for every missile strike.
I'm Quotable (IQ)
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 11:38:26
September 09 2013 11:38 GMT
#2702

President Asad Threatens Retaliation if US attacks

Syrian President Bashar al Assad has warned America "to expect everything" if it attacks in retaliation for his alleged use of chemical weapons that killed more than 1,400 civilians in Damascus.

Speaking in an interview to US television network CBS, Mr Assad denied he was behind the chemical atrocity on August 21 and said the US had provided "not a single shred of evidence" that his forces were involved.

When pressed by CBS correspondent Charlie Rose about what would happen if the US attacked Syria, he replied "every action".


Source
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
September 09 2013 11:47 GMT
#2703
Well, the attack looks pretty unlikely atm:

[image loading]

Source.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
m4inbrain
Profile Joined November 2011
1505 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 11:53:30
September 09 2013 11:50 GMT
#2704
Speaking in an interview to US television network CBS, Mr Assad denied he was behind the chemical atrocity on August 21 and said the US had provided "not a single shred of evidence" that his forces were involved.


Sadly, that's actually true. Not just the US, but the german BND etc, they all say "we have 100% proof so it's all good folks, we don't need to show you, you wouldn't understand anyway" - bullshit. Proper bullshit from secret services and governments around the world.

Denis McDonough (the whitehouse dude) actually said that there's no 100% proof, it's just "common sense that it was the regime". Not to mention the answer "Do we have pictures, or undeniable proof? This is not a court. That's not how secret-service agencies work." (translated from german, the actual quote might be different - the essence is the same though)

I'm sorry, the last thing i wanna do is rely on the US governments common sense to go to war.

edit: not that i would trust any other governments common sense, not even my own govs - but it's the US wagering war, it's not bashing.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4427 Posts
September 09 2013 11:59 GMT
#2705
On September 09 2013 20:47 Ghanburighan wrote:
Well, the attack looks pretty unlikely atm:

[image loading]

Source.

Maybe Obama will cancel the vote to avoid embarrassment?
Interesting to see what happens from here.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Novel
Profile Joined December 2012
Russian Federation32 Posts
September 09 2013 12:03 GMT
#2706
At this point I actually think that China and Russia WANT U.S. to attack Syria.
There was no evidence shown. U.S. will violate international law by bypassing UN. It will unite all U.S. opposition that might have thought that Obama quit role of a world policeman, It will harm U.S. economy in the long run. Also Syrian army have pretty advanced technology, mainly from Russia, so there might be unusually high losses for U.S. This war can be the last part in Pax Americana. If this war will happen.
zeo
Profile Joined October 2009
Serbia6342 Posts
September 09 2013 12:21 GMT
#2707
On September 09 2013 21:03 Novel wrote:
At this point I actually think that China and Russia WANT U.S. to attack Syria.
There was no evidence shown. U.S. will violate international law by bypassing UN. It will unite all U.S. opposition that might have thought that Obama quit role of a world policeman, It will harm U.S. economy in the long run. Also Syrian army have pretty advanced technology, mainly from Russia, so there might be unusually high losses for U.S. This war can be the last part in Pax Americana. If this war will happen.

The US has pissed all over international law many many times, as have the rest of the security counsel members. You know why? Because the UN is a joke.
Pre-emptive retaliatory de-escalation action
ddrddrddrddr
Profile Joined August 2010
1344 Posts
September 09 2013 12:21 GMT
#2708
On September 09 2013 21:03 Novel wrote:
At this point I actually think that China and Russia WANT U.S. to attack Syria.
There was no evidence shown. U.S. will violate international law by bypassing UN. It will unite all U.S. opposition that might have thought that Obama quit role of a world policeman, It will harm U.S. economy in the long run. Also Syrian army have pretty advanced technology, mainly from Russia, so there might be unusually high losses for U.S. This war can be the last part in Pax Americana. If this war will happen.

From what I hear on NPR, the US military looks only at strike options that are no risk at all. Would missile bombardment from the Mediterranean and bombers stroke from tens of miles outside Syrian borders allows for any immediate retaliation? Either way it struck me that even though troops on Syrian soil is banned, it is banned only for military action. Redefining whatever is necessary will allow such conditions to be bypassed just as we did with the prisoner of war issue.
zatic
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
Zurich15366 Posts
September 09 2013 12:25 GMT
#2709
On September 09 2013 21:21 ddrddrddrddr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 09 2013 21:03 Novel wrote:
At this point I actually think that China and Russia WANT U.S. to attack Syria.
There was no evidence shown. U.S. will violate international law by bypassing UN. It will unite all U.S. opposition that might have thought that Obama quit role of a world policeman, It will harm U.S. economy in the long run. Also Syrian army have pretty advanced technology, mainly from Russia, so there might be unusually high losses for U.S. This war can be the last part in Pax Americana. If this war will happen.

From what I hear on NPR, the US military looks only at strike options that are no risk at all. Would missile bombardment from the Mediterranean and bombers stroke from tens of miles outside Syrian borders allows for any immediate retaliation? Either way it struck me that even though troops on Syrian soil is banned, it is banned only for military action. Redefining whatever is necessary will allow such conditions to be bypassed just as we did with the prisoner of war issue.

Yeah it is veeeeeeery unlikely that any action - should anything happen - will result in any US casualties. Most likely Assad is going to be bombarded with cruise missiles from a distance against which they can't do anything but duck and hide.
ModeratorI know Teamliquid is known as a massive building
sekritzzz
Profile Joined December 2010
1515 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 13:15:05
September 09 2013 13:14 GMT
#2710
For people who are buying into the obama-Cameron bullshit of enforcing a 100-year treaty to avoid chemical weapons being used freely.

Hypocrisy 101: http://www.policymic.com/articles/62023/10-chemical-weapons-attacks-washington-doesn-t-want-you-to-talk-about


Points 6/7 seem like the author just wants to complete a list of 10, not sure why he would include them but the rest are solid.

Washington doesn't merely lack the legal authority for a military intervention in Syria. It lacks the moral authority. We're talking about a government with a history of using chemical weapons against innocent people far more prolific and deadly than the mere accusations Assad faces from a trigger-happy Western military-industrial complex, bent on stifling further investigation before striking.

Here is a list of 10 chemical weapons attacks carried out by the U.S. government or its allies against civilians.

1. The U.S. Military Dumped 20 Million Gallons of Chemicals on Vietnam from 1962 - 1971


2. Israel Attacked Palestinian Civilians with White Phosphorus in 2008 - 2009


3. Washington Attacked Iraqi Civilians with White Phosphorus in 2004


4. The CIA Helped Saddam Hussein Massacre Iranians and Kurds with Chemical Weapons in 1988


5. The Army Tested Chemicals on Residents of Poor, Black St. Louis Neighborhoods in The 1950s


6. Police Fired Tear Gas at Occupy Protesters in 2011


7. The FBI Attacked Men, Women, and Children With Tear Gas in Waco in 1993


8. The U.S. Military Littered Iraq with Toxic Depleted Uranium in 2003


9. The U.S. Military Killed Hundreds of Thousands of Japanese Civilians with Napalm from 1944 - 1945


10. The U.S. Government Dropped Nuclear Bombs on Two Japanese Cities in 1945
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
September 09 2013 13:15 GMT
#2711
On September 09 2013 10:19 radscorpion9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 09 2013 09:53 Larkin wrote:
If the large scale rioting in Greece leads to a popular movement trying to actively overthrow the government and essential civil war, would the US go and bomb Greece?

Or any country, for that matter? If there were reports of human rights abuses in the UK, would the US go and bomb the UK?


I think there's a difference between civil war and the government killing its own people for protesting, and then leading to a "civil" war in which you can't tell how many people truly support Assad (based on his Alawite background its probably a minority, though he has the military for support plus Iran and Russia).

So probably no to the Greece situation. Similarly with human rights abuses. The US has intervened thus far in countries where dictators were brutally murdering their own people in the thousands, i.e. something more along the lines of a crime against humanity. I think the only reason they didn't intervene in Syria earlier was because America isn't really the world policeman as much as it tries to uphold its moral values, and the American public get war weary.

But I think you can see that when things get bad enough the US once again has to come to the aid of civilians. I think there are some very good questions about whether that might make things worse though, would be interesting to hear Obama's response to that.

But if they weren't war weary, and Britain turned into a dictatorship that started massacring its protesters and unleashing small quantities of chemical weapons, I honestly think that the US would do something - they're more an ally to the British people than the British government.


Another yawner post full of implied American FP morals.

Bahrain protestors, Formula-1 protest 50 mill in small arms/Saudi Tanks. Your 3 paragraphs: Destroyed
I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
September 09 2013 13:35 GMT
#2712
sekritzzz, you ought to read the thread before posting. At least the last 20 or so pages. But if you're too lazy to do that, at least use the search function: your link and surrounding discussion.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
jeremycafe
Profile Joined March 2009
United States354 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 13:40:44
September 09 2013 13:39 GMT
#2713
edit
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 13:46:09
September 09 2013 13:42 GMT
#2714
On September 09 2013 22:14 sekritzzz wrote:
For people who are buying into the obama-Cameron bullshit of enforcing a 100-year treaty to avoid chemical weapons being used freely.

Hypocrisy 101: http://www.policymic.com/articles/62023/10-chemical-weapons-attacks-washington-doesn-t-want-you-to-talk-about


Points 6/7 seem like the author just wants to complete a list of 10, not sure why he would include them but the rest are solid.

+ Show Spoiler +
Washington doesn't merely lack the legal authority for a military intervention in Syria. It lacks the moral authority. We're talking about a government with a history of using chemical weapons against innocent people far more prolific and deadly than the mere accusations Assad faces from a trigger-happy Western military-industrial complex, bent on stifling further investigation before striking.

Here is a list of 10 chemical weapons attacks carried out by the U.S. government or its allies against civilians.

1. The U.S. Military Dumped 20 Million Gallons of Chemicals on Vietnam from 1962 - 1971


2. Israel Attacked Palestinian Civilians with White Phosphorus in 2008 - 2009


3. Washington Attacked Iraqi Civilians with White Phosphorus in 2004


4. The CIA Helped Saddam Hussein Massacre Iranians and Kurds with Chemical Weapons in 1988


5. The Army Tested Chemicals on Residents of Poor, Black St. Louis Neighborhoods in The 1950s


6. Police Fired Tear Gas at Occupy Protesters in 2011


7. The FBI Attacked Men, Women, and Children With Tear Gas in Waco in 1993


8. The U.S. Military Littered Iraq with Toxic Depleted Uranium in 2003


9. The U.S. Military Killed Hundreds of Thousands of Japanese Civilians with Napalm from 1944 - 1945


10. The U.S. Government Dropped Nuclear Bombs on Two Japanese Cities in 1945



I'm not going to go and agree with Tear Gas but we've seen how nasty a Gov Water Cannon can be in Turkey so it may just be semantics. I still remember the C.S. chamber in Fort Benning, and that's been 20 years now.

Evidently Obama knows political calculus...
'I created Transjordan," Winston Churchill once boasted, "with a stroke of a pen one Sunday afternoon in Cairo." Take a look at what remains of Jordan 90 years later and you can see how. Straight borders drawn with a ruler carve indifferent frontiers through a complex region with the kind of callous colonial hubris that displayed scant regard for linguistic, ethnic or religious affiliation.

Much of the contemporary turmoil in the Middle East owes its origins to foreign powers drawing lines in the sand that were both arbitrary and consequential and guided more by their imperial standing than the interests of the region. The "red line" that president Barack Obama has set out as the trigger for US military intervention in Syria is no different.

He drew it unilaterally in August 2012 in response to a question about "whether [he envisioned] using US military" in Syria. "A red line for us is we start seeing a whole bunch of chemical weapons moving around or being utilised. That would change my calculus. That would change my equation."


http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/08/us-little-credibility-syria-chemical-weapons
I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
Maenander
Profile Joined November 2002
Germany4926 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 14:04:17
September 09 2013 14:00 GMT
#2715
The truth is that a limited US airstrike will have only minor consequences for Syria in its current state, not at all comparable to the US operations in Iraq, Afghanistan or even Libya.

The number of deaths will most likely be very small compared to the overall death toll of the civil war. Assad's regime might be slightly weakened, but he will still be in power. And it's not even likely that the US is able to destroy all of Assad's chemical weapons.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 09 2013 14:07 GMT
#2716
On September 09 2013 17:53 zatic wrote:
Can someone explain what it would mean to Obama if the Senate agrees to military action, but the House doesn't (which seems likely at this point). I understand the Senate has more weight on international issues, could Obama get away with arguing Senate approval is enough to back up a strike on Assad?

It means he absolved himself of the blame of an unpopular course of action. Congress said no = "the people have spoken" and he'll probably back off.
The president is allowed to do this strike without Congressional approval. He didn't have to put this up to a vote - he just chose to do so, obviously to save face regardless of the outcome.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
BioNova
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
United States598 Posts
September 09 2013 14:17 GMT
#2717
Shit's really starting to fly. Keep tossing and see what sticks.
Saudi Arabia has sent death-row inmates from several nations to fight against the Syrian government in exchange for commuting their sentences, the Assyrian International News Agency reports.

Citing what it calls a "top secret memo" in April from the Ministry of Interior, AINA says the Saudi offered 1,239 inmates a pardon and a monthly stipend for their families, which were were allowed to stay in the Sunni Arab kingdom. Syrian President Bashar Assad is an Alawite, a minority Shiite sect.

According to an English translation of the memo, besides Saudis, the prisoners included Afghans, Egyptians, Iraqis, Jordanians, Kuwaitis, Pakistanis, Palestinians, Somalis, Sudanese, Syrians and Yemenis. All faced "execution by sword" for murder, rape or drug smuggling.

Russia, which has backed Assad, objected to the bargain and allegedly threatened to bring the issue to the United Nations, said an unidentified former Iraqi member of Parliament who confirmed the memo's authenticity, says AINA, an independent outlet.

"Initially Saudi Arabia denied the existence of this program. But the testimony of the released prisoners forced the Saudi government to admit, in private circles, its existence," AINA writes. "The Saudis agreed to stop their clandestine activities and work towards finding a political solution on condition that knowledge of this program would not be made public."

Source

I used to like trumpets, now I prefer pause. "Don't move a muscle JP!"
HeeroFX
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States2704 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 14:18:40
September 09 2013 14:18 GMT
#2718
Obama could strike without authority of congress or the American people. I feel like the tone at least for most of us at my college is we don't want another war. Also with Russia sending a ship down there to the region this could get bigger. I really think if anything, the UN should be the ones to to decide on this issue, not the US alone. And I think UN officials got into syria like last week.
Maenander
Profile Joined November 2002
Germany4926 Posts
September 09 2013 14:20 GMT
#2719
It's actually brilliant - Obama saves himself from his own red line and might set a precedent that gives the American public opinion more weight in future decisions on war.
MoltkeWarding
Profile Joined November 2003
5195 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-09 14:43:06
September 09 2013 14:40 GMT
#2720

The president is allowed to do this strike without Congressional approval. He didn't have to put this up to a vote.


The legal reasoning behind which is what?

If he does so, he will have taken the Presidential war-making powers a step beyond even the measures which Mr. Bush was prepared to annex.
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