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IBM Watson Computer Beats Jeopardy Pros - Page 7

Forum Index > General Forum
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SweeTLemonS[TPR]
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
11739 Posts
February 15 2011 23:42 GMT
#121
On February 16 2011 08:33 555 wrote:
I have never really understood jeopardy, so when I heard about Watson from some friends, I wasn't too impressed since I thought it would just be some kinda google search.

However, after looking at the questions and videos, I am absolutely amazed and excited. Natural language processing is one of those things where humans outperforms computers. However, the technology used for Watson will eventually allow us to have actual conversations with computers.

I look forward to being able to go up to my computer and ask "find me some build orders lulz" and it would go on the internet, google it up, read through all the forums and return with a bunch of build orders and arguments on which are good or bad.


Except it would only give you terrible BO's for putting "lulz" at the end of the statement.
I'm never gonna know you now \ But I'm gonna love you anyhow.
kainzero
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States5211 Posts
February 15 2011 23:49 GMT
#122
one thing i thought was interesting was how they programmed the computer to select clues to maintain its lead

by using the smallest denomination for each answer, when he had a large money lead, he was preventing them from catching up.

in the back of my mind i thought, man, why didn't anyone else use this strategy?

but then i also remember how he daily doubled on his first pick. dude's got maphack.
lixlix
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States482 Posts
February 16 2011 00:27 GMT
#123
On February 16 2011 08:49 kainzero wrote:


in the back of my mind i thought, man, why didn't anyone else use this strategy?



Its pretty commonly done in Jeopardy by past human players actually.

I would be really interested in seeing the wagering algorithm for DD and final Jeopardy.
XXGeneration
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States625 Posts
February 16 2011 00:36 GMT
#124
Watson just beat Jennings and Rutters by about 22,000.
"I was so surprised when I first played StarCraft 2. I couldn't believe that such an easy game exists... I guess the best way to attract people these days is to make things easy and simple." -Midas
Isomer
Profile Joined November 2010
United States186 Posts
February 16 2011 00:36 GMT
#125
I'll only be scared when they design a Starcraft AI that beats Jaedong and Flash
There's nothing cooler than being proud of what you love
fearlessparagon
Profile Joined November 2010
United States104 Posts
February 16 2011 00:49 GMT
#126
Watson is rippin it. Its carnage out there.
Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win
lixlix
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States482 Posts
February 16 2011 00:55 GMT
#127
On February 16 2011 09:36 Isomer wrote:
I'll only be scared when they design a Starcraft AI that beats Jaedong and Flash


I know this is an exaggeration to extol how good Jaedong and Flash are but if you took even 1/10 the resources thrown at creating Watson, you could easily achieve this considering the computer will have perfect multitask already.
KOFgokuon
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States14899 Posts
February 16 2011 00:56 GMT
#128
holy fuck
the thing is, the other two clearly knew a lot of answers, just the clicking response was just so much faster..
Noev
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States1105 Posts
February 16 2011 01:04 GMT
#129
Someone/something had a good game today, nice to see him not get the final jeopardy, lets hope humanity can come back tomorrow. Humans Fighting!!!! lol
Tisp
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada209 Posts
February 16 2011 01:12 GMT
#130
HAHAHA $947 for the final jeopardy!! That was an ass-whooping.
EscPlan9
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
United States2777 Posts
February 16 2011 01:38 GMT
#131
That was AMAZING! Color me supremely impressed! GO WATSON!!!
Undefeated TL Tecmo Super Bowl League Champion
YejinYejin
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States1053 Posts
February 16 2011 01:42 GMT
#132
I don't know. I mean, the computer gets the information fed to it electronically, so it knows the exact time at which you are allowed to buzz. Let's say it's just tied with the humans in information and knowledge. Then it has a natural advantage, because the humans must listen to Trebek's voice to determine when the question ends and they're allowed to buzz, while Watson gets a signal sent right to it. Doesn't seem fair.
안지호
earti
Profile Joined October 2009
Canada36 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-02-16 06:04:11
February 16 2011 01:50 GMT
#133
On February 16 2011 09:27 lixlix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2011 08:49 kainzero wrote:


in the back of my mind i thought, man, why didn't anyone else use this strategy?



Its pretty commonly done in Jeopardy by past human players actually.

I would be really interested in seeing the wagering algorithm for DD and final Jeopardy.


Referring to all the Daily Doubles from this episode (Watson got all three in the first game)

The first DD in regular Jeopardy, it happened very early in the game where Watson only had $400. It's natural for any champion contestant to wager the maximum possible ($1000) in these cases if they're compentent.

In Double Jeopardy, the first DD was on Cambridge, a one-word, simple category. The wager was quite big ($6,435 I think) refferring to the amount of material that can be based on one subject keyword. Also can be a wager that allowed Watson to jump way ahead Brad and Ken.

The second DD was on "The Art of the Steal" in which Watson incorrectly answered one question previously despite a 97% confidence level (the actual answer was 11% on his confidence level). Hence, he didn't wager as much as the first one (about $1,201 despite being way ahead of Ken and Brad) because he was unsure of what the clue was asking for. This is why Watson had a 34% or so confidence on Baghdad (altho the right answer).
Nizaris
Profile Joined May 2010
Belgium2230 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-02-16 01:57:00
February 16 2011 01:53 GMT
#134
On February 16 2011 10:42 DTK-m2 wrote:
I don't know. I mean, the computer gets the information fed to it electronically, so it knows the exact time at which you are allowed to buzz. Let's say it's just tied with the humans in information and knowledge. Then it has a natural advantage, because the humans must listen to Trebek's voice to determine when the question ends and they're allowed to buzz, while Watson gets a signal sent right to it. Doesn't seem fair.

It doesn't really matter if it isn't fair. The simple fact that it can be done is astonishing.

ps. spoilers would have been nice >< I have to wait 2mo to download it!
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
February 16 2011 01:56 GMT
#135

A man is what he thinks about all day long.
annul
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States2841 Posts
February 16 2011 02:00 GMT
#136
On February 16 2011 09:27 lixlix wrote:
I would be really interested in seeing the wagering algorithm for DD and final Jeopardy.


this has already been solved:

http://www.j-archive.com/help.php#glossary
http://www.j-archive.com/wageringcalculator.php

lixlix
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States482 Posts
February 16 2011 02:10 GMT
#137
I know those are available. but I just found out that actually the wagering algorithm for Watson itself is slightly different due to the 2 day total I believe. It also factors in a confidence in the category.


http://ibmresearchnews.blogspot.com/2011/02/watsons-wagering-strategies.html
Tiegrr
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States607 Posts
February 16 2011 02:11 GMT
#138
Watch the NOVA documentary on Watson for clearer details on how they did it. It's really interesting if you're a tech nerd like me.
SpoR
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States1542 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-02-16 02:24:32
February 16 2011 02:19 GMT
#139
On February 16 2011 11:11 Tiegrr wrote:
Watch the NOVA documentary on Watson for clearer details on how they did it. It's really interesting if you're a tech nerd like me.


trailer for it

dunno if a full upload to YT is up yet but you can watch on NOVA site here
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/tech/smartest-machine-on-earth.html
A man is what he thinks about all day long.
carbon_based
Profile Joined December 2010
United States46 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-02-16 02:48:18
February 16 2011 02:46 GMT
#140
i had an audition for jeopardy in september and did pretty well, damn well for a 21 year old. im stoked that a quality company like IBM would sponsor jeopardy which, lets admit is getting less and less popular, however a 3 day event with prior contestants... thats 6 slots that could have gone to me, basically to show off a really good search engine.
http://www.sc2ranks.com/us/1830689/zugzwang
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