EPT[TI4] Phase 1 - Wild Card - Page 149
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Slardar
Canada7593 Posts
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stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:06 FiWiFaKi wrote: You can't necessarily trust it, you have to look for sources of error. But just because the player with a 20% chance to win according to aligulac won, doesn't mean Aligulac was flawed. I'd argue that prediction was flawed. It's like predicting KingKong would smash Stork because he's higher on the list as he has a better ELO than Stork. | ||
opterown
Australia54784 Posts
Poll: Recommend CIS vs. Liquid Game 2? Yes (10) If you have time (2) No (10) 22 total votes Your vote: Recommend CIS vs. Liquid Game 2? | ||
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Valhalla44
Bosnia-Herzegovina983 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:07 BurningSera wrote: just dropped like 1$ value on Liquid, MVP played like a shit and won. Liquid actually looks good. To be honest MVP impressed me more because even if bad laning stage, they comeback through team fights which is very impressive. | ||
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WindWolf
Sweden11767 Posts
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jntkflow
United States337 Posts
In reality, they were just another tier2 team that could not find themselves a real style. Well played by Liquid in taking out the representatives of an vastly overrated region. | ||
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trifecta
United States6795 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:09 Vallelol wrote: SO disappointed with the production quality so far TI4 still in beta. never forget | ||
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synapse
China13814 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:09 Lucumo wrote: Meh, sad games, sad ending. Go MVP, please crush them  the fuck man On July 09 2014 05:10 Valhalla44 wrote: To be honest MVP impressed me more because even if bad laning stage, they comeback through team fights which is very impressive. felt more like VP playing really terrible | ||
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Flacracker
1116 Posts
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Sn0_Man
Tebellong44238 Posts
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ahswtini
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:10 jntkflow wrote: CIS played that slow-shit trash 4p1 style that clueless nerds were praising as "perfect, disciplined play". In reality, they were just another tier2 team that could not find themselves a real style. Well played by Liquid in taking out the representatives of an vastly overrated region. Hey Azarkon | ||
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Count9
China10928 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:05 FiWiFaKi wrote: 1 million iterations for a 16 man round robin is A LOT. You need more iterations when you have 10 tournaments to worry about. And 0.00% seems reasonable for a team like Navi.US. I'd give 200/1 odds if someone wanted to be bet that Navi.US will win TI4. It's not one team has a 0% win chance, half of the teams have a 0.00% chance. If that doesn't set off red flags for a monte carlo I don't know what will. Even with the unique bracket/pool system, that's absurd. Look at the world cup simulations, even the worse teams sometimes get 1/100 of a %, half would be simply a bad simulation. 1 mil is not a lot, it's ok. But when you have parameters that can change placings dramatically like ELO time window, ELO decay factor, and probably an arbitrary weight for all those things + head to head % you really need as many runs as you can get or just 1 mil runs with differing parameters to see which parameter favors which team. This feels like a lazy "we coded a simulation, here you go." | ||
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Shymon
United States620 Posts
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icystorage
Jollibee19350 Posts
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Drazerk
United Kingdom31255 Posts
This is basically alpha | ||
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Valhalla44
Bosnia-Herzegovina983 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:10 jntkflow wrote: CIS played that slow-shit trash 4p1 style that clueless nerds were praising as "perfect, disciplined play". In reality, they were just another tier2 team that could not find themselves a real style. Well played by Liquid in taking out the representatives of an vastly overrated region. China overrated. mmmmm wheres that gif not sure if serious or just hater. | ||
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BurningSera
Ireland19621 Posts
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ahswtini
Northern Ireland22212 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:11 Flacracker wrote: On TL and not wanting TL to win. Traitors everywhere. Lol like that's relevant | ||
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stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Dbp0H.jpg) Time to bring in a ringer. | ||
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opterown
Australia54784 Posts
Poll: Head? Team Liquid (11) MVP Phoenix (4) 15 total votes Your vote: Head? | ||
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