EPTOn July 09 2014 05:01 FiWiFaKi wrote:
Well Mvp had a 20% chance of winning. Not necessarily that Aligulac was wrong.
Well Mvp had a 20% chance of winning. Not necessarily that Aligulac was wrong.
But Aligulac was wrong.
[TI4] Phase 1 - Wild Card - Page 145
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stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
But Aligulac was wrong. | ||
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Flacracker
1116 Posts
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synapse
China13814 Posts
im so happy On July 09 2014 05:02 Flacracker wrote: Liquid is pretty good when TC doesn't play like shit. sniff :') | ||
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WindWolf
Sweden11767 Posts
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:01 climax wrote: Not sure if Liquid is just looking GREAT or CIS is just out of practice. We will see next game I suppose. | ||
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FiWiFaKi
Canada9859 Posts
Why was Aligulac wrong? Aligulac didn't say that Mvp can't win. It's all statistics and probability. | ||
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beesinyoface
2450 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:01 climax wrote: Not sure if Liquid is just looking GREAT or CIS is just out of practice. liquid are looking #good just remember a few weeks/months ago where they died every fight at rosh | ||
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the`postman
United States1643 Posts
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Count9
China10928 Posts
On July 09 2014 04:57 FiWiFaKi wrote: Honestly it looks quite good to me based on what we've seen. LGD is pretty low since they haven't been good for very long, Navi has been bad... What do you disagree with? Only 1 mil iterations. Half of the teams have a 0.00% chance of winning in a monte carlo. 16 min runtime that was I/O bound. All of those are sketchy as hell. With monte carlo you want to run as long as you can that's reasonable. If it was a 16 min runtime I have no idea why they didn't run it way longer. Similarly, Empire > Alliance feels like their decay factor on ELO is either non-existant or really low. W/e, just stats, but I think they should've chosen a different simulation or run this one with different parameters/longer (see: the guy who ran the WCS simulation a season ago. Almost everyone had a chance, no matter how small it was. That's more expected from a good simulation) | ||
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Sn0_Man
Tebellong44238 Posts
I believe the dota-approved emote is :happytears:  | ||
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Drazerk
United Kingdom31255 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:01 stuchiu wrote: But in football I can see people get career threatening injuries because the ref doesn't care and the entire organization can't be fucked to do anything about it! But hey at least the 2022 world cup looks like it will be good | ||
CosmicSpiral
United States15275 Posts
On July 09 2014 04:59 stuchiu wrote: This reminds me of that time when everyone from EU kept telling me ForGG would beat Mvp because aligulac said it was 80% favorable for ForGG or some shit. Or MMA definitely beating Polt in the Super Tournament finals lol. | ||
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icystorage
Jollibee19350 Posts
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stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:02 FiWiFaKi wrote: Why was Aligulac wrong? Aligulac didn't say that Mvp can't win. It's all statistics and probability. For rating EU/NA/SEA players equally to KR players and thus creating ELO farming situations making all cross regional predictions useless, but because of the general indolence of the populace, no one bothers to remember that and take it as an all knowing authority. | ||
KristofferAG
Norway25712 Posts
Last game Liquid looked really good at the early game aggression. | ||
opterown
Australia54784 Posts
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SkelA
Macedonia13064 Posts
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Yergidy
United States2107 Posts
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Sn0_Man
Tebellong44238 Posts
:Sad no matter who loses lol | ||
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stuchiu
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
On July 09 2014 05:03 CosmicSpiral wrote: Or MMA definitely beating Polt in the Super Tournament finals lol. That was the funniest upset. I couldn't have been happier. | ||
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