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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 8715

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
September 12 2017 12:34 GMT
#174281
On September 12 2017 21:27 brian wrote:
acting like the grand jury decision is the end all be all of the case( mbecause cops never get off unfairly) and being openly hostile also doesn't come across as completely honest on your behalf.


I agree with this assessment and will act to better myself. But I will not accept the repeated thinly veiled strawmans and outright lying.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
September 12 2017 13:02 GMT
#174282
The latest from Menendez case is that the Senator obtained visas for a wealthy donors girlfriend.

Here are the highlights from Day 3 of U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez's federal corruption trial in Newark.

Menendez, a Democrat and New Jersey's senior senator, is charged with doing official favors for his friend and co-defendant, Florida eye doctor Salomon Melgen, in exchange for expensive hotel stays, private jet flights and hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign contributions.

NEWARK — When one of Florida eye doctor Salomon Melgen’s girlfriends handed her interviewer at the U.S. consulate in the Dominican Republic a letter from U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez in support of her 2008 visa application, the interviewer wasn’t impressed.

“He looked at it briefly and he said, 'sorry but this does me no good … unfortunately, we are the ones who decide whether or not someone is qualified for a visa’” the then-22-year-old girlfriend, Rosiell Polanco, recounted to the 63-year-old Melgen in Spanish, according to translated emails read aloud in court on Monday. ‘And with that, he ended the interview.’”

Melgen soon informed Menendez the visa application for Polanco, as well as one for her sister, were denied. But Menendez didn’t give up. His senior adviser, Mark Lopes, told him he was working on a follow-up letter to the consul general.

Would the senator like to wait for that letter, Lopes asked, or call the embassy ASAP?

“Call ambassador ASAP,” Menendez wrote back, according to emails entered into evidence on Monday.

Within weeks, the sisters had another interview. Weeks after that, Lopez got word their visa applications had been approved.

“In my view, this was only due to the fact that (Robert Menendez) intervened,” Lopes wrote to Menendez’s then-chief of staff, Danny O’Brien, adding that he would tell Menendez.

Politico

If convicted, there will be pressure on him to resign his office, giving Christie the chance to appoint a Republican senator in his stead.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-12 13:54:18
September 12 2017 13:51 GMT
#174283
A police state courtesy of AI and those that can harness it. Also Minority Report.

Voters have a right to keep their political beliefs private. But according to some researchers, it won’t be long before a computer program can accurately guess whether people are liberal or conservative in an instant. All that will be needed are photos of their faces.

Michal Kosinski – the Stanford University professor who went viral last week for research suggesting that artificial intelligence (AI) can detect whether people are gay or straight based on photos – said sexual orientation was just one of many characteristics that algorithms would be able to predict through facial recognition.

Using photos, AI will be able to identify people’s political views, whether they have high IQs, whether they are predisposed to criminal behavior, whether they have specific personality traits and many other private, personal details that could carry huge social consequences, he said.

Kosinski outlined the extraordinary and sometimes disturbing applications of facial detection technology that he expects to see in the near future, raising complex ethical questions about the erosion of privacy and the possible misuse of AI to target vulnerable people.

“The face is an observable proxy for a wide range of factors, like your life history, your development factors, whether you’re healthy,” he said.

Faces contain a significant amount of information, and using large datasets of photos, sophisticated computer programs can uncover trends and learn how to distinguish key traits with a high rate of accuracy. With Kosinski’s “gaydar” AI, an algorithm used online dating photos to create a program that could correctly identify sexual orientation 91% of the time with men and 83% with women, just by reviewing a handful of photos.

Kosinski’s research is highly controversial, and faced a huge backlash from LGBT rights groups, which argued that the AI was flawed and that anti-LGBT governments could use this type of software to out gay people and persecute them. Kosinski and other researchers, however, have argued that powerful governments and corporations already possess these technological capabilities and that it is vital to expose possible dangers in an effort to push for privacy protections and regulatory safeguards, which have not kept pace with AI.

Kosinski, an assistant professor of organizational behavior, said he was studying links between facial features and political preferences, with preliminary results showing that AI is effective at guessing people’s ideologies based on their faces.

This is probably because political views appear to be heritable, as research has shown, he said. That means political leanings are possibly linked to genetics or developmental factors, which could result in detectable facial differences.

Kosinski said previous studies have found that conservative politicians tend to be more attractive than liberals, possibly because good-looking people have more advantages and an easier time getting ahead in life.

Kosinski said the AI would perform best for people who are far to the right or left and would be less effective for the large population of voters in the middle. “A high conservative score … would be a very reliable prediction that this guy is conservative.”

Kosinski is also known for his controversial work on psychometric profiling, including using Facebook data to draw inferences about personality. The data firm Cambridge Analytica has used similar tools to target voters in support of Donald Trump’s campaign, sparking debate about the use of personal voter information in campaigns.

Facial recognition may also be used to make inferences about IQ, said Kosinski, suggesting a future in which schools could use the results of facial scans when considering prospective students. This application raises a host of ethical questions, particularly if the AI is purporting to reveal whether certain children are genetically more intelligent, he said: “We should be thinking about what to do to make sure we don’t end up in a world where better genes means a better life.”

Some of Kosinski’s suggestions conjure up the 2002 science-fiction film Minority Report, in which police arrest people before they have committed crimes based on predictions of future murders. The professor argued that certain areas of society already function in a similar way.

He cited school counselors intervening when they observe children who appear to exhibit aggressive behavior. If algorithms could be used to accurately predict which students need help and early support, that could be beneficial, he said. “The technologies sound very dangerous and scary on the surface, but if used properly or ethically, they can really improve our existence.”

There are, however, growing concerns that AI and facial recognition technologies are actually relying on biased data and algorithms and could cause great harm. It is particularly alarming in the context of criminal justice, where machines could make decisions about people’s lives – such as the length of a prison sentence or whether to release someone on bail – based on biased data from a court and policing system that is racially prejudiced at every step.

Kosinski predicted that with a large volume of facial images of an individual, an algorithm could easily detect if that person is a psychopath or has high criminal tendencies. He said this was particularly concerning given that a propensity for crime does not translate to criminal actions: “Even people highly disposed to committing a crime are very unlikely to commit a crime.”

He also cited an example referenced in the Economist – which first reported the sexual orientation study – that nightclubs and sport stadiums could face pressure to scan people’s faces before they enter to detect possible threats of violence.

Kosinski noted that in some ways, this wasn’t much different from human security guards making subjective decisions about people they deem too dangerous-looking to enter.

The law generally considers people’s faces to be “public information”, said Thomas Keenan, professor of environmental design and computer science at the University of Calgary, noting that regulations have not caught up with technology: no law establishes when the use of someone’s face to produce new information rises to the level of privacy invasion.

Keenan said it might take a tragedy to spark reforms, such as a gay youth being beaten to death because bullies used an algorithm to out him: “Now, you’re putting people’s lives at risk.”

Even with AI that makes highly accurate predictions, there is also still a percentage of predictions that will be incorrect.

“You’re going down a very slippery slope,” said Keenan, “if one in 20 or one in a hundred times … you’re going to be dead wrong.”


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12391 Posts
September 12 2017 13:56 GMT
#174284
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.
No will to live, no wish to die
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 12 2017 14:02 GMT
#174285
But add some DARPA funding, NSA data-mining on social media outlets and you have a plethora of subjetcs to fine tune an AI that can identify on the spot people and their background etc.

I can guarantee you this is being worked on somewhere in the black project world of the US.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 12 2017 14:05 GMT
#174286
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

Contrary to modern "I love science" anti-intellectualism, it's not anti-science to question the accuracy of scientific results or predictions. Not unless it's ignorance masked as skepticism like the folk who say global warming is fake, at least.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12391 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-12 14:11:04
September 12 2017 14:07 GMT
#174287
I don't doubt that this is worked on, but come on: "This is probably because political views appear to be heritable, as research has shown, he said. That means political leanings are possibly linked to genetics or developmental factors, which could result in detectable facial differences."

All of my alarms are sounding right now.

On September 12 2017 23:05 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

Contrary to modern "I love science" anti-intellectualism, it's not anti-science to question the accuracy of scientific results or predictions. Not unless it's ignorance masked as skepticism like the folk who say global warming is fake, at least.


I just mean that

"Scientist: X
Me, not a scientist, no experience on the subject: X is bullshit"

is not a situation that I like to put myself in. And yet despite that, this really sounds like bullshit to me. You're looking a little too deep into my comment.
No will to live, no wish to die
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-12 14:15:35
September 12 2017 14:09 GMT
#174288
On September 12 2017 21:08 Blitzkrieg0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2017 20:37 Gahlo wrote:
On September 12 2017 20:35 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Haha


Woah there, context please.


Ted Cruz liked a tweet from a porn account on twitter. Hardcore porn video so not going to link it.


this is the day ted cruz became president. on 9/11 no less.

On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.


the amount of data out there on people is pretty insane. the only thing more insane is what you can do with that data with a couple PhD's and some processing power.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35170 Posts
September 12 2017 14:10 GMT
#174289
On September 12 2017 23:07 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't doubt that this is worked on, but come on: "This is probably because political views appear to be heritable, as research has shown, he said. That means political leanings are possibly linked to genetics or developmental factors, which could result in detectable facial differences."

All of my alarms are sounding right now.

Yeah, that was incredibly dubious.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18854 Posts
September 12 2017 14:10 GMT
#174290
When prompted to explain the fact that they studied only white people and only voluntarily provided dating website photos, Kosinski basically says "it's in the study mayne" and in the study, they basically say "we know that voluntarily provided dating site photos of only white people may skew our data, but we only looked at non-transient facial features" as though that somehow addresses data selection problems...I dun get it.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3295 Posts
September 12 2017 14:25 GMT
#174291
Physiognomy anyone?
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 12 2017 14:57 GMT
#174292
A spokeswoman for Sen. Ted Cruz announced early Tuesday morning that a “like” on a pornographic post on the Texas lawmaker's Twitter account has been undone and reported to the social media site.

“The offensive tweet posted on @tedcruz account earlier has been removed by staff and reported to Twitter,” Catherine Frazier, Cruz’s senior communications adviser, wrote on her own Twitter account at 2:16 a.m. Tuesday morning.

She did not offer an explanation for how or why Cruz’s account had “liked” the brief pornographic video, which was initially shared by an account using the handle @SexuallPosts. A spokesman for Cruz did not immediately return a request for comment.

Liking the post causes it appear in the "likes" section of one's Twitter feed, and screen shots of the now-deleted post shows a graphic sexual video.

Although the “like” has since been undone, screenshots of the post have circulated widely online and @SexuallPosts updated its bio to urge users to “follow the same porn @TedCruz watches.”


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4908 Posts
September 12 2017 15:00 GMT
#174293
There are so many possible explanations that the least likely involves a Senator publicly "liking" a porn tweet.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18218 Posts
September 12 2017 15:06 GMT
#174294
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

As a scientist in the very field being discussed, I agree with you. Such algorithms are only as good as the datasets they are given, and if I had to guess, I'd say that these datasets were cherry picked. I'd bet money on that a properly random sample would not fare well. Moreover, I can guess gayness with approximately 85% accuracy too: just always say "straight"...
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11425 Posts
September 12 2017 15:19 GMT
#174295
Actually, you should be able to easily beat the computer program by just guessing straight. Looking at the William's Institute, you should be right 95.9% of the time.
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-09-12 15:29:06
September 12 2017 15:27 GMT
#174296
On September 13 2017 00:06 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

As a scientist in the very field being discussed, I agree with you. Such algorithms are only as good as the datasets they are given, and if I had to guess, I'd say that these datasets were cherry picked. I'd bet money on that a properly random sample would not fare well. Moreover, I can guess gayness with approximately 85% accuracy too: just always say "straight"...

Out of curiosity, do you work in AI? Or is the focus of your PhD in something else?

Edit: the article itself calls into question a lot of the conclusions therein as well.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
September 12 2017 15:29 GMT
#174297
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18218 Posts
September 12 2017 15:36 GMT
#174298
On September 13 2017 00:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2017 00:06 Acrofales wrote:
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

As a scientist in the very field being discussed, I agree with you. Such algorithms are only as good as the datasets they are given, and if I had to guess, I'd say that these datasets were cherry picked. I'd bet money on that a properly random sample would not fare well. Moreover, I can guess gayness with approximately 85% accuracy too: just always say "straight"...

Out of curiosity, do you work in AI? Or is the focus of your PhD in something else?

Edit: the article itself calls into question a lot of the conclusions therein as well.

Yes, AI. Not face recognition, or anything with vision, but I'm pretty familiar with all the basic principles underlying data mining and pattern recognition.

I'll read the article at some point. Was just going off the summary here while I'm at work. Train home is for when I look at that kinda thing in more detail My experience with science journalism is that it's often just wild claims based on an interview and a hazy understanding of statistics, but given that they cited a specific study with numbers, it sounded like this was more than that. But I'll look at it later.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12391 Posts
September 12 2017 15:41 GMT
#174299
On September 13 2017 00:06 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

As a scientist in the very field being discussed, I agree with you. Such algorithms are only as good as the datasets they are given, and if I had to guess, I'd say that these datasets were cherry picked. I'd bet money on that a properly random sample would not fare well. Moreover, I can guess gayness with approximately 85% accuracy too: just always say "straight"...


This reminds me, the newspaper I work at recently published an article on a program that claimed to be able to tell, from the style of the writing, if two texts were written by the same author. Or to identify if a text whose author is unknown was written by someone otherwise famous using the same method. This idea is less foreign to me, I mean I can accept that you can tell who wrote a text from its style easier than I can accept that you can tell which political side I'm on from my face. But even that program ended up saying that a bit of Shakespeare and a bit of Harry Potter had 95% chance of being written by the same person. A lot of publicity for not a lot of substance.
No will to live, no wish to die
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
September 12 2017 15:48 GMT
#174300
On September 13 2017 00:36 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2017 00:27 LegalLord wrote:
On September 13 2017 00:06 Acrofales wrote:
On September 12 2017 22:56 Nebuchad wrote:
I don't like to be on the anti-science side but that sounds like complete bullshit.

As a scientist in the very field being discussed, I agree with you. Such algorithms are only as good as the datasets they are given, and if I had to guess, I'd say that these datasets were cherry picked. I'd bet money on that a properly random sample would not fare well. Moreover, I can guess gayness with approximately 85% accuracy too: just always say "straight"...

Out of curiosity, do you work in AI? Or is the focus of your PhD in something else?

Edit: the article itself calls into question a lot of the conclusions therein as well.

Yes, AI. Not face recognition, or anything with vision, but I'm pretty familiar with all the basic principles underlying data mining and pattern recognition.

I'll read the article at some point. Was just going off the summary here while I'm at work. Train home is for when I look at that kinda thing in more detail My experience with science journalism is that it's often just wild claims based on an interview and a hazy understanding of statistics, but given that they cited a specific study with numbers, it sounded like this was more than that. But I'll look at it later.

Ah, that's cool. I was pretty interested in working in AI when I was a bit younger - until I found that I harbor a deep disdain for the general industry that does AI. Bummer, because it's all pretty neat stuff.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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