US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7949
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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Introvert
United States4662 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:10 zlefin wrote: I don't think repeal then replace would work; just because ther'es pressure doesn't mean they'd do it; not when there's a lot of counterpressure preventing action. especially not considering hwat happened with the sequester aways back. Even people on the right complained about health insurance before the ACA, just for different reasons than the left. There would be no counter-pressure. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:08 Introvert wrote: There is no politically feasible way for Medicaid to stop existing. It simply won't happen. We will always have programs/welfare for the poor. Edit: even the pre-exiting conditions issue is so seared into the brains of Americans that untold amounts of $$$ will be spent on that, no matter what. I completely agree that Medicaid has to exist. And the problems with the ACA must be addressed. But I've said it a bunch of times before, how parties win elections matters. The scorched earth of the last election has crippled the GOPs ability to do anything with their majority. They have burned the democrats so hard in the last 8-12 years, I wouldn't be shocked if they are unable to pass a single substantive bill in the next two years. Not to say the Democrats are perfect, but the GOP has burned through any good faith that might exist between the parties. And leaning towards hard line conservatives isn't going to make up for that. | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:12 Introvert wrote: Even people on the right complained about health insurance before the ACA, just for different reasons than the left. There would be no counter-pressure. there'd be counterpressure against any specific action; that's often how it is with legislation; especially on one with potentially major effects; and my point about the sequester stands. as it's a good example of a similar situation wherein the pressure to act should've caused them to followup properly; and yet they did not. | ||
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micronesia
United States24580 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:07 Introvert wrote: Understand that.I've seen what it's like when Danglars tries to have a conversation on this topic, so I'm going to tread lightly. What would the GOP bill look like? I don't know for sure, but it would almost certainly look better than what they are proposing now. There'd hopefully be some things like making it easier to keep health insurance between jobs and stuff like that, but I don't know what that would involve. Seems very noncontroversial.That's when we'd get into real negotiation. There'd obviously still be Medicaid, At levels similar to pre-ACA or now?and perhaps high risk pools subsidized by the federal and state governments. What is the difference between this subsidy and having healthier people subsidize some of the costs of healthcare for more expensive patients a la ACA?There'd be the elimination or reform of the community rating system and most likely a return of so-called "catastrophic insurance." Allowing people to choose to get cheaper, less all-encompassing insurance definitely has some advantages in the short term, but doesn't this actually make healthcare overall more expensive when folks are less healthy due to not having the benefits of all-around healthcare?It seems like this is only a small slice of the major issues that would need to get worked out in a replacement of the ACA. The reason why I asked you to expand on such a plan a little bit is because I'm worried a drive to repeal the ACA prior to a real plan to replace it with something better will result in a worse healthcare situation than we have now, despite the ACA's shortcomings. | ||
LegalLord
United Kingdom13775 Posts
But anyone who frames the refusal of certain left-leaning elements to fail to fall in line behind the Democrats is a fool. The Democrats are entitled to nothing and if they think that nominally having closer policy positions to any given individual than the Republicans will earn them all the votes of people who don't want to vote Republican, fuck that shit. The "compromise" if you could call it that is always a token pretend effort to give people what they want while doing the whole "we can be a 2 if the Republicans are a 1 and you fuckers still have to pick us" shtick. No dice - since primarying those folks has an abysmal success rate, maybe endless losing will kick their ass properly. Fuck the Democrats if they want to prove that they are just as scummy as the Republicans with only a marginally more enticing policy. | ||
On_Slaught
United States12190 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:08 Introvert wrote: There is no politically feasible way for Medicaid to stop existing. It simply won't happen. We will always have programs/welfare for the poor. Edit: even the pre-exiting conditions issue is so seared into the brains of Americans that untold amounts of $$$ will be spent on that, no matter what. This 100%. This is why no matter what healthcare is a loss for Republicans. Either you lose the average voter or you lose the principled right. Their only real choice is to appeal to the average voter and win the far right voters on other issues that will cause them to vote regardless of 'Repeal and Replace' failures. | ||
GreenHorizons
United States22739 Posts
Yeah I'm not as hardcore as some leftist (like you don't see me calling to abolish police every time they murder someone) but I'm increasingly sympathizing with more radical left positions, being bombarded with how incompetent and malicious both parties actually are. Strictly from an apolitical "would you hire this person" perspective most of congress should be fired. I lose more and more patience with people who refuse to see that at this point. Like I was pointing out earlier, our participation is a bipartisan failure of preserving a democracy. None of them should be excused from their responsibility in it's piss poor condition. Trump is insatiably incompetent and somehow has spent his whole life and now the presidency making money hand over fist by lying to people, disappointing them, then getting them to buy his bullshit yet again. (for those who seem to miss my Trump criticisms). | ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
The rich wetlands of southern Louisiana are sinking faster than previously thought, new data reveals, worsening a decades-long ecological disaster that authorities are struggling to reverse. "What previous studies have called the worst case is the case that right now is the average," said Jaap Nienhuis, a geologist at Tulane University in New Orleans. Nienhuis and his colleagues at Tulane have found the coast is subsiding on average about 9 mm (1/3 inch) a year. Some areas, such as those near the mouth of the Mississippi and the Atchafalaya River delta to the west, are settling closer to 12 mm a year. Periodic flooding of the Mississippi River used to dump fresh soil into those marshes, bolstering the wetlands. But the levees that now prevent those floods keep that soil straitjacketed in the river. The area is also home to a major oil and natural gas industry, and canals cut through the marshes allowed salt water to kill grasses that held the land in place. As a result, coastal Louisiana has been losing a roughly Manhattan-sized chunk every year to a combination of sea-level rise, erosion, and subsidence. That threatens a rich ecosystem that provides more than 1 billion pounds of seafood a year and provides a buffer when hurricanes spin onto shore from the Gulf of Mexico. For years, scientists had little more than educated guesses about how much the land was sinking. But instruments installed since Hurricane Katrina battered the Gulf Coast in 2005 have now helped Nienhuis and his colleagues develop a map that shows how much different parts of the shore are settling. Their findings were published recently in the Geological Society of America journal GSA Today. Previous worst-case estimates of coastal Louisana’s subsidence ran about 8 to 10 mm a year — and that’s before sea-level rise is figured in, Nienhuis said. "We have no indication that the rate of subsidence is going to change going into the future," he said. "But we do know that the other component, sea level rise, is going to increase. So we have reason to assume this picture is going to get worse." Sea levels are currently rising around 3 mm a year, but that rate is believed to be accelerating because of climate change. Warmer water expands, while melting glaciers and ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica are expected to contribute more to sea levels in coming decades. Louisiana has developed a $50 billion master plan to restore the coast, including plans to divert silt-rich Mississippi fresh water into the marshes, as well as shore up barrier islands and oyster reefs. Nienhuis said his group’s research could help guide state officials as that work moves ahead. "This is definitely not the end product," he said. "Data collection is still going on, so we can update this map into the future. But right now, you should look at spatial patterns like this to see where you should put your coastal restoration efforts." Source | ||
Introvert
United States4662 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:35 micronesia wrote: Understand that. Seems very noncontroversial.At levels similar to pre-ACA or now?What is the difference between this subsidy and having healthier people subsidize some of the costs of healthcare for more expensive patients a la ACA? Allowing people to choose to get cheaper, less all-encompassing insurance definitely has some advantages in the short term, but doesn't this actually make healthcare overall more expensive when folks are less healthy due to not having the benefits of all-around healthcare? It seems like this is only a small slice of the major issues that would need to get worked out in a replacement of the ACA. The reason why I asked you to expand on such a plan a little bit is because I'm worried a drive to repeal the ACA prior to a real plan to replace it with something better will result in a worse healthcare situation than we have now, despite the ACA's shortcomings. At levels similar to pre-ACA or now? Well now I'm completely theorizing, but I assume the funding level on the welfare side would be approximately what it is now. Part of the concessions and negotiations. Hopefully as insurance became cheaper spending on that front would decrease. What is the difference between this subsidy and having healthier people subsidize some of the costs of healthcare for more expensive patients a la ACA? Well a lot of it would be political, in the sense that it's the states agreeing to, at least temporarily, help people who can't afford it vs. long term subsidies on ridiculous plans, even for people that make an average salary. In the end, dollars are dollars, but we want A) to spend fewer of them, and B) maintain some area of choice and, dare I say it, freedom for everyone else. Allowing people to choose to get cheaper, less all-encompassing insurance definitely has some advantages in the short term, but doesn't this actually make healthcare overall more expensive when folks are less healthy due to not having the benefits of all-around healthcare? Catastrophic insurance is generally not viewed as a long term solution, but one that either involves being young and broke, just broke, or having the means to pay smaller amounts out of your own pocket for regular care. It seems like this is only a small slice of the major issues that would need to get worked out in a replacement of the ACA. The reason why I asked you to expand on such a plan a little bit is because I'm worried a drive to repeal the ACA prior to a real plan to replace it with something better will result in a worse healthcare situation than we have now, despite the ACA's shortcomings. That's true to an extent, however hopefully they'd have some idea of where they were going. I think when you look at what they are proposing now (the ACA but with less cash to fund it) then you realize this is about worst case. Also, repeal would force both parties to engage. Right now the Democrats are in obstruct mode. If the ACA is gone and the Democrats don't come along then the GOP will blame them for stalling out (on things like Medicaid) while things go more to hell. I don't trust the GOP generally either, but getting rid of the ACA is something that must happen. And it will, whether natural forces bring it down, it's saved, or it's replaced. | ||
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KwarK
United States42016 Posts
On June 27 2017 07:20 Buckyman wrote: tl;dr health care has eaten so much of their economy that it's now too big to fail. I mean that's not especially surprising. Healthcare has pretty much no ceiling in terms of how much you can spend on it, the only limit is how much money you have. The richer the nation gets the larger the proportion of its wealth it will spend on healthcare, simply because the diminishing returns caps for other types of spending will be hit whereas not wanting to die is one hell of an incentive to spend a little more on healthcare. | ||
{CC}StealthBlue
United States41117 Posts
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Introvert
United States4662 Posts
On June 27 2017 10:44 {CC}StealthBlue wrote: Anyone expect anything else, this country is just too corrupt. https://twitter.com/davidsirota/status/879431485740199936 Or it could be that the bill sucked and the cost analysis made it clear that the idea was a hilarious pipe dream? I don't suppose that could be possible. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
And it's not like he is blocking the bill forever, he just said he thinks it need some work. On June 27 2017 10:47 Introvert wrote: Or it could be that the bill sucked and the cost analysis made it clear that the idea was a hilarious pipe dream? I don't suppose that could be possible. We can never know if a bill is bad, because any failure is a result of corruption, not responsible governance. It isn't a pipe dream however. If the EU can do it, we can. | ||
xDaunt
United States17988 Posts
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ticklishmusic
United States15977 Posts
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Plansix
United States60190 Posts
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KwarK
United States42016 Posts
On June 27 2017 11:19 xDaunt wrote: How the hell was California going to pay for single payer health care? Their citizenry is already taxed out the ass, and they already have trouble paying for their existing programs and infrastructure. In fairness single payer is the budget option for health care. In theory it pays for itself. The problem is how to turn the money you save in lower health insurance benefit costs for employers, reduced emergency room overhead and so forth into money the state can use. | ||
Adreme
United States5574 Posts
On June 27 2017 09:47 GreenHorizons wrote: haha. Conservative, Democrat, what's the difference anyway ;P Yeah I'm not as hardcore as some leftist (like you don't see me calling to abolish police every time they murder someone) but I'm increasingly sympathizing with more radical left positions, being bombarded with how incompetent and malicious both parties actually are. Strictly from an apolitical "would you hire this person" perspective most of congress should be fired. I lose more and more patience with people who refuse to see that at this point. Like I was pointing out earlier, our participation is a bipartisan failure of preserving a democracy. None of them should be excused from their responsibility in it's piss poor condition. Trump is insatiably incompetent and somehow has spent his whole life and now the presidency making money hand over fist by lying to people, disappointing them, then getting them to buy his bullshit yet again. (for those who seem to miss my Trump criticisms). The thing is when you focus on what is actually possible you are left in a position where you have to ask "What were congressional democrats actually ABLE to do?" Not what should be done or what could be done but what is actually possible for them to do. For around a year they had a senate majority where they needed EVERY democrat in order to pass anything of substance, which considering what a few of them were its impossible to really do. So what else were they supposed to do that they did not do. I am sure it is different on a state by state basis but on a national level what exactly were the 95% of democratic congressmen supposed to do that they did not? | ||
Kyadytim
United States886 Posts
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Proposition_13_(1978) The tl;dr is that it caps property taxes at 1% and also keeps property values from changing except when they are bought or sold. Basically, California levies less off the assessed value of properties as taxes on properties that often haven't been reassessed in decades. The obvious result of that sort of policy is that revenue had to be made up other ways. | ||
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