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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7278

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 16:44:24
April 06 2017 16:43 GMT
#145541
kind of funny interactive poll done by Reuters on a multitude of statements to show the difference of people's perception if they know that it's a statement from Trump or not:

article: www.reuters.com
interactive poll: fingfx.thomsonreuters.com
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
April 06 2017 16:46 GMT
#145542
On April 07 2017 01:40 opisska wrote:
Even after reading some explanations, I don't understand how the fillibuster works. The talking has to end eventually, no? I understand it as a delaying tactics, but how does it prevent passing something completely? In Czech it was sometimes done at the end of the term, when the parliament dissolves and everything gets rebooted, but US is not anywhere near elections now.

It also all hinges on one party having between 50-60 percent of votes, that happens so often? The split is so stable?

Basically, it's a way for a senator to stop a bill or item from being considered, and while the tradition used to require that the invoker speak throughout the filibuster, they allow them to use a "silent filibuster" and wuss out and leave.

And yeah, the Senate is incredibly stable, all things considered.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
opisska
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Poland8852 Posts
April 06 2017 16:48 GMT
#145543
On April 07 2017 01:46 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:40 opisska wrote:
Even after reading some explanations, I don't understand how the fillibuster works. The talking has to end eventually, no? I understand it as a delaying tactics, but how does it prevent passing something completely? In Czech it was sometimes done at the end of the term, when the parliament dissolves and everything gets rebooted, but US is not anywhere near elections now.

It also all hinges on one party having between 50-60 percent of votes, that happens so often? The split is so stable?

Basically, it's a way for a senator to stop a bill or item from being considered, and while the tradition used to require that the invoker speak throughout the filibuster, they allow them to use a "silent filibuster" and wuss out and leave.

And yeah, the Senate is incredibly stable, all things considered.


So they can just declare that they are stalling and go home and it never ends?
"Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk
TL+ Member
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 06 2017 16:50 GMT
#145544
Both parties have been playing into this show down since the early 2000s. Changes to the House rules and pushing forward nominees that everyone knew would have a hard time getting 60 votes. The resentment that built up during the Bush years lead to the Democrats not removing all the bullshit House rules put in place by Haster. Every step of the way the parties have opted to escalate rather than reconcile.

So here we are. We all lose because Congress is broken.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18866 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 16:51:35
April 06 2017 16:51 GMT
#145545
On April 07 2017 01:48 opisska wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:46 farvacola wrote:
On April 07 2017 01:40 opisska wrote:
Even after reading some explanations, I don't understand how the fillibuster works. The talking has to end eventually, no? I understand it as a delaying tactics, but how does it prevent passing something completely? In Czech it was sometimes done at the end of the term, when the parliament dissolves and everything gets rebooted, but US is not anywhere near elections now.

It also all hinges on one party having between 50-60 percent of votes, that happens so often? The split is so stable?

Basically, it's a way for a senator to stop a bill or item from being considered, and while the tradition used to require that the invoker speak throughout the filibuster, they allow them to use a "silent filibuster" and wuss out and leave.

And yeah, the Senate is incredibly stable, all things considered.


So they can just declare that they are stalling and go home and it never ends?

Yep, so long as the filibusterer has the support of at least 40 other senators, they are allowed to basically stop anything and everything from passing through the senate, including statutes, appointments, and treaty ratifications.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 16:52:32
April 06 2017 16:51 GMT
#145546
On April 07 2017 00:26 Liquid`Drone wrote:
They can already reach Japan and South Korea, no? Both significantly more densely populated than the american west coast. In a way, the timer ran out quite some time ago.

I mean, in a sense I also agree, because if you let North Korea develop actual MAD capabilities, then who knows wtf they'd demand. But 'reach american soil' isn't a significant timer at all, imo. I also think the Kim Dynasty cares about self-preservation more than anything else, and I think targeting American soil is about as non-self-preservationy as it gets.

I'm fairly sure they don't even need nukes for that. I would not be surprised if at this very moment a barrage of conventional artillery is already pointed as Seoul just in case something happens. And I'm not really sure how you would want to stop that.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24156 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 16:54:42
April 06 2017 16:52 GMT
#145547
On April 07 2017 01:46 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:40 opisska wrote:
Even after reading some explanations, I don't understand how the fillibuster works. The talking has to end eventually, no? I understand it as a delaying tactics, but how does it prevent passing something completely? In Czech it was sometimes done at the end of the term, when the parliament dissolves and everything gets rebooted, but US is not anywhere near elections now.

It also all hinges on one party having between 50-60 percent of votes, that happens so often? The split is so stable?

Basically, it's a way for a senator to stop a bill or item from being considered, and while the tradition used to require that the invoker speak throughout the filibuster, they allow them to use a "silent filibuster" and wuss out and leave.

And yeah, the Senate is incredibly stable, all things considered.


Presumably a real filibuster could actually be delaying this, because they can't vote on ending the talking until the talking is over, but since they did that last night instead, they just voted against cloture (55 in favor 45 against) and Republicans moved on to removing the rule.

Interestingly, the it sounds like some Democrats voted to end the rule too, that's a weird thing to make bipartisan. Or rather they needed 51 for cloture and got 55 with some Democrats it appears.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28874 Posts
April 06 2017 16:54 GMT
#145548
Oh, that is most definitely the case. And you can't stop it. That's the thing. Any military action taken towards NK, even disregarding their nuclear arsenal, will lead to tens of thousands of dead south koreans and trillions of dollars in material damage.
Moderator
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 06 2017 17:02 GMT
#145549
On April 07 2017 01:54 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Oh, that is most definitely the case. And you can't stop it. That's the thing. Any military action taken towards NK, even disregarding their nuclear arsenal, will lead to tens of thousands of dead south koreans and trillions of dollars in material damage.

Write that down as another failure for "hope countries you don't like that want nukes will collapse before it becomes problem."
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 06 2017 17:02 GMT
#145550
On April 07 2017 01:48 opisska wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:46 farvacola wrote:
On April 07 2017 01:40 opisska wrote:
Even after reading some explanations, I don't understand how the fillibuster works. The talking has to end eventually, no? I understand it as a delaying tactics, but how does it prevent passing something completely? In Czech it was sometimes done at the end of the term, when the parliament dissolves and everything gets rebooted, but US is not anywhere near elections now.

It also all hinges on one party having between 50-60 percent of votes, that happens so often? The split is so stable?

Basically, it's a way for a senator to stop a bill or item from being considered, and while the tradition used to require that the invoker speak throughout the filibuster, they allow them to use a "silent filibuster" and wuss out and leave.

And yeah, the Senate is incredibly stable, all things considered.


So they can just declare that they are stalling and go home and it never ends?

Yes, once they removed the requirement to remain speaking, it sort of broke the entire thing. The filibuster was not used that often before that and for a little while after. Use started to rise slowly as senators who remembered that rule slowly worked their way out of the senate.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
chicbot2000
Profile Joined February 2017
United States45 Posts
April 06 2017 17:06 GMT
#145551
Looks like GOP triggers nuclear option after Dems filibustered Gorusch's confirmation

well thought out signature that totally fires those neurons
On_Slaught
Profile Joined August 2008
United States12190 Posts
April 06 2017 17:10 GMT
#145552
Sad day for America. Partisanship has gotten out of control, but we already knew that. It's just that it had now been codified essentially.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44203 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 17:11:39
April 06 2017 17:10 GMT
#145553
On April 07 2017 01:51 Toadesstern wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 00:26 Liquid`Drone wrote:
They can already reach Japan and South Korea, no? Both significantly more densely populated than the american west coast. In a way, the timer ran out quite some time ago.

I mean, in a sense I also agree, because if you let North Korea develop actual MAD capabilities, then who knows wtf they'd demand. But 'reach american soil' isn't a significant timer at all, imo. I also think the Kim Dynasty cares about self-preservation more than anything else, and I think targeting American soil is about as non-self-preservationy as it gets.

I'm fairly sure they don't even need nukes for that. I would not be surprised if at this very moment a barrage of conventional artillery is already pointed as Seoul just in case something happens. And I'm not really sure how you would want to stop that.

Oddly enough conventional artillery is actually easier to stop. We have systems that will track incoming projectiles and map them to the launch site based upon the arc in order to immediately and automatically return fire to obliterate launch sites. We also have systems that will shoot down incoming projectiles. Take a look at this.
+ Show Spoiler +
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 06 2017 17:12 GMT
#145554
Congratulations Democrats. You have proven your chops in short-sighted obstructionism.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 17:15:11
April 06 2017 17:15 GMT
#145555
On April 07 2017 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
Congratulations Democrats. You have proven your chops in short-sighted obstructionism.

except not. the blame mostly falls on the Reps anyways.
but I know you like hating in unsound ways.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20255 Posts
April 06 2017 17:16 GMT
#145556
On April 07 2017 02:10 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:51 Toadesstern wrote:
On April 07 2017 00:26 Liquid`Drone wrote:
They can already reach Japan and South Korea, no? Both significantly more densely populated than the american west coast. In a way, the timer ran out quite some time ago.

I mean, in a sense I also agree, because if you let North Korea develop actual MAD capabilities, then who knows wtf they'd demand. But 'reach american soil' isn't a significant timer at all, imo. I also think the Kim Dynasty cares about self-preservation more than anything else, and I think targeting American soil is about as non-self-preservationy as it gets.

I'm fairly sure they don't even need nukes for that. I would not be surprised if at this very moment a barrage of conventional artillery is already pointed as Seoul just in case something happens. And I'm not really sure how you would want to stop that.

Oddly enough conventional artillery is actually easier to stop. We have systems that will track incoming projectiles and map them to the launch site based upon the arc in order to immediately and automatically return fire to obliterate launch sites. We also have systems that will shohot down incoming projectiles. Take a look at this.
+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KsVUISS8oHs


Well don't have the first strike capability to take out most of the conventional artillery before they have a chance to respond?
Never Knows Best.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 17:18:06
April 06 2017 17:17 GMT
#145557
On April 07 2017 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
Congratulations Democrats. You have proven your chops in short-sighted obstructionism.

If nothing else, the democrats should have let their vulnerable senators up for re-election in red states allow the vote. I think that the democrats miscalculated here.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-04-06 17:18:54
April 06 2017 17:18 GMT
#145558
On April 07 2017 02:15 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
Congratulations Democrats. You have proven your chops in short-sighted obstructionism.

except not. the blame mostly falls on the Reps anyways.
but I know you like hating in unsound ways.

You have an addiction to making non-arguments and claiming someone else is unsound.

There was no victory to be had here. Only forcing the nuclear option. Good job. Republicans aren't going to be blamed for this.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
April 06 2017 17:18 GMT
#145559
On April 07 2017 02:16 Slaughter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 02:10 KwarK wrote:
On April 07 2017 01:51 Toadesstern wrote:
On April 07 2017 00:26 Liquid`Drone wrote:
They can already reach Japan and South Korea, no? Both significantly more densely populated than the american west coast. In a way, the timer ran out quite some time ago.

I mean, in a sense I also agree, because if you let North Korea develop actual MAD capabilities, then who knows wtf they'd demand. But 'reach american soil' isn't a significant timer at all, imo. I also think the Kim Dynasty cares about self-preservation more than anything else, and I think targeting American soil is about as non-self-preservationy as it gets.

I'm fairly sure they don't even need nukes for that. I would not be surprised if at this very moment a barrage of conventional artillery is already pointed as Seoul just in case something happens. And I'm not really sure how you would want to stop that.

Oddly enough conventional artillery is actually easier to stop. We have systems that will track incoming projectiles and map them to the launch site based upon the arc in order to immediately and automatically return fire to obliterate launch sites. We also have systems that will shohot down incoming projectiles. Take a look at this.
+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KsVUISS8oHs


Well don't have the first strike capability to take out most of the conventional artillery before they have a chance to respond?

some of the conventional artillery from NK is inside hardened bunkers inside mountains with eht entire barrel inside the hole. they have no ability to adjust their aim, they're fixed at seoul. it's very very hard to take them out.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24156 Posts
April 06 2017 17:20 GMT
#145560
On April 07 2017 02:17 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 02:12 LegalLord wrote:
Congratulations Democrats. You have proven your chops in short-sighted obstructionism.

If nothing else, the democrats should have let their vulnerable senators up for re-election in red states allow the vote. I think that the democrats miscalculated here.


They did more or less. Problem was that McCaskill and others FINALLY realized they needed progressives if they wanted to keep their seat and they had 0 chance at getting them by voting for Gorsuch.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
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