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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 6968

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 25 2017 04:21 GMT
#139341
Anyone want to build the wall? Get started here.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 25 2017 04:24 GMT
#139342
On February 25 2017 11:45 Elroi wrote:
In these debates about the dangers of terrorism and refugees, I almost never hear people defend the position that it is our moral obligation to help people in need even if it would hurt our economic development or crime rates. Now, I dont think the refugee crisis has had any effect on crime or the economy judging by all the statistics here in sweden (http://www.government.se/articles/2017/02/facts-about-migration-and-crime-in-sweden/), but even if that would be the case I wouldnt want to close our borders to people fleeing war, simply because that would be inhumane and I would feel ashamed to live in such a country.

There is no moral obligation to bring them to your own country. There are other, cheaper and more comprehensive, ways to help them flee war.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Scarecrow
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Korea (South)9175 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 04:33:32
February 25 2017 04:27 GMT
#139343
On February 25 2017 11:38 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 11:12 KwarK wrote:
On February 25 2017 11:08 Danglars wrote:
On February 25 2017 10:36 KwarK wrote:
On February 25 2017 10:32 Danglars wrote:
On February 25 2017 10:24 Plansix wrote:
On February 25 2017 10:17 Danglars wrote:
On February 25 2017 09:00 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:

Delivering on campaign promises AND cracking jokes along the way. Let the hand wringing from the outrage machine continue!

Deeply unpopular president does thing that his opponent do not like, also make joke. They express disliking what he is doing. Fan of president says they are whiners because president is doing what he promised, knowing that they would not like it.

In other news, Trump will never willful his promise to fix Obama care, because that is hard. Also those regulations he just formed a task force for, they will remain in place because that is also hard. But he tried and that is all that matters.

If you'll remember back a few posts ago, I talked about the relationship between Trump and spineless GOP legislators. Obamacare isn't just one executive order away.

On February 25 2017 10:19 KwarK wrote:
On February 25 2017 10:13 Danglars wrote:
They were worried about government being able to vet refugees from the middle east, when ISIS promised and had snuck terrorists into the streams.

We absolutely get that people talk about this shit at the dinner table, especially after having read a facebook forward from their racist uncle. The problem is that there isn't actually a real problem underneath all the fears. It's not that Obama wasn't listening to the fears, it's that he was better informed. The solution to people being afraid isn't to pander harder to ignorance, and yet that's exactly what Trump did. The only positive note was that in his case he probably wasn't pandering, he was the racist uncle on facebook.

It comes back to Newt.


The real problem is this strange idea that the ivory tower elitists have lost track of the problems facing America because they're lost in all their facts, statistics and real news and won't stop spending all their time listening to experts. Somehow it's become reasonable for an individual who doesn't experience any violent crime to hear about it on his daily fearmongering Fox News segment and decide that he knows that the experts aren't doing enough.

Well, we know you subscribe to the racist uncles on FB and But They're Wrong theories. Kind of the reason this stuff had been bubbling up for a while before Trump hit the national scene with a major immigration message. And most of America didn't give a damn about Newt beyond Contract with America and the '94 revolt against Clinton.

Well, let's examine the claim. You said that the side of America that Trump tapped into was worried about the streams of ISIS terrorists hiding among the Syrian refugees, right? And thought that Obama wasn't doing enough to keep them safe from those. How many Americans killed by ISIS members posing as Syrian refugees would be an acceptable number for you in terms of Obama keeping us safe? Obviously you can never make a perfect system, but there are hundreds of millions of Americans. If, say, he kept the number of people killed by the ISIS refugees under five per year, would that get a passing grade?

Sorry, the quality of the debate today requires me to establish the basics before we go to implications. I do not say Obama didn't do enough, but you did snip that part out of the quote. I don't even know if you can do enough at this point in time, but Obama wouldn't even acknowledge justified fears. Terrorism is about more than net kill count since the aim is to spread fear, not to get people checking how many die from airplane crashes and determine whether or not to go to the mall. Now, at the basic level, can you first say that we know ISIS has promised to infiltrate refugee streams (hide among them before/after) (German Intelligence) and are responsible for prior terrorist attacks (eg Bataclan, also with a side of castration/sexual torture)? This all not to mention refugee violence (WaPo German NYE). Can you also confirm that there are extreme and enduring problems vetting terrorists embedded in refugee streams seeking harm on US citizens going about their daily lives? Because, frankly the moral argument, similar to why we view homicide as such a heinous crime and not in light of how few homicides happen relative to accidental deaths so who cares, is probably too nuanced for this forum. If we're talking about bridging "savage, despicable evil" (Chris Kyle), the implications of the threat of terror, and cold, hard statistics, we're in for a few too many paragraphs and much time I'd rather like to invest in something I'm being paid to do. This is just idle time at work and home and I know too well the divide in thinking about deaths from terrorism as something quite different than deaths from other means.

Justified fears? No refugee has carried out a terrorist attack in the United States since the 80s, and back then it was Cubans.

This is the problem. There is a completely ignorant section of the population who demand to know why their educated betters aren't doing more to help them feel safe but when you tell them the only way they'll feel safe is if they turn off their ridiculous propaganda tv station and read a fucking book they get angry.

ISIS are not getting in through the Syrian refugee program, whether or not the Trump voters were afraid they might be.

Which is why we shouldn't examine other first world countries that essentially paid the price. This is why I simply can't justify engagement on this issue. What gave rise to Trump once still exists to give him expanded majorities in 2018 and hurts civil debate today. My complacency is justified, your fears aren't, oh my God why is this blowhard in the White House it must be fake news and ignorant voters. America deserves better engagement than this.

How is the mainstream media meant to engage with people like you? Tucker Carlson says some unfounded bullshit about a rape/violence epidemic in Sweden and Trump repeats it. Even if there is a refugee crime wave in Europe (I'm open to being proven wrong), America happens to have the Atlantic and extreme vetting to keep them "safe" from the terrifying brown heathens. Americans can't seem to grasp that Islamists are an incredibly small % of the muslim population and that the vast majority of muslims fleeing war are simply victims who want safe, normal lives for their families. My Australian grandparents felt the same way about the waves of Asian immigration/refugees and look how that turned out.

The fears are based on emotion and propaganda, just as they were with the 'yellow peril' back in the day. Brown, bearded people and religious head-wear in the suburbs make irrational people feel unsafe. You can't argue with these people based on facts, it's like trying to win a fight with my wife when her entire position is based on feelings. America has enough border control already with regards to foreign immigrants. It clearly works. Progamers from SEA and elsewhere routinely get their temporary visa applications rejected because it's that tight. Stop watching FOX News editorials and listening to a president who is verifiably a compulsive liar. Then we can engage with numbers and facts, not feelings and latent racism.

On February 25 2017 13:20 Plansix wrote:
The threat hasn't been found yet. That is why the ban is necessary.

haha sounds like something that happened in Iraq a while back
Yhamm is the god of predictions
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6678 Posts
February 25 2017 04:27 GMT
#139344
Aside from the fact that it's not practical to relocate an entire country by absorbing it into others every time war breaks out in one, the people you are relocating across the world to wealthy countries are a small fraction of people affected (and in many cases end up being people not affected by what you think, but people migrating for economic reasons, but that's another aside), and the dollars you spend on them, while it may feel good to hold up examples of success stories, those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
February 25 2017 04:30 GMT
#139345
On February 25 2017 13:27 oBlade wrote:
Those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.


How?
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 25 2017 04:31 GMT
#139346
None of the things you just listed are real concerns or problems. Refugees do not cost that much and not accepting them doesn't make us any safer. There are strong arguments that it may do harm to not accept them.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Scarecrow
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Korea (South)9175 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 04:45:06
February 25 2017 04:32 GMT
#139347
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]

Replace the Irish and Chinese men with a Mexican and Muslim and you have a major part of Trump's platform.
Yhamm is the god of predictions
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 04:42:24
February 25 2017 04:39 GMT
#139348
On February 25 2017 13:30 mikedebo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:27 oBlade wrote:
Those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.


How?

generally speaking, fully funding the UN refugee agencies so they can provide more support at the refugee camps where the actual bulk of the refugees are. last I checked the UNHCR is still quite a bit below where they'd like to be in funding.
spending more in countries with a lower cost of living/cheaper goods, and which are nearer to the source of refugees (less transportation costs).
it's also a bit easier if the refugees are in a location with more similar culture/language (if such are available).

Of course in some cases, like Jordan, the amount of refugees is so high it places a major strain on the general systems of the country (i.e. the infrastructure was never built for that many people).
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
February 25 2017 04:44 GMT
#139349
On February 25 2017 13:30 mikedebo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:27 oBlade wrote:
Those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.


How?

What's cheaper, sending money to safe zones to build refugee camps, or shipping them all across the world, giving them benefits as accorded to a first world nation, dealing with the social consequences, and only being able to even help a fraction of the refugees as a result?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
February 25 2017 04:46 GMT
#139350
On February 25 2017 13:31 Plansix wrote:
None of the things you just listed are real concerns or problems. Refugees do not cost that much and not accepting them doesn't make us any safer. There are strong arguments that it may do harm to not accept them.


Additionally, it is not free to turn them away -- especially in cases where you share a direct border with them.

I'm curious to hear what alternate effective measures the money could be spent on "at the source problem" though (oBlade's and LegalLord's comments) that would not constitute a military presence in a foreign, war-torn country.

Canada spent $385 million to settle 25000 Syrian refugees. That's ~15000 per refugee. I personally don't consider that to be a lot of money to save one life, although obviously that is just one way of measuring it and "worth it" is also somewhat up to opinion. If we're looking to an economic measure of efficacy though, I genuinely wonder what we could do that would be similarly effective in both magnitude of cost and cost-per-life. This is assuming the argument that we did have a moral obligation to help somehow, which I personally agree with.
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
mikedebo
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4341 Posts
February 25 2017 04:47 GMT
#139351
On February 25 2017 13:39 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:30 mikedebo wrote:
On February 25 2017 13:27 oBlade wrote:
Those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.


How?

generally speaking, fully funding the UN refugee agencies so they can provide more support at the refugee camps where the actual bulk of the refugees are. last I checked the UNHCR is still quite a bit below where they'd like to be in funding.
spending more in countries with a lower cost of living/cheaper goods, and which are nearer to the source of refugees (less transportation costs).
it's also a bit easier if the refugees are in a location with more similar culture/language (if such are available).

Of course in some cases, like Jordan, the amount of refugees is so high it places a major strain on the general systems of the country (i.e. the infrastructure was never built for that many people).


Cool, thanks. I will read up more on that.
I NEED A PHOTOSYNTHESIS! ||| 'airtoss' is an anagram of 'artosis' ||| SANGHOOOOOO ||| "No Korea? No problem. I have internet." -- Stardust
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 25 2017 04:48 GMT
#139352
We can do both. Refugees have to apply to become one and don't get to pick where they are going. But they don't want go back. We can support those who want to stay and help those who want to leave.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States6678 Posts
February 25 2017 04:50 GMT
#139353
On February 25 2017 13:30 mikedebo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:27 oBlade wrote:
Those dollars can go a lot further at the source of the problem.


How?

What do you mean, how? The cost of helping someone poor in Africa or the Middle East or Asia is much less than setting up someone's life in the first world -> you can help more people without moving them. Remember the whole less than the cost of your morning coffee commercial?
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 04:58:25
February 25 2017 04:56 GMT
#139354
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-germany-costs-idUSKCN0Y50DY

Nice, solid $100 billion within 4 years. For about a million people. There are many more where those came from.

Alternatively, set up refugee camps in bordering nations, send money through UN missions, arrange for humanitarian corridors, help end the war... and that's going to do a lot more for a lot less money.

One tenth of the price.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 05:00:58
February 25 2017 04:57 GMT
#139355
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis. The argument can be made that it is cheaper, but refugees are still going to apply for refugee status.

But it is an easy argument to hang your hat on, because the number for not helping refugees come to your country will always be lower. And if you hold that to be the most important factor against all reason, you are unbeatable.

Edit: 25 billion a year across all of the US. Pocket change. And we are not even taking in as many as Germany. We got this. EZPZ.

Edit 2: not sold on the idea of top secret camps helping end the war.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 05:00:44
February 25 2017 05:00 GMT
#139356
On February 25 2017 13:57 Plansix wrote:
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis.

Well shit, I didn't realize that we have transcended the olden days where we had budgetary constraints on what we could actually accomplish, and now money is no object.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 05:04:28
February 25 2017 05:03 GMT
#139357
On February 25 2017 14:00 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:57 Plansix wrote:
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis.

Well shit, I didn't realize that we have transcended the olden days where we had budgetary constraints on what we could actually accomplish, and now money is no object.

If you want an argument that you can constantly go back to and point at numbers, money is a good place to go. But even you are not stupid enough to say it is the largest concern when it comes to refugees. Our reputation as a nation matters and its pretty shit right now. Every expert on terrorism has said that the refugee ban is an ISIS recruiter's dream.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Ghostcom
Profile Joined March 2010
Denmark4783 Posts
February 25 2017 05:04 GMT
#139358
On February 25 2017 13:57 Plansix wrote:
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis. The argument can be made that it is cheaper, but refugees are still going to apply for refugee status.

But it is an easy argument to hang your hat on, because the number for not helping refugees come to your country will always be lower. And if you hold that to be the most important factor against all reason, you are unbeatable.

Edit: 25 billion a year across all of the US. Pocket change. And we are not even taking in as many as Germany. We got this. EZPZ.

Edit 2: not sold on the idea of top secret camps helping end the war.


Cost reduction is just a fraction of the compelling argument for helping people closer to their point of origin rather than trying to import them.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 05:07:41
February 25 2017 05:07 GMT
#139359
On February 25 2017 14:04 Ghostcom wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 13:57 Plansix wrote:
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis. The argument can be made that it is cheaper, but refugees are still going to apply for refugee status.

But it is an easy argument to hang your hat on, because the number for not helping refugees come to your country will always be lower. And if you hold that to be the most important factor against all reason, you are unbeatable.

Edit: 25 billion a year across all of the US. Pocket change. And we are not even taking in as many as Germany. We got this. EZPZ.

Edit 2: not sold on the idea of top secret camps helping end the war.


Cost reduction is just a fraction of the compelling argument for helping people closer to their point of origin rather than trying to import them.

Refugees don't want to go back, so I fail to see the point. They apply. They do not want to return home and will take literally any county that will have them. And we are the most picky out of all refugee accepting nations. Not accepting them will do more damage long term to US reputation abroad and place our citizen in danger for years, if not longer.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-02-25 05:15:22
February 25 2017 05:07 GMT
#139360
On February 25 2017 14:03 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 25 2017 14:00 LegalLord wrote:
On February 25 2017 13:57 Plansix wrote:
The cost saving plan is not a compelling argument. Cost efficiency is not a major concern when providing aid to a humanitarian crisis.

Well shit, I didn't realize that we have transcended the olden days where we had budgetary constraints on what we could actually accomplish, and now money is no object.

If you want an argument that you can constantly go back to and point at numbers, money is a good place to go. But even you are not stupid enough to say it is the largest concern when it comes to refugees. Our reputation as a nation matters and its pretty shit right now. Every expert on terrorism has said that the refugee ban is an ISIS recruiter's dream.

As usual with you, there is a whole lot of cognitive dissonance and moving of goalposts whenever a discussion of such issues comes up.

The reasons for or against taking refugees have been debated to death and for at least the Syrian matter you can forget about any refugees coming here; Trump will last longer than the war. But someone asked "BUT MORALITY" and here's your answer; why it's cheaper to do otherwise has also been answered. Where this "it's the most compelling argument " and "ISIS wants this" came out of, I don't know.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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