• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 09:22
CET 14:22
KST 22:22
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
ByuL: The Forgotten Master of ZvT30Behind the Blue - Team Liquid History Book19Clem wins HomeStory Cup 289HomeStory Cup 28 - Info & Preview13Rongyi Cup S3 - Preview & Info8
Community News
2026 KongFu Cup Announcement3BGE Stara Zagora 2026 cancelled11Blizzard Classic Cup - Tastosis announced as captains13Weekly Cups (March 2-8): ByuN overcomes PvT block4GSL CK - New online series18
StarCraft 2
General
BGE Stara Zagora 2026 cancelled Blizzard Classic Cup - Tastosis announced as captains BGE Stara Zagora 2026 announced ByuL: The Forgotten Master of ZvT Terran AddOns placement
Tourneys
RSL Season 4 announced for March-April 2026 KongFu Cup Announcement [GSL CK] Team Maru vs. Team herO StarCraft Evolution League (SC Evo Biweekly) WardiTV Team League Season 10
Strategy
Custom Maps
Publishing has been re-enabled! [Feb 24th 2026] Map Editor closed ?
External Content
The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 516 Specter of Death Mutation # 515 Together Forever Mutation # 514 Ulnar New Year
Brood War
General
BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ Gypsy to Korea ASL21 General Discussion BW General Discussion Are you ready for ASL 21? Hype VIDEO
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues [BSL22] Open Qualifiers & Ladder Tours IPSL Spring 2026 is here! ASL Season 21 Qualifiers March 7-8
Strategy
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Soma's 9 hatch build from ASL Game 2 Fighting Spirit mining rates Zealot bombing is no longer popular?
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Path of Exile Nintendo Switch Thread PC Games Sales Thread No Man's Sky (PS4 and PC)
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion The Story of Wings Gaming
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
Five o'clock TL Mafia Mafia Game Mode Feedback/Ideas Vanilla Mini Mafia TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Mexico's Drug War Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Russo-Ukrainian War Thread NASA and the Private Sector
Fan Clubs
The IdrA Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! [Req][Books] Good Fantasy/SciFi books [Manga] One Piece
Sports
Formula 1 Discussion 2024 - 2026 Football Thread General nutrition recommendations Cricket [SPORT] TL MMA Pick'em Pool 2013
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Laptop capable of using Photoshop Lightroom?
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
Money Laundering In Video Ga…
TrAiDoS
Iranian anarchists: organize…
XenOsky
FS++
Kraekkling
Shocked by a laser…
Spydermine0240
Unintentional protectionism…
Uldridge
ASL S21 English Commentary…
namkraft
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 2169 users

US Politics Mega-thread - Page 430

Forum Index > Closed
Post a Reply
Prev 1 428 429 430 431 432 10093 Next
Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
September 12 2013 21:06 GMT
#8581
I'm struck by how quick capitalism's critics leap at straws to justify the argument. If someone points out just how efficient capitalism and the price system is, it is immediately alleged that only a terrible culture (the culture of consumption) could create these market benefits. It's the extremes that give socialist sympathizers (maybe just totalitarian types) comfort. And god forbid we even presume that advertising itself is an efficient process!

The utter vanity in decrying advertising as capitalism's nefarious brother. It's intellectuals presuming to know better than the rest of us what products we want or need. God save us from these moral busybodies.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
Roe
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Canada6002 Posts
September 12 2013 21:12 GMT
#8582
On September 13 2013 05:48 sc2superfan101 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 05:43 Roe wrote:
On September 13 2013 05:31 sc2superfan101 wrote:
You know, Starcraft 2 is pretty useless in the grand scheme of things. So is the internet. And clean water.

In fact, all you really need to survive is a tribe and maybe a stone tool or two.

Oh the great outdoors!


you know, existing is pretty useless in the "grand scheme of things"

Indeed. Which is why bitching about the propagation of "useless things" in the capitalist system is, ironically, a complete waste of time and resources.

not sure if you're continuing the irony or just not getting it in the first place. for clarification i wasn't serious. the "grand scheme of things" is just used arbitrarily anyways.
mcc
Profile Joined October 2010
Czech Republic4646 Posts
September 12 2013 21:44 GMT
#8583
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.

Advertising is tool to convey information. Quality of that information is completely different matter. Lie is also an information. And the efficiency (using economical definition of it) of that system is not as useful measure as you want it to present, because the whole proposition of advertising increasing efficiency being a good thing is based on the "assumption" that exhibited/observed preference is equal to internal preference of a person. You can hold such a belief and many do, but modern biology/psychology seems to disagree with such a simplistic view of reality. So you are technically correct, but that does not imply that advertising (as it is currently done) is in any way good for society or necessary for functioning market. It does not show that market without current style of advertising would work in any way worse. And by worse I do not mean efficiency-wise, but that the society would be worse off. How you define if the society is better/worse off is up for discussion, but efficiency of the market is not one of the attributes that people would agree to use.

If there are some results that actually point out how presence of current style of advertising is better for consumers I would be glad to see it (that is not me saying that there are none, but I would really be interested in such results, be it empirical or mathematical). And it can "assume" the observed and internal preference equality, it would still be interesting to see if the advertising has any appreciable positive influence on the quality/price of the product.
mcc
Profile Joined October 2010
Czech Republic4646 Posts
September 12 2013 21:53 GMT
#8584
On September 13 2013 05:18 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 05:12 sam!zdat wrote:
if you have to cajole someone into buying something, you shouldn't have made it in the first place.

That's flat out stupid. People can and do enjoy things they've been convinced to participate in.

If a teacher has to convince a student to read a book the book must really be bad. Otherwise the student would have already read it, right?

I am not really agreeing with him, but there are different methods of convincing. Some use reasoning and very little pressure and "trickery". Others use every possible trick to misuse our evolutionary baggage to convince us, mostly temporarily, of its value. You can take a stance I pointed out in my previous post and say if he bought it, he actually wanted it, but that stance simplifies reality of our minds/brains and thus misses a lot of real phenomena and is just not a good description of reality.
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-12 22:06:34
September 12 2013 22:02 GMT
#8585
On September 13 2013 06:44 mcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.

Advertising is tool to convey information. Quality of that information is completely different matter. Lie is also an information. And the efficiency (using economical definition of it) of that system is not as useful measure as you want it to present, because the whole proposition of advertising increasing efficiency being a good thing is based on the "assumption" that exhibited/observed preference is equal to internal preference of a person. You can hold such a belief and many do, but modern biology/psychology seems to disagree with such a simplistic view of reality. So you are technically correct, but that does not imply that advertising (as it is currently done) is in any way good for society or necessary for functioning market. It does not show that market without current style of advertising would work in any way worse. And by worse I do not mean efficiency-wise, but that the society would be worse off. How you define if the society is better/worse off is up for discussion, but efficiency of the market is not one of the attributes that people would agree to use.

If there are some results that actually point out how presence of current style of advertising is better for consumers I would be glad to see it (that is not me saying that there are none, but I would really be interested in such results, be it empirical or mathematical). And it can "assume" the observed and internal preference equality, it would still be interesting to see if the advertising has any appreciable positive influence on the quality/price of the product.

Advertisement entices people to spend money that is not being used (i.e. not being lent as credit nor being spent). In an economy of consumption, like our own, velocity of money is a great driving force of growth. At any one time, some fraction of the economy's income is dependent on the remaining fraction's spending. If the spending has slowed, income slows, and the economy shrinks. Advertising, whether with exaggerations (note: not outright lies) or not, helps the spending side both directly through expanding the economy and indirectly by enticing the audience to keep spending their income.

Of course, you can argue that people will spend their money inefficiently when faced with pressure from advertising, but as the money changes hands, it will eventually end up back in the hands of the inefficient purchaser. If it's truly inefficient, they will adjust their behavior. If it takes too long for this to take place, there are fewer chances for the purchaser to find more efficient uses for their money.

In the case that it isn't maximally efficient, then there is an argument for public intervention on the scale to which the maximally efficient use outperforms the norm.
On September 13 2013 06:53 mcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 05:18 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 05:12 sam!zdat wrote:
if you have to cajole someone into buying something, you shouldn't have made it in the first place.

That's flat out stupid. People can and do enjoy things they've been convinced to participate in.

If a teacher has to convince a student to read a book the book must really be bad. Otherwise the student would have already read it, right?

I am not really agreeing with him, but there are different methods of convincing. Some use reasoning and very little pressure and "trickery". Others use every possible trick to misuse our evolutionary baggage to convince us, mostly temporarily, of its value. You can take a stance I pointed out in my previous post and say if he bought it, he actually wanted it, but that stance simplifies reality of our minds/brains and thus misses a lot of real phenomena and is just not a good description of reality.

Yea, except for the part where people can be compelled through trickery and yet legitimately be better off. We should have all had the experience to know that people often don't know what they want, to an almost comical degree. Sometimes it takes some mirrors and hand-waving to overcome biases put into place by bad experiences or a misplaced perception about some product.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
September 12 2013 23:07 GMT
#8586
On September 13 2013 06:44 mcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.

Advertising is tool to convey information. Quality of that information is completely different matter. Lie is also an information. And the efficiency (using economical definition of it) of that system is not as useful measure as you want it to present, because the whole proposition of advertising increasing efficiency being a good thing is based on the "assumption" that exhibited/observed preference is equal to internal preference of a person. You can hold such a belief and many do, but modern biology/psychology seems to disagree with such a simplistic view of reality. So you are technically correct, but that does not imply that advertising (as it is currently done) is in any way good for society or necessary for functioning market. It does not show that market without current style of advertising would work in any way worse. And by worse I do not mean efficiency-wise, but that the society would be worse off. How you define if the society is better/worse off is up for discussion, but efficiency of the market is not one of the attributes that people would agree to use.

If there are some results that actually point out how presence of current style of advertising is better for consumers I would be glad to see it (that is not me saying that there are none, but I would really be interested in such results, be it empirical or mathematical). And it can "assume" the observed and internal preference equality, it would still be interesting to see if the advertising has any appreciable positive influence on the quality/price of the product.

You can certainly throw legitimate criticisms at advertising. My broad point was that advertising does have its legitimate points.
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
September 12 2013 23:20 GMT
#8587
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
September 12 2013 23:22 GMT
#8588
dats what the textbook said
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
September 12 2013 23:43 GMT
#8589
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link
Roe
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Canada6002 Posts
September 12 2013 23:51 GMT
#8590
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

Show nested quote +
smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


What did the quote have to do with anything?
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
September 12 2013 23:55 GMT
#8591
On September 13 2013 08:51 Roe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


What did the quote have to do with anything?

Smoothing demand is one way in which advertising is used to make production more efficient.
DeepElemBlues
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States5079 Posts
September 13 2013 00:02 GMT
#8592
On September 13 2013 06:44 mcc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.

Advertising is tool to convey information. Quality of that information is completely different matter. Lie is also an information. And the efficiency (using economical definition of it) of that system is not as useful measure as you want it to present, because the whole proposition of advertising increasing efficiency being a good thing is based on the "assumption" that exhibited/observed preference is equal to internal preference of a person. You can hold such a belief and many do, but modern biology/psychology seems to disagree with such a simplistic view of reality. So you are technically correct, but that does not imply that advertising (as it is currently done) is in any way good for society or necessary for functioning market. It does not show that market without current style of advertising would work in any way worse. And by worse I do not mean efficiency-wise, but that the society would be worse off. How you define if the society is better/worse off is up for discussion, but efficiency of the market is not one of the attributes that people would agree to use.

If there are some results that actually point out how presence of current style of advertising is better for consumers I would be glad to see it (that is not me saying that there are none, but I would really be interested in such results, be it empirical or mathematical). And it can "assume" the observed and internal preference equality, it would still be interesting to see if the advertising has any appreciable positive influence on the quality/price of the product.


False advertising is already illegal

The law assumes that the legal construct of a reasonable person would be able to see through a bad deal that is not actually illegal

And if you're not a reasonable person then well tough titty for you it's not the responsibility of others to stop you from wasting your money

You can make a plausible argument - which you do - that the current situation is not idealistic but ideals are ideals and not examples for a reason

It's not the responsibility of the current system to prove itself as "good" or that without it things would not be "worse off" because good or worse off compared to what? In any way good for society or necessary for the functioning of the market as opposed to what? No one should have to prove a negative to justify themselves.

What we have now works and if you're going to allege it doesn't then you have to make a political argument the way samipanda is. Hopefully better than he is. And in this particular case solutions to the "problem" would more likely than not have unintended negative consequences far outweighing any positive ones.
no place i'd rather be than the satellite of love
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-13 00:55:41
September 13 2013 00:21 GMT
#8593
On September 13 2013 02:21 DeepElemBlues wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2013 14:12 IgnE wrote:
On September 12 2013 13:58 xDaunt wrote:
On September 12 2013 13:33 IgnE wrote:
On September 12 2013 13:24 sam!zdat wrote:
I'm the communist around here rememebr? Why are you telling this to me? Impose a wealth tax and nationalize the shale oil, if we must dig it up which it seems we must



Shale oil is a farce. A temporary bubble at best.

Uh, what? For all intents and purposes, there's virtually an unlimited amount of shale oil and gas in the US (like 200+ years worth for domestic consumption). As long as the price of oil stays above $70 per barrel (very likely), shale oil is here to stay until new energy technology replaces it. Last I checked, that technology doesn't exist yet.



The only reason shale production is booming right now is because it's massively subsidized by wall street. Of course wall street and the media want you to think that there's an unlimited amount of shale oil and gas in the US. They are heavily invested in it.

Shale wells lose something like 90% of their capacity with a couple years. Thousands of new wells have to be drilled every year just to continue current production at a current cost of $42 billion a year, just in well drilling, and all subsidized. An extra snag is that quality oil "plays" are pretty rare, and most of the currently known quality oil plays are already being drilled, with rapid rates of depletion.

Not to mention that shale gas is extremely low EROI (energy return on investment). It's not like oil, which is basically liquid gold, since it costs so little in energy resources to get it out of the ground (i.e. oil spouts that you see in movies like _There Will Be Blood_ where oil literally shoots out of the ground). When you are spending a lot of energy to get a diminishing return back, you can't sustain production.

On top of all of that, the companies that are pulling up shale gas privatize the profits while distributing the costs of production, including environmental damage, to the rest of society. It's a temporary bubble at best, as you will see over the next decade.


http://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2011/06/27/new-york-times-is-all-hot-air-on-shale-gas/

Literally everything in your post is based off a very slanted NYT story that was heavily criticized.

No, shale wells do not lose 90% of their capacity over a few years as a rule, particular or general. Only a few of them do.

Thousands of new wells are constructed every year because it's a boom. The claim that these new wells are just to keep up production is false.

Show nested quote +
Granted, today’s low price of $4.30 per thousand cubic feet is so low that drillers have literally thousands of wells that have been bored and completed but that are not yet hooked up to pipelines because they’re waiting higher prices.


That is not constructing thousands of wells just to keep up production.

The claim that "quality plays" are "rare" and most have already been tapped is reminiscent of false claims made by peak oilists 15 years ago and once again is simply not true.

Instead of making claims that look knowledgeable and common-sense and really are anything but, perhaps the numbers should govern regarding sustainability of production. The Bakken play is more productive today with half the number of rigs that it was using just a few short years ago.

On top of all that, environmental claims have been proven exaggerated or outright lies time and again.

Shale oil is not a temporary bubble, only the ignorant or the mendacious with an agenda would claim so. Shale oil is going to be a profitable and large industry for decades and there's nothing that can be done about it sorry haters

http://nlpc.org/stories/2011/07/07/ny-times-asked-investigate-shale-gas-bubble-series
http://www.masterresource.org/2011/07/shale-gas-hit-piece-times-reaction/
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/17/opinion/sunday/17pubed.html

Show nested quote +
Mr. Urbina and Adam Bryant, a deputy national editor, said the focus was not on the major companies but on the “independents” that focus on shale gas, because these firms have been the most vocal boosters of shale gas, have benefited most from federal rules changes regarding reserves and are most vulnerable to sharp financial swings. The independents, in industry parlance, are a diverse group that are smaller than major companies like Exxon Mobil and don’t operate major-brand gas stations.


Oops!

http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2011/06/30/exposing_the_demonizers_of_shale_gas_99107.html
http://www.thepelicanpost.org/2011/06/28/guest-commentary-new-york-times-misses-the-mark-on-shale-gas-story/
http://newsok.com/natural-gas-industry-strikes-back-at-new-york-times-article/article/3580924


Firstly, I've never read this allegedly false NYT article and didn't even know it existed.

Secondly, yes, the vast majority of shale oil wells lose the vast majority of their productivity in about 5 years. You can't just say no, they don't and not cite anything. The revised 2013 average decline is 50% or more in the first year, 35% in the second year, 30% in the third year, 20% in the fourth year, etc. And that's in the Bakken oil fields, where there are already drilled wells. Meaning that the less lucrative oil fields are likely to have even steeper rates of decline. See:

Drill Baby Drill, by David Hughes of the Post Carbon Institute. 2013.
Shale and Wall Stree, by Deborah Rogers of the Energy Policy Forum. 2013.
The Shale Oil Boom, A US Phenomenon. Published by Belfer Center at Harvard University. 2013.

The United States consumes about 7 billion barrels of oil a year. The most recent figures for recoverable oil from the known shale oil fields is about 7 billion. Revised upward from 2012, when only half that amount, or roughly 2% of the oil was thought to be recoverable. So the vast deposits that the media keeps citing include 95% of the oil deposits that are currently unrecoverable with current technologies at current prices. 7 billion recoverable barrels means a US supply for 1 year. A bubble.

You linked a bunch of Forbes, standard media hype articles that reacted against some alleged NYT "hit piece". The gist of these articles is, "hey look at the amazing production we are getting, clearly the production itself is evidence that it can't be a bubble." This is clearly wrong. Shale wells produce their greatest amount in the first year so it's not a surprise that the 4,000 wells drilled in 2012, over 10x as many as anywhere else in the world (excluding Canada) have brought in a boom. All of these media fluff pieces that you are citing are referencing total resource numbers, not what is recoverable which is the only important factor in determining the long-term sustainability of the boom that you are seeing now. Moreover, most of these plays are not examined by independent sources and we only have the numbers for wells that are on the corporate books, which are bound to be inflated so as to make the company appear more profitable on paper.

As an illustration, the big three oil plays, Bakken, Eagle Ford, and Permian have an optimistic combined potential of about 100,000 shale producing wells, or about ten times the number of those already on line. If the wells lose 50% of their productivity in the first year, you need to be drilling 5,000 wells the next year just to maintain current production, which despite the boom, isn't replacing a majority of the oil we use every year. If you factor in continued decline and ramping up total production output, you have maybe 10 years before oil production drops precipitously. Of course this doesn't discount some miracle technology that preserves the price it costs to produce a barrel of oil, but there might also be solar/wind energy technologies by 2025 that are competitive with current oil prices. So why even bank on a dirty carbon source getting substantially cheaper to pull up, even as we have already sucked up the easy to grab stuff already?

Let's also make clear what I am saying and what I am not saying. I am not saying that no money is being made. I am not saying there is wholesale fraud in the industry and that it's some kind of conspiracy. I'm not saying that we won't have shale oil for probably the next 10 years. What I am saying is that it's a temporary bubble that will burst sooner or later (hopefully sooner) and is in no way some kind of miracle that is going to save the American economy throughout the next 10 or 20 or however many years. There is a reason that shale oil hasn't been tapped before now. We are getting desperate, and the boom is just the easy pickings off the top of the huge resource reserve of nonporous, trapped organic matter in the various plays.

Regarding subsidies. You might not like the term as applied in this case. But it captures an essential point. The point being that the shale oil boom has been financed and capitalized by wall street because wall street sees a short term opportunity to make money, which has resulted in overvalued assets and unrealistic hype, or a bubble. This is very similar to the mortgage bubble, where lending practices essentially became a subsidy for housing, growing the bubble, and then banks washed their hands of the mess when it burst, collected some federal money, and moved on to the next easy sell. I don't really care if you don't like the term. The point is that the boom itself is hardly a sign of the value in the shale oil industry, because the boom has been pushed by those who have interests in making money off of the boom in a peripheral fashion (i.e. merger fees, transactional fees).
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
September 13 2013 00:30 GMT
#8594
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

Show nested quote +
smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
September 13 2013 00:33 GMT
#8595
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?




What does that Dove ad sell you? Is it just conveying information and increasing efficiency? Ha.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
September 13 2013 00:42 GMT
#8596
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?

One function of advertising is to convey information. That doesn't mean that all advertising conveys useful information.

In other words, advertising has many useful functions but it doesn't always have to use all of them.
Roe
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Canada6002 Posts
September 13 2013 00:44 GMT
#8597
On September 13 2013 09:42 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?

One function of advertising is to convey information. That doesn't mean that all advertising conveys useful information.

In other words, advertising has many useful functions but it doesn't always have to use all of them.


Doesn't always have to be useful either
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
September 13 2013 00:45 GMT
#8598
On September 13 2013 09:42 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?

One function of advertising is to convey information. That doesn't mean that all advertising conveys useful information.

In other words, advertising has many useful functions but it doesn't always have to use all of them.


Advertising also has functions that aren't useful to the consumer or to productive efficiency at all. That's the problem.
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
JonnyBNoHo
Profile Joined July 2011
United States6277 Posts
September 13 2013 00:47 GMT
#8599
On September 13 2013 09:45 HunterX11 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 09:42 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?

One function of advertising is to convey information. That doesn't mean that all advertising conveys useful information.

In other words, advertising has many useful functions but it doesn't always have to use all of them.


Advertising also has functions that aren't useful to the consumer or to productive efficiency at all. That's the problem.

Hammers also have functions that aren't useful to society, like killing people. Let's lament the evils of hammers for a while.
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
September 13 2013 00:50 GMT
#8600
On September 13 2013 09:47 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 09:45 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 09:42 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 09:30 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:43 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 08:20 HunterX11 wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:57 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On September 13 2013 04:53 sam!zdat wrote:
capitalism has to invent new desires and convince people that useless things are useful in order to keep the motor of accumulation running. Obviously. That's what television is for

also it has to install in everyone a relativist ideology to convince everyone that it is blasphemous to make any sorts of value judgments about what goes on around them. Precisely because of the above

TV advertising exists as a means to convey information and increase efficiency.


Have I got a bridge to sell you! Really though, even advertisers themselves openly disagree with this.

Do they?

smoothing demand:

Marketing management in which demand for a product is dampened (such as by withdrawal of advertisements) when the firm's productive capacity is over stretched, and is stimulated when the capacity is underutilized.

Link


I was talking about the providing "information" part. Plenty of ads provide no information about any products at all. I mean, do you really think people out there don't know what Coca-Cola is?

One function of advertising is to convey information. That doesn't mean that all advertising conveys useful information.

In other words, advertising has many useful functions but it doesn't always have to use all of them.


Advertising also has functions that aren't useful to the consumer or to productive efficiency at all. That's the problem.

Hammers also have functions that aren't useful to society, like killing people. Let's lament the evils of hammers for a while.


I think a better analogy would be to propaganda: it can be used for good purposes, but we have every reason to be wary of it. It's hardly even an analogy at all since advertising is essentially commercial propaganda.
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
Prev 1 428 429 430 431 432 10093 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
WardiTV Team League
12:00
Group A
WardiTV484
Liquipedia
CranKy Ducklings
10:00
Master Swan Open #101
CranKy Ducklings63
LiquipediaDiscussion
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Tasteless 1123
Lowko392
IndyStarCraft 225
Rex 128
MindelVK 23
StarCraft: Brood War
Sea 68945
Britney 33910
Zeus 6951
Jaedong 2793
Stork 356
actioN 327
BeSt 309
EffOrt 297
Light 250
Last 161
[ Show more ]
Nal_rA 141
Dewaltoss 115
ToSsGirL 76
Mind 56
sSak 54
Backho 52
yabsab 40
JulyZerg 30
GoRush 28
IntoTheRainbow 24
[sc1f]eonzerg 18
soO 12
Terrorterran 8
Icarus 4
Dota 2
Gorgc4516
febbydoto10
Counter-Strike
zeus283
edward64
kRYSTAL_18
Super Smash Bros
Mew2King51
Heroes of the Storm
Khaldor216
Other Games
singsing2225
B2W.Neo1010
crisheroes136
DeMusliM20
Organizations
Dota 2
PGL Dota 2 - Main Stream23507
StarCraft: Brood War
UltimateBattle 1195
Other Games
gamesdonequick1098
ComeBackTV 293
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 15 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• CranKy Ducklings SOOP3
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• Michael_bg 2
• iopq 1
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
League of Legends
• Jankos3026
• Stunt885
Upcoming Events
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
3h 38m
BSL
6h 38m
Sparkling Tuna Cup
20h 38m
RSL Revival
20h 38m
ByuN vs SHIN
Maru vs Krystianer
WardiTV Team League
22h 38m
Patches Events
1d 3h
BSL
1d 6h
Replay Cast
1d 10h
Replay Cast
1d 19h
Wardi Open
1d 22h
[ Show More ]
Monday Night Weeklies
2 days
OSC
2 days
WardiTV Team League
2 days
GSL
3 days
The PondCast
4 days
WardiTV Team League
4 days
Replay Cast
5 days
WardiTV Team League
5 days
Korean StarCraft League
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2026-03-13
WardiTV Winter 2026
Underdog Cup #3

Ongoing

KCM Race Survival 2026 Season 1
Jeongseon Sooper Cup
BSL Season 22
RSL Revival: Season 4
Nations Cup 2026
ESL Pro League S23 Finals
ESL Pro League S23 Stage 1&2
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026
IEM Kraków 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
BLAST Bounty Winter Qual

Upcoming

CSL Elite League 2026
ASL Season 21
Acropolis #4 - TS6
2026 Changsha Offline CUP
Acropolis #4
IPSL Spring 2026
CSLAN 4
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
HSC XXIX
uThermal 2v2 2026 Main Event
NationLESS Cup
Stake Ranked Episode 2
CS Asia Championships 2026
IEM Atlanta 2026
Asian Champions League 2026
PGL Astana 2026
BLAST Rivals Spring 2026
CCT Season 3 Global Finals
IEM Rio 2026
PGL Bucharest 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 1
BLAST Open Spring 2026
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.