US Politics Mega-thread - Page 4079
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
Introvert
United States4659 Posts
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Plansix
United States60190 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:09 Introvert wrote: I wonder if Paul Ryan knows there is this body called Congress, that is supposed to keep the president in check. Not just stuffed courts. If he starts throwing around executive orders, the courts need to be used to stop them. If he gets crazy out of control, then they could go down the nightmare path of cutting the funding to the executive branch through ways and means. But that is when all hope is lost and we need to all get bug out bags, because we are fucked if it comes to that. | ||
Stratos_speAr
United States6959 Posts
On June 18 2016 06:48 Plansix wrote: From what I have seen, Warren’s numbers are fine among most demographics. I don’t think she is very scary to white males either, though I see that claim get thrown around a lot on the internet. Mostly by white men that are scared of her. | ||
Introvert
United States4659 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:11 Plansix wrote: If he starts throwing around executive orders, the courts need to be used to stop them. If he gets crazy out of control, then they could go down the nightmare path of cutting the funding to the executive branch through ways and means. But that is when all hope is lost and we need to all get bug out bags, because we are fucked if it comes to that. But the courts are too slow (and too powerful, but that's a separate issue). Obama is doing this with DAPA and DACA. They are moving ahead while things are in court. By the time the courts are finished it won't matter. Congress has a responsibility, not just the courts. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:18 Introvert wrote: But the courts are too slow (and too powerful, but that's a separate issue). Obama is doing this with DAPA and DACA. They are moving ahead while things are in court. By the time the courts are finished it won't matter. Congress has a responsibility, not just the courts. Injunctions are instant and can be put in place until the order is allowed or not. If he ordered a ban on Muslims, that shit would get fucking stayed by the court. Or congress would act. Both branches can keep the executive branch in check. On June 18 2016 07:15 Stratos_speAr wrote: Mostly by white men that are scared of her. Some white dudes are easily intimated. I remember when the Notorious RBG said that the correct number of women on the Supreme court was 9 a lot of dudes got very mad. Her reasoning was sound though. | ||
Introvert
United States4659 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:20 Plansix wrote: Injunctions are instant and can be put in place until the order is allowed or not. If he ordered a ban on Muslims, that shit would get fucking stayed by the court. Or congress would act. Both branches can keep the executive branch in check. Some white dudes are easily intimated. I remember when the Notorious RBG said that the correct number of women on the Supreme court was 9 a lot of dudes got very mad. Her reasoning was sound though. Both branches can, but I'm criticizing Ryan preemptively punting to the courts. But maybe I shouldn't be too harsh. | ||
FiWiFaKi
Canada9858 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:20 Plansix wrote: Injunctions are instant and can be put in place until the order is allowed or not. If he ordered a ban on Muslims, that shit would get fucking stayed by the court. Or congress would act. Both branches can keep the executive branch in check. Some white dudes are easily intimated. I remember when the Notorious RBG said that the correct number of women on the Supreme court was 9 a lot of dudes got very mad. Her reasoning was sound though. Men can rightfully be intimidated by feminism. I like to use a controls analogy: Imagine a step response of quantity one to a second order system. One represents equality, and less than 1 represents male preference, and more than one female preference. In my viewpoint, we're in Canada, we're around 1.05, and the US is a tad behind us, so I think the normal place is at say 0.95. The problem is that people are insanely stupid, and are looking at indicators like how many CEO's are women. What people don't realize is that an indicator like this has a lot of delay between action and reaction, and that instead what's going to happen is women are going to receive preferential treatment in society because we're trying to use these bullshit indicators. How about using an indicator like how happy people are? And explain the many male problems we see today like suicide rates, and I'd wager that the average woman is happier than the average man here. I really don't like bringing the argument of hey, men are actually being discriminated against, because I don't think it's too bad (obviously there's still bullshit like women who are out to get men and trying to charge them for assault that didn't happen, etc).... Yeah, I think we're in an alright place right now. The problem is, you'll have a bunch of women complaining about something they're disadvantaged in compared to men, and then all of the sudden women are getting more rights, when there's equally many things men are getting screwed over in but they keep quiet. So what we need to do, is be smart about, not use the uneducated mob mentality, and arrive at a critically damped system that isn't trying to disadvantage either group. And also recognize that the two genders were not born the same, and see the limits of a unigender society. I've even written a paper in my behavioral economics class where I performed an experiment myself, which validated (actually accentuated ) the research of past papers, which showed that men are naturally greater risk takers than women. Research has shown that the age old argument of nature vs nurture shows that nature accounts for a large percentage of our differences. There's been papers of pre school children running, and when the girls and boys ran separately, they ran at similar speeds, but if two girls ran together, or two boys ran together, the two boys would run faster, showing their greater competitive spirit. It's things like this that really piss me off about this hardcore liberal movement that some bernie supporters take to the extreme. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:30 Introvert wrote: Both branches can, but I'm criticizing Ryan preemptively punting to the courts. But maybe I shouldn't be too harsh. The problem for Ryan is that he has to address the hot bullshit Trump is putting out there, but can't say "Yo, we are going to impeach this motherfucker if he goes down this road." Congress's ability to control the executive branch are a series of nuclear options. Edit: FiWiFaKi its cool if you don't like "modern/third-wave/next-gen/hard-line feminism" or whatever term is the bad one is this month. It is very clear you have put a lot of effort in and I am in no position to disabuse you of your opinion. | ||
Plansix
United States60190 Posts
Editor's note: This post contains language and photos some readers may find inappropriate. I've covered presidential campaigns for decades. I've never had to bleep — or drop an asterisk into — a candidate's speech. Until this year. Take this Donald Trump quote from a rally in Virginia: "We're gonna win with the military. We're gonna knock the s*** out of ISIS. We're gonna knock the s*** out of them." That's one of the big lines of a typical Trump speech. Then there was the time he didn't actually drop the F-bomb. He just mouthed it to the camera. "We're gonna have businesses that used to be in New Hampshire that are now in Mexico come back to New Hampshire and you can tell them to go ..." he paused to mouth the word, "... themselves." He seems to know his language can pack a punch. "I'm not allowed to use any bad words," Trump said at a Pittsburgh rally. "If I had used the A-word, they'd say, 'Ooh, Trump used foul language ... horrible, horrible." That's from the stage at his rallies. Outside, the expletives are on a whole different level. A Trump rally in Charleston, W.Va., in May. A Trump rally in Charleston, W.Va., in May. Don Gonyea/NPR At a Trump rally at the Fox Theater in Atlanta this week, I came across a T-shirt vendor working the long line of people who were waiting for the doors to open. It was 8:30 in the morning, but the front of the shirt he was selling featured photos of Hillary Clinton and Monica Lewinsky and a vulgar phrase: "Hillary s**** but not the way Monica does." And the back of the shirt — in huge, unavoidable letters — says: "Trump That B****." It's a hot seller at the rallies. Around the corner and down the block, I found TaMara Moore standing outside a van loaded with shirts. One of his shirts says — again in giant letters: "Donald F*****' Trump." And the back: "If you don't bleed red, white and blue take your b**** a** home." Over the course of the campaign, these shirts have gone almost mainstream. Early on, vendors sold them way out in the parking lot or off to the side somewhere. Not anymore. TaMara Moore said he doesn't believe the shirts he sells cross a line. "Freedom of speech, baby," he explained. TaMara Moore said he doesn't believe the shirts he sells cross a line. "Freedom of speech, baby," he explained. Don Gonyea/NPR Moore said his shirts don't cross a line. When I asked him if the message was appropriate, he said, "Freedom of speech, baby." He also said families buy the shirts, even with their kids in tow. "You'd be surprised how many people have a dislike for Hillary," he said. "I was a little shocked." But not every one approves, including another vendor, Claude Stafford of Sarasota, Fla. "I'd have to pass on those," Stafford said of the crude T-shirts. I asked him why. "Just not my character. You know, you see kids and stuff, and they say, 'Mommy, what's that say?' I just can't do it," he said. Stafford was pulling a red wagon full of more traditional fare: shirts and hats that say "President Trump 2016." I also came across 24-year-old McKinley Witzler waiting in line. He argued that the shirts with rude slogans are no different from what you see at an Atlanta Falcons football game, for example. Still, he said he doesn't approve of that Hillary and Monica shirt. "The content of the shirt, it's ridiculous. It's over the top," he said. "It's demeaning to women." But he says the attention it gets is overblown. How about that other one, that says "Donald F*****' Trump?" "Would I wear that shirt personally? Probably not. That shirt, I don't really have a problem with though," he said. "If you're that enthusiastic about Trump, then that's OK with me." Source I am glad Trump is getting back to our roots of politics, where name calling was common. And sometimes senators fought a duel over a disagreement. The good old days that never really existed, but its fine, we long for them like they did. Its only June. November is a long way away. It is going to get worse before it gets better. | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:03 FiWiFaKi wrote: Well sadly there's been very few polls recently. When I made the statement, it was because of my peers, looking at Huffington post polls where she's 1.8% down with 28.7% of people having not heard enough, which is pretty god awful. Usually, as more people hear of you, your ratings go down. Like Kasich had favorable ratings of +10-15, and most people didn't even bother to listen to what he said. And as people got to listen to what he said, that's when he went out of favor. Her ratings only look "okay" since everyone else's ratings are awful, but the reality is she's around Hillary level if you account for everything, which is, bluntly put, fucking awful. She's more disliked than Ben Carson, and on par with dings like Chris Christie or Carly. There's got to be like at least 10 people who she can pick that will be at least say +15 favorable. I think it's a good idea to make most people "meh happy", than 40% very happy, 10% meh happy, and 50% pissed off. Well sure, you can use that, but it's more a compound of the indicators. Say you go to 10 year view, try to draw a line of best fit as well you can (yeah, that data is kind of bad, no filter and so it's just bouncing up and down). Obviously not a perfect indicator, as the capital can represent so many different sources. Terms of trade is probably the clearest indicator out of all those that you can look at, when you zoom out to max time. they don't look awful to me. Another key question on favorable/unfavorable is whether anyone is attacking you. The right attacks warren some, and the more she seems like a possible vp pick the more they'll attack her. The thing about carson and kasich is that noone was really attacking them, and they were just trying to be nice guys. I mean, the favorability ratings on things like first ladies get very high quite often. High favorability often just means you're not doing anything objectionable and are doing something good. When you're in politics and people know you, you tend to get a fair bit of unfavorables just from that; moreso if you're not near the center. The point of warren would be to shore up support amongst the bernie supporters. I think most democrats who haven't heard of her would support her as she became more known. The best fit line on that capital flow looked rather close to 0; and at any rate, it didn't look like much compared to the overall amount of capital in the US. I'd think capital outflows are more a result of debt spending that foreign investors buy up; and that cutting down on the deficit spending would help bring them back to fairly neutral. Though they're kind of at neutral for the past several years already as far as I can tell. | ||
oBlade
United States5294 Posts
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SolaR-
United States2685 Posts
The main premise is that personal attacks can be used effectively against opposing opinions or viewpoints by exploiting how inept the person voicing that opinion really is. The blog says that we should stifle people with oppressive(or what that person deems as oppressive) opinions or ideas with these personal attacks. It goes on to say that in reaction to the personal attacks, people take the moral high ground saying that they will not resort to your level. The blog claims that this is just posturing, and the person being attacked has no real argument but to take the moral high ground on your personal attacks. Quite frankly, I find this blog to be really ridiculous. I was just curious to see what you guys think. This blog cites Neil Postman's, Amusing Ourselves to Death, a book that I have read. I think the author of this blog is misrepresenting the book, and unfairly attacking it to support his own agenda. I think it is important for two opposing views to respect each other, and If you want to convince a person of anything you must first gain their respect. samkriss.wordpress.com | ||
Paljas
Germany6926 Posts
I think it is important for two opposing views to respect each other, and If you want to convince a person of anything you must first gain their respect. lol, you dumb User was temp banned for this post. | ||
farvacola
United States18818 Posts
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SolaR-
United States2685 Posts
On June 18 2016 09:46 farvacola wrote: While I disagree with pretty much everything you say, Solar, I will agree that that blog is pretty awful ![]() Thank you haha. Yeah I think this blog uses bloated language to seem sophisticated, but in turn it is just disjointed and makes almost no sense. The guy writing that blog is putting up front so much effort to seem like an intellectual, but cannot write one coherent sentence. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On June 18 2016 09:09 SolaR- wrote: Maybe in five years to a decade we can work back towards respecting each side, but it's a long shot. Even in this thread on the internet in a gaming forum was locked, had a very contested/ideological bans, can't even debate effective military actions or foreign policy in war. Which is to say, nobody's convincing anybody and the battleground extends to the (un)shared language/semantics and what policy proposals should be instantly disregarded.My girlfriend's best friend's boyfriend(who I despise) posted this blog in support of personally attacking people in arguments. The main premise is that personal attacks can be used effectively against opposing opinions or viewpoints by exploiting how inept the person voicing that opinion really is. The blog says that we should stifle people with oppressive(or what that person deems as oppressive) opinions or ideas with these personal attacks. It goes on to say that in reaction to the personal attacks, people take the moral high ground saying that they will not resort to your level. The blog claims that this is just posturing, and the person being attacked has no real argument but to take the moral high ground on your personal attacks. Quite frankly, I find this blog to be really ridiculous. I was just curious to see what you guys think. This blog cites Neil Postman's, Amusing Ourselves to Death, a book that I have read. I think the author of this blog is misrepresenting the book, and unfairly attacking it to support his own agenda. I think it is important for two opposing views to respect each other, and If you want to convince a person of anything you must first gain their respect. samkriss.wordpress.com I indulge in strange fantasies in which they get kidnapped and beaten to a pulp, are humiliated on live TV, expose themselves from a medieval tower, develop a psychotic fear of frogs, or sneak into people’s homes to commit strange acts of voyeurism. Some of these comments are potentially libellous (sue me, you fuckers!), all of them are frankly gratuitous and unnecessary. In fact, this is an occasional response I receive – my point, when I bother to make one, is marred by the vitriol of the personal insults; it’s unfair and unbecoming; when I insult someone’s person it can look as if I’m not competent to grapple with their ideas. So why do it? He certainly answers the why, but through all the fluff he isn't convincing about the should. The overall flavor reminded me much of HuffPo's in defense of violence opinion piece, but with less ends-justify-means and privilege framing. | ||
FiWiFaKi
Canada9858 Posts
On June 18 2016 09:09 SolaR- wrote: My girlfriend's best friend's boyfriend(who I despise) posted this blog in support of personally attacking people in arguments. The main premise is that personal attacks can be used effectively against opposing opinions or viewpoints by exploiting how inept the person voicing that opinion really is. The blog says that we should stifle people with oppressive(or what that person deems as oppressive) opinions or ideas with these personal attacks. It goes on to say that in reaction to the personal attacks, people take the moral high ground saying that they will not resort to your level. The blog claims that this is just posturing, and the person being attacked has no real argument but to take the moral high ground on your personal attacks. Quite frankly, I find this blog to be really ridiculous. I was just curious to see what you guys think. This blog cites Neil Postman's, Amusing Ourselves to Death, a book that I have read. I think the author of this blog is misrepresenting the book, and unfairly attacking it to support his own agenda. I think it is important for two opposing views to respect each other, and If you want to convince a person of anything you must first gain their respect. samkriss.wordpress.com My take on it, as unfortunately somewhat of a nihilist, is that every rational argument breaks down when you go deep enough into it. I, having read many scientific papers, think it's a problem when I'm reading something, it's difficult to tell whether this result is meaningful, or if they are simply blabbing on and trying to make their result seem important. I think it's a big reason academia suffers today - when you have several parties arguing something to an extraordinarily deep level, it's very difficult to be "right". I do think that almost everything around us, from "killing is bad" to "gay's should be allowed to marry", is social constructs, and we accept them for no real logical reason besides using a very surface level argument that if if we kill people, others will kill us, or whatever else you want to rationalize, and eventually you'll reach an argument that 100% agrees with your morality, so you accept it. So now that I've gotten that out of the way, I want to say that his style of writing is in my eyes unnecessary, and didn't get more information across than saying it in a paragraph or two, but that might be my shortfall. I try to keep my arguments simple and comprehensible for the aforementioned reasons. Simply from his writing, I probably don't like this person very much. One of his arguments in the past, to not murder each other, people were civil during arguments, and now we don't need to be civil because we can talk on the internet without physical contact. I think that's a silly notion, and I think it's quite clear that if I come on the internet, and I go shout at you and tell you how you're stupid and have a small dick, I don't convince you of anything. I think the reason we are civil with each other is because it creates a comfortable environment for both parties, and creates an environment that is most productive to have insightful conversation where you let your pride go, and the point is learning and changing your viewpoints on both sides. So while I don't agree with the writer, I don't agree with you either: If your objective is to have an argument in order to educate either party, I think a good way is what you describe. Not necessarily the best, but one people see as decent. Hence it's the style of argument we see in academia. If your objective is to persuade another party, then an argument will naturally be filled bias, white lies, misrepresentation, straw man arguments, etc. Of course when Hillary is saying something about Trump she is not saying it to try to get him to change his way, it's an attack because she wants people to view the world the way she does or further her other goals. As more or less all the media we consume is to persuade people, minus some people on forums (as lets be real, most people have an agenda of some sort), this is what we usually see. These forms of arguments are not my specialty haha. So the way the writer talks is an absolute shit way to discuss if your goal is absolute truth (which I don't think exists, but as close as you can get). Debate is really flavor of month, person insults are sometimes fair game depending on the situation, but it changes based on the people's perceptions, which change with time, so it becomes a difficult art to master. Therefore, I don't really have much of a verdict - I think you can get caught up in the complexity of speech, getting hung up on little details, and simply not have the brain capacity to comprehend such a complex argument, and it makes you lose touch with the real issue, and it's an issue that I've seen with academic thinking. His explanations however, like not having enough intellectual wit to make insults is definitely not one of the primary contributors, and I think it's one of those issues to be properly discussed would require a 2 meter stack of books to discuss. And even then, we'd probably just go further than anyone has before, and we'd reach new problems that would make us delve deeper into the issue. | ||
FiWiFaKi
Canada9858 Posts
On June 18 2016 07:57 zlefin wrote: they don't look awful to me. Another key question on favorable/unfavorable is whether anyone is attacking you. The right attacks warren some, and the more she seems like a possible vp pick the more they'll attack her. The thing about carson and kasich is that noone was really attacking them, and they were just trying to be nice guys. I mean, the favorability ratings on things like first ladies get very high quite often. High favorability often just means you're not doing anything objectionable and are doing something good. When you're in politics and people know you, you tend to get a fair bit of unfavorables just from that; moreso if you're not near the center. The point of warren would be to shore up support amongst the bernie supporters. I think most democrats who haven't heard of her would support her as she became more known. The best fit line on that capital flow looked rather close to 0; and at any rate, it didn't look like much compared to the overall amount of capital in the US. I'd think capital outflows are more a result of debt spending that foreign investors buy up; and that cutting down on the deficit spending would help bring them back to fairly neutral. Though they're kind of at neutral for the past several years already as far as I can tell. It should look bad? Terms of trade are abysmal (don't compare it between 2013 to 2015, but an actual ongoing trend), and don't look at capital flow equals to zero as equilibrium. The population and the economy should be growing, and hence at least you should compare it to the historic rates. And looking the same as last few years would suggest that debt will increase at the same rate, which is not acceptable. | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
On June 18 2016 10:08 FiWiFaKi wrote: It should look bad? Terms of trade are abysmal (don't compare it between 2013 to 2015, but an actual ongoing trend), and don't look at capital flow equals to zero as equilibrium. The population and the economy should be growing, and hence at least you should compare it to the historic rates. And looking the same as last few years would suggest that debt will increase at the same rate, which is not acceptable. I looked at capital flows for the mxa time period, and it didn't look bad to me. what am I supposed to be seeing? you'll need to explain it more; and/or be more precise in which info sets I shoudld be looking at. | ||
kwizach
3658 Posts
On June 18 2016 09:56 Danglars wrote: Maybe in five years to a decade we can work back towards respecting each side, but it's a long shot. Even in this thread on the internet in a gaming forum was locked, had a very contested/ideological bans, can't even debate effective military actions or foreign policy in war. Which is to say, nobody's convincing anybody and the battleground extends to the (un)shared language/semantics and what policy proposals should be instantly disregarded. EZ's ban was perfectly legitimate given his post history in the thread, and I'm not sure why you referenced xDaunt's post to support the idea that we can't debate foreign policy/military actions in the thread (which isn't true). Him being too "politically correct" to accurately label his own ideas doesn't invalidate the word that was used to describe them, and they were debated anyway ![]() | ||
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