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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3793

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 11 2016 16:45 GMT
#75841
On May 12 2016 00:28 xDaunt wrote:
So let's just presume for a second that general election polling matters right now. Are we really to believe that all of these new polls coming out over the past couple of days showing Trump running neck and neck with Hillary reflects a dramatic reversal of public sentiment from when polls were showing Hillary leading by around +10 last week?

At this point, I expect the news media the conflict as interesting as nail biting as possible to drive viewership, which means reporting on neck and neck polls between Trump and Clinton. Just like last time, I expect them to do this right up until election day. And then if it is a complete stomp, they will run a retrospective on how people didn’t see it coming, while featuring the couple folks who got it right. Reality TV 101, keep the conflict going.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15737 Posts
May 11 2016 16:48 GMT
#75842
On May 12 2016 01:43 Kipsate wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 01:15 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 12 2016 01:10 ticklishmusic wrote:
On May 12 2016 00:49 xDaunt wrote:
On May 12 2016 00:37 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 12 2016 00:36 xDaunt wrote:
On May 12 2016 00:31 Mohdoo wrote:
On May 12 2016 00:28 xDaunt wrote:
So let's just presume for a second that general election polling matters right now. Are we really to believe that all of these new polls coming out over the past couple of days showing Trump running neck and neck with Hillary reflects a dramatic reversal of public sentiment from when polls were showing Hillary leading by around +10 last week?


GOP at a sudden peak in unity, Bernie still trying to burn the place down.

Haha, I certainly hope that this isn't peak unity for the GOP!


Well, local maximum, remains to be seen if global maximum.

The best investment that can Trump can make would be to flood the GOP Convention with hookers and champagne. Let's make the GOP happy again!


You mean Trump hookers and Trump champagne?


God I really want the convention to be like some sorta shit out of a vegas show. Women walking around in peacock feathers giving $100 champagne to guests. Some modern rapper or whatever performs as a closing ceremony.

Put in a firing range because why fucking not

Bullets and rifles provided by the ladies


I am not struggling to think of potential shooting target cutouts Trump would be willing to provide.
Jaaaaasper
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
United States10225 Posts
May 11 2016 20:04 GMT
#75843
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations
Hey do you want to hear a joke? Chinese production value. | I thought he had a aegis- Ayesee | When did 7ing mad last have a good game, 2012?
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
May 11 2016 20:05 GMT
#75844
lol just noticed the jon stewart video at chicago's iop has more than 1 million views and guy didn't even say anything intelligent.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 20:17:52
May 11 2016 20:17 GMT
#75845
Presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump's support among likely national voters has surged so much so that he's nearly closed a 13-point gap with Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Wednesday.

The poll showed that 40 percent of likely voters supported Trump and 41 percent supported Clinton. Of those surveyed, 19 percent said they were unsure as to who they'd support.

Clinton led Trump by nine points in last week's iteration of the Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The online poll surveyed 1,289 people from May 6-10. The poll had a margin of error of about 3 percentage points.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
CannonsNCarriers
Profile Joined April 2010
United States638 Posts
May 11 2016 20:34 GMT
#75846
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations


I was going to post that. More evidence that "get the money out of politics" was crap and didn't apply to Bernie's own campaign. And we all know that Bernie would be spending his last nickel on ads screaming about Hillary being corrupt if she had even a tenth of the violations Bernie had.
Dun tuch my cheezbrgr
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 11 2016 20:50 GMT
#75847
On May 12 2016 05:17 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
Presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump's support among likely national voters has surged so much so that he's nearly closed a 13-point gap with Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Wednesday.

The poll showed that 40 percent of likely voters supported Trump and 41 percent supported Clinton. Of those surveyed, 19 percent said they were unsure as to who they'd support.

Clinton led Trump by nine points in last week's iteration of the Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The online poll surveyed 1,289 people from May 6-10. The poll had a margin of error of about 3 percentage points.


Source


Just an FYI, Ipsos, were not rated super accurate last time around. I have no doubt Trump is going to pick up some points, but it helps to see who is running these polls and why they are being reported on.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/pollster-ratings/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10138 Posts
May 11 2016 20:56 GMT
#75848
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations

How are they illegal ? (Talking from ignorance)
kwizach
Profile Joined June 2011
3658 Posts
May 11 2016 21:14 GMT
#75849
On May 12 2016 05:56 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations

How are they illegal ? (Talking from ignorance)

I haven't gone through the report, but I'm guessing it's a combination of people donating over the legal limit (apparently in some cases way over the limit), and non-US citizens donating.
"Oedipus ruined a great sex life by asking too many questions." -- Stephen Colbert
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
May 11 2016 21:16 GMT
#75850
On May 12 2016 05:56 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations

How are they illegal ? (Talking from ignorance)


Some of Bernie's donators are:
"Solar guy", "Rockstar", "Prophet at UNSELFISH", "Keyboard Specialist" (DMV), random strings of numbers, "Shrink", "Human Being", "IT Guy", "Figurehead", "POOR ASS STUDENT", "Bar Patron", "Web nerd", "Worker bee", Yale's locksmith, "OFFICE GAL", "REALTOR?", "Fulfillment", and "Seed Saver"

There's also repeat donors of people hitting the cap but donating anyway, etc...

non-names linked to random PO Box numbers, etc...

All donating to Bernie to both circumvent the cap as well as fake "individual contributions"
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
May 11 2016 21:17 GMT
#75851
I was always under the impression that they all candidates dealt with that problem and just returned the funds. It is an open donation systems, they hold the money and just return the funds that can’t be used under law.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 11 2016 21:24 GMT
#75852
A federal judge has sharply rebuked the Pentagon for the process by which it concealed hundreds of Bush-era photos showing US military personnel torturing detainees in Iraq and Afghanistan, suggesting Barack Obama may have to release even more graphic imagery of abuse.

Alvin Hellerstein, the senior judge who has presided over a transparency lawsuit for the photos that has lasted more than 12 years, expressed dissatisfaction over the Pentagon’s compliance with an order he issued last year requiring a case-by-case ruling that release of an estimated 1,800 photographs would endanger US troops.

“We don’t know the methodology, we don’t know what was reviewed, we don’t know the criteria, we don’t know the numbers,” Hellerstein said during an hour-long hearing on Wednesday.

Hellerstein said he would formally rule on the matter in the “near future”, a process that may compel the Pentagon to disclose additional photographs.

Tara LaMort, a justice department attorney, argued to Hellerstein that a multi-layered review of the photographs, conducted by the military officers on the Pentagon’s joint staff, had determined that disclosing the vast majority of the photographic treasure trove would provide terrorist groups with propaganda useful for recruitment.

Yet Hellerstein, a Bill Clinton appointee who said he has tried to give Obama and George W Bush deference on keeping potentially inflammatory photos secret, told LaMort that determination was “not enough” for judicial review because it omitted the reasoning behind withholding specific photographs.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Naracs_Duc
Profile Joined August 2015
746 Posts
May 11 2016 21:26 GMT
#75853
On May 12 2016 06:17 Plansix wrote:
I was always under the impression that they all candidates dealt with that problem and just returned the funds. It is an open donation systems, they hold the money and just return the funds that can’t be used under law.


You are correct. The issue that happens is amount of times that happens. Bernie is up to $10,000,000 that he hasn't refunded, has thousands and thousands of illegal donations, a continual lack of attempt to resolve any of the issues.

Like, for example, if you get a parking ticket that's fine--happens to everyone. Things change when you have $10 million in parking tickets and you still are not paying back.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 11 2016 21:30 GMT
#75854
Terrible news TL

President Barack Obama doesn't have plans to release information about Area 51, even after Hillary Clinton said she would as president make files on the Nevada Air Force base public.

Responding to a question about the New York Times story on the subject, press secretary Josh Earnest said Wednesday that he wasn't "aware of any plans that the president has to make public any information about this."

"I have to admit that I don’t have a tab on my briefing book for Area 51 today," Earnest joked. When a reporter joked that the file had been taken out of his book, he said: "Maybe it has. Part of a grand conspiracy."

The Times' story noted multiple interviews in which the Democratic front-runner expressed a desire to release information, including one in which she commented, "I want to open the files as much as we can.”

Earnest pointed out that Obama has previously joked about having access to information about Area 51 as one of the perks of the presidency.

“I don’t know whether or not he has availed himself of that opportunity. But if we have more on this, we’ll let you know,” Earnest said.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 21:39:41
May 11 2016 21:38 GMT
#75855
On May 12 2016 06:17 Plansix wrote:
I was always under the impression that they all candidates dealt with that problem and just returned the funds. It is an open donation systems, they hold the money and just return the funds that can’t be used under law.


The problem is that he's not actually making the refunds, this is like... the third RFAI from the FEC and the attached lists of donations is just getting longer and longer. A brief scan shows that many of the flagged donations from previous FEC notices are still there. Maybe the FEC actually gets tired of shit and takes legal action. There is a ton of money in his campaign accounts that he shouldn't have, so it's difficult to ascertain the actual financial position he's in.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23644 Posts
May 11 2016 21:39 GMT
#75856
On May 12 2016 06:16 Naracs_Duc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 05:56 Godwrath wrote:
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations

How are they illegal ? (Talking from ignorance)


Some of Bernie's donators are:
"Solar guy", "Rockstar", "Prophet at UNSELFISH", "Keyboard Specialist" (DMV), random strings of numbers, "Shrink", "Human Being", "IT Guy", "Figurehead", "POOR ASS STUDENT", "Bar Patron", "Web nerd", "Worker bee", Yale's locksmith, "OFFICE GAL", "REALTOR?", "Fulfillment", and "Seed Saver"

There's also repeat donors of people hitting the cap but donating anyway, etc...

non-names linked to random PO Box numbers, etc...

All donating to Bernie to both circumvent the cap as well as fake "individual contributions"


Those are what they put for their occupation isn't it?

It obviously is something entirely different than what he's talking about other than that the whole fundraising system is terrible.

He's not against money in politics whatsoever (no one is). Hes against the corrupting influence it has currently.

What about these requests from the fec indicates however much was illegally donated was to gain corrupting influence?

To be clear it's the perceived hypocrisy, not the using the rules to his advantage that made people think this was a story right?

"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
May 11 2016 21:43 GMT
#75857
No stranger to questions about his taxes and wealth, former GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney on Wednesday criticized Donald Trump’s decision to withhold his tax returns from the public, calling the move “disqualifying” and speculating that the presumptive Republican presidential nominee is hiding “a bombshell.”

Trump on Tuesday told the Associated Press that he does not plan to release his tax returns — as is tradition for candidates for elected office — because he is being audited.

Romney responded on Facebook, arguing that making tax returns public provides valuable information to voters. He accused Trump of using the audit as a excuse to avoid further scrutiny and suggested that Trump may be concealing something that could negatively impact his candidacy, an attack he first made earlier this year.

“There is only one logical explanation for Mr. Trump’s refusal to release his returns: there is a bombshell in them,” Romney wrote on Wednesday. “Given Mr. Trump’s equanimity with other flaws in his history, we can only assume it’s a bombshell of unusual size.”

When he ran for president in 2012, Romney initially hesitated to release his tax returns because of the scrutiny they would bring to his business experience and wealth, but by January of that year, relented.

Tax experts have also called into question Trump using the audit as a reason not to release his tax returns. Trump has claimed that the IRS is examining “four or five years” of his taxes, but the agency typically focuses on three years of taxes.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
May 11 2016 21:44 GMT
#75858
It's still wrong to break campaign finance laws. One case here is that other candidates have effectively blocked foreign donations by tracking IP addresses (I'm not clear on the technical details) but Bernie hasn't which is why he has a lot of illegal donations from noncitizens.

Legal is not always equivalent to moral, but that's not to say you should disregard the rules for... whatever reason, even if it is incompetence
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-05-11 21:46:09
May 11 2016 21:44 GMT
#75859
On May 12 2016 06:38 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 06:17 Plansix wrote:
I was always under the impression that they all candidates dealt with that problem and just returned the funds. It is an open donation systems, they hold the money and just return the funds that can’t be used under law.


The problem is that he's not actually making the refunds, this is like... the third RFAI from the FEC and the attached lists of donations is just getting longer and longer. A brief scan shows that many of the flagged donations from previous FEC notices are still there. Maybe the FEC actually gets tired of shit and takes legal action. There is a ton of money in his campaign accounts that he shouldn't have, so it's difficult to ascertain the actual financial position he's in.

To be fair, some of the donations might be impossible to refund, depending on how they were issued. Some people might be under the delusion that he gets to keep the funds if they make it hard to fund them. Which isn’t true, I am willing to bet they go to abandoned property or something similar.

As long as he isn’t spending the money and is trying to return it, I don’t see it as a problem.

On May 12 2016 06:44 ticklishmusic wrote:
It's still wrong to break campaign finance laws. One case here is that other candidates have effectively blocked foreign donations by tracking IP addresses (I'm not clear on the technical details) but Bernie hasn't which is why he has a lot of illegal donations from noncitizens.

Legal is not always equivalent to moral, but that's not to say you should disregard the rules for... whatever reason, even if it is incompetence


As someone who has had to deal with surpluses and people paying stuff they shouldn't and then being impossible to find, its not as easy as pressing the "return to sender" button.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Jaaaaasper
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
United States10225 Posts
May 11 2016 21:50 GMT
#75860
On May 12 2016 06:39 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2016 06:16 Naracs_Duc wrote:
On May 12 2016 05:56 Godwrath wrote:
On May 12 2016 05:04 Jaaaaasper wrote:
Man for a guy who claims to want to take the corruption and money out of politics, Bernie Sanders has a lot of Illegal campaign donations

How are they illegal ? (Talking from ignorance)


Some of Bernie's donators are:
"Solar guy", "Rockstar", "Prophet at UNSELFISH", "Keyboard Specialist" (DMV), random strings of numbers, "Shrink", "Human Being", "IT Guy", "Figurehead", "POOR ASS STUDENT", "Bar Patron", "Web nerd", "Worker bee", Yale's locksmith, "OFFICE GAL", "REALTOR?", "Fulfillment", and "Seed Saver"

There's also repeat donors of people hitting the cap but donating anyway, etc...

non-names linked to random PO Box numbers, etc...

All donating to Bernie to both circumvent the cap as well as fake "individual contributions"


Those are what they put for their occupation isn't it?

It obviously is something entirely different than what he's talking about other than that the whole fundraising system is terrible.

He's not against money in politics whatsoever (no one is). Hes against the corrupting influence it has currently.

What about these requests from the fec indicates however much was illegally donated was to gain corrupting influence?

To be clear it's the perceived hypocrisy, not the using the rules to his advantage that made people think this was a story right?


Its funny because hes running the most financially corrupt campaign in a long time, with over 10 million in illegal donations and a very expensive family vacation to Rome out of campaign funds.
Hey do you want to hear a joke? Chinese production value. | I thought he had a aegis- Ayesee | When did 7ing mad last have a good game, 2012?
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