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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3253

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 10 2016 02:39 GMT
#65041
On March 10 2016 11:37 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 10 2016 11:36 Ghanburighan wrote:
I don't think the moderator understands what he is asking.


I think Clinton wants to pull the wool over everyone's eyes by making them think she's saying "Yes" while technically saying "No".


I think you weren't listening to the 4-5 "yes but not asylum seekers" answers.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Adreme
Profile Joined June 2011
United States5574 Posts
March 10 2016 02:41 GMT
#65042
On March 10 2016 11:39 Ghanburighan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 10 2016 11:37 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On March 10 2016 11:36 Ghanburighan wrote:
I don't think the moderator understands what he is asking.


I think Clinton wants to pull the wool over everyone's eyes by making them think she's saying "Yes" while technically saying "No".


I think you weren't listening to the 4-5 "yes but not asylum seekers" answers.


It basically highlights what I meant where I said her answer has too much nuance so people will just automatically distrust it despite the fact the world usually does not have simple yes or no answers.
L_Master
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States8017 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-10 02:43:02
March 10 2016 02:41 GMT
#65043
On March 10 2016 11:20 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 10 2016 11:08 Belisarius wrote:
You'd be surprised at what's easy to automate and what's not.

I posted this thing a while ago here, and since it's relevant again I'll add it again.

Show nested quote +
On July 16 2015 10:38 Belisarius wrote:
Just on that, here's a fun little toy that predicts how likely a given job is to be automated. The full document/paper is here.

Top 20 least likely to be automated:
+ Show Spoiler +

1. Recreational therapists
2. First-line supervisors of mechanics, installers and repairers
3. Emergency management directors
4. Mental health and substance abuse social workers
5. Audiologists
6. Occupational therapists
7. Orthotists and prosthetists
8. Healthcare social workers
9. Oral and maxillofacial surgeons
10. First-line supervisors of fire-fighting and prevention workers
11. Dietiticians and nutritionists
12. Lodging managers
13. Choreographers
14. Sales engineers
15. Physicians and surgeons
16. Instructional coordinators
17. Psychologists
18. First-line supervisors of police and detectives
19. Dentists (general)
20. Elementary school teachers (except special education)




It's very conceivable that many people will transition to the first list from the second. Whether that will mean the end of jobs and beggining of the haves/have not dystopia or whether the population will simply get used to using more and better services is little more than wild speculation.


Once machines can do everything, everyone will be a have. No need for money when machines can take care of all tasks required. Transition period could certainly get rough though.

I have my doubts that there will ever be anywhere near enough service jobs when you factor out everything that machines can do. Of course, true AI realistically means there won't even be service jobs because machines can do that too.

I guess what surprises me is the beginnings of this en force are probably just 10-15 years away, maybe less, and near completion very possible within this century, or even faster, given the exponential growth of technology.

On March 10 2016 11:08 Belisarius wrote:
Top 20 least likely to be automated:
+ Show Spoiler +

1. Recreational therapists
2. First-line supervisors of mechanics, installers and repairers
3. Emergency management directors
4. Mental health and substance abuse social workers
5. Audiologists
6. Occupational therapists
7. Orthotists and prosthetists
8. Healthcare social workers
9. Oral and maxillofacial surgeons
10. First-line supervisors of fire-fighting and prevention workers
11. Dietiticians and nutritionists
12. Lodging managers
13. Choreographers
14. Sales engineers
15. Physicians and surgeons
16. Instructional coordinators
17. Psychologists
18. First-line supervisors of police and detectives
19. Dentists (general)
20. Elementary school teachers (except special education)



I'd disagree with some of these. I'd also note that most of them are either highly skilled or just general higher level jobs that compromise a relatively small swath of all jobs.

Physicians and surgeons can be pretty easily automated with future technology. Better ability to scan and obtain information about the composition of the body combined with the absolutely exploding genomics and biotech advances mean that diagnosis will become quite simple and precise. Clearly surgery is nothing complicated from an automation standpoint, and with better input even complex surgeries like oral ones will be trivial work for a machine.

Dentist probably the same issue. Better scanning, understanding, and pattern recognition algorithms will make diagnosis a fairly simple machine endeavor.

Same goes for dietician/nutiritionists. Won't be that long before we can do scans taking a look at chemical combination of the body, gut microbota, genetics, etc. and offer detailed personalized diet recommendations tailored to each individual.

Supervisors of mechanics/repairers/installers won't even be necessary as the machines will just do the work and won't really need much supervision, and eventually will perfectly self supervise.
EffOrt and Soulkey Hwaiting!
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-03-10 02:45:53
March 10 2016 02:44 GMT
#65044
Claims that automating the physician's job is easy tend to rest on pretty fundamental misunderstandings of 1) a physician's job and 2) how things are actually diagnosed. I'm more open to the idea that surgery/dentistry can be automated, but I'm still skeptical. These claims often rely on an over-indulging faith in math and technology.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Souma
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2nd Worst City in CA8938 Posts
March 10 2016 02:46 GMT
#65045
Okay not a bad Trump impression Hillary. Just missing the YUUUGE.
Writer
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 10 2016 02:46 GMT
#65046
God, these moderators are doubling the time it takes to answer a question for no reason. Follow up questions are supposed to actually follow up, not repeat the same bloody question. Don't waste valuable time!
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32743 Posts
March 10 2016 02:48 GMT
#65047
They're not very fair with Bernie's time when Hillary gets like three times what he gets to speak.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
March 10 2016 02:48 GMT
#65048
I'm not sure how I feel about this on one hand it should certain be ruled illegal on the other they would have been killed... But now they are being placed in Zoos...

Three American zoos have pulled off an audacious clandestine operation to fly a group of elephants out of Swaziland despite a legal challenge to block the transfer, enraging conservationists who claim that removing elephants from the wild for display in zoos is cruel and outdated.

The 18 elephants – three males and 15 females ranging in age from six to 25 – were sedated, loaded onto crates and placed on a large cargo plane that arrived in Swaziland at around 7.30am local time on Tuesday. Pictures taken at the scene show several large crates, ostensibly for elephants, being picked up by a crane and placed onto trucks.

The elephants will be split among three zoos – the Dallas zoo, Sedgwick County zoo in Kansas and Henry Doorly zoo in Nebraska – where they will be put on exhibit and used for breeding purposes.

The unannounced move, which was previously scheduled for May, has stunned an animal welfare group that was due to argue against the transfer in a US federal court on 17 March. The group, Friends of Animals, has now admitted defeat in its bid to prevent what it calls the “stolen 18” from being taken from the wild and placed into zoos.

Friends of Animals filed for an emergency injunction to stop the transfer, argued via a frantic teleconference with US federal court judge John Bates. Bates’s ruling notes that the short timeframe meant he was “not able to definitively resolve the issue”. But he sided with the zoos, which pointed out that the elephants had already been drugged and that leaving them in the small African nation would have put them at risk.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 10 2016 02:49 GMT
#65049
We get mic feed from translation into Spanish #productionvalues.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
March 10 2016 02:54 GMT
#65050
"I am not a natural politician".

Oh jeez. Ranks up there with "I'm the ultimate outsider".
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4864 Posts
March 10 2016 02:54 GMT
#65051
I wonder how many people actually believe Hillary on this stuff, lol.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32743 Posts
March 10 2016 02:54 GMT
#65052
Not a good idea to admit you're not a natural politician.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18839 Posts
March 10 2016 02:55 GMT
#65053
On March 10 2016 11:44 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Claims that automating the physician's job is easy tend to rest on pretty fundamental misunderstandings of 1) a physician's job and 2) how things are actually diagnosed. I'm more open to the idea that surgery/dentistry can be automated, but I'm still skeptical. These claims often rely on an over-indulging faith in math and technology.

Was gonna post about the same thing. Diagnostics are not what people think think they are lol.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
March 10 2016 02:55 GMT
#65054
Question to Hillary: Why do you suck?
Question to Bernie: Why does Hillary suck?

ugh
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5769 Posts
March 10 2016 02:56 GMT
#65055
On March 10 2016 11:54 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Not a good idea to admit you're not a natural politician.

"I'm nothing like our current president, also a Democrat, or my husband, the most popular president in recent memory."
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
March 10 2016 02:57 GMT
#65056
On March 10 2016 11:55 farvacola wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 10 2016 11:44 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Claims that automating the physician's job is easy tend to rest on pretty fundamental misunderstandings of 1) a physician's job and 2) how things are actually diagnosed. I'm more open to the idea that surgery/dentistry can be automated, but I'm still skeptical. These claims often rely on an over-indulging faith in math and technology.

Was gonna post about the same thing. Diagnostics are not what people think think they are lol.


Diagnostics isn't a math equation. People have a grossly simplified understanding of health and the human body in general.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
March 10 2016 02:58 GMT
#65057
These moderators have ZERO control of this. The candidates completely ignore them when they try to stop answers. It's pretty funny.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32743 Posts
March 10 2016 02:59 GMT
#65058
These moderators are not fair, cutting off Bernie as early as they can while Hillary gets all the time she wants with a weak ask to stop.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Souma
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
2nd Worst City in CA8938 Posts
March 10 2016 02:59 GMT
#65059
rofl this moderation.
Writer
Deleted User 137586
Profile Joined January 2011
7859 Posts
March 10 2016 03:00 GMT
#65060
Sanders refers to himself in 3rd person. Ugly side of revolutionary rhetoric coming out again.
Cry 'havoc' and let slip the dogs of war
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