US Politics Mega-thread - Page 1112
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
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Nyxisto
Germany6287 Posts
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oneofthem
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On June 14 2014 01:35 xDaunt wrote: What Obama-hating goggles? You aren't really going to argue that Obama has done a "good job" with regards to Middle East policy, are you? The only thing that he hasn't done is gotten us involved in another war, but it isn't exactly difficult to do nothing. In fact, it's his doing nothing that is the problem. middle east is a mess because it's a mess. unless you drive starship enterprise over there and brain format all the people it'll continue to be a mess, because of the void of structure left by saddam's absence and the prohibitive cost of reforming order. it is what it is, and obama's mess above replacement value is really hard to judge because of how low the standard outcome is. you are really giving the U.S. too much credit over events if you blame obama for the middle east being a big mess like it always is. | ||
oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
On June 14 2014 07:47 Nyxisto wrote: but it doesn't make much sense to call everything that isn't really socialism, socialism. The qualitative difference as you said is workers ownership of production. Calling "normal" social market economies socialism may be common in the US, but it doesn't make much sense. I'm all in favor of discussing the latter and to which degree social politics are good or bad in the US, but discussing "real socialism" as an option for any Western countries doesn't make much sense. It has been tried numerous times in the past, it always sucked. it's a matter of wide and narrow labeling, and the basic point is that a wide scope label of socialism is perfectly sensible here. orthodox marxism is basically batshit insane in many ways and there's really no need to tie down the whole better society movement on that particular cross. real actual socialism as defined by marx is tied up in his theoretical structure, the whole dialectical materialism blah blah. it's ok to move on from that stuff | ||
coverpunch
United States2093 Posts
On June 14 2014 07:52 oneofthem wrote: it's a matter of wide and narrow labeling, and the basic point is that a wide scope label of socialism is perfectly sensible here. orthodox marxism is basically batshit insane in many ways and there's really no need to tie down the whole better society movement on that particular cross. real actual socialism as defined by marx is tied up in his theoretical structure, the whole dialectical materialism blah blah. it's ok to move on from that stuff I disagree that a wide label is sensible, mostly because the US has among the weakest social democratic policies of the OECD countries. It's highly misleading to say socialists have had a large and lasting impact on American politics. They've had an effect for sure, but it's fallen far short or off the mark of their stated goals. Ross Perot gained far more votes than socialists ever did, and I don't think many people would consider him to have had a large or lasting impact on American politics either. For the record, I don't think the Tea Party has had a large impact either. I think they've gained outsized attention as a way of mocking Republicans and playing up the story that the party is both breaking up and drifting toward the extreme right, but in real terms, they've also achieved very few of their goals (cutting spending through delay and sequestration is arguably significant but basically their only achievement). | ||
coverpunch
United States2093 Posts
tl;dr he rules out sending in ground troops but may consider air strikes. THE PRESIDENT: Good morning, everybody. I wanted to take some time to give you a quick update about the situation in Iraq. Yesterday, I convened a meeting with my National Security Council to discuss the situation there, and this morning I received an update from my team. Over the last several days, we’ve seen significant gains made by ISIL, a terrorist organization that operates in both Iraq and in Syria. In the face of a terrorist offensive, Iraqi security forces have proven unable to defend a number of cities, which has allowed the terrorists to overrun a part of Iraq’s territory. And this poses a danger to Iraq and its people. And given the nature of these terrorists, it could pose a threat eventually to American interests as well. Now, this threat is not brand new. Over the last year, we’ve been steadily ramping up our security assistance to the Iraqi government with increased training, equipping and intelligence. Now, Iraq needs additional support to break the momentum of extremist groups and bolster the capabilities of Iraqi security forces. We will not be sending U.S. troops back into combat in Iraq, but I have asked my national security team to prepare a range of other options that could help support Iraqi security forces, and I’ll be reviewing those options in the days ahead. I do want to be clear though, this is not solely or even primarily a military challenge. Over the past decade, American troops have made extraordinary sacrifices to give Iraqis an opportunity to claim their own future. Unfortunately, Iraq’s leaders have been unable to overcome too often the mistrust and sectarian differences that have long been simmering there, and that’s created vulnerabilities within the Iraqi government as well as their security forces. So any action that we may take to provide assistance to Iraqi security forces has to be joined by a serious and sincere effort by Iraq’s leaders to set aside sectarian differences, to promote stability, and account for the legitimate interests of all of Iraq’s communities, and to continue to build the capacity of an effective security force. We can’t do it for them. And in the absence of this type of political effort, short-term military action, including any assistance we might provide, won’t succeed. So this should be a wake-up call. Iraq’s leaders have to demonstrate a willingness to make hard decisions and compromises on behalf of the Iraqi people in order to bring the country together. In that effort, they will have the support of the United States and our friends and our allies. Now, Iraq’s neighbors also have some responsibilities to support this process. Nobody has an interest in seeing terrorists gain a foothold inside of Iraq, and nobody is going to benefit from seeing Iraq descend into chaos. So the United States will do our part, but understand that ultimately it’s up to the Iraqis, as a sovereign nation, to solve their problems. Indeed, across the region we have redoubled our efforts to help build more capable counterterrorism forces so that groups like ISIL can’t establish a safe haven. And we’ll continue that effort through our support of the moderate opposition in Syria, our support for Iraq and its security forces, and our partnership with other countries across the region. We’re also going to pursue intensive diplomacy throughout this period both inside of Iraq and across the region, because there’s never going to be stability in Iraq or the broader region unless there are political outcomes that allow people to resolve their differences peacefully without resorting to war or relying on the United States military. We’ll be monitoring the situation in Iraq very carefully over the next several days. Our top priority will remain being vigilant against any threats to our personnel serving overseas. We will consult closely with Congress as we make determinations about appropriate action, and we’ll continue to keep the American people fully informed as we make decisions about the way forward. I’ll take a question. Q Mr. President, given the recent U.S. history there, are you reluctant to get involved again in Iraq? THE PRESIDENT: I think that we should look at the situation carefully. We have an interest in making sure that a group like ISIL, which is a vicious organization and has been able to take advantage of the chaos in Syria, that they don't get a broader foothold. I think there are dangers of fierce sectarian fighting if, for example, these terrorist organizations try to overrun sacred Shia sites, which could trigger Shia-Sunni conflicts that could be very hard to stamp out. So we have enormous interests there. And obviously, our troops and the American people and the American taxpayers made huge investments and sacrifices in order to give Iraqis the opportunity to chart a better course, a better destiny. But ultimately, they're going to have to seize it. As I said before, we are not going to be able to do it for them. And given the very difficult history that we’ve seen in Iraq, I think that any objective observer would recognize that in the absence of accommodation among the various factions inside of Iraq, various military actions by the United States, by any outside nation, are not going to solve those problems over the long term and not going to deliver the kind of stability that we need. Anybody else? Q Mr. President, is the Syrian civil war spilling over the Iraq border? And what can we do to stop it? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I think that's been happening for some time. ISIL has been able to gain a foothold in Syria. That's part of the reason why we’ve been so concerned about it. That's part of the reason why we’ve been supporting the Syrian opposition there. But it’s a challenging problem. In Iraq, the Iraqi government, which was initially resistant to some of our offers of help, has come around now to recognize that cooperation with us on some of these issues can be useful. Obviously, that's not the case in Syria where President Assad has no interest in seeing us involved there, and where some of the governments that are supporting Assad have been able to block, for example, U.N. efforts even at humanitarian aid. But this is a regional problem and it is going to be a long-term problem. And what we’re going to have to do is combine selective actions by our military to make sure that we’re going after terrorists who could harm our personnel overseas or eventually hit the homeland. We’re going to have to combine that with what is a very challenging international effort to try to rebuild countries and communities that have been shattered by sectarian war. And that's not an easy task. Q Mr. President, which foreign countries have you been in touch with? And what are they willing to do as part of this international effort? THE PRESIDENT: Well, we’re in contact with them now. So we’ll have a better sense by the end of the weekend, after those consultations. And we will be getting a better sense from them of how they might support an effort to bring about the kind of political unity inside of Iraq that bolsters security forces. Look, the United States has poured a lot of money into these Iraqi security forces, and we devoted a lot of training to Iraqi security forces. The fact that they are not willing to stand and fight, and defend their posts against admittedly hardened terrorists but not terrorists who are overwhelming in numbers indicates that there’s a problem with morale, there’s a problem in terms of commitment. And ultimately, that’s rooted in the political problems that have plagued the country for a very long time. Last question. Last one. Q Thank you. Can you talk a little bit about U.S. concern of disruption of oil supplies? THE PRESIDENT: Well, so far at least we have not seen major disruptions in oil supplies. Obviously if, in fact, ISIL was able to obtain control over major output, significant refineries, that could be a source of concern. As you might expect, world oil markets react to any kind of instability in the Middle East. One of our goals should be to make sure that in cooperation with other countries in the region not only are we creating some sort of backstop in terms of what’s happening inside of Iraq, but if there do end up being disruptions inside of Iraq, that some of the other producers in the Gulf are able to pick up the slack. So that will be part of the consultations that will be taking place during the course of this week. Just to give people a sense of timing here, although events on the ground in Iraq have been happening very quickly, our ability to plan, whether it’s military action or work with the Iraqi government on some of these political issues, is going to take several days. So people should not anticipate that this is something that is going to happen overnight. We want to make sure that we have good eyes on the situation there. We want to make sure that we’ve gathered all the intelligence that’s necessary so that if, in fact, I do direct and order any actions there, that they’re targeted, they’re precise and they’re going to have an effect. And as I indicated before -- and I want to make sure that everybody understands this message -- the United States is not simply going to involve itself in a military action in the absence of a political plan by the Iraqis that gives us some assurance that they’re prepared to work together. We’re not going to allow ourselves to be dragged back into a situation in which while we’re there we’re keeping a lid on things, and after enormous sacrifices by us, as soon as we’re not there, suddenly people end up acting in ways that are not conducive to the long-term stability and prosperity of the country. All right, thank you very much, everybody. I don't think he can get UN support, especially since Russia has already stated its opposition and had a veto threat over Syria. The Brits also ruled out any possibility of direct military intervention. Congress also seems reluctant to support the mission unless President Obama is sure Iraq can be restabilized and is committed to it, which it is clear from the tone here that he is not. Also notable is that President Obama is at all-time lows for public support and I would bet support for intervention would also be very low. This is a big and fairly sensitive election year, given low public approval ratings all around and that other incumbents might be scared that what happened to Eric Cantor might happen to them too. | ||
zlefin
United States7689 Posts
The Iraq government is a failure, by its own failings; time to just support Kurdistan. | ||
Nyxisto
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xDaunt
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Read here. | ||
zlefin
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Nyxisto
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These foreign politics solo attempts is what gives countries like Russia room to do the same when they think its appropriate to intervene somewhere. | ||
zlefin
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GreenHorizons
United States23266 Posts
But bring up Iraq and the real travesty is what Obama has/hasn't done... Like seriously get a grip on reality.... It's embarrassing... He's screwed up plenty but the schizophrenic outrage is way past ridiculous... | ||
Nyxisto
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coverpunch
United States2093 Posts
I think the other interesting question is whether the administration would make an AUMF argument and claim the ability to do airstrikes because they would be killing members of Al Qaeda. It would be legal and probably would go unopposed as a basis for airstrikes in Congress. But it might imply that the administration plans to do a lot of airstrikes and keep its eye on the region, raising the specter of commitments like the US has in Pakistan and Yemen. It seems like that is also a direction the president does not want to go, but we'll see. | ||
coverpunch
United States2093 Posts
On June 14 2014 13:14 GreenHorizons wrote: What blows my mind is that the second Bush started a war to prevent Iraq/Saddam (who was funded by the first Bush) from getting/distributing more/better weapons than the first Bush gave them. So Bush Jr. invades Iraq, destabilizes the hell out of it and drops off brand new weapons, equipment and billions of dollars to the terrorists we were supposed to be fighting. All while lining the pockets of the VP's former company and ballooning his interests, making him millions of dollars personally off of the Iraq war. Also his former company is responsible for the deaths of dozens of soldiers due to shitty work and asshole deals. But bring up Iraq and the real travesty is what Obama has/hasn't done... Like seriously get a grip on reality.... It's embarrassing... He's screwed up plenty but the schizophrenic outrage is way past ridiculous... This is Obama's tar baby now. Bush doesn't get a say in how the US plays this out because he's not president any more. For the moment, blaming Bush is not helpful to the more important questions of whether the US can beat back ISIS and restabilize the Iraqi government, and the even more important question of whether it's even worth the trouble. I'd also point out that Syria is fighting the same group, despite the fact that the US did not invade them. The way that war has gone is hardly a preferable model. | ||
heliusx
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{CC}StealthBlue
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Rep. Raul Labrador (R-ID) will challenge House Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R-Ca) to replace Eric Cantor as the next House Majority Leader, he announced in a statement Friday. “I want a House Leadership team that reflects the best of our conference. A leadership team that can bring the Republican conference together," Labrador, first elected to the House in 2010, said. "A leadership team that can help unite and grow our party. Americans don’t believe their leaders in Washington are listening and now is the time to change that." Labrador's entrance adds some competition to the race after some McCarthy challengers either declined a run (Rep. Jeb Hensarling) or abandoned one (Rep. Pete Sessions). He has been pushed as a McCarthy alternative by tea party members like Justin Amash (R-MI) and outside conservative groups like FreedomWorks. Source | ||
oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
On June 14 2014 11:15 coverpunch wrote: american social reformers have a long tradition, and in the grand context of social movements it's ok to say they are socialists. there's a definite engagement with communistic thought by this segment of the left. i'm not going to list the history here but it's there. I disagree that a wide label is sensible, mostly because the US has among the weakest social democratic policies of the OECD countries. It's highly misleading to say socialists have had a large and lasting impact on American politics. They've had an effect for sure, but it's fallen far short or off the mark of their stated goals. Ross Perot gained far more votes than socialists ever did, and I don't think many people would consider him to have had a large or lasting impact on American politics either. For the record, I don't think the Tea Party has had a large impact either. I think they've gained outsized attention as a way of mocking Republicans and playing up the story that the party is both breaking up and drifting toward the extreme right, but in real terms, they've also achieved very few of their goals (cutting spending through delay and sequestration is arguably significant but basically their only achievement). | ||
Jormundr
United States1678 Posts
On June 14 2014 13:35 coverpunch wrote: This is Obama's tar baby now. Bush doesn't get a say in how the US plays this out because he's not president any more. For the moment, blaming Bush is not helpful to the more important questions of whether the US can beat back ISIS and restabilize the Iraqi government, and the even more important question of whether it's even worth the trouble. I'd also point out that Syria is fighting the same group, despite the fact that the US did not invade them. The way that war has gone is hardly a preferable model. Quick question: Why do we care about muslims killing the muslims that we were killing 10 years ago? Neither of them are our friends now. The only friends we have in the area are Saudi Arabia and Israel, and if the extremists (gasp) take back over all that our allies will see is a regional return to the status quo. So the worst thing that is going to happen is that everything in the middle east returns to business as usual: A bunch of islamic extremists threatening to destroy Israel while covering their nuts with both hands so Israel doesn't kick them in the dick. Now, throw all that aside and pretend we actually have a reason to want to stop these extremists: How the hell are you going to propose we do that? We already tried direct confrontation in the first and second Iraq war and, as it turns out, killing extremists on their own soil (at this point they're known as freedom fighters) only tends to breed a new, stronger generation of extremists with more extensive military experience. Also that and spending the lives of their civilians, our soldiers, and our tax dollars for literally NO GAIN (unless you call further destabilizing the region gain). Without a permanent or longterm (20-50+ years) occupation, we're not going to do anything useful there because we have already shot ourselves in the foot and given so much ammunition to our enemies. For the so called goal of stability we have three options: -Occupy long enough to get rid of generational hatred -Kill them down to the last woman and child -Let the region stabilize itself But please, do feel free to share your knowledge on why fighting a bunch of freedom fighters on their own soil for absolutely no benefit to us is an intelligent and necessary undertaking for our country. | ||
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