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[ASL20] Ro8 Day 1 - Page 10

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(Vote): Yes
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TMNT
Profile Joined January 2021
3221 Posts
September 23 2025 05:36 GMT
#181
On September 23 2025 08:38 Just_a_Moth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 23 2025 07:29 Peeano wrote:
Rofl Mini.
Of all the builds you can choose you chose 12nex for final game? Where was your brain at? That B rank desperatelion probe pull was just beyond hilarious.

Yeah lol. I mean I am not surprised, but I think that was kind of an easy read for Barracks; 4 player map, final game, the 12nex is coming.

You guys are just talking from hindsight lol. It's just a total coin flip for both of them. If it works you're "ballsy" , if it doesn't you're "stupid".

Same Mini who went 12 Nexus in game 7 to win his ASL against Rush.

Same Mini who went center gate 9 9 in game 7 to lose his ASL against Larva.
Highgamer
Profile Joined October 2015
1470 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-23 06:14:02
September 23 2025 06:12 GMT
#182
I think the proper term is "calculated risk", admittedly sometimes more "intuitive risk".
"Coinflip" implies that the outcome is 100% out of your hand once the coin is tossed, that there are only every two outcomes with 50%, when actually the probability varies a lot and the players' performance matters even in situations where the outcome seems very foreseeable. Even pros mess up in favorable scenarios sometimes. Nerves, willpower, concentration, fatigue etc. still come into play.

In JinJin's translated videos I've seen Flash sometimes having interesting takes on certain decisions that a layman would regard as just risky or "ballsy" or "stupid", giving insight into hidden factors for the decision-making tied to map-layout, spawn-position, timings. Stuff that changes the risk-percentages that non-pros wouldn't even notice.
Uldridge
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium5177 Posts
September 23 2025 06:31 GMT
#183
On September 23 2025 15:12 Highgamer wrote:
I think the proper term is "calculated risk", admittedly sometimes more "intuitive risk".
"Coinflip" implies that the outcome is 100% out of your hand once the coin is tossed, that there are only every two outcomes with 50%, when actually the probability varies a lot and the players' performance matters even in situations where the outcome seems very foreseeable. Even pros mess up in favorable scenarios sometimes. Nerves, willpower, concentration, fatigue etc. still come into play.

In JinJin's translated videos I've seen Flash sometimes having interesting takes on certain decisions that a layman would regard as just risky or "ballsy" or "stupid", giving insight into hidden factors for the decision-making tied to map-layout, spawn-position, timings. Stuff that changes the risk-percentages that non-pros wouldn't even notice.


Just because your choice is based on "hidden factors" and mind games, doesn't make it less of a coinflip. Mini chose greedy econ, Barracks chose early all in. That it might be 60-40 or 70-30 in practice doesn't matter at all imo, only that instance counts because that's where the results have an actual implication.
Maybe dice roll with succes from 3 and up would be something you prefer as an analogy.
Taxes are for Terrans
Peeano
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Netherlands5628 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-23 08:18:44
September 23 2025 08:04 GMT
#184
On September 23 2025 14:36 TMNT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 23 2025 08:38 Just_a_Moth wrote:
On September 23 2025 07:29 Peeano wrote:
Rofl Mini.
Of all the builds you can choose you chose 12nex for final game? Where was your brain at? That B rank desperation probe pull was just beyond hilarious.

Yeah lol. I mean I am not surprised, but I think that was kind of an easy read for Barracks; 4 player map, final game, the 12nex is coming.

You guys are just talking from hindsight lol. It's just a total coin flip for both of them. If it works you're "ballsy" , if it doesn't you're "stupid".

Same Mini who went 12 Nexus in game 7 to win his ASL against Rush.

Same Mini who went center gate 9 9 in game 7 to lose his ASL against Larva.

I'm surely not. Literally when the game started I just knew Barracks would do some kind of early aggression. In fact I would have been surprised if it wasn't an all in, regardless of it being a 4 player map. Hence I ridicule Mini for his build order (and the series overall).

Did you watch the full thing, game by game, TMNT? Sadly I couldn't watch live, but I skipped very little action and I was fully immersed when I had those thoughts.
FBH #1!
Highgamer
Profile Joined October 2015
1470 Posts
September 23 2025 13:39 GMT
#185
On September 23 2025 15:31 Uldridge wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 23 2025 15:12 Highgamer wrote:
I think the proper term is "calculated risk", admittedly sometimes more "intuitive risk".
"Coinflip" implies that the outcome is 100% out of your hand once the coin is tossed, that there are only every two outcomes with 50%, when actually the probability varies a lot and the players' performance matters even in situations where the outcome seems very foreseeable. Even pros mess up in favorable scenarios sometimes. Nerves, willpower, concentration, fatigue etc. still come into play.

In JinJin's translated videos I've seen Flash sometimes having interesting takes on certain decisions that a layman would regard as just risky or "ballsy" or "stupid", giving insight into hidden factors for the decision-making tied to map-layout, spawn-position, timings. Stuff that changes the risk-percentages that non-pros wouldn't even notice.


Just because your choice is based on "hidden factors" and mind games, doesn't make it less of a coinflip. Mini chose greedy econ, Barracks chose early all in. That it might be 60-40 or 70-30 in practice doesn't matter at all imo, only that instance counts because that's where the results have an actual implication.
Maybe dice roll with succes from 3 and up would be something you prefer as an analogy.


Yes, rolling the dice is closer I think, but even then it's more complex to determine your win% because there are so many openings in BW.
You choose an opening that that beats 1 easily, beats 2 narrowly, ties with 3, should lose against 4, lose hard against 5 and has almost no chance against 6.

And this analogy also only ever fits for the opening-choice, not for the gameplay that follows (non-existent in coin flipping or dice rolling), where upsets can happen.
prototype.
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Canada4215 Posts
September 24 2025 06:58 GMT
#186
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won
( ・´ー・`)
mtcn77
Profile Joined September 2013
Turkey715 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-24 08:28:05
September 24 2025 08:27 GMT
#187
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.
Turrican
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22410 Posts
September 24 2025 08:44 GMT
#188
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Phyanketto
Profile Joined September 2011
United States601 Posts
September 24 2025 09:10 GMT
#189
Who's is the protoss hero now?
세 가지 제어
mtcn77
Profile Joined September 2013
Turkey715 Posts
September 24 2025 09:11 GMT
#190
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...
Turrican
mtcn77
Profile Joined September 2013
Turkey715 Posts
September 24 2025 09:12 GMT
#191
On September 24 2025 18:10 Phyanketto wrote:
Who's is the protoss hero now?

Bisu!
Turrican
goody153
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
44280 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-24 13:20:21
September 24 2025 13:16 GMT
#192
Surpring series with no late game

Imo Mini got too greedy with builds. He's seen that Barracks was doing alot of timing attacks and aggression but he still went for it guess he was risking it but didnt pay off.


On September 24 2025 18:11 mtcn77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...


Bro what are you rambling about.

4 pool, 8 rax and proxy gate are all part of the game. Otherwise we end up with only macro games and early game planning and builds die lol

Mini risked a nexus first which usually puts advantage for the protoss vs T in most cases and he got punished cause Barracks also picked the right build. Barracks read it right and Mini got punished for it

On September 24 2025 18:10 Phyanketto wrote:
Who's is the protoss hero now?


Snow maybe ? Idk Best is pretty good too

On September 23 2025 07:26 Sabu113 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 23 2025 06:37 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 22 2025 21:42 oxKnu wrote:
Snow will not die to this stuff. The run ends next round for Barracks.

Mini is not a good defending player, he always thinks from the perspective of initiating the winning play, which is not always optimal.

Let's go snow. For Mini!


If snow gets through effort. pvz is always dicey for anyone not Mini.

Snow will murder barracks though,

Honestly if Snow makes it. Barracks is pretty screwed. I have not see anybody really beat Snow in a TvP in awhile. He's like almost perfected that matchup lol
this is a quote
mtcn77
Profile Joined September 2013
Turkey715 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-24 13:29:30
September 24 2025 13:29 GMT
#193
On September 24 2025 22:16 goody153 wrote:
Surpring series with no late game

Imo Mini got too greedy with builds. He's seen that Barracks was doing alot of timing attacks and aggression but he still went for it guess he was risking it but didnt pay off.


Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 18:11 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...


Bro what are you rambling about.

4 pool, 8 rax and proxy gate are all part of the game. Otherwise we end up with only macro games and early game planning and builds die lol

Mini risked a nexus first which usually puts advantage for the protoss vs T in most cases and he got punished cause Barracks also picked the right build. Barracks read it right and Mini got punished for it

Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 18:10 Phyanketto wrote:
Who's is the protoss hero now?


Snow maybe ? Idk Best is pretty good too

Show nested quote +
On September 23 2025 07:26 Sabu113 wrote:
On September 23 2025 06:37 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 22 2025 21:42 oxKnu wrote:
Snow will not die to this stuff. The run ends next round for Barracks.

Mini is not a good defending player, he always thinks from the perspective of initiating the winning play, which is not always optimal.

Let's go snow. For Mini!


If snow gets through effort. pvz is always dicey for anyone not Mini.

Snow will murder barracks though,

Honestly if Snow makes it. Barracks is pretty screwed. I have not see anybody really beat Snow in a TvP in awhile. He's like almost perfected that matchup lol

Have you any nexus first games that worked? It is different than 3-Hatch. There is no surprise element in nexus first, the enemy has to be stupid to miss it.
Turrican
goody153
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
44280 Posts
September 24 2025 13:35 GMT
#194


Interesting. Flash is basically Barracks coach
this is a quote
RogueTheGOAT
Profile Joined July 2025
166 Posts
September 24 2025 14:30 GMT
#195
On September 24 2025 18:11 mtcn77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...

What does it say about the Protoss player who lost to it?
mtcn77
Profile Joined September 2013
Turkey715 Posts
September 24 2025 14:52 GMT
#196
On September 24 2025 23:30 RogueTheGOAT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 18:11 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...

What does it say about the Protoss player who lost to it?

I make my case, Roaring Currents should have been the decider match. Just my opinion.
Turrican
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22410 Posts
September 24 2025 15:10 GMT
#197
On September 24 2025 22:35 goody153 wrote:

Interesting. Flash is basically Barracks coach
That he actually comes into Flash's stream during the games to ask if he should BBS on the last game is just so funny.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
[sc1f]eonzerg
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Belgium6993 Posts
September 24 2025 16:27 GMT
#198
Flash always been mentoring Barracks actually. Even from the Kespa days i remember an interview or something where he told Barracks that he has the highest APM from every progamer but need to use it smarter lol.
goody153
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
44280 Posts
Last Edited: 2025-09-24 17:30:55
September 24 2025 17:27 GMT
#199
On September 24 2025 22:29 mtcn77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 24 2025 22:16 goody153 wrote:
Surpring series with no late game

Imo Mini got too greedy with builds. He's seen that Barracks was doing alot of timing attacks and aggression but he still went for it guess he was risking it but didnt pay off.


On September 24 2025 18:11 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:44 Gorsameth wrote:
On September 24 2025 17:27 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 24 2025 15:58 prototype. wrote:
surprising to see barracks advancing to ro4 but mini looked pretty weak even in the games he won

It was a done deal after Roaring Currents. It is a bad outcome, but good for the ratings.

How is it a bad outcome? Mini played bad simple as that.

Sure Snow will probably run over Barracks but the Mini we saw Monday isn't going to put up more of a fight either.

I cannot take terran players seriously. You should give me a break. 2 proxy rax Bo7? Give me a break...


Bro what are you rambling about.

4 pool, 8 rax and proxy gate are all part of the game. Otherwise we end up with only macro games and early game planning and builds die lol

Mini risked a nexus first which usually puts advantage for the protoss vs T in most cases and he got punished cause Barracks also picked the right build. Barracks read it right and Mini got punished for it

On September 24 2025 18:10 Phyanketto wrote:
Who's is the protoss hero now?


Snow maybe ? Idk Best is pretty good too

On September 23 2025 07:26 Sabu113 wrote:
On September 23 2025 06:37 mtcn77 wrote:
On September 22 2025 21:42 oxKnu wrote:
Snow will not die to this stuff. The run ends next round for Barracks.

Mini is not a good defending player, he always thinks from the perspective of initiating the winning play, which is not always optimal.

Let's go snow. For Mini!


If snow gets through effort. pvz is always dicey for anyone not Mini.

Snow will murder barracks though,

Honestly if Snow makes it. Barracks is pretty screwed. I have not see anybody really beat Snow in a TvP in awhile. He's like almost perfected that matchup lol

Have you any nexus first games that worked? It is different than 3-Hatch. There is no surprise element in nexus first, the enemy has to be stupid to miss it.

Wdym have you seen nexus first games working ?



There is no better player in history than flash and dude is raging against it LOL why do you think it is a viable build lmao

I dont even play protoss and I know that shits a thing.

Also calling anybody who dont counter nexus first stupid why could you counter every nexus first that you run into lol. Are you better than flash ? or half the terran progamers who lose to it ?

On September 25 2025 01:27 [sc1f]eonzerg wrote:
Flash always been mentoring Barracks actually. Even from the Kespa days i remember an interview or something where he told Barracks that he has the highest APM from every progamer but need to use it smarter lol.

It's kinda notable that Barracks mechanics is kinda good
this is a quote
Phyanketto
Profile Joined September 2011
United States601 Posts
September 24 2025 17:42 GMT
#200
On September 24 2025 22:35 goody153 wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-s_Dm1X-aDI

Interesting. Flash is basically Barracks coach

This channel is amazing. I'd never been able to get how much personality these guys have. Flash being an effusive and jokingly-arrogant guy is amazing. There was another one where sea was saying a zerg couldn't throw a game from this position even if they were Savior, which had me rolling
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