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Why Samsung KHAN Will Win the Proleague - Page 2

Forum Index > BW General
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SuperArc
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Austria7781 Posts
July 17 2009 17:08 GMT
#21
On July 18 2009 02:07 TwoStep wrote:
So I am the only to notice skyhigh poor play recently.


what poor play?
Snow - future of protoss! :) Nada = baller
Djabanete
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States2786 Posts
July 17 2009 17:10 GMT
#22
I really like the KHAN boys and I wish they'd stop slumping.

Stork, Jangbi, and FBH are such amazing players when they're on. Each of them used to be S-class in at least two matchups and they all had a cool style.

There's a chance they'll lift themselves up by the bootstraps and play the way they used to...
May the BeSt man win.
FranzF1
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Chile1710 Posts
July 17 2009 17:23 GMT
#23
Why Khan its going to win this proleague:
1- Khan was on vacation... JB, Stork and FBH were just party and stuff, now its time for the real game
2- STX doesnt have July on the lineup
3- CJ, Hite?? wtf KHAN>>>>All
4- Oz??? lets see... JD and Backho only 2 players T_T you are dead OZ
5- SKTt1? WAT... Stork, jangbi, fbh > Bisu, Best, fantasy
6- [image loading]
[image loading]

http://www.teamliquid.net/tlpd/details.php?type=players&id=43&part=ceremonies&video_part=2

FUCK YEAH!! KHAN HWAITING!
Member #99999^99 of the fanclub of Grape, Reality and TurN
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-17 17:42:46
July 17 2009 17:41 GMT
#24
On July 18 2009 01:59 Musoeun wrote:
The STX lite comment:

1) Yes, was exaggeration, but
2) Has a grain of truth. In all but ZvZ, Calm is at least EffOrt's equal, and I'd argue is a superior player. I'm a fan of Kwanro, and not of by.hero, but Kwanro's style is highly hit-or-miss (though mostly hitting recently) while by.hero is good, solid, and improving. I would also take July over sAviOr any day. Modesty adds one more decent Zerg to the list that CJ doesn't match.

Effort vs Calm in ZvZ is nowhere near close. Effort is #2 in ZvZ ELO, 8-2 in his last 10, 21-9 overall (70%) and 2-0'd Jaedong recently. Calm is TENTH on the ZvZ ranking, 5-5 in his last 10, and 23-20 (53%) overall. I can't see how you can argue they are even remotely equal, let alone say that Calm is "superior."

In the Protoss lineup, I think it's clear that Kal is better than Much right now, and has more left in the tank. While Movie has an ability to come up with one-off builds that work really well, he also has the ability to get completely trapped in his base by OZ's random b-team Zerg. Shuttle is much more solid overall even if his macro's occasionally spotty. Clear win for STX.

Unfortunately the maps are not very P-friendly, thus even if Kal is superior to Much and Movie, its not as big a deal. If it ever gets to an Ace match, Effort is the favorite.

Terran is the interesting one. In TvT, CJ holds a huge advantage, but in an STX vs CJ match STX should be looking to send Zergs against the Terrans. Hwasin is clearly not as good as Iris, but I feel like sKyHigh's TvT may not be as good as his early results. Hwasin-sKyHigh I call a push. The question is whether STX's extra random Terrans (Notice, Last) who can both win games offset Iris and the failure known as Memory - and whether, if they don't, this offset's CJ's relative Protoss weakness.

Again, the P weakness doesn't matter as much, because there will be more Z and T players in the lineups. That's why Iris and Effort are so great in these Bo7s, their ZvZ and TvT skills are very valuable.

If I pick top seven players from each team, I'd arrange them like in order:

Effort, skyhigh, Iris, Kwanro, Much, sAvior, Movie
Calm, Kal, Hwasin, July, Shuttle, by.hero, Last

And 1 on 1, in that order, I'd expect your winners to be Effort, Kal, Iris, Kwanro, Shuttle, by.hero, Last, 4-3 STX. I think Kal is better than skyhigh, despite the failed cheese loss in their last meeting, but the kicker is in the tail-end of the lineup, where STX has just a touch more depth than CJ. Of course, if I'm wrong about movie, and he's actually the next big Protoss, that throws my calculation out the window.

I disagree, but that's certainly a fair assessment. It's going to be a close match if they play. And when it's close, you usually take the team with the best Ace.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
structuralinertia
Profile Joined June 2009
Australia1426 Posts
July 17 2009 18:24 GMT
#25
i support the conjectures of this article

samsung have been luring everyone else into a false sense of security, so if they can somehow find their a-game again they're a good shot at upsetting everyone. I hope....
BisuBoi
Profile Joined February 2009
United States350 Posts
July 17 2009 18:38 GMT
#26
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.
fanatacist
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
10319 Posts
July 17 2009 18:45 GMT
#27
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

Stork and Best are pretty similar in PvP skill, Bisu is clearly superior to both of them currently, and JangBi is somewhere in between or around Stork/Best.
Peace~
bearbuddy
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
3442 Posts
July 17 2009 18:56 GMT
#28
Oh, sorry, I read the topic as "Why Khan will get second place"

>.> <.<

I kid, I kid.
NonFactor
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sweden698 Posts
July 17 2009 19:03 GMT
#29
On July 18 2009 03:45 fanatacist wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

Stork and Best are pretty similar in PvP skill, Bisu is clearly superior to both of them currently, and JangBi is somewhere in between or around Stork/Best.


Fanboy. Stork whooped Bisu last time they met, and will do so again. Best is horrible currently, slumping even more then Stork and Jangbi.
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
July 17 2009 19:08 GMT
#30
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.


Stork:
2123 ELO, 5-5 L10 overall, 5-3 PvP since losing to Jangbi in March

Jangbi:
2128 ELO, 2-8 L10 overall, 1-6 in PvP since beating Stork in Lost Saga MSL back in March

Best:
2123 ELO, 5-5 L10 overall, 2-2 in PvP since losing to Bisu in Batoo OSL in MSL

Bisu:
2298 ELO, 8-2 L10 overall, 10-3 in PvP since beating Best in March

Looking at that, I'd say Bisu >> Stork >= Best = Jangbi at the moment in PvP and overall. Jangbi is playing like ass so who knows what form his vZ and vT will be in? Bisu is so much better than them in every MU, and Best is comparable to Jangbi given how badly Jangbi's been playing lately. Stork's record isn't that much better.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
FranzF1
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Chile1710 Posts
July 17 2009 19:09 GMT
#31
yeah stork > bisu... and jb > best.

This is the Khan playoff.
We are going to see a new a ceremony of FBH every night =D
Member #99999^99 of the fanclub of Grape, Reality and TurN
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
July 17 2009 19:09 GMT
#32
On July 18 2009 04:03 NonFactor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2009 03:45 fanatacist wrote:
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

Stork and Best are pretty similar in PvP skill, Bisu is clearly superior to both of them currently, and JangBi is somewhere in between or around Stork/Best.


Fanboy. Stork whooped Bisu last time they met, and will do so again. Best is horrible currently, slumping even more then Stork and Jangbi.

You really should check up on stats and watch the games before you make these sort of statements. Jangbi is playing by far the worst out of all four of them, and Bisu would be a big favorite if he were to play any of them. Most likely though there won't be many PvPs on these maps.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
July 17 2009 19:10 GMT
#33
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

If you extend that to include their next player in line though, it swings heavily in favor of SKT. Bisu/Best/Fantasy > Stork/Jangbi/FBH. Bisu and Fantasy have both been playing well as of late, while KHAN's protoss aces have obviously been slumping. They have the capacity to go toe to toe with Bisu and Fantasy, but in their current form it's unlikely.

Best and FBH are both the obvious weak links in the teams' top 3 players, but Best on a good day is FAR better than Firebathero on a good day. Both have their obvious problem matchups, but I'm going to have to say that say Best's PvZ is less atrocious than Firebathero's TvP. Moreover, given the lineups of the teams, FBH's bad matchup is more likely to be relevant in an SKT v KHAN final than Best's (SKT has 2 strong Protosses, while KHAN only has 1 good Zerg).
Moderator
ketomai
Profile Joined June 2007
United States2789 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-07-17 19:11:31
July 17 2009 19:11 GMT
#34
Hotbid, Musoeun was conceding that Calm's ZvZ isn't as good as EffOrt's and arguing that he is more solid in other matchups, therefore a better all around player.
fanatacist
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
10319 Posts
July 17 2009 19:11 GMT
#35
On July 18 2009 04:03 NonFactor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2009 03:45 fanatacist wrote:
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Hotbid I have to disagree with you on Stork/JB < Bisu/Best. You look at those pairs of toss and if they faced off, at worst, Khan would go 1-1. Stork vs Bisu is a cointoss, but JB will wreck Best. I don't know how you can say JB is slumping (he is) and not mention how utter shat Best is right now.

And then on the flipside, Jangbi vs Bisu is a loss for Khan, but Best vs Stork is no way in hell going to be a SKT win. Stork's PvP is 10x better than Best's. Best had a hot streak but once everyone realized he's a macro hound without any tactical sense, his days were numbered. Stork's got his number and will not come up short vs this guy.

Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

Stork and Best are pretty similar in PvP skill, Bisu is clearly superior to both of them currently, and JangBi is somewhere in between or around Stork/Best.


Fanboy. Stork whooped Bisu last time they met, and will do so again. Best is horrible currently, slumping even more then Stork and Jangbi.

Bisu whooped Stork in an MSL Finals setting, when Stork was in better form than he is now and Bisu was not as good as he is now. The loss Bisu has to Stork is on SoT in Proleague, which means fuck-all. Bisu is 8-4 vs. JangBi. Best raped Stork the last time they fought after the Incruit OSL, and is 3-0 vs. JangBi in the past year. Get out.
Peace~
Hot_Bid
Profile Blog Joined October 2003
Braavos36390 Posts
July 17 2009 19:21 GMT
#36
On July 18 2009 04:11 nevake wrote:
Hotbid, Musoeun was conceding that Calm's ZvZ isn't as good as EffOrt's and arguing that he is more solid in other matchups, therefore a better all around player.

Oh, it was worded confusingly.

Still, lets compare the other MUs since April:
Effort vs T: 14-2, losses to Flash and Mind (won series 2-1), 2170 ELO #3 ZvT
Calm vs T: 11-2, losses to Leta and Hiya, 2147 ELO #4 ZvT

Effort vs P: 9-2, losses to Iron and Bisu, 2141 ELO #3 ZvP
Calm vs P: 8-1, loss to Bisu, 2117 ELO #5 ZvP


Both are have sick records of course, but I don't know how you can say Calm is "more solid." If anything Effort is slightly ahead in both non ZvZ matchups. At best, Calm is equal, and their ZvZ is far in Effort's favor.
@Hot_Bid on Twitter - ESPORTS life since 2010 - http://i.imgur.com/U2psw.png
BisuBoi
Profile Joined February 2009
United States350 Posts
July 17 2009 19:31 GMT
#37
On July 18 2009 04:10 TheYango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2009 03:38 BisuBoi wrote:
Then you look at the other matchups possible. As if Best's vZ is better than Stork's? And Jangbi's sure as hell is better than Best's. Bisu is the best toss out of all 4 of them, but Best is the worst. Best and worst vs 2 very very solid toss. In my op, it's equal if not favoring Khan.

If you extend that to include their next player in line though, it swings heavily in favor of SKT. Bisu/Best/Fantasy > Stork/Jangbi/FBH. Bisu and Fantasy have both been playing well as of late, while KHAN's protoss aces have obviously been slumping. They have the capacity to go toe to toe with Bisu and Fantasy, but in their current form it's unlikely.

Best and FBH are both the obvious weak links in the teams' top 3 players, but Best on a good day is FAR better than Firebathero on a good day. Both have their obvious problem matchups, but I'm going to have to say that say Best's PvZ is less atrocious than Firebathero's TvP. Moreover, given the lineups of the teams, FBH's bad matchup is more likely to be relevant in an SKT v KHAN final than Best's (SKT has 2 strong Protosses, while KHAN only has 1 good Zerg).



I agree 100% with you Yango. Top 3 vs top 3 SKT has Khan outclassed badly right now. And it's 100% due to Fantasy, who is an amazing player. But just the toss pairs alone, I don't think it's justifiable to say that SKT is better.

To Hotbid: Thanks for taking the time to put up the statistical comparisons. It makes me think Best is less stinky. But I still think they're kind of skewed because they capture Jangbi and Stork at their absolute worst, while Best has been nowhere to be seen. He didn't even show up to the leagues this season and he's been a non-factor in the PL. It's really a Bisu/Fantasy show over at SKT. To me, Best ranks alongside Kal right now. Below Jangbi, and definitely below Stork/Bisu.
SuperArc
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Austria7781 Posts
July 17 2009 19:57 GMT
#38
You're ranking Kal below Jangbi? Where have you been the last few months?
Snow - future of protoss! :) Nada = baller
Enrique
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States377 Posts
July 17 2009 21:23 GMT
#39
I can't say I know Khan will win, but I really think (hope!) it wont be the trouncing everyone thinks it will.

I believe; Khan fighting!
~Inter Arma Enim Silent Leges~
Mykill
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
Canada3402 Posts
July 17 2009 21:30 GMT
#40
errr
KHAN is full of slumpers.

in the last 10
(P)JangBi is 2W-8L
(P)Stork is 5W-5L
(T)firebathero is 5W-5L
(Z)great 5W-5L

so essentially we're looking at a 50% chance of winning good luck KHAN!
[~~The Impossible Leads To Invention~~] CJ Entusman #52 The problem with internet quotations is that they are hard to verify -Abraham Lincoln c.1863
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