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My FPL in-depth

Blogs > iMrising
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iMrising
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
United States1099 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-22 08:36:05
December 22 2014 08:27 GMT
#1
I am going to do some in depth analysis so i can feel better about my decisions. I spent several hours (sad) pondering about how to do this, and I'm still not happy.

Everyone too expensive

Main Team
2 (Z)BBoongBBoong
6 (T)Bbyong (captain)
5 (P)Classic
4 (Z)Leenock
5 (Z)Rogue
4 (T)sKyHigh
4 CJ Entus

Anti Team
4 (P)San
4 (P)Stork
5 (T)TaeJa

Anti Team
The anti team was relatively easy. Taeja and San are mercenaries and therefore will not be played as much because they do not represent the original team. MVP and Startale would much rather field their own players than mercenaries, which partly explains their absence. If one of them were playing, I could trade them. Stork is a player-coach, and isn't starting, so he goes into the Anti.

More depth into the Anti Team (or anything else FPL related) can be found at Pangpootata's blog:
http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/448172-guide-how-to-fpl
Much of the FPL philosophy follows him, so it's a highly recommended read.


Main Team
The woes of the main team. I first started with CJ Entus, with the logic that they are a solid team with Byul, herO, Bbyong + SkyHigh, Hush, and Sora. Their schedule is very easy for the first 4 weeks, where they play:
1. Samsung 2. Startale 3. Prime 4. MVP before playing Jin, KT, SKT. After week 4 I'll trade them.
I decided to choose a better team than spend them on players because the players this year are way overpriced, so its probably not worth the investment when CJ will have a better chance of doing better.

Bbyong
was the easiest choice for me. Bbyong has traditionally done very well in team leagues, and is 2nd best in CJ, so he could very well come out for ace if herO isn't doing very well. He also draws a relatively easy opponent in Bravo. Bbyong will be fielded almost every game and have a pretty good chance versus anyone. 6 Points is a lot, but its a lot better than some other options.

Classic
will be fielded for almost every SKT game. I wouldn't have said this last year, but since the depth of SKT has been reduced, Classic has a better chance of playing every game. Classic faces up versus Seed, and classic's PvP is strong enough to have a good chance against Seed. For 5 points, its a pretty good deal.

Leenock
faces Creator, so it can be considered to be an even match. But lets take a look at Startale's lineup.
Bomber, Life, Leenock, Curious, Hack, Pet, aLive, which does have pretty good depth. But remember Bomber won't be playing, and I feel Leenock is a steop above Curious, Hack, Pet, and aLive. Enough that I feel he will be fielded for most games for Startale.

The big question mark for Leenock is that he's a player from Yoe, which as mentioned above, isn't a good thing. Leenock is probably a questionable choice. What we have to see is whether Leenock is a better choice than Yonghwa.
Yonghwa isn't a mercenary, but he faces up against soO, which doesn't fare well for him. I feel that Yonghwa has a better chance of getting rotated out of the lineup as well, but it really cuts it close. I feel that Leenock's chance of beating Creator is better than Yonghwa beating soO.

Rogue
for 5 points. Rogue is kind of risky as well, and as we look at the lineup, it says: sOs, Maru, Rogue, Cure, Terminator, Symbol, Trap, and Pigbaby. (I know adios is there too, but I'm not listing players that I feel have a very small/no chance of playing) In previous Proleagues, Rogue has started in most matches, and I feel that even with the new found depth in Jin Air, Rogue will be starting for most matches.

Its also risky because Rogue is facing up against Flash. But if we take a look at Rogue's ZvT, it's not as bad as you may think.
http://aligulac.com/players/1662/results/?after=&before=&event=&race=t&country=all&bestof=all&offline=both&game=all&op=
Its a toss-up, but even if Rogue loses, I have faith that Rogue will play in Jin Air's other matches.

At this point, choosing between my remaining 6 points was extremely difficult. I could go for 3-3, 4-2, or 5-1 in point distribution. two 3 pointers is unreasonable because:
Hush, Hurricane, Symbol, Trap, Sora, Losira, Hero, Emotion, Center, Terminator, Pigbaby aren't exactly good choices. Looking deeper, only Emotion, Hush, and Center are starting. Emotion plays Hush, and Center plays innovation. Ouch. The other 3 pointers are too risky to choose. Trap, Symbol, Pigbaby, and Terminator are all 3 pointers fighting for that 1 slot in the lineup. Sora, Hero and Hush are in the same situation for their respective teams.

5-1 isn't very good either. Out of the 5 pointers, we have Yoda, Dark, Taeja, Bomber. By no means am I calling Bomber a bad player. In fact, Bomber will probably beat Yoda when they play each other. But Bomber explicitly said that he would not be playing very much. A good strategy would be to trade Bomber after playing Yoda, which should be considered. However, the other player we must choose is a 1 point player, which will just be collecting dust throughout the round. The best choice is probably adios, who's in Jin Air, so he can get maybe 5-6 points for being in their team.

So what about 4-2? This is where my logic wavers.
4-2 isn't good either. Looking at the 4 point players, we have: Dream, Cure, Yonghwa, Skyhigh, Curious, and Seed,

Seed will probably be rotated around in the lineup, and he plays Classic. Not very good chances for Seed, but there's some hope. Curious plays Myungsik, Cure plays Stats, so they have decent chances against them. Dream/Skyhigh are benched.

I could have easily gone for the risky Cure/Curious and pray for them to win their matches. But instead, I went for the safe option in Skyhigh. Skyhigh was mentioned to be the best player on CJ. (but isn't starting??) I'm simply betting that Skyhigh will be fielded in later matches, and if not I can trade. BboongBboong I have more faith will play for Prime later on, considering his recent results.

Honorable mentions:
Yoda - A really good pick, but I don't think he'll beat Bomber. I feel that Yoda will be a very good pick in the near future.
Dream - A rising star. I think he'll be an interesting player to watch if he ever gets rotated into the lineup.
Byul - A safe pick, but 6 is expensive, and he plays solar. Ouch. Byul is a good player though.
Creator - A good choice considering he's on Prime, and will be playing a lot. I'm favoring Leenock versus him though. I might regret that decision. I also don't have enough points to purchase him.
Cure - An interesting choice. As Pangpootata mentioned, he might not be playing a lot considering Jin Air's new found depth.

Perhaps you think different in my decision making. I'm seriously considering changing out SkyHigh. (again)

Happy FPLing! Welcome to questions and such, but the deadline for FPL ends very soon
I'm fine if people copy my build .(although not exactly) Thanks for reading.

****
$O$ | soO
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-12-23 22:08:58
December 23 2014 22:07 GMT
#2
I see you've joined the LOTS of trades group. Just so you know, the minimum requirement for that is averaging two trades per week
I can't say I like your anti-team though. Any or all of those players could have a very easy matchup (imagine your horror if TaeJa finds himself playing a protoss and San is against a zerg on the same week...).
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
iMrising
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
United States1099 Posts
December 24 2014 03:17 GMT
#3
On December 24 2014 07:07 The_Templar wrote:
I see you've joined the LOTS of trades group. Just so you know, the minimum requirement for that is averaging two trades per week
I can't say I like your anti-team though. Any or all of those players could have a very easy matchup (imagine your horror if TaeJa finds himself playing a protoss and San is against a zerg on the same week...).

I think I already screwed myself over with San playing in the ace match.
Have faith have faith...
$O$ | soO
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