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Active: 562 users

Terrorism in numbers

Blogs > Manit0u
Post a Reply
1 2 Next All
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17242 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 18:10:25
December 13 2010 18:08 GMT
#1
I'm currently working on the final paper for my bachelor's degree and did some number crunching on terrorism in 2009 (will add 2010 tomorrow).
Seeing how we have this "How real is the terrorist threat?" topic popping from time to time, I thought it could be a good idea to put down some of the results I got.

Basic statistics for 2009*1

Number of terrorist attacks: 715
People dead: 4407
People injured: 11725

This gives us an average of 1.95 attacks/day, 12 people killed and 32 injured daily.

Bloodiest month: September (639 dead, 1620 injured)

Largest number of casualties in single attack: 155 dead and 500 injured on 25th of October in Baghdad.

Most dangerous places: Baghdad, Mosul and Peshawar (almost 1/3rd of all attacks occured in this three cities).

The map of terrorist incident spread across the world during the first half of 2009:

[image loading]

I'll be adding some more interesting facts and numbers when I'm done going through 2010.

+ Show Spoiler [*1] +

Note: This data is inaccurate as there is no complete list of casualties available and in some instances the numbers are just rough estimates. All the numbers should be higher in reality.


*
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
stenole
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
Norway868 Posts
December 13 2010 18:15 GMT
#2
What are the criteria for it being called a "terrorist attack"? I'm just curious.
Mavkar
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Germany592 Posts
December 13 2010 18:23 GMT
#3
On December 14 2010 03:15 stenole wrote:
What are the criteria for it being called a "terrorist attack"? I'm just curious.

Yeah, me too. Where's the line between a terrorist attack and a normal day at some base in Afghanistan with some shooting? Does it also involve taking hostages? And what is the scientific relevant definitions of a "terrorist" in contrast to a normal criminal or maybe organized crime?
I'm shy and reserved, even on the internet.
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17242 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 18:26:50
December 13 2010 18:24 GMT
#4
On December 14 2010 03:15 stenole wrote:
What are the criteria for it being called a "terrorist attack"? I'm just curious.


It's data from reported bombings, mortar bombardment (not all that many instances here), assassination attempts and outright armed assaults performed by members of terrorist organizations. Over 90% of the data is from bombings though.
There are no kidnapping, hostage situations, plane/car hijack attempts or cyber terrorism instances included.
Some failed attempts are also included.

There isn't all that much comprehensive data to work with on this matter. The subject is huge and spread all over the place (Internet, books, articles) and it's pretty hard to compile it reasonably since the amount of raw data is overwhelming.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
Romantic
Profile Joined January 2010
United States1844 Posts
December 13 2010 18:33 GMT
#5
Any such list not including US attacks is a joke.
Uranium
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States1077 Posts
December 13 2010 18:35 GMT
#6
I'd like to know what percentage of these attacks can be related to or have been directly claimed by Islamist extremist groups. They get the lion's share of the blame for terrorism in American media, so I want to know if this is really true.
"Sentry imba! You see? YOU SEE??!!" - Sen | "Marauder die die!" - oGsMC | "Oh my god, she texted me back!" - Day[9]
XsebT
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Denmark2980 Posts
December 13 2010 18:38 GMT
#7
Interesting statistic, but:
Bomings isn't always = terrorism. (At least as I see it):
Terrorism is an attempt to cause fear in a society, which is succesfully accomplished by many of the World's leaders among others. A good example of terrorism with bombings was Al-Qaeda's attempt to shut down the voting process in Iraq by making people fear puplic gatherings because of the risk of a bomb going off. They of course do this because they are "against democracy"... (I'm not quite sure how they agreed to that).
화이팅
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
December 13 2010 18:39 GMT
#8
On December 14 2010 03:08 Manit0u wrote:
Seeing how we have this "How real is the terrorist threat?" topic popping from time to time, I thought it could be a good idea to put down some of the results I got.


You can't use attacks by insurgents in unstable countries to predict the threat of terrorist attacks in developed countries (US, EU members, etc.)
Note that I'm not saying these attacks don't constitute terrorism. Many do.

But the interesting question is how much danger do these people pose to us. This is what tells us what steps are reasonable to avert this danger.

"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17242 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 19:02:06
December 13 2010 19:00 GMT
#9
On December 14 2010 03:38 XsebT wrote:
Interesting statistic, but:
Bomings isn't always = terrorism. (At least as I see it):
Terrorism is an attempt to cause fear in a society, which is succesfully accomplished by many of the World's leaders among others. A good example of terrorism with bombings was Al-Qaeda's attempt to shut down the voting process in Iraq by making people fear puplic gatherings because of the risk of a bomb going off. They of course do this because they are "against democracy"... (I'm not quite sure how they agreed to that).


Depends what definition of terrorism are you using (what kind of terrorism?).

Here's what WikiPedia tells you:

Terrorism is the systematic use of terror especially as a means of coercion. No universally agreed, legally binding, criminal law definition of terrorism currently exists. Common definitions of terrorism refer only to those violent acts which are intended to create fear (terror), are perpetrated for a religious, political or ideological goal, deliberately target or disregard the safety of non-combatants (civilians), and are committed by non-government agencies.


Here's my take on it:

War is thus an act of force to compel our enemy to do our will.


That's your classic Clausewitz right there, but we need to go further:

Asymmetric warfare is war between belligerents whose relative military power differs significantly, or whose strategy or tactics differ significantly.

"Asymmetric warfare" can describe a conflict in which the resources of two belligerents differ in essence and in the struggle, interact and attempt to exploit each other's characteristic weaknesses. Such struggles often involve strategies and tactics of unconventional warfare, the "weaker" combatants attempting to use strategy to offset deficiencies in quantity or quality. Such strategies may not necessarily be militarized. This is in contrast to symmetric warfare, where two powers have similar military power and resources and rely on tactics that are similar overall, differing only in details and execution.


That's more or less what I'm using in my paper (I'm writing on counter-terrorism but have to provide basic terrorism info for that) and I'm counting terrorism as asymmetric warfare.
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
XsebT
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Denmark2980 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 19:08:13
December 13 2010 19:02 GMT
#10
On December 14 2010 04:00 Manit0u wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 14 2010 03:38 XsebT wrote:
Interesting statistic, but:
Bomings isn't always = terrorism. (At least as I see it):
Terrorism is an attempt to cause fear in a society, which is succesfully accomplished by many of the World's leaders among others. A good example of terrorism with bombings was Al-Qaeda's attempt to shut down the voting process in Iraq by making people fear puplic gatherings because of the risk of a bomb going off. They of course do this because they are "against democracy"... (I'm not quite sure how they agreed to that).


Depends what definition of terrorism are you using (what kind of terrorism?).

Here's what WikiPedia tells you:
Show nested quote +

Terrorism is the systematic use of terror especially as a means of coercion. No universally agreed, legally binding, criminal law definition of terrorism currently exists. Common definitions of terrorism refer only to those violent acts which are intended to create fear (terror), are perpetrated for a religious, political or ideological goal, deliberately target or disregard the safety of non-combatants (civilians), and are committed by non-government agencies.


Here's my take on it:
Show nested quote +

War is thus an act of force to compel our enemy to do our will.

That's your classic Clausewitz right there, but we need to go further:
Show nested quote +

Asymmetric warfare is war between belligerents whose relative military power differs significantly, or whose strategy or tactics differ significantly.

"Asymmetric warfare" can describe a conflict in which the resources of two belligerents differ in essence and in the struggle, interact and attempt to exploit each other's characteristic weaknesses. Such struggles often involve strategies and tactics of unconventional warfare, the "weaker" combatants attempting to use strategy to offset deficiencies in quantity or quality. Such strategies may not necessarily be militarized. This is in contrast to symmetric warfare, where two powers have similar military power and resources and rely on tactics that are similar overall, differing only in details and execution.


That's more or less what I'm using in my paper (I'm writing on counter-terrorism but have to provide basic terrorism info for that).

I said it was "as I see it". There are lots of delicate definition with complex wording, but let's agree that "terror" means fear.
화이팅
Manit0u
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
Poland17242 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 19:14:10
December 13 2010 19:13 GMT
#11
Actually, terrorism has changed in the past years. It is now targeted more for media publicity to gather support for your organization more than actually instilling fear (that's a byproduct now, not the object, of terrorism for most organizations).
Time is precious. Waste it wisely.
jmillz
Profile Joined November 2010
73 Posts
December 13 2010 19:14 GMT
#12
this is one sided communication in the end, aka propaganda. we got this whole movement of liberals on the internet nowadays who act like know it alls yet they still believe theres a "good guy" in war. as far as im concerned hezbollah is as much as a terrorist organization as any other militarized country.
Froadac
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States6733 Posts
December 13 2010 19:22 GMT
#13
I'm moving to canada.

That aside this is interesting, but probably not terribly accurate.
EffectS
Profile Joined May 2010
Belgium795 Posts
December 13 2010 19:26 GMT
#14
I just dropped by to say Happy Birthday.
TEEHEE
Shana
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Indonesia1814 Posts
December 13 2010 22:13 GMT
#15
The greatest casualty is from Bali Bombing 2002. 202 died and 200 more injured, mostly australian.

In case you're wondering, Bali is in Indonesia.
Believing in what lies ahead. | That which we call a rose, by any other name would smell as sweet.
Zim23
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1681 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 22:40:29
December 13 2010 22:39 GMT
#16
The definition of terrorism is too subjective for me to be able to process information like this. The word itself is so loaded with bias and propaganda that the moment I see it I start to take things with a grain of salt. We really should get rid of that word in my opinion, it just breeds fear and hatred and sometimes it's completely unwarranted.
Do an arranged marriage if she's not completely minging, and don't worry about dancing, get a go-kart, cheers.
DoXa
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Switzerland1448 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-13 23:28:53
December 13 2010 23:25 GMT
#17
Interesting, would like to see the numbers of 2010. and what are your main sources?

And wszystkiego najlepszego z okazji urodzin (hope thats spelled right love your posts in the Random pics thread)


On December 14 2010 07:13 Shana wrote:
The greatest casualty is from Bali Bombing 2002. 202 died and 200 more injured, mostly australian.

In case you're wondering, Bali is in Indonesia.


That may be the highest number of dead people, but with over 500 injured people the attack in Baghdad is worse. Both very sad things.
Shana
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Indonesia1814 Posts
December 14 2010 00:03 GMT
#18
I somehow missed the injured numbers from baghdad bombing, wtf hundreds killed and injured 500.
Believing in what lies ahead. | That which we call a rose, by any other name would smell as sweet.
BlackJack
Profile Blog Joined June 2003
United States10431 Posts
December 14 2010 00:30 GMT
#19
whats wrong with a simple definition that terrorist attacks target civilians and insurgent attacks target occupying forces?
FlowerbedOfDreams
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada126 Posts
December 14 2010 00:36 GMT
#20
Nice research there, Manit0u, and happy birthday! Hopefully you don't waste too much of it arguing with the discriminating liquidian intelligentsia

It's quite shocking to see these high numbers. You don't get a good idea of the anual casualties from the daily reports. 12 dead, 32 injured DAILY? Damn!
"SKT is best KT." -Vortok
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