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TL Mafia 2 [GG]

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 13 2008 17:01 GMT
#106
I'd like to join if it's still possible.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-03-18 13:03:20
March 18 2008 13:02 GMT
#470
I don't like the way Empyrean has put himself up for mayor. He is basically forcing us to put him in a protected position or risk loosing a detective right away, which is a strategy that is (too) risky in my eyes. I doubt any real detective would put his powers on the line that easily. So I assume he is lying about being a detective, so I don't know what else he is lying about right now.

Ghar's plan sounds reasonable, but the detectives can do that for every mayor and not just not him. I don't see a real flaw in the plan, but I am hoping a more experienced mafia player can point out one or two. I can't be that easy. Also, is it worth it for the mafia to loose one member like that if they can take out the mayor and 1 or 2 detectives? (Sorry for being such a noob).

Sonuvbob has 4 votes already, despite having given very little reason to vote for him other than him being able to see edits and having other mod powers. Also he announced that he was running for mayor at 16:09 (TL time) with this post:


Ah what the hell,

I'm announcing my candidacy for mayor.

My platform: Being less of a douche than Steve was


He got his first vote in the voting thread at 16:14, 5 minutes later, before he even made a second post. The person voting for him was LTT. I don't know if he participated in the previous TL mafia (I couldn't find that post anywhere), but if someone can confirm that? If he did, it makes it even more suspicious for me, because he knows the game and yet still votes for someone right after he reads the post, even though the reasoning behind Sonuvbob running for mayor at that time was just that he would be less of a douche that FS. Mafia promoting their candidate too early?

So far I am not sure on who to vote, but I am waiting for a candidate to truly convince me.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 18 2008 15:10 GMT
#491
If the mayor that is elected is mafia, I think the mafia win with that plan. They get to remove the mayor and one detective from the game for the price of only one of their members.

If however the mayor is a townie, the plan sounds good to me.

With the detective roles I assume we will find out if the mayor is a mafia member anyway since there is bound to be at least one detective checking that.

Right now it is hard to trust anyone, but near impossible to point out the mafia members (unless they do something really stupid). We, as the town, have to be careful to accuse anyone since the mafia can easily benefit from that. If we start accusing other townies and fighting amongst ourselves the mafia have nothing worry about in the beginning. Also something Bill307 said in the write-up post made a lot of sense to me.

I think the only way to form true evidence-based suspicions is to require numerous clues at a minimum, since multiple red-herrings pointing to the same unfortunate Towny is much less likely than multiple intentional clues pointing to the same mafioso.


While Ghar's plan indeed is good and it does give direction, it also really bad if we elect a mayor that turns out to be mafia.

So, considering Randomburn put in the effort to send out pm's before the roles were handed out, there being a 20/130 chance he then got a mafia role and with the excellent voting record he had last game, I am inclined to go with him for mayor.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 18 2008 19:42 GMT
#600
I agree with quite a lot that has been said. I don't think we can accuse anyone of being mafia so far unless they do something strange. The only strange thing I've seen so far is Emp announcing himself a detective, which has deffinately put him on my radar as suspicious. For the rest I just want to vote for the mayor that comes of as the least suspicious and has an actual plan.

I am liking the bodyguard idea that Ace put forward. It seems it can work really well, even if it would cost us one bodyguard, coordinating all the efforts of our special roles is probably worth it. He is getting a lot of votes right now though, so if that continues he will probably become mayor anyway and I am more interested in getting someone else with good idea's in the pardoner role. Randomburn is making quite a lot of sense as well so far.

So I am withholding my vote for now to see if Ace will indeed take a huge lead and perhaps for other candidates to announce they are running for mayor.

Oh and, fair enough Sonuvbob.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 18 2008 20:09 GMT
#606
On March 19 2008 05:02 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I'd just like to say something about the bodyguard plan with one bodyguard stepping up front to accept everyone's roles; This could easily be done by the mafia too if the mayor is a mafia member. Mafia could fake being a bodyguard and thus it's not really any better then just sending the roles to the mayor.


But won't the real bodyguards notice this?

If there are 7 bodyguards and they all get the message and one of them steps forward, no problem.

If there are 7 bodyguards and one doesn't get the message he will know something fishy is going on.

If there are 7 bodyguards and they all get the message but an 8th person steps forward and say's the mayor is not mafia, they will also know something is wrong.

Right, or am I missing something?
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 18 2008 23:10 GMT
#742
I don't know what to think of Emp now. If he is that good of a player I don't think he would out himself that easily as a detective. However if it is indeed an idea the mafia cooked up, why put forward such an experienced player for such a dangerous plot? It does seem to work however, since he is getting a lot of votes. So, for now, I think I will vote for Ace, just to make sure he will stay in the lead.

Can't wait to wake up tomorrow and having to read through like 50 pages.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 19 2008 11:14 GMT
#1001
I can't help but bring this back from about 10 pages ago, but it was something that really stood out for me.

Ah, good find; I probably just remembered that I would be unable to play for a long period of time - I had to leave for school, so I was away for about seven hours. In either case, my argument is the same. I just have a bad memory.


He made his post at 19:33 TL time. Now if remember correctly from my geography classes, China and Korea are no that far apart. So that means, the timezone difference can't be that great (somewhere between 1-4 hours, depending on where you live in China would be my guess). That means that Emp said he had to go to school for 7 hours straight and that school would be starting at 15:33 - 18:33. A strange time to start with school if you ask me.

I still think that Ace is the best candidate for mayor since he has a plan, but Emp has made so many strange descision that I really hope that people that voted for him will rethink their votes again.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 19 2008 20:09 GMT
#1091
On March 20 2008 05:06 Vharox wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2008 04:44 ShaLLoW[baY] wrote:
By the way, I apologize to Vharox, I didn't even consider that it could be your brother, and you didn't seem like the kind to cheat when we were discussing last game.


Forgiven :-P <3


About that, I seriously don't see the reason why they would cheat in this game, so I vote we don't remove either of them from the game.

And stop accusing people of being mafia, we can't tell so far who is and who isn't. The only reasons to do it now is to cause more confusion amongst the town members and that is something town members should not try to do.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 19 2008 20:22 GMT
#1096
On March 20 2008 05:14 Falcynn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 20 2008 05:09 Lenwe wrote:
On March 20 2008 05:06 Vharox wrote:
On March 20 2008 04:44 ShaLLoW[baY] wrote:
By the way, I apologize to Vharox, I didn't even consider that it could be your brother, and you didn't seem like the kind to cheat when we were discussing last game.


Forgiven :-P <3


About that, I seriously don't see the reason why they would cheat in this game, so I vote we don't remove either of them from the game.

And stop accusing people of being mafia, we can't tell so far who is and who isn't. The only reasons to do it now is to cause more confusion amongst the town members and that is something town members should not try to do.


Noone's trying to get anyone lynched at this point. The only reason people are trying to figure out if Empyrean is mafia or not is because he's running for mayor and obviously a mafia mayor would be bad (and they're not even trying to be certain about his affiliation, only his likeliness of being mafia). All the other people interpreting clues aren't doing it because they're trying to get those people lynched, they're just getting some sleuthing started so that when more clues come in we can cross reference them with what we've already gathered. No harm in that.


You are right, I read back to about 10 pages again and I thought I saw more accusations, but there are actually only very few so far. And I agree about not getting emp in a position of power as can be seen by my earlier posts.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 19 2008 22:57 GMT
#1134
By that reasoning everyone that voted for someone without giving a reason is suspicious. Would be nice to make a list of that, something I might get on tomorrow. Time for bed, hopefully when I wake up we will have moved on and the mayor/pardoner are know.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 20 2008 11:57 GMT
#1458
It's night now Bob, so we will have to wait and see who the mafia kill.

Congratulations Ace and Random on getting Mayor and pardoner, I hope we voted wisely and you will indeed turn out to be townies. I just wish we had some idea on when a detective will have checked Ace so we can be absolutely sure and his plans can be set in motion.

I hope we can all agree on one thing. Confusion, wether it are so called funny post, drunk post, accusing post or whatever, will not benefit the town. If all the townies can agree to stop with all those post then it would make it a lot easier to come up with solid strategies. Also, if everyone agrees, the people still stirring up all kinds of things automatically become suspicious, because it is not doing the town any good.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 20 2008 15:53 GMT
#1495
On March 21 2008 00:42 Scorch wrote:
I have a question though: what hinders a Mafia from claiming to be a Detective who has found Ace to be a Towny, and contacting him to infiltrate / gain access to the resistance group? The fraud would only leak out if ALL other "real" Detectives are in contact with Ace too. There would then be five Detectives, one of which is an impostor. But who?


If we assume all detectives contact Ace once he has been cleared, so when no detective has spoken up, that means that all four should contact him. If more than four detectives are contacting Ace he said he would have a plan ready, which he has not revealed yet.

If any of the real detectives decided not to contact Ace, then this could prove to be a problem however.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 20 2008 19:59 GMT
#1580
On March 21 2008 04:57 Scorch wrote:
The fact that no Detective has yet stood up yet claiming to have found Ace a mafia member indicates that, in fact, Ace is townie.


I'd wait a bit longer with claiming this, this night hasn't gone on for 24 hours, so it is possible that noone of the detectives has had time to check or that Chiui hasn't had time to reply yet.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 20 2008 20:32 GMT
#1593
On March 20 2008 14:22 Ace wrote:
Reposting for clarification:

The Bodyguard Plan (fully revised)

This is a strategy I've used in the past to win games, and it works very well if even a slight majority of the main players involved use it.

The base of this plan lends itself to the fact that no innocent Townie knows for sure who else is innocent or what roles they are. Also is the fact that the main disadvantage the Town has is lack of information, whereas our main advantage is numbers. Combining these two things is the Bodyguard Plan.

At the start of the game, the only non-Mafia/elected roles that any other player can possibly know for sure is a Bodyguard. The Mayor receives this info once elected into office. This plan is best with an innocent Mayor, but it also forces a Mafia Mayor to help the town in the event he/she is ever elected.

When the Mayor is elected, their first plan of action should be to PM all the Bodyguards each other's identities. This pus information into the hands of the Townies that is critical.

Assume there are 7 bodyguards. The Mayor PMs all of them the identity of the other 6. All of them then PM each other to

1: confirm they got a PM stating they are the bodyguard from the Mayor
2: make sure they ALL have the same list of Bodyguards

In the case of an Innocent Mayor doing this, we have 7 townies all on the same side off the jump and this will be a major help to the Town if they all know the roles of 6 other innocents asap.

In the case of a Mafia Mayor he could actually try and add a Mafia member to the list of Bodyguards or ignore a real Bodyguard - and this is where the true failsafe in the plan comes in.

Failsafe:

Remember, all Bodyguards SHOULD get that PM. If any of the Bodyguards don't get it then they should know something is clearly fishy and should investigate hastily.
The Mayor would be investigated from Day 1, so the Town will know for sure if he/she is innocent or not which will allow the Bodyguards to know they can or can't trust the Mayor. If the Mayor turns out dirty, the Bodyguards will clearly speak up asap. If the Mayor is legit, then that Bodyguard list is 100% legit and ensures we have a solid base to start from because the Detectives stay silent.

In summary the idea of this plan is self checking:

Bodyguards are checked by each other and Mayor with the PMs
Mayor is checked by Detectives

Detectives stay silent if the Mayor is legit, and speak up if he is Mafia

If ANY Detective speaks up against the Mayor and we can't decide whether or not who to believe, we go to the ultimatum approach - just lynch the DT first and if he is telling the truth the Mayor is Mafia. Boom - Mafia Mayor gone by the second day.

If the Mayor tends to be Mafia and releases a corrupted list, then the BGs will speak up and name the people on the list. The DTs paying attention to this, investigate the names. The Mafia will have added just thrown some of their members into a trap and will get figured out eventually.

In the case of an innocent Mayor this 100% guarantees us safety, in the case of a Mafia Mayor it takes us at worst 2 days to clean up the mess. This is my plan of action to start the game off.


In the event the list is released publicly, the best part of this plan is that the spotlight is taken off of the Detectives and put on the Bodyguards. This allows the Detectives to stay quiet, and for the Medics to have a list of people they need to watch. Remember what I stated earlier - the Town's main disadvantage is that we lack information and this plan serves to rectify that while maximizing our main advantage - numbers.

Once the base has been formed (Mayors + Bodyguards) we can start generating a list of suspects together, and figuring out roles down the road. To succeed the Town needs a strong start, and this plan is one of such. Once you are assured of my innocence through the Detective's silence, then you should PM me your roles so we can get started.


Reposting for people who still aren't clear what is going on.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 22 2008 20:48 GMT
#2013
I hope everyone (and especially all the blues) have pm'd their roles to Ace by now, so he can start his plan to coordinate everyone's efforts.

Some very nice clues have been pointed out so far and from reading the thread I would have to agree that Ghar seems a strong suspect for today's lynching, but I will wait with voting to see if Ace comes out with more information that is currently unknown to us.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 25 2008 14:06 GMT
#2726
I'd say we all calm down a bit and wait for the night to end. We will then know who are still alive and I hope Ace can tell us a bit more behind his reasoning to suspect Wurm this much while it is very hard to link clues to him.

On the other hand, no clues were linked to Mandalor and he was spot on there.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 26 2008 16:01 GMT
#2917
On March 27 2008 00:52 GeneralStan wrote:
:pop:

Seriously though, when is Day coming?

I can't wait until Showtime is dead.


Chiui informed us that he is quite sick, so let's just wait till he or Dapperdan finds the time.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 27 2008 18:47 GMT
#3163
I'd say check if the clue links to Ghar and lynch Wurm. Even if he is truly a medic he is in no way helping us win this game. Then the two other DT questions can be used for the voting list.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 27 2008 18:53 GMT
#3165
Showtime! isn't the only one who has been annoying so far though, Wurm however is the only player reported by Ace to not cooperate with his plan, thus hurting the town.
Lenwe
Profile Joined March 2008
Netherlands757 Posts
March 28 2008 13:20 GMT
#3322
Araav, you are being accused of hacking into the IRC channel. How did you get the info for their IRC channel, did someone pm it to you, or did you use some other method to find that channel?
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