SPL 2014: Opening Week
Welcome back to another season of Proleague! Almost five months since STX SouL claimed the championship over Woongjin Stars on August 3rd, the oldest and most prestigious team tournament in StarCraft returns with a slew of major changes. Here's a short summary of the most important details:
- Format changed to Bo5 from Bo7(ace match remains).
- "A team must field one player of each race" rule removed.
- Four regular season rounds down from last season's six, but with a twist: each round has its own "playoff" tournament with a round champion.
- Instead of going purely by record, a point system will determine regular season standings (based on final rank at the end of a round).
- STX SouL, Woongjin Stars and EG-TL are out, MVP, IM and Prime are in.
- Team rosters have changed drastically. More info here. For our analysis of these changes, click here.
Alright, got that? Here are the week one match-ups:
December 29th
Team MVP vs. SK Telecom T1
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Ace: Frost LE
Incredible Miracle vs. Prime
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Ace: Bel'Shir Vestige LE
December 30th
Samsung KHAN vs. Jin Air Green Wings
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Ace: Star Station TE
KT Rolster vs. CJ Entus
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Ace: Star Station TE
December 31st
Team MVP vs. Incredible Miracle
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Ace: Bel'Shir Vestige LE
SK Telecom T1 vs. Prime
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Ace: Yeonsu LE
With the change from Bo7 to Bo5, it is only natural that the weaker players on each team have been forced out of the line-ups, thus making most matches (I'm sorry, Prime) more competitive. Depth is now more of a luxury than a necessity, and teams with top heavy rosters like KT could go far without having a strong supporting cast.
Here are some things to note for the first week:
- MVP is fielding
Shine. The MVP Zerg has looked less than great for a long time now, but the fact that he's being sent out twice while
DRG and
Super are being used just once must mean something.
- Team MVP is also deploying
Sniper. After not playing a televised game in three months, it seems like Sniper (this time with the help of
Shine) has once again stolen
DRG's thunder.
- Prime isn't fielding
ByuN at all in the first week. Considering the fact that he was Prime's only saving grace in their horrendous GSTL campaign, it means that Prime has either created a monstrous team of unknowns while we weren't looking, or that there's something up with
ByuN.
- No TvTs in Week 1.
- 5 PvP, 1 ZvZ, 11 PvZ, 5 PvT, 1 TvZ
Must Watch Matches: Week 1
Grand Opening - Team MVP vs. SK Telecom T1
Sunday, Dec 29 10:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)
Dream < Yeonsu LE >
Rain
Super < Sejong Science Base >
soO
DongRaeGu < Bel'Shir Vestige LE >
PartinG
Shine < Outboxer >
Soulkey
Ace: Frost LE
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
Ace: Frost LE
The opening match of Proleague could either be thrilling classic or a complete stomp. With the addition of Soulkey, SKT have assembled the most deadly team in Proleague. Not only is Soulkey an individual league champion and the most consistently great player in Korea, he was also the ace of the former SPL runners-up Woongjin Stars. On one hand, the total upending of parity and balance between teams is worrisome. On the other hand, you have to be fascinated by the creation of this super team.
MVP's players are about as consistent as the price of bitcoin, fluctuating between championship-level and junk, sometimes in the same match. Would it be shocking to see MVP score the upset against SKT? Not really. Would it be shocking to see them utterly crushed? Nope, that's in the cards too.
DRG is perhaps the epitome of inconsistency, playing some of his life's best ZvT against Innovation in WCS Korea Season 3 and convincing everyone that he was back to being his old self before getting curb-stomped in the Ro16. Dream, Keen and Super – all pinned as 'the next big thing' at one time or another – share DRG's proclivity for unreliability.
Against a line-up like SKT's, it would be foolish to bet on the entire MVP line-up bringing their A-game, but you get the feeling that at least one of them is going to play fantastic and steal a map off SKT. All four of the match-ups for MVP are winnable on a good day. By tuning into this match, you're accepting that you may be served some of the most intense Starcraft II in the world, or three consecutive bops and a ceremony. Both would be entertaining, to be sure, but for completely different reasons.
Focus Match:
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Rain almost lost the Hot6ix Cup to Soulkey two weeks ago. There, his ability to stay calm in the face of pressure and make the correct calls allowed him to persevere and take the championship. It was a series that showed why he is Artosis' dream player: a safe and standard macro Protoss whose strengths lie in the defensive aspects of the game.
Dream is his polar opposite. He is everything Rain isn't: hyper-aggressive, risk-seeking, and fond of many battles rather than few. It isn't rare that Dream bites off more than he can chew with his aggression and finds himself behind as a result, but his complete dedication to attacking often lets him get back into the game. Keeping up with Dream's tempo is no easy task, and many players have found themselves tripping over their feet.
The dynamic for the match is the the classic immovable object vs. unstoppable force. Rain, the dedicated defender who'll take his time and only move out when he feels he has the victory within reach, versus Dream, a wild berserker who has broken Rain's shield in the past.
CJ Entus vs. KT Rolster
Monday, Dec 30 10:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)
Flash < Bel'Shir Vestige LE >
Sora
Stats < Outboxer >
Hydra
Zest < Frost LE >
Bbyong
TY < Yeonsu LE >
herO
Ace: Star Station TE
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Ace: Star Station TE
More than any other player in Proleague, Flash is intimately familiar with what it's like to carry a team. Thus, the change to Bo5 must have had Flash leaping for joy. No longer does he have to hope that the weak KT bench can win enough games to force an ace match – the trio of him and his lieutenants Zest and Stats are enough to claim victory. The addition of TY (Baby) didn't wow anyone like the Soulkey or sOs signings, but it was still a good move for KT. They now have a strong core four, capable of going up against any team in the league.
Even so, their match against CJ will be a tough one. Despite not signing any big players, the acquisition of former SKT and EG-TL head coach Park Yong Woon has more than made up for it. The team's overall skill level has risen dramatically under his regime – Hydra, Effort, and herO showed potential last season, but they've truly gotten it together in the off-season. herO looked incredible as he beat his countrymen to win IEM Singapore, while Sora made a strong run up to second place in WCG. Additionally the online qualifier scene has been dominated by CJ Entus players, with team-kills being the most frequent cause for their elimination. Even Bbyong, dubbed the heir to the Ensnare throne, blazed through the IEM Sao Paulo qualifiers just last weekend, showing that he's much more than the generic Terran player he was before.
Compared to CJ, KT players have barely shown themselves after the end of the last Proleague season. It's hard to judge exactly where they're at, but right now KT feels a bit lacking when compared man-for-man to CJ Entus. Even so, we know from last season that Proleague is where they bring their best performances.
Focus Match:
![Terran (T)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Ticon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
Devoted fans of the Korean scene will have seen Sora's name popping up all over the place these last few months. Since his stunning WCG Korea performance, CJ's latest recruit has been making waves both online and offline. He brought home another silver from the WCG Grand Finals where he finished second behind Soulkey, and has been doing well in IEM qualifiers (but is getting team-killed constantly).
Flash has been receiving attention for different reasons. Lacklustre performances at Dreamhack Bucharest and IEM New York, and narrow elimination from yet another difficult group in the GSL have many fans wondering if Flash is truly championship caliber in StarCraft 2. He has played a total of five broadcasted games over the last two and a half months, easily dispatching CoCa in Code A and then getting easily dispatched of by CJ's Bunny.
The rapid improvement he was showing after the initial transition to StarCraft 2 has slowed down considerably, and he did nothing in the off-season to make us think otherwise. Normally, five games doesn't provide enough information to extrapolate anything meaningful, but what was most worrying about Flash was the manner in which he lost his games. He didn't look helpless, but he did look lost at times. Throw Sora's 80% PvT into the equation and things look grim for Flash going into his first match of the season.
But if there is anywhere Flash feels that he is completely in his element, it has to be Proleague. He was arguably Proleague's best player last season, finishing with the most wins while dragging his team to the playoffs. Sora, on the other hand, is a complete rookie in Proleague. If they both play at their best, and we can be reasonably sure that at least Flash will, this match could be a great one, and the one to decide how the teams start off their season.
Hipster Match of the Week + Predictions
This week's Hipster MotW features Samsung Khan going up against whoever they're going to lose to. Samsung weren't good last season, and the "retirement" of their ace JangBi left them looking like a bottom two team headed into the new season. With expectations at an all-time low, Samsung have brought out the most unexpected line-up of week one. They've fielded three relative newcomers in
![Zerg (Z)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Zicon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
![Protoss (P)](https://tl.net/tlpd/images/Picon_small.png)
You have to commend Samsung for being willing to take risks. They have absoultely nothing to lose this season, and many fans are already assuming they're going to finish close to last. At worst, Samsung will ride their newcomers to the bad finish everyone is expecting anyway. At best, they can be like last year's Team Eight, with multiple players stepping up out of nowhere to put them in playoff contention. Hipster team of the week? Hipster team of the season, we say.
Week 1 predictions:
SKT > MVP
IM > Prime
Samsung < Jin Air
KT < CJ
MVP > IM
SKT > Prime
SKT > MVP
IM > Prime
Samsung < Jin Air
KT < CJ
MVP > IM
SKT > Prime
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/HawaiianPig/SPL/SPLstaricon.png)