TL Mafia LXIII: Time to Die
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Spaghetticus
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
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Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
I’m going to have to read through again soon, as not everything is sticking with me. It’s currently 5am and I’ve had four hours sleep in the last 48 hours. I’m also having difficulty catching up on some of the terminology, though I’m gradually cluing in. I’ll just splurge out my impressions. I won’t make any formal cases just yet, I want to put my thoughts on paper then attend to them once I’m rested. Apologies in advance for poor formatting. I’m comfortable with confirming Yamato town. This may seem redundant since that’s the general consensus, but I’m very stringent so this is actually a pretty big step. On my next readthrough I’ll be fine tooth combing for Mocsta and VE. I’ve got precious history with Mocsta, but he’s also quite active. I want to confirm him town if possible. VE seems like the next most obvious, given the amount of material he has provided. I don’t like some of VE’s towncalls, but I think they’ve already been covered by others. LoneMeow masoning incident: I find this unsuspicious. I’m probably more interested in those who tried to force this to be an issue. Artanis and SS: SS seems dense. The projected paradigm within which he claims to view the world where everyone’s decision making is based entirely on the single factor of whether or not victory is achieved, is silly. Does he seriously expect people to sit through a month of his needless abuse in order to slightly increase their chances of winning a prizeless endeavour? Does he seriously think that by espousing his (so far generally unimpressive) logic to the exclusion of compromise in the pursuit of cooperation, he will achieve his intended position of mayor? I understand that some people have difficulty getting along with others, but it seems to me a cover. I’d like to hear people’s thoughts on his meta. For someone who proclaims his own competency as a vet at the beginning of the thread, this incompetency is not consistent from my (admittedly limited) perspective. It could very easily be used to obscure scummy motives. Admittedly, there have also been town tells. I've mixed feelings here. Grack: The trolling seems a poor move. BC is hammering him, and IMO rightly so. Grack has fluffed, and Grack has not done much else. I can only think that: - Grack does not care (useless town) - Grack is in some way trying to modify his meta (unlikely) - Grack is trying to scumbait (somewhat more likely) - Grack is scum (most likely) The Kush4prez line was possibly scumbait, but honestly I don’t see how a town Grack was planning on taking that bait (if successful) and then convincing town of his plan post hoc. The inevitable arse biting his actions have reaped was entirely foreseeable. It’s difficult to see him as town, as his actions have caused little but discord. Yamato lynching BC: I’m not sure, but did I miss the case? I see BC as good, I don’t want him to be scum. I’m not sure why that makes us need to lynch him without further information, as so far he’s been valuable. Unless I’m missing something, Mocsta was right to demand more reasoning for yamato’s platform based on BC. That said, Mocsta’s reasoning about cost/benefit for lynching BC confused me. If it’s what I think it is, it’s suspiciously dull. Sharrant: I’m not entirely certain how this became a thing, I’ll look into it in my next read. There didn't seem enough information at the time to make reads, that it was mentioned so many times sort of makes me think of artificial intervention. Kushmasta: His propensity for unpredictable play makes him unsuitable for mayor. Everyone knows this, though I think some take it too far. Policy lynching him seems both poor play and in poor taste. Using him as a vehicle for lynchbait/trolling is also pretty shit. I think people attempting to bring Kush into the spotlight are hard pressed to provide a believable town motive. Other than that, there are a lot of people that are sliding around on my scale, but also a lot of undercommitment in posts. If you have a read, please don’t just state your conclusion, as it only begs the question, and junks up the thread with people demanding that you elaborate. You may feel like you’re getting straight to the point #lessismore #quietconfidence but the end result is a less cohesive discussion, and a less effective town. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
Please ask questions etc. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
On November 16 2013 03:50 Spaghetticus wrote: I’m comfortable with confirming Yamato town. This may seem redundant since that’s the general consensus, but I’m very stringent so this is actually a pretty big step. On my next readthrough I’ll be fine tooth combing for Mocsta and VE. I’ve got precious history with Mocsta, but he’s also quite active. I want to confirm him town if possible. VE seems like the next most obvious, given the amount of material he has provided. I don’t like some of VE’s towncalls, but I think they’ve already been covered by others. LoneMeow masoning incident: I find this unsuspicious. I’m probably more interested in those who tried to force this to be an issue. Artanis and SS: SS seems dense. The projected paradigm within which he claims to view the world where everyone’s decision making is based entirely on the single factor of whether or not victory is achieved, is silly. Does he seriously expect people to sit through a month of his needless abuse in order to slightly increase their chances of winning a prizeless endeavour? Does he seriously think that by espousing his (so far generally unimpressive) logic to the exclusion of compromise in the pursuit of cooperation, he will achieve his intended position of mayor? I understand that some people have difficulty getting along with others, but it seems to me a cover. I’d like to hear people’s thoughts on his meta. For someone who proclaims his own competency as a vet at the beginning of the thread, this incompetency is not consistent from my (admittedly limited) perspective. It could very easily be used to obscure scummy motives. Admittedly, there have also been town tells. I've mixed feelings here. Grack: The trolling seems a poor move. BC is hammering him, and IMO rightly so. Grack has fluffed, and Grack has not done much else. I can only think that: - Grack does not care (useless town) - Grack is in some way trying to modify his meta (unlikely) - Grack is trying to scumbait (somewhat more likely) - Grack is scum (most likely) The Kush4prez line was possibly scumbait, but honestly I don’t see how a town Grack was planning on taking that bait (if successful) and then convincing town of his plan post hoc. The inevitable arse biting his actions have reaped was entirely foreseeable. It’s difficult to see him as town, as his actions have caused little but discord. Yamato lynching BC: I’m not sure, but did I miss the case? I see BC as good, I don’t want him to be scum. I’m not sure why that makes us need to lynch him without further information, as so far he’s been valuable. Unless I’m missing something, Mocsta was right to demand more reasoning for yamato’s platform based on BC. That said, Mocsta’s reasoning about cost/benefit for lynching BC confused me. If it’s what I think it is, it’s suspiciously dull. Sharrant: I’m not entirely certain how this became a thing, I’ll look into it in my next read. There didn't seem enough information at the time to make reads, that it was mentioned so many times sort of makes me think of artificial intervention. Kushmasta: His propensity for unpredictable play makes him unsuitable for mayor. Everyone knows this, though I think some take it too far. Policy lynching him seems both poor play and in poor taste. Using him as a vehicle for lynchbait/trolling is also pretty shit. I think people attempting to bring Kush into the spotlight are hard pressed to provide a believable town motive. Other than that, there are a lot of people that are sliding around on my scale, but also a lot of undercommitment in posts. If you have a read, please don’t just state your conclusion, as it only begs the question, and junks up the thread with people demanding that you elaborate. You may feel like you’re getting straight to the point #lessismore #quietconfidence but the end result is a less cohesive discussion, and a less effective town. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
+ Show Spoiler + On November 16 2013 03:50 Spaghetticus wrote: I’m comfortable with confirming Yamato town. This may seem redundant since that’s the general consensus, but I’m very stringent so this is actually a pretty big step. On my next readthrough I’ll be fine tooth combing for Mocsta and VE. I’ve got precious history with Mocsta, but he’s also quite active. I want to confirm him town if possible. VE seems like the next most obvious, given the amount of material he has provided. I don’t like some of VE’s towncalls, but I think they’ve already been covered by others. LoneMeow masoning incident: I find this unsuspicious. I’m probably more interested in those who tried to force this to be an issue. Artanis and SS: SS seems dense. The projected paradigm within which he claims to view the world where everyone’s decision making is based entirely on the single factor of whether or not victory is achieved, is silly. Does he seriously expect people to sit through a month of his needless abuse in order to slightly increase their chances of winning a prizeless endeavour? Does he seriously think that by espousing his (so far generally unimpressive) logic to the exclusion of compromise in the pursuit of cooperation, he will achieve his intended position of mayor? I understand that some people have difficulty getting along with others, but it seems to me a cover. I’d like to hear people’s thoughts on his meta. For someone who proclaims his own competency as a vet at the beginning of the thread, this incompetency is not consistent from my (admittedly limited) perspective. It could very easily be used to obscure scummy motives. Admittedly, there have also been town tells. I've mixed feelings here. Grack: The trolling seems a poor move. BC is hammering him, and IMO rightly so. Grack has fluffed, and Grack has not done much else. I can only think that: - Grack does not care (useless town) - Grack is in some way trying to modify his meta (unlikely) - Grack is trying to scumbait (somewhat more likely) - Grack is scum (most likely) The Kush4prez line was possibly scumbait, but honestly I don’t see how a town Grack was planning on taking that bait (if successful) and then convincing town of his plan post hoc. The inevitable arse biting his actions have reaped was entirely foreseeable. It’s difficult to see him as town, as his actions have caused little but discord. Yamato lynching BC: I’m not sure, but did I miss the case? I see BC as good, I don’t want him to be scum. I’m not sure why that makes us need to lynch him without further information, as so far he’s been valuable. Unless I’m missing something, Mocsta was right to demand more reasoning for yamato’s platform based on BC. That said, Mocsta’s reasoning about cost/benefit for lynching BC confused me. If it’s what I think it is, it’s suspiciously dull. Sharrant: I’m not entirely certain how this became a thing, I’ll look into it in my next read. There didn't seem enough information at the time to make reads, that it was mentioned so many times sort of makes me think of artificial intervention. Kushmasta: His propensity for unpredictable play makes him unsuitable for mayor. Everyone knows this, though I think some take it too far. Policy lynching him seems both poor play and in poor taste. Using him as a vehicle for lynchbait/trolling is also pretty shit. I think people attempting to bring Kush into the spotlight are hard pressed to provide a believable town motive. Other than that, there are a lot of people that are sliding around on my scale, but also a lot of undercommitment in posts. If you have a read, please don’t just state your conclusion, as it only begs the question, and junks up the thread with people demanding that you elaborate. You may feel like you’re getting straight to the point #lessismore #quietconfidence but the end result is a less cohesive discussion, and a less effective town. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
I looked at Sharrant's filter and confirmed that I saw absolutely nothing worth talking about. They've been unimpressive, but so have many people. This essentially confirms my suspicions of the accusers, though I cannot remember who they were and am not familiar enough with this site to efficiently find the posts which I refer to. I'm yet to read through again. Does anyone know off the top of their head an easy way to locate who was quoting him, or know was quoting him? Sherrant if you're here I assume you have an intimate knowledge of your accusers? | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
On November 16 2013 18:46 Skanjab1s wrote: Ayo, (1) What do you mean by "confirming yamato town"? (2) Why do you find the LM mason incident unsuspicious, and why would finding it suspicious make a person scum? (3) You said "Artanis and SS", but did not mention Artanis. What are your thoughts on him, if you forgot to put them in? (1) - This is my first big game, I'm finding it difficult to get a handle. It is valuable to confirm town so that I have a platform on which to grasp the rest of the game. There is no hard confirmation that Yamato is town, but I'm comfortable betting the fate of town that he is, and will thus use this as an operationalised foundation for my understanding to follow. I do not want Yamato as mayor or pardner, I do not agree with his views of BC, not his views that the pardner role benefits town. I do not trust him to use wither role well. (2) - It's an incident, but I don't see much reason for it to indicate scumminess. There may be some mechanic or rule I am unaware of, but nobody made any good case for this indicating scum-hood. I don't think that this makes Meow town, but those that were pushing for it making him scum were sewing misdirection either intentionally or unintentionally (unless I am wrong to conclude that it's non-alignment indicative, in which case someone should step forward and straighten me out). (3) - Artanis was the one that initiated this line of thought by putting up a hard stance against SS's shock tactics. I was commenting on their disagreement, and thought it worth putting their name in so as not to misconstrue the origin of the thought, since I essentially agree entirely with Artanis and empathise heavily. Artanis gives me a slight town read, but has not contributed heavily enough for me to have any real degree of certainty (#kettleblack). Their attack on SS for reasons other than them being scum could be considered an attempt at deliberately convoluting the thread, except it was teased out of them from an off-hand remark, and they ceased as soon as they could without leaving questions unanswered. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
What are your current plans for mayor? Who are you intending to lynch if you gain the position? Yamato77 Would you be willing to reconsider your BC platform in favour of Grack? If not, could you please consolidate your case on BC so that we can easily assess its merit? At this moment in time I am uncomfortable with your choice of lynch, but am comfortable with you as town. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
Ima go trawl VE's filter. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
BC is the only proclaimed vet that has demonstrated real aptitude to me. This makes me not want to lynch him, but not want him to be mayor. As previously mentioned, this is my first big game, and my first game playing with vets. I don't trust myself to catch him if he's scum, but think him also one of the most dangerous players, and thus a possible NK if town (as well as... you know, being valuable for town in general). Essentially, I want to wait and see, as most people's stances seem heavily influenced by his meta, to which I do not have access. If he is scum we will have enough data to catch him in the end, and if he is town, it's all upside. Any position that makes him either in danger of a lynch, or gives him power, is risky. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
On November 16 2013 19:23 LoneMeow wrote: Wouldn't it be more important to choose a town player as the mayor over someone who might or might not be town but has good-looking lynch targets? If you're so sure yamato is town why wouldn't you want him as the mayor or pardoner over someone you're less sure of? You only considered one side of the incident, what do you think it makes of yamato? I am considering Yamato as mayor, but not with his current platform. If he will change his trajectory he will have my support over VE. What do I think Meow's masoning of yamato makes him? Someone that Town Meow trusts, or scum meow want's to play. What do I think of Yamato giving away that Meow masoned him? I'm not strong on the role mechanics and how their calling interplays with with green/red. I interpret as Yamato's dedication to being open, which has served him well in being confirmed town. It may have been a misplay as town, though probably only a minor one, but it is consistent with his other actions. I can't really think why a scum would want to bring attention to a day1 misplay that can be easily traced back to them, hence I feel it a null read, and go with the other evidence I have which paints him green. Am I missing something? | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
This is the first game I've played with elections. In my newbies, the closest thing to mayor was the most prolific poster who wielded the most influence. Am I wrong to think that the mayor wields great influence above and beyond specifically what his role entails? Doesn't he have a lower chance of being lynched considering that he both gets more votes, and has been voted in for being trusted with that power (at least by people who think as I have?). @Kush I understand his criticism, and think it reasonable, though have no clue whether it is contextually accurate (I assume people will pick him up on it if it is not). Your list of scumtells should probably have some inkling of justification, we want more information on you, including your reasons for thinking the things you do. Your status as a wildcard pretty much ensures that people have null reads on you, but makes you susceptible to policy lynches. Essentially, the only people who can legitimately call you one way or another are the scum, so your promise to elaborate on your reads if people think you scummy is empty. I would particularly like to know why you think Mig and Yamato scummy. | ||
Spaghetticus
Australia451 Posts
Could you please explain how an RNG lynch is to town's benefit at this point? It seems like it's got a 75% chance of lynching a town and producing no data. How does this compare to the baserate for D1 lynchings? I expect someone advocating a statistical approach would know the benefits and have solid reasoning, otherwise it looks like your D1 actions are a do-nothing fake mayor attempt that you expect nobody to take seriously. | ||
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