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President Obama Re-Elected - Page 279

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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here.

The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301
Kaitlin
Profile Joined December 2010
United States2958 Posts
August 12 2012 04:53 GMT
#5561
People should stop using the term loophole when they don't know specifically what they are talking about. There are specific reasons for particular things in the tax code, which are called "loopholes" by people who have no idea what they are talking about. If you want to complain about a loophole, explain the nature of the loophole, why it's there, and why it shouldn't be.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
August 12 2012 04:54 GMT
#5562
Ok, how about massive subsidies for agribusiness and the corn lobby?
shikata ga nai
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-12 05:01:50
August 12 2012 04:57 GMT
#5563
On August 12 2012 13:53 Kaitlin wrote:
People should stop using the term loophole when they don't know specifically what they are talking about. There are specific reasons for particular things in the tax code, which are called "loopholes" by people who have no idea what they are talking about. If you want to complain about a loophole, explain the nature of the loophole, why it's there, and why it shouldn't be.


It's called a loophole because you can abuse it to lower your tax rates to levels far below what they were intended to. I'm not a tax lawyer, but one of my best friends is at a world-renown legal tax firm (McDermott NYC). He was explaining to me yesterday how he was setting up a tax haven for banana growers by converting their crop to insurance bonds in some random island and then deducting them. I didn't fully understand it (i'm not a tax lawyer), but the short end of it is that you can abuse the HELL out of the system if you know how to. And those big companies can afford to hire the people who know how to.

He's a diehard economic conservative, and his words were "it's ludicrous how someone like me can do stuff like this."
BluePanther
Profile Joined March 2011
United States2776 Posts
August 12 2012 05:04 GMT
#5564
On August 12 2012 13:54 sam!zdat wrote:
Ok, how about massive subsidies for agribusiness and the corn lobby?


Speaking of farm subsidies, we torpedoed one of our primary opponents because he was using tobacco deductions to lower his tax rates on commercial property.
sam!zdat
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States5559 Posts
August 12 2012 05:09 GMT
#5565
On August 12 2012 13:57 BluePanther wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2012 13:53 Kaitlin wrote:
People should stop using the term loophole when they don't know specifically what they are talking about. There are specific reasons for particular things in the tax code, which are called "loopholes" by people who have no idea what they are talking about. If you want to complain about a loophole, explain the nature of the loophole, why it's there, and why it shouldn't be.

He's a diehard economic conservative, and his words were "it's ludicrous how someone like me can do stuff like this."


The banality of evil at work.
shikata ga nai
Deathmanbob
Profile Joined December 2010
United States2356 Posts
August 12 2012 06:56 GMT
#5566
On August 12 2012 13:50 BluePanther wrote:
Just a note that many people seem to be forgetting... lowering the tax rate while closing loopholes is likely to cause a net increase in total tax revenue. The corporate tax rate may be 35%, but that's sure as hell not what those large multi-nationals are paying. There are some that pay as low as 10% due to loopholes and work-arounds.



i dont think people are forgetting it, i think people dont believe it will happen
No Artosis, you are robin
Shiragaku
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Hong Kong4308 Posts
August 12 2012 07:01 GMT
#5567
I see all these conservatives constantly praise Ayn Rand, but do you think she would be pleased with how the Republican Party is doing?
Kaitlin
Profile Joined December 2010
United States2958 Posts
August 12 2012 07:03 GMT
#5568
On August 12 2012 13:57 BluePanther wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2012 13:53 Kaitlin wrote:
People should stop using the term loophole when they don't know specifically what they are talking about. There are specific reasons for particular things in the tax code, which are called "loopholes" by people who have no idea what they are talking about. If you want to complain about a loophole, explain the nature of the loophole, why it's there, and why it shouldn't be.


It's called a loophole because you can abuse it to lower your tax rates to levels far below what they were intended to. I'm not a tax lawyer, but one of my best friends is at a world-renown legal tax firm (McDermott NYC). He was explaining to me yesterday how he was setting up a tax haven for banana growers by converting their crop to insurance bonds in some random island and then deducting them. I didn't fully understand it (i'm not a tax lawyer), but the short end of it is that you can abuse the HELL out of the system if you know how to. And those big companies can afford to hire the people who know how to.

He's a diehard economic conservative, and his words were "it's ludicrous how someone like me can do stuff like this."


What causes shit like this is the government picking favorites and trying to write in benefits for particular industries or whatever. The more the government gets involved, the more they fuck things up. If everybody had a level playing field, this shit would disappear. And people want more regulations and laws... Fucking idiots.
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1057 Posts
August 12 2012 07:18 GMT
#5569
On August 12 2012 13:46 CajunMan wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2012 11:53 RenSC2 wrote:
On August 12 2012 10:27 coverpunch wrote:
The most important thing is that there's common sense to this - if taxes are reduced, then people have more disposable income to invest or consume, which is how the economy grows. People can get more disposable income in other ways but reducing taxes is the something the government can control. It can't miracle new technology or anoint successful companies.

You call it common sense, but it only creates a very short term effect while hurting the future. Taxing stuff doesn't just make the money disappear. Instead, it goes to the government who then spends that money on other things. The money that the government spends puts a lot of people to work, both directly (government employees) and indirectly (doctors/nurses/receptionists/administrators who help medicare/medicaid people or entire corporate structures of private companies who have contracts with the government). Then those people all get paid and they have money to spend. Part of that money goes back into the government system as taxes and part of it goes into other businesses and people and the cycle continues.

GDP is really a measure of how well the money is flowing. If the money is constantly flowing around in and out of people's pockets, then the GDP will be high. Taxes legally force outflows. If the tax money is spent even remotely wisely by the government, it creates personal inflows. And yeah, I know our government doesn't exactly spend wisely (handing out money all over the world, paying debt to foreign debtors), but still most of the tax revenue goes back into US citizens pockets in one way or another.

So what happens as you reduce taxes? Initially, people have extra money to spend as you noted, and the extra money gets spent in a more efficient way and everything seems good (GDP goes up). However, this process has reduced the forced outflows other than basic living expenses. For someone making millions of dollars in a year, basic living expenses account for only a small fraction of his expeditures. That means that the millionaire (I use the word "millionaire", but it could actually be anyone whose income exceeds his expenses) can sit on his money. We call this "savings". While we generally think savings are a good thing because it protects a person's future, it does hurt GDP (money isn't being spent). The only way the millionaire will put that money back into the economy is if he sees an opportunity to make a return on his money (investment). Hopefully, for the sake of the economy, he makes a bad investment and loses his excess money and it goes back into the system. However, many investments are good ones, and they serve the purpose of pooling even more money in a single person's hands and out of the economic flow.

In a lower tax situation, the money slowly gets concentrated into fewer peoples hands. And while those people might want to invest that money, there's no opportunity for investment because the market's ability to buy is slowly crippled since the money is more and more concentrated. That equals one dead economy (hello recession!).

If you want a healthy economy, I'm quite convinced that you need to brutalize the very rich with taxes and keep moderate taxes for the middle class. Then just hand that money out to the poor to cover basic living expenses... you can do it through subsidized/free housing, food stamps, and free health insurance rather than actually handing out money. Or you can do it through massive public works/infrastructure projects to create jobs and consumers which increases demand and opens up opportunities for investment and allows the skilled rich to continue to be very rich despite the taxes while the less skilled rich fall back into the middle class. When you have all of this, you have massive flows of money (massive GDP) and you also have a high tax rate to take advantage of that high GDP. In turn, the government might actually be able to balance a budget or even ::gasp:: get a surplus (which should be the goal while we have such a massive deficit).

Unfortunately, this will likely never happen. Since the tax hikes would only be as permanent as whoever is in office, there'd always be uncertainty. If someone did come in and raise taxes, the rich would sit on their money and complain about how it destroyed the economy (while they destroy the economy by sitting on their money). They'd then put all the blame on the president and support the opponent's cadidacy who promises to lower taxes. Since they only have to wait it out for 4 years, this long term plan would never get the traction it needed. Instead, we keep getting candidates promising quick fixes (yaya tax cuts for the rich) which continues the cycle of long term economic problems for the US.


So you basically admitted the goernment spends money badly but you are willing to raise taxes so long as the numbers look better? And you also blame people for sitting in their money when it is not fiscally wise what kind of backwards logic is this? You ask that people invest more, pay more, and accept more risk for the sake of the rest of us for no reason. There is literally no reason. If the US budget was balanced and taxes were low money would move much easier.

Other than the last sentence (which is wrong), yes.

- Yes, the government spends money poorly quite often, but it still spends money whether the economy is good or bad and that money still creates jobs directly and indirectly. It has a stimulative effect. Could the government spend the money better to stimulate better and waste less? Definitely. Still, this is better for the economy than sitting in a rich man's bank account.
- Yes, I blame a bad economy on people who sit on their money even when it is not fiscally wise to invest it. They would lose money investing, but that money is lost back into the economy where it would create jobs and stimulate the economy. In turn, that presents opportunities to invest wisely and retain or increase their wealth. If everyone sat on their money in unison and nobody was willing to take the first shot, the economy would screech to a halt and we'd see a depression unlike we've ever seen before.
- Yep, invest more, pay more, and accept more risk for the sake of the rest of us. And you are correct, they have no reason to do so, which is precisely the problem of pooling the money in the hands of the few. If they play by the same rules, they are almost guaranteed to come out further and further ahead, which cripples the economy. The government needs to force them to take more risk with money above a certain amount. I'd even suggest taxing liquid assets above X dollars (where X is probably somewhere in the 10s of millions). Is it fair? No. Could it even be called government oppression of the rich? Yep, I think so. But would it help create a better economy? I believe so. And I do realize that this idea has never been done before and would be immediately rejected by the voting public. It's radical. I don't plan on ever winning the presidency with my policies.

As for your last point, completely wrong in the long term. Low taxes would help money move easily for a short period of time as it slides into the hands of the few... completely unrestrained capitalism has the effect of creating near monopolies. And then you get a situation where the rich have money and are ready to spend it, but have nothing to spend it on because there is no market left.
Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
RenSC2
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1057 Posts
August 12 2012 07:28 GMT
#5570
On August 12 2012 16:03 Kaitlin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2012 13:57 BluePanther wrote:
On August 12 2012 13:53 Kaitlin wrote:
People should stop using the term loophole when they don't know specifically what they are talking about. There are specific reasons for particular things in the tax code, which are called "loopholes" by people who have no idea what they are talking about. If you want to complain about a loophole, explain the nature of the loophole, why it's there, and why it shouldn't be.


It's called a loophole because you can abuse it to lower your tax rates to levels far below what they were intended to. I'm not a tax lawyer, but one of my best friends is at a world-renown legal tax firm (McDermott NYC). He was explaining to me yesterday how he was setting up a tax haven for banana growers by converting their crop to insurance bonds in some random island and then deducting them. I didn't fully understand it (i'm not a tax lawyer), but the short end of it is that you can abuse the HELL out of the system if you know how to. And those big companies can afford to hire the people who know how to.

He's a diehard economic conservative, and his words were "it's ludicrous how someone like me can do stuff like this."


What causes shit like this is the government picking favorites and trying to write in benefits for particular industries or whatever. The more the government gets involved, the more they fuck things up. If everybody had a level playing field, this shit would disappear. And people want more regulations and laws... Fucking idiots.

Well, mostly people want the laws and regulations to make sense and apply to everyone. You don't need more laws per-se, just laws that are written without loopholes. However, removal of regulations that specifically patch holes in the original laws and often apply to people who have abused it is a bad idea until better blanket laws are in place. Until we can get the main underlying laws to make sense, we need to do this patchwork BS of laws to keep things from getting completely out of control.

Unfortunately, making blanket statements like, "The more the government gets involved, the more they fuck things up," gives politicians license to repeal things like the Glass Steagall Act. In turn, big banks were able to take the money you tossed in a savings account and gamble it on unsafe investments. How'd that work out?

The government may be bad, but unrestrained capitalism is even scarier.
Playing better than standard requires deviation. This divergence usually results in sub-standard play.
paralleluniverse
Profile Joined July 2010
4065 Posts
August 12 2012 07:53 GMT
#5571
Mitt Romney Would Pay 0.82 Percent in Taxes Under Paul Ryan's Plan
By Matthew O'Brien

Paul Ryan's plan is a path to prosperity for Mitt Romney

Under Paul Ryan's plan, Mitt Romney wouldn't pay any taxes for the next ten years -- or any of the years after that. Now, do I know that that's true. Yes, I'm certain.

Well, maybe not quite nothing. In 2010 -- the only year we have seen a full return from him -- Romney would have paid an effective tax rate of around 0.82 percent under the Ryan plan, rather than the 13.9 percent he actually did. How would someone with more than $21 million in taxable income pay so little? Well, the vast majority of Romney's income came from capital gains, interest, and dividends. And Ryan wants to eliminate all taxes on capital gains, interest and dividends.

Romney, of course, criticized this idea when Newt Gingrich proposed it back in January by pointing out that zeroing out taxes on savings and investment would mean zeroing out his own taxes.

Almost. Romney did earn $593,996 in author and speaking fees in 2010 that would still be taxed under the Ryan plan. Just not much. Ryan would cut the top marginal tax rate from 35 to 25 percent and get rid of the Alternative Minimum Tax -- saving Romney another $292,389 or so on his 2010 tax bill. Now, Romney would still owe self-employment taxes on his author and speaking fees, but that only amounts to $29,151. Add it all up, and Romney would have paid $177,650 out of a taxable income of $21,661,344, for a cool effective rate of 0.82 percent.

But what about corporate taxes? Aren't they a double tax on savings and investment, so Romney's "real" rate is higher than his headline rate? No. As Jared Bernstein of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has pointed out, Romney has structured his investments as "pass-throughs" that avoid corporate tax. In other words, the 0.82 percent tax rate is really a 0.82 percent tax rate.

It might seem impossible to fund the government when the super-rich pay no taxes. That is accurate. Ryan would actually raise taxes on the bottom 30 percent of earners, according to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center, but that hardly fills the revenue hole he would create. The solution? All but eliminate all government outside of Social Security and defense -- a point my colleague Derek Thompson has made in incredible chart form.

Maybe Harry Reid's mysterious source that Romney didn't pay taxes for a decade was really a time-traveler from the future. If Romney wins, it could very well be true.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/08/mitt-romney-would-pay-082-percent-in-taxes-under-paul-ryans-plan/261027/
Defacer
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada5052 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-12 08:10:53
August 12 2012 08:08 GMT
#5572
The selection of Paul Ryan is basically Romney fully surrendering to the far-right wing of the Republican party. Romney is basically admitting he doesn't have the appeal to pull voters from the center or galvanize the ultra-conservative voters.

Never has a presidential candidate looked so weak. The election is no longer Obama versus Romney, it's Obama versus Ryan.

Romney is just another rich white kid copying answers from the math nerd beside him.
FallDownMarigold
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States3710 Posts
August 12 2012 08:19 GMT
#5573
Heh. My ultra-conservative (whose house I'm visiting currently) buddy announced at breakfast: "Why didn't Ryan run for president..."

Chriscras
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Korea (South)2812 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-12 09:09:01
August 12 2012 09:08 GMT
#5574
My new favorite Ryan quote on Obama's relection strategy:

“Rather than building bridges, he’s poisoning wells,” the usually mild-mannered Mr. Ryan said. “Exploiting people’s emotions of fear, envy and anxiety is not hope; it’s not change. It’s partisanship. We don’t need partisanship. We don’t need demagoguery. We need solutions. And we don’t need to keep punting to other people to make tough decisions.”

You have to admit the man knows how to score points.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/aug/11/obama-and-ryan-have-tangled-repeatedly/
"En taro adun, Executor."
paralleluniverse
Profile Joined July 2010
4065 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-12 09:13:51
August 12 2012 09:13 GMT
#5575
On August 12 2012 18:08 Chriscras wrote:
My new favorite Ryan quote on Obama's relection strategy:

“Rather than building bridges, he’s poisoning wells,” the usually mild-mannered Mr. Ryan said. “Exploiting people’s emotions of fear, envy and anxiety is not hope; it’s not change. It’s partisanship. We don’t need partisanship. We don’t need demagoguery. We need solutions. And we don’t need to keep punting to other people to make tough decisions.”

You have to admit the man knows how to score points.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/aug/11/obama-and-ryan-have-tangled-repeatedly/

That's the sort of quote typical of Ryan and Romney: vague, abstract, non-specific, and void of substance, fluff.

Just like their economic plans.

https://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/12/opinion/sunday/romneys-tax-plan-defies-the-rules-of-math.html?ref=opinion
StarStrider
Profile Joined August 2011
United States689 Posts
August 12 2012 09:18 GMT
#5576
Ryan actually gives Romney a chance, a chance I would have never thought he had. I still think Obama will take it, but it will be close now, instead of a landslide.
Spontaneous Pneumothorax sucks, please keep MVP sC in your thoughts. sC fighting! 힘내세요
paralleluniverse
Profile Joined July 2010
4065 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-12 12:18:16
August 12 2012 12:17 GMT
#5577
On August 12 2012 17:08 Defacer wrote:
The selection of Paul Ryan is basically Romney fully surrendering to the far-right wing of the Republican party. Romney is basically admitting he doesn't have the appeal to pull voters from the center or galvanize the ultra-conservative voters.

Never has a presidential candidate looked so weak. The election is no longer Obama versus Romney, it's Obama versus Ryan.

Romney is just another rich white kid copying answers from the math nerd beside him.

Don't get cocky. You underestimate the skill of Republican spin doctors and the power of misinformation.

http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/08/11/the-fiscal-facts-of-life-do-americans-understand-where-budget-deficits-come-from/

The following 3 paragraphs are the most interesting;
YouGov asked 1000 prospective voters “how the outcome of this fall’s presidential election will affect America over the next four years. Regardless of which candidate you personally support, what effect do you think the election outcome will have on the federal budget deficit?” The response options were “much higher if Obama is reelected” (selected by 35% of the sample), “somewhat higher if Obama is reelected” (11%), “no difference” (36%), “somewhat higher if Romney is elected” (5%), and “much higher if Romney is elected” (12%).

The three questions tapping expectations about federal spending were all positively related to expectations about the deficit; but the relationship was modest for expected spending on defense and entitlement programs and even more modest for expected spending on domestic programs. Wherever budget deficits come from, in the public mind, they do not seem to come primarily from higher levels of government spending.

The strongest relationship, by far, was between people’s expectations about the budget deficit and their expectations about their own taxes. However, the direction of this relationship was precisely the opposite of what straightforward fiscal logic would suggest: people who expected higher taxes under Obama also expected a bigger budget deficit under Obama, other things being equal, while those who expected higher taxes under Romney also expected a bigger budget deficit under Romney. This peculiar association was strongest among people who were relatively uninformed about politics; but it was easily the most important single determinant of deficit expectations even among people with above-average levels of political information.
0mar
Profile Joined February 2010
United States567 Posts
August 12 2012 13:56 GMT
#5578
On August 12 2012 18:18 StarStrider wrote:
Ryan actually gives Romney a chance, a chance I would have never thought he had. I still think Obama will take it, but it will be close now, instead of a landslide.


I think it's the exact opposite. R/R have basically conceded Florida. The plan to privatize SS was vehemently rejected back during the GWB era. And I mean vehemently. GWB was routinely booed at Republican-heavy crowds for announcing this plan. Even under a fully Republican government, the plan to privatize SS was so toxic that it was shelved. And the architect of that plan was Ryan.

On top of that, Ryan wants to eliminate Medicare as we know it. Again, this is the most popular program in the US right now and the only way the vast majority of seniors get health care. It's extremely unpopular among the major voting blocks (55'ers and up).

Without Florida, R/R has, literally, a 1% chance to win this election.
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
August 12 2012 13:56 GMT
#5579
I keep going back and forth on whether Andrew Ryan is a good VP pick. I mean the fiscal hawk thing is advantageous because he can pretend to give a shit about the economy/spending. I mean, at least he proposed a tax plan, ludicrous as it is. On the other hand, are moderates really a fan of Ryan? Are his plans considered pretty dangerous by moderates? Won't this turn off moderate republicans even more, who are the people he's actually trying to get at this point?

I'm looking forward to the VP debates though, as I'm a huge fan of Biden. Ryan vs Biden has got to be entertaining. Though Ryan has the ability to say absolutely ridiculous things with a straight face, so he tends to look pretty good despite all the crazy. It's more of a question of how Biden can crack through that and expose the crazy.
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8497 Posts
August 12 2012 14:18 GMT
#5580
Well I am not sure if Andrew Ryan could be a good VP - but Romney thinks Paul Ryan will

I am also torn on this choice, on the first glance he looks rather good because he is one of the few who seriously are into getting America back on massive austerity course and therefore tackling the deficit vehemently.

On the other hand however, this Ryan budget where he got boo'ed even by (old) tea party people at townhall meetings for gutting Medicare and SS, that could backfire and work against Romney.

Demagoguery could be hugely beneficial this time for Democrats as it was 2010 for Republicans.
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