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Aligulac Feb 21 update - Page 2

Forum Index > SC2 General
Post a Reply
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edwahn
Profile Joined March 2011
New Zealand121 Posts
February 22 2013 02:41 GMT
#21
This site is one of my favourites to peruse when I'm procrastinating.

Thanks to TheBB and everyone involved in keeping it up!
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-22 13:25:14
February 22 2013 09:56 GMT
#22
On February 22 2013 10:14 MCXD wrote:
I feel like this would be a low priority, but would it be possible to eventually implement by-event statistics? By that I mean... say you click on an event, like http://aligulac.com/results/events/449-Proleague/ , then at the top there is a collapsible stats panel which has things like TvP/PvZ/ZvT scores, number of games/players total, etc. Much like TLPD.

Your wish is my command!

Example: http://aligulac.com/results/events/36-GSL-2013-Season-1/

I couldn't get you the player count because the query was waaaay to slow. Need to do some database optimization first. TT

Also, I opened a ticket list: https://github.com/TheBB/aligulac/issues

If you want you can just dump your feature requests and bugs there, too.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3813 Posts
February 22 2013 13:33 GMT
#23
On February 22 2013 10:36 Prplppleatr wrote:
Just curious...how are you going to handle HOTS? WoL data won't be too relevant...will it be a clean slate? will there be a formula that gives notion to the WoL stats? Will it just be added to the WoL data?


Currently we are adding matches from both games, yet we have an indicator on each match whether it is WoL or HotS.

I believe currently the rankings contain both, and the plan is to just let it transition with the launch of HotS.

Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
KillerDucky
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States498 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-25 22:03:25
February 25 2013 22:01 GMT
#24
Ah I didn't realize the source code was on github, cool!

About the fake games, could you add a fraction instead of a full win and full lose? Just adding 0.1 Loss and 0.1 Win or something like to prevent infinity problems. Otherwise it seems like it would slow down rating movement more than it should, especially of players that go 1-0 many periods in a row. Or wouldn't it be better to just maximize the new rating all at once -- maximize log likelyhood given period game results *and* prior myr/mys value? Instead it looks like you first maximize this period performance, and then as a second step combine with prior myr/mys to come up with a new rating.

Another problem with adding fake games is doesn't that cause the confidence in the rating to go up 3X as fast in the case of players going 1-0 or 0-1 every period? This makes the problem of those players' rating getting stuck worse too.

Also, where can I find these values?
from aligulac.settings import RATINGS_MIN_DEV, RATINGS_INIT_DEV


ETA: Also maybe you could just keep the fake games even when players do not go 0-N/N-0. Otherwise it seems to me that there are weird cases where going 3-1 against a stronger opponent could make your rating move more than going 3-0.
MarineKingPrime Forever!
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
February 25 2013 22:26 GMT
#25
Hey KillerDucky, you seem to know what you're talking about.

«Fake» games: Yeah, it's possible that a different value than 1-1 could help. I know that it can slow down rating change, but I didn't consider that it can decrease the RD too. I'll think about it. Of course I could also maximize the whole thing in one go. I did it this way since I was following Glickman's algorithm and I never thought to change it. I'm not exactly sure it it would have any strange effects.

The settings file is kept from the repo because it contains some passwords. (I didn't bother filtering those out.) The constants you need are:

RATINGS_INIT_DEV = 0.12
RATINGS_MIN_DEV = 0.02
RATINGS_DEV_DECAY = 0.008
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Arzar
Profile Joined October 2011
France51 Posts
February 27 2013 15:16 GMT
#26
Is there a way with Aligulac to plot the rating of say the 50 best players over the last two years all at once ?

For a while it was possible with the site mengsk.com (unfortunately the site is now dead). You would have all the graph of all the players superimposed and selecting a particular player would highlight his curve. It was quite fascinating to see the progression of a player ELO along the years.

For an illustration, the graphs from mengsk.com have been used in this TL article (comparing broodwar and chess)

Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3813 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-02-27 15:58:45
February 27 2013 15:49 GMT
#27
On February 28 2013 00:16 Arzar wrote:
Is there a way with Aligulac to plot the rating of say the 50 best players over the last two years all at once ?

For a while it was possible with the site mengsk.com (unfortunately the site is now dead). You would have all the graph of all the players superimposed and selecting a particular player would highlight his curve. It was quite fascinating to see the progression of a player ELO along the years.

For an illustration, the graphs from mengsk.com have been used in this TL article (comparing broodwar and chess)



Not currently possible. But in theory yes that should be doable, since the system already supports graphs, just not implemented.

Edit: This is not me saying that this is something being considered, just that it should be possible.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
February 27 2013 18:16 GMT
#28
If you want players to be highlightable I guess I have to use Javascript. Does anyone know of a graph widget like that?
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
dsjoerg
Profile Joined January 2012
United States384 Posts
February 27 2013 21:00 GMT
#29
On February 28 2013 03:16 TheBB wrote:
If you want players to be highlightable I guess I have to use Javascript. Does anyone know of a graph widget like that?


Highcharts is a very powerful Javascript graphing library. It has highlighting/hover ability. I use it extensively at GGTracker and I'd be happy to answer questions about it if anyone gets stuck with a Highcharts problem.
card-carrying grubby fan. developer of GGTracker.
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
February 28 2013 03:28 GMT
#30
Just noticed that in IPL TAC 3, Losers' Bracket Round 5 StarTale vs Prime, Byun is listed as beating Bomber.

http://aligulac.com/results/search/?op=search&after=&before=&players=Bomber
Byun&eventtext=IPL TAC


However, Bomber actually beat Byun.

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/IPL_Team_Arena_Challenge/3/Main_Event
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3813 Posts
February 28 2013 07:43 GMT
#31
On February 28 2013 12:28 LockeTazeline wrote:
Just noticed that in IPL TAC 3, Losers' Bracket Round 5 StarTale vs Prime, Byun is listed as beating Bomber.

http://aligulac.com/results/search/?op=search&after=&before=&players=Bomber
Byun&eventtext=IPL TAC


However, Bomber actually beat Byun.

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/IPL_Team_Arena_Challenge/3/Main_Event


Thank you, I fixed it now.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
February 28 2013 11:09 GMT
#32
On February 28 2013 06:00 dsjoerg wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 28 2013 03:16 TheBB wrote:
If you want players to be highlightable I guess I have to use Javascript. Does anyone know of a graph widget like that?

Highcharts is a very powerful Javascript graphing library. It has highlighting/hover ability. I use it extensively at GGTracker and I'd be happy to answer questions about it if anyone gets stuck with a Highcharts problem.

Free for non-commercial use written by Norwegians? Can't say no to this!
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
KillerDucky
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States498 Posts
March 04 2013 19:25 GMT
#33
Noticed something strange:

http://aligulac.com/players/7-Rain/period/79/

Rain is 1-0 vZ this period so far, but his vZ rating went down 3 points. Bug maybe?
MarineKingPrime Forever!
StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
March 04 2013 19:37 GMT
#34
On March 05 2013 04:25 KillerDucky wrote:
Noticed something strange:

http://aligulac.com/players/7-Rain/period/79/

Rain is 1-0 vZ this period so far, but his vZ rating went down 3 points. Bug maybe?

Maybe aligulac thinks Zenio is so bad that Rain would need to beat him 2-0 in a Bo1 in order to maintain his rating, I don't know.
JustPassingBy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
10776 Posts
March 04 2013 20:00 GMT
#35
Go Switzerland! I would love to visit that country one more time, but my parents are wanted criminals there, so... :D
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
March 04 2013 21:08 GMT
#36
On March 05 2013 04:25 KillerDucky wrote:
Noticed something strange:

http://aligulac.com/players/7-Rain/period/79/

Rain is 1-0 vZ this period so far, but his vZ rating went down 3 points. Bug maybe?

The ratings don't change independently. His other performances are dragging him down. The interpretation should be that yeah, he beat Zenio, but he has performed so poorly otherwise that it's reasonable to believe that his strength versus Zerg actually isn't any higher.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
KillerDucky
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States498 Posts
March 04 2013 22:27 GMT
#37
On March 05 2013 06:08 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 05 2013 04:25 KillerDucky wrote:
Noticed something strange:

http://aligulac.com/players/7-Rain/period/79/

Rain is 1-0 vZ this period so far, but his vZ rating went down 3 points. Bug maybe?

The ratings don't change independently. His other performances are dragging him down. The interpretation should be that yeah, he beat Zenio, but he has performed so poorly otherwise that it's reasonable to believe that his strength versus Zerg actually isn't any higher.


I see thanks. I hope I can get some time to play with the code myself, just reading it isn't cutting it.
MarineKingPrime Forever!
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