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On November 30 2011 04:07 sandroba wrote: dunno know what to make of zeks claim, pretty sure mafia would claim in that spot. prpl you vote palmar you auto mafia good day sir.
sandro let's save this town, yeah?
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g2g now coming up "why i dislike sinani's analysis of WBG"
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BC is a member of the mafia.
do not let him become mayor.
there i said it
we need to get off of palmar because BC is going to sit on double lynches. if we kill palmar and we kill BC then we lose the double lynches, period. 1 mafia sacrificed for 3 DLs... great trade for them.
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On November 30 2011 04:08 layabout wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 03:59 Steveling wrote: Layabout's filter is a big pile posts about the issues we faced on day 1, and a correct call on kitiman27 being a reliable town mayor Yet he somehow feels motivated to post in length in his dispute with Jackal58(which surprise surprise flipped town) over Palmar. He now does the same thing standing up for WBG. WBG has his own history defending Palmar as well.
We are in for a great night gents. "which surprise surprise flipped town" im asking you to use logic and reason when you post the "dispute" with jackal was me pointing out that 100% was an exaggeration based on numbers, it was explained to me that it was based upon ideas about how GMmarshall likes to balance games, i criticised the "reasoning" used to argue for lynching of WBG but to me the arguements were god-aweful WBG may be scum but based on what we know i don't see how you could conclude that from what has been said
Did you just edit my quote? You must have balls of steel to do that in the recent clusterfuck of rulebreaking we had. I think I have to report you.
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On November 30 2011 04:13 Steveling wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 04:08 layabout wrote:On November 30 2011 03:59 Steveling wrote: Layabout's filter is a big pile posts about the issues we faced on day 1, and a correct call on kitiman27 being a reliable town mayor Yet he somehow feels motivated to post in length in his dispute with Jackal58(which surprise surprise flipped town) over Palmar. He now does the same thing standing up for WBG. WBG has his own history defending Palmar as well.
We are in for a great night gents. "which surprise surprise flipped town" im asking you to use logic and reason when you post the "dispute" with jackal was me pointing out that 100% was an exaggeration based on numbers, it was explained to me that it was based upon ideas about how GMmarshall likes to balance games, i criticised the "reasoning" used to argue for lynching of WBG but to me the arguements were god-aweful WBG may be scum but based on what we know i don't see how you could conclude that from what has been said Did you just edit my quote? You must have balls of steel to do that in the recent clusterfuck of rulebreaking we had. I think I have to report you.
stfu, it's not rule breaking.
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On November 30 2011 04:13 Steveling wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 04:08 layabout wrote:On November 30 2011 03:59 Steveling wrote: Layabout's filter is a big pile posts about the issues we faced on day 1, and a correct call on kitiman27 being a reliable town mayor Yet he somehow feels motivated to post in length in his dispute with Jackal58(which surprise surprise flipped town) over Palmar. He now does the same thing standing up for WBG. WBG has his own history defending Palmar as well.
We are in for a great night gents. "which surprise surprise flipped town" im asking you to use logic and reason when you post the "dispute" with jackal was me pointing out that 100% was an exaggeration based on numbers, it was explained to me that it was based upon ideas about how GMmarshall likes to balance games, i criticised the "reasoning" used to argue for lynching of WBG but to me the arguements were god-aweful WBG may be scum but based on what we know i don't see how you could conclude that from what has been said Did you just edit my quote? You must have balls of steel to do that in the recent clusterfuck of rulebreaking we had. I think I have to report you.
Oh yeah, and Steveling is another one I'd like gone. Preferably through a vigi shot, lynches are too precious for someone like him. The reason is simple: he replaced this guy which was already scum in my eyes, and his posts have been mostly retarded bullshit(like this one here).
there I said it
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On November 30 2011 04:08 wherebugsgo wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 04:07 sandroba wrote: dunno know what to make of zeks claim, pretty sure mafia would claim in that spot. prpl you vote palmar you auto mafia good day sir. sandro let's save this town, yeah? No too lazy and not like anyone listens to me. Be my guest though, I'd love if someone carry me this game. Besides, you owe me for defending you last game when you were scum for 2 days =P
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On November 30 2011 04:11 annul wrote: BC is a member of the mafia.
do not let him become mayor.
there i said it
we need to get off of palmar because BC is going to sit on double lynches. if we kill palmar and we kill BC then we lose the double lynches, period. 1 mafia sacrificed for 3 DLs... great trade for them.
So with votes currently as they stand, who do you suggest voting for? Join the mass swap to supersoft? I think Palmar needs to get his triple vote off ace and zeks, because zeks is almost assuredly going down now and Ace is out. Palmar's triple vote is going to be key in who gets lynched. As it stands I don't see him using his triple on himself, and WBG/me are the only two who, if he put his vote on us, would overtake him at the moment. Then again, if he's really town he might try and persuade us to move over to someone like supersoft or xtfftc.
People I feel are most likely to be scum at this point in time. xtfftc, hier, supersoft, prplhz, kenpachi, deconduo, blind-rawr, bloodycobbler, vaderseven, tree.hugger, StimilantE, Lanaia, Drazerk, Mattchew, Ciryandor, sandroba.
I'm going to go through this list and make an analysis on each player now. Expect it in about an hour. See you then o/
Don't get too scared if you're on this list and you're town. I'm just building cases against you, and if you're town you'll be able to defend yourself. As it stands apparently a lot of people think I'm mafia. I'm writing up this analysis so people can look back if I get lynched and see it in a new light. Here's to hoping I'm right.
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On November 30 2011 04:17 Zephirdd wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 04:13 Steveling wrote:On November 30 2011 04:08 layabout wrote:On November 30 2011 03:59 Steveling wrote: Layabout's filter is a big pile posts about the issues we faced on day 1, and a correct call on kitiman27 being a reliable town mayor Yet he somehow feels motivated to post in length in his dispute with Jackal58(which surprise surprise flipped town) over Palmar. He now does the same thing standing up for WBG. WBG has his own history defending Palmar as well.
We are in for a great night gents. "which surprise surprise flipped town" im asking you to use logic and reason when you post the "dispute" with jackal was me pointing out that 100% was an exaggeration based on numbers, it was explained to me that it was based upon ideas about how GMmarshall likes to balance games, i criticised the "reasoning" used to argue for lynching of WBG but to me the arguements were god-aweful WBG may be scum but based on what we know i don't see how you could conclude that from what has been said Did you just edit my quote? You must have balls of steel to do that in the recent clusterfuck of rulebreaking we had. I think I have to report you. Oh yeah, and Steveling is another one I'd like gone. Preferably through a vigi shot, lynches are too precious for someone like him. The reason is simple: he replaced this guy which was already scum in my eyes, and his posts have been mostly retarded bullshit(like this one here). there I said it
What about from those who are likely to get lynched today? At the moment, there's zeks (~20); palmar, risen and wbg (~10 each); supersoft, myself, annul and serejai (~5 each)? It's very much likely that two of those will be lynched and you said Supersoft already, so do you reckon that one of the others is mafia?
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EBWOP: I don't feel my cases are going to be very strong against those with very few posts, or people like Ciryandor and sandroba.
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Zephirdd is another guy just like Cheese with less than 5 posts coming out and saying things without backing them up. Scum buddies much?
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EBWOP: I said blind-rawr, but my analysis will be on him and his replacement.
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risen if you can convince the whole thread to change to decon/stevedude/serejai I'll unvote you. Good luck though.
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prpl too I guess, pretty sure he is scum.
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BloodyC0bbler is scum
I want to preface this with the fact that this analysis is going to be hard to follow.
BC is a phenomenal player, and as such he is not going to make very many mistakes. However, like all scum, if he's attacking a townie you will be able to find small holes that would probably not exist if he was actually town.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 28 2011 20:52 Palmar wrote: Btw, I'm up for lynching Ace today.
I'm actually up for dedicating one of the lynches today to either killing me or Ace. As long as town agrees to lynch the other should one flip town. While losing me as town mayor sucks, the influence Ace already has over town is troubling, and if I have to trade myself 1 for 1 against him, I'll do it.
If you're voting for Wherebugsgo, vote me instead, or preferably, Ace.
I think everyone in town can agree that dedicating one of the lynches today to not lynching based on clues, but analysis, is going to force people who would otherwise skirt by with doing clue analysis, to actually contribute to the thread.
In my book a one for one trade is a good one.
What do you say Ace, you up for a stand-off? Hi Palmar. You wanted to trade 1 for 1 with ace, he flipped town. As such you should flip red.
Yeah, he wanted a 1 for 1 trade with Ace.
Unless Palmar has the gift of divinity he would never have seen the modkill coming. Up until that point I actually agreed with him; Ace's case on both myself and Palmar was terrible.
I gave Ace a better chance to flip mafia than town at that point, but that was based on only 2-3 hours of him being around. That's barely enough time to consider for Ace, who is notorious/famous (take your pick) for having a style of play that is legitimately hard to read.
However, when a good player immediately enters the thread with a bad argument, you tend to believe they are scum before you think they are town.
If Palmar were scum and he knew Ace was town, I don't think he would ever agree to a 1 for 1 trade with Ace. That's just moronic, seeing as how Palmar knows himself that Ace will have more influence over the thread and more ability to get him lynched. Ace would win, and that would mean no trade would ever occur. Not even Palmar has enough balls to do that.
This is not a logical reason for Palmar to be scum.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 28 2011 20:31 Palmar wrote:Syllogism was out for his morning run when he stopped to tie his laces. He ran in marathons, and so each day he followed the same routine of waking up in the morning, putting on his tracksuit and going for a half-hour long run through the forest behind his house. Today was no different. Often, the trail he used was completely empty of other people, and so he was surprised when he finished tying his shoes to look up and see a man in a black trench-coat standing off to the side of the trail ahead of him. He was even more surprised when the man lifted a rifle and put two bullets into his chest. "Two roads diverged in a wood, and I-- I took the one less traveled by, And that has made all the difference." - Zeks's profile linkySyllogism running in woods obviously points to the forest, which can mean a number of people. However, the fact the clue mentions that the trail is usually completely empty, which directly corresponds with the fact that Zeks mentions taking the "less traveled by" road, leads me to believe this is our most obvious clue for today. Not to mention, this is good in mulitple ways. If any of the DTs decided to follow through with the plan, they will be able to deduce something about their sanity through killing Zeks. He was on the DT check list. As I mentioned during the night, after realizing he wasn't new Zeks is a complete null-read, which means he hasn't posted enough content to analyse. Seeing as he has not posted at all since making up his mind during the mayor elections, I am going to be voting for him today. ##Vote Zeks IF HE IS A NULL READ YOU DO NOT LYNCH. You have no idea his alignment and are literally firing into a barrel hoping to hit a fish. Null reads + first day of clues are not how you lynch. A correct red lynch from these instances gives you absolutely nothing in terms of understanding how the clues work, on the people who vote for the lynch, on his scumbuddies etc.. You vote for people who are acting scummy in thread. People flip flopping their positions, blatent scum slipping, diverting lynches from solid targets to random people, etc.... You know this yet you vote off the first set of clues? ffs palmar. How is no one else seeing how blatant your being?
BC why is it that you are only attacking Palmar on this but not anyone else?
In this case Palmar is actually one of the only players to advance a proper reason for voting Zeks. Everyone else has just been sheeping. Zeks is, indeed, scummier than quite a few people, and I would put him on my scumlist. He's not the best choice, and I don't think we should be lynching solely based on clues, but there is analysis that exists to condemn Zeks.
The problem is that no one is using it.
BC's logic holds here but he blows up on Palmar despite plenty of other people doing exactly what he's describing.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 29 2011 01:23 Palmar wrote:On November 29 2011 01:21 Ace wrote:On November 29 2011 01:20 Palmar wrote: He should be modkilled for that. S.C.A.R.E.D. S.C.U.M. I'll entertain you. I would never accept such a deal. Even if it wasn't against the rules. I'm suggesting modkilling you... if you flip town I'm going to be lynched faster than I can say asshole. So no, I'm not scared. Again you repeat that you are expecting to die, almost as if your fine with it. He flipped town and now your instantly backstepping your position. Blatant scum move to never intent on upholding a deal you had struck originally.
It's because he knows most of the sheep in this town will follow Ace to the grave.
Ace had an idea. It was wrong about at least me (I am town, not scum) and if that was possible I am certain it was possible (hell, even likely) that Ace was wrong about Palmar.
You admit it yourself, you disagreed with Ace about me. Yet, you are hellbent on lynching Palmar. In fact, you are one of the only players in the thread who wants to lynch Palmar because he activated double lynch.
I don't like the fact that Palmar changed his mind and activated double lynch either, but that isn't lynch-worthy. At best we should salvage the situation and use the double lynch to kill scum. Palmar is very unlikely to be one, IMO, at this point.
Also, it's not a "scum-move" to not uphold the deal. No one in this game can divine alignment, so certainly if Ace and Palmar were both townies you'd end up with the exact situation you have now. You wouldn't even be able to tell the difference. Lynching Palmar based on this is not only disingenuous, it's moronic.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote: A townie would realize his mistake and appear almost sorry for the mistake made instead you respond with Show nested quote +On November 29 2011 17:54 Palmar wrote:On November 29 2011 17:17 Cyber_Cheese wrote:On November 29 2011 15:14 Steveling wrote: Just remember guys that we don't need to martyr Ace. He was a towny but he might very well be off about his predictions. This and the points in this post inspire me to ##Vote StevelingAnd I don't trust officials I didn't get the chance to vote in ##Vote Palmar That's retarded. Steveling and I are extremely unlikely to be both scum given how hard he's pushing against me. Btw, since I'm gonna die anyway, I'm finally gonna revert to playing how I normally play. I don't need to be political anymore, and frankly, given Ace decided to troll the game, I don't care anymore. Troll the game? He was being logical and playing his style straight up. Instantly pushing town objectives. But more importantly you said above zeks is a null read.
From my perspective, at least, it certainly didn't seem like Ace was doing any good.
If Palmar is town I can certainly see why he would say this about Ace.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Welcome to this post. Show nested quote +On November 29 2011 02:04 Palmar wrote: First of all, I'm leaning town on sandroba now, especially after syllogism flipped. This means I put more value into any case presented by sandroba. He did ask me during the night about Zeks, to which I responded newbie town after skimming very fast over the Zeks's posts. When sandroba pointed out he wasn't a newbie, I re-classified him as null read.
I don't lynch null reads.
I don't lynch solely on clues.
I don't lynch lurkers for lurking.
But when someone does nothing to look town, has clues pointing against him, and just disappears off the face of the earth for the entire night, I think I have a reason to vote for him. When you combine three reasons who might not be individually be enough to lynch someone,
He has done nothing to prove his alignment either way and has only 1 clue pointing at him.. THIS IS A NULL READ. You are literally doing exactly what you said you don't do. Jesus Palmar. If it wasn't for the fact you hid gems like this in giant posts near no one reads you you'd get away with it. Once you kill the few people who can read you might be able to just type your red alignment repeatedly in your long posts.
This is the only thing that you actually have that can potentially go against Palmar.
I disagree strongly with the Zeks lynch, as I think analysis-based lynch can take us further, but Zeks is not a bad lynch for today at all. Palmar is right in that there are multiple pieces of evidence that suggest he is scum. Out of context and individually they aren't strong, but together they are.
A very good town player in Foolishness once said that it isn't about little things on their own, but little things pieced together for the big picture. You might be right in that we don't lynch on clues alone, or anything else alone for that matter, but you are wrong in that you cannot use these little things in conjunction with each other to lynch people.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 29 2011 17:57 Palmar wrote:On November 29 2011 10:37 redFF wrote: oh come on it was clearly a fucking joke...
regardless that solidifies my read on palmar, just because ace is dead does not mean scum are going to take control of the thread. keep posting.
@mods that was dumb, i expect better of GM Shut up. I didn't tell the mods it, but I was going to ask to be replaced if he wasn't modkilled. Don't you fucking dare come in here and try to claim town credit post-modkill. I have no interest in playing with people who cheat, nothing to do with my alignment. On November 29 2011 11:54 BloodyC0bbler wrote: Back from seeing the show and I will say this.
What the fuck at aces modkill? Why would you warn him, then ban him for the same post he was warned for? Insanely wtf.
Now then. ACE WAS MAKING A FUCK TON OF SENSE. His main push was palmar. The only people who would actively push his modkill if he was playing this pro town are mafia. Anyone with a brain could see his alignment. As such, make his damn death worth something and off palmar. Same at you. You're wrong and dumb and you know it. You're probably scum too. You'd make a nice mayor to this town. You can even bus a teammate or two at various points in the game to quell their fears. Enjoy your free win. Hey didn't above you expected to get lynched? That you wanted to 1v1 trade with ace? Now your saying you'd sub out like a bitch if he didn't get modkilled? Wheres that spirit for when annul edited a post? Editing posts is cheating regardless of the post, and without double counting the entire voting thread yourself you have no way of knowing if hes lying or not. As for calling me dumb? You are resulting to personal attacks now? Have nothing else to use on me. *claps* its always so thrilling to know that someone can't actually analyze you so instead pushes insults.
The first part is completely irrelevant to the game, the second part is standard Palmar. There is nothing to see here.
Annul should be modkilled, but this has no place in your analysis of Palmar. I don't recall Palmar ever making a public outcry and screaming in the thread that Ace should be modkilled (it only happened after the fact) so I don't see why the lack of outrage over what annul did is any indication of Palmar's alignment.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 29 2011 22:57 Palmar wrote:On November 29 2011 22:50 Pigsquirrel wrote: Lynching Palmar is a Bad Idea (TM). At this point, it really doesn't matter if he is town or scum as long as he is giving us double lynches. His triple vote won't come into play until later, I'd be in favor of a day 4 or maybe 3 lynch no matter what. It doesn't matter if he is scum or town; he is being pro-town. Lynching him takes the gamble that BC will also be pro-town. Lynching me at any point in the game is a bad idea. Remember, the entire case against me that isn't just trolling is the fact I lynched youngminii, and I think I've explained my thought process clearly enough on that. Pushing a lynch on me is just pushing fear tactics. Sandroba is actually correct in his assessment that it's not worth taking the risk BC is scum. Anyone who still has his votes on me hasn't read the thread properly. Sandroba, are you around? Lynching you when you are red is clearly the best thing to do in the game. Clearing out scum from the elected positions is vitally important. Elected officials by nature have more sway in their posts. If you are scum and live you manipulate to many sheep voters that town cannot win. NOT pushing a lynch on you when you are believed to be scum on the basis "BC might be red" is fear mongering.
Yes, it's true that lynching someone when they are red is the best thing to do.
Except, BC, you actually have very little damning evidence that Palmar is going to flip the color you keep saying he's going to flip. Your logic is sound, but you have little to no evidence at all.
Why are you not attacking other players for fear mongering? If fear mongering is a concern why are you choosing to attack Palmar over players like deconduo and Hier, who have pandered to fear far more than Palmar has?
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 00:12 Palmar wrote:On November 30 2011 00:06 DeadlyPsycho wrote: Palmar, I'm interested to know what your stand is against what you said earlier, that if ace flips town, you are mafia? You said so yourself, one is mafia and the other town. My stand is that apparently Ace is an asshole who refused to re-visit his stance (remember, I asked medics to protect him, because I though once he read my arguments he would realize I'm obvious town). When he didn't re-evaluate, I figured he was probably scum, but I forgot the options that aren't town and scum (namely asshole, and troll). Now I did not expect him to get himself modkilled. But use your brain for a second, what does it mean that I said what I said? Think hard before you post again. Anyone look above to my posts. He says here that he did not expect ace to be modkilled. Meanwhile he was going to force the hosts to choose between them as players. This is not the attitude of someone you want to keep alive. You asked EVERY MED to protect him rather than just say "sheriff jail this guy". Why ask for all meds to do a job when 1 player can protect fully for a night?
He overlooked the sheriff power?
I certainly did. If one person overlooked it, I'm sure more than one could. Why is it such a stretch for you to consider this?
I haven't played many games with mayor+sheriff, only one. In that game we had a pardonner as #2 and the only power he had was to prevent someone from getting lynched. He was not a jailor. This game is different. I didn't notice that until you mentioned you could protect Ace.
This is not a reason for Palmar to be scum.
On November 30 2011 00:35 BloodyC0bbler wrote: I am taking off to work and wont be back till 1-3 hours before the lynch. When I come back I hope town has smartened up but if not, have fun diverting your lynch Palmar. You have a strong mafia play and are most likely going to win with it. I can do near nothing with this mass of sheep that instantly vote for the more baseless of lynches.
To all you voting for zeks on the information people ahve provided so far this game. You are bad. There is no case, there is a "look over there he might be red get him" when on closer inspection the man telling you to go look at the potential red guy is wearing a red suit holding a sign saying that hes mafia.
So if you are complaining about a mass of sheep who instantly vote for the more baseless of lynches...
shouldn't that give you cause for worry when Palmar is the leading vote candidate?
Indeed, the Zeks bandwagon is bad. But the Palmar bandwagon is just as bad, if not worse.
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EBWOP: Who is Blind-Rawr's replacement? :O
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@wherebugsgo
That 1for1 trade is WIFOM and that is a terrible terrible argument for Palmar's innocence. Your buddying with him while distancing yourself from him has been going on all game long and it has been weird. I have no idea why you are defending him because one of the most townie players I have seen on this forum, is currently not acting very townie. Can you explain this?
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On November 30 2011 04:25 xtfftc wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2011 04:17 Zephirdd wrote:On November 30 2011 04:13 Steveling wrote:On November 30 2011 04:08 layabout wrote:On November 30 2011 03:59 Steveling wrote: Layabout's filter is a big pile posts about the issues we faced on day 1, and a correct call on kitiman27 being a reliable town mayor Yet he somehow feels motivated to post in length in his dispute with Jackal58(which surprise surprise flipped town) over Palmar. He now does the same thing standing up for WBG. WBG has his own history defending Palmar as well.
We are in for a great night gents. "which surprise surprise flipped town" im asking you to use logic and reason when you post the "dispute" with jackal was me pointing out that 100% was an exaggeration based on numbers, it was explained to me that it was based upon ideas about how GMmarshall likes to balance games, i criticised the "reasoning" used to argue for lynching of WBG but to me the arguements were god-aweful WBG may be scum but based on what we know i don't see how you could conclude that from what has been said Did you just edit my quote? You must have balls of steel to do that in the recent clusterfuck of rulebreaking we had. I think I have to report you. Oh yeah, and Steveling is another one I'd like gone. Preferably through a vigi shot, lynches are too precious for someone like him. The reason is simple: he replaced this guy which was already scum in my eyes, and his posts have been mostly retarded bullshit(like this one here). there I said it What about from those who are likely to get lynched today? At the moment, there's zeks (~20); palmar, risen and wbg (~10 each); supersoft, myself, annul and serejai (~5 each)? It's very much likely that two of those will be lynched and you said Supersoft already, so do you reckon that one of the others is mafia?
I kinda get that people want zeks lynched because of that clue, but I'm not sure if it's the right choice. Any argument I can bring include an ongoing game, and it would be bad to talk about it until it ends. I'm pretty sure Palmar is town. WBG is being WBG and is probably town as well.
Risen pushes zeks' lynch(which I disagree with), but I can see him as a town.
I've had a few doubts about you, but I don't think you are scum. Not now at least. I'd have to look into it later on.
Serejai is fucking retarded, but I've seen retarded town like that.
annul is a null read at this point; some posts feels like he is town, some feels like he is scum. I hate that he posts quick-sucession oneliners, feels hard to follow; However he should be modkilled for editing if I'm not mistaken, right?
Oh yeah, and wbg has his retardedly huge posts. I like that. I also think that BloodyC0bbler was a bit scummy(namely from his "LAL on a game of newbies is bad" post; but that could be just me disagreeing with him).
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