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Code S RO16 Preview: Rogue, INnoVation, Dark, Trap

Forum Index > SC2 General
25 CommentsPost a Reply
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Code S RO16 Preview: Rogue, INnoVation, Dark, Trap

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
October 9th, 2020 08:59 GMT

2020 GSL Code S Season 3 - Round of 16

by Orlok

What a group we have to finish the RO16, ladies and gentlemen. Group D is the stuff of legends, and a collection of players worthy of being called the group of death. It may very well be the most intimidating Code S RO16 group since 2013, when we saw PartinG, Life, INnoVation, and Flash face off.

In terms of both name value and skill level, these are four of the absolute top players in Korea. Only two will survive to see the playoffs.

[image loading]

More info: GSL Code S Season 3 on Liquipedia


Group D Preview: Rogue, INnoVation, Dark, Trap

Start time: Saturday, Oct 10 4:00am GMT (GMT+00:00)

It’s funny how life works. Rogue has historically been viewed as a streaky player—someone who can win world championships at his peak, but whose skills can wane in unpredictable ways (especially in the immediate wake of winning a major title). While that might be true of Rogue, it's been interesting to see how he has continued to collect championships and started to overtake supposedly more consistent players on the GOAT ladder.

Amidst the never-ending arguments regarding Maru and Serral in 2018, the evergreen debates about INnoVation's long-term legacy, and more recent focus on rising stars like Clem and Reynor, Rogue has quietly just done his thing: cash huge checks and win big trophies. When Rogue was knocked out of BlizzCon 2019 in the quarterfinals, some might have thought his time as an apex Zerg was over. A few months later, he quietly showed up at IEM Katowice 2020 with very little hype behind him, andmade a spectacular run to become the first ever two-time champion of that particular super-major tournament.

When Rogue subsequently flopped out of Code S in the RO24, it seemed so typical of him—taking it easy after winning one of the biggest prizes in StarCraft. Perhaps even more typical was how furiously Rogue bounced back from that embarrassment, rampaging through the playoffs of Code S Season 2 and winning his second Code S title. There really is no one quite like Rogue right now: criminally underhyped despite being the best among his peers. If you're questioning his decision to create this group of death, just go take a look at his Liquipedia page, take a minute to absorb his resume, and just accept that he knows what he's doing.

INnoVation is this group's link back to that legendary 2013 group of death. But if he was one of the favorites to advance seven years ago, these days he can't seem to catch a break. Early 2020 looked good for INnoVation until it wasn’t. For a few weeks, INnoVation's combination of strong macro and uncharacteristic creativity in Code S Season 1 made it seem like we were watching INnoVation version 3.0 (4.0? 5.0? the man has had so many phases in his illustrious career). Then, he lost a narrow best-of-seven against Cure, and his championship momentum ground to a halt. He got swept by DRG in the quarterfinals of Code S Season 2, lost to Reynor in the quarterfinals of DreamHack Summer, and lost to Zest in the losers bracket of the DouYu Cup.

Of course, INnoVation is still really good—no single finish he’s had in any tournament this year was below eighth place. But his Achilles heel, namely any and all Protoss players continue to haunt him. Zoun blew him out of the water last round with all ins that in all honesty should have been scouted better or dealt with more decisiveness. Trap made quick work of him in the recent DH Fall finals. Zest won a drawn out series in the Douyu cup. Be it strong or average Protoss players, INnoVation’s tendency to always just play honest doesn’t help him get over the hump, and it’s cost him more than once. Now, he’s been great against Zergs not named Reynor or Serral, so it's likely he’ll be able to advance quickly….if he can overcome Trap and the current turbulent matchup that is TvP, which isn’t a guarantee despite the difference in form and results. INnoVation comes to this group at the odd position of being a favorite that somehow isn’t top on the list to win; he can win, but doesn’t have enough to guarantee said victory.

Dark surprisingly finds himself as an overshadowed Global champion this time around. His victory over Reynor at BlizzCon last year was a refreshing sight for OG Korean elitists, and felt like a restoration of world order to some. But that momentum hasn’t quite translated into anything big this year so far. The closest he came to winning a title at the Super Tournament, but he was upstaged in the finals due to a massive comeback show from Maru. Dark was also just plain unlucky at times, running into in-form players like TY and INnoVation in Code S. But part of being a great player is always being in form, and there aren't any excuses for how Dark hasn't quite lived up to the title of reigning BlizzCon champion. While having such high standards can be seen as a tad unfair, high results result in such expectations being set; it's the trade-off for temporarily grabbing championship mantles like GOAT or “Best in the world”. Dark has one last chance to prove for himself he is deserving for the top spot in SC2 history, and hopefully this time he gets to showcase what made him such a winner last year.

Trap rounds out this ultra stacked group as the lone Protoss hope. With PartinG falling in the previous group, Trap is now the only Protoss that could make the round of eight in all Code S competitions of this year. Thankfully, his form is as stable and reliable as ever; he’s been efficient in online tournaments in particular, taking silver in both the DreamHack Summer and Fall finals whilst securing 3rd and 4th place finishes at TSL and Douyu cup respectively. If one has a quibble with Trap, it’s his inability to advance further in Code S this year. However, similarly to Dark, one can certainly chalk a big part of that to bad luck. INnovation and Stats just were on a hotter streak at the time, and in the case of INnoVation, Trap managed to go the distance while losing. Add in the fact that INnoVation hasn’t looked all that great in the Protoss matchup, Trap looks to perhaps translate this advantage into breaking out of this historic group. PvZ certainly looks to be a tough match-up at the high end of pro StarCraft II, but Trap is the player who has drawn the most blood from the elite Zergs in major competitions as of late. If he can somehow break through the two best Zergs in Korea, then it might be a prelude to a Code S championship run.

Predictions

This group showcases the mantra of “given day” conditions as much as weaker, more balanced groups. Any one of these four players could wreak havoc onto the other, and vice versa, leading to so many outcomes that are open to us depending on what kind of form they find themselves in the studio. Since Terran hope is a lot dimmer due to the forever persistent Power of Protoss™, I'll peg my hope on INnoVation finally getting over his unlucky breaks and leave the rest up to luck.

Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Dark
Rogue 2:1 Trap
Dark 1:2 Rogue

INnoVation and Rogue to advance.


Credits and acknowledgements

Writer: Orlok
Images: AfreecaTV
Records and Statistics: Aligulac.com and Liquipedia

Facebook Twitter Reddit
TL+ Member
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States31188 Posts
October 09 2020 09:01 GMT
#2
Picking all 2-1's! What a coward
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
TL+ Member
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55021 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-09 09:08:38
October 09 2020 09:08 GMT
#3
On October 09 2020 18:01 Waxangel wrote:
Picking all 2-1's! What a coward

Also changing the GSL format so Dark can get eliminated losing only 1 series
Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Trap
Rogue 2:1 Dark
Trap 1:2 Rogue
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-09 09:27:40
October 09 2020 09:22 GMT
#4
Dark has been pretty underwhelming since his wrist injury a few months ago. Hopefully he's all healed up now and can bring some big Dark energy to the group of death.

Also I kinda feel bad for Trap getting always second place to a Zerg, but it's still funny to see a non-Zerg Kong. And on his second wind to boot. He won MLG way back when, slumped, and then rose all the way back up to not-quite-first place at IEM, GSL, Season Finals, whatever.
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
UncleBrothers
Profile Joined September 2015
Russian Federation7 Posts
October 09 2020 09:36 GMT
#5
On October 09 2020 18:08 Elentos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 09 2020 18:01 Waxangel wrote:
Picking all 2-1's! What a coward

Also changing the GSL format so Dark can get eliminated losing only 1 series
Show nested quote +
Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Trap
Rogue 2:1 Dark
Trap 1:2 Rogue


And Trap losing three.
Battle.net: <Uncle> themoOsician || https://www.instagram.com/starcraft.highlights/
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12107 Posts
October 09 2020 09:42 GMT
#6
Does this funny mistake in predictions count as part of the prediction curse?
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
RKC
Profile Joined June 2012
2472 Posts
October 09 2020 10:06 GMT
#7
Should Protoss have three tries in a dual-elimination tournament?
gg no re thx
Orlok
Profile Joined June 2014
Korea (South)227 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-09 11:14:34
October 09 2020 11:13 GMT
#8
My bad, this couldn't have been a worse mistake to make. Here it is done properly.

Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Dark
Rogue 2:1 Trap
Dark 1:2 Rogue

INnoVation and Rogue to advance.
Writer"Don't leave me hangin!"
Durnuu
Profile Joined September 2013
12692 Posts
October 09 2020 11:19 GMT
#9
On October 09 2020 20:13 Orlok wrote:
My bad, this couldn't have been a worse mistake to make. Here it is done properly.

Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Dark
Rogue 2:1 Trap
Dark 1:2 Rogue

INnoVation and Rogue to advance.

Blame your editor, not yourself
BUNNYYYYYYYYY https://i.imgur.com/BiCF577.png
Edpayasugo
Profile Joined April 2013
United Kingdom2135 Posts
October 09 2020 11:33 GMT
#10
Please, INno

looked good yesterday in KoB, so fingers crossed
FlaSh MMA INnoVation FanTaSy MKP TY Ryung | soO Dark Rogue | HuK PartinG Stork State
Uni1987
Profile Joined September 2010
Netherlands642 Posts
October 09 2020 14:56 GMT
#11
Why isn't the GSL planning in the TL agenda (live events)?
.............
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States31188 Posts
October 09 2020 19:20 GMT
#12
On October 09 2020 20:19 Durnuu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 09 2020 20:13 Orlok wrote:
My bad, this couldn't have been a worse mistake to make. Here it is done properly.

Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Dark
Rogue 2:1 Trap
Dark 1:2 Rogue

INnoVation and Rogue to advance.

Blame your editor, not yourself


thanks for being so understanding
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
TL+ Member
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland17860 Posts
October 09 2020 21:30 GMT
#13
Oof. I reckon my boy Trap can do it but it’ll be tricky. Best shot is winning the opener and getting Inno in the winner’s match.

Not sure I fancy him if he has to win multiple PvZs, but really he’s shown as good PvZ as anyone in recent months.

Hope Dark can bring his best form, it’s a shame when any player is afflicted with wrist issues.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
TL+ Member
Mettis
Profile Joined June 2019
84 Posts
October 09 2020 21:35 GMT
#14
Rogue 1st Trap 2nd imo
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4140 Posts
October 09 2020 22:50 GMT
#15
I'm rooting for Rogue and Trap. I can see INnoVation destroying Rogue tho. But never Dark advancing. That will be a surprise.
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France11344 Posts
October 09 2020 22:55 GMT
#16
6am that’s too early for me, I hope to wake up watching INno qualified and The Heats still in the course for the title
WriterBiggest Maru fanboy?
phodacbiet
Profile Joined August 2010
United States1705 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-10-09 23:16:16
October 09 2020 23:06 GMT
#17
On October 09 2020 18:36 UncleBrothers wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 09 2020 18:08 Elentos wrote:
On October 09 2020 18:01 Waxangel wrote:
Picking all 2-1's! What a coward

Also changing the GSL format so Dark can get eliminated losing only 1 series
Rogue 1:2 INnoVation
Dark 2:1 Trap
INnoVation 2:1 Trap
Rogue 2:1 Dark
Trap 1:2 Rogue


And Trap losing three.


Protoss so bad they lose 3 games when u can only lose 2 :D
RogerChillingworth
Profile Joined March 2010
2471 Posts
October 09 2020 23:41 GMT
#18
I'm thinking Dark and Inno but would be fine with Dark/Trap as well.
dysenterymd
Profile Joined January 2019
605 Posts
October 10 2020 02:23 GMT
#19
Inno and Trap... I think? I hope?

Serral | Inno | sOs | soO | Has | Classic
Kitai
Profile Joined June 2012
United States750 Posts
October 10 2020 03:52 GMT
#20
Betting on Rogue/Trap tonight. INno and Dark just haven't been at their peak lately.
"You know, I don't care if soO got 100 second places in a row. Anyone who doesn't think that he's going to win blizzcon watching this series is a fool" - Artosis, Blizzcon 2014 soO vs TaeJa
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