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Making the Grade: Code S Group Nominations

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Making the Grade: Code S Group Nominations

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
January 31st, 2018 21:29 GMT

Making the Grade: Code S Group Selections

Written by Mizenhauer
[image loading]

Photo by leimmia
[image loading]


2018 Global StarCraft II League Season 1 - Code S

The Group Selections is a highlight of every GSL season. A deep tournament run hinges on having the right opponent at the right time, and the pros do their best to maneuver themselves into the best positions possible. One wrong choice and the whole campaign could crumble before it even starts. There are also plenty of laughs to be had, as the players indulge in a convoluted dance of compliments, trash talk, and truly confusing logic.

There are many ways to approach the selections. Some players, such as PartinG, have gone in with the explicit goal of sowing chaos, assembling a Group of Death. More often, players take the path of herO, quietly attempting to assemble the easiest possible quartet.

There may not be any games going on, but it could only be considered a missed opportunity if I didn’t take this opportunity to critique the players on something other than their multitasking, mechanics, and my personal bias. I’ve decided to grade the four seed-holders on how they performed in the draft, as they looked to pave their roads to the quarterfinals.

Granted, they played very little part in the proceedings beyond their initial pick. But why should that stop me? If someone drops a penny off the Empire State Building, they’re the only one to blame if it hits the sidewalk, ricochets into a taxi’s windshield, and causes a twenty car pile-up that makes 10,000 people late for work. It’s all about who got the ball rolling.

THE RULES
• The four top-ranked players from 2017 are seeded into separate groups (A-D-C-B order)
• First four picks are made in order of seeding (#1 seed gets 1st pick, #2 seed gets 2nd pick, etc.)
• Remaining picks in "snake draft" order starting from Group D
• After all picks are made, #1 seed can swap any two non-seeded players

THE PICKS - (pick order in parentheses)
Group A: (T)INnoVation -> (1) (Z)Leenock -> (8) (P)Zest -> (9) (Z)Scarlett
Group B: (Z)soO --> (6, SWAP) (T)aLive --> (7) (Z)Dark --> (10) (T)TY
Group C: (T)GuMiho -> (3) (P)Classic -> (4, SWAP) (P)Dear -> (11) (T)Maru
Group D: (P)Stats --> (2) (P)Trap --> (5) (P)herO --> (12) (P)sOs

Confused? You should be.


Of course, you could also just watch the entire two-hour ceremony


INnoVation (#1 seed) - Grade: A+

Group A: (T)INnoVation, (Z)Leenock, (P)Zest, (Z)Scarlett

INnoVation couldn’t have done any better. Going in, everyone knew who INnoVation was taking with his first pick, and he snatched Leenock off the board before anyone else got a chance. INnoVation is 14-3 in lifetime matches against Leenock and has only lost three games to him since 2015 (he has won 23 times). It’s as much of a slam dunk as you’ll ever see in Korean StarCraft II.

Taking the weakest player with the first pick is easy, though. INnoVation had to wait for seven players to pass by before seeing who else he'd face. Leenock decided to go with Zest, a choice which should have left INnoVation satisfied. Although Zest has enjoyed a resurgence post-BlizzCon resurgence, he’s been the model of inconsistency. Regardless of what other people say about PvT, Zest has managed to drop matches to ByuN, aLive, TY and even Forte.

Just as everyone assumed INnoVation would pick Leenock, they were also certain he would exercise his swap privilege as the #1 overall seed to bring Scarlett to his group. INnoVation has lost a few matches against Scarlett in the past, but he came out on top in their only previous meeting in GSL. He also beat her 10-1 in an ONPOONG event a little more than a year ago.

As it turns out, a silver tongue was all that was required. INnoVation convinced Zest to use his own pick to bring Scarlett to the group, so the duo might advance together after beating up on the two Zerg weaklings. Leenock protested, pleading to Zest that he should use his pick to pressure INnoVation instead. Alas, Zest was deaf to his former teammate's cries and went along with INnoVation's plan. Zest scooped up Scarlett to round out the group, preserving INnoVation’s swap-privilege.

At this point, INnoVation could have used his swap to replace Zest with an even easier opponent. Instead, INnoVation made the shrewd move of setting up his quarterfinal match instead. GSL’s fixed seeding makes it so Group A players must face Group B players in the quarterfinals (A1 vs B2, A2 vs B1). Knowing this, INnoVation used his swap to send away Group B’s sole Protoss player Dear, ensuring he would not face a Protoss opponent in the quarterfinals.

It makes perfect sense. INnoVation is supremely confident in his TvT and TvZ, but fears TvP as a matchup where he might be upset by an inferior player. In that case, it’s much better to tolerate ONE Protoss in his RO16 group (where he has insurance in the form of the two weakest Zergs remaining), if he can guarantee he will not face Protoss in a quarterfinal elimination match. While all the other players are playing RTS, INnoVation is playing grand strategy.

If INnoVation finishes first, he’s looking at the second place finisher from Group B as his next opponent. A mirror matchup against one of the Terrans or a pairing against soO (who has recently been hapless in ZvT) would be vastly preferable given Dark is the other option. Even if that were the case, INnoVation is 11-4 in games against Zerg since the new year and has to fancy his chances.


soO (#4 seed) - Grade: D-

Group B: (Z)soO, (T)aLive, (Z)Dark, (T)TY

There’s a saying about the best laid plans of mice and men…

It all started off so well. soO was the fourth to pick, but he still managed to get his dream opponent in Dear. soO has been terrible against Dear over the course of his career, but he notched his first win against him the IEM Katowice qualifiers less than a month ago. soO’s form against Protoss in 2018 (5-1 in matches) made this the obvious selection. Things were looking even rosier when Dear inexplicably chose Dark (Dear is 2-11 against Dark since December), adding another favorable opponent to soO’s group. There was still a round of picks left, but soO must have been licking his lips at the prospect of playing his two favored matchups in the Ro16.

With only three players left, Dark selected TY to round out the group. But fear not! Dark’s 29-14 lifetime record against TY would have eased soO’s worries, allowing him to dream of a path out of the RO16 that didn’t involve facing TY at all. Then INnoVation came in and stomped all over soO’s garden.

Switching Dear and aLive tore up any scenarios soO might have drawn up in his head, forcing him to defeat at least one Terran in order to advance. In 2018, soO is a combined 20-11 against Protoss and Zerg. In the same period, he is 7-5 against Terran. That might not seem so bad, but those wins came against Sinner, Forte and MajOr. soO has been struggling immensely against Terran on stream, and has to be positively sick at the prospect of facing INnoVation in the quarterfinals should he somehow manage to escape an already challenging group in second place. soO’s goal can’t be to merely advance—he need to go 2-0 if he wants to avoid a death sentence in the quarterfinals.


GuMiho (#3 seed) - Grade: D

Group C: (T)GuMiho, (P)Classic, (P)Dear, (T)Maru

GuMiho started the whole process off in a rather strange way. He had the third pick, but for some reason used it on the hottest player in StarCraft II. Classic is 32-6 in matches against all races since BlizzCon and 10-1 versus Terran. Meanwhile, GuMiho doesn’t even have a 50% win-rate against Protoss since the 4.0 patch (36-38 in games, 14-14 in matches). What’s even worse is that many of those wins have come against players like Nice, JackO, Tesla and the dreaded omgabanana. There’s no way to rationalize it, really. GuMiho invited disaster from the start.

Classic decided to make things easier on GuMiho by picking a mutually beneficial opponent in aLive. GuMiho is 24-8 in the Terran mirror in the last two months (10-3 in matches) and has won ten of his last twelve meetings against the mYinsanity Terran. aLive proceeded to select Maru as his opponent, an addition which must have pleased GuMiho very much given his TvT form (not to mention the fact that Maru had lost two macros games to the lowly KeeN a few hours early). GuMiho appeared bound for the losers’ match, but TvT could still light his way to the quarterfinals.

At least, until INnoVation had his say.

aLive and Dear swapped places, shifting GuMiho’s forecast from a pair of blissful mirrors to a possible 0-2 at the hands of Protoss. GuMiho is guaranteed to face at least one Korean Protoss in the Ro16, and he has to beat at least one to reach the quarterfinals. If GuMiho reaches the quarterfinals at all, he will have to face yet another Protoss opponent from the all-Protoss Group D. No one is quite sure how the latest balance patch will affect the matches, but if something doesn’t change drastically, GuMiho is a dead man walking.

Stats (#2 seed) - Grade: F

Group D: (P)Stats, (P)Trap, (P)herO, (P)sOs

Get ready for five thrilling matches of a-moving archons and possibly a guest appearance by phoenix vs phoenix.

Maybe it’s not all that bad given the star power of the combatants, but Stats had to have expected things would turn out differently when he used his #2 overall pick on the relatively easy Trap. It seemed like Stats was going with the “weakest overall opponent” draft philosophy, because his personal record against Protoss is a rather poor 22-26 since his BlizzCon flop. However, he did score a victory over Classic in last Saturday’s round of 32 group, so it’s possible he feels he’s turned a corner in PvP.

Things got a bit trickier when Trap selected herO as the third player in the group. Stats holds a slight edge in that head-to-head matchup, but herO has won their last three meetings dating back to October 2017. Three Protosses in a four-player group is already pretty bad, but Stats looked positively dismayed as aLive snatched up Maru with his pick, sending sOs over to Group D and making it an all-Protoss affair. The fact that Stats will only have to prepare against Protoss is poor consolation given the fact that sOs has gotten the better of him historically (16-12 with the most prominent defeat coming in the semifinals of 2017 GSL Season 3). sOs’ PvP has been slightly underwhelming since the turn of the calendar (9-6 in games with a 2-1 loss to Stats), but there’s a reason he was the last man standing: no one wants to deal with his bulls***.

If Stats somehow braves the Group of Death Protoss, he could very well be staring down another PvP in the round of 8, as Classic has to be considered the favorite in Group C. Winning one PvP is hard enough, but he might have to slog through four of them if he wants to end up in the greener pastures of the semifinals.



Credits and acknowledgements

Written by: Mizenhauer
Editor: Wax
Photo: leimmia
Statistics: Aligulac.com

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TL+ Member
DieuCure
Profile Joined January 2017
France3713 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 21:48:38
January 31 2018 21:45 GMT
#2
Group B is insane, the two best zergs + the best (or 2nd for INno s fanboys ) terran of LoTV.
This group is more ro4 than ro16.

Classic and INno are the lucky guys here.

Also bye bye Stats and Gumiho.
TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
January 31 2018 21:48 GMT
#3
Nobody wants to deal with his bullshit?

You mean lose to his glorious style that will save us all?
kiss kiss fall in love
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
January 31 2018 21:49 GMT
#4
I'm hoping one of the players in the Protoss group will bust out disruptors against opponents that have inexplicably forgotten about phoenixes.
Elentos
Profile Blog Joined February 2015
55453 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 21:57:20
January 31 2018 21:55 GMT
#5
As things look, Inno will cruise to the Ro8 comfortably, and it's on Zest to fix his PvZ. If he does, that group shouldn't be too hard for him either. If there's a Leenock vs Scarlett match, we should get Wolf involved so he can cast the hair.

soO's group is gonna be pretty spectacular, can't ever underestimate TY or Dark and aLive is a wild card. I think there's actually a pretty realistic scenario for every player to win the group depending on how the first matches go, so I hope we get to see some cool stuff. And also TY to advance so he can get reverse swept in the Ro8 some more.

Classic's odds of advancing in that group, I'd rate probably 98%, I think it's mostly a question of who else advances. And that actually could be anyone, because Dear is the most amazingly inconsistent player ever.

Group D is the ultimate trainwreck. No carrier vs carrier please.
Every 60 seconds in Africa, a minute passes.
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12115 Posts
January 31 2018 22:04 GMT
#6
Technically speaking the swap helped Maru, as now he has a chance with fighting with "just" TvP instead of his abysmal TvT(or he learns how to cyclone )
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
tekrebel
Profile Joined June 2012
56 Posts
January 31 2018 22:08 GMT
#7
I love it when SoS and Hero are in the same group! I can't wait to see the protoss debauchery that's gonna go on. I can only hope we get some sort of in-base cannon rushes into carriers lol.
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?36481 Posts
January 31 2018 22:18 GMT
#8
Title has been changed. "Group Nominations" is incorrect. It is "Group Selections".
ModeratorI've been managing Liquibets for 11 years! Bonjwa fo sho >.<
TL+ Member
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States32167 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 22:24:20
January 31 2018 22:23 GMT
#9
On February 01 2018 07:18 Seeker wrote:
Title has been changed. "Group Nominations" is incorrect. It is "Group Selections".

It literally says "group nominations" in the GSL graphic during the actual broadcast
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
Mun_Su
Profile Joined December 2012
France2063 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 22:31:57
January 31 2018 22:29 GMT
#10
On February 01 2018 06:45 DieuCure wrote:
Group B is insane, the two best zergs + the best (or 2nd for INno s fanboys any sane person since INno is the best ) terran of LoTV.
This group is more ro4 than ro16.

Classic and INno are the lucky guys here.

Also bye bye Stats and Gumiho.


Fixed that for you


Good recap Mizenhauer !

i don't know if the group D will be enjoyable; the B will probably be the best to watch.

Hoping for :
INno/ notLeenock
TY/soO
Classic/ whatever
Stats/notherO
INno <3 - TY - Maru - Taeja - Rain <3 - Classic <3 - Stephano <3 - soO <3 - Soulkey - Dark - SERRAL =O / END REGION LOCK
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
January 31 2018 22:31 GMT
#11
On February 01 2018 07:23 Waxangel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 01 2018 07:18 Seeker wrote:
Title has been changed. "Group Nominations" is incorrect. It is "Group Selections".

It literally says "group nominations" in the GSL graphic during the actual broadcast


I'm just happy it doesn't say "#Group #Nomination".
Charoisaur
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany15344 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 22:35:30
January 31 2018 22:35 GMT
#12
Inno, Zest

Dark, TY

Classic, Maru

sOs, herO

Many of the coolest moments in sc2 happen due to worker harassment
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13701 Posts
January 31 2018 22:35 GMT
#13
Inno zest
Dark soo
Classic dear
sOs Trap
Fountain Target Tip
Executer08
Profile Joined June 2015
Germany163 Posts
January 31 2018 22:47 GMT
#14
On February 01 2018 06:49 ZigguratOfUr wrote:
I'm hoping one of the players in the Protoss group will bust out disruptors against opponents that have inexplicably forgotten about phoenixes.


this sounds more like MCanning fan fic than a GSL RO 16 group
"You have the image of being a robotic, stoic player among foreign fans. What do you think about that?" - "I don’t think it’s incorrect." || letodSWAG
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
January 31 2018 23:03 GMT
#15
No idea what the hell Gumiho was thinking. On paper it doesn't look good at all for him.

The only hope I have is that Gumi knows he's been slacking and by picking Classic he plans to motivate himself to being in championship form again.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Phredxor
Profile Joined May 2013
New Zealand15057 Posts
January 31 2018 23:05 GMT
#16
On February 01 2018 08:03 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
No idea what the hell Gumiho was thinking. On paper it doesn't look good at all for him.

The only hope I have is that Gumi knows he's been slacking and by picking Classic he plans to motivate himself to being in championship form again.


He first picked Inno last time didnt he? Gumi don't give no shits.
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
January 31 2018 23:06 GMT
#17
On February 01 2018 07:23 Waxangel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 01 2018 07:18 Seeker wrote:
Title has been changed. "Group Nominations" is incorrect. It is "Group Selections".

It literally says "group nominations" in the GSL graphic during the actual broadcast

Well they're wrong, and Seeker is right, obviously
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States32167 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-01-31 23:20:20
January 31 2018 23:19 GMT
#18
On February 01 2018 08:06 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 01 2018 07:23 Waxangel wrote:
On February 01 2018 07:18 Seeker wrote:
Title has been changed. "Group Nominations" is incorrect. It is "Group Selections".

It literally says "group nominations" in the GSL graphic during the actual broadcast

Well they're wrong, and Seeker is right, obviously

I mean, yes, 'selection' IS a better translation for the Korean word. Shrug.
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
pvsnp
Profile Joined January 2017
7676 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-02-01 00:28:37
February 01 2018 00:18 GMT
#19
An article about group nomination? I personally think it's a really interesting part of the GSL that frequently gets glossed over, so it's good to shine some light on the process. Especially since this one produced Group D(umpster fire).

The analysis is on point, though I think you gave Inno a little too much credit and criticized soO a bit too much (is this really Mizenhauer writing? ). Being the first seed is a huge advantage, so while Inno did play his hand very well, he still started the game with pocket aces. Similarly, soO had no way of knowing who exactly Inno would swap, so while the end result is obviously subpar for him, blaming him for everything doesn't quite fit.

As for Gumiho and Stats, I think their grades are fitting. Gumiho picking any Protoss would be questionable, and picking the one in the best form is downright bizarre. Like soO, he can't be held accountable for Inno's swap, but unlike soO he does take the blame for choosing Classic in the first place. Stats, on the other hand, bears sole responsibility for taking his strong opening position and not only squandering it, but completely inverting his situation into what is more or less the worst possible group he could've asked for.

Anyhow, keep up the great work, Mizenhauer!
Denominator of the Universe
TL+ Member
FrkFrJss
Profile Joined April 2015
Canada1205 Posts
February 01 2018 00:24 GMT
#20
I think while Inno should be very happy with his group and the ro8 overall, I think he may be underestimating his opponents a bit. Yes, he has fared well against Dark, soO, and TY, but at the same time, they are also the best non-Protoss he could face in the ro8.

I was hoping that Scarlett would get a three zerg group, as any matchup other than ZvZ doesn't seem very favourable.
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