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[Code S] Stats vs Ryung - Semifinals Preview - S1 2017

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[Code S] Stats vs Ryung - Semifinals Preview - S1 2017

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
March 17th, 2017 13:47 GMT

Stats vs Ryung
Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

Stats vs Ryung



A Cut Above the Rest

When the dust settled, (P)Stats was forced to yield the stage to (T)TY. Reduced to an afterthought, Stats deserve more recognition for his inarguably impressive tournament run. Highlighted by victories over TY, (P)Neeb, (T)jjakji, (Z)Nerchio, (T)ByuN and (Z)Dark, it highlighted just how far Stats had come since playing second fiddle to Zest on KT Rolster. Despite the who’s who list of conquests, Stats was sent home without a trophy.

For Stats it’s just another stumble in a journey which has taken him all over the globe. He displayed excellence at Katowice, defeating formidable opponents in all three matchups; that alone confirms his status as the best Protoss in the world. Despite all the talk of Stats' failures he’s kept his nose to the grindstone, putting forth a dedicated effort in every event. He’s looked great in everything he's participated in over the past few weeks. Stats qualified for both VSL and SSL, one of only 5 players to do so ((Z)Solar, (P)Zest, (Z)ByuL, (P)Patience were the other four). He’s also locked up another trip to California with his semifinals appearance in TING Season 3.

How is Stats juggling so many plates with so little apparent effort? The first place to look is his PvZ and PvP. Stats posted a 13-3 mark in these matchups against foreign and Korean competition during March, including the aforementioned Dark and Nerchio as well as (P)herO and (Z)Rogue.

One would think Stats would be disappointed to face a Terran in the semifinals. While the matchup has recovered somewhat from its disastrous 60% mark in Terran’s favor, Terran is still winning 55% of the time. PvT remains the most uneven matchup by a good margin, which would justify qualms in most players and especially for someone with a history of being unstable in PvT. However, Stats has ascended within the pantheon of new age ex-KeSPA Protoss gods to become their undisputed king. Through March Stats was 12-3 against Terran, with a series win against (T)INnoVation in the quarterfinals a week earlier. He didn't discover anything revolutionary to pull this off; instead, he relied on his ability to optimize builds to give himself the best edges. He has made a matchup which many considered unwinnable appear easy with graceful play. Every decision looks effortless, every action crisp. Besides his attempts to open robo against TY, something he likely won’t duplicate versus Ryung, Stats almost always looks a step ahead.

There is no doubt that Stats is the clear favorite heading into the second semifinal. He’s the stronger player all around. He's shown himself superior at planning as well as executing strategies, more adaptable, wilier and the best Protoss in the world. The thing is, superlatives don’t mean anything and Stats knows this better than most.


Drowning in Mediocrity

1568 days.

That’s how much time has elapsed between (T)Ryung’s GSL semifinal appearances. A little over 4 years, 10 GSL’s and 2 expansions later, Ryung finds himself in the same spot he was back in 2012.

He got close back in Season 2 of 2016. He gave eventual champion ByuN the most trouble during the latter's championship run. This time around he managed to clear the Round of 8 hurdle. He looked completely dominant in TvT against (T)Maru, but isn’t that something people have come to expect from him? Ryung has always been viewed as a TvT expert and with his precarious shifts in forms in the other two, TvT has been his bedrock. Surprisingly his two deepest GSL runs have been built on the back of the non-mirror matchups. During that other semifinals run in 2012, Ryung didn’t play a single Terran until the Round of 8 when he defeated (T)MarineKing. In this current campaign he only played Terran once out of 6 matches in the group stages.

How good is Ryung really? For a player who has advanced so deep in the hardest tournament in the world, you would expect him to shine in other events. Yet beyond GSL, he hasn't displayed the consistent form expected of a top-tier player. Ryung started off IEM well but was quickly disposed of by INnoVation. Since then he failed to appear at the VSL qualifiers and limped to a place in SSL Challenger League. Most of the time he swims neck deep in mediocrity, but his recent GSL showing and brief peaks of success early in Starcarft 2’s history suggest a potentially dangerous player lurks below the surface. All of this paints the picture of someone who can't put it all together for long stretches of time.

What exactly is keeping Ryung back, then? It can’t be a lack of experience. Ryung is one of the oldest veterans in the scene: Aligulac counts 2250 recorded games for Ryung, almost 1000 more than his opponent. It shouldn’t be mechanics – Ryung appears to be everywhere at once in TvT. Perhaps he lacks the series planning, game understanding or the killer instinct exhibited by players like (P)sOs or Maru. Maybe his uneasy footing in TvZ and TvP never allowed him to constantly go the quarterfinals/semifinals of events beyond the lucky draw.

The bottom line is Ryung never steps up when the stakes are high. For all his games played since the launch of Starcraft 2, he is unfamiliar with a stage of this magnitude. If Ryung wants to finally break the semifinal barrier, he’ll have to transcend his leanings towards mediocrity and become the version of himself he needs to be.


More than a pretty face

Seeing these two facing off in 2017, it would be hard to tell they came from different worlds. Groomed for years in a KeSPA team house Stats was seen as a polished product, a KT protege who had refined his game to prefabricated specifications. Ryung, on the other hand, was one of many Brood War players who eagerly seized the opportunity to win fame and fortune in a new game.

Lately the community has been forced to question their perceptions of players like these two. Stats is no longer Zest’s sidekick whose only hallmark was unrealized potential. He has risen from the wreckage of KT Rolster as a new man, one who can be a champion like his former partner. One of the first to adopt the banner of a foreign team, Stats is also streaming and offering perspective on a man who had formerly been given so few opportunities to express himself. He is garnering new fans with his newly acquired, but not new, fun-loving reputation as much as he is wowing with his in-game skills.

Ryung is celebrating a coming-out party of sorts. He languished in anonymity for so long that it was easy to forget he still played, but his host of victories over the past 6 months have thrust him into the spotlight. Still perceived as somewhat of a TvT specialist, Ryung is little by little changing his reputation.

The first GSL of 2017 has offered unprecedented access to all participants. For players like Stats and Ryung, who have earned the most time to promote themselves, it has been exceptionally beneficial. It only took a few weeks to confirm that their newfound sponsors made a wise decision, as they quickly shed their old images.

Stats was a rising star perpetually ready to break out, while Ryung was never good enough to attract much attention. Besides their results, the community was never given much opportunity to form new opinions outside of those reputations. Now that they’ve gradually reshaped their public identities, there’s no going back. No longer are players cardboard cutouts. Stats and Ryung are perfect examples of how players are actual people, with complex emotions and personalities that exist beyond the games.


Prediction:

(P)Stats 4-1 (T)Ryung




Credits:
Writers: Mizenhauer.
Editors: Olli.
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Stats: Aligulac

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TL+ Member
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12770 Posts
March 17 2017 13:52 GMT
#2
Stats is gonna destroy Ryung so bad it'll hurt!
Poor Ryung, always eliminating good terrans, but won't ever win a starleague.
WriterMaru
Charoisaur
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany15911 Posts
March 17 2017 14:05 GMT
#3
this might be on paper the biggest mismatch in the gsl semifinals ever.
Many of the coolest moments in sc2 happen due to worker harassment
zealotstim
Profile Joined February 2015
United States455 Posts
March 17 2017 14:18 GMT
#4
Question is can (P)Stats keep up that level of play for this long? I think he can, but there's always a chance Ryung makes it.
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12770 Posts
March 17 2017 14:25 GMT
#5
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!
Every terran is failling TvP, Ryung has been mediocre in every matchup bar TvT, terran has just been nerfed, Stats is currently on fire as well as the best protoss and very competent in PvT.

I would laugh so hard if Ryung manages to shock everyone and win (he'll barely be able to win one game off of some cheese I guess?) the bo7 but it's never going to happen.
So I'll cheer for Ryung, the ultimate underdog.
WriterMaru
Vutalisk
Profile Joined August 2016
United States680 Posts
March 17 2017 14:49 GMT
#6
This is probably the only match that I basically don't care who wins. Not a fan of either Stats or Ryung... But I guess I will root for the underdog AKA Ryung. Go Ryung!
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16665 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-17 15:04:17
March 17 2017 15:02 GMT
#7
On March 17 2017 22:47 TeamLiquid ESPORTS wrote:
No longer are players cardboard cutouts. Stats and Ryung are perfect examples of how players are actual people, with complex emotions and personalities that exist beyond the games.

i totally disagree. players have no emotions or personalities.

thanks for the coverage... especially the details about Stats... i'm looking forward to the series!
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24417 Posts
March 17 2017 15:19 GMT
#8
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!
Every terran is failling TvP, Ryung has been mediocre in every matchup bar TvT, terran has just been nerfed, Stats is currently on fire as well as the best protoss and very competent in PvT.

I would laugh so hard if Ryung manages to shock everyone and win (he'll barely be able to win one game off of some cheese I guess?) the bo7 but it's never going to happen.
So I'll cheer for Ryung, the ultimate underdog.


How is every Terran failing in TvP? That's so far from the truth. Besides, there have been far greater upsets in GSL than Ryung beating Stats.
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
March 17 2017 15:23 GMT
#9
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
munch
Profile Joined July 2014
Mute City2363 Posts
March 17 2017 15:28 GMT
#10
On March 17 2017 23:05 Charoisaur wrote:
this might be on paper the biggest mismatch in the gsl semifinals ever.

[image loading]

It'll be interesting to see what Stats has tweaked since IEM, I can see Ryung going for some of the same technical tank pushes that TY did. No way Ryung's gonna play for late game here
WriterForm is temporary, MMA is permanent || http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/508630-article-archive
Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24417 Posts
March 17 2017 15:35 GMT
#11
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games


Retired man Taeja knocking out GSL champion Zest
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-17 15:45:48
March 17 2017 15:42 GMT
#12
On March 18 2017 00:28 munch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2017 23:05 Charoisaur wrote:
this might be on paper the biggest mismatch in the gsl semifinals ever.

[image loading]

It'll be interesting to see what Stats has tweaked since IEM, I can see Ryung going for some of the same technical tank pushes that TY did. No way Ryung's gonna play for late game here


naw, TRUE was good at ZvZ back then and even beat soO earlier that season. Plus, y'know ZvZ in general..

NesTea vs Hongun was the greatest semifinal beatdown I've ever seen. In fact, NesTea's entire 3rd gsl run was filled with mismatches aside from Losira xD

==

I agree with the 4-1 prediction for Stats. Still, Ryung pulling it out wouldn't be that insane. Occasionally he shows some good TvP.

Now, Ryung beating soO is just something I don't see at all. If that happened, I will truly believe soO is cursed and destined to never win gsl.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Dav1oN
Profile Joined January 2012
Ukraine3164 Posts
March 17 2017 17:14 GMT
#13
damn, it would be impossibly hard to wake up 6 AM local time to watch
In memory of Geoff "iNcontroL" Robinson 11.09.1985 - 21.07.2019 A tribute to incredible man, embodiment of joy, esports titan, starcraft community pillar all in one. You will always be remembered!
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12770 Posts
March 17 2017 17:18 GMT
#14
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games

Ryung beating Stats in a bo7 is a far greater upset are you joking?
Like San beating Nestea in bo1? It's bo1, Nestea lost a ton of ZvP on ladder...
Jjakji was not the favorite but it wasn't that big of an upset.
Again bo3, groups of death happens, not a big upset.
Jinro beating MC is quite an upset but MC was cheesy and in the same team iirc so Jinro "just" had to play it smart.
TRUE beating Zest? Ok so what? When?

DRG was the ZvT monster for a long time in WoL, him beating Bogus isn't especially an upset.
WriterMaru
starkiller123
Profile Joined January 2016
United States4030 Posts
March 17 2017 17:22 GMT
#15
I love both Stats and Ryung, Stats should crush him but I will be happy with either of them advancing
usopsama
Profile Joined April 2008
6502 Posts
March 17 2017 17:30 GMT
#16
Stats, get a 4-0 so that I can squeeze out every last drop of tears out of Ryung.
chipmonklord17
Profile Joined February 2011
United States11944 Posts
March 17 2017 17:31 GMT
#17
On March 18 2017 02:18 Poopi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games

Ryung beating Stats in a bo7 is a far greater upset are you joking?
Like San beating Nestea in bo1? It's bo1, Nestea lost a ton of ZvP on ladder...
Jjakji was not the favorite but it wasn't that big of an upset.
Again bo3, groups of death happens, not a big upset.
Jinro beating MC is quite an upset but MC was cheesy and in the same team iirc so Jinro "just" had to play it smart.
TRUE beating Zest? Ok so what? When?

DRG was the ZvT monster for a long time in WoL, him beating Bogus isn't especially an upset.


I really don't think a previous season semi finalist beating the previous season's champion was particularly an upset.
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?36999 Posts
March 17 2017 17:40 GMT
#18
On March 18 2017 00:35 Olli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games


Retired man Taeja knocking out GSL champion Zest

TANGTANG knocking out Zest from Code A qualifiers
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
Ej_
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
47656 Posts
March 17 2017 17:42 GMT
#19
On March 18 2017 02:40 Seeker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2017 00:35 Olli wrote:
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games


Retired man Taeja knocking out GSL champion Zest

TANGTANG knocking out Zest from Code A qualifiers

ding ding ding, we have the winner
"Technically the dictionary has zero authority on the meaning or words" - Rodya
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12770 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-03-17 17:53:09
March 17 2017 17:50 GMT
#20
On March 18 2017 02:40 Seeker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 18 2017 00:35 Olli wrote:
On March 18 2017 00:23 FrostedMiniWheats wrote:
On March 17 2017 23:25 Poopi wrote:
Yeah Ryung winning this would even be the greatest upset of GSL ever!


Not even close. Just a few off my head:

- San beating NesTea even in a bo1 back in the day

- Jjakji beating Leenock to win a gsl

- PartinG not making it out of a group of Terrans at the end of HotS

- Jinro beating MC twice to advance to the ro8

- TRUE destroying Zest in the ro8 with corruptor/queen/ling

and perhaps my all-time favorite, because it was totally fucking epic:

- DRG defeating Bogus in a bo3, all macro games


Retired man Taeja knocking out GSL champion Zest

TANGTANG knocking out Zest from Code A qualifiers

Wasn't even code S x). Iirc it was on LotV after Zest won his GSL, when he became bad for some time.
Bo3 so not really a big upset, there is more variance in bo3 than in bo7.

It's a waste of time trying, Ryung beating Stats at that point in time would be the greatest GSL upset :o.

Like, Stats was eating chicken legs with his buddies jjakji and TY few days before his match... he was so chill.
I don't understand Korean but I'm pretty sure he said to jjakji:
"Ryung so bad in TvP you could beat him with your offrace Protoss!" (Jjakji played protoss for a few games on stream that day or a few days before).

Whereas Ryung was busy practicing, crying every time he lost to protoss.

:D
WriterMaru
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