WCS Wars Season 3 has ended!
NEW WEBSITE!
Explanations here!
+ Show Spoiler [New Website] +
The website was completely rewritten, check it out NEW WEBSITE!
Here is the FAQ.
Aside from the full redesign there are some new features. Here are the big ones.
AFK Chances - This shows what their Blizzcon Chances are if you assume they earn no more points, this would be helpful in looking at the situations we saw with sOs and Jaedong last year for example. Everyone is currently at 0% AFK Chances because they all need more points in order to make it.
Branched Simulations - This allows for the possibility of looking at really specific theoretical scenarios, read the FAQ on the website for more info about this.
WCS Wars - WCS Wars is a fantasy league based on the median WCS points as determined by WCS Predictor (Wikipedia link for median). You currently start the game with 18,000 WCS Points to buy players with (this starting number will need to be adjusted depending on the season). Each player's cost = median_wcs_points + base_cost, where the base_cost is currently 2000. Build a team of up to 5 players, hope that your players win to boost their Median WCS Points, and you can sell them to buy different players. Selling gives you 99% of their worth. Check the Leaderboard section at the bottom of the WCS Wars page!
Graphs in the Biggest Winners/Losers sections, and WCS Points Cutoffs graphs.
Tournaments in Upcoming section, with countdowns and stream links.
Events tables have default filters for "simple" and "is-likely", with buttons to change filters easily, and you can still type custom filters. The "i" icon next to the events shows their keywords. You can also filter by < (less than) and > (greater than) percentages, every whole number percent from 0 to 100 works. Examples of filtering by percentages are: "B<10%" for events that result in Blizzcon Chances worse than 10%, or "P>20%" for events that have a probability over 20%.
Also make sure to check the "More" dropdown on the top menu to see more pages, like the Tournaments page.
Make sure you make your WCS Wars team!
The WCS Predictor 2014 thread is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/436957-wcs-predictor-2014
And here is the 2013 thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/429003-blizzcon-qualification-probabilities-simulation
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Retrospectives!
Sunday, Sep 27 10:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4854)
Retrospectives!
Sunday, Sep 27 10:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4854)
With Dreamhack Stockholm completed, the only points left to give out are from the GSL Finals in . Then the only thing left will be the tie breaker match between Fantasy and Hyun. But for most of our players, they are done for the year and know who they will be facing in the WCS Global Finals. Now we can start looking at the the journey these players took to qualify, and maybe some that almost qualified. I will be doing these in no particular order, and I hope to do at least 10 of them.
September 27th - Maru http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24903237
September 30th - Parting http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24912363
October 3rd - sOs http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24926960
October 6th - INnoVation http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24940497
October 9th - ByuL http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24950289
October 12th - FanTaSy http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24963690
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WCS Wars Season 3 Awards!
Tuesday, Oct 06 4:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4865)
WCS Wars Season 3 Awards!
Tuesday, Oct 06 4:50am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4865)
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Wars Season 3 Awards!] +
Congratulations to the season 3 champion CruSaderSC! Now you get a 2nd trophy next to your name, and your choice of TL+ or Reddit Gold. Our 2nd place is OtherWorld.
Final Season 3 Leaderboard
#1
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
#2 OtherWorld's team is worth 22,376 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), sOs (5525), Ejwoda (2000), and 7876 unspent points.
#3
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
#4 KatatoniK's team is worth 21,019 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), ByuL (6975), Lilbow (5625), and 1094 unspent points.
#5 sharkie's team is worth 21,006 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), and 13681 unspent points.
+ Show Spoiler [More Users] +
#6
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
#7 Deltia's team is worth 20,517 WCS Points with MMA (3475), ForGG (4425), ByuL (6975), GunGFuBanDa (3000), PtitDrogo (2250), and 392 unspent points.
#8 Darkened's team is worth 20,471 WCS Points with GuMiho (4225), Jaedong (4000), ByuL (6975), Snute (4050), and 1221 unspent points.
#9 Solar424's team is worth 20,350 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), MaNa (3775), TRUE (3775), MarineLorD (3375), Dear (4425), and 575 unspent points.
#10 XPA's team is worth 20,317 WCS Points with Rain (7175), INnoVation (7325), Zest (5675), and 142 unspent points.
#11 Ejwoda's team is worth 20,229 WCS Points with FanTaSy (5025), Hydra (7000), Zest (5675), Ejwoda (2000), and 529 unspent points.
#12 DarkGamer's team is worth 19,925 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), Hydra (7000), Solar (4700), and 900 unspent points.
#13 SoulRiM's team is worth 19,914 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), herO (9900), SoulRiM (2000), and 689 unspent points.
#14 shid0x's team is worth 19,500 WCS Points with MMA (3475), Flash (2975), soO (3850), FanTaSy (5025), MarineLorD (3375), and 800 unspent points.
#15 Sargeo's team is worth 19,469 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 269 unspent points.
#16 Die4Ever's team is worth 19,206 WCS Points with Maru (8050), Dark (4925), sOs (5525), and 706 unspent points.
#17 lkyaugust's team is worth 19,025 WCS Points with Life (7475), Jaedong (4000), Snute (4050), Zanster (3025), and 475 unspent points.
#18 Nephrite's team is worth 18,900 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), soO (3850), Zest (5675), and 2050 unspent points.
#19 ropespierre's team is worth 18,875 WCS Points with sOs (5525), and 13350 unspent points.
#20 patton's team is worth 18,513 WCS Points with viOLet (2850), Polt (5875), Maru (8050), and 1738 unspent points.
#21 Jolt1111's team is worth 18,447 WCS Points with Maru (8050), San (2850), sOs (5525), and 2022 unspent points.
#22 NecroPhagist's team is worth 18,325 WCS Points with HyuN (5025), Maru (8050), Dark (4925), and 325 unspent points.
#23 im0001's team is worth 18,250 WCS Points with elfi (2550), Snute (4050), TLO (3550), MaSa (2300), Kane (2800), and 3000 unspent points.
#24 BluFenix's team is worth 18,175 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Dear (4425), and 7875 unspent points.
#25 ChaosSmurf's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Life (7475), FanTaSy (5025), Lilbow (5625), and 0 unspent points.
#26 Poussin's team is worth 18,125 WCS Points with Dark (4925), and 13200 unspent points.
#27 YenFu's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with sOs (5525), Classic (6550), Zest (5675), and 250 unspent points.
#28 Overmind's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with Life (7475), Hydra (7000), and 3525 unspent points.
#29 Divain's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with INnoVation (7325), ByuL (6975), and 3700 unspent points.
#30 The_Templar's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#31 Cricketer's team is worth 18,000 WCS Points with ByuL (6975), and 11025 unspent points.
#32 nuzznard's team is worth 17,975 WCS Points with herO (9900), Lilbow (5625), and 2450 unspent points.
#33 ZAWGURN's team is worth 17,770 WCS Points with herO (9900), and 7870 unspent points.
#34 quinn123's team is worth 17,450 WCS Points with Polt (5875), Flash (2975), Snute (4050), Bunny (4025), and 525 unspent points.
#35 refuused's team is worth 17,400 WCS Points with ForGG (4425), GuMiho (4225), Maru (8050), and 700 unspent points.
And if we add up the points from all 3 seasons, it's no surprise that CruSaderSC; with his 2nd place in season 1, 17th place in season 2, and 1st place in season 3; is our champion of the whole year! These top 16 of the year will have their #prediction posts specially highlighted on the PASSIONBOARD for the WCS Global Finals LR threads! If you're in this top 16 and your username on WCS Wars does not match your username on TL then please let me know.
2015 Total Leaderboard
#1 CruSaderSC with 49344 points
#2 karl1ok with 48433 points
#3 lukasus with 47917 points
#4 sharkie with 46402 points
#5 OtherWorld with 45788 points
#6 Darkened with 42806 points
#7 Die4Ever with 41715 points
#8 Sargeo with 40174 points
#9 patton with 39655 points
#10 The_Templar with 37267 points
#11 Solar424 with 34100 points
#12 KatatoniK with 32019 points
#13 SoulRiM with 26902 points
#14 GYM with 23202 points
#15 Tofu33 with 23004 points
#16 sadeiko with 21801 points
+ Show Spoiler [More] +
#17 Xithryl with 21463 points
#18 Sephrenya with 21184 points
#19 Deltia with 20517 points
#20 XPA with 20317 points
#21 Ejwoda with 20229 points
#22 Darkdwarf with 20195 points
#23 DarkGamer with 19925 points
#24 shid0x with 19500 points
#25 Magnuz with 19075 points
#26 lkyaugust with 19025 points
#27 Nephrite with 18900 points
#28 ropespierre with 18875 points
#29 Jolt1111 with 18447 points
#30 SkyHigh with 18425 points
#31 ch1ll1ng with 18350 points
#32 NecroPhagist with 18325 points
#33 im0001 with 18250 points
#34 BluFenix with 18175 points
#35 Poussin with 18125 points
#36 ChaosSmurf with 18125 points
#37 Divain with 18000 points
#38 YenFu with 18000 points
#39 Cricketer with 18000 points
#40 Overmind with 18000 points
#41 nuzznard with 17975 points
#42 ZAWGURN with 17770 points
#43 quinn123 with 17450 points
#44 refuused with 17400 points
#45 Topher with 16900 points
#46 Sakat with 14453 points
#47 FloW with 14125 points
#48 samsungjackets with 14100 points
#49 stardust with 13525 points
#50 El DesMadre with 13449 points
#51 loves_to_69 with 13250 points
#52 Surfacing with 12925 points
#53 80hd10 with 12800 points
#54 Alurian with 12800 points
#55 Bockwurst with 12713 points
#56 lllllllllll Kappa with 12477 points
#57 samsara with 12409 points
#58 Universe with 12325 points
#59 edwahn with 12132 points
#60 LYLY with 12125 points
#61 temponly with 12100 points
#62 WaspVenoM with 11900 points
#63 adalander with 11879 points
#64 collo with 11775 points
#65 daffe with 11575 points
#66 Asmiran with 11225 points
#67 Swisslink with 11175 points
#68 seph with 11050 points
#69 invisigoat with 10783 points
#70 denon39 with 10750 points
#71 BMKingPrime with 10675 points
#72 Wedge with 10283 points
#73 puCK with 10213 points
#74 kasraman1000 with 9953 points
#75 JackBeckman with 9800 points
#76 AweesomeSauce with 9699 points
#77 Darquess with 9650 points
#78 MMi with 9625 points
#79 t0rment with 9525 points
#80 Lucrania with 9425 points
#81 Totorosc2 with 9375 points
#82 Trumpet with 9025 points
#83 Kuchiki with 8900 points
#84 Philouzy with 8562 points
#85 YankoBzykant with 8525 points
#86 oufanforever with 8474 points
#87 Taari with 8375 points
#88 feebleFanfare with 8338 points
#89 Tarmil with 8325 points
#90 KingofdaHipHop with 8275 points
#91 badbeat with 8225 points
#92 Nezgar with 8190 points
#93 Supernopro with 7963 points
#94 User15937 with 7950 points
#95 Seigifried with 7875 points
#96 belling with 7813 points
#97 NotTrulyEvil with 7725 points
#98 baxon with 7675 points
#99 Flume with 7575 points
#100 SPRX97 with 7500 points
#101 showstealer1829 with 7455 points
#102 Bentheboss with 7375 points
#103 velimirg with 7313 points
#104 Corvus with 7225 points
#105 Newbish4life with 7150 points
#106 TeHa with 7062 points
#107 Pnissen with 6995 points
#108 LastHope with 6475 points
#109 Colouss with 6371 points
#110 Hjax with 6325 points
#111 qqmagnuz with 6300 points
#112 codecrunsher with 6288 points
Stats time!
Best Trades
#1
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#2
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#3
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#4 Ejwoda gained 1654 points from
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#5 Nephrite gained 1650 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Trades] +
#6
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#7 KatatoniK gained 1600 points from
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#8 Deltia gained 1550 points from
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#9
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#10 Sargeo gained 1350 points from
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#11 sharkie gained 1275 points from
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#12 OtherWorld gained 1218 points from
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#13 KatatoniK gained 1200 points from
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#14 DarkGamer gained 1050 points from
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#15 sharkie gained 1033 points from
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#16 Die4Ever gained 1009 points from
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#17 ropespierre gained 800 points from
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#18 Jolt1111 gained 800 points from
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#19 DarkGamer gained 750 points from
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#20 XPA gained 750 points from
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#21
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#22 SoulRiM gained 703 points from
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#23
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#24 SoulRiM gained 693 points from
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#25
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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Worst Trades
#1 Jolt1111 lost 625 points from
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#2 Nephrite lost 600 points from
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#3 XPA lost 470 points from
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#4 Nephrite lost 450 points from
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#5 sharkie lost 425 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Worst Trades] +
#6 OtherWorld lost 425 points from
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#7 Darkened lost 400 points from
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#8 Die4Ever lost 395 points from
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#9 quinn123 lost 375 points from
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#10 OtherWorld lost 372 points from
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#11 sharkie lost 370 points from
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#12
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#13
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#14 OtherWorld lost 360 points from
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#15 OtherWorld lost 356 points from
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#16
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#17 refuused lost 350 points from
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#18 quinn123 lost 350 points from
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#19
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#20
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#21 sharkie lost 332 points from
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#22 Darkened lost 332 points from
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#23 Darkened lost 314 points from
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#24 Ejwoda lost 300 points from
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#25 XPA lost 289 points from
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Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 XPA gained 92 points from
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#2 OtherWorld gained 116 points from
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#3 OtherWorld gained 188 points from
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#4 sharkie gained 266 points from
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#5 sharkie gained 70 points from
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#6 OtherWorld gained 405 points from
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#7 OtherWorld gained 146 points from
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#8 OtherWorld gained 275 points from
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#9 OtherWorld gained 143 points from
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#10 sharkie gained 198 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Quickest Profits] +
#11 Darkened gained 143 points from
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#12 Darkened gained 121 points from
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#13 OtherWorld gained 162 points from
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#14 OtherWorld gained 167 points from
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#15 OtherWorld gained 42 points from
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#16 OtherWorld gained 227 points from
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#17 Die4Ever gained 90 points from
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#18 Darkened gained 143 points from
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#19 Darkened gained 33 points from
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#20 Darkened gained 138 points from
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#21 sharkie gained 95 points from
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#22 sharkie gained 47 points from
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#23 OtherWorld gained 145 points from
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#24 OtherWorld gained 244 points from
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#25 OtherWorld gained 164 points from
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Givers
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Givers] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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#21
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#22
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#23
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#24
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#25
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Takers
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Takers] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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#21
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#22
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#23
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#24
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#25
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Most Sales
#1 OtherWorld with 80 sales
#2 Darkened with 42 sales
#3 sharkie with 37 sales
#4 XPA with 20 sales
#5
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
+ Show Spoiler [More Most Sales] +
#6 Die4Ever with 15 sales
#7
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
#8 SoulRiM with 10 sales
#9 Sargeo with 8 sales
#10
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
#11 Jolt1111 with 6 sales
#12 ZAWGURN with 6 sales
#13 Deltia with 6 sales
#14 Ejwoda with 5 sales
#15 Solar424 with 5 sales
#16 patton with 5 sales
#17 shid0x with 5 sales
#18 im0001 with 5 sales
#19 KatatoniK with 4 sales
#20 quinn123 with 4 sales
#21 lkyaugust with 4 sales
#22 YenFu with 3 sales
#23 ChaosSmurf with 3 sales
#24 nuzznard with 3 sales
#25 refuused with 3 sales
Most Bought
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Most Bought] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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#21
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#22
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#23
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#24
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#25
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Best Possible Trades
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Possible Trades] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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#21
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#22
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#23
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#24
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#25
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Untapped Potential
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Untapped Potential] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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#21
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#22
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#23
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#24
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#25
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Best Timing
#1
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#2
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#3
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#4 KatatoniK with
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#5 Deltia with
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Timinigs] +
#6
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#7 Ejwoda with
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#8 sharkie with
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#9 Nephrite with
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#10 OtherWorld with
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#11 Sargeo with
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#12
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#13 KatatoniK with
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#14 ropespierre with
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#15 Jolt1111 with
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#16 SoulRiM with
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#17 lkyaugust with
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#18 Ejwoda with
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#19
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#20 OtherWorld with
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#21 Solar424 with
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#22 Solar424 with
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#23 Darkened with
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#24 DarkGamer with
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#25 XPA with
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Worst Timing
#1 Nephrite with
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#2 Jolt1111 with
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#3 XPA with
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#4 Darkened with
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#5 OtherWorld with
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+ Show Spoiler [More Worst Timinigs] +
#6 Nephrite with
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#7 quinn123 with
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#8 OtherWorld with
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#9 sharkie with
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#10 sharkie with
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#11
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#12 quinn123 with
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#13
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#14 OtherWorld with
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#15 patton with
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#16 OtherWorld with
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#17 Die4Ever with
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#18
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-icon.png)
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#19 OtherWorld with
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#20 OtherWorld with
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#21 Darkened with
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#22 OtherWorld with
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#23
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#24 sharkie with
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#25
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015
Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)
The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015
Thursday, Oct 01 5:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4857)
+ Show Spoiler [The Biggest Surprises of WCS 2015] +
(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Tied at DreamHack
At DreamHack Stockholm, in the round of 16, we had Fantasy vs Hyun. Both players flew to the event to pick up their last WCS Points and secure their Blizzcon Chances.
If Fantasy lost then he would be knocked down to just 36.09% Blizzcon Chances; if Fantasy lost and Dark had won his match, then Fantasy would've been down to 0%. If Hyun lost then he'd have been knocked down to 0% as he needed at least a 2nd place. Hyun getting a 2nd place would tie him with Fantasy, but Dark could still pass them, and a 1st place would've put Hyun at 100%.
People have been counting out Hyun all year long, saying he only made it previously by competing in the easier WCS America. He made the SSL round of 16 twice this year, but still most of his points came from strong performances in international tournaments.
Then Hyun defeated Fantasy 2-0, showing how much he wanted to make to Blizzcon. Dark lost to Leenock, and sOs beat Harstem, meaning only Fantasy and Hyun had uncertain Blizzcon Chances.
Against Rain, again people counted out Hyun, until he won 3-1. Hyun was facing Reality in the semifinals. Fantasy knew that Hyun would tie him with a 2nd place, and knock him out of the WCS Global Finals if he got 1st place. Hyun again won 3-1.
Hyun's killing spree was ended in the finals by Solar with a 3-1 score.
Now both Hyun and Fantasy can only practice as hype builds for their tie breaker match to determine who goes to the WCS Global Finals and who watches from home.
WCS Global Finals Bracket
Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1bvLcaB.png)
The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
The GSL finals between Innovation and Byul determines the rest.
If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest.
If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
Innovation is currently 27-14 in WCS matches this year; 9-3 vs Zerg, 7-4 vs Terran, and 11-7 vs Protoss; making his vs Zerg his strongest matchup as usual.
Byul is currently 24-9 in WCS matches this year; with an incredible 8-1 vs Terran, 4-2 vs Zerg, and 12-6 vs Protoss; making his vs Terran his strongest matchup.
This is also a rematch from the SSL quarterfinals on August 20th where Byul kept his composure to barely win 3-2 over Innovation's mech on Terraform.
WCS Year Recap
Biggest surprise qualifications of this WCS year
#1 Dream started the WCS year at 3.06%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.7% on December 9th. His lowest point in season 2 was 78.44% on April 7th. He hit 100% in season 2 after he made his second consecutive SSL finals by beating herO in the semifinals on June 4th.
#2 Hydra started at 9.25%. His lowest point in season 1 was 7.32% on December 8th. In season 2 it was 64.11% on April 14th. He hit 100% in season 2 when he baat Lilbow in the WCS finals on June 28th.
#3 Byul started at 10.64%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.09% on January 30th. In season 2 it was 8.69% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 80.86% on June 29th. Byul hit 100% when he beat TY in the SSL Season 3 semifinals on September 3rd.
#4 Lilbow started at 11.52%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.1% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 0.32% on April 14th just before qualifying for WCS. In season 3 it was 9.23% on July 11th. Lilbow hit 100% after he beat Mana in the WCS Season 3 finals on September 13th and Rogue and Gumiho were defeated in GSL.
#5 Rogue started at 14.81%. His lowest point in season 1 was 11.84% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 42.67% on April 11th. In season 3 it was 62.21% on August 2nd. Rogue hit 100% on September 24th after Byul beat Dear in the GSL semifinals and the DreamHack Stockholm bracket was drawn.
#6 Classic started at 20.70%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.60% on March 15th. In season 2 it was 7.60% on April 7th. In season 3 it was 99.69% on July 3rd. Classic hit 100% after he beat Parting in the IEM Shenzhen finals on July 19th.
#7 Maru started at 21.27%. His lowest point in season 1 was 19.42% on December 9th. Maru hit 100% after he beat Dream in the SSL Season 1 finals on March 21st.
#8 Life started at 27.60%. His lowest point in season 1 was 27.60% on November 17th. Life hit 100% after he beat Parting in the GSL Season 1 finals on March 22nd.
#9 Polt started at 30.95%. His lowest point in season 1 was 13.76% on January 14th. In season 2 it was 89.59% on June 25th. In season 3 it was 97.39% on July 17th. Polt hit 100% after he advanced from the WCS Season 3 round of 16.
#10 sOs started at 31.86%. His lowest point in season 1 was 15.37% on March 3rd. In season 2 it was 17.32% on May 19th. In season 3 it was 20.99% on August 1st. sOs hit 100% after he advanced to the DreamHack Stockholm round of 16 and Fantasy was eliminated on September 24th.
#11 INnoVation started at 38.12%. His lowest point in season 1 was 38.12% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 21.64% on June 24th. In season 3 it was 31.73% on July 1st. Innovation hit 100% after he advanced from the GSL Season 3 round of 16 on September 11th.
#12 Zest started at 39.82%. His lowest point in season 1 was 8.28% on March 9th. In season 2 it was 65.78% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 74.66% on June 29th. Zest hit 100% after several players were eliminated in the WCS Season 3 round of 16 on September 10th.
#13 Rain started at 41.37%. His lowest point in season 1 was 35.47% on March 26th. In season 2 it was 43.74% on April 8th. Rain hit 100% after he beat Byul in the GSL Season 2 finals on June 28th.
#14 PartinG started at 43.89%. His lowest point in season 1 was 36.79% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 99.73% on April 9th. Parting hit 100% after he beat Gumiho in the DreamHack Tours finals on May 9th.
#15 herO started at 44.24%. His lowest point in season 1 was 40.71% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 99.95% on April 28th. herO hit 100% after he beat Dear in the KeSPA Cup round of 16 on May 3rd.
Fantasy started the WCS year at 2.92%. His lowest point in season 1 was 1.47% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 25.27% on April 9th. In season 3 it was 23.45% on September 25th, just before Hyun lost the DreamHack Stockholm final to Solar.
Hyun started at 19.48%. His lowest point in season 1 was 3.48% on March 25th. In season 2 it was 5.32% on June 10th. In season 3 it was 2% on September 7th, just before he was confirmed going to DreamHack Stockholm.
Biggest surprise failures of this WCS year
#1 Flash started at 42.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.06% on November 19th. In season 2 it was 4.42% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.66% on July 25th.
#2 TaeJa started at 37.98%. His highest point in season 1 was 72.12% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 1.61% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.01% on July 1st.
#3 Solar started at 31.96%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.35% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 16.76% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 13.84% on August 5th.
#4 Stats started at 29.76%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.26% on February 26th. In season 2 it was 82.65% on June 2nd. In season 3 it was 43.67% on June 29th.
#5 MajOr started at 28.88%. His highest point in season 1 was 35.81% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.96% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.45% on June 30th.
#6 soO started at 27.30%. His highest point in season 1 was 29.79% on November 18th. In season 2 it was 24.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 19.58% on August 9th.
#7 Scarlett started at 24.43%. Her highest point in season 1 was 31.71% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 0.21% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 0.02% on June 30th.
#8 Bbyong started at 23.38%. His highest point in season 1 was 50.02% on April 2nd. In season 2 it was 47.88% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 6.31% on August 7th.
#9 MMA started at 23.23%. His highest point in season 1 was 46.91% on March 4th. In season 2 it was 22.31% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.13% on August 9th.
#10 Cure started at 22.86%. His highest point in season 1 was 32.42% on December 12th. In season 2 it was 4.46% on April 6th. In season 3 it was 0.25% on June 30th.
#11 TY started at 22.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 70.05% on December 19th. In season 2 it was 25.89% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 32.60% on August 20th.
#12 Bomber started at 21.82%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.82% on December 15th. In season 2 it was 12.33% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 1.01% on June 30th.
#13 Jim started at 21.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 21.41% on November 17th. In season 2 it was 0.69% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.11% on July 11th.
#14 ForGG started at 20.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 81.26% on January 7th. In season 2 it was 62.73% on May 7th. In season 3 it was 34.50% on September 12th.
#15 San started at 19.33%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.64% on December 17th. In season 2 it was 4.38% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 4.15% on June 29th.
#16 GuMiho started at 19.16%. His highest point in season 1 was 79.76% on December 24th. In season 2 it was 42.19% on May 20th. In season 3 it was 16.84% on September 11th.
#17 Sacsri started at 18.84%. His highest point in season 1 was 20.68% on November 30th. In season 2 it was 6.83% on May 2nd. In season 3 it was 0.48% on July 16th.
#18 YoDa started at 18.72%. His highest point in season 1 was 25.97% on December 9th. In season 2 it was 4.59% on April 8th. In season 3 it was 0.05% on June 30th.
#19 Soulkey started at 18.41%. His highest point in season 1 was 55.28% on April 3rd. In season 2 it was 61.80% on April 13th. In season 3 it was 4.50% on June 30th.
#20 viOLet started at 18.00%. His highest point in season 1 was 18.39% on December 3rd. In season 2 it was 6.74% on April 29th. In season 3 it was 0.57% on July 1st.
In addition to these 20 I'd like to highlight some that didn't start with the highest chances, but built up to high chances and then failed to qualify.
#22 Dear started at 17.46%. His highest point in season 1 was 64.09% on December 31st. In season 2 it was 34.47% on April 15th. In season 3 it was 23.81% on July 9th.
#27 Bunny started at 12.91%. His highest point in season 1 was 40.84% on April 5th. In season 2 it was 42.82% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 29.16% on July 2nd.
#30 Jaedong started at 12.14%. His highest point in season 1 was 22.93% on December 7th. In season 2 it was 28.78% on June 23rd. In season 3 it was 14.47% on August 23rd.
#35 Leenock started at 9.79%. His highest point in season 1 was 31.24% on January 16th. In season 2 it was 10.40% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 1.36% on June 30th.
#37 Dark started at 9.61%. His highest point in season 1 was 61.29% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 67.26% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 79.44% on August 22nd.
#38 Snute started at 9.51%. His highest point in season 1 was 42.62% on March 11th. In season 2 it was 28.50% on June 28th. In season 3 it was 28.36% on June 29th.
#40 Trap started at 8.77%. His highest point in season 1 was 57.50% on March 27th. In season 2 it was 48.99% on April 10th. In season 3 it was 25.83% on June 29th.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
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+ Show Spoiler [Previous Updates] +
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DreamHack Stockholm Completed!
Friday, Sep 25 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4851)
DreamHack Stockholm Completed!
Friday, Sep 25 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4851)
+ Show Spoiler [DreamHack Stockholm Completed!] +
With Fantasy getting 16th place, and Hyun getting 2nd place, there will be a best of 5 tie breaker match between them for the 16th seed into the WCS Global Finals! The winner will face herO in the ro16.
Biggest Winners and Losers since DH Stockholm player list set, before Byul vs Dear (Sim ID #4609 vs Sim ID #4851)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7900, Median Points: 7900
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5175, Median Points: 5175
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
- ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4975, Median Points: 4975
- INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4575, Median Points: 5325
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
- Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
- Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
- Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
- sOs is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3525, Median Points: 3525
- Rogue is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
- HyuN is at 54.67%, 54.67% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
- FanTaSy is at 45.33%, 45.33% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3025
- Dark is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2925, Median Points: 2925
- Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2700, Median Points: 2700
- TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
- ForGG is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
- Dear is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
- Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
- Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2200
- Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2050, Median Points: 2050
- Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
- Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
- MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
- soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
- TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
- MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
- Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
- MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
- Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median Points: 1400
- MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
- Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1250
- Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
- Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
- ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
- Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
- Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
- Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
- Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
- FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
Likely #1 Seeds
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Likely #2 Seeds
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Likely #3 Seeds
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Likely #4 Seeds
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Likely #5 Seeds
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Likely #6 Seeds
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Likely #7 Seeds
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Likely #8 Seeds
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Likely #9 Seeds
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Likely #10 Seeds
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Likely #11 Seeds
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Likely #12 Seeds
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Likely #13 Seeds
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Likely #14 Seeds
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Likely #15 Seeds
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Likely #16 Seeds
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Here is how the bracket looks showing all the possible players for each slot.
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/1bvLcaB.png)
The winner of the Hyun vs Fantasy tie breaker will face herO.
If Byul beats Innovation, then Byul faces Lilbow, Innovation faces Classic, and Life faces Zest.
If Innovation beats Byul, then Byul faces Classic, Innovation faces Zest, and Life faces Lilbow.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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If Byul beats Innovation
+ Show Spoiler [If Byul beats Innovation] +
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If Innovation beats Byul
+ Show Spoiler [If Innovation beats Byul] +
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in GSL Code S Season 3 finals.
INnoVation has the #3 Headband.
INnoVation is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.65% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
End of WCS Wars Season 3 in ~
Die4Ever must win this tournament! (well this won't happen)
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Last Chances at DreamHack
Tuesday, Sep 22 5:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4487)
Last Chances at DreamHack
Tuesday, Sep 22 5:35pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4487)
+ Show Spoiler [Last Chances at DreamHack] +
(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Fighting Till the End
On Friday we had DreamHack Stockholm complete their player listing, which had some big effects on Blizzcon Chances. Since the last article, we've had TY, Stats, and Gumiho all eliminated from the running since they were confirmed to be not attending DreamHack Stockholm. We also had Lilbow securing his spot to Blizzcon. The current 100% secured players are herO, Maru, Parting, Life, Hydra, Rain, Byul, Classic, Dream, Innovation, Polt, Zest, and Lilbow, with Rogue being very close at 99.03%. Rogue is currently at #14 with 3325 WCS Points, so he can only be knocked out if 3 players out of sOs/Fantasy/Dark/Dear pass him.
sOs seems to have learned his lesson from last year when he peaked at 96.65% Blizzcon Chances in early August and still didn't make it. sOs has an 84.96% chance even if he wins no points from Dreamhack (32nd place or worse), but he decided not to leave it to luck and took it into his own hands by attending. A 16th place here would put sOs up at 93.73%, and an 8th place puts him up to 99.97%, any higher placement locks him in at 100%.
The other players fighting for Blizzcon Chances at DreamHack Stockholm are Fantasy, Dark, Hyun, and ForGG.
Fantasy is currently in 16th place in WCS standings with 2900 WCS Points, he can make it without gaining additional points as long as Dark, Hyun, Dear, or ForGG don't pass him, which means 29.15% if Fantasy gets 32nd or worse. A 4th place puts Fantasy at 84.68%.
Dark needs at least a 16th place, which would put him at 35.44%. A 2nd place would put him at 92.14%, and a 1st locks him in at 100%.
Hyun needs at least a 4th place, but that would only give him 10.23% Blizzcon Chances. A 2nd place would put Hyun at 34.44%, and a 1st place at 86.68%. If Hyun does win, he can still be knocked out if 2 out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark pass him.
ForGG must get at least 2nd place, which would put him at 24.03%, and a 1st place puts him at 80.23%. If ForGG wins then he has to worry about the same thing Hyun would, 2 players out of sOs/Dear/Fantasy/Dark passing him.
And let's not forget about Dear, who would be 100% with winning GSL, or 0% with anything less.
Looking Ahead to the WCS Global Finals
As far as the final standings for WCS points, we already have a few seeds locked in, and some close to being locked in. herO at #1, Maru at #2, and Parting at #3 are all locked in already. Life at #4, Polt at #11, Zest at #12, and Lilbow at #13 are all above 70% chances.
Here are the current 10 most likely matches for the first round of the WCS Global Finals.
Life vs Lilbow has a 59.71% chance for the first round.
Polt vs Hydra has a 47.51% chance for the first round.
PartinG vs Rogue has a 44.68% chance for the first round.
Dream vs Classic has a 44.3% chance for the first round.
Maru vs Rogue has a 42.83% chance for the first round.
Maru vs sOs has a 39.31% chance for the first round.
Rain vs Polt has a 37.54% chance for the first round.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 35.64% chance for the first round.
Life vs Zest has a 29.89% chance for the first round.
INnoVation vs ByuL has a 28.93% chance for the first round.
Of course Dreamhack will have a big effect on these. Let's look at some examples.
If sOs wins Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Hydra (at a 50.01% chance), instead of Maru or herO. Also Parting vs Lilbow would be locked in at 100%. Life vs Zest and Maru vs Rogue would both be around 75%.
If sOs gets 2nd he's likely to face Life. If he gets 4th then he's likely to face Parting.
If Fantasy wins, then he's likely to face Life (75.41%) instead of herO. Parting vs Lilbow would be nearly locked in at 94.84%. Life vs Fantasy would be a 75.41% chance. Maru vs Rogue, sOs vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would all be around 58% to 50%.
If Fantasy gets 2nd in Dreamhack, then he's likely to face Parting or Maru.
If Hyun, Dark, or ForGG wins, then Life vs Lilbow is around a 75% chance.
If Hyun wins then he's likely to face herO (52.08%) or Maru (34.6%). Parting vs Rogue, Hyun vs herO, and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Dark wins then he's very likely to face Parting (94.63%) instead of herO. Maru vs Rogue and sOs vs herO would both be around 53%. IF Dark gets 2nd then he's likely to face Maru.
If ForGG wins then he's likely to face herO (45.59%) or Maru (34.64%). Parting vs Rogue and Polt vs Hydra would be around 55% to 50%.
If Rain wins then we can see that his chances of facing Lilbow (75.35%) go up significantly instead of Polt or Zest. Life vs Zest and Rain vs Lilbow would be around 80% to 75%. Parting vs Rogue, Maru vs sOs, and Dream vs Hydra would be around 55% to 45%.
And then if someone not going to Blizzcon wins, such as Solar, then Life vs Lilbow would be a 74.93% chance. Parting vs Rogue, Polt vs Hydra, and Maru vs sOs would be about 55% to 49%. Dream vs Classic, herO vs Fantasy, and Rain vs Polt would be about 45% to 42%. Maru vs Rogue, Innovation vs Zest, and Innovation vs Byul would be about 39% to 28%.
DreamHack and the GSL semifinals between Dear and ByuL both kick off at Thursday, Sep 24 9:30am GMT (GMT+00:00), so we’re going to see the field narrowed down very quickly this week. DreamHack will have its finale at Friday, Sep 25 8:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00), if you want to tune in and see if ForGG or HyuN went all the way. DreamHack and GSL are the last opportunities for WCS Points before Blizzcon, so don't miss them!
After Dreamhack is complete, all that will be left is the GSL finals, and there will only 2 possible brackets for the WCS Global Finals! Look out for my next article where I'll be covering that.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
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DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set!
Friday, Sep 18 5:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4425)
DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set!
Friday, Sep 18 5:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4425)
+ Show Spoiler [DreamHack Stockholm Player List Set!] +
We're now down to just 20 players over 0% Blizzcon Chances! Lilbow is 100% secured, and only has a 0.25% chance to be the #15 seed, he cannot be the #16 seed (more info here). With the DreamHack Stockholm player list set, Gumiho, TY and Stats were eliminated from the running.
Biggest Winners and Losers from DreamHack Stockholm confirming player list (Sim ID #4403 vs Sim ID #4411)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 7150, Median Points: 7900
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6050, Median Points: 6050
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 5850
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5000, Median Points: 5000
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4925, Median Points: 5050
- ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5375
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4550
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
- INnoVation is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4225, Median Points: 4575
- Polt is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3875, Median Points: 3875
- Zest is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 3675
- Lilbow is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3625
- Rogue is at 99.02%, 99.02% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3325
- sOs is at 91.61%, 84.98% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3150, Median Points: 3275
- FanTaSy is at 46.78%, 29.34% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2900, Median Points: 2900
- Dark is at 29.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2800, Median Points: 2800
- Dear is at 20.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2775
- HyuN is at 7.65%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 2525
- ForGG is at 4.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 2425
- TY is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
- Stats is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- GuMiho is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median Points: 2225
- Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
- MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
- Solar is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2075
- Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 1950
- Jaedong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median Points: 1875
- soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
- Snute is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1800, Median Points: 1800
- MaNa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1775
- Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
- MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
- MarineLorD is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
- Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
- Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1150
- Petraeus is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
- Harstem is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1125
- ShoWTimE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
- Terminator is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1100
- Zanster is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
- Super is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1025
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1000
- Flash is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
- FireCake is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 975
+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Full List] +
0% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
16.51% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
24.08% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
33.98% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
40.48% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
67.11% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
73.33% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
85.7% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
87.5% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3350 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.02% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.68% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
100% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [More Likely Final Matches] +
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DreamHack Stockholm Placements Table
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/6yDfm4F.png)
Make sure to check out the many branches!
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15 Koreans and Lilbow
Tuesday, Sep 15 7:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4351)
15 Koreans and Lilbow
Tuesday, Sep 15 7:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4351)
+ Show Spoiler [15 Koreans and Lilbow] +
(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)
If you didn't read my previous articles, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Last weekend with the WCS Playoffs finishing, we had the first foreigner since Naniwa qualify (nearly 100%, more on that later) for Blizzcon! Lilbow went from 21.63% Blizzcon Chances up to now 99.9992% with winning WCS over Mana. We also had a bunch of people go down recently with a bunch of eliminations mostly due to Lilbow and the WCS Playoffs.
Eliminations
MaNa went down by 0.66%, going from 0.66% to 0%
Petraeus went down by 0.11%, going from 0.11% to 0%
GunGFuBanDa went down by 0.02%, going from 0.02% to 0%
Big Drops
Dark went down by 28.51%, going from 31.59% to 3.09%
ForGG went down by 16.89%, going from 17.6% to 0.71%
FanTaSy went down by 15.98%, going from 88.32% to 72.34%
GuMiho went down by 6.25%, going from 16.84% to 10.59%
HyuN went down by 4.55%, going from 15.38% to 10.82%
sOs went down by 4.43%, going from 97.33% to 92.9%
TY went down by 0.41%, going from 1.13% to 0.72%
Stats went down by 0.25%, going from 0.57% to 0.32%
Almost Guaranteed
There are some situations where Lilbow doesn't make it to Blizzcon, including a possible tie or even 3 way tie, but it's very unlikely and Lilbow still has a 99.9992% chance to qualify for Blizzcon.
The following things must ALL happen in order for Lilbow to not make Blizzcon.
1. Fantasy wins DreamHack Stockholm.
2. sOs gets 2nd place in DreamHack Stockholm. sOs is not yet confirmed going to DreamHack, we may find out soon that he is not going and this would put Lilbow at 100% Blizzcon Chances.
3. Lilbow does not win any points from DreamHack Stockholm. It seems he will probably not attend.
4. Rogue gets 4th or 2nd place in GSL. 4th place with no points from DreamHack would make him tied with Lilbow.
5. EITHER: Gumiho wins GSL which would put him tied with Lilbow; OR Dear wins GSL AND gets at least 8th place in DreamHack Stockholm.
Although, unless GSL changes their schedule to accomodate, it would be impossible to play in the GSL semifinals and go to DreamHack, which means Dear would not be able to pass or tie Lilbow, and Rogue would only tie with Lilbow if he gets 4th in GSL.
So with those conditions, we can end up in one of these situtations.
1. No tie, Lilbow is #17
2. Tie between Lilbow and Rogue
3. Tie between Gumiho and Lilbow
4. Tie between Gumiho, Rogue, and Lilbow, with 2 winners of the tie breaker match going to Blizzcon and the single loser out
Here is a dump from WCS Predictor of situations where Lilbow does not qualify for Blizzcon, often involving him losing tie breaker matches https://www.dropbox.com/s/8768n5x61ewie3v/lilbow 2015-09-13 2.txt?dl=0
Keep in mind this is all very unlikely, Lilbow has a 99.9992% chance of making Blizzcon. I know I'd be hyped for a 3 way tie breaker for Blizzcon!
Here are Lilbow's current most likely first round opponents for the WCS Global Finals.
Lilbow vs Maru has a 31.92% chance for the first round.
Lilbow vs Life has a 30.45% chance for the first round.
Lilbow vs PartinG has a 26.25% chance for the first round.
Lilbow vs ByuL has a 6.05% chance for the first round.
Lilbow vs Classic has a 2.43% chance for the first round.
Lilbow vs Hydra has a 1.2% chance for the first round.
Checkup Before GSL Quarterfinals
Let's do a checkup of all the players still in the running for Blizzcon. We are now down to only 23 players above 0% Blizzcon Chances. Keep in mind that playing in the GSL semifinals and going to DreamHack Stockholm cannot happen unless GSL adjusts their schedule for players wanting to do both.
Secured Players - 100% Blizzcon Chances - 12 Players
herO 100% with 7,150 WCS Points.
PartinG 100% with 5,850 WCS Points.
Maru 100% with 5,750 WCS Points.
Life 100% with 5,475 WCS Points.
Hydra 100% with 5,000 WCS Points.
Rain 100% with 4,925 WCS Points.
Classic 100% with 4,550 WCS Points.
ByuL 100% with 4,325 WCS Points.
Dream 100% with 4,275 WCS Points.
INnoVation 100% with 3,925 WCS Points.
Polt 100% with 3,875 WCS Points.
Zest 100% with 3,675 WCS Points.
Nearly Secured Players - Over 95% - 2 Players
Lilbow 99.99% with 3,625 WCS Points.
Rogue 99.97% with 3,325 WCS Points.
Over 20% - 2 Players
sOs 92.9% with 3,150 WCS Points.
sOs has plenty of points, he just has a few players to be worried about passing him. If Dark or Fantasy makes top 4 in DreamHack; or if ForGG, Hyun, or TY wins DreamHack; then sOs drops to around 67%. If Dear or Gumiho wins GSL, then sOs falls to about 70%.
FanTaSy 72.34% with 2,900 WCS Points.
If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack then he goes up to 82.81%, however he would still have to worry about players passing him, a 4th place would be much safer at 98.19%. If Fantasy does get 8th place and Hyun, ForGG, TY, or Dark wins DreamHack, then Fantasy falls down to about 33%. If Fantasy gets 8th in DreamHack and Gumiho or Dear wins GSL, then Fantasy falls to about 36%.
Over 5% - 3 Players
HyuN 10.82% with 2,525 WCS Points.
To get nearly secured HyuN needs to win DreamHack Stockholm, which would put him at 97.53%. An 8th place would put him at 0%, 4th place at 20.75%, and a 2nd place at 49.41%. But if TY, Dark, Stats, ForGG, or Fantasy wins DreamHack then HyuN cannot qualify for Blizzcon.
GuMiho 10.59% with 2,225 WCS Points.
If Gumiho wins GSL then he is nearly secured at 99.99%. If he gets 2nd place in GSL, then he would need at least a 16th place in DreamHack to go with it to have any chance, putting him at 44.31%, but again that's unlikely due to the scheduling. If he gets 8th in GSL then the schedule should allow him the possiblity of going to DreamHack, he would need to win DreamHack to have any chance, and it would put him at 47.57%.
Dear 8.52% with 2,125 WCS Points.
If Dear does not go to DreamHack, then he must win GSL, which would put him at 99.97%. If Dear manages to get 4th in GSL and win DreamHack then he goes up to 95.93%. A 2nd place in both GSL and DreamHack puts Dear at 99.18%.
Over 0% - 4 Players
Dark 3.09% with 2,800 WCS Points.
Dark is not yet confirmed as going to DreamHack, but he needs to at least get a 16th place there to have any chance, which would put him at 37.34%. 4th place would put him at 94.03%.
TY 0.72% with 2,500 WCS Points.
TY needs to get at least 2nd place at DreamHack, that would put him at 39.43%. 1st place would put him at 96.55%.
ForGG 0.71% with 2,425 WCS Points.
ForGG is in a similar spot as TY, he needs at least a 2nd place in DreamHack to get 38.65%, and a 1st place would put him at 96.44%.
Stats 0.32% with 2,350 WCS Points.
Stats needs to win DreamHack to have any chance at Blizzcon, this would put him at 60.63%. If Fantasy gets 8th place in DreamHack then Blizzcon is impossible for Stats.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
To get automatically generated checkups that are constantly updated, I have created the Checkup page on WCS Predictor
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
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Road to Blizzcon Narrows Into WCS Quarterfinals
Friday, Sep 11 6:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4256)
Road to Blizzcon Narrows Into WCS Quarterfinals
Friday, Sep 11 6:20pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4256)
+ Show Spoiler [Road to Blizzcon Narrows Into WCS Quar…] +
(This is a cross post of my article on Blizzard's WCS Website)
If you didn't read my previous article, these stats are calculated by WCS Predictor, which simulates every match in every tournament that gives WCS Points millions of times. Blizzcon Chances are the chances to qualify in the top 16 for Blizzcon, as rated by WCS Predictor.
Yesterday in WCS we had some big eliminations from the Road to Blizzcon. MarineLord falling from 4.84% Blizzcon Chances down to 0%, Snute from 8.22% down to 0%, and Jaedong from 7.84% down to 0%. This morning in GSL we also had Flash go from 0.05% down to 0%. With these eliminations we are down to just 27 players who could still possibly make Blizzcon, including those already secured. This is down from 37 players on Monday.
Players at 100% - herO, Parting, Maru, Life, Hydra, Rain, Classic, ByuL, Dream, Innovation, Polt, and Zest.
Players over 95% - Rogue and sOs.
Players over 10% - Fantasy, Dark, Lilbow, ForGG, Gumiho, and Hyun.
Players over 1% - Dear and TY.
Players over 0% - Mana, Stats, Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster.
WCS Movers and Shakers
After some upsets and some fan favorites getting knocked out, our WCS Quarterfinals ends up with Zanster, GunGFuBanDa, Lilbow, Hydra, Polt, ForGG, Petraeus, and MaNa. Out of those players, only Lilbow and ForGG have the opportunity to make a big improvement on their Blizzcon Chances this weekend. Mana would need to win WCS and then get at least top 4 in Dreamhack Stockholm to be able to make Blizzcon. For Petraeus, GungFuBanda, and Zanster, a 2nd place in WCS means 0% Blizzcon Chances, and even taking home the trophy they would still be below 1%.
Millenium Bros - Lilbow and ForGG
ForGG and Lilbow are the ones really looking at qualifying for Blizzcon this weekend, and I know Millenium is excited about the possibility of having a player at Blizzcon for the first time. Lilbow has been the top foreigner hope ever since his 2nd place in WCS Season 2, where he lost to Hydra. Unfortunately he drew Hydra as his quarterfinals opponent here, and he needs to win for there to be much hope left. Many expected ForGG to be secured a spot for Blizzcon by now with how strong he was looking at the end of 2014. In WCS Season 1 he was on a strong run that got stopped short by the eventual champion, Polt, in the quarterfinals with a close 3-2 score. Now they're paired up again in the quarterfinals for a revenge match with ForGG's Blizzcon dreams on the line.
The Millenium Bros can actually both qualify together, if they both make top 4 here and do well at Dreamhack, or if they make the finals. To get nearly secured (over 95%), ForGG would need to either win WCS; get 2nd place in both WCS and Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack. For Lilbow, he has an extra 100 WCS Points, he needs to either win WCS; get 2nd in WCS and 4th in Dreamhack; or get 4th in WCS and win Dreamhack.
The players outside of WCS who can hurt Lilbow and ForGG the most are Dark, Gumiho, Hyun, and Fantasy. Especially Dark, who would put them both under 2% Blizzcon Chances if you assume Dark to qualify. This is huge in comparison to their next biggest threat, Gumiho, who would only bring them down to around 10.5% if you assume Gumiho qualifies. However the WCS championship is still enough to secure ForGG's or Lilbow's qualification.
Global Finals - Round of 16 Shaping Up
If Lilbow does qualify for Blizzcon, then his most likely first round matches in the Global Finals would be Life, herO, Parting, or Maru. ForGG's most likely first round Global Finals matches are Parting, Maru, and Life. For Polt, his most likely Global Finals matches are Hydra, Life, or Byul. Hydra's most likely Global Finals matches are Polt, Dream, and Zest. If Hydra loses his quarterfinals match to Lilbow, then Innovation replaces Zest as his third most likely matchup.
Here are the top 10 most likely first round matches of the Global Finals so far. Keep in mind that a lot can still happen to shake these up.
herO vs FanTaSy has a 33.87% chance for the first round.
Life vs Zest has a 30.46% chance for the first round.
Maru vs sOs has a 30.28% chance for the first round.
PartinG vs sOs has a 29.57% chance for the first round.
Dark vs herO has a 28.39% chance for the first round.
Rain vs Dream has a 28.14% chance for the first round.
PartinG vs Rogue has a 27.69% chance for the first round.
Maru vs Rogue has a 20.56% chance for the first round.
ByuL vs Dream has a 20.43% chance for the first round.
Life vs Rogue has a 20.16% chance for the first round.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! WCS Predictor 2015
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website!
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All Placeholder Tournaments Removed!
Saturday, Sep 05 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4117)
All Placeholder Tournaments Removed!
Saturday, Sep 05 10:25pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4117)
+ Show Spoiler [All Placeholder Tournaments Removed!] +
I have removed all of the placeholder tournaments. All that is left is SSL (all those players are at 100% already, but it'll affect seeding), GSL, WCS, and Dreamhack Stockholm. I gifted back points lost in WCS Wars due to the removal of the Placeholder tournaments.
Biggest Winners and Losers from removal of Placeholder tournaments (Sim ID #4110 vs Sim ID #4117)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6800, Median Points: 7050
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 6150
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5750, Median Points: 6050
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4925, Median Points: 5275
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4700, Median Points: 5050
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4550, Median Points: 4850
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
- ByuL is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4025, Median Points: 4625
- INnoVation is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3625, Median Points: 3925
- Polt is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3575, Median Points: 3875
- Zest is at 99.97%, 99.89% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 99.94%, 99.87% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 3575
- sOs is at 96.87%, 96.68% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3150, Median Points: 3150
- Dark is at 72.42%, 28.73% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2800, Median Points: 3100
- FanTaSy is at 57.7%, 55.52% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2900, Median Points: 2900
- ForGG is at 12.74%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2125
- Lilbow is at 12.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2225
- Dear is at 8.87%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2125, Median Points: 2125
- Solar is at 8.65%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 2150
- Snute is at 8.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1700, Median Points: 2000
- Jaedong is at 7.72%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 1900
- GuMiho is at 4.88%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2025
- MarineLorD is at 4.72%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1575
- HyuN is at 2.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 2525
- TY is at 1.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2500
- Stats is at 0.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- Petraeus is at 0.1%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1125
- MaNa is at 0.09%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1125
- viOLet is at 0.08%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1075
- Flash is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 875, Median Points: 975
- iaguz is at 0.02%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 950
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 700, Median Points: 800
- Sen is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 875
- elfi is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 550, Median Points: 650
- Zanster is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 425, Median Points: 525
- Elazer is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 450, Median Points: 550
- Bunny is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
- MyuNgSiK is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
- Curious is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 1950
- soO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
- Soulkey is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- TRUE is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- Bbyong is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- TLO is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
- MMA is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
- Patience is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Trap is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
- Bomber is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1225, Median Points: 1225
- Leenock is at 0%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1150
We went from 59 players over 0%, down to just 37! I think it's still interesting to see the highest players with 0% chances so I will continue to show the full top 50.
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 26.6% down to 25.59%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.3% down to 0.13%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
8.2% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
58.14% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
75.22% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
95.38% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.84% of the time 3375 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The closest to 1% marker stayed at 2775.
The closest to 50% marker went from 3000 down to 2900.
The closest to 99% marker went from 3450 down to 3375.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Ro16 Groups] +
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
MarineLorD must win this match!
Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 4.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.49%, or 0% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Snute must win this match!
Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose.
Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 8.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.76%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 27.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 72.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.96% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match!
ForGG is at 12.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.09% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.27%, or 0% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.72% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.57%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 12.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.48%, or 0% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +
ForGG, Lilbow, Snute, Jaedong, and MarineLorD must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 12.74% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't.
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----going from 12.68% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.96% if they don't.
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----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
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----going from 8.07% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 7.72% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 1.73% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 4.72% to 82.74% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.09% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.71% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.28% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 1.42% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/jDINQy5.png)
+ Show Spoiler [Remaining GSL Ro16 Groups] +
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
Solar must win this match!
Dark has the #3 Headband.ByuL has the #2 Headband.
Dark is at 72.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 95.09%, or 48.14% if they lose.
Zest is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.94% if they lose.
ByuL is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Solar is at 8.65% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.91% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.47%, or 0% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
GuMiho must win this match!
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
GuMiho is at 4.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.65% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.31%, or 0% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Winning Chances] +
Dear, Solar, and GuMiho must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 8.87% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't.
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----going from 8.65% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.4% if they don't.
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----going from 72.42% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.28% if they don't.
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----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 4.88% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.15% if they don't.
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----going from 0.07% to 2.49% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Placements Table] +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/l0xvDfj.png)
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2 Spots, 13 Players
Thursday, Sep 03 5:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4078)
2 Spots, 13 Players
Thursday, Sep 03 5:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4078)
+ Show Spoiler [2 Spots, 14 Players] +
(This is a cross-post of my first article on Blizzard's WCS Website)
Who will go to Blizzcon and who still needs to win more WCS Points? I'm Ray Carro, aka Die4Ever. I've created WCS Predictor, a complex piece of custom software, to calculate these statistics and more by simulating every WCS match millions of times over. For this post we will be looking at "Blizzcon Chances" which is the percentage probability of the player being in the top 16 for qualifying to Blizzcon. You will see a few cases of some players with more WCS Points having lower Blizzcon Chances than someone with less WCS Points. This is because of factors such as their Aligulac skill rating; the tournaments they are still in; and the skill ratings of their opponents.
Recently we had sOs replacing Zest for MSI Masters and then winning the whole tournament. sOs gained a massive 70.01% Blizzcon Chances, going from 27.66% up to 97.67%. Now after the results of GSL Ro16 Group A and the first SSL semifinal, sOs is at 97.32%. After losing to Byul, TY just fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. TY losing has given other players a better chance, especially Fantasy and Dark who both rose by over 5% Blizzcon Chances.
Let's consider over 95% to be nearly secured, and we can look at what it would take for players to get into that "nearly secured" bracket, along with what single event would hurt them the most.
Secured Players - 100% Blizzcon Chances - 9 Players
These 9 players are locked in from strong performances throughout the year.
These 9 players are locked in from strong performances throughout the year.
herO 100% with 6,700 WCS Points.
PartinG 100% with 5,850 WCS Points.
Life 100% with 5,475 WCS Points.
Maru 100% with 5,450 WCS Points.
Rain 100% with 4,925 WCS Points.
Hydra 100% with 4,700 WCS Points.
Dream 100% with 4,275 WCS Points.
Classic 100% with 4,250 WCS Points.
ByuL 100% with 4,025 WCS Points.
Nearly Secured Players - Over 95% - 5 Players
These 5 players will almost certainly qualify.
These 5 players will almost certainly qualify.
INnoVation 99.99% with 3,625 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - INnoVation loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring INnoVation down to 99.99%.
Polt 99.99% with 3,575 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Polt loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Polt down to 99.99%.
Zest 99.63% with 3,375 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Zest loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Zest down to 99.27%.
Rogue 99.01% with 3,325 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Dear gets 1st in GSL. This would bring Rogue down to 95.44%.
sOs 97.32% with 3,150 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - FanTaSy gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring sOs down to 87.48%.
Over 20% - 2 Players
These players might qualify even if they don't earn any additional points, but they'll definitely want to in order to secure their chances.
These players might qualify even if they don't earn any additional points, but they'll definitely want to in order to secure their chances.
Dark 69.03% with 2,800 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Solar gets 1st in GSL Code S Season 3. This would bring Dark down to 35.55%.
To get nearly secured - A 16th in GSL with a 2nd in Dreamhack, an 8th in both GSL and Dreamhack, or a 4th in GSL with no points required from Dreamhack. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and also gets 16th in Dreamhack then he's still in a decent spot at 74.99%.
FanTaSy 51.6% with 2,900 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - TY gets 1st in DreamHack. This would bring FanTaSy down to 16.99%.
To get nearly secured - Fantasy is out of SSL and GSL, so he needs a 2nd in DreamHack to get up to 95.77%. However, even a 16th place at Dreamhack would put Fantasy at 61.39%.
Over 5% - 7 Players
All 7 of these players can get nearly secured if they win their GSL/WCS and get no points from Dreamhack. Alternatively they can get 2nd in their GSL/WCS and win Dreamhack.
All 7 of these players can get nearly secured if they win their GSL/WCS and get no points from Dreamhack. Alternatively they can get 2nd in their GSL/WCS and win Dreamhack.
ForGG 13.82% with 1,825 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - ForGG loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring ForGG down to 0.11%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.86%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring ForGG up to 99.52%.
Lilbow 13.31% with 1,925 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Lilbow loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Lilbow down to 0.15%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Lilbow up to 99.95%.
Dear 10.63% with 2,125 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Dear gets 8th in GSL. This would bring Dear down to 0.41%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Dear up to 99.76%.
Solar 9.67% with 1,850 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Solar loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring Solar down to 0.14%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.82%. 2nd in GSL and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Solar up to 99.86%.
Snute 8.47% with 1,700 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Snute loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Snute down to 0.04%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 98.57%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Snute up to 95.22%.
Jaedong 8.09% with 1,775 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Jaedong loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring Jaedong down to 0.05%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in WCS and no points from DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.71%. 2nd in WCS and 1st in DreamHack; this would bring Jaedong up to 99.03%.
GuMiho 5.63% with 1,925 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - GuMiho loses their next match in the GSL round of 16. This would bring GuMiho down to 0.19%.
To get nearly secured - 1st in GSL and no points from DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 99.98%. 2nd in GSL and 2nd in DreamHack; this would bring GuMiho up to 95.64%.
Over 1% - 4 Players
These 4 players need to work some magic and get a little lucky.
These 4 players need to work some magic and get a little lucky.
MarineLorD 4.06% with 1,275 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - MarineLorD loses their next match in the WCS round of 16. This would bring MarineLorD down to 0.01%.
To get nearly secured - MarineLord is still in WCS, but he doesn't have enough points for a win there to do it alone. He would need a 1st in WCS and 4th in DreamHack. This would bring MarineLorD up to 97.51%.
TY 3.38% with 2,500 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - TY gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring TY down to 1.96%.
Since TY just lost to ByuL, he fell from 20.89% down to 3.39%. Now he only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 82.56%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and TY wins Dreamhack, TY would go up to 89.44%.
HyuN 3.07% with 2,375 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - HyuN gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring HyuN down to 1.78%.
HyuN is still in the 4Gamers tournament, however as a tier 3 it is offering less points than Dreamhack. A win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 76.84%. A win at 4Gamers combined with a win at Dreamhack would put Hyun at 85.6%.
Stats 1.89% with 2,350 WCS Points.
Most hurtful event - Stats gets no points from DreamHack. This would bring Stats down to 1.04%.
Stats only has Dreamhack left, a win there would put him at 66.11%. If Dark loses his GSL round of 16 match and Stats wins Dreamhack, then Stats goes up to 79.16%.
Be sure to check the website for very frequent updates, the FAQ, and the fantasy league WCS Wars! http://sc2.4ever.tv/
Also check out my post on Blizzard's own WCS website http://wcs.battle.net/sc2/en/articles/2-spots-13-players
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GSL Ro16 and WCS Ro16 Groups Drawn and Group of Death Analysis!
Saturday, Aug 29 4:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4024)
GSL Ro16 and WCS Ro16 Groups Drawn and Group of Death Analysis!
Saturday, Aug 29 4:15am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4024)
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Ro16 and WCS Ro16 Groups Drawn and…] +
Biggest Winners and Losers since Friday, Aug 21 2:34pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim ID #3701 vs Sim ID #4024)
Biggest Winners
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+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6700, Median Points: 7300
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 6150
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5450, Median Points: 5750
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4925, Median Points: 5775
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4575, Median Points: 5300
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median Points: 4550
- ByuL is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3675, Median Points: 4275
- Polt is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3575, Median Points: 4000
- INnoVation is at 99.98%, 99.64% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 4050
- Zest is at 99.89%, 99.59% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 95.92%, 89.53% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median Points: 3275
- Dark is at 74.89%, 26.86% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2800, Median Points: 3100
- FanTaSy is at 62.54%, 57.04% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2900, Median Points: 2900
- sOs is at 50.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median Points: 2900
- TY is at 24.93%, 0.36% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2500, Median Points: 2625
- ForGG is at 14.86%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2125
- Lilbow is at 12.94%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2225
- Jaedong is at 9.99%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1525, Median Points: 2025
- Solar is at 9.37%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1950
- HyuN is at 8.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2125, Median Points: 2500
- Snute is at 8.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1700, Median Points: 2000
- GuMiho is at 6.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median Points: 2050
- Dear is at 5.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2125
- MarineLorD is at 4.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1575
- Bbyong is at 4.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1850
- Stats is at 2.65%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- Petraeus is at 1.09%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1250
- viOLet is at 0.29%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 600, Median Points: 950
- MaNa is at 0.29%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1125
- Flash is at 0.22%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 875, Median Points: 1000
- soO is at 0.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median Points: 1850
- Curious is at 0.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 1950
- Bunny is at 0.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
- MyuNgSiK is at 0.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2000
- iaguz is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 950
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 700, Median Points: 800
- TRUE is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- Soulkey is at 0.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- Sen is at 0.03%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 875
- elfi is at 0.02%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 600, Median Points: 725
- Zanster is at 0.02%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 425, Median Points: 650
- Trap is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
- MMA is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1475
- TLO is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1550
- Patience is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1375
- Bomber is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median Points: 1225
- Hitman is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 400
- FireCake is at 0.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1100
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 25.85% up to 27.15%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 0.44% up to 0.47%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.93% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.94% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
18.18% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
55.23% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
74.58% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.15% of the time 3200 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.04% of the time 3450 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Ro16 Groups] +
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
MarineLorD must win this match!
Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.68% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.63% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.05%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 4.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.58% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Snute and Petraeus must win this match!
Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose.
Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.85%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Snute is at 8.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.6%, or 0.06% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.92% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.65%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match!
ForGG is at 14.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.3%, or 0.19% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.24%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 9.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.19% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.47%, or 0.25% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 12.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.53%, or 0.26% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Ro16 Groups] +
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
Dear and Bbyong must win this match!
Rain has the #1 Headband.
Rogue is at 95.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.32%, or 93.2% if they lose.
Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.05%, or 0.04% if they lose.
Dear is at 5.91% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.63%, or 0.16% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.8% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
herO has the #4 Headband.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.43% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs is at 50.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 78.77%, or 27.11% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
Solar must win this match!
ByuL has the #2 Headband.Dark has the #3 Headband.
Solar is at 9.37% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.81%, or 0.25% if they lose.
ByuL is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Zest is at 99.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.78% if they lose.
Dark is at 74.89% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 96.34%, or 51.76% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 16.
GuMiho must win this match!
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.25% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.96% if they lose.
GuMiho is at 6.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 15.9%, or 0.34% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
GSL Ro16 Group of Death
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
D > C > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +
Group A
Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dear has a 4.18% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Bbyong has a 3.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Rain has a 8.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 20.8864
Group B
Maru has a 6.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sOs has a 4.72% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Classic has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
herO has a 6.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.7499
Group C
Solar has a 7.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Zest has a 6.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
ByuL has a 4.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dark has a 7.23% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.2846
Group D
Flash has a 2.91% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
INnoVation has a 13.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
GuMiho has a 3.8% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
PartinG has a 7.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.0792
Rogue has a 3.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dear has a 4.18% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Bbyong has a 3.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Rain has a 8.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 20.8864
Group B
Maru has a 6.47% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sOs has a 4.72% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Classic has a 8.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
herO has a 6.5% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.7499
Group C
Solar has a 7.61% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Zest has a 6.75% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
ByuL has a 4.7% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dark has a 7.23% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 26.2846
Group D
Flash has a 2.91% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
INnoVation has a 13.2% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
GuMiho has a 3.8% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
PartinG has a 7.17% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.0792
Blizzcon Chances
B > C > D > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +
Group A
Rogue has a 95.77% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 5.89% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Bbyong has a 4.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 205.808
Group B
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 50.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 350.449
Group C
Solar has a 9.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dark has a 74.54% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 283.767
Group D
Flash has a 0.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 99.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GuMiho has a 6.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 206.811
Rogue has a 95.77% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 5.89% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Bbyong has a 4.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 205.808
Group B
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 50.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 350.449
Group C
Solar has a 9.34% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dark has a 74.54% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 283.767
Group D
Flash has a 0.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 99.98% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GuMiho has a 6.61% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 206.811
Blizzcon Chances Lost
B > D > C > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +
Group A
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.39%
Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1%
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.215268
Group B
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.68%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.682919
Group C
Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.19%
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.15836
Group D
Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5%
PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.515591
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.08%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.39%
Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.1%
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.215268
Group B
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.68%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.682919
Group C
Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.19%
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.15836
Group D
Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.5%
PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.515591
Effects
C > B > A > D
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +
Group A
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.52%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.81%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.69%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.72%
When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.89%
When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.11%
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7311
Group B
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 28.1%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.51%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.6081
Group C
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.4%
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.09%
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.68%
When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.37%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.7762
Group D
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.31%
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.21%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.23%
When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.27%
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.0743
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.52%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.81%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.69%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.72%
When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.89%
When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.11%
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 26.7311
Group B
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 28.1%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.51%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 51.6081
Group C
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.4%
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.09%
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 21.68%
When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 23.37%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 61.7762
Group D
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.31%
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.21%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.23%
When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 6.27%
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.0743
Aliglac Ratings
D > C > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +
Group A
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2126
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2081
Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2143
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2288
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8638
Group B
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2123
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2210
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8835
Group C
Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2254
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2190
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2149
Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2263
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8856
Group D
Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2072
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2468
GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2152
PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2221
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8913
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2126
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2081
Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2143
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2288
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8638
Group B
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2123
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2210
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8835
Group C
Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2254
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2190
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2149
Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2263
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8856
Group D
Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2072
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2468
GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2152
PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2221
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8913
Final Placings
Group A has one 3rd place, and four 4th places
Group B has two 1st places, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places
Group C has one 1st place, three 2nd places, and one 3rd place
Group D has two 1st places, one 2nd place, one 3rd place, and one 4th place
Group B edges out Group D by having two 3rd places instead of a 3rd and a 4th place. Congrats to Maru, sOs, Classic, and herO for being the Group of Death! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with Flash, INnoVation, GuMiho, and PartinG.
WCS Ro16 Group of Death
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +
Group A
Zanster has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MarineLorD has a 5.59% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
elfi has a 1.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MaNa has a 5.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.1129
Group B
Sen has a 1.41% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Snute has a 7.34% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Petraeus has a 6.84% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
GunGFuBanDa has a 2.54% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.1266
Group C
Hitman has a 0.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Hydra has a 20.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Polt has a 10.23% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 35.5568
Group D
ForGG has a 12.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jaedong has a 7.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
iaguz has a 1.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Lilbow has a 9.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.2037
Zanster has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MarineLorD has a 5.59% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
elfi has a 1.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MaNa has a 5.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.1129
Group B
Sen has a 1.41% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Snute has a 7.34% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Petraeus has a 6.84% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
GunGFuBanDa has a 2.54% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 18.1266
Group C
Hitman has a 0.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Hydra has a 20.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Polt has a 10.23% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
viOLet has a 3.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 35.5568
Group D
ForGG has a 12.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jaedong has a 7.78% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
iaguz has a 1.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Lilbow has a 9.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 30.2037
Blizzcon Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +
Group A
Zanster has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MarineLorD has a 4.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
elfi has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MaNa has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.78522
Group B
Sen has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Snute has a 8.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GunGFuBanDa has a 0.06% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63772
Group C
Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Polt has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
viOLet has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.294
Group D
ForGG has a 14.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jaedong has a 9.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
iaguz has a 0.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Lilbow has a 12.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 37.8643
Zanster has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MarineLorD has a 4.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
elfi has a 0.02% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MaNa has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.78522
Group B
Sen has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Snute has a 8.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GunGFuBanDa has a 0.06% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63772
Group C
Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Polt has a 99.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
viOLet has a 0.29% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.294
Group D
ForGG has a 14.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jaedong has a 9.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
iaguz has a 0.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Lilbow has a 12.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 37.8643
Blizzcon Chances Lost
D > C > A > B
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +
Group A
Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.08%
elfi's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0949
Group B
Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.82%
Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07%
GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.885236
Group C
Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.013224
Group D
ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.94%
Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.46%
iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.21%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.741152
Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.08%
elfi's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.0949
Group B
Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.82%
Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.07%
GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.885236
Group C
Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.013224
Group D
ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.94%
Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.46%
iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.21%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.741152
Effects
D > B > A > C
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +
Group A
When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.56%
When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.46%
When elfi wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When elfi loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22%
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.61053
Group B
When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.15%
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.4%
When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.76%
When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09%
When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.08%
When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.06%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.6145
Group C
When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.36%
When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.656312
Group D
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.44%
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.67%
When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.47%
When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.74%
When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.17%
When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.07%
When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.59%
When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.68%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.8398
When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.56%
When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.46%
When elfi wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When elfi loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.02%
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.22%
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 8.61053
Group B
When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 5.15%
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.4%
When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.76%
When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09%
When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.08%
When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.06%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 15.6145
Group C
When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.36%
When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.656312
Group D
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.44%
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.67%
When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.47%
When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.74%
When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.17%
When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.07%
When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.59%
When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 12.68%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 64.8398
Aliglac Ratings
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +
Group A
Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1843
MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1898
elfi has an Aligulac rating of 1708
MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1890
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7339
Group B
Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1699
Snute has an Aligulac rating of 2005
Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1990
GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1800
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7494
Group C
Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1619
Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2324
Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2117
viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1877
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7937
Group D
ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2112
Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2055
iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1669
Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2029
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7865
Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1843
MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1898
elfi has an Aligulac rating of 1708
MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1890
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7339
Group B
Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1699
Snute has an Aligulac rating of 2005
Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1990
GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1800
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7494
Group C
Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1619
Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2324
Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2117
viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1877
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7937
Group D
ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2112
Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2055
iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1669
Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2029
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7865
Final Placings
Group A has two 3rd places, and three 4th places
Group B has one 2nd place, three 3rd places, and one 4th place
Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 4th place
Group D has two 1st places, and three 2nd places
With three 1st places, Group C is our Group of Death! Congrats to Hitman, Hydra, Polt, and viOLet! Group D is our 2nd place Group of Death with ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbow.
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WCS S3 Ro32 Preview!
Thursday, Aug 13 5:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #3349)
WCS S3 Ro32 Preview!
Thursday, Aug 13 5:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #3349)
+ Show Spoiler [WCS S3 Ro32 Preview] +
Biggest Winners and Losers since start of season 3 about 45 days ago (Sim ID #2114 vs Sim ID #3349)
Biggest Winners
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+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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Innovaton, Zest, and Byul have all climbed from below 85% up to over 99%. Trap and Bunny both went from over 20% to under 1%.
+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6400, Median Points: 7000
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5475, Median Points: 5475
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5450, Median Points: 5750
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5275, Median Points: 5975
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5375
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4375, Median Points: 5125
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4275, Median Points: 4275
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median Points: 4550
- Zest is at 99.99%, 99.95% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3500, Median Points: 4225
- Polt is at 99.98%, 99.76% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 3875
- INnoVation is at 99.89%, 97.74% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 4250
- ByuL is at 99.58%, 97.84% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 86.92%, 54.32% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2825, Median Points: 3175
- FanTaSy is at 85.93%, 60.7% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2850, Median Points: 3100
- Dark is at 61.07%, 13.64% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 2900
- sOs is at 32.15%, 0.59% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median Points: 2700
- TY is at 16.77%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2500
- Lilbow is at 13.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2100
- soO is at 13.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1800, Median Points: 2100
- ForGG is at 12.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1925
- HyuN is at 10.72%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2125, Median Points: 2375
- Solar is at 10.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1950
- MyuNgSiK is at 8.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median Points: 2125
- Curious is at 7.38%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2100
- Jaedong is at 7.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1825
- Snute is at 6.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1500, Median Points: 1800
- Bbyong is at 5.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1850
- GuMiho is at 3.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1925
- Dear is at 3.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1825
- MarineLorD is at 3.34%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median Points: 1375
- Stats is at 3.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- ShoWTimE is at 2.48%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median Points: 1250
- TLO is at 1.48%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1500, Median Points: 1700
- Petraeus is at 0.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 950
- Harstem is at 0.85%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median Points: 1275
- MMA is at 0.83%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1525
- viOLet is at 0.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 850
- Bunny is at 0.41%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2025, Median Points: 2025
- MaNa is at 0.37%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 925
- Has is at 0.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1025
- Kane is at 0.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 800, Median Points: 850
- Flash is at 0.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 875
- iaguz is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 775
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 800
- Soulkey is at 0.06%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- TRUE is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 1650
- MajOr is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 500
- HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 325, Median Points: 525
- MaSa is at 0.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 500
- Kelazhur is at 0.03%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 525, Median Points: 575
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 63.96% down to 30.14%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 15.59% down to 0.74%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
1.06% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.66% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.22% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
45.75% of the time 2875 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
68.99% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.39% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.03% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
The 99% line went from 3400 points to 3400 points.
The 50% line went from 2900 points down to 2875 points.
The 1% line went from 2500 points to 2500 points.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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WCS S3 Ro32
There are many players who really need points from this tournament, unfortunately for most of them they'll need at least a 2nd place to really benefit in terms of Blizzcon Chances.
Hydra is already at 100%, Polt is at 99.98%. The only other players who would be over 5% with a 4th place here are Lilbow, Jaedong, and ForGG. Snute would be at just 2.32% with a 4th place.
2nd place is a big jump for all of them, with Lilbow going up to 52.31%, ForGG going up to 31.52%, Jaedong up to 25.84%, Snute up to 15.82%, and TLO going up to 13.55%.
With a 1st place Lilbow, ForGG, Jaedong, Snute, and TLO would all go above 98%.
With a 1st place MarineLord would go up to 77.77%, Showtime up to 75.91%, Harstem up to 84.22%, Has up to 40.36%, Kane up to 24.82%, Petraeus up to 23.02%, violet up to 12.35%, and everyone else would be below 10%.
Ro32 Groups Week 1
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Petraeus and Harstem must win this match!
This is the Group of Death!
Petraeus is at 0.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MajOr is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.44%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.98% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.94% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
This is the 2nd place Group of Death! (or at least it was before uThermal was replaced by elfi)
elfi is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match!
ShoWTimE is at 2.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.4%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.2%, or 0.09% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.09%, or 0% if they lose.
Sen is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MaSa is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 3.35% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 5.87%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0% if they lose.
Has is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [Ro32 Groups Week 2] +
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Lilbow must win this match!
Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 30.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.14% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 13.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.14%, or 0.12% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ForGG must win this match!
ForGG is at 12.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 18.57%, or 0.07% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane is at 0.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.51%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iAsonu is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Snute must win this match!
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 6.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 9.46%, or 0.02% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
TLO must win this match!
viOLet is at 0.42% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.71%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 1.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.36% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.55%, or 0% if they lose.
XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +
ForGG, Snute, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, TLO, Harstem, Kane, and Has must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 12.04% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 3.15% if they don't.
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----going from 99.98% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
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----going from 13.69% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 5.41% if they don't.
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----going from 6.42% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 1.26% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 7.11% to 98.55% if they get 1st, or 2.18% if they don't.
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----going from 0.38% to 8.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 3.35% to 77.77% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
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----going from 0.98% to 23.02% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 1.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.42% to 12.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 2.48% to 75.91% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 1.39% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 1.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.07% to 3.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 2.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.48% to 99.62% if they get 1st, or 0.37% if they don't.
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----going from 0.07% to 7.92% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.84% to 84.2% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 3.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.19% to 24.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 2.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 3.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.23% to 40.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.17% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.84% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/yLSOuNI.png)
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WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death Analysis!
Saturday, Aug 01 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2912)
WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death Analysis!
Saturday, Aug 01 2:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2912)
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Ro32 Groups Set and Group of Death…] +
Biggest Winners and Losers since (Sim ID #2901 vs Sim ID #2912)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 6200, Median Points: 6925
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5425, Median Points: 5725
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5250, Median Points: 5575
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5625
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4375, Median Points: 5175
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4475
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 4975
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4750
- Zest is at 99.99%, 99.82% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3500, Median Points: 4400
- Polt is at 99.94%, 99.21% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3375, Median Points: 4000
- ByuL is at 99.15%, 93.58% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 3775
- INnoVation is at 93.56%, 3.74% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2550, Median Points: 3925
- FanTaSy is at 79.12%, 10.13% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2625, Median Points: 3250
- Dark is at 66.07%, 8.49% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- Rogue is at 64.74%, 2.73% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3075
- HyuN is at 24.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2500
- sOs is at 22.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2500
- Lilbow is at 19.93%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1775, Median Points: 2325
- Dear is at 16.7%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2225
- soO is at 15.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2175
- ForGG is at 15.57%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 2125
- TY is at 10.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2200
- Curious is at 9.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2200
- Snute is at 8.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1975
- Solar is at 7.37%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1650
- Jaedong is at 7.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1700
- Stats is at 7.21%, 0.03% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- GuMiho is at 6.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2025
- Bbyong is at 4.22%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1650
- MarineLorD is at 4.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1425
- MyuNgSiK is at 3.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1700, Median Points: 1925
- ShoWTimE is at 2.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median Points: 1350
- TLO is at 1.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 1725
- Bunny is at 1.57%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2075
- MaNa is at 1.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1125
- Petraeus is at 1.09%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1050
- Harstem is at 0.95%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median Points: 1375
- uThermal is at 0.9%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1200
- MMA is at 0.88%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1475
- Bomber is at 0.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1175
- TRUE is at 0.54%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1800, Median Points: 1800
- Flash is at 0.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 975
- Losira is at 0.37%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1275
- Soulkey is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- Kane is at 0.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 800, Median Points: 975
- viOLet is at 0.17%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 700
- Trap is at 0.13%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
- Has is at 0.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 725, Median Points: 975
- HeRoMaRinE is at 0.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 200, Median Points: 525
- GunGFuBanDa is at 0.11%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 800
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 37.86% up to 40.09%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 2.53% up to 2.86%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.82% of the time 2550 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.85% of the time 2700 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.4% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.28% of the time 2975 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
67.38% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.54% of the time 3250 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.99% of the time 3500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Ro2 Groups] +
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Harstem and Petraeus must win this match!
Polt is at 99.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.84% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.65%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MajOr is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Petraeus is at 1.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.96% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
uThermal must win this match!
Kelazhur is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 76.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.24% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
uThermal is at 0.9% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.09% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.92%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ShoWTimE and Jaedong must win this match!
ShoWTimE is at 2.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.99%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.89%, or 0.06% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sen is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 36.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.14%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MaSa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.15%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 4.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.23%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Has is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.27%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Lilbow must win this match!
Shana is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 19.94% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.27%, or 1.78% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.72% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
ForGG must win this match!
iAsonu is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 40.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Kane is at 0.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.52%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG is at 15.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.53%, or 0.9% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
Snute must win this match!
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jim is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 8.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 11.53%, or 0.14% if they lose.
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in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 32.
MaNa and TLO must win this match!
viOLet is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose.
TLO is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.59%, or 0.05% if they lose.
MaNa is at 1.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.84%, or 0.01% if they lose.
XiGua is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +
Jaedong, Snute, MarineLorD, MaNa, Petraeus, ShoWTimE, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, Kane, and Has must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.94% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.93% if they don't.
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----going from 15.57% to 98.94% if they get 1st, or 7.08% if they don't.
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----going from 19.94% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 12.65% if they don't.


----going from 7.26% to 94.7% if they get 1st, or 1.09% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +


----going from 8.21% to 99.41% if they get 1st, or 2.74% if they don't.


----going from 4.19% to 76.68% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't.


----going from 1.26% to 25.54% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.


----going from 1.09% to 27.09% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.


----going from 0.17% to 4.83% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 2.21% to 67.4% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't.


----going from 0.1% to 3.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.08% to 2.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.11% to 4.13% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.04% to 1.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.11% to 5.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.9% to 49.3% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.


----going from 0.95% to 78.37% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't.


----going from 0.1% to 10.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 1.64% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 0.73% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.2% to 25.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.05% to 6.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 2.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.03% to 4.29% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.03% to 4.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.11% to 24.64% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.


----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/IQpQcZ6.png)
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
B > A > C > F > E > D > H > G
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +
Group A
Polt has a 9.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.7923
Group B
Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6512
Group C
ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Sen has a 0.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9616
Group D
MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Has has a 0.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.33464
Group E
Shana has a 0.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
neeb has a 0.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.6203
Group F
iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Kane has a 0.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9353
Group G
Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jim has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Snute has a 5.66% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.66813
Group H
viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
TLO has a 0.94% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.0366
Polt has a 9.87% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MajOr has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Harstem has a 1.05% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Petraeus has a 3.81% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 17.7923
Group B
Kelazhur has a 0.53% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Starbuck has a 0.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Hydra has a 16.58% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
uThermal has a 1.68% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 19.6512
Group C
ShoWTimE has a 3.06% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
HeRoMaRinE has a 2.57% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jaedong has a 6.6% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Sen has a 0.73% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9616
Group D
MaSa has a 2.86% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
iaguz has a 1.01% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MarineLorD has a 5.04% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Has has a 0.43% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.33464
Group E
Shana has a 0.07% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Lilbow has a 8.35% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
neeb has a 0.31% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
GunGFuBanDa has a 1.89% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 10.6203
Group F
iAsonu has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Zanster has a 2.27% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Kane has a 0.75% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
ForGG has a 9.24% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.9353
Group G
Hitman has a 0.49% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Elazer has a 0.85% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Jim has a 0.67% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Snute has a 5.66% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 7.66813
Group H
viOLet has a 3.37% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
MaNa has a 4.63% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
TLO has a 0.94% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
XiGua has a 0.09% chance to win WCS Premier Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.0366
Blizzcon Chances
A > B > E > F > C > G > D > H
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +
Group A
Polt has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MajOr has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Harstem has a 0.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 102.079
Group B
Kelazhur has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Starbuck has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
uThermal has a 0.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.936
Group C
ShoWTimE has a 2.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
HeRoMaRinE has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jaedong has a 7.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Sen has a 0.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63489
Group D
MaSa has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
iaguz has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Has has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.48891
Group E
Shana has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Lilbow has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
neeb has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GunGFuBanDa has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 20.0448
Group F
iAsonu has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zanster has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Kane has a 0.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ForGG has a 15.57% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 15.8337
Group G
Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Elazer has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jim has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Snute has a 8.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 8.24042
Group H
viOLet has a 0.17% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MaNa has a 1.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
TLO has a 1.64% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
XiGua has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.07565
Polt has a 99.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MajOr has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Harstem has a 0.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Petraeus has a 1.09% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 102.079
Group B
Kelazhur has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Starbuck has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hydra has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
uThermal has a 0.9% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 100.936
Group C
ShoWTimE has a 2.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
HeRoMaRinE has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jaedong has a 7.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Sen has a 0.05% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 9.63489
Group D
MaSa has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
iaguz has a 0.1% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MarineLorD has a 4.19% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Has has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 4.48891
Group E
Shana has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Lilbow has a 19.94% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
neeb has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
GunGFuBanDa has a 0.11% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 20.0448
Group F
iAsonu has a 0.03% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zanster has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Kane has a 0.2% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ForGG has a 15.57% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 15.8337
Group G
Hitman has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Elazer has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Jim has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Snute has a 8.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 8.24042
Group H
viOLet has a 0.17% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MaNa has a 1.26% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
TLO has a 1.64% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
XiGua has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 3.07565
Blizzcon Chances Lost
F > A > C > D > B > H > G > E
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +
Group A
Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.26%
Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.452967
Group B
Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Starbuck's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
uThermal's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0692
Group C
ShoWTimE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
HeRoMaRinE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28%
Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.323153
Group D
MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.09%
Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0938473
Group E
Shana's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.81%
neeb's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.83316
Group F
iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03%
ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.754969
Group G
Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.27%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.27017
Group H
viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.18%
TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
XiGua's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.178108
Polt's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MajOr's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Harstem's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.26%
Petraeus's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.452967
Group B
Kelazhur's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Starbuck's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Hydra's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
uThermal's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.06%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0692
Group C
ShoWTimE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
HeRoMaRinE's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.02%
Jaedong's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28%
Sen's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.323153
Group D
MaSa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
iaguz's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MarineLorD's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.09%
Has's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.0938473
Group E
Shana's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Lilbow's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.81%
neeb's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
GunGFuBanDa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.02%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.83316
Group F
iAsonu's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Zanster's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Kane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03%
ForGG's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.72%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.754969
Group G
Hitman's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Elazer's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Jim's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Snute's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.27%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.27017
Group H
viOLet's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
MaNa's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.18%
TLO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
XiGua's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.178108
Effects
E > F > C > G > D > H > A > B
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +
Group A
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06%
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.69%
When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.95%
When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.05%
When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.13618
Group B
When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Starbuck wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Starbuck loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.01%
When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.9%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.00536
Group C
When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.78%
When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.21%
When HeRoMaRinE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12%
When HeRoMaRinE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.63%
When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.2%
When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.05%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.192
Group D
When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.07%
When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.13%
When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.87%
When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.18%
When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.16%
When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.70839
Group E
When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.33%
When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.16%
When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06%
When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.665
Group F
When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04%
When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.32%
When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.2%
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.96%
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.291
Group G
When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.32%
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.07%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 11.4545
Group H
When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.17%
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.58%
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.26%
When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.95%
When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6%
When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.67346
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06%
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When MajOr wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When MajOr loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When Harstem wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.69%
When Harstem loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.95%
When Petraeus wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.05%
When Petraeus loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.09%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.13618
Group B
When Kelazhur wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Kelazhur loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Starbuck wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Starbuck loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When uThermal wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.01%
When uThermal loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.9%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 2.00536
Group C
When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.78%
When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.21%
When HeRoMaRinE wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.12%
When HeRoMaRinE loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
When Jaedong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 4.63%
When Jaedong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.2%
When Sen wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When Sen loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.05%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.192
Group D
When MaSa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.07%
When MaSa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When iaguz wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.13%
When iaguz loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.1%
When MarineLorD wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.87%
When MarineLorD loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.18%
When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.16%
When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 7.70839
Group E
When Shana wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Shana loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Lilbow wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.33%
When Lilbow loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 18.16%
When neeb wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When neeb loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When GunGFuBanDa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.06%
When GunGFuBanDa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.11%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 25.665
Group F
When iAsonu wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04%
When iAsonu loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.03%
When Zanster wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When Zanster loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.32%
When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.2%
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.96%
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 23.291
Group G
When Hitman wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hitman loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Elazer wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Elazer loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Jim wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.02%
When Jim loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.32%
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.07%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 11.4545
Group H
When viOLet wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When viOLet loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.17%
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.58%
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.26%
When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.95%
When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.6%
When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 5.67346
Aliglac Ratings
A > C > B > F > D > H > G > E
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +
Group A
Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2144
MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1851
Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1716
Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1964
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7675
Group B
Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1596
Starbuck has an Aligulac rating of 1688
Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2299
uThermal has an Aligulac rating of 1762
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7345
Group C
ShoWTimE has an Aligulac rating of 1862
HeRoMaRinE has an Aligulac rating of 1838
Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2054
Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1686
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7440
Group D
MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1817
iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1655
MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1939
Has has an Aligulac rating of 1562
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6973
Group E
Shana has an Aligulac rating of 1354
Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2038
neeb has an Aligulac rating of 1526
GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1750
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6668
Group F
iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1656
Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1818
Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1699
ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2095
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7268
Group G
Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1579
Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1678
Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1639
Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1999
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6895
Group H
viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1898
MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1900
TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1694
XiGua has an Aligulac rating of 1443
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6935
Polt has an Aligulac rating of 2144
MajOr has an Aligulac rating of 1851
Harstem has an Aligulac rating of 1716
Petraeus has an Aligulac rating of 1964
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7675
Group B
Kelazhur has an Aligulac rating of 1596
Starbuck has an Aligulac rating of 1688
Hydra has an Aligulac rating of 2299
uThermal has an Aligulac rating of 1762
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7345
Group C
ShoWTimE has an Aligulac rating of 1862
HeRoMaRinE has an Aligulac rating of 1838
Jaedong has an Aligulac rating of 2054
Sen has an Aligulac rating of 1686
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7440
Group D
MaSa has an Aligulac rating of 1817
iaguz has an Aligulac rating of 1655
MarineLorD has an Aligulac rating of 1939
Has has an Aligulac rating of 1562
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6973
Group E
Shana has an Aligulac rating of 1354
Lilbow has an Aligulac rating of 2038
neeb has an Aligulac rating of 1526
GunGFuBanDa has an Aligulac rating of 1750
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6668
Group F
iAsonu has an Aligulac rating of 1656
Zanster has an Aligulac rating of 1818
Kane has an Aligulac rating of 1699
ForGG has an Aligulac rating of 2095
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7268
Group G
Hitman has an Aligulac rating of 1579
Elazer has an Aligulac rating of 1678
Jim has an Aligulac rating of 1639
Snute has an Aligulac rating of 1999
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6895
Group H
viOLet has an Aligulac rating of 1898
MaNa has an Aligulac rating of 1900
TLO has an Aligulac rating of 1694
XiGua has an Aligulac rating of 1443
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6935
Final Placings
Group A has two 1st places, and two 2nd places
Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place
Group C has one 2nd place, and three 3rd places
Group D has one 4th place
Group E has one 1st place, and one 3rd place
Group F has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and three 4th places
Group G has one 4th place
Group H has no top 4 placements
With two 1st places and two 2nd places, Group A is our Group of Death! Congratulations to Polt, MajOr, Harstem, and Petraeus! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Kelazhur, Starbuck, Hydra, and uThermal.
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GSL Code S Ro32 Groups Drawn!
Tuesday, Jul 28 1:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2743)
GSL Code S Ro32 Groups Drawn!
Tuesday, Jul 28 1:40am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2743)
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Code S Ro32 Groups Drawn!] +
Biggest Winners and Losers from the Code S Ro32 Group Drawing (Sim ID #2730 vs Sim ID #2743)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5900, Median Points: 6650
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6000
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5250, Median Points: 5675
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5625
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 4800
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4575
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5375
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4750
- Zest is at 99.88%, 96.82% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3300, Median Points: 4225
- Polt is at 99.24%, 95.49% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3250, Median Points: 3750
- ByuL is at 98.78%, 89.82% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3175, Median Points: 3800
- INnoVation is at 82.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3550
- FanTaSy is at 73.82%, 0.1% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2375, Median Points: 3250
- Dark is at 63.73%, 5.06% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- Rogue is at 63.27%, 1.23% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3125
- sOs is at 45.15%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2850
- HyuN is at 18.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2425
- Dear is at 17.07%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2225
- Bunny is at 15.94%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2425
- Lilbow is at 15.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2275
- soO is at 14.92%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2175
- ForGG is at 11.86%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2050
- TY is at 10.06%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2200
- Curious is at 9.67%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2200
- Snute is at 9.36%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2000
- Jaedong is at 7.76%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1750
- Stats is at 7.01%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2350
- GuMiho is at 6.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2025
- MyuNgSiK is at 6.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2000
- MarineLorD is at 4.81%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1550
- Bbyong is at 4.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1650
- Solar is at 3.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1450
- ShoWTimE is at 1.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median Points: 1350
- Petraeus is at 1.17%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1125
- FireCake is at 1.12%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1275
- MaNa is at 0.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1075
- MMA is at 0.85%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1475
- TRUE is at 0.71%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1800
- TLO is at 0.67%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
- Bomber is at 0.66%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1175
- Flash is at 0.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 975
- Harstem is at 0.41%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
- uThermal is at 0.4%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1025
- Soulkey is at 0.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1725
- Kane is at 0.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 800, Median Points: 1000
- Nerchio is at 0.18%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 625
- Welmu is at 0.16%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 750
- viOLet is at 0.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 700
- Cure is at 0.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 450, Median Points: 750
- Trap is at 0.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1350
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 47.9% down to 47.6%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 6.11% down to 5.99%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.16% down to 0.16%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.69% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
10.69% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
31.26% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
51.83% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
70.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
91.42% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.03% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Code S Ro32 Groups] +
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Solar must win this match!
Zest is at 99.88% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.7% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK is at 6.21% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.38%, or 2.92% if they lose.
Cure is at 0.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.28%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Solar is at 3.33% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 6.28%, or 0.04% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Bomber must win this match!
Bomber is at 0.66% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.58%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Trust is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 44.41% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Bbyong must win this match!
sOs has the #4 Headband.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Bbyong is at 4.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.2%, or 0.12% if they lose.
sOs is at 45.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.37% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 58.68%, or 24.53% if they lose.
Stork is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 74.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Hack is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Losira is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Curious must win this match!
Curious is at 9.67% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.3%, or 1.17% if they lose.
Flash is at 0.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.95%, or 0.01% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 82.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 90.25%, or 67.88% if they lose.
Pigbaby is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.48% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
Sleep is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 73.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 86.31%, or 57.18% if they lose.
ByuL is at 98.78% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.86%, or 97.12% if they lose.
Dear is at 17.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.82%, or 7.41% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
MMA must win this match!
Dark has the #3 Headband.
PartinG is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.48% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dark is at 63.73% Blizzcon Chances, with a 65.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 79.06%, or 34.2% if they lose.
MMA is at 0.85% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.46%, or 0.04% if they lose.
sKyHigh is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 25.16% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code S Season 3 round of 32.
GuMiho and soO must win this match!
soO has the #2 Headband.
GuMiho is at 6.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 12.25%, or 0.55% if they lose.
soO is at 14.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 22.95%, or 1.8% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.19%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Rogue is at 63.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.39% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 81.1%, or 46.55% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [Code S Winning Chances] +
Solar, Bbyong, GuMiho, Flash, Bomber, and MMA must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 14.92% to 99.2% if they get 1st, or 8.26% if they don't.
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----going from 82.04% to 100% if they get 1st, or 80.66% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 63.73% to 100% if they get 1st, or 61.6% if they don't.
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----going from 99.88% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.88% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 45.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.77% if they don't.
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----going from 73.82% to 100% if they get 1st, or 72.86% if they don't.
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----going from 3.33% to 79.67% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't.
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----going from 17.07% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 14.37% if they don't.
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----going from 98.78% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.75% if they don't.
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----going from 4.16% to 95.36% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't.
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----going from 9.67% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 7.28% if they don't.
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----going from 6.23% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 4.01% if they don't.
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----going from 63.27% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.5% if they don't.
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----going from 0.46% to 21.52% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
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----going from 0.14% to 9.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 3.37% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.66% to 53.52% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 8.85% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 6.21% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 5.46% if they don't.
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----going from 0.85% to 85.21% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 10.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 6.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.55% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
G > D > B > H > E > C > A > F
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +
Group A
Zest has a 5.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Cure has a 1.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Solar has a 3.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0535
Group B
Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Maru has a 5.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Classic has a 5.97% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Trust has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2059
Group C
Life has a 4.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sOs has a 4.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Stork has a 0.12% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.6014
Group D
Rain has a 7.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Losira has a 0.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Hack has a 0.22% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
herO has a 4.99% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.4904
Group E
Curious has a 2.58% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Flash has a 1.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.1079
Group F
Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dear has a 3.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.80775
Group G
PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
MMA has a 0.59% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dark has a 5.54% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.2428
Group H
GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
soO has a 7.33% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4903
Zest has a 5.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Cure has a 1.4% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
MyuNgSiK has a 0.79% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Solar has a 3.46% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.0535
Group B
Bomber has a 1.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Maru has a 5.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Classic has a 5.97% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Trust has a 1.06% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.2059
Group C
Life has a 4.29% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sOs has a 4.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Bbyong has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Stork has a 0.12% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 11.6014
Group D
Rain has a 7.96% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Losira has a 0.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Hack has a 0.22% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
herO has a 4.99% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 13.4904
Group E
Curious has a 2.58% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
INnoVation has a 7.13% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Flash has a 1.95% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Pigbaby has a 0.44% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.1079
Group F
Sleep has a 0.08% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
ByuL has a 3.05% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
FanTaSy has a 3.53% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dear has a 3.15% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 9.80775
Group G
PartinG has a 9.9% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
MMA has a 0.59% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Dark has a 5.54% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
sKyHigh has a 0.21% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 16.2428
Group H
GuMiho has a 2.32% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Hurricane has a 0.81% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
soO has a 7.33% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Rogue has a 2.03% chance to win GSL Code S Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 12.4903
Blizzcon Chances
B > D > F > G > C > A > E > H
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +
Group A
Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Cure has a 0.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MyuNgSiK has a 6.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Solar has a 3.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.556
Group B
Bomber has a 0.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Trust has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.697
Group C
Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 45.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Bbyong has a 4.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Stork has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 149.31
Group D
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Losira has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hack has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.042
Group E
Curious has a 9.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 82.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Flash has a 0.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Pigbaby has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 92.1885
Group F
Sleep has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 98.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
FanTaSy has a 73.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 17.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 189.671
Group G
PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MMA has a 0.85% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dark has a 63.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sKyHigh has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.597
Group H
GuMiho has a 6.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hurricane has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
soO has a 14.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rogue has a 63.27% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.4908
Zest has a 99.88% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Cure has a 0.14% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MyuNgSiK has a 6.21% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Solar has a 3.33% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 109.556
Group B
Bomber has a 0.66% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Trust has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.697
Group C
Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 45.15% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Bbyong has a 4.16% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Stork has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 149.31
Group D
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Losira has a 0.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hack has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 200.042
Group E
Curious has a 9.67% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 82.04% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Flash has a 0.46% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Pigbaby has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 92.1885
Group F
Sleep has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 98.78% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
FanTaSy has a 73.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 17.07% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 189.671
Group G
PartinG has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MMA has a 0.85% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dark has a 63.73% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sKyHigh has a 0.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 164.597
Group H
GuMiho has a 6.23% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Hurricane has a 0.08% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
soO has a 14.92% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rogue has a 63.27% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 84.4908
Blizzcon Chances Lost
H > A > B > D > E > C > F > G
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +
Group A
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Cure's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.17%
Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.43931
Group B
Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12%
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.121084
Group C
Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.62%
Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17%
Stork's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.785812
Group D
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Losira's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Hack's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.01366
Group E
Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.1%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37%
Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03%
Pigbaby's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.440548
Group F
Sleep's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06%
FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.69%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.864052
Group G
PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17%
Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by 3.5%
sKyHigh's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.32155
Group H
GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.43%
Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.39%
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.12%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.94562
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Cure's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.17%
Solar's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.28%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.43931
Group B
Bomber's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.12%
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Trust's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.121084
Group C
Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.62%
Bbyong's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.17%
Stork's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.785812
Group D
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Losira's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Hack's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.01366
Group E
Curious's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.1%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.37%
Flash's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.03%
Pigbaby's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.440548
Group F
Sleep's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.06%
FanTaSy's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.69%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.12%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.864052
Group G
PartinG's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
MMA's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.17%
Dark's Blizzcon Chances changed by 3.5%
sKyHigh's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -3.32155
Group H
GuMiho's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.43%
Hurricane's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.01%
soO's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.39%
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by -2.12%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 2.94562
Effects
H > F > G > C > E > A > B > D
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +
Group A
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.18%
When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14%
When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14%
When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.17%
When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29%
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.95%
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.2735
Group B
When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.92%
When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.65%
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.66226
Group C
When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.53%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.62%
When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.03%
When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05%
When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.2319
Group D
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Losira wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When Losira loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.14194
Group E
When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.63%
When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.5%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.16%
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.48%
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.46%
When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 38.4754
Group F
When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.66%
When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.49%
When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.64%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 49.2669
Group G
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61%
When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.81%
When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.33%
When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 29.53%
When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04%
When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.3398
Group H
When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.02%
When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.67%
When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.03%
When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.13%
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.84%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.72%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.5918
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.18%
When Cure wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.14%
When Cure loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.14%
When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.17%
When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29%
When Solar wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 2.95%
When Solar loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 3.29%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 16.2735
Group B
When Bomber wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.92%
When Bomber loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.65%
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Trust wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Trust loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 1.66226
Group C
When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.53%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 20.62%
When Bbyong wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.03%
When Bbyong loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 4.05%
When Stork wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Stork loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 41.2319
Group D
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Losira wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.09%
When Losira loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.04%
When Hack wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Hack loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 0.14194
Group E
When Curious wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.63%
When Curious loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 8.5%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.21%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 14.16%
When Flash wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.48%
When Flash loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.46%
When Pigbaby wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.03%
When Pigbaby loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 38.4754
Group F
When Sleep wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.01%
When Sleep loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.07%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 1.66%
When FanTaSy wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 12.49%
When FanTaSy loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.64%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 7.75%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 49.2669
Group G
When PartinG wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When PartinG loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When MMA wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 1.61%
When MMA loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.81%
When Dark wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 15.33%
When Dark loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 29.53%
When sKyHigh wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.04%
When sKyHigh loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.01%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 47.3398
Group H
When GuMiho wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 6.02%
When GuMiho loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.67%
When Hurricane wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.11%
When Hurricane loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When soO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.03%
When soO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.13%
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.84%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.72%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 67.5918
Aliglac Ratings
H > B > E > G > A > C > D > F
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +
Group A
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2170
Cure has an Aligulac rating of 1998
MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1882
Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2158
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8208
Group B
Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1964
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2239
Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1891
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8367
Group C
Life has an Aligulac rating of 2206
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134
Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2129
Stork has an Aligulac rating of 1615
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8084
Group D
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2278
Losira has an Aligulac rating of 1794
Hack has an Aligulac rating of 1769
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2157
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998
Group E
Curious has an Aligulac rating of 2085
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2335
Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2052
Pigbaby has an Aligulac rating of 1774
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8246
Group F
Sleep has an Aligulac rating of 1611
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2104
FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2171
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2079
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7965
Group G
PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2334
MMA has an Aligulac rating of 1881
Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2247
sKyHigh has an Aligulac rating of 1763
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8225
Group H
GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2099
Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1859
soO has an Aligulac rating of 2347
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8370
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2170
Cure has an Aligulac rating of 1998
MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1882
Solar has an Aligulac rating of 2158
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8208
Group B
Bomber has an Aligulac rating of 1964
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2273
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2239
Trust has an Aligulac rating of 1891
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8367
Group C
Life has an Aligulac rating of 2206
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134
Bbyong has an Aligulac rating of 2129
Stork has an Aligulac rating of 1615
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8084
Group D
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2278
Losira has an Aligulac rating of 1794
Hack has an Aligulac rating of 1769
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2157
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7998
Group E
Curious has an Aligulac rating of 2085
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2335
Flash has an Aligulac rating of 2052
Pigbaby has an Aligulac rating of 1774
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8246
Group F
Sleep has an Aligulac rating of 1611
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2104
FanTaSy has an Aligulac rating of 2171
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2079
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7965
Group G
PartinG has an Aligulac rating of 2334
MMA has an Aligulac rating of 1881
Dark has an Aligulac rating of 2247
sKyHigh has an Aligulac rating of 1763
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8225
Group H
GuMiho has an Aligulac rating of 2099
Hurricane has an Aligulac rating of 1859
soO has an Aligulac rating of 2347
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8370
Final Placings
Group A has one 2nd place
Group B has one 1st place, one 2nd place, and two 3rd places
Group C has one 4th place
Group D has two 2nd places, and one 4th place
Group E has one 3rd place
Group F has one 2nd place, and one 3rd place
Group G has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and two 4th places
Group H has three 1st places, and one 4th place
Group H is our Group of Death! Congrats to GuMiho, Hurricane, soO, and Rogue! The 2nd place Group of Death is Group B with Bomber, Maru, Classic, and Trust.
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Gfinity Summer 1 No Longer Giving Points!
Tuesday, Jun 30 10:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2563)
Gfinity Summer 1 No Longer Giving Points!
Tuesday, Jun 30 10:40pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2563)
+ Show Spoiler [Gfinity Summer 1 No Longer Giving Poin…] +
Biggest Winners and Losers from Gfinity Summer 1 not giving WCS Points (Sim ID #2556 vs Sim ID #2563)
Biggest Winners
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+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 6475
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6075
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5675
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 4950
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4650
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5025
- Classic is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4850
- Polt is at 98.16%, 90.66% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
- Zest is at 96.63%, 48.67% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3825
- ByuL is at 90.48%, 32.57% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
- INnoVation is at 83.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 65.1%, 0.42% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
- Dark is at 61.23%, 2.11% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- sOs is at 46.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
- FanTaSy is at 40.97%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2325, Median Points: 2875
- Stats is at 30.19%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
- HyuN is at 30.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median Points: 2650
- Dear is at 18.49%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2325
- soO is at 18.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
- Lilbow is at 18.09%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2350
- Bunny is at 16.04%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2425
- ForGG is at 11.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2000
- TY is at 11.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2250
- Curious is at 11.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2325
- MyuNgSiK is at 8.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2150
- Jaedong is at 5.52%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
- Bbyong is at 4.84%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
- Snute is at 4.76%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median Points: 1725
- Solar is at 3.75%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
- GuMiho is at 3.74%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median Points: 1925
- MarineLorD is at 3.31%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 950, Median Points: 1450
- StarDust is at 2.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
- ShoWTimE is at 1.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
- Petraeus is at 1.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1175
- FireCake is at 1.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1325
- Happy is at 1.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
- TRUE is at 0.97%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 1800
- MMA is at 0.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1375
- TLO is at 0.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
- Soulkey is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
- Harstem is at 0.62%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
- Flash is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 1000
- Patience is at 0.44%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1375
- Bomber is at 0.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
- Trap is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
- MaNa is at 0.3%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 825
- uThermal is at 0.3%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1000
- San is at 0.27%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 975
- Nerchio is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.05% up to 45.49%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.54% up to 5.62%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.15% down to 0.15%
Top Foreigner Hopes
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.81% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.23% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
31.58% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.07% of the time 3050 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
68.46% of the time 3150 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.55% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.05% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Bomber is at 0.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.77%, or 0.01% if they lose.
First is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.06%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Sacsri is at 0.24% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.48%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
FanTaSy is at 40.97% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.28%, or 26.21% if they lose.
San is at 0.27% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.13% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.64%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Patience must win this match!
Patience is at 0.44% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.48%, or 0.06% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.95%, or 92.98% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
GuMiho must win this match!
GuMiho is at 3.74% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.18% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.16%, or 0.68% if they lose.
HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.82% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 38.94%, or 20.01% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger AM Day 1] +
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.11%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.13%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.39% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.35%, or 0.05% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +
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----going from 11.91% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.69% if they don't.
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----going from 98.16% to 99.14% if they get 1st, or 95.19% if they don't.
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----going from 18.09% to 23.66% if they get 1st, or 3.83% if they don't.
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----going from 0.09% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 2.39% to 3.35% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 3.31% to 4.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
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----going from 5.52% to 8.13% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
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----going from 0.12% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 4.76% to 7.57% if they get 1st, or 0.13% if they don't.
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----going from 16.04% to 23.59% if they get 1st, or 4.27% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.21% to 2.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.26% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.18% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.3% to 0.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.69% to 3.26% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
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----going from 0.64% to 1.25% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.25% to 2.46% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.15% to 0.31% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.07% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.62% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.3% to 0.66% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.13% to 0.32% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.18% to 0.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Ro16 Groups] +
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Zest is at 96.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.11% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.7%, or 93.89% if they lose.
ByuL is at 90.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.49%, or 83.23% if they lose.
Stats is at 30.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 51.08%, or 12.59% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.64% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.5% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.8% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.9%, or 72.34% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.62% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.79% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.75%, or 30.03% if they lose.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.98% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MyuNgSiK is at 8.19% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 17.05%, or 3.66% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 18.49% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.99%, or 8.18% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 30.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.76% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.23%, or 14.93% if they lose.
Classic is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.35% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
TY is at 11.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.01% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 24.1%, or 2.22% if they lose.
Rogue is at 65.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 83.6%, or 47.41% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +
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----going from 83.8% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.83% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 96.63% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.39% if they don't.
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----going from 30.01% to 99.97% if they get 1st, or 25.79% if they don't.
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----going from 46.62% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.5% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 18.49% to 99.19% if they get 1st, or 14.29% if they don't.
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----going from 90.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 90.01% if they don't.
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----going from 30.19% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.82% if they don't.
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----going from 65.1% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.52% if they don't.
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----going from 11.63% to 99.95% if they get 1st, or 7.68% if they don't.
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----going from 8.19% to 99.11% if they get 1st, or 6.65% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Placements Table] +
![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/Gx0Nndx.png)
I also made a new branch for if Innovation wins SSL, ForGG wins WCS, and soO wins GSL. With the recent addition of Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, branches will get really interesting closer to the end of the year since we'll be able to look at how the different scenarios affect who plays who at Blizzcon. Be sure to keep an eye on the branches page and feel free to make requests for branches, they're easy for me to add!
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DreamHack Valencia and IEM Shenzhen Completed!
Sunday, Jul 19 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2507)
DreamHack Valencia and IEM Shenzhen Completed!
Sunday, Jul 19 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2507)
+ Show Spoiler [DreamHack Valencia and IEM Shenzhen Co…] +
Biggest Winners and Losers during DreamHack and IEM (Sim ID #2354 vs Sim ID #2507)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5850, Median Points: 6500
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6100
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5125, Median Points: 5850
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 5000
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4675
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5025
- Classic is at 99.99%, 99.99% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3950, Median Points: 4850
- Polt is at 97.92%, 89.22% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
- Zest is at 96.36%, 44.7% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3850
- ByuL is at 89.86%, 29.32% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
- INnoVation is at 83.23%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 64.16%, 0.29% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
- Dark is at 60.42%, 1.54% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- sOs is at 46.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
- FanTaSy is at 40.29%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2325, Median Points: 2875
- HyuN is at 36.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2775
- Stats is at 29.59%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
- Lilbow is at 17.81%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2375
- soO is at 17.75%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
- Dear is at 17.56%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2300
- Bunny is at 15.77%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2425
- ForGG is at 11.86%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2050
- TY is at 11.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2250
- Curious is at 10.78%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1900, Median Points: 2275
- MyuNgSiK is at 10.57%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2250
- Snute is at 5.5%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1450, Median Points: 1825
- Jaedong is at 5.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
- Bbyong is at 4.79%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
- Solar is at 3.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
- GuMiho is at 3.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median Points: 1925
- MarineLorD is at 3.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 950, Median Points: 1450
- StarDust is at 2.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
- ShoWTimE is at 1.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
- TRUE is at 1.59%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 1975
- FireCake is at 1.22%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1350
- Happy is at 1.18%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
- MMA is at 0.68%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1400
- TLO is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
- Soulkey is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
- Flash is at 0.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 675, Median Points: 1000
- Harstem is at 0.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
- Patience is at 0.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1200, Median Points: 1525
- Petraeus is at 0.43%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 925
- Bomber is at 0.38%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
- Trap is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
- MaNa is at 0.29%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 825
- uThermal is at 0.28%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1000
- San is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1000
- Nerchio is at 0.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.57% down to 44.71%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.11% down to 5.45%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.46% down to 0.14%
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
1.18% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
10.29% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.39% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
51.91% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.21% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.28% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.86% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Final Seed Stats
I also added the sections for Final Seed Stats and Final Match Stats, to show the chances of seeds for Blizzcon and the first round matches at Blizzcon. Here are the most likely players for each seed, you can see more likely seeds on the website.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Seed Stats] +
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Final Match Stats
Here are the top 10 most likely first round matches for Blizzcon.
+ Show Spoiler [Final Match Stats] +
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Next up is more Code A, WCS Challenger, and then SSL begins the very important round of 16 (very thick red bars around all 4 of those upcoming matches).
+ Show Spoiler [Code A Matches] +
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Bomber is at 0.38% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.23% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.75%, or 0.01% if they lose.
First is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.08%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Symbol is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Hurricane is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.48% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Cure is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.4% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Sacsri is at 0.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.47%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
San is at 0.26% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.62%, or 0.01% if they lose.
FanTaSy is at 40.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.55%, or 25.6% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Patience must win this match!
Patience is at 0.58% Blizzcon Chances, with a 26.68% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.86%, or 0.11% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 73.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 97.77%, or 92.47% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
Armani is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.93% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0.01% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.07% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in GSL Code A Season 3 round of 48.
GuMiho must win this match!
HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.85% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 45.77%, or 25.34% if they lose.
GuMiho is at 3.68% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.15% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 7.06%, or 0.67% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Matches] +
Oops, I didn't load in the new schedule from Liquipedia in this update. I will post these again with the schedule when we get closer to the first day.
Polt vs
JonSnow in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Polt is at 97.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.25% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.02%, or 94.56% if they lose.
JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong vs
Semper in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.05%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
StarDust vs
neeb in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 0.04% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
qxc vs
viOLet in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaSa vs
Bails in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
Xenocider vs
Hitman in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.72% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Kane vs
HuK in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
SortOf vs
Lilbow in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Lilbow must win this match!
SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 17.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.32%, or 3.73% if they lose.
Bunny vs
Starbuck in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Bunny must win this match!
Bunny is at 15.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.23%, or 4.12% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Bly vs
TLO in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
TLO must win this match!
Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
TLO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.22%, or 0.02% if they lose.
MarineLorD vs
DmC in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MarineLorD is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.05% if they lose.
DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
FireCake vs
Zanster in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
FireCake must win this match!
FireCake is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
DnS vs
GunGFuBanDa in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ForGG vs
Dayshi in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ForGG must win this match!
ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.4%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Nerchio vs
Harstem in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Harstem must win this match!
Nerchio is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Ret vs
HeRoMaRinE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Ret is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
uThermal vs
elfi in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
uThermal is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Welmu vs
Elazer in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Welmu is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute vs
Serral in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Snute must win this match!
Snute is at 5.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.24% if they lose.
Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
MaNa vs
Happy in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Happy must win this match!
MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Happy is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose.
NaNiwa vs
ShoWTimE in
in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ShoWTimE must win this match!
NaNiwa is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.16%, or 0.04% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Polt is at 97.92% Blizzcon Chances, with a 75.25% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.02%, or 94.56% if they lose.
JonSnow is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 24.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Jaedong must win this match!
Jaedong is at 5.46% Blizzcon Chances, with a 67.45% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.05%, or 0.09% if they lose.
Semper is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 32.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
StarDust must win this match!
StarDust is at 2.2% Blizzcon Chances, with a 70.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.09%, or 0.04% if they lose.
neeb is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 29.03% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
qxc is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 35.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 64.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MaSa is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.31% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Bails is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.69% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Xenocider is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.72% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Hitman is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.28% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Kane is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.74% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.17%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HuK is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Lilbow must win this match!
SortOf is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.12% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 17.81% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.32%, or 3.73% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Bunny must win this match!
Bunny is at 15.77% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.94% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.23%, or 4.12% if they lose.
Starbuck is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.06% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
TLO must win this match!
Bly is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.02%, or 0% if they lose.
TLO is at 0.63% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.66% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.22%, or 0.02% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
MarineLorD must win this match!
MarineLorD is at 3.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 68.33% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 4.77%, or 0.05% if they lose.
DmC is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 31.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
FireCake must win this match!
FireCake is at 1.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 50.3% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.4%, or 0.02% if they lose.
Zanster is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.7% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.1%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
DnS is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.49% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.51% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.12%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ForGG must win this match!
ForGG is at 11.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 81.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 14.4%, or 0.67% if they lose.
Dayshi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 18.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Harstem must win this match!
Nerchio is at 0.25% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.27% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Harstem is at 0.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.73% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 1.29%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Ret is at 0.12% Blizzcon Chances, with a 39.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
HeRoMaRinE is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances, with a 60.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
uThermal is at 0.28% Blizzcon Chances, with a 52.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.54%, or 0.01% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.06% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.62% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.13%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Welmu is at 0.17% Blizzcon Chances, with a 53.56% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.32%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Snute must win this match!
Snute is at 5.5% Blizzcon Chances, with a 62.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.69%, or 0.24% if they lose.
Serral is at 0.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 37.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.46%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
Happy must win this match!
MaNa is at 0.29% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.54% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.63%, or 0.01% if they lose.
Happy is at 1.18% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 2.16%, or 0.01% if they lose.
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in WCS Challenger Season 3 round of 64.
ShoWTimE must win this match!
NaNiwa is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.83% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.3%, or 0.01% if they lose.
ShoWTimE is at 1.64% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.17% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 3.16%, or 0.04% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Ro16 Matches (Very Important Match…] +
These matches are very important for Stats, sOs, INnoVation, MyuNgSiK, Dear, HyuN, TY, and Rogue.
Zest,
Stats,
ByuL, and
Maru in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.44% if they lose.
ByuL is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.3%, or 82.2% if they lose.
Stats is at 29.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.25%, or 12.22% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Life,
INnoVation,
sOs, and
herO in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.99%, or 29.51% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.53%, or 71.61% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK,
Dear,
Dream, and
Rain in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MyuNgSiK is at 10.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.15%, or 5.03% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 17.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.87%, or 7.7% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
HyuN,
TY,
Classic, and
Rogue in
in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.63%, or 19.81% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
TY is at 11.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.75%, or 2.17% if they lose.
Rogue is at 64.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.78%, or 46.36% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Zest is at 96.36% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.95% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.66%, or 93.44% if they lose.
ByuL is at 89.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.53% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.3%, or 82.2% if they lose.
Stats is at 29.59% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.25%, or 12.22% if they lose.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.99% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.84% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 63.99%, or 29.51% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.23% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.57% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.53%, or 71.61% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
MyuNgSiK is at 10.57% Blizzcon Chances, with a 34.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.15%, or 5.03% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 17.56% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 27.87%, or 7.7% if they lose.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 54.87% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 36.14% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.75% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 52.63%, or 19.81% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
TY is at 11.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.02% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 23.75%, or 2.17% if they lose.
Rogue is at 64.16% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.89% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.78%, or 46.36% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL Winning Chances] +
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----going from 83.23% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.24% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 96.36% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.1% if they don't.
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----going from 36.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 32.27% if they don't.
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----going from 46.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 42.84% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 89.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.35% if they don't.
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----going from 17.56% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 13.53% if they don't.
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----going from 29.59% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.19% if they don't.
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----going from 64.16% to 100% if they get 1st, or 62.53% if they don't.
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----going from 11.45% to 99.94% if they get 1st, or 7.5% if they don't.
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----going from 10.57% to 99.7% if they get 1st, or 8.98% if they don't.
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SSL S3 Groups Set!
Thursday, Jul 16 4:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2354)
SSL S3 Groups Set!
Thursday, Jul 16 4:30pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2354)
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Groups Set] +
Biggest Winners and Losers from SSL group selections (Sim ID #2341 vs Sim ID #2354)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5600, Median Points: 6450
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5325, Median Points: 6125
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6100
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5750
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median Points: 5000
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 4825
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5475
- Classic is at 99.95%, 96.19% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 4475
- Polt is at 97.92%, 89.21% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3675
- Zest is at 96.48%, 45.97% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3850
- ByuL is at 90.01%, 30.54% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3525
- INnoVation is at 83.69%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2250, Median Points: 3675
- Rogue is at 64.86%, 0.42% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3175
- Dark is at 61.06%, 1.98% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2600, Median Points: 3100
- sOs is at 46.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 2950
- FanTaSy is at 35.97%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2825
- Stats is at 29.99%, 0.01% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2700
- HyuN is at 27.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1525, Median Points: 2575
- Bunny is at 26.51%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2625
- Lilbow is at 26.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1600, Median Points: 2575
- soO is at 18.08%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1425, Median Points: 2300
- Dear is at 17.52%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2300
- ForGG is at 11.98%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 2050
- MyuNgSiK is at 10.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2250
- TY is at 9.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2175
- Snute is at 5.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1825
- Jaedong is at 5.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1275, Median Points: 1625
- GuMiho is at 5.13%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 2000
- Bbyong is at 4.82%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1775
- Solar is at 3.91%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1575
- MarineLorD is at 3.01%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 700, Median Points: 1425
- StarDust is at 2.21%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 775, Median Points: 1400
- Curious is at 1.93%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1600
- ShoWTimE is at 1.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1375
- FireCake is at 1.2%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1350
- Happy is at 1.19%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 375, Median Points: 1000
- TLO is at 0.83%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1625
- MMA is at 0.71%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1400
- Soulkey is at 0.63%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
- MaNa is at 0.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 950
- Harstem is at 0.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 900, Median Points: 1275
- San is at 0.47%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1200
- TRUE is at 0.46%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median Points: 1600
- uThermal is at 0.41%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 525, Median Points: 1025
- Bomber is at 0.4%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1150
- Petraeus is at 0.4%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 925
- Trap is at 0.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1475
- Sacsri is at 0.33%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 875
- Patience is at 0.26%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 825, Median Points: 1225
- Nerchio is at 0.25%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 275, Median Points: 650
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 58.41% up to 58.57%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 11.01% up to 11.11%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.45% up to 0.46%
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.77% of the time 2625 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
11.12% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
29.35% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
52.37% of the time 3075 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.23% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.23% of the time 3300 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.91% of the time 3525 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Ro16 Groups] +
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Maru is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.81% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Stats is at 29.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 45.67% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 50.75%, or 12.52% if they lose.
ByuL is at 90.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.55% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 98.31%, or 82.48% if they lose.
Zest is at 96.48% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.97% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.67%, or 93.66% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
sOs has the #4 Headband.
Life is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
sOs is at 46.45% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.46% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 64.26%, or 29.7% if they lose.
INnoVation is at 83.69% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 92.75%, or 72.27% if they lose.
herO is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.44% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
Rain has the #1 Headband.
Rain is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 56.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
Dear is at 17.52% Blizzcon Chances, with a 47.91% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 28.12%, or 7.78% if they lose.
Dream is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 61.71% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
MyuNgSiK is at 10.6% Blizzcon Chances, with a 33.78% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.42%, or 5.09% if they lose.
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in StarLeague Season 3 round of 16.
TY must win this match!
HyuN is at 27.47% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 41.34%, or 13.99% if they lose.
Classic is at 99.95% Blizzcon Chances, with a 58.82% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 99.99%, or 99.87% if they lose.
TY is at 9.82% Blizzcon Chances, with a 42.42% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 20.6%, or 1.88% if they lose.
Rogue is at 64.86% Blizzcon Chances, with a 49.47% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 82.9%, or 47.19% if they lose.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Winning Chances] +
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----going from 83.69% to 100% if they get 1st, or 81.77% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.94% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 96.48% to 100% if they get 1st, or 96.23% if they don't.
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----going from 46.45% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 43.26% if they don't.
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----going from 27.47% to 99.51% if they get 1st, or 23.38% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 90.01% to 100% if they get 1st, or 89.52% if they don't.
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----going from 17.52% to 99.01% if they get 1st, or 13.52% if they don't.
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----going from 29.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.58% if they don't.
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----going from 64.86% to 100% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't.
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----going from 9.82% to 99.18% if they get 1st, or 6.08% if they don't.
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----going from 10.6% to 99.72% if they get 1st, or 9.03% if they don't.
SSL S3 Group of Death
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the average Aligulac rating of the players in the group.
Champion Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +
Group D
Maru has a 10.05% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Stats has a 4.64% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Zest has a 6.59% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9668
Group C
Life has a 6.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
sOs has a 5.61% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
herO has a 4.97% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.8832
Group B
Rain has a 10.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Dream has a 6.9% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Dear has a 4.68% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6208
Group A
HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
TY has a 4.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Classic has a 8.84% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.5292
Maru has a 10.05% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
ByuL has a 4.69% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Stats has a 4.64% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Zest has a 6.59% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 25.9668
Group C
Life has a 6.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
INnoVation has a 10.56% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
sOs has a 5.61% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
herO has a 4.97% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 27.8832
Group B
Rain has a 10.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Dream has a 6.9% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Dear has a 4.68% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
MyuNgSiK has a 1.74% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 23.6208
Group A
HyuN has a 5.37% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
TY has a 4.02% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Classic has a 8.84% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Rogue has a 4.3% chance to win StarLeague Season 3
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 22.5292
Blizzcon Chances
C > D > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +
Group D
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 90.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Stats has a 29.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zest has a 96.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 316.473
Group C
Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 83.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 46.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 330.136
Group B
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dream has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 17.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MyuNgSiK has a 10.6% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 228.128
Group A
HyuN has a 27.47% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
TY has a 9.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 99.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rogue has a 64.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.093
Maru has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
ByuL has a 90.01% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Stats has a 29.99% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Zest has a 96.48% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 316.473
Group C
Life has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
INnoVation has a 83.69% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
sOs has a 46.45% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
herO has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 330.136
Group B
Rain has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dream has a 100% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Dear has a 17.52% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
MyuNgSiK has a 10.6% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 228.128
Group A
HyuN has a 27.47% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
TY has a 9.82% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Classic has a 99.95% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Rogue has a 64.86% chance to qualify for Blizzcon
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 202.093
Blizzcon Chances Lost
D > C > B > A
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +
Group D
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04%
Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.09%
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.41984
Group C
Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.32%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.699204
Group B
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11%
MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.511313
Group A
HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.34%
TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.54%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.85%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.65528
Maru's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
ByuL's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.04%
Stats's Blizzcon Chances changed by -1.09%
Zest's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.37%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 1.41984
Group C
Life's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
INnoVation's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.38%
sOs's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.32%
herO's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.699204
Group B
Rain's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Dream's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0%
Dear's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.11%
MyuNgSiK's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.62%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.511313
Group A
HyuN's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.34%
TY's Blizzcon Chances changed by -0.54%
Classic's Blizzcon Chances changed by 0.01%
Rogue's Blizzcon Chances changed by 1.85%
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -1.65528
Effects
A > D > C > B
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +
Group D
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.3%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.53%
When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.77%
When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.46%
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.19%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.82%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.0686
Group C
When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.06%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.81%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.75%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.0382
Group B
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.6%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.75%
When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.82%
When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.52%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6752
Group A
When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.87%
When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.48%
When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.78%
When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.94%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 18.04%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 81.9074
When Maru wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Maru loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When ByuL wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 8.3%
When ByuL loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.53%
When Stats wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 20.77%
When Stats loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.46%
When Zest wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 3.19%
When Zest loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 2.82%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 60.0686
Group C
When Life wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Life loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When INnoVation wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 9.06%
When INnoVation loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 11.42%
When sOs wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 17.81%
When sOs loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 16.75%
When herO wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When herO loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 55.0382
Group B
When Rain wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Rain loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Dream wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0%
When Dream loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0%
When Dear wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.6%
When Dear loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 9.75%
When MyuNgSiK wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.82%
When MyuNgSiK loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 5.52%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 36.6752
Group A
When HyuN wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 13.87%
When HyuN loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 13.48%
When TY wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 10.78%
When TY loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 7.94%
When Classic wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 0.05%
When Classic loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 0.08%
When Rogue wins this match, their Blizzcon Chances go up by 18.04%
When Rogue loses this match, their Blizzcon Chances go down by 17.66%
Giving this match an Effects Score of 81.9074
Aliglac Ratings
C > D > A > B
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +
Group D
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2294
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2091
Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2071
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2145
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8601
Group C
Life has an Aligulac rating of 2196
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2328
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2131
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8789
Group B
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2341
Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2103
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2068
MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1888
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8400
Group A
HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2133
TY has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8492
Maru has an Aligulac rating of 2294
ByuL has an Aligulac rating of 2091
Stats has an Aligulac rating of 2071
Zest has an Aligulac rating of 2145
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8601
Group C
Life has an Aligulac rating of 2196
INnoVation has an Aligulac rating of 2328
sOs has an Aligulac rating of 2134
herO has an Aligulac rating of 2131
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8789
Group B
Rain has an Aligulac rating of 2341
Dream has an Aligulac rating of 2103
Dear has an Aligulac rating of 2068
MyuNgSiK has an Aligulac rating of 1888
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8400
Group A
HyuN has an Aligulac rating of 2133
TY has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Classic has an Aligulac rating of 2229
Rogue has an Aligulac rating of 2065
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 8492
Final Placings
Group D has one 1st place, and four 2nd places
Group C has three 1st places, one 2nd place, and one 3rd place
Group B has three 3rd places, and two 4th places
Group A has one 1st place, one 3rd place, and three 4th places
Group C is our Group of Death, congratulations to Life, INnoVation, sOs, and herO! Our 2nd place Group of Death is Group D with Maru, ByuL, Stats, and Zest.
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WCS Challenger Matches Selected and IEM Shenzhen Groups Set!
Sunday, Jul 12 1:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2245)
WCS Challenger Matches Selected and IEM Shenzhen Groups Set!
Sunday, Jul 12 1:45am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2245)
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Matches Selected and IE…] +
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #2238 vs Sim ID #2245)
Biggest Winners
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
- herO is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5600, Median Points: 6500
- Life is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5275, Median Points: 5975
- Maru is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 5150, Median Points: 6175
- PartinG is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4625, Median Points: 5800
- Hydra is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4200, Median Points: 5050
- Dream is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4175, Median Points: 5000
- Rain is at 100%, 100% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 4125, Median Points: 5825
- Classic is at 99.97%, 98.02% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3325, Median Points: 4475
- Polt is at 98.95%, 93.17% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median Points: 3750
- Zest is at 98.21%, 57.44% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2950, Median Points: 3975
- ByuL is at 93.74%, 41.9% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2875, Median Points: 3625
- Rogue is at 71.52%, 1.08% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2525, Median Points: 3250
- INnoVation is at 61.22%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 3150
- Dark is at 60.43%, 0.14% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2425, Median Points: 3075
- sOs is at 55.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2200, Median Points: 3050
- Stats is at 40.21%, 0.02% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2350, Median Points: 2825
- HyuN is at 31.99%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1525, Median Points: 2625
- FanTaSy is at 27.52%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 2075, Median Points: 2600
- Bunny is at 22.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1950, Median Points: 2500
- Dear is at 21.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1625, Median Points: 2400
- MyuNgSiK is at 15.14%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 2325
- TY is at 12.89%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1650, Median Points: 2250
- ForGG is at 12.8%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1925
- Lilbow is at 10.06%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median Points: 1975
- Jaedong is at 9.42%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median Points: 2000
- Trap is at 7.12%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median Points: 1800
- GuMiho is at 6.85%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median Points: 2025
- Snute is at 6.45%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median Points: 1850
- Solar is at 5.1%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1650
- soO is at 5.03%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1600
- Bbyong is at 3.99%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1300, Median Points: 1675
- Curious is at 2.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median Points: 1650
- ShoWTimE is at 2.39%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median Points: 1500
- FireCake is at 1.61%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 975, Median Points: 1350
- MarineLorD is at 1.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 700, Median Points: 1075
- Soulkey is at 1.49%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1725, Median Points: 1850
- MMA is at 1.03%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median Points: 1400
- StarDust is at 0.92%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 650, Median Points: 1025
- MaNa is at 0.79%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 575, Median Points: 950
- Harstem is at 0.75%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 900, Median Points: 1275
- TLO is at 0.73%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median Points: 1500
- Flash is at 0.64%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 625, Median Points: 1000
- San is at 0.6%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 850, Median Points: 1225
- Bomber is at 0.58%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 925, Median Points: 1175
- Super is at 0.5%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median Points: 1275
- uThermal is at 0.43%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 525, Median Points: 900
- Sacsri is at 0.43%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 500, Median Points: 875
- Happy is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 250, Median Points: 600
- Petraeus is at 0.32%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 450, Median Points: 800
- Welmu is at 0.29%, 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 400, Median Points: 775
Right now we have 7 players locked in at 100% - herO, Life, Maru, Parting, Hydra, Dream, and Rain. And then Classic is up at 99.97%, with 97.95% AFK Chances.
The Point Cutoff for 90% chances right now is 3275 WCS Points, so I'll use that this for analysis. Keep in mind that minimum points already counts future guaranteed points.
Players who need 500 more points or less (2nd place at a Dreamhack or 8th at WCS for example) - Polt, Zest, and ByuL.
Players who need 750 (1st at a Dreamhack or 4th at WCS) - Rogue.
Players who need 1,400 (4th at WCS + 2nd at a Dreamhack) - Dark, Stats, sOs, INnoVation, FanTaSy, and Bunny.
Players who need 1,650 (4th at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - MyuNgSiK, Soulkey, TY, and Dear.
Players who need 2,000 (1st at WCS or 2nd at WCS + 1st at a Dreamhack) - GuMiho, HyuN, Lilbow, Jaedong, Trap, ForGG, Snute, and Bbyong.
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 45.22% down to 44.73%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 5.46% down to 5.28%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 0.14% down to 0.13%
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
0.87% of the time 2575 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
10.67% of the time 2775 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
28.88% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
48.62% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.06% of the time 3125 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.17% of the time 3275 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.96% of the time 3475 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +
WCS Challenger Season 3
SEA/OCE starts in ~
AM starts in
EU starts in
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----going from 12.8% to 15.48% if they get 1st, or 0.58% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 98.95% to 99.53% if they get 1st, or 97.18% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 10.06% to 13.56% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.17% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 9.42% to 13.41% if they get 1st, or 1.04% if they don't.
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----going from 1.6% to 2.36% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.32% to 0.5% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 22.14% to 30.86% if they get 1st, or 7.4% if they don't.
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----going from 0.26% to 0.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 6.45% to 10.21% if they get 1st, or 0.71% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 0.19% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.09% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.29% to 0.51% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.44% to 0.78% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.14% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.32% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 0.2% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.73% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
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----going from 2.39% to 4.58% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.61% to 3.16% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
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----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.79% to 1.65% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.75% to 1.55% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 0.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.12% to 0.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.13% to 0.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [KeSPA Cup 2 Winning Chances] +
KeSPA Cup 2 in ~
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----going from 60.43% to 77.13% if they get 1st, or 51.23% if they don't.
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----going from 5.03% to 7.37% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 0.64% to 1.32% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] +
WCS Premier Season 3 in ~
ForGG, Lilbow, Jaedong, MarineLorD, Snute, StarDust, MaNa, ShoWTimE, FireCake, uThermal, Harstem, TLO, and Kane must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 12.8% to 97.18% if they get 1st, or 4.1% if they don't.
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----going from 98.95% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.86% if they don't.
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----going from 10.06% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 4.45% if they don't.
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----going from 9.42% to 99.39% if they get 1st, or 5.01% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 1.59% to 34.37% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
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----going from 22.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 18.96% if they don't.
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----going from 0.27% to 7.17% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 6.46% to 98.65% if they get 1st, or 3.36% if they don't.
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----going from 0.32% to 9.48% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.29% to 9.15% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.92% to 27.85% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
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----going from 0.14% to 5.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.32% to 13.99% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.79% to 32.22% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 4.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 2.39% to 83.58% if they get 1st, or 0.82% if they don't.
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----going from 0.26% to 14.47% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.29% to 16.55% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 6.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 1.61% to 77.52% if they get 1st, or 0.47% if they don't.
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----going from 0.44% to 27.41% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
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----going from 0.17% to 11.53% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 9.75% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 10.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.09% to 9.56% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.05% to 6.12% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.1% to 12.14% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.06% to 7.95% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 2.42% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.75% to 71.59% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
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----going from 0.13% to 19.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 16.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 2.99% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.06% to 11.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 16.17% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.73% to 94.58% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't.
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----going from 0.12% to 29.93% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.97% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.57% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.47% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.34% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.02% to 9.16% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.28% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.35% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.65% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.38% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.3% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.76% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.44% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.74% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.82% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [GSL Code S Season 3] +
GSL Code S Season 3 (unscheduled)
soO, Solar, Trap, Bbyong, Curious, Flash, Sacsri, MMA, Bomber, San, Super, and Patience must win this tournament!
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
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----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 53.58% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 5.03% to 73.58% if they get 1st, or 1.73% if they don't.
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----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.14% if they don't.
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----going from 5.1% to 83.8% if they get 1st, or 1.68% if they don't.
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----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 59.58% if they don't.
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----going from 60.43% to 100% if they get 1st, or 58.8% if they don't.
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----going from 7.12% to 97.92% if they get 1st, or 3.45% if they don't.
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----going from 21.64% to 99.96% if they get 1st, or 18.84% if they don't.
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----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.54% if they don't.
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----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.75% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 3.99% to 96.31% if they get 1st, or 2.04% if they don't.
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----going from 31.99% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 30.7% if they don't.
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----going from 27.53% to 100% if they get 1st, or 26.15% if they don't.
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----going from 2.58% to 87.27% if they get 1st, or 1.28% if they don't.
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----going from 15.14% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 13.99% if they don't.
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----going from 6.85% to 99.92% if they get 1st, or 5.68% if they don't.
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----going from 0.64% to 39.67% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
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----going from 0.43% to 29.92% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
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----going from 1.03% to 75.87% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't.
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----going from 0.08% to 9.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.14% to 15.08% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
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----going from 0.11% to 14.05% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
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----going from 0.58% to 60.52% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.
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----going from 0.59% to 62.47% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 6.9% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.5% to 73.12% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 5.33% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 6.22% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 8.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.07% to 14.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.04% to 10.48% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.11% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.2% to 57.33% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.79% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 1.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.03% to 14.45% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.96% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 3.67% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
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----going from 0.01% to 2.77% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [SSL S3 Winning Chances] +
StarLeague Season 3 (unscheduled)
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 61.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 57.62% if they don't.
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----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.97% if they don't.
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----going from 98.22% to 100% if they get 1st, or 98.07% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 55.79% to 100% if they get 1st, or 52.99% if they don't.
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----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.
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----going from 31.99% to 99.69% if they get 1st, or 28.28% if they don't.
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----going from 40.21% to 100% if they get 1st, or 37.05% if they don't.
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----going from 21.64% to 99.48% if they get 1st, or 17.83% if they don't.
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----going from 93.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 93.44% if they don't.
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----going from 12.89% to 99.49% if they get 1st, or 9.28% if they don't.
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----going from 71.51% to 100% if they get 1st, or 70.34% if they don't.
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----going from 15.14% to 99.85% if they get 1st, or 13.45% if they don't.
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Season 2 Recap!
Tuesday, Jun 30 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2111)
Season 2 Recap!
Tuesday, Jun 30 3:00am GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #2111)
+ Show Spoiler [Season 2 Recap!] +
WCS Wars Season 2 is now open! Starting points is now 18,000 and the base cost for a player has been increased to 2,000 to counter the increasing gap between top players and lower players.
I just added ASUS Summer with 4 players qualified, added IEM Cologne and MSI, and removed 10 Placeholder tournaments (3 of those being for the tournaments added). Down to just 7 Placeholders now.
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 2 (Sim ID #1339 vs Sim ID #2111)
(from Tuesday, Apr 07 1:21am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Jun 29 10:51pm GMT (GMT+00:00))
Biggest Winners
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+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
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herO (CJ Entus) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 5350, Median WCS Points: 6575
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Life (KT) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 5025, Median WCS Points: 5875
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PartinG (Yoe) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 4725, Median WCS Points: 5675
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Maru (Jin Air) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 4525, Median WCS Points: 5825
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Hydra (ROOT) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 4250, Median WCS Points: 5075
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Rain (mYinsanity) is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 3900, Median WCS Points: 5075
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Dream (SKT T1) is at 99.99%, Min WCS Points: 3800, Median WCS Points: 4750
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Classic (SKT T1) is at 99.87%, Min WCS Points: 3025, Median WCS Points: 4500
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Polt (CM Storm) is at 99.8%, Min WCS Points: 3200, Median WCS Points: 3900
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ByuL (CJ Entus) is at 80.86%, Min WCS Points: 2375, Median WCS Points: 3350
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Zest (KT) is at 74.66%, Min WCS Points: 2450, Median WCS Points: 3250
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Rogue (Jin Air) is at 73.67%, Min WCS Points: 2300, Median WCS Points: 3225
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Dark (SKT T1) is at 68.76%, Min WCS Points: 2050, Median WCS Points: 3200
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Stats (KT) is at 43.69%, Min WCS Points: 2225, Median WCS Points: 2775
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FanTaSy (dPix) is at 43.21%, Min WCS Points: 2150, Median WCS Points: 2775
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sOs (Jin Air) is at 43.01%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 2725
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INnoVation (SKT T1) is at 31.99%, Min WCS Points: 1700, Median WCS Points: 2500
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Snute (Liquid) is at 28.37%, Min WCS Points: 1300, Median WCS Points: 2400
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Trap (Jin Air) is at 25.83%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 2275
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Bunny (Liquid) is at 23.73%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 2400
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TY (KT) is at 19.13%, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median WCS Points: 2250
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Lilbow (Millenium) is at 16.5%, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median WCS Points: 2075
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ForGG (Millenium) is at 15.98%, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median WCS Points: 2000
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Jaedong (EG) is at 13.21%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 2000
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Dear (Samsung) is at 10.18%, Min WCS Points: 1200, Median WCS Points: 1875
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HyuN (ROCCAT) is at 9.55%, Min WCS Points: 1125, Median WCS Points: 1800
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MyuNgSiK (SBENU) is at 9.51%, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median WCS Points: 2000
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Solar (Samsung) is at 9.31%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 1600
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GuMiho (MVP) is at 7.47%, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median WCS Points: 1925
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Bbyong (CJ Entus) is at 6.16%, Min WCS Points: 1300, Median WCS Points: 1775
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soO (SKT T1) is at 5.53%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1425
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Curious (SBENU) is at 5.19%, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median WCS Points: 1775
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Soulkey (TCM) is at 4.45%, Min WCS Points: 1825, Median WCS Points: 1975
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San (Yoe) is at 4.16%, Min WCS Points: 775, Median WCS Points: 1475
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StarDust is at 3.59%, Min WCS Points: 775, Median WCS Points: 1400
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TRUE (dPix) is at 2.9%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 1550
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MarineLorD (Millenium) is at 2.56%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1250
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MaNa (Liquid) is at 1.67%, Min WCS Points: 575, Median WCS Points: 1075
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TLO (Liquid) is at 1.48%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 1550
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Leenock (Yoe) is at 1.35%, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median WCS Points: 1400
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FireCake (PunchLine!) is at 1.2%, Min WCS Points: 850, Median WCS Points: 1200
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Super (KT) is at 1.2%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 1325
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Bomber (SBENU) is at 1.01%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 1275
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MMA (Acer) is at 0.85%, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median WCS Points: 1300
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Harstem (Invasion) is at 0.78%, Min WCS Points: 775, Median WCS Points: 1125
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Petraeus (mYinsanity) is at 0.65%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 875
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Flash (KT) is at 0.45%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 850
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MajOr is at 0.44%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 725
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ShoWTimE is at 0.42%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 1325
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viOLet (EnVy) is at 0.42%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 725
Two more players have locked in for Blizzcon! Hydra from 80.64% to 100%, Rain from 44.51% to 100%. Three more players are now over 99% - Dream at 99.99%, Classic at 99.87% with 84.37% AFK Chances, and Polt at 99.8% with 97.38% AFK Chances.
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 82.49% down to 63.98%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 39.41% down to 15.59%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 9.04% down to 1.08%
Chances of 4+ foreigners from 0.97% down to 0.01%
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
1.03% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
8.98% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
30.64% of the time 2800 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.75% of the time 2900 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
68.92% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.28% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.04% of the time 3400 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Closest to 99% went from 3425 points down to 3400 points.
Closest to 50% went from 2925 points down to 2900 points.
Closest to 1% stayed at 2500 points.
+ Show Spoiler [Races] +
Protoss went from 34.23% up to 39.79%
Terran went from 37.86% down to 28.42%
Zerg went from 27.91% up to 31.79%
Random is still at 0.01%
+ Show Spoiler [Countries] +
Korea 94.96% up from 91.75%
Norway 1.78% up from 1.7%
Denmark 1.48% down from 1.7%
France 1.27% up from 0.41%
Germany 0.14% down from 1.12%
Poland 0.11% down from 0.31%
Netherlands 0.07% from 0.07%
Canada 0.05% down from 0.39%
New Zealand 0.04% up from 0.02%
+ Show Spoiler [Teams] +
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players.)
SKT T1 19.15% up from 13.64%
Jin Air 15.18% down from 15.44%
KT 14.95% down from 15.13%
CJ Entus 11.7% up from 9.89%
Yoe 6.6% down from 7.03%
mYinsanity 6.33% up from 3.33%
ROOT 6.29% up from 5.18%
CM Storm 6.24% up from 5.92%
Liquid 3.47% down from 3.62%
Dead Pixels 2.89% up from 1.76%
WCS Qualifiers Season 3 starts in ~
Players who would go over 0.01% Blizzcon Chances if they qualify
12.03% of the time.
ShoWTimE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change ShoWTimE's chances
from 0.42% to 2.33%
12.35% of the time.
Happy gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Happy's chances
from 0.07% to 0.53%
12.26% of the time.
NaNiwa gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change NaNiwa's chances
from 0.06% to 0.44%
11.85% of the time.
uThermal gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change uThermal's chances
from 0.05% to 0.37%
12.13% of the time.
PtitDrogo gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change PtitDrogo's chances
from 0.04% to 0.33%
+ Show Spoiler [More] +
12.31% of the time.
Nerchio gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Nerchio's chances
from 0.04% to 0.28%
12.03% of the time.
TargA gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change TargA's chances
from 0.03% to 0.27%
12.22% of the time.
HeRoMaRinE gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change HeRoMaRinE's chances
from 0.03% to 0.25%
11.85% of the time.
Serral gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Serral's chances
from 0.03% to 0.23%
12.42% of the time.
PiG gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change PiG's chances
from 0.03% to 0.21%
11.8% of the time.
Welmu gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Welmu's chances
from 0.02% to 0.19%
13.08% of the time.
Scarlett gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Scarlett's chances
from 0.02% to 0.13%
11.83% of the time.
Zanster gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Zanster's chances
from 0.02% to 0.13%
12.39% of the time.
HuK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change HuK's chances
from 0.01% to 0.05%
11.62% of the time.
Verdi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Verdi's chances
from 0.01% to 0.04%
11.6% of the time.
Bly gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Bly's chances
from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.36% of the time.
Beastyqt gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Beastyqt's chances
from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.01% of the time.
KingKong gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change KingKong's chances
from 0.01% to 0.03%
12.37% of the time.
qxc gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change qxc's chances
from 0.01% to 0.03%
11.39% of the time.
Kas gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Kas's chances
from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.31% of the time.
Dayshi gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Dayshi's chances
from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.12% of the time.
puCK gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change puCK's chances
from 0.01% to 0.02%
12.39% of the time.
Bails gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Bails's chances
from 0.01% to 0.02%
11.3% of the time.
Boombox gets 1st place in WCS Qualifiers Season 3
This would change Boombox's chances
from 0.01% to 0.02%
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The WCS Wars Season 2 Awards!
The WCS Wars Season 2 Awards!
+ Show Spoiler [WCS Wars Season 2 Awards] +
Congratulations to karl1ok for winning the first place trophy! Let me know if you want the TL+ or Reddit Gold prize. And lukasus for winning the 2nd place trophy! These will stay next to your usernames forever!
Here's a bunch of stats!
Final Leaderboard
#1 karl1ok's team is worth 16,110 WCS Points with
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#2 lukasus's team is worth 15,670 WCS Points with
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#3 sadeiko's team is worth 15,475 WCS Points with
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#4 Sakat's team is worth 14,453 WCS Points with
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#5 Darkdwarf's team is worth 14,267 WCS Points with
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+ Show Spoiler [More Users] +
#6 patton's team is worth 14,260 WCS Points with
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#7 GYM's team is worth 14,225 WCS Points with
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#8 Die4Ever's team is worth 14,127 WCS Points with
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#9 FloW's team is worth 14,125 WCS Points with
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#10 samsungjackets's team is worth 14,100 WCS Points with
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#11 Sephrenya's team is worth 14,086 WCS Points with
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#12 Solar424's team is worth 13,750 WCS Points with
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#13 sharkie's team is worth 13,648 WCS Points with
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#14 Darkened's team is worth 13,642 WCS Points with
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#15 stardust's team is worth 13,525 WCS Points with
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#16 loves_to_69's team is worth 13,250 WCS Points with
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#17 Season 1 2nd Place
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#18 OtherWorld's team is worth 13,216 WCS Points with
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#19 SkyHigh's team is worth 12,950 WCS Points with
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#20 Surfacing's team is worth 12,925 WCS Points with
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#21 Alurian's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with
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#22 80hd10's team is worth 12,800 WCS Points with
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#23 Bockwurst's team is worth 12,713 WCS Points with
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#24 samsara's team is worth 12,409 WCS Points with
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#25 Universe's team is worth 12,325 WCS Points with
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#26 Tofu33's team is worth 12,204 WCS Points with
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#27 edwahn's team is worth 12,132 WCS Points with
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#28 LYLY's team is worth 12,125 WCS Points with
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#29 temponly's team is worth 12,100 WCS Points with
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#30 WaspVenoM's team is worth 11,900 WCS Points with
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#31 adalander's team is worth 11,879 WCS Points with
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#32 collo's team is worth 11,775 WCS Points with
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#33 daffe's team is worth 11,575 WCS Points with
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#34 ch1ll1ng's team is worth 11,450 WCS Points with
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#35 Asmiran's team is worth 11,225 WCS Points with
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#36 Swisslink's team is worth 11,175 WCS Points with
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#37 Magnuz's team is worth 11,100 WCS Points with
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#38 seph's team is worth 11,050 WCS Points with
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#39 KatatoniK's team is worth 11,000 WCS Points with
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#40 invisigoat's team is worth 10,783 WCS Points with
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#41 Xithryl's team is worth 10,750 WCS Points with
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#42 denon39's team is worth 10,750 WCS Points with
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#43 Sargeo's team is worth 10,658 WCS Points with
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#44 Topher's team is worth 10,350 WCS Points with
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#45 The_Templar's team is worth 10,075 WCS Points with
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#46 JackBeckman's team is worth 9,800 WCS Points with
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#47 Darquess's team is worth 9,650 WCS Points with
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Best Trades
#1 karl1ok gained 3200 points from
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#2 sadeiko gained 3200 points from
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#3 FloW gained 2575 points from
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#4 Darkdwarf gained 2575 points from
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#5 patton gained 2250 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Trades] +
#6 lukasus gained 2125 points from
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#7 Alurian gained 1900 points from
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#8 Solar424 gained 1775 points from
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#9 Die4Ever gained 1725 points from
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#10 Sakat gained 1550 points from
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#11 GYM gained 1550 points from
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#12 samsungjackets gained 1450 points from
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#13 sharkie gained 1350 points from
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#14 edwahn gained 1350 points from
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#15 loves_to_69 gained 1325 points from
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#16 Bockwurst gained 1325 points from
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#17 Sakat gained 1325 points from
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#18 lukasus gained 1286 points from
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#19 stardust gained 1150 points from
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#20 Solar424 gained 1125 points from
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Worst Trades
#1 Darkened lost 1223 points from
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#2 Darkened lost 1074 points from
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#3 Xithryl lost 1050 points from
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#4 JackBeckman lost 1050 points from
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#5 daffe lost 1050 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Worst Trades] +
#6 denon39 lost 1050 points from
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#7 The_Templar lost 1050 points from
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#8 Darquess lost 1050 points from
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#9 sharkie lost 1025 points from
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#10 edwahn lost 1000 points from
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#11 seph lost 975 points from
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#12 Die4Ever lost 882 points from
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#13 Sephrenya lost 875 points from
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#14 Topher lost 875 points from
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#15 patton lost 850 points from
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#16 Tofu33 lost 850 points from
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#17 Magnuz lost 850 points from
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#18 Swisslink lost 825 points from
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#19 Darkdwarf lost 797 points from
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#20 Topher lost 775 points from
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Quickest Profitable Sales
#1 Sephrenya gained 411 points from
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#2 Sephrenya gained 298 points from
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#3 OtherWorld gained 298 points from
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#4 sharkie gained 331 points from
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#5 Sephrenya gained 56 points from
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#6 Sephrenya gained 101 points from
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#7 sharkie gained 372 points from
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#8 Darkened gained 1075 points from
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#9 Darkened gained 218 points from
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#10 OtherWorld gained 173 points from
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+ Show Spoiler [More Quickest Profits] +
#11 sharkie gained 325 points from
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#12 Die4Ever gained 374 points from
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#13 sharkie gained 125 points from
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#14 sharkie gained 174 points from
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#15 sharkie gained 24 points from
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#16 Sephrenya gained 199 points from
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#17 Sephrenya gained 173 points from
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#18 Die4Ever gained 282 points from
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#19 OtherWorld gained 170 points from
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#20 sharkie gained 194 points from
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Point Givers
Players who gave the most points to users total
Players who gave the most points to users total
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Givers] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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Point Takers
Players who lost the most points for users total (dat ForGG tho)
Players who lost the most points for users total (dat ForGG tho)
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Takers] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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Most Sales
#1 OtherWorld with 53 sales
#2 Darkened with 45 sales
#3 sharkie with 41 sales
#4 Sephrenya with 20 sales
#5 Die4Ever with 14 sales
+ Show Spoiler [More Most Sales] +
#6 patton with 8 sales
#7 karl1ok with 8 sales
#8 lukasus with 8 sales
#9 Bockwurst with 7 sales
#10 ch1ll1ng with 7 sales
#11 Tofu33 with 6 sales
#12 Sakat with 6 sales
#13 invisigoat with 6 sales
#14 Darkdwarf with 6 sales
#15 Sargeo with 6 sales
#16 edwahn with 5 sales
#17 adalander with 5 sales
#18 80hd10 with 5 sales
#19 Solar424 with 5 sales
#20 Darquess with 5 sales
Most Bought Players
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Most Bought] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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Best Possible Trades
This list uses a complex filter to reduce duplicates based on the player and the time period
This list uses a complex filter to reduce duplicates based on the player and the time period
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Possible Trades] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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Untapped Potential
The best possible trades for players that no one ever bought
The best possible trades for players that no one ever bought
#1
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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+ Show Spoiler [More Untapped Potential] +
#6
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#7
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#8
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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#13
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#14
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#15
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#16
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#17
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#18
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#19
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#20
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Best Timing
and what could've been
and what could've been
#1 sadeiko with
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#2 karl1ok with
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#3 FloW with
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#4 Darkdwarf with
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#5 patton with
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+ Show Spoiler [More Best Timings] +
#6 lukasus with
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#7 Die4Ever with
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#8 Alurian with
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#9 sharkie with
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#10 Solar424 with
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#11 Sakat with
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#12 GYM with
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#13 loves_to_69 with
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#14 edwahn with
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#15 SkyHigh with
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#16 Darkened with
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#17 stardust with
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#18 Season 1 2nd Place
![[image loading]](http://sc2.4ever.tv/img/trophy-silver-icon.png)
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#19 karl1ok with
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#20 Sakat with
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Worst Timing
look on the bright side, you could've lost more
look on the bright side, you could've lost more
#1 Darkened with
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#2 Darkened with
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#3 sharkie with
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#4 Xithryl with
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#5 JackBeckman with
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+ Show Spoiler [More Worst Timings] +
#6 daffe with
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#7 denon39 with
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#8 The_Templar with
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#9 Darquess with
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#10 edwahn with
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#11 Die4Ever with
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#12 seph with
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#13 patton with
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#14 Sephrenya with
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#15 Topher with
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#16 Magnuz with
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#17 Tofu33 with
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#18 Topher with
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#19 Swisslink with
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#20 OtherWorld with
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Look forward to the start of season 3 in .
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Season 1 Completed!
Monday, Apr 06 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1338)
Season 1 Completed!
Monday, Apr 06 9:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #1338)
+ Show Spoiler [Season 1 Completed] +
Biggest Winners and Losers during Season 1 (Sim ID #1079 vs Sim ID #1338)
(from Tuesday, Nov 18 5:22am GMT (GMT+00:00) to Monday, Apr 06 7:21pm GMT (GMT+00:00))
Biggest Winners
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+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +
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Biggest Losers
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+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances] +
-
Life (KT), is at 100%, Min WCS Points: 4100, Median WCS Points: 6900
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Maru (Jin Air), is at 99.99%, Min WCS Points: 3650, Median WCS Points: 6000
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herO (CJ Entus), is at 99.99%, Min WCS Points: 3275, Median WCS Points: 5900
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PartinG (Yoe), is at 99.82%, Min WCS Points: 2675, Median WCS Points: 6100
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Polt (CM Storm), is at 94.74%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 4200
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Hydra (ROOT), is at 80.61%, Min WCS Points: 1875, Median WCS Points: 3825
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Dream (SKT T1), is at 78.51%, Min WCS Points: 2000, Median WCS Points: 3575
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INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 70.27%, Min WCS Points: 1450, Median WCS Points: 3525
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Zest (KT), is at 65.78%, Min WCS Points: 1925, Median WCS Points: 3225
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ForGG (Millenium), is at 59.03%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3225
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Soulkey (TCM), is at 53.45%, Min WCS Points: 1475, Median WCS Points: 2975
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Trap (Jin Air), is at 48.68%, Min WCS Points: 1150, Median WCS Points: 2850
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Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 47.78%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2825
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Rogue (Jin Air), is at 46.57%, Min WCS Points: 1550, Median WCS Points: 2825
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Rain (mYinsanity), is at 44.52%, Min WCS Points: 1400, Median WCS Points: 2750
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Stats (KT), is at 39.74%, Min WCS Points: 1325, Median WCS Points: 2625
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sOs (Jin Air), is at 38.2%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 2550
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Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.68%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 2575
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Dear (Samsung), is at 29.86%, Min WCS Points: 850, Median WCS Points: 2300
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Bunny (Liquid), is at 27.29%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 2275
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FanTaSy (dPix), is at 25.99%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2300
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TY (KT), is at 25.72%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2325
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soO (SKT T1), is at 24.15%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 2075
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Snute (Liquid), is at 22.56%, Min WCS Points: 900, Median WCS Points: 2150
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MMA (Acer), is at 21.04%, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median WCS Points: 2175
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Solar (Samsung), is at 16.61%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1950
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ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 15.59%, Min WCS Points: 950, Median WCS Points: 1950
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GuMiho (Invasion), is at 10.91%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1750
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Leenock (Yoe), is at 9.9%, Min WCS Points: 900, Median WCS Points: 1750
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NaNiwa (prOperty), is at 9.49%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1425
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ByuL (CJ Entus), is at 8.99%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1425
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Bomber, is at 8.32%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1550
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HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 8.25%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1375
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Terminator (Jin Air), is at 7.69%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1750
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Super (Invasion), is at 7.63%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1725
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Classic (SKT T1), is at 7.62%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1500
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Hurricane (Samsung), is at 7.33%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1325
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MajOr, is at 6.88%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1350
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Happy, is at 5.71%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1225
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viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.01%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1250
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FireCake (PunchLine!), is at 4.88%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 1350
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TargA (Imaginary), is at 4.61%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1250
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YoDa (Prime), is at 4.5%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 1375
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Cure (Jin Air), is at 4.47%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1225
-
MaNa (Liquid), is at 4.46%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1250
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Kane (mYinsanity), is at 3.64%, Min WCS Points: 650, Median WCS Points: 1400
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PiG (x5), is at 3.02%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1200
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Flash (KT), is at 2.84%, Min WCS Points: 100, Median WCS Points: 1000
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Serral (mYinsanity), is at 2.83%, Min WCS Points: 450, Median WCS Points: 1200
-
MarineKing (MVP), is at 2.75%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1375
+ Show Spoiler [Foreigner Hope] +
There were big drops late last year with the point structure being announced and weighting SSL qualifiers towards high Korean attendance.
Chances of 1+ foreigners from 99.72% down to 82.52%
Chances of 2+ foreigners from 96.77% down to 39.44%
Chances of 3+ foreigners from 84.78% down to 9.05%
Chances of 4+ foreigners from 59.69% down to 0.97%
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+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +
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+ Show Spoiler [Headbands] +
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Defense History
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+ Show Spoiler [More Defense History] +
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+ Show Spoiler [WCS Point Cutoffs] +
1.01% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.59% of the time 2675 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
31.04% of the time 2825 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.66% of the time 2925 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
69.62% of the time 3025 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
88.96% of the time 3175 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.03% of the time 3425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
+ Show Spoiler [Races] +
Protoss went from 34.24% down to 34.23%
Terran went from 35.72% up to 37.86%
Zerg went from 29.45% down to 27.9%
Random went from 0.59% down to 0.01%
+ Show Spoiler [Countries] +
Korea 91.75% up from 73.37%
Denmark 1.71% up from 0.81%
Norway 1.7% up from 0.95%
Germany 1.12% down from 1.34%
Sweden 0.65% down from 0.8%
Mexico 0.43% down from 1.93%
France 0.41% down from 1.36%
Canada 0.39% down from 3.44%
Russia 0.36% down from 0.94%
Finland 0.33% down from 0.42%
Poland 0.32% down from 1.2%
Australia 0.23% up from 0.07%
China 0.21% down from 3.5%
Taiwan 0.19% up from 0.08%
Netherlands 0.07% down from 0.51%
United States 0.05% down from 1.48%
Ukraine 0.02% down from 0.76%
New Zealand 0.02% down from 0.1%
United Kingdom 0.02% down from 0.83%
Spain 0.01% down from 0.91%
Brazil 0.01% from 0.01%
+ Show Spoiler [Teams] +
(Unfortunately WCS Predictor does not remember old teams for players, so in this comparison it considers Life as part of KT before and now.)
Jin Air 15.44% up from 7.51%
KT 14.66% up from 11.46%
SKT T1 13.61% up from 6.61%
CJ Entus 9.89% up from 6.8%
Yoe 7.03% up from 4.59%
CM Storm 5.92% up from 2.08%
ROOT 5.18% up from 2.28%
Millenium 3.79% up from 3.51%
Liquid 3.62% down from 4.74%
Samsung 3.39% down from 5.52%
mYinsanity 3.34% down from 5.49%
TCM 3.34% up from 1.15%
dPix 1.76% up from 1.38%
Teamless 1.52% down from 9.65%
Acer 1.37% down from 3.75%
Invasion 1.17% down from 1.91%
aTn 0.97% up from 0.35%
prOperty 0.65% up from 0.5%
Prime 0.58% down from 2.07%
ROCCAT 0.52% down from 1.22%
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Season 1 OP http://sc2.4ever.tv/op_s1.txt
Season 2 OP http://sc2.4ever.tv/op_s2.txt
You can also see the old updates throughout the thread.