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Life is the first player to have AFK Chances!
Because of all the tournaments he's already in and the placeholder tournaments, it is very unlikely that Life fails to earn any more WCS Points, so it didn't show up until the simulation had over 20 million samples. He's right now at 0.64% AFK Chances (1 out of just 156 samples). This means that if Life doesn't earn any more points, and just sits with his 2400 WCS Points, he has a 0.64% chance of still making it to Blizzcon.
Of course this stat isn't very useful yet, but it will help a lot towards the end of the year for similar situations as Jaedong and sOs had at the end of last year.
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On February 17 2015 00:44 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote: Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia? Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet. I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2.
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On February 27 2015 06:51 Dingodile wrote:Show nested quote +On February 17 2015 00:44 Die4Ever wrote:On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote: Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia? Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet. I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2. Reading on Liquipedia it says the seeding is the same as last year and seems to agree with how I do it for NSSL and GSL.
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Have the GFinity seeds been put into the latest simulation?
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Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :|
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MC failed me, I'm so salty >.<
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On February 28 2015 17:10 sharkie wrote: Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :| yea I'd say Life is doing pretty well now lol
On February 28 2015 17:19 OtherWorld wrote: MC failed me, I'm so salty >.< you thought MC was gonna win that group??? I love MC but...
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On March 01 2015 04:09 Die4Ever wrote:Show nested quote +On February 28 2015 17:10 sharkie wrote: Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :| yea I'd say Life is doing pretty well now lol you thought MC was gonna win that group??? I love MC but... I thought MC would win Code S back when the Ro32 groups were drawn. Everything was in line for it to happen. But then he joined dem Trig scammers instead of a Korean team >.<
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This is tough now, with WCS going on such a huge break (after today) I need to buy players in GSL/NSSL/IEM, those are all tough to predict. I might just sell all my players and buy Life lol, but even that could go wrong.
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--------UPDATE Sunday, Mar 01 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro32 Complete! (Sim #1253) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
- Life (KT), is at 99.98%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7100
- herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.53%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4925
- Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.41%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5275
- INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 79.08%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
- PartinG (Yoe), is at 77.43%, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median WCS Points: 3625
- Stats (KT), is at 70.24%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
- ForGG (Millenium), is at 70.22%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3550
- Hydra (ROOT), is at 67.62%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3400
- Dream (SKT T1), is at 67.16%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
- Rogue (Jin Air), is at 65.76%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
- Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.3%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
- TY (KT), is at 56.62%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
- Solar (Samsung), is at 55.77%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
- Snute (Liquid), is at 38.25%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2350
- Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.73%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
- MMA (Acer), is at 36.08%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2325
- Dear (Samsung), is at 35.97%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
- Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.44%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
- GuMiho (Invasion), is at 24.54%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2000
- TaeJa (Liquid), is at 24.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1850
- Bunny (Liquid), is at 23.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1850
- Super (Invasion), is at 23.05%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
- Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.89%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2075
- Zest (KT), is at 19.56%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1750
- FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.33%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
- sOs (Jin Air), is at 16.32%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1750
- Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.17%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
- Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 15.88%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1675
- Trap (Jin Air), is at 15.34%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1525
- Bomber, is at 14.99%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1650
- HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.93%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
- Cure (Jin Air), is at 12.39%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- PiG (x5), is at 10.91%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
- ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- MajOr, is at 10.25%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1325
- MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.72%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
- Leenock (Yoe), is at 8.75%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1450
- Happy, is at 7.91%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
- YoDa (Prime), is at 7.79%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
- NaNiwa, is at 7.52%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
- Flash (KT), is at 6.28%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1125
- TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.9%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
- viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.89%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
- First (KT), is at 5.54%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1200
- San (Yoe), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1125
- Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
- Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.6%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
- MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.26%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1350
- Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.23%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
- soO (SKT T1), is at 3.61%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Full Player List Life is at 1.04% AFK Chances, herO is at 0.48% AFK Chances.
Biggest Winners and Losers since before WCS Premier ro32 (Sim ID #1226 vs Sim ID #1253) Biggest Winners Hydra went up by 17.85%, going from 49.77% to 67.62% INnoVation went up by 13.88%, going from 65.2% to 79.08% Dark went up by 13.79%, going from 22.94% to 36.73% Trap went up by 13.64%, going from 1.7% to 15.34% Rogue went up by 13.21%, going from 52.55% to 65.76% Solar went up by 11.66%, going from 44.11% to 55.77% FanTaSy went up by 9.86%, going from 7.46% to 17.33% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] + PartinG went up by 8.83%, going from 68.6% to 77.43% Bbyong went up by 8.51%, going from 7.37% to 15.88% Cure went up by 6.67%, going from 5.72% to 12.39% Bunny went up by 6.5%, going from 16.95% to 23.45% Dream went up by 3.65%, going from 63.51% to 67.16% herO went up by 2.51%, going from 96.02% to 98.53% Welmu went up by 1.86%, going from 1.62% to 3.48% Patience went up by 1.84%, going from 0.73% to 2.57% MMA went up by 0.7%, going from 35.38% to 36.08% HyuN went up by 0.68%, going from 12.25% to 12.93% Hack went up by 0.65%, going from 0.73% to 1.38% Sacsri went up by 0.62%, going from 1.33% to 1.95% sKyHigh went up by 0.39%, going from 0.58% to 0.97% Stats went up by 0.35%, going from 69.88% to 70.24% Life went up by 0.28%, going from 99.7% to 99.98% MacSed went up by 0.26%, going from 0.62% to 0.88% ShoWTimE went up by 0.19%, going from 10.25% to 10.45% HeRoMaRinE went up by 0.16%, going from 0.61% to 0.78% MyuNgSiK went up by 0.13%, going from 1.14% to 1.28% Curious went up by 0.12%, going from 1.54% to 1.66% YongHwa went up by 0.12%, going from 1.15% to 1.27% Lilbow went up by 0.1%, going from 1.74% to 1.85%
Biggest Losers Super went down by 25.24%, going from 48.28% to 23.05% Rain went down by 22.78%, going from 83.08% to 60.3% Dear went down by 16.89%, going from 52.85% to 35.97% TaeJa went down by 7.33%, going from 31.51% to 24.18% GuMiho went down by 5.57%, going from 30.11% to 24.54% MC went down by 4.8%, going from 6.99% to 2.2% Zest went down by 3.95%, going from 23.52% to 19.56% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] + First went down by 3.26%, going from 8.8% to 5.54% HuK went down by 3.11%, going from 4.92% to 1.81% MaNa went down by 2.94%, going from 12.65% to 9.72% San went down by 2.54%, going from 7.19% to 4.64% ForGG went down by 2.47%, going from 72.69% to 70.22% Polt went down by 2.46%, going from 36.9% to 34.44% Soulkey went down by 2.43%, going from 25.32% to 22.89% YoDa went down by 2.06%, going from 9.84% to 7.79% TY went down by 1.93%, going from 58.55% to 56.62% Leenock went down by 1.84%, going from 10.58% to 8.75% Classic went down by 1.83%, going from 6.06% to 4.23% Jaedong went down by 1.76%, going from 4.82% to 3.07% sOs went down by 1.58%, going from 17.9% to 16.32% PiG went down by 1.28%, going from 12.2% to 10.91% Flash went down by 1.27%, going from 7.54% to 6.28% Bomber went down by 1.24%, going from 16.22% to 14.99% Serral went down by 1.15%, going from 5.79% to 4.64% Losira went down by 1.01%, going from 2.01% to 0.99% Maru went down by 0.97%, going from 99.38% to 98.41% iaguz went down by 0.96%, going from 1.66% to 0.7% Happy went down by 0.8%, going from 8.71% to 7.91% TRUE went down by 0.76%, going from 4.06% to 3.3% soO went down by 0.75%, going from 4.37% to 3.61% TargA went down by 0.71%, going from 6.61% to 5.9% MorroW went down by 0.66%, going from 1.67% to 1.01% Hurricane went down by 0.65%, going from 2.57% to 1.92% Terminator went down by 0.62%, going from 16.78% to 16.17% MajOr went down by 0.61%, going from 10.86% to 10.25% MarineKing went down by 0.6%, going from 4.86% to 4.26% Sora went down by 0.56%, going from 2.01% to 1.45% Trust went down by 0.55%, going from 1.4% to 0.85% viOLet went down by 0.51%, going from 6.4% to 5.89% jjakji went down by 0.51%, going from 2.23% to 1.73% Kane went down by 0.47%, going from 5.07% to 4.6% uThermal went down by 0.45%, going from 1.36% to 0.91% Has went down by 0.38%, going from 2.44% to 2.06% NaNiwa went down by 0.36%, going from 7.88% to 7.52% Sen went down by 0.33%, going from 2.45% to 2.12% iAsonu went down by 0.3%, going from 0.48% to 0.18% VortiX went down by 0.28%, going from 2.04% to 1.76% Heart went down by 0.27%, going from 1.24% to 0.97% Jim went down by 0.27%, going from 2.2% to 1.93% TLO went down by 0.26%, going from 2.3% to 2.05%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.44% Chances of 2+ foreigners 53.04% Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.72% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.64%
Snute 10.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.25% chance overall. Bunny 5.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.45% chance overall. PiG 2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.91% chance overall. ShoWTimE 2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.45% chance overall. MajOr 2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.25% chance overall. MaNa 1.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.72% chance overall. Happy 1.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.91% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + NaNiwa 1.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.52% chance overall. TargA 1.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.9% chance overall. Serral 0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.64% chance overall. Kane 0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.6% chance overall. Welmu 0.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.48% chance overall. Sen 0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.12% chance overall. Has 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.06% chance overall. TLO 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall. Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. HuK 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.81% chance overall. Lilbow 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.85% chance overall. VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall. MorroW 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. Nerchio 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall. uThermal 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall. MacSed 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.88% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. XiGua 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. iaguz 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall. MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall. puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall. Boombox 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.9% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.18% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.92% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 51.04% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 70.44% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.84% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.97% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances ForGG has a 21.89% chance to win ----going from 70.22% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 75.77% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.11% chance to win ----going from 67.61% to 97.81% if they get 1st, or 75.15% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 12.99% chance to win ----going from 38.25% to 89.73% if they get 1st, or 46.1% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.55% chance to win ----going from 23.45% to 76.08% if they get 1st, or 29.76% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.28% chance to win ----going from 34.44% to 90.83% if they get 1st, or 46.48% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + PiG has a 5.62% chance to win ----going from 10.91% to 63.78% if they get 1st, or 15.84% if they get 2nd. ShoWTimE has a 5.33% chance to win ----going from 10.44% to 62.16% if they get 1st, or 15.4% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.88% chance to win ----going from 9.72% to 60.79% if they get 1st, or 14.62% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 2.88% chance to win ----going from 4.64% to 51.88% if they get 1st, or 3.24% if they don't. Kane has a 2.6% chance to win ----going from 4.61% to 53.85% if they get 1st, or 3.29% if they don't. Welmu has a 2.21% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 48.08% if they get 1st, or 2.48% if they don't. TLO has a 1.54% chance to win ----going from 2.05% to 43.91% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't. Has has a 1.36% chance to win ----going from 2.06% to 46.65% if they get 1st, or 1.45% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.74% chance to win ----going from 0.88% to 38.54% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.7% chance to win ----going from 0.75% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.32% chance to win ----going from 0.22% to 25.11% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! -----------------------
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--------UPDATE Monday, Mar 02 8:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro16 Groups Drawn! (Sim #1255) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
- Life (KT), is at 99.97%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7100
- herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.55%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4950
- Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.3%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5250
- INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 78.98%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
- PartinG (Yoe), is at 78.87%, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median WCS Points: 3725
- ForGG (Millenium), is at 71.16%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3575
- Stats (KT), is at 69.96%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
- Hydra (ROOT), is at 68.12%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3400
- Dream (SKT T1), is at 67.06%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
- Rogue (Jin Air), is at 66.52%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3175
- Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.28%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
- TY (KT), is at 56.41%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
- Solar (Samsung), is at 55.97%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
- Snute (Liquid), is at 38.88%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2375
- Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.46%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
- Dear (Samsung), is at 35.86%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
- MMA (Acer), is at 34.43%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2300
- Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.19%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
- GuMiho (Invasion), is at 24.3%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2000
- TaeJa (Liquid), is at 23.99%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1850
- Super (Invasion), is at 22.93%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
- Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.66%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2050
- Bunny (Liquid), is at 22.2%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1800
- Trap (Jin Air), is at 20.46%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1700
- Zest (KT), is at 19.36%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1750
- FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.25%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
- Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.09%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
- Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 15.82%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1675
- sOs (Jin Air), is at 15.4%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1725
- Bomber, is at 14.82%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1625
- HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.74%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
- Cure (Jin Air), is at 11.8%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.53%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- MajOr, is at 10.26%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1350
- PiG (x5), is at 10.2%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.15%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1350
- Leenock (Yoe), is at 8.3%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1450
- Happy, is at 7.92%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
- YoDa (Prime), is at 7.76%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
- NaNiwa, is at 7.56%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
- Flash (KT), is at 6.16%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1100
- TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.92%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
- viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.91%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
- First (KT), is at 5.57%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1200
- Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.86%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1250
- MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.81%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1375
- Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.79%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
- San (Yoe), is at 4.31%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1100
- Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.2%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
- soO (SKT T1), is at 3.56%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Full Player List
Biggest Winners and Losers from drawing WCS Premier ro16 groups (Sim ID #1254 vs Sim ID #1255) Biggest Winners ForGG went up by 0.89%, going from 70.27% to 71.16% Snute went up by 0.77%, going from 38.11% to 38.88% Hydra went up by 0.48%, going from 67.64% to 68.12% Bunny went up by 0.26%, going from 21.94% to 22.2% Kane went up by 0.22%, going from 4.64% to 4.86% Serral went up by 0.12%, going from 4.67% to 4.79%
Biggest Losers PiG went down by 0.84%, going from 11.04% to 10.2% MaNa went down by 0.64%, going from 9.8% to 9.15% Polt went down by 0.25%, going from 34.44% to 34.19%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.18% Chances of 2+ foreigners 52.31% Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.17% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.49%
Snute 11.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.88% chance overall. Bunny 5.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.2% chance overall. ShoWTimE 2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.53% chance overall. MajOr 2.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.26% chance overall. PiG 2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.2% chance overall. MaNa 1.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.15% chance overall. Happy 1.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.92% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + NaNiwa 1.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.56% chance overall. TargA 1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall. Kane 0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.86% chance overall. Serral 0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.79% chance overall. Welmu 0.71% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.5% chance overall. Sen 0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall. Has 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall. TLO 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall. HuK 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.83% chance overall. Lilbow 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall. VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.74% chance overall. MorroW 0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall. uThermal 0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.92% chance overall. Nerchio 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall. MacSed 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. XiGua 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall. iaguz 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall. MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall. Boombox 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.87% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 8.92% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 30.36% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 50.36% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 69.81% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 89.48% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 98.91% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
WCS Premier Ro16 Match Previews + Show Spoiler [Match Previews] + Serral, XiGua, TLO, and ForGG in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Serral is at 4.79% Blizzcon Chances. 52.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.19%. 47.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.16%. TLO is at 1.98% Blizzcon Chances. 38.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%. 61.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%. XiGua is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances. 33.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.54%. 66.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%. ForGG is at 71.19% Blizzcon Chances. 75.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.24%. 24.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.71%. Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimE in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Snute is at 38.87% Blizzcon Chances. 70.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.35%. 29.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.52%. PiG is at 10.21% Blizzcon Chances. 46.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.8%. 53.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.4%. MacSed is at 0.79% Blizzcon Chances. 27.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%. 72.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%. ShoWTimE is at 10.52% Blizzcon Chances. 55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.69%. 44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.29%. Hydra, FireCake, MaNa, and Polt in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Hydra is at 68.12% Blizzcon Chances. 72.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.15%. 27.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.52%. MaNa is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances. 44.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.34%. 55.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.05%. FireCake is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances. 25.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%. 74.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%. Polt is at 34.17% Blizzcon Chances. 58.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.07%. 41.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.03%. Welmu, Kane, Bunny, and Has in in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16. Welmu is at 3.49% Blizzcon Chances. 44.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.73%. 55.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.69%. Bunny is at 22.19% Blizzcon Chances. 63.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.99%. 36.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.25%. Kane is at 4.86% Blizzcon Chances. 53.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.2%. 46.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.2%. Has is at 2.02% Blizzcon Chances. 39.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.67%. 60.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%.
WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances in ~ ForGG has a 23.1% chance to win ----going from 71.19% to 97.36% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd. Hydra has a 19.59% chance to win ----going from 68.12% to 97.84% if they get 1st, or 75.21% if they get 2nd. Snute has a 13.51% chance to win ----going from 38.87% to 89.66% if they get 1st, or 45.78% if they get 2nd. Bunny has a 9.02% chance to win ----going from 22.19% to 74.95% if they get 1st, or 28.34% if they get 2nd. Polt has a 8.01% chance to win ----going from 34.17% to 90.69% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + ShoWTimE has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 10.52% to 62.06% if they get 1st, or 15.48% if they get 2nd. PiG has a 4.9% chance to win ----going from 10.21% to 64.05% if they get 1st, or 15.96% if they get 2nd. MaNa has a 4.29% chance to win ----going from 9.15% to 61.04% if they get 1st, or 15.09% if they get 2nd. Serral has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 4.79% to 51.61% if they get 1st, or 3.31% if they don't. Kane has a 2.8% chance to win ----going from 4.86% to 53.37% if they get 1st, or 3.46% if they don't. Welmu has a 2.14% chance to win ----going from 3.49% to 48.09% if they get 1st, or 2.52% if they don't. TLO has a 1.45% chance to win ----going from 1.98% to 44.19% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't. Has has a 1.28% chance to win ----going from 2.02% to 46.44% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't. XiGua has a 0.67% chance to win ----going from 0.74% to 37.07% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't. MacSed has a 0.6% chance to win ----going from 0.79% to 37.65% if they get 1st, or 0.56% if they don't. FireCake has a 0.29% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 26.46% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.
And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor. We will be looking at 5 different scores. Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together. Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing. Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group. Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.
+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] + Group A ForGG has a ~ 23.11 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 TLO has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Serral has a ~ 3.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.2849
Group B Snute has a ~ 13.5 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MacSed has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 PiG has a ~ 4.89 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 ShoWTimE has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.2939
Group C Polt has a ~ 8.01 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 MaNa has a ~ 4.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 FireCake has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Hydra has a ~ 19.57 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 32.1704
Group D Welmu has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Kane has a ~ 2.81 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Bunny has a ~ 9.03 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Has has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1 Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.2508
Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores C > A > B > D
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] + Group A ForGG is at ~ 71.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 TLO is at ~ 1.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 XiGua is at ~ 0.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Serral is at ~ 4.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 78.7001
Group B Snute is at ~ 38.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MacSed is at ~ 0.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 PiG is at ~ 10.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 ShoWTimE is at ~ 10.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 60.3839
Group C Polt is at ~ 34.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 MaNa is at ~ 9.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 FireCake is at ~ 0.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Hydra is at ~ 68.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 111.66
Group D Welmu is at ~ 3.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Kane is at ~ 4.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Bunny is at ~ 22.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Has is at ~ 2.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015 Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 32.5444
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores C > A > B > D
+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] + Group A ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.93 % TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.1 % XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.934929
Group B Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.75 % MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.09 % PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.84 % ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.169419
Group C Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.26 % MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.64 % FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 % Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.48 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.440776
Group D Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.04 % Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.22 % Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.25 % Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 % Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.370657
Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores C > B > D > A
+ Show Spoiler [Effects] + Group A When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.04 % When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.45 % When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.73 % When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.07 % When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.8 % When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.41 % When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.39 % When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.63 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 29.5262
Group B When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.49 % When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.37 % When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.01 % When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.39 % When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.58 % When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.8 % When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.18 % When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.23 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 43.0593
Group C When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.88 % When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.14 % When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.21 % When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.11 % When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.35 % When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 % When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.03 % When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.58 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 50.4241
Group D When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.24 % When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.81 % When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.35 % When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.66 % When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.79 % When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.91 % When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.64 % When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.05 % Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.4612
Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores C > B > A > D
+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] + Group A ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2247 TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1618 XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507 Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1731 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7103
Group B Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2074 MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1494 PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1837 ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1810 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7215
Group C Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1963 MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1813 FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1431 Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2190 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7397
Group D Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1672 Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1726 Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946 Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1574 Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6918
Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores C > B > A > D
Group A has two 2nd places, two 3rd places, and a 4th place Group B has three 2nd places and two 3rd places Group C has five 1st places Group D has a 3rd place and four 4th placs
Group C is easily our Group of Death! Congrats to Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydra! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimE!
What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?Group C (213) 67% Group A (62) 19% Group D (33) 10% Group B (12) 4% 320 total votes Your vote: Group of Death? (Vote): Group A (Vote): Group B (Vote): Group C (Vote): Group D
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WCS Predictor 2015 GSL Qualifiers Season 2 in ~ Trap has a 55.85% chance to win ----going from 21.06% to 26.37% if they get 1st, or 14.34% if they don't. Stats has a 54.22% chance to win ----going from 69.72% to 75.15% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't. HyuN has a 53.74% chance to win ----going from 12.73% to 16.72% if they get 1st, or 8.09% if they don't. Zest has a 52.41% chance to win ----going from 18.45% to 23.74% if they get 1st, or 12.63% if they don't. Bbyong has a 50.95% chance to win ----going from 16.17% to 20.89% if they get 1st, or 11.26% if they don't. + Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] + Cure has a 50.81% chance to win ----going from 11.4% to 15.11% if they get 1st, or 7.56% if they don't. sOs has a 49.93% chance to win ----going from 15.37% to 20.66% if they get 1st, or 10.1% if they don't. soO has a 46.59% chance to win ----going from 3.56% to 5.29% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't. Flash has a 46.41% chance to win ----going from 6.06% to 8.54% if they get 1st, or 3.91% if they don't. TRUE has a 43.17% chance to win ----going from 3.23% to 4.99% if they get 1st, or 1.89% if they don't. Sacsri has a 42.56% chance to win ----going from 1.92% to 3.06% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't. Hurricane has a 41.75% chance to win ----going from 1.77% to 2.89% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't. jjakji has a 41.68% chance to win ----going from 1.73% to 2.75% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't. Classic has a 41.06% chance to win ----going from 4.15% to 6.53% if they get 1st, or 2.5% if they don't. Jaedong has a 40.9% chance to win ----going from 2.98% to 4.67% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't. Leenock has a 40.77% chance to win ----going from 8.25% to 11.5% if they get 1st, or 6.01% if they don't. ByuL has a 40.45% chance to win ----going from 1.38% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.76% if they don't. Sora has a 40.26% chance to win ----going from 1.42% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't. DongRaeGu has a 39.16% chance to win ----going from 1.09% to 1.85% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't. Patience has a 39.03% chance to win ----going from 2.54% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't. Losira has a 37.81% chance to win ----going from 0.92% to 1.6% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't. Armani has a 37.63% chance to win ----going from 0.83% to 1.43% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Trust has a 37.16% chance to win ----going from 0.84% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't. Mvp has a 36.31% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Center has a 36.01% chance to win ----going from 0.67% to 1.18% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't. Pet has a 34.28% chance to win ----going from 0.46% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't. Symbol has a 33.86% chance to win ----going from 0.58% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't. Journey has a 33.77% chance to win ----going from 0.45% to 0.82% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't. HerO has a 33.53% chance to win ----going from 0.44% to 0.85% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't. Creator has a 33.31% chance to win ----going from 0.42% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't. MyuNgSiK has a 33.25% chance to win ----going from 1.06% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't. sKyHigh has a 33.15% chance to win ----going from 0.97% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't. Arthur has a 32.24% chance to win ----going from 0.35% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Reality has a 31.9% chance to win ----going from 0.33% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. SuperNova has a 31.88% chance to win ----going from 0.32% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't. Impact has a 31.31% chance to win ----going from 0.26% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. eMotion has a 31.03% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't. Ruin has a 30.9% chance to win ----going from 0.27% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't. RagnaroK has a 30.15% chance to win ----going from 0.21% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't. Pigbaby has a 29.15% chance to win ----going from 0.19% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't. DeParture has a 28.84% chance to win ----going from 0.16% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't. Revival has a 28.56% chance to win ----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't. Sorry has a 27.82% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. aLive has a 27.8% chance to win ----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't. Apocalypse has a 27.04% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Oz has a 26.75% chance to win ----going from 0.12% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. KeeN has a 26.52% chance to win ----going from 0.1% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't. ParalyzE has a 25.61% chance to win ----going from 0.09% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Ryung has a 25.5% chance to win ----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't. Check has a 25.47% chance to win ----going from 0.11% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't. Shine has a 25.14% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Spear has a 24.78% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Action has a 24.72% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Hush has a 24.61% chance to win ----going from 0.07% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. CranK has a 23.59% chance to win ----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't. Bunny has a 22.57% chance to win ----going from 0.04% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't. Sleep has a 21.39% chance to win ----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't. Stork has a 20.5% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BBoongBBoong has a 20.42% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. BrAvO has a 20.04% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Billowy has a 19.92% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Tiger has a 19.06% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Daisy has a 19.01% chance to win ----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Alicia has a 18.78% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. JYP has a 16.22% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Miso has a 10.21% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Rain has a 10.11% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Zoun has a 9.59% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. NesTea has a 9.41% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. SalvatioN has a 9.26% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. LabyRinth has a 9.07% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Balloon has a 8.99% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TerrOr has a 8.94% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TheStC has a 8.87% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. TAiLS has a 8.03% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. Hunter has a 7.6% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't. horror has a 5.84% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TurN has a 5.29% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Pentatonix has a 5.09% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Grid has a 4.91% chance to win ----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. SpeeD has a 4.56% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Dynamite has a 4.53% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TOP has a 4.38% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Gamja has a 3.87% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Nette has a 3.8% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KellerMaN has a 3.79% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. FundManager has a 3.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Logotherapy has a 3.73% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. KIRA has a 3.69% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 자유의날개 has a 3.67% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 테란의최고 has a 3.47% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. TIME has a 3.34% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Picasso has a 3.2% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. 김정수 has a 3.19% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. NightMare has a 3.12% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Kan has a 3.06% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mysticism has a 3.01% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. rapsody has a 2.99% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. Mamuri has a 2.94% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't. CharSiuBao has a 2.78% chance to win ----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
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WCS Predictor 2015GSL Code S Season 1 Quaterfinals Day 1 MMA vs TY in in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. MMA is at 34.32% Blizzcon Chances. 47.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.21%. 52.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.63%. TY is at 56.3% Blizzcon Chances. 52.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.5%. 47.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.73%. Solar vs PartinG in in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals. Solar has the #2 Headband! Solar is at 55.03% Blizzcon Chances. 51.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.89%. 48.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.67%. PartinG is at 78.84% Blizzcon Chances. 48.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.18%. 51.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.96%. GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 18.95% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. herO has a 17.53% chance to win ----going from 98.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd. PartinG has a 17.13% chance to win ----going from 78.84% to 99.55% if they get 1st, or 89.14% if they get 2nd. INnoVation has a 12.84% chance to win ----going from 78.42% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 88.75% if they get 2nd. Solar has a 10.65% chance to win ----going from 55.03% to 91.96% if they get 1st, or 67.93% if they get 2nd. TY has a 9.17% chance to win ----going from 56.3% to 96.65% if they get 1st, or 72.21% if they get 2nd. MMA has a 7.26% chance to win ----going from 34.32% to 82.19% if they get 1st, or 48.23% if they get 2nd. Rogue has a 6.48% chance to win ----going from 66.46% to 99.22% if they get 1st, or 83.75% if they get 2nd.
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--------UPDATE Wednesday, Mar 04 6:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Season 2 Qualifiers Completed! (Sim #1257) Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
- Life (KT), is at 99.97%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 6925
- herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.79%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4975
- Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.42%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5250
- PartinG (Yoe), is at 89.71%, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median WCS Points: 4175
- INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 78.47%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3700
- ForGG (Millenium), is at 71.22%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3575
- Rogue (Jin Air), is at 66.99%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3175
- Dream (SKT T1), is at 66.74%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3125
- Hydra (ROOT), is at 65.89%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3300
- Rain (mYinsanity), is at 61.11%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
- Stats (KT), is at 54.99%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 2825
- MMA (Acer), is at 46.88%, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median WCS Points: 2625
- Solar (Samsung), is at 42.51%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2500
- TY (KT), is at 41.06%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2475
- Snute (Liquid), is at 40.18%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2400
- Dark (SKT T1), is at 37.62%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2400
- Dear (Samsung), is at 35.82%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
- Trap (Jin Air), is at 35.34%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 2200
- Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.35%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
- Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 26.55%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 2000
- Bunny (Liquid), is at 22.89%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1825
- Super (Invasion), is at 22.33%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2000
- Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.31%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2050
- TaeJa (Liquid), is at 21.86%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1750
- sOs (Jin Air), is at 21.71%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 1925
- GuMiho (Invasion), is at 21.38%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1900
- FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.13%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1800
- Terminator (Jin Air), is at 15.53%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1850
- Cure (Jin Air), is at 14.42%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1550
- Bomber, is at 14.13%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1600
- PiG (x5), is at 11.16%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
- Flash (KT), is at 10.76%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1350
- ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.63%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
- NaNiwa, is at 9.59%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1275
- MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.27%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1350
- MajOr, is at 8.85%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1275
- Zest (KT), is at 8.48%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1375
- YoDa (Prime), is at 7.99%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
- Happy, is at 7.98%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
- viOLet (EnVy), is at 6.1%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
- TargA (Imaginary), is at 6.07%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
- HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 5.95%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1100
- soO (SKT T1), is at 5.61%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1025
- Sacsri (mYinsanity), is at 5.58%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1025
- First (KT), is at 5.27%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1175
- Leenock (Yoe), is at 5.24%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1300
- Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.97%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
- Patience (dPix), is at 4.51%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1150
- Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.49%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
- MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.48%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1350
Full Player List
Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL S2 qualifiers and Code S S1 quarterfinals day 1 (Sim ID #1256 vs Sim ID #1257) Biggest Winners Trap went up by 14.27%, going from 21.06% to 35.34% MMA went up by 12.56%, going from 34.32% to 46.88% PartinG went up by 10.86%, going from 78.84% to 89.71% Bbyong went up by 10.38%, going from 16.17% to 26.55% sOs went up by 6.34%, going from 15.37% to 21.71% Flash went up by 4.69%, going from 6.06% to 10.76% Sacsri went up by 3.66%, going from 1.92% to 5.58% + Show Spoiler [More Winners] + Cure went up by 3.04%, going from 11.38% to 14.42% soO went up by 2.04%, going from 3.56% to 5.61% Patience went up by 1.98%, going from 2.53% to 4.51% DongRaeGu went up by 1.4%, going from 1.09% to 2.49% ByuL went up by 1.39%, going from 1.38% to 2.77% Trust went up by 1.22%, going from 0.84% to 2.06% MyuNgSiK went up by 1.12%, going from 1.04% to 2.16% Snute went up by 1.06%, going from 39.11% to 40.18% PiG went up by 1.04%, going from 10.12% to 11.16% Impact went up by 0.87%, going from 0.27% to 1.14% Bunny went up by 0.84%, going from 22.05% to 22.89% Creator went up by 0.83%, going from 0.42% to 1.25% SuperNova went up by 0.67%, going from 0.32% to 0.99% Symbol went up by 0.67%, going from 0.58% to 1.25% HerO went up by 0.56%, going from 0.44% to 1.01% Rogue went up by 0.53%, going from 66.46% to 66.99% RagnaroK went up by 0.44%, going from 0.21% to 0.66% Pigbaby went up by 0.33%, going from 0.19% to 0.52% Polt went up by 0.32%, going from 34.03% to 34.35% YoDa went up by 0.3%, going from 7.68% to 7.99% FanTaSy went up by 0.3%, going from 16.83% to 17.13% viOLet went up by 0.24%, going from 5.86% to 6.1% Sorry went up by 0.23%, going from 0.14% to 0.37% MaNa went up by 0.23%, going from 9.04% to 9.27% ShoWTimE went up by 0.22%, going from 10.41% to 10.63% Ryung went up by 0.22%, going from 0.08% to 0.3% Shine went up by 0.19%, going from 0.07% to 0.26% ForGG went up by 0.19%, going from 71.03% to 71.22% TargA went up by 0.19%, going from 5.88% to 6.07% NaNiwa went up by 0.16%, going from 9.43% to 9.59% Serral went up by 0.15%, going from 4.82% to 4.97% Billowy went up by 0.14%, going from 0.02% to 0.16% BrAvO went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.15% Happy went up by 0.13%, going from 7.85% to 7.98% Has went up by 0.12%, going from 1.97% to 2.09% Sen went up by 0.12%, going from 2.09% to 2.21% Welmu went up by 0.11%, going from 3.44% to 3.54%
Biggest Losers TY went down by 15.24%, going from 56.3% to 41.06% Stats went down by 14.72%, going from 69.72% to 54.99% Solar went down by 12.52%, going from 55.03% to 42.51% Zest went down by 9.96%, going from 18.44% to 8.48% HyuN went down by 6.77%, going from 12.71% to 5.95% Leenock went down by 3.02%, going from 8.26% to 5.24% GuMiho went down by 2.9%, going from 24.28% to 21.38% + Show Spoiler [More Losers] + Classic went down by 2.49%, going from 4.16% to 1.67% Hydra went down by 2.04%, going from 67.93% to 65.89% TaeJa went down by 1.61%, going from 23.47% to 21.86% MajOr went down by 1.37%, going from 10.22% to 8.85% Rain went down by 1.2%, going from 62.31% to 61.11% Jaedong went down by 1.11%, going from 2.98% to 1.87% jjakji went down by 1.07%, going from 1.73% to 0.66% Sora went down by 0.92%, going from 1.41% to 0.49% Hurricane went down by 0.79%, going from 1.78% to 0.99% TRUE went down by 0.68%, going from 3.23% to 2.55% Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 14.81% to 14.13% Losira went down by 0.61%, going from 0.92% to 0.31% San went down by 0.59%, going from 4.28% to 3.68% Super went down by 0.49%, going from 22.82% to 22.33% Terminator went down by 0.49%, going from 16.02% to 15.53% Dark went down by 0.41%, going from 38.03% to 37.62% sKyHigh went down by 0.39%, going from 0.96% to 0.58% Soulkey went down by 0.37%, going from 22.67% to 22.31% Kane went down by 0.36%, going from 4.85% to 4.49% MarineKing went down by 0.31%, going from 4.79% to 4.48% Hack went down by 0.31%, going from 1.36% to 1.05% Center went down by 0.3%, going from 0.67% to 0.37% Armani went down by 0.29%, going from 0.83% to 0.54% Reality went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.06% Journey went down by 0.26%, going from 0.45% to 0.19% First went down by 0.25%, going from 5.52% to 5.27% Dream went down by 0.23%, going from 66.97% to 66.74% Heart went down by 0.21%, going from 0.94% to 0.72% Pet went down by 0.2%, going from 0.46% to 0.26% Lilbow went down by 0.18%, going from 1.74% to 1.56% eMotion went down by 0.17%, going from 0.29% to 0.12% Curious went down by 0.16%, going from 1.73% to 1.57% Arthur went down by 0.15%, going from 0.35% to 0.2% Revival went down by 0.14%, going from 0.29% to 0.16% MC went down by 0.11%, going from 2.17% to 2.05% Ruin went down by 0.11%, going from 0.27% to 0.17%
Foreigner Hope Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.97% Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.11% Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.32% Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.77%
Snute 10.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 40.18% chance overall. Bunny 5.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.89% chance overall. PiG 2.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.16% chance overall. ShoWTimE 2.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.63% chance overall. NaNiwa 1.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.59% chance overall. MaNa 1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.27% chance overall. MajOr 1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.85% chance overall. + Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] + Happy 1.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.98% chance overall. TargA 1.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.07% chance overall. Serral 0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.97% chance overall. Kane 0.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.49% chance overall. Welmu 0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.54% chance overall. Sen 0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall. Has 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall. Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall. TLO 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall. HuK 0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall. VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall. Lilbow 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.56% chance overall. Nerchio 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.1% chance overall. MorroW 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall. MacSed 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.81% chance overall. uThermal 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall. XiGua 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall. MarineLorD 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. HeRoMaRinE 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall. iaguz 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall. MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall. puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall. Boombox 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall. Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall. Petraeus 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.33% chance overall.
Headbands Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses! PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses! herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses! sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses! + Show Spoiler [Headband History] +
WCS Point Cutoffs 0.96% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 9.6% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 31.95% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 52.21% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 71.55% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 90.37% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon 99.07% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
Don't forget about NSSL tonight!
Stats vs Maru in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.
Life vs Dream in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.
StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.25% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.99% chance to win ----going from 55.01% to 88.53% if they get 1st, or 58.12% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.7% chance to win ----going from 66.74% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 73.63% if they get 2nd.
Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars! -----------------------
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mind the reschedule for NSSL semifinals, both matches are being played tonight
WCS Predictor 2015 Stats vs Maru in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances. 42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%. 57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%. Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances. 57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%. 42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%. Life vs Dream in in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals. Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances. 66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%. 33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%. Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances. 33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%. 66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%. StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances Life has a 39.05% chance to win ----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd. Maru has a 31.3% chance to win ----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd. Stats has a 15.97% chance to win ----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd. Dream has a 13.67% chance to win ----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.
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Since I cannot win as long as Life keeps winning I will go all in and buy Dream. Second place is just the first loser so I don't want it either
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CHA CHING Comeback starting? :0
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On March 05 2015 22:52 sharkie wrote: CHA CHING Comeback starting? :0 sickest pick I bought Life and he immediately loses.... T_T
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