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WCS Predictor 2015 - Page 11

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
February 26 2015 21:43 GMT
#201
Life is the first player to have AFK Chances!

Because of all the tournaments he's already in and the placeholder tournaments, it is very unlikely that Life fails to earn any more WCS Points, so it didn't show up until the simulation had over 20 million samples. He's right now at 0.64% AFK Chances (1 out of just 156 samples). This means that if Life doesn't earn any more points, and just sits with his 2400 WCS Points, he has a 0.64% chance of still making it to Blizzcon.

Of course this stat isn't very useful yet, but it will help a lot towards the end of the year for similar situations as Jaedong and sOs had at the end of last year.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Dingodile
Profile Joined December 2011
4135 Posts
February 26 2015 21:51 GMT
#202
On February 17 2015 00:44 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote:
Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia?

Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet.

I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2.
Grubby | ToD | Moon | Lyn | Sky
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
February 26 2015 21:56 GMT
#203
On February 27 2015 06:51 Dingodile wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 17 2015 00:44 Die4Ever wrote:
On February 16 2015 20:37 Dingodile wrote:
Why has Life 2100pts here and 1950pts on Liquipedia?

Because he's seeded into Code S next season, if he loses that then it's 100 points and he's in challenger for season 3, and if he loses there then it's another 50 points. Liquipedia seems to not be showing any points for season 2 or 3 yet.

I understand you but it seems that GSL/NSSL changed that system. If you look WCS Ranking you will notice that WCS Unified is showing points for season 2.

Reading on Liquipedia it says the seeding is the same as last year and seems to agree with how I do it for NSSL and GSL.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
February 26 2015 22:15 GMT
#204
Have the GFinity seeds been put into the latest simulation?
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-26 22:21:23
February 26 2015 22:19 GMT
#205
On February 27 2015 07:15 Circumstance wrote:
Have the GFinity seeds been put into the latest simulation?

I don't see anything about it giving WCS Points in the announcements
also it's not on here http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_StarCraft_II_World_Championship_Series

looks like no WCS Points http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/Gfinity_Spring_Masters_I
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18445 Posts
February 28 2015 08:10 GMT
#206
Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :|
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
February 28 2015 08:19 GMT
#207
MC failed me, I'm so salty >.<
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
February 28 2015 19:09 GMT
#208
On February 28 2015 17:10 sharkie wrote:
Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :|

yea I'd say Life is doing pretty well now lol

On February 28 2015 17:19 OtherWorld wrote:
MC failed me, I'm so salty >.<

you thought MC was gonna win that group??? I love MC but...
"Expert" mods4ever.com
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
February 28 2015 19:20 GMT
#209
On March 01 2015 04:09 Die4Ever wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 28 2015 17:10 sharkie wrote:
Life has to lose, otherwise I have no chance :|

yea I'd say Life is doing pretty well now lol

Show nested quote +
On February 28 2015 17:19 OtherWorld wrote:
MC failed me, I'm so salty >.<

you thought MC was gonna win that group??? I love MC but...

I thought MC would win Code S back when the Ro32 groups were drawn. Everything was in line for it to happen. But then he joined dem Trig scammers instead of a Korean team >.<
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-02-28 22:30:01
February 28 2015 22:29 GMT
#210
This is tough now, with WCS going on such a huge break (after today) I need to buy players in GSL/NSSL/IEM, those are all tough to predict. I might just sell all my players and buy Life lol, but even that could go wrong.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 01 2015 23:14 GMT
#211
--------UPDATE Sunday, Mar 01 11:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro32 Complete! (Sim #1253)
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr Life (KT), is at 99.98%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7100
  2. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.53%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4925
  3. kr Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.41%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5275
  4. kr INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 79.08%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
  5. kr PartinG (Yoe), is at 77.43%, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median WCS Points: 3625
  6. kr Stats (KT), is at 70.24%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
  7. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at 70.22%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3550
  8. kr Hydra (ROOT), is at 67.62%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3400
  9. kr Dream (SKT T1), is at 67.16%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
  10. kr Rogue (Jin Air), is at 65.76%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
  11. kr Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.3%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
  12. kr TY (KT), is at 56.62%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
  13. kr Solar (Samsung), is at 55.77%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
  14. no Snute (Liquid), is at 38.25%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2350
  15. kr Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.73%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
  16. kr MMA (Acer), is at 36.08%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2325
  17. kr Dear (Samsung), is at 35.97%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
  18. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.44%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
  19. kr GuMiho (Invasion), is at 24.54%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2000
  20. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at 24.18%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1850
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at 23.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1850
  22. kr Super (Invasion), is at 23.05%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
  23. kr Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.89%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2075
  24. kr Zest (KT), is at 19.56%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1750
  25. kr FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.33%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
  26. kr sOs (Jin Air), is at 16.32%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1750
  27. kr Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.17%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
  28. kr Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 15.88%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1675
  29. kr Trap (Jin Air), is at 15.34%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1525
  30. kr Bomber, is at 14.99%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1650
  31. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.93%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
  32. kr Cure (Jin Air), is at 12.39%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  33. au PiG (x5), is at 10.91%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
  34. de ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.45%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  35. mx MajOr, is at 10.25%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1325
  36. pl MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.72%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
  37. kr Leenock (Yoe), is at 8.75%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1450
  38. ru Happy, is at 7.91%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
  39. kr YoDa (Prime), is at 7.79%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
  40. se NaNiwa, is at 7.52%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
  41. kr Flash (KT), is at 6.28%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1125
  42. no TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.9%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
  43. kr viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.89%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
  44. kr First (KT), is at 5.54%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1200
  45. kr San (Yoe), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1125
  46. fi Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.64%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
  47. ca Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.6%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1200
  48. kr MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.26%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1350
  49. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.23%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
  50. kr soO (SKT T1), is at 3.61%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Full Player List
Life is at 1.04% AFK Chances, herO is at 0.48% AFK Chances.

Biggest Winners and Losers since before WCS Premier ro32 (Sim ID #1226 vs Sim ID #1253)
Biggest Winners
kr Hydra went up by 17.85%, going from 49.77% to 67.62%
kr INnoVation went up by 13.88%, going from 65.2% to 79.08%
kr Dark went up by 13.79%, going from 22.94% to 36.73%
kr Trap went up by 13.64%, going from 1.7% to 15.34%
kr Rogue went up by 13.21%, going from 52.55% to 65.76%
kr Solar went up by 11.66%, going from 44.11% to 55.77%
kr FanTaSy went up by 9.86%, going from 7.46% to 17.33%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr PartinG went up by 8.83%, going from 68.6% to 77.43%
kr Bbyong went up by 8.51%, going from 7.37% to 15.88%
kr Cure went up by 6.67%, going from 5.72% to 12.39%
dk Bunny went up by 6.5%, going from 16.95% to 23.45%
kr Dream went up by 3.65%, going from 63.51% to 67.16%
kr herO went up by 2.51%, going from 96.02% to 98.53%
fi Welmu went up by 1.86%, going from 1.62% to 3.48%
kr Patience went up by 1.84%, going from 0.73% to 2.57%
kr MMA went up by 0.7%, going from 35.38% to 36.08%
kr HyuN went up by 0.68%, going from 12.25% to 12.93%
kr Hack went up by 0.65%, going from 0.73% to 1.38%
kr Sacsri went up by 0.62%, going from 1.33% to 1.95%
kr sKyHigh went up by 0.39%, going from 0.58% to 0.97%
kr Stats went up by 0.35%, going from 69.88% to 70.24%
kr Life went up by 0.28%, going from 99.7% to 99.98%
cn MacSed went up by 0.26%, going from 0.62% to 0.88%
de ShoWTimE went up by 0.19%, going from 10.25% to 10.45%
de HeRoMaRinE went up by 0.16%, going from 0.61% to 0.78%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 0.13%, going from 1.14% to 1.28%
kr Curious went up by 0.12%, going from 1.54% to 1.66%
kr YongHwa went up by 0.12%, going from 1.15% to 1.27%
fr Lilbow went up by 0.1%, going from 1.74% to 1.85%


Biggest Losers
kr Super went down by 25.24%, going from 48.28% to 23.05%
kr Rain went down by 22.78%, going from 83.08% to 60.3%
kr Dear went down by 16.89%, going from 52.85% to 35.97%
kr TaeJa went down by 7.33%, going from 31.51% to 24.18%
kr GuMiho went down by 5.57%, going from 30.11% to 24.54%
kr MC went down by 4.8%, going from 6.99% to 2.2%
kr Zest went down by 3.95%, going from 23.52% to 19.56%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr First went down by 3.26%, going from 8.8% to 5.54%
ca HuK went down by 3.11%, going from 4.92% to 1.81%
pl MaNa went down by 2.94%, going from 12.65% to 9.72%
kr San went down by 2.54%, going from 7.19% to 4.64%
kr ForGG went down by 2.47%, going from 72.69% to 70.22%
kr Polt went down by 2.46%, going from 36.9% to 34.44%
kr Soulkey went down by 2.43%, going from 25.32% to 22.89%
kr YoDa went down by 2.06%, going from 9.84% to 7.79%
kr TY went down by 1.93%, going from 58.55% to 56.62%
kr Leenock went down by 1.84%, going from 10.58% to 8.75%
kr Classic went down by 1.83%, going from 6.06% to 4.23%
kr Jaedong went down by 1.76%, going from 4.82% to 3.07%
kr sOs went down by 1.58%, going from 17.9% to 16.32%
au PiG went down by 1.28%, going from 12.2% to 10.91%
kr Flash went down by 1.27%, going from 7.54% to 6.28%
kr Bomber went down by 1.24%, going from 16.22% to 14.99%
fi Serral went down by 1.15%, going from 5.79% to 4.64%
kr Losira went down by 1.01%, going from 2.01% to 0.99%
kr Maru went down by 0.97%, going from 99.38% to 98.41%
au iaguz went down by 0.96%, going from 1.66% to 0.7%
ru Happy went down by 0.8%, going from 8.71% to 7.91%
kr TRUE went down by 0.76%, going from 4.06% to 3.3%
kr soO went down by 0.75%, going from 4.37% to 3.61%
no TargA went down by 0.71%, going from 6.61% to 5.9%
se MorroW went down by 0.66%, going from 1.67% to 1.01%
kr Hurricane went down by 0.65%, going from 2.57% to 1.92%
kr Terminator went down by 0.62%, going from 16.78% to 16.17%
mx MajOr went down by 0.61%, going from 10.86% to 10.25%
kr MarineKing went down by 0.6%, going from 4.86% to 4.26%
kr Sora went down by 0.56%, going from 2.01% to 1.45%
kr Trust went down by 0.55%, going from 1.4% to 0.85%
kr viOLet went down by 0.51%, going from 6.4% to 5.89%
kr jjakji went down by 0.51%, going from 2.23% to 1.73%
ca Kane went down by 0.47%, going from 5.07% to 4.6%
nl uThermal went down by 0.45%, going from 1.36% to 0.91%
tw Has went down by 0.38%, going from 2.44% to 2.06%
se NaNiwa went down by 0.36%, going from 7.88% to 7.52%
tw Sen went down by 0.33%, going from 2.45% to 2.12%
cn iAsonu went down by 0.3%, going from 0.48% to 0.18%
es VortiX went down by 0.28%, going from 2.04% to 1.76%
kr Heart went down by 0.27%, going from 1.24% to 0.97%
cn Jim went down by 0.27%, going from 2.2% to 1.93%
de TLO went down by 0.26%, going from 2.3% to 2.05%


Foreigner Hope
Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.44%
Chances of 2+ foreigners 53.04%
Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.72%
Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.64%

no Snute 10.58% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.25% chance overall.
dk Bunny 5.5% chance to be the only foreigner, 23.45% chance overall.
au PiG 2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.91% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.45% chance overall.
mx MajOr 2.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.25% chance overall.
pl MaNa 1.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.72% chance overall.
ru Happy 1.63% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.91% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

se NaNiwa 1.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.52% chance overall.
no TargA 1.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.9% chance overall.
fi Serral 0.91% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.64% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.6% chance overall.
fi Welmu 0.68% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.48% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.12% chance overall.
tw Has 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.06% chance overall.
de TLO 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.05% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall.
ca HuK 0.36% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.81% chance overall.
fr Lilbow 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.85% chance overall.
es VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall.
se MorroW 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall.
pl Nerchio 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.97% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.91% chance overall.
cn MacSed 0.17% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.88% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall.
cn XiGua 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.66% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.49% chance overall.
us puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.4% chance overall.
uk Boombox 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall.
ca Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.29% chance overall.


Headbands
kr Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
+ Show Spoiler [Headband History] +

kr herO won the #3 from kr Maru at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Maru won the #3 from kr PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar defended the #2 from kr Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar won the #2 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dream won the #2 from kr Dark at StarLeague Season 1
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr TY at StarLeague Season 1
kr Life defended the #1 from kr PartinG at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG defended the #3 from kr Classic at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG won the #3 from kr Maru at IEM Taipei
kr Maru won the #3 from kr TRUE at IEM Taipei
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr Dear at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dark won the #2 from kr MMA at GSL Code S Season 1
kr TRUE won the #3 from kr Leenock at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr jjakji at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr Sacsri at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock won the #3 from kr Terminator at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator defended the #3 from kr FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator won the #3 from kr TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1
kr sOs won the #4 from kr MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup
kr MarineKing won the #4 from kr Zest at Hot6ix Cup
kr Zest won the #4 from kr Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup
kr Soulkey won the #4 from kr Flash at Hot6ix Cup
kr Flash won the #4 from kr Classic at Hot6ix Cup
kr Life won the #1 from kr MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr MMA won the #2 from kr Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr Classic won the #4 from kr herO at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr TaeJa won the #3 from kr INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014


WCS Point Cutoffs
0.9% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.18% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
30.92% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
51.04% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
70.44% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.84% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.97% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances
kr ForGG has a 21.89% chance to win
----going from 70.22% to 97.37% if they get 1st, or 75.77% if they get 2nd.
kr Hydra has a 19.11% chance to win
----going from 67.61% to 97.81% if they get 1st, or 75.15% if they get 2nd.
no Snute has a 12.99% chance to win
----going from 38.25% to 89.73% if they get 1st, or 46.1% if they get 2nd.
dk Bunny has a 9.55% chance to win
----going from 23.45% to 76.08% if they get 1st, or 29.76% if they get 2nd.
kr Polt has a 8.28% chance to win
----going from 34.44% to 90.83% if they get 1st, or 46.48% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

au PiG has a 5.62% chance to win
----going from 10.91% to 63.78% if they get 1st, or 15.84% if they get 2nd.
de ShoWTimE has a 5.33% chance to win
----going from 10.44% to 62.16% if they get 1st, or 15.4% if they get 2nd.
pl MaNa has a 4.88% chance to win
----going from 9.72% to 60.79% if they get 1st, or 14.62% if they get 2nd.
fi Serral has a 2.88% chance to win
----going from 4.64% to 51.88% if they get 1st, or 3.24% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 2.6% chance to win
----going from 4.61% to 53.85% if they get 1st, or 3.29% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 2.21% chance to win
----going from 3.49% to 48.08% if they get 1st, or 2.48% if they don't.
de TLO has a 1.54% chance to win
----going from 2.05% to 43.91% if they get 1st, or 1.39% if they don't.
tw Has has a 1.36% chance to win
----going from 2.06% to 46.65% if they get 1st, or 1.45% if they don't.
cn MacSed has a 0.74% chance to win
----going from 0.88% to 38.54% if they get 1st, or 0.6% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.7% chance to win
----going from 0.75% to 37.01% if they get 1st, or 0.49% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 0.32% chance to win
----going from 0.22% to 25.11% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.



Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 02 2015 20:14 GMT
#212
--------UPDATE Monday, Mar 02 8:15pm GMT (GMT+00:00) WCS Premier Ro16 Groups Drawn! (Sim #1255)
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr Life (KT), is at 99.97%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 7100
  2. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.55%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4950
  3. kr Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.3%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5250
  4. kr INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 78.98%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3750
  5. kr PartinG (Yoe), is at 78.87%, Min WCS Points: 1375, Median WCS Points: 3725
  6. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at 71.16%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3575
  7. kr Stats (KT), is at 69.96%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 3325
  8. kr Hydra (ROOT), is at 68.12%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3400
  9. kr Dream (SKT T1), is at 67.06%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3150
  10. kr Rogue (Jin Air), is at 66.52%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3175
  11. kr Rain (mYinsanity), is at 60.28%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
  12. kr TY (KT), is at 56.41%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2875
  13. kr Solar (Samsung), is at 55.97%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2900
  14. no Snute (Liquid), is at 38.88%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2375
  15. kr Dark (SKT T1), is at 36.46%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2375
  16. kr Dear (Samsung), is at 35.86%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
  17. kr MMA (Acer), is at 34.43%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2300
  18. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.19%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
  19. kr GuMiho (Invasion), is at 24.3%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2000
  20. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at 23.99%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1850
  21. kr Super (Invasion), is at 22.93%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2025
  22. kr Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.66%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2050
  23. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at 22.2%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1800
  24. kr Trap (Jin Air), is at 20.46%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1700
  25. kr Zest (KT), is at 19.36%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1750
  26. kr FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.25%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1825
  27. kr Terminator (Jin Air), is at 16.09%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1875
  28. kr Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 15.82%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 1675
  29. kr sOs (Jin Air), is at 15.4%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1725
  30. kr Bomber, is at 14.82%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1625
  31. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 12.74%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1375
  32. kr Cure (Jin Air), is at 11.8%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  33. de ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.53%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  34. mx MajOr, is at 10.26%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1350
  35. au PiG (x5), is at 10.2%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  36. pl MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.15%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1350
  37. kr Leenock (Yoe), is at 8.3%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1450
  38. ru Happy, is at 7.92%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
  39. kr YoDa (Prime), is at 7.76%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
  40. se NaNiwa, is at 7.56%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
  41. kr Flash (KT), is at 6.16%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 1100
  42. no TargA (Imaginary), is at 5.92%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
  43. kr viOLet (EnVy), is at 5.91%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
  44. kr First (KT), is at 5.57%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1200
  45. ca Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.86%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1250
  46. kr MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.81%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1375
  47. fi Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.79%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
  48. kr San (Yoe), is at 4.31%, Min WCS Points: 275, Median WCS Points: 1100
  49. kr Classic (SKT T1), is at 4.2%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 1225
  50. kr soO (SKT T1), is at 3.56%, Min WCS Points: 0, Median WCS Points: 850
Full Player List

Biggest Winners and Losers from drawing WCS Premier ro16 groups (Sim ID #1254 vs Sim ID #1255)
Biggest Winners
kr ForGG went up by 0.89%, going from 70.27% to 71.16%
no Snute went up by 0.77%, going from 38.11% to 38.88%
kr Hydra went up by 0.48%, going from 67.64% to 68.12%
dk Bunny went up by 0.26%, going from 21.94% to 22.2%
ca Kane went up by 0.22%, going from 4.64% to 4.86%
fi Serral went up by 0.12%, going from 4.67% to 4.79%

Biggest Losers
au PiG went down by 0.84%, going from 11.04% to 10.2%
pl MaNa went down by 0.64%, going from 9.8% to 9.15%
kr Polt went down by 0.25%, going from 34.44% to 34.19%

Foreigner Hope
Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.18%
Chances of 2+ foreigners 52.31%
Chances of 3+ foreigners 16.17%
Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.49%

no Snute 11.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 38.88% chance overall.
dk Bunny 5.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.2% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 2.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.53% chance overall.
mx MajOr 2.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.26% chance overall.
au PiG 2.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.2% chance overall.
pl MaNa 1.88% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.15% chance overall.
ru Happy 1.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.92% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

se NaNiwa 1.61% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.56% chance overall.
no TargA 1.25% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.92% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.97% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.86% chance overall.
fi Serral 0.93% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.79% chance overall.
fi Welmu 0.71% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.5% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.13% chance overall.
tw Has 0.4% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall.
de TLO 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.98% chance overall.
ca HuK 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.83% chance overall.
fr Lilbow 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.76% chance overall.
es VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.74% chance overall.
se MorroW 0.21% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.01% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.19% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.92% chance overall.
pl Nerchio 0.18% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.89% chance overall.
cn MacSed 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall.
cn XiGua 0.15% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.74% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.7% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 0.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.65% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall.
us puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.39% chance overall.
uk Boombox 0.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall.
ca Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.28% chance overall.


Headbands
kr Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr Solar is the current #2 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
+ Show Spoiler [Headband History] +

kr herO won the #3 from kr Maru at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Maru won the #3 from kr PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar defended the #2 from kr Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar won the #2 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dream won the #2 from kr Dark at StarLeague Season 1
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr TY at StarLeague Season 1
kr Life defended the #1 from kr PartinG at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG defended the #3 from kr Classic at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG won the #3 from kr Maru at IEM Taipei
kr Maru won the #3 from kr TRUE at IEM Taipei
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr Dear at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dark won the #2 from kr MMA at GSL Code S Season 1
kr TRUE won the #3 from kr Leenock at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr jjakji at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr Sacsri at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock won the #3 from kr Terminator at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator defended the #3 from kr FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator won the #3 from kr TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1
kr sOs won the #4 from kr MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup
kr MarineKing won the #4 from kr Zest at Hot6ix Cup
kr Zest won the #4 from kr Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup
kr Soulkey won the #4 from kr Flash at Hot6ix Cup
kr Flash won the #4 from kr Classic at Hot6ix Cup
kr Life won the #1 from kr MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr MMA won the #2 from kr Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr Classic won the #4 from kr herO at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr TaeJa won the #3 from kr INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014


WCS Point Cutoffs
0.87% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
8.92% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
30.36% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
50.36% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
69.81% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
89.48% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
98.91% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

WCS Premier Ro16 Match Previews
+ Show Spoiler [Match Previews] +

fi Serral, cn XiGua, de TLO, and kr ForGG in
in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16.
fi Serral is at 4.79% Blizzcon Chances.
52.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.19%.
47.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.16%.
de TLO is at 1.98% Blizzcon Chances.
38.25% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.7%.
61.75% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.91%.
cn XiGua is at 0.74% Blizzcon Chances.
33.97% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.54%.
66.03% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.33%.
kr ForGG is at 71.19% Blizzcon Chances.
75.4% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 76.24%.
24.6% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 55.71%.

no Snute, cn MacSed, au PiG, and de ShoWTimE in
in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16.
no Snute is at 38.87% Blizzcon Chances.
70.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.35%.
29.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.52%.
au PiG is at 10.21% Blizzcon Chances.
46.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 15.8%.
53.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.4%.
cn MacSed is at 0.79% Blizzcon Chances.
27.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%.
72.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.4%.
de ShoWTimE is at 10.52% Blizzcon Chances.
55.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.69%.
44.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.29%.

kr Hydra, fr FireCake, pl MaNa, and kr Polt in
in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16.
kr Hydra is at 68.12% Blizzcon Chances.
72.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 74.15%.
27.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 52.52%.
pl MaNa is at 9.15% Blizzcon Chances.
44.04% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 14.34%.
55.96% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.05%.
fr FireCake is at 0.21% Blizzcon Chances.
25.31% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.56%.
74.69% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%.
kr Polt is at 34.17% Blizzcon Chances.
58.54% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 42.07%.
41.46% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 23.03%.

fi Welmu, ca Kane, dk Bunny, and tw Has in
in WCS Premier Season 1 round of 16.
fi Welmu is at 3.49% Blizzcon Chances.
44.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.73%.
55.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.69%.
dk Bunny is at 22.19% Blizzcon Chances.
63.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 27.99%.
36.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 12.25%.
ca Kane is at 4.86% Blizzcon Chances.
53.09% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 7.2%.
46.91% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.2%.
tw Has is at 2.02% Blizzcon Chances.
39.15% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.67%.
60.85% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.95%.


WCS Premier Season 1 Winning Chances in ~
kr ForGG has a 23.1% chance to win
----going from 71.19% to 97.36% if they get 1st, or 75.7% if they get 2nd.
kr Hydra has a 19.59% chance to win
----going from 68.12% to 97.84% if they get 1st, or 75.21% if they get 2nd.
no Snute has a 13.51% chance to win
----going from 38.87% to 89.66% if they get 1st, or 45.78% if they get 2nd.
dk Bunny has a 9.02% chance to win
----going from 22.19% to 74.95% if they get 1st, or 28.34% if they get 2nd.
kr Polt has a 8.01% chance to win
----going from 34.17% to 90.69% if they get 1st, or 46.42% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

de ShoWTimE has a 5.29% chance to win
----going from 10.52% to 62.06% if they get 1st, or 15.48% if they get 2nd.
au PiG has a 4.9% chance to win
----going from 10.21% to 64.05% if they get 1st, or 15.96% if they get 2nd.
pl MaNa has a 4.29% chance to win
----going from 9.15% to 61.04% if they get 1st, or 15.09% if they get 2nd.
fi Serral has a 3.06% chance to win
----going from 4.79% to 51.61% if they get 1st, or 3.31% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 2.8% chance to win
----going from 4.86% to 53.37% if they get 1st, or 3.46% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 2.14% chance to win
----going from 3.49% to 48.09% if they get 1st, or 2.52% if they don't.
de TLO has a 1.45% chance to win
----going from 1.98% to 44.19% if they get 1st, or 1.36% if they don't.
tw Has has a 1.28% chance to win
----going from 2.02% to 46.44% if they get 1st, or 1.44% if they don't.
cn XiGua has a 0.67% chance to win
----going from 0.74% to 37.07% if they get 1st, or 0.5% if they don't.
cn MacSed has a 0.6% chance to win
----going from 0.79% to 37.65% if they get 1st, or 0.56% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 0.29% chance to win
----going from 0.21% to 26.46% if they get 1st, or 0.14% if they don't.


And now let's do some analysis to see what the Group of Death is according to WCS Predictor.
We will be looking at 5 different scores.
Champion Chances Score is the chances to win the tournament for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Score is the chances to qualify for Blizzcon for each player in the group added together.
Blizzcon Chances Lost Score is how much the Blizzcon Chances Score went down by because of the group drawing.
Effects Score is the sum of the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would gain if they won the group, plus the amount of Blizzcon chances each player would lose if they lost the group.
Aligulac Score is the overall Aligulac rating of every player in the group added together.

+ Show Spoiler [Champion Chances] +

Group A
ForGG has a ~ 23.11 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
TLO has a ~ 1.45 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
XiGua has a ~ 0.67 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Serral has a ~ 3.06 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 28.2849

Group B
Snute has a ~ 13.5 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
MacSed has a ~ 0.6 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
PiG has a ~ 4.89 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
ShoWTimE has a ~ 5.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 24.2939

Group C
Polt has a ~ 8.01 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
MaNa has a ~ 4.3 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
FireCake has a ~ 0.29 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Hydra has a ~ 19.57 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 32.1704

Group D
Welmu has a ~ 2.14 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Kane has a ~ 2.81 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Bunny has a ~ 9.03 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Has has a ~ 1.27 % chance to win WCS Premier Season 1
Giving this match a Champion Chances Score of 15.2508

Which means the groups go in this order for the Champion Chances Scores
C > A > B > D

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances] +

Group A
ForGG is at ~ 71.2 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
TLO is at ~ 1.98 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
XiGua is at ~ 0.74 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Serral is at ~ 4.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 78.7001

Group B
Snute is at ~ 38.87 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
MacSed is at ~ 0.79 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
PiG is at ~ 10.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
ShoWTimE is at ~ 10.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 60.3839

Group C
Polt is at ~ 34.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
MaNa is at ~ 9.15 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
FireCake is at ~ 0.21 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Hydra is at ~ 68.12 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 111.66

Group D
Welmu is at ~ 3.49 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Kane is at ~ 4.86 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Bunny is at ~ 22.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Has is at ~ 2.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2015
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Score of 32.5444

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Scores
C > A > B > D

+ Show Spoiler [Blizzcon Chances Lost] +

Group A
ForGG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.93 %
TLO's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.1 %
XiGua's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 %
Serral's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.12 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.934929

Group B
Snute's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.75 %
MacSed's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.09 %
PiG's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.84 %
ShoWTimE's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.01 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.169419

Group C
Polt's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.26 %
MaNa's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.64 %
FireCake's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.02 %
Hydra's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.48 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of 0.440776

Group D
Welmu's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.04 %
Kane's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.22 %
Bunny's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ 0.25 %
Has's Blizzcon chances changed by ~ -0.06 %
Giving this match a Blizzcon Chances Lost Score of -0.370657

Which means the groups go in this order for the Blizzcon Chances Lost Scores
C > B > D > A

+ Show Spoiler [Effects] +

Group A
When ForGG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.04 %
When ForGG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.45 %
When TLO wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.73 %
When TLO loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.07 %
When XiGua wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.8 %
When XiGua loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.41 %
When Serral wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.39 %
When Serral loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.63 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 29.5262

Group B
When Snute wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.49 %
When Snute loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.37 %
When MacSed wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.01 %
When MacSed loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.39 %
When PiG wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.58 %
When PiG loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.8 %
When ShoWTimE wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 4.18 %
When ShoWTimE loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 5.23 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 43.0593

Group C
When Polt wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 7.88 %
When Polt loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 11.14 %
When MaNa wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.21 %
When MaNa loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 4.11 %
When FireCake wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 0.35 %
When FireCake loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 0.12 %
When Hydra wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 6.03 %
When Hydra loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 15.58 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 50.4241

Group D
When Welmu wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.24 %
When Welmu loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.81 %
When Kane wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 2.35 %
When Kane loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 2.66 %
When Bunny wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 5.79 %
When Bunny loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 9.91 %
When Has wins this match, their Blizzcon chances go up by ~ 1.64 %
When Has loses this match, their Blizzcon chances go down by ~ 1.05 %
Giving this match an Effects Score of 27.4612

Which means the groups go in this order for Effects Scores
C > B > A > D

+ Show Spoiler [Aligulac Ratings] +

Group A
ForGG has an overall Aligulac rating of 2247
TLO has an overall Aligulac rating of 1618
XiGua has an overall Aligulac rating of 1507
Serral has an overall Aligulac rating of 1731
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7103

Group B
Snute has an overall Aligulac rating of 2074
MacSed has an overall Aligulac rating of 1494
PiG has an overall Aligulac rating of 1837
ShoWTimE has an overall Aligulac rating of 1810
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7215

Group C
Polt has an overall Aligulac rating of 1963
MaNa has an overall Aligulac rating of 1813
FireCake has an overall Aligulac rating of 1431
Hydra has an overall Aligulac rating of 2190
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 7397

Group D
Welmu has an overall Aligulac rating of 1672
Kane has an overall Aligulac rating of 1726
Bunny has an overall Aligulac rating of 1946
Has has an overall Aligulac rating of 1574
Giving this match an Aligulac Score of 6918

Which means the groups go in this order for Aligulac Scores
C > B > A > D


Group A has two 2nd places, two 3rd places, and a 4th place
Group B has three 2nd places and two 3rd places
Group C has five 1st places
Group D has a 3rd place and four 4th placs

Group C is easily our Group of Death! Congrats to Polt, MaNa, FireCake, and Hydra! Group B is our 2nd place Group of Death with Snute, MacSed, PiG, and ShoWTimE!

What do you think?
Poll: Group of Death?

Group C (213)
 
67%

Group A (62)
 
19%

Group D (33)
 
10%

Group B (12)
 
4%

320 total votes

Your vote: Group of Death?

(Vote): Group A
(Vote): Group B
(Vote): Group C
(Vote): Group D




Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 03 2015 18:24 GMT
#213
WCS Predictor 2015

GSL Qualifiers Season 2 in ~
kr Trap has a 55.85% chance to win
----going from 21.06% to 26.37% if they get 1st, or 14.34% if they don't.
kr Stats has a 54.22% chance to win
----going from 69.72% to 75.15% if they get 1st, or 63.28% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 53.74% chance to win
----going from 12.73% to 16.72% if they get 1st, or 8.09% if they don't.
kr Zest has a 52.41% chance to win
----going from 18.45% to 23.74% if they get 1st, or 12.63% if they don't.
kr Bbyong has a 50.95% chance to win
----going from 16.17% to 20.89% if they get 1st, or 11.26% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Cure has a 50.81% chance to win
----going from 11.4% to 15.11% if they get 1st, or 7.56% if they don't.
kr sOs has a 49.93% chance to win
----going from 15.37% to 20.66% if they get 1st, or 10.1% if they don't.
kr soO has a 46.59% chance to win
----going from 3.56% to 5.29% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't.
kr Flash has a 46.41% chance to win
----going from 6.06% to 8.54% if they get 1st, or 3.91% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 43.17% chance to win
----going from 3.23% to 4.99% if they get 1st, or 1.89% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 42.56% chance to win
----going from 1.92% to 3.06% if they get 1st, or 1.07% if they don't.
kr Hurricane has a 41.75% chance to win
----going from 1.77% to 2.89% if they get 1st, or 0.97% if they don't.
kr jjakji has a 41.68% chance to win
----going from 1.73% to 2.75% if they get 1st, or 0.99% if they don't.
kr Classic has a 41.06% chance to win
----going from 4.15% to 6.53% if they get 1st, or 2.5% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 40.9% chance to win
----going from 2.98% to 4.67% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't.
kr Leenock has a 40.77% chance to win
----going from 8.25% to 11.5% if they get 1st, or 6.01% if they don't.
kr ByuL has a 40.45% chance to win
----going from 1.38% to 2.29% if they get 1st, or 0.76% if they don't.
kr Sora has a 40.26% chance to win
----going from 1.42% to 2.41% if they get 1st, or 0.74% if they don't.
kr DongRaeGu has a 39.16% chance to win
----going from 1.09% to 1.85% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 39.03% chance to win
----going from 2.54% to 4.1% if they get 1st, or 1.53% if they don't.
kr Losira has a 37.81% chance to win
----going from 0.92% to 1.6% if they get 1st, or 0.51% if they don't.
kr Armani has a 37.63% chance to win
----going from 0.83% to 1.43% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't.
kr Trust has a 37.16% chance to win
----going from 0.84% to 1.49% if they get 1st, or 0.46% if they don't.
kr Mvp has a 36.31% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Center has a 36.01% chance to win
----going from 0.67% to 1.18% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't.
kr Pet has a 34.28% chance to win
----going from 0.46% to 0.86% if they get 1st, or 0.26% if they don't.
kr Symbol has a 33.86% chance to win
----going from 0.58% to 1.08% if they get 1st, or 0.32% if they don't.
kr Journey has a 33.77% chance to win
----going from 0.45% to 0.82% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 33.53% chance to win
----going from 0.44% to 0.85% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't.
kr Creator has a 33.31% chance to win
----going from 0.42% to 0.81% if they get 1st, or 0.22% if they don't.
kr MyuNgSiK has a 33.25% chance to win
----going from 1.06% to 1.93% if they get 1st, or 0.63% if they don't.
kr sKyHigh has a 33.15% chance to win
----going from 0.97% to 1.7% if they get 1st, or 0.61% if they don't.
kr Arthur has a 32.24% chance to win
----going from 0.35% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
kr Reality has a 31.9% chance to win
----going from 0.33% to 0.62% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
kr SuperNova has a 31.88% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 0.6% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
kr Impact has a 31.31% chance to win
----going from 0.26% to 0.52% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't.
kr eMotion has a 31.03% chance to win
----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't.
kr Ruin has a 30.9% chance to win
----going from 0.27% to 0.54% if they get 1st, or 0.15% if they don't.
kr RagnaroK has a 30.15% chance to win
----going from 0.21% to 0.43% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
kr Pigbaby has a 29.15% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 0.39% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
kr DeParture has a 28.84% chance to win
----going from 0.16% to 0.33% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
kr Revival has a 28.56% chance to win
----going from 0.29% to 0.58% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
kr Sorry has a 27.82% chance to win
----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
kr aLive has a 27.8% chance to win
----going from 0.14% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
kr Apocalypse has a 27.04% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 0.24% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
kr Oz has a 26.75% chance to win
----going from 0.12% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
kr KeeN has a 26.52% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 0.22% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
kr ParalyzE has a 25.61% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Ryung has a 25.5% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
kr Check has a 25.47% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 0.23% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
kr Shine has a 25.14% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
kr Spear has a 24.78% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
kr Action has a 24.72% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.14% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
kr Hush has a 24.61% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.16% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
kr CranK has a 23.59% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.13% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
kr Bunny has a 22.57% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
kr Sleep has a 21.39% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.06% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
kr Stork has a 20.5% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.07% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr BBoongBBoong has a 20.42% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr BrAvO has a 20.04% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Billowy has a 19.92% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Tiger has a 19.06% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Daisy has a 19.01% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.05% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Alicia has a 18.78% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.04% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr JYP has a 16.22% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Miso has a 10.21% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Rain has a 10.11% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Zoun has a 9.59% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr NesTea has a 9.41% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr SalvatioN has a 9.26% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr LabyRinth has a 9.07% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Balloon has a 8.99% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr TerrOr has a 8.94% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr TheStC has a 8.87% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr TAiLS has a 8.03% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Hunter has a 7.6% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr horror has a 5.84% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr TurN has a 5.29% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Pentatonix has a 5.09% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Grid has a 4.91% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr SpeeD has a 4.56% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Dynamite has a 4.53% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr TOP has a 4.38% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Gamja has a 3.87% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Nette has a 3.8% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr KellerMaN has a 3.79% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr FundManager has a 3.78% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Logotherapy has a 3.73% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr KIRA has a 3.69% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr 자유의날개 has a 3.67% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr 테란의최고 has a 3.47% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr TIME has a 3.34% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Picasso has a 3.2% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr 김정수 has a 3.19% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr NightMare has a 3.12% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Kan has a 3.06% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Mysticism has a 3.01% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr rapsody has a 2.99% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr Mamuri has a 2.94% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
kr CharSiuBao has a 2.78% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 04 2015 05:20 GMT
#214
WCS Predictor 2015
GSL Code S Season 1 Quaterfinals Day 1

kr MMA vs kr TY in
in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals.
kr MMA is at 34.32% Blizzcon Chances.
47.11% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 45.21%.
52.89% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.63%.
kr TY is at 56.3% Blizzcon Chances.
52.89% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 67.5%.
47.11% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.73%.

kr Solar vs kr PartinG in
in GSL Code S Season 1 quarterfinals.
kr Solar has the #2 Headband!
kr Solar is at 55.03% Blizzcon Chances.
51.12% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 65.89%.
48.88% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 43.67%.
kr PartinG is at 78.84% Blizzcon Chances.
48.88% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 89.18%.
51.12% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 68.96%.

GSL Code S Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 18.95% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr herO has a 17.53% chance to win
----going from 98.74% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.95% if they get 2nd.
kr PartinG has a 17.13% chance to win
----going from 78.84% to 99.55% if they get 1st, or 89.14% if they get 2nd.
kr INnoVation has a 12.84% chance to win
----going from 78.42% to 99.27% if they get 1st, or 88.75% if they get 2nd.
kr Solar has a 10.65% chance to win
----going from 55.03% to 91.96% if they get 1st, or 67.93% if they get 2nd.
kr TY has a 9.17% chance to win
----going from 56.3% to 96.65% if they get 1st, or 72.21% if they get 2nd.
kr MMA has a 7.26% chance to win
----going from 34.32% to 82.19% if they get 1st, or 48.23% if they get 2nd.
kr Rogue has a 6.48% chance to win
----going from 66.46% to 99.22% if they get 1st, or 83.75% if they get 2nd.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
OtherWorld
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
France17333 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-04 12:38:13
March 04 2015 12:38 GMT
#215
MMA with the points <3
Used Sigs - New Sigs - Cheap Sigs - Buy the Best Cheap Sig near You at www.cheapsigforsale.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-03-05 02:20:07
March 04 2015 18:49 GMT
#216
--------UPDATE Wednesday, Mar 04 6:50pm GMT (GMT+00:00) GSL Season 2 Qualifiers Completed! (Sim #1257)
Top 50 players by Blizzcon Chances.
  1. kr Life (KT), is at 99.97%, Min WCS Points: 2400, Median WCS Points: 6925
  2. kr herO (CJ Entus), is at 98.79%, Min WCS Points: 2275, Median WCS Points: 4975
  3. kr Maru (Jin Air), is at 98.42%, Min WCS Points: 1850, Median WCS Points: 5250
  4. kr PartinG (Yoe), is at 89.71%, Min WCS Points: 1675, Median WCS Points: 4175
  5. kr INnoVation (SKT T1), is at 78.47%, Min WCS Points: 1250, Median WCS Points: 3700
  6. kr ForGG (Millenium), is at 71.22%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3575
  7. kr Rogue (Jin Air), is at 66.99%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3175
  8. kr Dream (SKT T1), is at 66.74%, Min WCS Points: 1350, Median WCS Points: 3125
  9. kr Hydra (ROOT), is at 65.89%, Min WCS Points: 625, Median WCS Points: 3300
  10. kr Rain (mYinsanity), is at 61.11%, Min WCS Points: 1100, Median WCS Points: 3025
  11. kr Stats (KT), is at 54.99%, Min WCS Points: 1025, Median WCS Points: 2825
  12. kr MMA (Acer), is at 46.88%, Min WCS Points: 1050, Median WCS Points: 2625
  13. kr Solar (Samsung), is at 42.51%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 2500
  14. kr TY (KT), is at 41.06%, Min WCS Points: 1175, Median WCS Points: 2475
  15. no Snute (Liquid), is at 40.18%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2400
  16. kr Dark (SKT T1), is at 37.62%, Min WCS Points: 1000, Median WCS Points: 2400
  17. kr Dear (Samsung), is at 35.82%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 2300
  18. kr Trap (Jin Air), is at 35.34%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 2200
  19. kr Polt (CM Storm), is at 34.35%, Min WCS Points: 500, Median WCS Points: 2250
  20. kr Bbyong (CJ Entus), is at 26.55%, Min WCS Points: 550, Median WCS Points: 2000
  21. dk Bunny (Liquid), is at 22.89%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1825
  22. kr Super (Invasion), is at 22.33%, Min WCS Points: 925, Median WCS Points: 2000
  23. kr Soulkey (TCM), is at 22.31%, Min WCS Points: 1075, Median WCS Points: 2050
  24. kr TaeJa (Liquid), is at 21.86%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1750
  25. kr sOs (Jin Air), is at 21.71%, Min WCS Points: 800, Median WCS Points: 1925
  26. kr GuMiho (Invasion), is at 21.38%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1900
  27. kr FanTaSy (dPix), is at 17.13%, Min WCS Points: 750, Median WCS Points: 1800
  28. kr Terminator (Jin Air), is at 15.53%, Min WCS Points: 975, Median WCS Points: 1850
  29. kr Cure (Jin Air), is at 14.42%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1550
  30. kr Bomber, is at 14.13%, Min WCS Points: 525, Median WCS Points: 1600
  31. au PiG (x5), is at 11.16%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1450
  32. kr Flash (KT), is at 10.76%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1350
  33. de ShoWTimE (aTn), is at 10.63%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1425
  34. se NaNiwa, is at 9.59%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1275
  35. pl MaNa (Liquid), is at 9.27%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1350
  36. mx MajOr, is at 8.85%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1275
  37. kr Zest (KT), is at 8.48%, Min WCS Points: 375, Median WCS Points: 1375
  38. kr YoDa (Prime), is at 7.99%, Min WCS Points: 350, Median WCS Points: 1300
  39. ru Happy, is at 7.98%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1200
  40. kr viOLet (EnVy), is at 6.1%, Min WCS Points: 200, Median WCS Points: 1175
  41. no TargA (Imaginary), is at 6.07%, Min WCS Points: 150, Median WCS Points: 1125
  42. kr HyuN (ROCCAT), is at 5.95%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1100
  43. kr soO (SKT T1), is at 5.61%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1025
  44. kr Sacsri (mYinsanity), is at 5.58%, Min WCS Points: 50, Median WCS Points: 1025
  45. kr First (KT), is at 5.27%, Min WCS Points: 325, Median WCS Points: 1175
  46. kr Leenock (Yoe), is at 5.24%, Min WCS Points: 600, Median WCS Points: 1300
  47. fi Serral (mYinsanity), is at 4.97%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
  48. kr Patience (dPix), is at 4.51%, Min WCS Points: 300, Median WCS Points: 1150
  49. ca Kane (mYinsanity), is at 4.49%, Min WCS Points: 250, Median WCS Points: 1225
  50. kr MarineKing (MVP), is at 4.48%, Min WCS Points: 700, Median WCS Points: 1350
Full Player List

Biggest Winners and Losers from GSL S2 qualifiers and Code S S1 quarterfinals day 1 (Sim ID #1256 vs Sim ID #1257)
Biggest Winners
kr Trap went up by 14.27%, going from 21.06% to 35.34%
kr MMA went up by 12.56%, going from 34.32% to 46.88%
kr PartinG went up by 10.86%, going from 78.84% to 89.71%
kr Bbyong went up by 10.38%, going from 16.17% to 26.55%
kr sOs went up by 6.34%, going from 15.37% to 21.71%
kr Flash went up by 4.69%, going from 6.06% to 10.76%
kr Sacsri went up by 3.66%, going from 1.92% to 5.58%
+ Show Spoiler [More Winners] +

kr Cure went up by 3.04%, going from 11.38% to 14.42%
kr soO went up by 2.04%, going from 3.56% to 5.61%
kr Patience went up by 1.98%, going from 2.53% to 4.51%
kr DongRaeGu went up by 1.4%, going from 1.09% to 2.49%
kr ByuL went up by 1.39%, going from 1.38% to 2.77%
kr Trust went up by 1.22%, going from 0.84% to 2.06%
kr MyuNgSiK went up by 1.12%, going from 1.04% to 2.16%
no Snute went up by 1.06%, going from 39.11% to 40.18%
au PiG went up by 1.04%, going from 10.12% to 11.16%
kr Impact went up by 0.87%, going from 0.27% to 1.14%
dk Bunny went up by 0.84%, going from 22.05% to 22.89%
kr Creator went up by 0.83%, going from 0.42% to 1.25%
kr SuperNova went up by 0.67%, going from 0.32% to 0.99%
kr Symbol went up by 0.67%, going from 0.58% to 1.25%
kr HerO went up by 0.56%, going from 0.44% to 1.01%
kr Rogue went up by 0.53%, going from 66.46% to 66.99%
kr RagnaroK went up by 0.44%, going from 0.21% to 0.66%
kr Pigbaby went up by 0.33%, going from 0.19% to 0.52%
kr Polt went up by 0.32%, going from 34.03% to 34.35%
kr YoDa went up by 0.3%, going from 7.68% to 7.99%
kr FanTaSy went up by 0.3%, going from 16.83% to 17.13%
kr viOLet went up by 0.24%, going from 5.86% to 6.1%
kr Sorry went up by 0.23%, going from 0.14% to 0.37%
pl MaNa went up by 0.23%, going from 9.04% to 9.27%
de ShoWTimE went up by 0.22%, going from 10.41% to 10.63%
kr Ryung went up by 0.22%, going from 0.08% to 0.3%
kr Shine went up by 0.19%, going from 0.07% to 0.26%
kr ForGG went up by 0.19%, going from 71.03% to 71.22%
no TargA went up by 0.19%, going from 5.88% to 6.07%
se NaNiwa went up by 0.16%, going from 9.43% to 9.59%
fi Serral went up by 0.15%, going from 4.82% to 4.97%
kr Billowy went up by 0.14%, going from 0.02% to 0.16%
kr BrAvO went up by 0.13%, going from 0.02% to 0.15%
ru Happy went up by 0.13%, going from 7.85% to 7.98%
tw Has went up by 0.12%, going from 1.97% to 2.09%
tw Sen went up by 0.12%, going from 2.09% to 2.21%
fi Welmu went up by 0.11%, going from 3.44% to 3.54%


Biggest Losers
kr TY went down by 15.24%, going from 56.3% to 41.06%
kr Stats went down by 14.72%, going from 69.72% to 54.99%
kr Solar went down by 12.52%, going from 55.03% to 42.51%
kr Zest went down by 9.96%, going from 18.44% to 8.48%
kr HyuN went down by 6.77%, going from 12.71% to 5.95%
kr Leenock went down by 3.02%, going from 8.26% to 5.24%
kr GuMiho went down by 2.9%, going from 24.28% to 21.38%
+ Show Spoiler [More Losers] +

kr Classic went down by 2.49%, going from 4.16% to 1.67%
kr Hydra went down by 2.04%, going from 67.93% to 65.89%
kr TaeJa went down by 1.61%, going from 23.47% to 21.86%
mx MajOr went down by 1.37%, going from 10.22% to 8.85%
kr Rain went down by 1.2%, going from 62.31% to 61.11%
kr Jaedong went down by 1.11%, going from 2.98% to 1.87%
kr jjakji went down by 1.07%, going from 1.73% to 0.66%
kr Sora went down by 0.92%, going from 1.41% to 0.49%
kr Hurricane went down by 0.79%, going from 1.78% to 0.99%
kr TRUE went down by 0.68%, going from 3.23% to 2.55%
kr Bomber went down by 0.67%, going from 14.81% to 14.13%
kr Losira went down by 0.61%, going from 0.92% to 0.31%
kr San went down by 0.59%, going from 4.28% to 3.68%
kr Super went down by 0.49%, going from 22.82% to 22.33%
kr Terminator went down by 0.49%, going from 16.02% to 15.53%
kr Dark went down by 0.41%, going from 38.03% to 37.62%
kr sKyHigh went down by 0.39%, going from 0.96% to 0.58%
kr Soulkey went down by 0.37%, going from 22.67% to 22.31%
ca Kane went down by 0.36%, going from 4.85% to 4.49%
kr MarineKing went down by 0.31%, going from 4.79% to 4.48%
kr Hack went down by 0.31%, going from 1.36% to 1.05%
kr Center went down by 0.3%, going from 0.67% to 0.37%
kr Armani went down by 0.29%, going from 0.83% to 0.54%
kr Reality went down by 0.27%, going from 0.33% to 0.06%
kr Journey went down by 0.26%, going from 0.45% to 0.19%
kr First went down by 0.25%, going from 5.52% to 5.27%
kr Dream went down by 0.23%, going from 66.97% to 66.74%
kr Heart went down by 0.21%, going from 0.94% to 0.72%
kr Pet went down by 0.2%, going from 0.46% to 0.26%
fr Lilbow went down by 0.18%, going from 1.74% to 1.56%
kr eMotion went down by 0.17%, going from 0.29% to 0.12%
kr Curious went down by 0.16%, going from 1.73% to 1.57%
kr Arthur went down by 0.15%, going from 0.35% to 0.2%
kr Revival went down by 0.14%, going from 0.29% to 0.16%
kr MC went down by 0.11%, going from 2.17% to 2.05%
kr Ruin went down by 0.11%, going from 0.27% to 0.17%


Foreigner Hope
Chances of 1+ foreigners 89.97%
Chances of 2+ foreigners 54.11%
Chances of 3+ foreigners 17.32%
Chances of 4+ foreigners 2.77%

no Snute 10.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 40.18% chance overall.
dk Bunny 5.13% chance to be the only foreigner, 22.89% chance overall.
au PiG 2.26% chance to be the only foreigner, 11.16% chance overall.
de ShoWTimE 2.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 10.63% chance overall.
se NaNiwa 1.95% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.59% chance overall.
pl MaNa 1.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.27% chance overall.
mx MajOr 1.77% chance to be the only foreigner, 8.85% chance overall.
+ Show Spoiler [More Foreigner Hopes] +

ru Happy 1.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.98% chance overall.
no TargA 1.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.07% chance overall.
fi Serral 0.92% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.97% chance overall.
ca Kane 0.84% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.49% chance overall.
fi Welmu 0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.54% chance overall.
tw Sen 0.42% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.21% chance overall.
tw Has 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall.
cn Jim 0.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.01% chance overall.
de TLO 0.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall.
ca HuK 0.34% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.75% chance overall.
es VortiX 0.33% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.8% chance overall.
fr Lilbow 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.56% chance overall.
pl Nerchio 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.1% chance overall.
se MorroW 0.2% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.03% chance overall.
cn MacSed 0.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.81% chance overall.
nl uThermal 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.75% chance overall.
cn XiGua 0.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.78% chance overall.
fr MarineLorD 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall.
de HeRoMaRinE 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.68% chance overall.
au iaguz 0.12% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.64% chance overall.
ca MaSa 0.09% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.48% chance overall.
us puCK 0.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.41% chance overall.
uk Boombox 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.34% chance overall.
ca Scarlett 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.32% chance overall.
nz Petraeus 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 0.33% chance overall.


Headbands
kr Life is the current #1 Headband holder with 1 defenses!
kr PartinG is the current #2 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr herO is the current #3 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
kr sOs is the current #4 Headband holder with 0 defenses!
+ Show Spoiler [Headband History] +

kr PartinG won the #2 from kr Solar at GSL Code S Season 1
kr herO won the #3 from kr Maru at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Maru won the #3 from kr PartinG at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar defended the #2 from kr Rogue at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Solar won the #2 from kr Dream at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dream won the #2 from kr Dark at StarLeague Season 1
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr TY at StarLeague Season 1
kr Life defended the #1 from kr PartinG at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG defended the #3 from kr Classic at IEM Taipei
kr PartinG won the #3 from kr Maru at IEM Taipei
kr Maru won the #3 from kr TRUE at IEM Taipei
kr Dark defended the #2 from kr Dear at GSL Code S Season 1
kr Dark won the #2 from kr MMA at GSL Code S Season 1
kr TRUE won the #3 from kr Leenock at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr jjakji at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock defended the #3 from kr Sacsri at IEM Taipei Stage 1
kr Leenock won the #3 from kr Terminator at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator defended the #3 from kr FanTaSy at StarLeague Season 1
kr Terminator won the #3 from kr TaeJa at StarLeague Season 1
kr sOs won the #4 from kr MarineKing at Hot6ix Cup
kr MarineKing won the #4 from kr Zest at Hot6ix Cup
kr Zest won the #4 from kr Soulkey at Hot6ix Cup
kr Soulkey won the #4 from kr Flash at Hot6ix Cup
kr Flash won the #4 from kr Classic at Hot6ix Cup
kr Life won the #1 from kr MMA at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr MMA won the #2 from kr Classic at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr Classic won the #4 from kr herO at WCS Global Finals 2014
kr TaeJa won the #3 from kr INnoVation at WCS Global Finals 2014


WCS Point Cutoffs
0.96% of the time 2325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
9.6% of the time 2500 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
31.95% of the time 2650 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
52.21% of the time 2750 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
71.55% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
90.37% of the time 3000 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon
99.07% of the time 3225 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

Don't forget about NSSL tonight!

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.25% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.99% chance to win
----going from 55.01% to 88.53% if they get 1st, or 58.12% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.7% chance to win
----going from 66.74% to 97.16% if they get 1st, or 73.63% if they get 2nd.


Check out the fantasy league WCS Wars!
-----------------------
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 05 2015 02:23 GMT
#217
mind the reschedule for NSSL semifinals, both matches are being played tonight

WCS Predictor 2015

kr Stats vs kr Maru in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Stats is at 54.97% Blizzcon Chances.
42.35% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 69.55%.
57.65% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 44.25%.
kr Maru is at 98.42% Blizzcon Chances.
57.65% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.6%.
42.35% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 96.82%.

kr Life vs kr Dream in
in StarLeague Season 1 semifinals.
kr Life is at 99.97% Blizzcon Chances.
66.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.99%.
33.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 99.91%.
kr Dream is at 66.68% Blizzcon Chances.
33.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 83.26%.
66.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 58.44%.

StarLeague Season 1 Winning Chances
kr Life has a 39.05% chance to win
----going from 99.97% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 31.3% chance to win
----going from 98.42% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 99.14% if they get 2nd.
kr Stats has a 15.97% chance to win
----going from 54.97% to 88.49% if they get 1st, or 58.08% if they get 2nd.
kr Dream has a 13.67% chance to win
----going from 66.68% to 97.15% if they get 1st, or 73.53% if they get 2nd.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18445 Posts
March 05 2015 09:09 GMT
#218
Since I cannot win as long as Life keeps winning I will go all in and buy Dream.
Second place is just the first loser so I don't want it either
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18445 Posts
March 05 2015 13:52 GMT
#219
CHA CHING
Comeback starting? :0
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17677 Posts
March 05 2015 13:53 GMT
#220
On March 05 2015 22:52 sharkie wrote:
CHA CHING
Comeback starting? :0

sickest pick
I bought Life and he immediately loses.... T_T
"Expert" mods4ever.com
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