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[Code S] Ro32 Group C Preview - Season 3

Forum Index > SC2 General
19 CommentsPost a Reply

[Code S] Ro32 Group C Preview - Season 3

Text byCosmicSpiral
Graphics byMeru
August 8th, 2014 02:00 GMT
2014 GSL Season 3

GSL Season Three
Code S



Group C Preview
Maru, Hush, Reality, Trap

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

Group C:
Terran Down the Walls


by CosmicSpiral

One season ago, Code S looked like a more depressing version of the Planet of the Apes. At least 4 people made the crash landing at the beginning of the film – a virtual tribe compared to the 2 terrans who hit the Ro16! Now we have 2 terrans after 2 days of competition, and no doubt fans are itching to see more representation by the end of the Ro32 group stage.

Luckily for them Jin Air.(T)Maru isn’t susceptible to shifts in form. His consistency made him a quiet hero during the first half of 2014 as terran approached the brink of extinction. When all other terrans flubbed to protoss trickery and the zerg deluge, Maru rose to the occasion and became a world-class threat. Over the last year, he has been the second-most consistent GSL player; since winning it all in 2013 WCS Season 2, he’s never finished lower than the Ro8. Only soO can boast better results with his 3 consecutive finals (ignoring the Kong line inheritance, of course). Maru’s recent record is clean with the exception of TvP, where he is only 3-10 in the last 2 months. Granted, 4 of those losses were against Classic in the GSL semi finals and the rest come from great opponents. But it could prove to be a spot of trouble if Maru is forced to exclusively play the matchup due to the Swiss format. Fortunately this is one of the weaker groups in the Ro32. Only 1 player should be a meaningful threat if he matches up against Maru twice, and that would be odd considering he is the other favorite to make it out.

Of course I am referring to (P)Trap. A former STX SouL sniper turned lukewarm IM pickup turned unsigned champion, Trap is perhaps the hottest free agent in the Korean scene. The trademarks and limitations are still there: PvZ that can alternate between inspired and sad, a “go with the flow approach” to PvP that yields the type of results you’d expect, PvT that constantly irritates opponents into bad decisions with warp prism harass and excellent drop defense. But he’s playing on an inspired level since MLG Anaheim, particularly in regards to his underappreciated PvT. Prior to 2013 WCS Season 3 it was his flabbiest matchup, one where he lacked confidence in his macro play and exclusively relied on gimmicks like immortal/sentry timings. Now he’s on a 16-1 streak over the last 2 months with wins over Bbyong, Reality, KeeN and a 6-0 sweep of Polt at Anaheim. Sure it’s not scary at face value. That streak is not the stuff of legend that would make Reality or Maru quake in their boots. However, it means Trap goes into the group with both great confidence and great momentum. That combination has already proven more than enough to get EffOrt and Cure through, so Trap’s chances are as high as they will ever get.

Nevertheless, let’s not dismiss CJ.(P)Hush so quickly. It’s true he had a relatively easy road to this point, getting his 2 wins over an underperforming TAiLS, and couldn’t handle the pressure against Flash. He has not grabbed our attention with outstanding showings in other tournaments; his 7-5 Proleague record lacks the 'oomph' to make others take notice). He is not a monster in any single matchup. Despite all this damning evidence Hush seems unusually fearless for a rookie. During his Code A winner interview he was positively jocular, laughing at his teammates’ doubt and wishing for a rematch against Flash. First-time Code S players usually suffer from anxiety and doubt, so it’s refreshing to see Hush display such flippant confidence. If only he had more bite to go with the bark. Confidence and momentum are usually enough to trump experience, yet Hush is desperately missing that burst of results necessary to form an advantage. Perhaps he will reach that point soon but it doesn't appear to be his time.

Samsung.(T)Reality is the best terran on his team. To clarify, that’s not a comforting thought. Whether it’s a mental block or a skill deficiency, Reality has hit the wall of the Code S-Code A divide hard. His success in the GSL has been lackluster so far: either he flames out in the Ro48 of Code A or fights up to Code S, only to be booted out. During the 2012-2013 Proleague season he went 19-20; this year it was 7-8. He’s made Code S twice and has yet to get past the Ro32. Almost everything else is either nondescript or not worth recording. Even his RBBG qualifier run was pretty meh on reflection, his only impressive victim being SuperNova. Additionally Reality’s TvP has been an issue over the last few months, good enough to take on middlemen but insufficient against the best. With the exception of taking out a struggling herO in his Code A group, Reality has consistently lost against top-tier protosses like sOs and PartinG. This bodes poorly when TvP looks like your ticket into the next round.

Overall Predictions:

The group outcome ought to be obvious. Maru and Trap are simply better than their opponents and it would take some epic choking for them to forfeit that advantage. Right now Trap’s PvT appears to have no major weaknesses and a helluva lot of strengths, including caution in the early game. He has the clear advantage against Reaity in the first match and very good odds against Maru if they meet at any point. Now if Hush beats Maru and Trap beats Reality, Hush has a decent shot of upsetting Trap since Trap’s PvP is still wonky. However, this is assuming Maru’s TvP degeneration is even worse than expected. Reality is going to have a tough time of it as he will likely have to beat Maru and Trap to advance, and his current condition isn’t screaming “upset” right now.

Maru > Hush
Reality < Trap
Maru < Trap
Reality < Hush
Maru > Hush

(P)Trap and (T)Maru advance to the Round of 16.

Writers: CosmicSpiral.
Graphics: Meru.
Photo: GOMeXP.
Editor: lichter.
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WriterWovon man nicht sprechen kann, darüber muß man schweigen.
partydude89
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
1850 Posts
August 08 2014 02:12 GMT
#2
Predicting another 2 terrans to make it though tonight, oh how things have changed...
#1 Official Hack Fan|#2 Bomber behind Wintex.|Curious|Life|Flash|TY|Cure|Maru|sOs|Jin Air Green Wings fighting!|SBENU Fighting!|
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
August 08 2014 02:14 GMT
#3
I think that if you switch Reality and Trap and then you switch Maru with Reality you get the actual results.

Maru > Hush
Reality > Trap
Maru > Reality
Hush > Trap
Reality > Hush

Also you have a < sign wrong in the predictions :D
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-08 02:20:22
August 08 2014 02:19 GMT
#4
Hush > Maru
Reality < trap
Hush > trap
Reality > Maru
Reality > trap
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 08 2014 02:22 GMT
#5
wow jin air bandwagoner already getting off the maru train?
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
myxoma_strain
Profile Joined December 2013
United Kingdom371 Posts
August 08 2014 02:38 GMT
#6
I can't help but imagine Classic and Dear laughing at Trap for only having an mlg and not a gsl.
Thrillz
Profile Joined May 2012
4313 Posts
August 08 2014 03:07 GMT
#7
On August 08 2014 11:38 myxoma_strain wrote:
I can't help but imagine Classic and Dear laughing at Trap for only having an mlg and not a gsl.


Kinda crazy how successful the former STX players have been... poor STX T.T
Motlu
Profile Joined August 2014
Australia884 Posts
August 08 2014 03:13 GMT
#8
Stylistically Trap is one of my favourite tosses, so I'm glad he has a good chance of making it through. If he's still in the form he was in when he swept Polt, Reality should be a cakewalk and Maru not much harder.

Also all those people backing Hush and Reality over Maru and Trap, what are you on!? (Please don't let me down >.<)
-
ZeeSC2
Profile Joined May 2011
United States134 Posts
August 08 2014 03:15 GMT
#9
I don't see how Maru won't get out first in the group honestly. I mean Trap is a solid toss but Maru is easily top 3 Terran in Korea
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
August 08 2014 03:21 GMT
#10
Maru and Trap are almost a guarantee to get out of this group. Bong COULD theoretically surprise if he gets a PvP, but there is less than a fraction of an iota of a chance for Reality to go through.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
ZigguratOfUr
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Iraq16955 Posts
August 08 2014 03:30 GMT
#11
I'm really feeling another two terrans this group, despite Reality. I think we'll get a terran dominated quarter final in the GSL for the first time in a long while.
lichter
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
1001 YEARS KESPAJAIL22272 Posts
August 08 2014 03:31 GMT
#12
The real question is, will we finally get a TvT in 2014?
AdministratorYOU MUST HEED MY INSTRUCTIONS TAKE OFF YOUR THIIIINGS
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
August 08 2014 03:33 GMT
#13
On August 08 2014 12:31 lichter wrote:
The real question is, will we finally get a TvT in 2014?


Nope.

Maru > Hush
Trap > Reality
Maru > Trap
Reality > Hush
Trap > Reality
The world is better when every background has a chance.
BlackWaste
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4 Posts
August 08 2014 03:50 GMT
#14
Maru’s recent record is clean with the exception of TvP, where he is only 3-10 in the last 2 months. Granted, 4 of those losses were against Classic in the GSL finals and the rest come from great opponents.


Wasn't it the Semifinals that Classic beat Maru in?
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13973 Posts
August 08 2014 04:45 GMT
#15
On August 08 2014 12:50 BlackWaste wrote:
Show nested quote +
Maru’s recent record is clean with the exception of TvP, where he is only 3-10 in the last 2 months. Granted, 4 of those losses were against Classic in the GSL finals and the rest come from great opponents.


Wasn't it the Semifinals that Classic beat Maru in?

Yes classic beat soojwa in the finals
Kaina + Drones Linkcro Summon Cupsie Yummy Way
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
August 08 2014 06:28 GMT
#16
Maruuuuuuu
Community News
TL+ Member
Edpayasugo
Profile Joined April 2013
United Kingdom2214 Posts
August 08 2014 07:50 GMT
#17
Trap looked good against BByong, hopeing to see him and Maru face off
FlaSh MMA INnoVation FanTaSy MKP TY Ryung | soO Dark Rogue | HuK PartinG Stork State
MiniFotToss
Profile Joined December 2013
China2430 Posts
August 08 2014 08:36 GMT
#18
On August 08 2014 11:38 myxoma_strain wrote:
I can't help but imagine Classic and Dear laughing at Trap for only having an mlg and not a gsl.


Why would Classic do that if he didnt even win one series and just got smashed two nights ago?
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
August 08 2014 21:14 GMT
#19
It just wouldn't be fair if Maru didn't make it out
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
August 09 2014 02:45 GMT
#20
On August 08 2014 11:22 lichter wrote:
wow jin air bandwagoner already getting off the maru train?

It was a sick mind game
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
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