• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 13:59
CEST 19:59
KST 02:59
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL20] Ro8 Preview Pt2: Holding On6Maestros of the Game: Live Finals Preview (RO4)5TL.net Map Contest #21 - Finalists4Team TLMC #5: Vote to Decide Ladder Maps!0[ASL20] Ro8 Preview Pt1: Mile High15
Community News
5.0.15 Balance Patch Notes23$2,500 WardiTV TL Map Contest Tournament 150Stellar Fest: StarCraft II returns to Canada7Weekly Cups (Sept 22-28): MaxPax double, Zerg wins, PTR12BSL Season 217
StarCraft 2
General
5.0.15 Balance Patch Notes SC2 5.0.15 PTR Patch Notes + Sept 22nd update Stellar Fest: StarCraft II returns to Canada Had to smile :) Weekly Cups (Sept 22-28): MaxPax double, Zerg wins, PTR
Tourneys
Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament $2,500 WardiTV TL Map Contest Tournament 15 Stellar Fest LANified! 37: Groundswell, BYOC LAN, Nov 28-30 2025 Maestros of The Game—$20k event w/ live finals in Paris
Strategy
Custom Maps
External Content
Mutation # 493 Quick Killers Mutation # 492 Get Out More Mutation # 491 Night Drive Mutation # 490 Masters of Midnight
Brood War
General
[NSFW] 18+ DISGUSTING Bad Manner DO NOT WATCH BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ Thoughts on rarely used units ASL20 General Discussion Artosis vs Ret Showmatch
Tourneys
[ASL20] Ro8 Day 4 3D!Community Brood War Super Cup №3 [ASL20] Ro8 Day 3 BSL Team Wars - Grand Finals - Sunday 21:00 CET
Strategy
Current Meta I am doing this better than progamers do. Simple Questions, Simple Answers Cliff Jump Revisited (1 in a 1000 strategy)
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread Dawn of War IV Path of Exile Liquipedia App: Now Covering SC2 and Brood War!
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion LiquidDota to reintegrate into TL.net
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
Russo-Ukrainian War Thread US Politics Mega-thread The Games Industry And ATVI Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Canadian Politics Mega-thread
Fan Clubs
The herO Fan Club! The Happy Fan Club!
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece
Sports
2024 - 2026 Football Thread Formula 1 Discussion TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
SC2 Client Relocalization [Change SC2 Language] Linksys AE2500 USB WIFI keeps disconnecting Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List BarCraft in Tokyo Japan for ASL Season5 Final
Blogs
[AI] Sorry, Chill, My Bad :…
Peanutsc
Try to reverse getting fired …
Garnet
[ASL20] Players bad at pi…
pullarius1
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 1733 users

Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 45

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 43 44 45 46 47 78 Next
xN.07)MaK
Profile Joined January 2006
Spain1159 Posts
October 17 2013 18:02 GMT
#881
On October 17 2013 18:07 playnice wrote:
aLive is the Virus of the qualified players. I really wish Soo qualifies so we have another Zerg.


That's a bit disrespectful, tbh. Alive to win the whole thing!
El micro es el último recurso que les queda a los que no producen lo suficiente
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-17 18:25:37
October 17 2013 18:24 GMT
#882
On October 18 2013 03:02 xN.07)MaK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 17 2013 18:07 playnice wrote:
aLive is the Virus of the qualified players. I really wish Soo qualifies so we have another Zerg.


That's a bit disrespectful, tbh. Alive to win the whole thing!


I don't know, Virus wasn't that bad back in 2011.

But aLive is badly underrated. He's not a world-beater but he's very solid and he tends to show entertaining games. I've heard some casters refer to him as a kind of "boring" (i.e., predictable) player, but I have never felt that about him, I remember him doing fun stuff like proxy window mines. If anyone hasn't seen it, watch his series against First in the Season 2 finals QF (at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4ugXHZCPDI); TaeJa/INnoVation might have been the game of that tournament, but I think this was the best SERIES in the tournament.
volta1
Profile Joined May 2013
13 Posts
October 17 2013 19:13 GMT
#883
This thread is excellent! I've been checking it after each match - thank you for compiling this.
Nesserev
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium2760 Posts
October 18 2013 03:36 GMT
#884
--- Nuked ---
redpeople
Profile Joined July 2013
70 Posts
October 18 2013 04:05 GMT
#885
Nice to see finale secured a spot
The God of the stomach is at war with the God of kidneys
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
October 18 2013 04:24 GMT
#886
Looks like Naniwa is Polt's biggest fan right now. Polt wins WCS America and does well in the season finals, Naniwa is in.
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
October 18 2013 04:26 GMT
#887
On October 18 2013 13:24 coverpunch wrote:
Looks like Naniwa is Polt's biggest fan right now. Polt wins WCS America and does well in the season finals, Naniwa is in.

Unless Revival wins his WCS Challenger League group and ties with NaNiwa in points. ;o
Dragoonstorm7
Profile Joined December 2012
United States599 Posts
October 18 2013 04:29 GMT
#888
On October 18 2013 13:24 coverpunch wrote:
Looks like Naniwa is Polt's biggest fan right now. Polt wins WCS America and does well in the season finals, Naniwa is in.

Naniwa is a fan of everyone above him in points.
Nothing makes Polt special or anything, you could say the same about HerO, JD, MC etc.
oblivion awaits- dark archon (aka best unit ever)
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 18 2013 04:31 GMT
#889
Updated with WCS AM ro16 completed. Working on GSL Finals edition now.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
October 18 2013 05:05 GMT
#890
On October 18 2013 13:26 Elite_ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2013 13:24 coverpunch wrote:
Looks like Naniwa is Polt's biggest fan right now. Polt wins WCS America and does well in the season finals, Naniwa is in.

Unless Revival wins his WCS Challenger League group and ties with NaNiwa in points. ;o


Actually even if Revival ties NaNiwa they'd just be tied for 15th place so they'd both get in. The complication arises if both Revival ties NaNiwa AND someone (most likely soO) passes them in points, then NaNiwa and Revival are tied for 16th and you'd need some kind of tiebreaker.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 18 2013 05:20 GMT
#891
GSL Finals Edition is posted!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
scsnow
Profile Joined April 2010
Slovenia515 Posts
October 18 2013 06:38 GMT
#892
I like not only you update your program with results, but you are developing it all the time!
Basically I am looking this after every major results, especially for naniwa.

Great job man!
playnice
Profile Joined October 2011
Malaysia299 Posts
October 18 2013 06:58 GMT
#893
On October 18 2013 03:24 Yakikorosu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2013 03:02 xN.07)MaK wrote:
On October 17 2013 18:07 playnice wrote:
aLive is the Virus of the qualified players. I really wish Soo qualifies so we have another Zerg.


That's a bit disrespectful, tbh. Alive to win the whole thing!


I don't know, Virus wasn't that bad back in 2011.

But aLive is badly underrated. He's not a world-beater but he's very solid and he tends to show entertaining games. I've heard some casters refer to him as a kind of "boring" (i.e., predictable) player, but I have never felt that about him, I remember him doing fun stuff like proxy window mines. If anyone hasn't seen it, watch his series against First in the Season 2 finals QF (at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4ugXHZCPDI); TaeJa/INnoVation might have been the game of that tournament, but I think this was the best SERIES in the tournament.

I didn't mean it in a disrespectful way. Just saying that he is the odd man out of all the others.

Btw, great updates!
Nesserev
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Belgium2760 Posts
October 18 2013 10:27 GMT
#894
--- Nuked ---
dala
Profile Joined August 2010
Sweden477 Posts
October 18 2013 12:49 GMT
#895
Super Big thank's to OP!
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
October 18 2013 13:12 GMT
#896
On October 18 2013 15:58 playnice wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 18 2013 03:24 Yakikorosu wrote:
On October 18 2013 03:02 xN.07)MaK wrote:
On October 17 2013 18:07 playnice wrote:
aLive is the Virus of the qualified players. I really wish Soo qualifies so we have another Zerg.


That's a bit disrespectful, tbh. Alive to win the whole thing!


I don't know, Virus wasn't that bad back in 2011.

But aLive is badly underrated. He's not a world-beater but he's very solid and he tends to show entertaining games. I've heard some casters refer to him as a kind of "boring" (i.e., predictable) player, but I have never felt that about him, I remember him doing fun stuff like proxy window mines. If anyone hasn't seen it, watch his series against First in the Season 2 finals QF (at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P4ugXHZCPDI); TaeJa/INnoVation might have been the game of that tournament, but I think this was the best SERIES in the tournament.

I didn't mean it in a disrespectful way. Just saying that he is the odd man out of all the others.

Btw, great updates!

That's what I thought! #1 Alive fan right here.
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
ffadicted
Profile Joined January 2011
United States3545 Posts
October 18 2013 16:02 GMT
#897
Great post Fizzy in Naniwa club outlining everyone's chances agains naniwa. Dear and soO are really scaring me, because they're both more than capable of getting top4/top2 at seasonal finals

On October 18 2013 18:43 Fizzy wrote:
Dear needs atleast 1451 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing top 2 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

soO needs atleast 901 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 8 at Season Finals OR by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

Trap needs atleast 1751 points, and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Unlikely

Genius needs atleast 1901 points and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Oz needs atleast 1601 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing 2nd at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Hack needs atleast 2501 points and can gain this by winning WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Macsed needs atleast 2001 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing top top 2 at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Vortix needs atleast 1051 points, and can gain this by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Impossible lol



I'm really scared about soO and Dear tbh. I guess the best think to do is back one up entirely rather then hoping they both fail, so we should cheer for soO in the finals? The Revival tiebreaker also scares me, makes me so pissed that he won those IEM points essentially for free. Blizzard should look at that and let naniwa in honestly, but likely it'll be some sort of Bo5 or Revival will find some way to get in from dirty EG esports money (loljk).

Plz nani plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
SooYoung-Noona!
Greendotz
Profile Joined October 2011
United Kingdom2053 Posts
October 18 2013 16:29 GMT
#898
On October 18 2013 14:20 Die4Ever wrote:
GSL Finals Edition is posted!


This thread is awesome, really adds to the hype, keep up the good work.
Bertholdz
Profile Joined July 2013
23 Posts
October 18 2013 17:48 GMT
#899
On October 19 2013 01:02 ffadicted wrote:
Great post Fizzy in Naniwa club outlining everyone's chances agains naniwa. Dear and soO are really scaring me, because they're both more than capable of getting top4/top2 at seasonal finals

Show nested quote +
On October 18 2013 18:43 Fizzy wrote:
Dear needs atleast 1451 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing top 2 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

soO needs atleast 901 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 8 at Season Finals OR by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

Trap needs atleast 1751 points, and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Unlikely

Genius needs atleast 1901 points and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Oz needs atleast 1601 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing 2nd at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Hack needs atleast 2501 points and can gain this by winning WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Macsed needs atleast 2001 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing top top 2 at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Vortix needs atleast 1051 points, and can gain this by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Impossible lol



I'm really scared about soO and Dear tbh. I guess the best think to do is back one up entirely rather then hoping they both fail, so we should cheer for soO in the finals? The Revival tiebreaker also scares me, makes me so pissed that he won those IEM points essentially for free. Blizzard should look at that and let naniwa in honestly, but likely it'll be some sort of Bo5 or Revival will find some way to get in from dirty EG esports money (loljk).

Plz nani plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz


I believe you are quite right there, Naniwafans should hope for soo to win, cause it forces Dear to make the finals. Otherwise we prob have a situation where both dear and soo playing quarterfinals and one of them MUST lose. That feels like a more uncomfortable situation.

The discussion about Revival I just fail to understand. He forfeited his spor in challengerbracket and will not even have the 25 xtra. I doubt they would dare give him those points in addition to his IEM-points, cause that would be a real scandal of course.

No just hope for Soo tomorrow and then dear have to face MMA, jaedong, Soulkey or Polt in the finalsbracket. That seems to be the most comforting situation.
Yakikorosu
Profile Joined March 2013
1203 Posts
October 18 2013 18:00 GMT
#900
On October 19 2013 01:02 ffadicted wrote:
Great post Fizzy in Naniwa club outlining everyone's chances agains naniwa. Dear and soO are really scaring me, because they're both more than capable of getting top4/top2 at seasonal finals

Show nested quote +
On October 18 2013 18:43 Fizzy wrote:
Dear needs atleast 1451 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing top 2 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

soO needs atleast 901 points, and can gain this by either winning the WCS Kr finals tomorrow and then placing top 8 at Season Finals OR by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Very Likely

Trap needs atleast 1751 points, and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Unlikely

Genius needs atleast 1901 points and can gain this by winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Oz needs atleast 1601 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing 2nd at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Very Unlikely

Hack needs atleast 2501 points and can gain this by winning WCS NA and then winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Macsed needs atleast 2001 points and can gain this by either winning WCS NA and then placing top 4 at Season Finals OR by placing 2nd-4th at WCS NA and then placing top top 2 at Season Finals OR by placing 5th-6th at WCS NA and winning the Season Finals.
Impossible

Vortix needs atleast 1051 points, and can gain this by placing top 4 at the Season Finals.
Impossible lol



I'm really scared about soO and Dear tbh. I guess the best think to do is back one up entirely rather then hoping they both fail, so we should cheer for soO in the finals? The Revival tiebreaker also scares me, makes me so pissed that he won those IEM points essentially for free. Blizzard should look at that and let naniwa in honestly, but likely it'll be some sort of Bo5 or Revival will find some way to get in from dirty EG esports money (loljk).

Plz nani plzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz


I don't think those Fizzy numbers are right. I didn't check them all, but just for example if VortiX finishes 3rd-4th in Season Finals, he's still slightly behind NaNiwa. Even though that gives +1500 points and he's currently listed as about 1100 points behind NaNiwa, keep in mind the numbers in the standings already factor in everyone qualified for Season Finals getting 500 points as the minimum you could get. So VortiX would actually need to make it to the finals to pass NaNiwa.
Prev 1 43 44 45 46 47 78 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 5h 1m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
mouzHeroMarine 762
UpATreeSC 164
ProTech77
BRAT_OK 72
Railgan 19
MindelVK 19
StarCraft: Brood War
Larva 911
EffOrt 510
firebathero 224
Dewaltoss 116
actioN 108
Mind 65
JYJ62
Rock 29
scan(afreeca) 24
Movie 16
[ Show more ]
Shine 7
Dota 2
qojqva4735
Dendi1441
420jenkins647
Counter-Strike
fl0m2558
ScreaM1199
Super Smash Bros
Mew2King57
Heroes of the Storm
Liquid`Hasu0
Other Games
FrodaN1387
Beastyqt851
ArmadaUGS157
Sick109
C9.Mang0108
KnowMe90
TKL 75
QueenE49
Trikslyr47
Livibee40
NeuroSwarm34
ceh90
Organizations
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 16 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• Reevou 1
• intothetv
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• C_a_k_e 3626
• Ler82
League of Legends
• TFBlade867
Other Games
• imaqtpie1475
• Shiphtur198
Upcoming Events
Online Event
5h 1m
The PondCast
16h 1m
Map Test Tournament
17h 1m
Online Event
1d 5h
Wardi Open
1d 17h
Online Event
1d 23h
Online Event
2 days
[BSL 2025] Weekly
3 days
Safe House 2
3 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
3 days
[ Show More ]
BSL Team Wars
4 days
Team Bonyth vs Team Dewalt
Dewalt vs kogeT
JDConan vs Tarson
RaNgeD vs DragOn
StRyKeR vs Bonyth
Aeternum vs Hejek
Replay Cast
4 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Proleague 2025-09-25
Maestros of the Game
HCC Europe

Ongoing

BSL 20 Team Wars
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 3
BSL 21 Points
ASL Season 20
CSL 2025 AUTUMN (S18)
EC S1
ESL Pro League S22
Urban Riga Open #1
FERJEE Rush 2025
Birch Cup 2025
DraculaN #2
LanDaLan #3
StarSeries Fall 2025
FISSURE Playground #2
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1

Upcoming

IPSL Winter 2025-26
SC4ALL: Brood War
BSL Season 21
BSL 21 Team A
RSL Revival: Season 3
Stellar Fest
SC4ALL: StarCraft II
WardiTV TLMC #15
ESL Impact League Season 8
SL Budapest Major 2025
BLAST Rivals Fall 2025
IEM Chengdu 2025
PGL Masters Bucharest 2025
Thunderpick World Champ.
CS Asia Championships 2025
Frag Blocktober 2025
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.