EPTBlizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 40
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Scarecrow
Korea (South)9172 Posts
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Deleted User 137586
7859 Posts
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ffadicted
United States3545 Posts
On October 15 2013 18:39 Scarecrow wrote: Pretty disappointing to see only 4 WCS Korea Koreans going to the finals (maybe 5 if Dear comes through on 10%). By far the hardest region to be consistent in and deserves more points. Agreed completely and I've been saying this for ages ever since day 1 of WCS announcement. Korea needs more points/money then everybody else, end of story. | ||
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Bertholdz
23 Posts
On October 15 2013 18:39 Scarecrow wrote: Pretty disappointing to see only 4 WCS Korea Koreans going to the finals (maybe 5 if Dear comes through on 10%). By far the hardest region to be consistent in and deserves more points. Agree obviously, but see it the other way around too: with the korean "invasion" of EU and NA Wcs an unequal point system this season would have starved out even more non-korean players. Wcs system is a balance between having the best players compete for the title and make the title globally relevant. | ||
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ffadicted
United States3545 Posts
On October 15 2013 21:46 Bertholdz wrote: Agree obviously, but see it the other way around too: with the korean "invasion" of EU and NA Wcs an unequal point system this season would have starved out even more non-korean players. Wcs system is a balance between having the best players compete for the title and make the title globally relevant. I think with a bigger point/money payout in Korea, a lot more koreans would choose to stay and play in the korea league tbh, which would in turn accomplish what most people want: more non-korean representation in non-korean regions | ||
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Fjodorov
5007 Posts
I got this response when asking Kim Phan in the WCS Q&A thread. | ||
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Pandain
United States12989 Posts
Naniwa's choices are slightly improved. | ||
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Ace Frehley
2030 Posts
Still, there's Soo, Dear and Hyun to threaten them (and the random dudes coming out of nowhere: Trap, Vortix, Genius, etc) | ||
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Doublemint
Austria8643 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
On October 16 2013 10:46 Doublemint wrote: what are the chances now for naniwa's advancement to Blizzcon? For Naniwa -------------------------------------------Scarlett gets 16th place in America Premier This happens 38.156% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 44.123%. Running the new stats now which will be more accurate with current results. edit: that's up from 30.2% | ||
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Doublemint
Austria8643 Posts
On October 16 2013 10:50 Die4Ever wrote: For Naniwa -------------------------------------------Scarlett gets 16th place in America Premier This happens 38.156% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 44.123%. Running the new stats now which will be more accurate with current results. edit: that's up from 30.2% Thank you very much! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
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Doublemint
Austria8643 Posts
On October 16 2013 11:03 Die4Ever wrote: crap I screwed up the run, gotta start over lol nooo! What does this mean now for naniwa oh mighty math magician?! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
On October 16 2013 11:07 Doublemint wrote: nooo! What does this mean now for naniwa oh mighty math magician?! he should be at about 44%, this should be done in like 15 minutes | ||
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Doublemint
Austria8643 Posts
On October 16 2013 11:10 Die4Ever wrote: he should be at about 44%, this should be done in like 15 minutes alright, which is about the same as before... Still thanks^^ | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
On October 16 2013 11:12 Doublemint wrote: alright, which is about the same as before... Still thanks^^ Well if you look in the OP now he's at 30.2%, and it said if Scarlett loses in the round of 16, then Naniwa's chances go up to about 44%. So it should stay around 44% with these latest results. so like 14% increase is pretty good | ||
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jmihere
62 Posts
Great work, Die4Ever! Btw, Die4Ever, you've been credited on the WCS AM cast today!! at the 2:52 mark. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
On October 16 2013 11:19 jmihere wrote: Funny, I find I am getting more pumped up with Die4Ever's update than over the contestants' qualification chances themselves.... lol. Great work, Die4Ever! Btw, Die4Ever, you've been credited on the WCS AM cast today!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=giUNj73cn2M at the 2:52 mark. Thanks! I actually heard this live lol, was pretty cool. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17703 Posts
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Darkhorse
United States23455 Posts
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