EPTBlizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 39
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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fezvez
France3021 Posts
Keep on updating it! | ||
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KillerDucky
United States498 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 15 2013 03:56 KillerDucky wrote: Why does it show Hyun has 2325 minimum? Shouldn't it be 2200 + 25 = 2225? Ah yea sorry, that's a bug in the display, because it only keeps track of how many points players earned if they were in the top 20 (or 24 I forget) for that simulation, so I guess 2225 was never enough for him to make the top 20. It saves a bit of ram but I could extend that limit. Or nvm, I could just check the min_points for each player before I delete the extra point values. | ||
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Too_MuchZerg
Finland2818 Posts
On October 15 2013 00:22 FluoCrazyKenny wrote: Stupid question but, what happens if a player cannot attend the Blizzcon ? for example, Bomber cannot attend because of his health issue ? Does the 17th is picked ? $5000 for 9-16th place. Heck I would just fly there and play sub-par games (I think Blizzard even pays their trip too) and get money. Why would you not attend even if some health issues and give it to another player (unless you have agreement how much you get by giving up that spot to another player from possible winnings). | ||
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youngkrazz
United States14 Posts
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Zheryn
Sweden3653 Posts
On October 15 2013 04:30 Too_MuchZerg wrote: $5000 for 9-16th place. Heck I would just fly there and play sub-par games (I think Blizzard even pays their trip too) and get money. Why would you not attend even if some health issues and give it to another player (unless you have agreement how much you get by giving up that spot to another player from possible winnings). I think the reason to not attend because of health reasons would be that one does not feel good enough to spend a lot of time traveling etc, not that they are just afraid of showing sub-par games. | ||
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lolfail9001
Russian Federation40190 Posts
On October 15 2013 04:51 youngkrazz wrote: Well have Mvp chances increased after IEM or decreased. That's all I want to know His chances rely on such an unlikely events to happen, that you can consider him lock for Blizzcon. Hell, top 14 is pretty much locked now. Only WCS AM and Season finals are left to change anything. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 15 2013 04:57 lolfail9001 wrote: His chances rely on such an unlikely events to happen, that you can consider him lock for Blizzcon. Hell, top 14 is pretty much locked now. Only WCS AM and Season finals are left to change anything. Yea pretty much, the ones to watch for now are Hyun, Scarlett, Naniwa, and soO. I think Mvp's chances didn't change much at all, since Revival did poorly and Naniwa did well it was kind of even. I can check my old stats when I get home though. | ||
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padiseal2
Austria721 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 15 2013 05:51 padiseal2 wrote: Could we maybe have the percentage of a foreigner at Blizzcon? Would be of interest to me It's in the OP as the foreigner hope rating + Show Spoiler [foreigner hope rating] + Chance of Blizzcon having a foreigner is 75.7059%, 2271178/3000000 Scarlett from Canada has a 40.2434% chance. The chance that Scarlett is the only foreigner is 28.7082%, 861246/3000000 NaNiwa from Sweden has a 31.4501% chance. The chance that NaNiwa is the only foreigner is 23.857%, 715711/3000000 VortiX from Spain has a 12.4555% chance. The chance that VortiX is the only foreigner is 6.5493%, 196479/3000000 Sen from Taiwan has a 3.89363% chance. The chance that Sen is the only foreigner is 1.9302%, 57906/3000000 HuK from Canada has a 0.830233% chance. The chance that HuK is the only foreigner is 0.445%, 13350/3000000 MacSed from China has a 0.7323% chance. The chance that MacSed is the only foreigner is 0.398867%, 11966/3000000 | ||
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Sandermatt
Switzerland1365 Posts
On October 15 2013 05:56 Die4Ever wrote: It's in the OP as the foreigner hope rating + Show Spoiler [foreigner hope rating] + Chance of Blizzcon having a foreigner is 75.7059%, 2271178/3000000 Scarlett from Canada has a 40.2434% chance. The chance that Scarlett is the only foreigner is 28.7082%, 861246/3000000 NaNiwa from Sweden has a 31.4501% chance. The chance that NaNiwa is the only foreigner is 23.857%, 715711/3000000 VortiX from Spain has a 12.4555% chance. The chance that VortiX is the only foreigner is 6.5493%, 196479/3000000 Sen from Taiwan has a 3.89363% chance. The chance that Sen is the only foreigner is 1.9302%, 57906/3000000 HuK from Canada has a 0.830233% chance. The chance that HuK is the only foreigner is 0.445%, 13350/3000000 MacSed from China has a 0.7323% chance. The chance that MacSed is the only foreigner is 0.398867%, 11966/3000000 What is the total chance of having two foreigners? | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 15 2013 06:00 Sandermatt wrote: What is the total chance of having two foreigners? Lol, I don't have that right now. | ||
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RageCommodore
Germany912 Posts
God I miss the days when HuK was one of the most feared western players. | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Shellshock
United States97277 Posts
A2 vs C1 B2 vs D1 B1 vs D2 A1 vs C2 Season 2 was A1 vs D2 C1 vs B2 B1 vs C2 D1 vs A2 so I guess you can't really say unless they showed it somewhere due to lack of consistency | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On October 15 2013 12:27 Shellshock wrote: Season 1 was A2 vs C1 B2 vs D1 B1 vs D2 A1 vs C2 Season 2 was A1 vs D2 C1 vs B2 B1 vs C2 D1 vs A2 so I guess you can't really say unless they showed it somewhere due to lack of consistency Random it is! | ||
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
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Gatesleeper
Canada300 Posts
And enter Heart, if he can 2-0 Taeja, then the sky is the limit now. | ||
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