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Blizzcon qualification probabilities simulation - Page 26

Forum Index > SC2 General
1549 CommentsPost a Reply
Prev 1 24 25 26 27 28 78 Next
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 08 2013 00:30 GMT
#501
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb
painkilla
Profile Joined June 2013
United States695 Posts
October 08 2013 00:37 GMT
#502
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Only if he win the tournament, which has a non-zero probability indeed.
Supernova | TY | Polt | Innovation | forGG | Lucifron | Happy
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
October 08 2013 00:39 GMT
#503
I'm also curious what Maru's 1/300000 chance of not qualifying is ^^
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 08 2013 00:41 GMT
#504
On October 08 2013 09:39 Shellshock wrote:
I'm also curious what Maru's 1/300000 chance of not qualifying is ^^

Haha, I'll post it after the GSL placement matches when I do the update. I also think I'll have it prioritize showing IEM related events for the game changers, as a special IEM edition update. But for now I must take a nap before GSL.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 08 2013 00:43 GMT
#505
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
Dragoonstorm7
Profile Joined December 2012
United States599 Posts
October 08 2013 00:53 GMT
#506
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Revival is the reigning champ, he deserved one of the wildcard slots more than TLO or Flash hands down.
This is IEMs way of trying to patch-up their grievous mistake of not giving Revival an auto-qual initially.
oblivion awaits- dark archon (aka best unit ever)
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 08 2013 01:03 GMT
#507
On October 08 2013 09:53 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Revival is the reigning champ, he deserved one of the wildcard slots more than TLO or Flash hands down.
This is IEMs way of trying to patch-up their grievous mistake of not giving Revival an auto-qual initially.


I agree he deserves it more than Flash but he took a EU qualifier spot, doesn't make any sense.
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 08 2013 01:06 GMT
#508
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?
Dragoonstorm7
Profile Joined December 2012
United States599 Posts
October 08 2013 01:07 GMT
#509
On October 08 2013 10:03 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:53 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Revival is the reigning champ, he deserved one of the wildcard slots more than TLO or Flash hands down.
This is IEMs way of trying to patch-up their grievous mistake of not giving Revival an auto-qual initially.


I agree he deserves it more than Flash but he took a EU qualifier spot, doesn't make any sense.

Yeah I agree it doesnt make much sense =/ , maybe IEM is saying EU got TLO? That would be dumb too...
Idk, I just think that even tho its pretty dumb, Revival DID deserve the spot.
oblivion awaits- dark archon (aka best unit ever)
Dragoonstorm7
Profile Joined December 2012
United States599 Posts
October 08 2013 01:09 GMT
#510
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

Clearly deserved due to that "top 3 control"
oblivion awaits- dark archon (aka best unit ever)
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17683 Posts
October 08 2013 01:18 GMT
#511
Arg I just noticed I had Rain vs Trap and Parting vs Jjakji by accident...oh well, only 1 player will get a benefit from these matches anyways, shouldn't make a big difference.
"Expert" mods4ever.com
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 08 2013 01:43 GMT
#512
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
October 08 2013 01:45 GMT
#513
On October 08 2013 10:03 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 09:53 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Revival is the reigning champ, he deserved one of the wildcard slots more than TLO or Flash hands down.
This is IEMs way of trying to patch-up their grievous mistake of not giving Revival an auto-qual initially.


I agree he deserves it more than Flash but he took a EU qualifier spot, doesn't make any sense.

It does seem a little random of them to just jump to Revival instead of asking Nerchio but it is slightly justifiable. Still feel that it probably should've been offered to EU.
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
October 08 2013 01:48 GMT
#514
On October 08 2013 10:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa


No way, he got 6 seeds? I feel like it was more like 4. 3 code A and 1 Code S?
painkilla
Profile Joined June 2013
United States695 Posts
October 08 2013 01:58 GMT
#515
On October 08 2013 10:07 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 10:03 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:53 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Revival is the reigning champ, he deserved one of the wildcard slots more than TLO or Flash hands down.
This is IEMs way of trying to patch-up their grievous mistake of not giving Revival an auto-qual initially.


I agree he deserves it more than Flash but he took a EU qualifier spot, doesn't make any sense.

Yeah I agree it doesnt make much sense =/ , maybe IEM is saying EU got TLO? That would be dumb too...
Idk, I just think that even tho its pretty dumb, Revival DID deserve the spot.


No he didn't. The IEM regionals are independent and winning one doesn't mean you get invite to another. Inviting based on WCS points is stupid in the first place (let's give the ones with the most WCS points a chance to get even more WCS points) and it's not what happened here. I think either IEM was looking to invite someone that for sure will accept (in this case Revival due to his WCS ranking) or something even shadier is going on.
Supernova | TY | Polt | Innovation | forGG | Lucifron | Happy
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 08 2013 01:58 GMT
#516
On October 08 2013 10:48 Dodgin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 10:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa


No way, he got 6 seeds? I feel like it was more like 4. 3 code A and 1 Code S?

First 3 are code A in which he dropped out 0-2 every time, twice to Lucky. A couple of up-and-down, and then code S.
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
painkilla
Profile Joined June 2013
United States695 Posts
October 08 2013 02:01 GMT
#517
On October 08 2013 10:58 NoGasfOu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 10:48 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa


No way, he got 6 seeds? I feel like it was more like 4. 3 code A and 1 Code S?

First 3 are code A in which he dropped out 0-2 every time, twice to Lucky. A couple of up-and-down, and then code S.


OK. Where are you going with this? Naniwa deserves getting screw over because of his 6 GSL seeds?
Supernova | TY | Polt | Innovation | forGG | Lucifron | Happy
NoGasfOu
Profile Joined April 2012
United States1117 Posts
October 08 2013 02:11 GMT
#518
On October 08 2013 11:01 painkilla wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 10:58 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:48 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa


No way, he got 6 seeds? I feel like it was more like 4. 3 code A and 1 Code S?

First 3 are code A in which he dropped out 0-2 every time, twice to Lucky. A couple of up-and-down, and then code S.


OK. Where are you going with this? Naniwa deserves getting screw over because of his 6 GSL seeds?

Nobody is screwing him over. If he has the skill he will go through considering the number of tournaments outside of wcs he's sent to in order to get extra points. People are talking about Revival's 'charity spot' being dump. Well, talk about charity spots.
Tassadar/TheBest/Jjakji/Rain(terran)/Heart
painkilla
Profile Joined June 2013
United States695 Posts
October 08 2013 02:34 GMT
#519
On October 08 2013 11:11 NoGasfOu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 08 2013 11:01 painkilla wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:58 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:48 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 10:06 Dodgin wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:43 NoGasfOu wrote:
On October 08 2013 09:30 Dodgin wrote:
So now revival has the possibility to pass Mvp in the rankings thanks to his charity spot at IEM NYC =/ so dumb

Guess who's the player that got 6 GSL bailout seeds!


six? Huk?

It's Naniwa


No way, he got 6 seeds? I feel like it was more like 4. 3 code A and 1 Code S?

First 3 are code A in which he dropped out 0-2 every time, twice to Lucky. A couple of up-and-down, and then code S.


OK. Where are you going with this? Naniwa deserves getting screw over because of his 6 GSL seeds?

Nobody is screwing him over. If he has the skill he will go through considering the number of tournaments outside of wcs he's sent to in order to get extra points. People are talking about Revival's 'charity spot' being dump. Well, talk about charity spots.


You make $0-1000 if given a seed to GSL. You make $10k just by playing in Blizzcon. Blizzcon is the only one, biggest tournament of the year. There were 9 GSLs in 2011. If GSL are giving out seeds to foreigners, they pretty much have to go with Naniwa and may be one or two others IEM has 20 other choices beside Revival, the most controlversial one. The two situations aren't comparable in anyway.

Also, Naniwa was seeded in GSL for doing well in foreign tournaments, so not all of them were charity.
Supernova | TY | Polt | Innovation | forGG | Lucifron | Happy
movac
Profile Joined February 2011
Canada494 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-08 02:48:20
October 08 2013 02:41 GMT
#520
If duckdeok don't make ro8 in the season finals he won't pass Mvp. Season finals is looking to be pretty stacked. I would not be surprised if he were to be a ro16 punching bag like last season.

If revival doesn't win iem ny he won't pass mvp either.

Season finals is likely to dominated by all those players who are already above mvp in ranking, so 97 percent looks about right to me.

Also about the seeding, iem didn't consider the possibility that grubby/nerchio might be willing pay for their own plane tickets
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