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On October 02 2013 15:53 User15937 wrote:I'm hoping NesTea makes it through, but he doesn't have very good odds  Also it's interesting how 10 of the 16 slots at Blizzcon have basically been locked with most of the third season still to play...3rd season doesn't seem as significant as the other two.
If each season locks third of the amount of slots available for Blizzcon, that makes 10 slots of 16 after 2 seasons. Works out perfectly 
Seriously though you would expect the winners of the regional finals and the finalists of the global finals to make it to Blizzcon. With 6 different regional winners and 4 different finalists (from which neither won a region finals) you already got 10 players who should be more or less set for Blizzcon. Addtionally aLive made it to two consecutive global finals, which gives him a ton of points.
Interestingly enough Maru and duckdeok can still miss Blizzcon if they drop out in their respective round of 8.
Edit: What I want to say with this is: Blizzcon is for the best of the best. So you either won a region finals, got to the final of the globals or were able to deliver results over more than one season; be it in at least two WCS seasons or one WCS season and several foreign tournaments (see Naniwa).
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On October 02 2013 15:53 User15937 wrote:I'm hoping NesTea makes it through, but he doesn't have very good odds Also it's interesting how 10 of the 16 slots at Blizzcon have basically been locked with most of the third season still to play...3rd season doesn't seem as significant as the other two.
I dont know how the season that has exatly the same ammount of points to be given can be less significant? Please explain that.
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Would be too wrong if Nerchio "play bad" for MMA to advance to the finals?
I mean, when you create a system like this you have to expect teammates playing to help which other, after all the team name is bigger than the players. I wouldn't mind, but I almost sure that after the match reddit would have a thread at the top for 2 days to discuss this kind of thing.
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Hats off to you good sir, this is awesome
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GSL Ro8 spoiler!
+ Show Spoiler +Hmm, Rain lost his quarterfinal match against soulkey. Unless he qualifies over the consolation matches, rain will drop out of the race for Blizzcon. (He currently has 2750 together with Naniwa on Rank 15).
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On October 02 2013 22:45 phagga wrote:GSL Ro8 spoiler! + Show Spoiler +Hmm, Rain lost his quarterfinal match against soulkey. Unless he qualifies over the consolation matches, rain will drop out of the race for Blizzcon. (He currently has 2750 together with Naniwa on Rank 15).
+ Show Spoiler +NooOOoOooOOo Rain </3
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On October 02 2013 22:45 phagga wrote:GSL Ro8 spoiler! + Show Spoiler +Hmm, Rain lost his quarterfinal match against soulkey. Unless he qualifies over the consolation matches, rain will drop out of the race for Blizzcon. (He currently has 2750 together with Naniwa on Rank 15).
+ Show Spoiler + Rain's only chance now is to get the 5th place spot for the Season Finals
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On October 02 2013 22:07 pedrlz wrote:
Would be too wrong if Nerchio "play bad" for MMA to advance to the finals?
I mean, when you create a system like this you have to expect teammates playing to help which other, after all the team name is bigger than the players. I wouldn't mind, but I almost sure that after the match reddit would have a thread at the top for 2 days to discuss this kind of thing.
People would frown upon it, but it would be hard to prove, since most consider MMA the favorite anyways. Also, Nerchio throwing the match would basically end his tournament run for most of 2013, which would really hurt his career, whereas a deep run in WCS EU and/or the Season finals could be huge for his career.
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On October 02 2013 14:56 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:
Even if TLO wins IEM he only would have 2875 points, which probably wouldnt be enough anyway.
Which is why his chances are listed as <0.2%.
On October 02 2013 15:25 phagga wrote:
Anyone hoping for foreigners should mainly look at Scarlett, Vortix and Naniwa. Perhaps Nerchio. The chances for everyone else are very slim. And even the four mentioned need a really good run to still qualify.
I totally agree with both of you that things look grim for all foreigners (even Scarlett has a tough road ahead). However, it's definitely not impossible, so I will keep cheering our foreign hopes until they're mathematically eliminated. That's what sports is all about anyways!
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It would be crazy if Dear came out of nowhere to make Blizzcon 
Not sayings its likely, but it would be awesome!
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On October 03 2013 00:52 HelpMeGetBetter wrote:It would be cool if we could do our own simulations. This reminds me of ESPN's playoff machine: http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machineMight be a little too advanced but TL never disappoints me.
I've been thinking of doing this for 2014 actually.
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Just posted a new update with
IEM ro16 3 players in each group set, and stardust, puck, hyun and life put in random groups
GSL ro8 day 1 completed + Show Spoiler +Dear vs Trap and Soulkey vs Rain
WCS AM ro32 completed, but no ro16 groups yet
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You might have noticed this already, but just in case you haven't, looks like there's a bug or at least some sort of ugly error in the last run for Naniwa:
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
NaNiwa starts in the round of 12 in IEM facing HerO Liquid, qxc
NaNiwa loses this match 0.00% of the time, which decreases NaNiwa's chances to -1.#J%.
NaNiwa wins this match 56.06% of the time, which increases NaNiwa's chances to 36.99%.
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when will Mvp reach 100%?! This suspense!
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On October 03 2013 13:54 AySz88 wrote:You might have noticed this already, but just in case you haven't, looks like there's a bug or at least some sort of ugly error in the last run for Naniwa: Show nested quote +wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 3 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
wtf why 0 players?
NaNiwa starts in the round of 12 in IEM facing HerO Liquid, qxc
NaNiwa loses this match 0.00% of the time, which decreases NaNiwa's chances to -1.#J%.
NaNiwa wins this match 56.06% of the time, which increases NaNiwa's chances to 36.99%.
Hahahaha lol I didn't notice that actually. Thanks.
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On October 03 2013 14:19 Naphal wrote:
when will Mvp reach 100%?! This suspense!
I'm guessing if a few players above him secure their spots to the season finals, then it'll lock points away from the players below Mvp, and his chances might go up to 100% then.
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updated with WCS AM ro16 groups
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Maru wins! Locked for Blizzcon!
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On October 04 2013 19:40 Dragoonstorm7 wrote:+ Show Spoiler +Maru wins! Locked for Blizzcon!
SPOILER!
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EPT
