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Win Rates:Tournaments from September - December - Page 2

Forum Index > SC2 General
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Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
December 03 2012 13:33 GMT
#21
Lol PvZ is Protoss favored xD hahaha so funny.

It's interesting that Terran don't complain as much as Protoss yet Terran have the worst win rate ^_^ oh well.
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
Qntc.YuMe
Profile Joined January 2011
United States792 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-03 13:34:24
December 03 2012 13:33 GMT
#22
On December 03 2012 22:23 Greenei wrote:
wow tvz is fucked royally. maybe we will get the proposed buff after all.

Naw blizzard thinks its still perfectly balanced according to their data and there is nothing wrong with infestors

Thats what happens when they try to balance around ladder games. They go can back to balancing their rocks
ShamW0W
Profile Joined March 2010
160 Posts
December 03 2012 13:34 GMT
#23
Excellent data, thanks for compiling.

Any chance you have the data broken out so that we can see how win rates have adjusted month-over-month since the queen patch? I'd be interested to see if ZvT, which is the matchup most people have concerns about, is improving or getting worse lately.
Half-Man Half-Amazing
QoYoTe
Profile Joined November 2010
Sweden11 Posts
December 03 2012 13:35 GMT
#24
Alot less terran matches though, believe the numbers are gonna go down if we had more matches.
"We have to get out of here! Nao!"
mrvidek
Profile Joined May 2011
Romania15 Posts
December 03 2012 13:35 GMT
#25
Queen and ovi buffs were marketing maneuvers by Blizzard preparing for HOTS.Period.
Blixt
Profile Joined April 2010
Sweden16 Posts
December 03 2012 13:35 GMT
#26
Would be interesting to see how many entries overall there were from each race. Considering how many ZvZ's we were seeing in the past months.
Melliflue
Profile Joined October 2012
United Kingdom1389 Posts
December 03 2012 13:37 GMT
#27
Thanks for all the work!

One question; are these the stats for maps/individual games won or bo series? For example, would a 2-0 score in a bo3 contribute 2 wins or 1? I think it is 2, which would be consistent with how TLPD does it (I think).

Stats can be useful but without looking at context can be misleading. Two of the best Terrans (Mvp and Taeja) have been suffering wrist problems recently. I know Mvp has had problems for a while but they seem to have been very bad recently, forcing him to withdraw from IPL for example. There has also been MMA's problems with the Slayers drama and he has not been near his best either.

I don't think those three alone make up the difference, but it is an example that stats don't tell the whole story.
-Kira
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
352 Posts
December 03 2012 13:39 GMT
#28
Useless numbers.
speknek
Profile Joined February 2012
758 Posts
December 03 2012 13:39 GMT
#29
On December 03 2012 22:12 malaan wrote:
Very surprised to see the TvP winrates. I was expecting it to be similar to TvZ (which is pretty sad to be honest )

As noted by OP, TvP wins are all by the same players, there's like 2-3 guys in the world who can win TvP consistently, for the others it's indeed as hopeless as TvZ.
Assirra
Profile Joined August 2010
Belgium4169 Posts
December 03 2012 13:41 GMT
#30
On December 03 2012 22:07 tomatriedes wrote:
I feel the ZvP stat is a bit misleading because several of these tournaments were lacking top Korean zergs. If any of Life, Leenock, Violet, Sniper, Hyun, Symbol etc. had have attended WCG, Dreamhack, WCS and IEM these stats would have been much different.
But thanks anyway!

No offense but if you gonne play the "if x was there or y wasn't there" game you basically try to change the stats to fit your personal opinion.
pprrii
Profile Joined September 2012
Russian Federation216 Posts
December 03 2012 13:46 GMT
#31
Another funny example of Zerg domination, 3 events where top level of koreans (of each race) were attending
MLG - ZvZ Finals
GSL - ZvZ Finals
IPL - ZvZ Finals
xD
tassblaster
Profile Joined March 2011
Canada47 Posts
December 03 2012 13:47 GMT
#32
ZvZ all day
pprrii
Profile Joined September 2012
Russian Federation216 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-03 13:49:54
December 03 2012 13:49 GMT
#33
On December 03 2012 22:41 Assirra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 22:07 tomatriedes wrote:
I feel the ZvP stat is a bit misleading because several of these tournaments were lacking top Korean zergs. If any of Life, Leenock, Violet, Sniper, Hyun, Symbol etc. had have attended WCG, Dreamhack, WCS and IEM these stats would have been much different.
But thanks anyway!

No offense but if you gonne play the "if x was there or y wasn't there" game you basically try to change the stats to fit your personal opinion.

He is talking it right.
Is it fair to judge balance about WCG 2012 event where basically was only Parting and MKP out of top players? Same with BWC (korean P against foreigners). Of course not
Tuczniak
Profile Joined September 2010
1561 Posts
December 03 2012 13:49 GMT
#34
On December 03 2012 22:39 speknek wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 03 2012 22:12 malaan wrote:
Very surprised to see the TvP winrates. I was expecting it to be similar to TvZ (which is pretty sad to be honest )

As noted by OP, TvP wins are all by the same players, there's like 2-3 guys in the world who can win TvP consistently, for the others it's indeed as hopeless as TvZ.
Well, substract data from top 3 players of each race and post it here if you think it will make difference.
Grapefruit
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany439 Posts
December 03 2012 13:50 GMT
#35
On December 03 2012 22:02 m0ck wrote:
That's a great effort, must have taken a lot of work.

You may want to change the coloring of the last three win-rate circles. You could make it blue/red/yellow-grey (the colors commonly associated with the three races) to better make visible the win-rates for the different races.


Might do it later on.

On December 03 2012 22:12 malaan wrote:
Very surprised to see the TvP winrates. I was expecting it to be similar to TvZ (which is pretty sad to be honest )


As I said in the OP, roughly 30% of the wins were gotten by less than 5 different players.

On December 03 2012 22:34 ShamW0W wrote:
Excellent data, thanks for compiling.

Any chance you have the data broken out so that we can see how win rates have adjusted month-over-month since the queen patch? I'd be interested to see if ZvT, which is the matchup most people have concerns about, is improving or getting worse lately.


Will do that some time later, might take a while. Maybe when December is over.



On December 03 2012 22:37 Melliflue wrote:
Thanks for all the work!

One question; are these the stats for maps/individual games won or bo series? For example, would a 2-0 score in a bo3 contribute 2 wins or 1? I think it is 2, which would be consistent with how TLPD does it (I think).

Stats can be useful but without looking at context can be misleading. Two of the best Terrans (Mvp and Taeja) have been suffering wrist problems recently. I know Mvp has had problems for a while but they seem to have been very bad recently, forcing him to withdraw from IPL for example. There has also been MMA's problems with the Slayers drama and he has not been near his best either.

I don't think those three alone make up the difference, but it is an example that stats don't tell the whole story.


Every game was counted individually.

On December 03 2012 22:39 -Kira wrote:
Useless numbers.


How come?
Starcraft 2 is funny, everybody picks the race, which he considers to be the weakest. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Saechiis
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Netherlands4989 Posts
December 03 2012 13:50 GMT
#36
I think Zerg is advantaged in the marathon tournaments that currently make out most of the tournament scene since they can play standard every game and have a good shot at winning. In terms of player specific preparations I feel Terran can do a lot to even things up, but that's only really the case in long term tournaments like GSL.
I think esports is pretty nice.
Bellazuk
Profile Joined December 2011
Canada146 Posts
December 03 2012 13:52 GMT
#37
Hehe guyz it's top best players in the world, so b4 whinning think that if people menaged to get gm as terran/protoss and your stuck in diamond, that's not the result of the game being imba lololol. I have many friends with poorn skills claming imba all the time , it's just easier to point out imba than say I'm not good enough. In LoL people whine about teamates being bad right, in sc2 it's 1v1, so I guess u figured out my point.

Great tournament, I'd prob expect infestor nerf anyways but not sure if it will bring down the whinners because even when gsl was all about TvT , players were saying zerg op so I guess at this point it doesn't matter that much.
“The only thing standing between you and your goal is the bullshit story you keep telling yourself as to why you can't achieve it.”
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10134 Posts
December 03 2012 13:53 GMT
#38
Bomber saving TvP.
Netsky
Profile Joined October 2010
Australia1155 Posts
December 03 2012 13:53 GMT
#39
I appreciate the effort to compile and present this data, but you cannot draw any rational conclusions from this information at all.

Just looking at the tournaments, there are massive skill disparities among the players. To point out some glaring examples, you have game data from DreamHack Bucharest 2012, World Cyber Games 2012 and GSL Code S Season 5, Code A and Up & Downs in the same sample group which is absolutely ridiculous.
Yello
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany7411 Posts
December 03 2012 13:57 GMT
#40
On December 03 2012 22:50 Saechiis wrote:
I think Zerg is advantaged in the marathon tournaments that currently make out most of the tournament scene since they can play standard every game and have a good shot at winning. In terms of player specific preparations I feel Terran can do a lot to even things up, but that's only really the case in long term tournaments like GSL.


This is TvZ for the last season of GSL:
+ Show Spoiler +

http://www.gomtv.net/records/index.gom?searchType=3&race=T&vsrace=Z&season=2012&leaguetype=20&leagueid=27067&gamever=0&mapid=0

38.2% Set Winrate for Terran against Zergs (34W 55L)

At least for the last season of GSL Terrans were performing extremely bad vs Zerg. Or Zerg were performing really well.

If we jump back one more season things looks a lot more balanced with 47% Winrate for Terran vs Zerg (47W 53L)
Just ahead of time, know your addiction's not a crime. It's just a smaller part of who you want to become in the end.
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