[WCS] Ro16 Day 1 - Season 3 2015

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Durnuu

13322 Posts

September 08 2015 16:05 GMT

Tuesday, Sep 08 4:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)

http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft2/2015_WCS_Season_3/Premier

TL Preview: Click here

WCS

Casters:
+ Show Spoiler +

TakeTV | OGamingTV SC2 | WCS_PL | WCS_ES | WCS_PT

Initial Matches & Winners Match

Group A

[image loading]

MaNa vs

Zanster

MarineLorD vs (P)

elfi

Group B

[image loading]

Snute vs

Sen

GunGFuBanDa vs (Z)

Petraeus

+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +

MaNa vs Zanster
MaNa <Terraform> ~~Zanster~~
~~MaNa~~ <Coda> Zanster
~~MaNa~~ <Iron Fortress> Zanster

Zanster wins 2-1!

MarineLorD vs elfi
MarineLorD <Terraform> ~~elfi~~
MarineLorD <Coda> ~~elfi~~
~~MarineLorD <Iron Fortress> elfi~~

MarineLorD wins 2-0!

Winners Match
MarineLorD <Iron Fortress> ~~Zanster~~
~~MarineLorD~~ <Coda> Zanster
~~MarineLorD~~ <Cactus Valley> Zanster

Zanster wins 2-1!

Zanster advances to the Ro8!

+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +

GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus
~~GunGFuBanDa~~ <Coda> Petraeus
~~GunGFuBanDa~~ <Terraform> Petraeus
~~GunGFuBanDa <Dash and Terminal> Petraeus~~

Petraeus wins 2-0!

Snute vs Sen
Snute <Coda> ~~Sen~~
~~Snute~~ <Dash and Terminal> Sen
Snute <Cactus Valley> ~~Sen~~

Snute wins 2-1!

Winners Match
Petraeus <Coda> ~~Snute~~
~~Petraeus~~ <Cactus Valley> Snute
Petraeus <Dash and Terminal> ~~Snute~~

Petraeus wins 2-1!

Petraeus advances to the Ro8!

+ Show Spoiler +

+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +

+ Show Spoiler [MaNa vs Zanster] +

Poll: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (5)

63%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

13%

★★★- Good game (2)

25%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 1 ?

(Vote): ★ - Do not see this game no matter what
(Vote): ★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do
(Vote): ★★★- Good game
(Vote): ★★★★- Highly recommended game
(Vote): ★★★★★- One of the best games this season

Poll: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (3)

50%

★★★- Good game (3)

50%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

40%

★★★- Good game (3)

60%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

5 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MaNa vs Zanster Game 3 ?

+ Show Spoiler [MarineLorD vs elfi] +

Poll: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (4)

50%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (4)

50%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 1 ?

Poll: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (6)

100%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (3)

50%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (3)

50%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend MarineLorD vs elfi Game 3 ?

+ Show Spoiler [Winners Match] +

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (2)

22%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (4)

44%

★★★- Good game (1)

11%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

22%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

9 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 1 ?

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

9%

★★★- Good game (2)

18%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (6)

55%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (2)

18%

11 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (2)

25%

★★★- Good game (1)

13%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (5)

63%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 3 ?

+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +

+ Show Spoiler [GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus] +

Poll: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (1)

13%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (1)

13%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (6)

75%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 1 ?

Poll: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (1)

100%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

1 total votes

Your vote: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (1)

100%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

1 total votes

Your vote: Recommend GunGFuBanDa vs Petraeus Game 3 ?

+ Show Spoiler [Snute vs Sen] +

Poll: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (3)

75%

★★★- Good game (0)

0%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (0)

0%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

25%

4 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 1 ?

Poll: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

17%

★★★- Good game (3)

50%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

17%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (1)

17%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

13%

★★★- Good game (4)

50%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (3)

38%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

8 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Snute vs Sen Game 3 ?

+ Show Spoiler [Winners Match] +

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 1 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

17%

★★★- Good game (4)

67%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

17%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

6 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 1 ?

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 2 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (1)

14%

★★★- Good game (5)

71%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (1)

14%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

7 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 2 ?

Poll: Recommend Winners Match Game 3 ?

★ - Do not see this game no matter what (0)

0%

★★- Not recommended unless you have nothing better to do (0)

0%

★★★- Good game (5)

71%

★★★★- Highly recommended game (2)

29%

★★★★★- One of the best games this season (0)

0%

7 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Winners Match Game 3 ?

Here

Durnuu

13322 Posts

September 08 2015 16:05 GMT

Poll: Head ?

MarineLorD/MaNa (6)

35%

MarineLorD/Elfi (5)

29%

MarineLorD/Zanster (5)

29%

MaNa/Elfi (1)

6%

MaNa/Zanster (0)

0%

Elfi/Zanster (0)

0%

17 total votes

Your vote: Head ?

(Vote): MarineLorD/MaNa
(Vote): MarineLorD/Elfi
(Vote): MarineLorD/Zanster
(Vote): MaNa/Elfi
(Vote): MaNa/Zanster
(Vote): Elfi/Zanster

Poll: Heart ?

MarineLorD/MaNa (9)

56%

MarineLorD/Elfi (6)

38%

MarineLorD/Zanster (1)

6%

MaNa/Elfi (0)

0%

MaNa/Zanster (0)

0%

16 total votes

Your vote: Heart ?

(Vote): MarineLorD/MaNa
(Vote): MarineLorD/Elfi
(Vote): MarineLorD/Zanster
(Vote): MaNa/Elfi
(Vote): MaNa/Zanster

Poll: Head ?

Snute/Sen (5)

28%

Snute/GunGFuBanDa (6)

33%

Snute/Petraeus (5)

28%

Sen/GunGFuBanDa (0)

0%

Sen/Petraeus (2)

11%

GunGFuBanDa/Petraeus (0)

0%

18 total votes

Your vote: Head ?

(Vote): Snute/Sen
(Vote): Snute/GunGFuBanDa
(Vote): Snute/Petraeus
(Vote): Sen/GunGFuBanDa
(Vote): Sen/Petraeus
(Vote): GunGFuBanDa/Petraeus

Poll: Heart ?

Snute/Sen (9)

39%

Snute/GunGFuBanDa (3)

13%

Snute/Petraeus (8)

35%

Sen/GunGFuBanDa (0)

0%

Sen/Petraeus (2)

9%

GunGFuBanDa/Petraeus (1)

4%

23 total votes

Your vote: Heart ?

(Vote): Snute/Sen
(Vote): Snute/GunGFuBanDa
(Vote): Snute/Petraeus
(Vote): Sen/GunGFuBanDa
(Vote): Sen/Petraeus
(Vote): GunGFuBanDa/Petraeus

Boucot

France15997 Posts

September 08 2015 16:06 GMT

#HYPE

Noonius

Estonia17413 Posts

September 08 2015 16:06 GMT

finally some passion

Aeromi

France14461 Posts

September 08 2015 16:07 GMT

F R A N C E

The_Red_Viper

19533 Posts

September 08 2015 16:07 GMT

The only thing that stops me from doing LR threads is that i pretty much never can guarantee that i can update the thread live, so yeah

Topin

Peru10112 Posts

September 08 2015 16:08 GMT

the new LR blood!!! thx!

Ansibled

United Kingdom9872 Posts

September 08 2015 16:10 GMT

When was the WCS channel renamed to Starcraft?

Ej_

47656 Posts

September 08 2015 16:11 GMT

go Zanster!

Die4Ever

United States17729 Posts

September 08 2015 16:11 GMT

#10

The only player in Group A above 0.1% chances is MarineLord at 4.85% chances with 1275 WCS Points. If he gets 2nd place then he goes down to 0.41%, and a 1st place would put him at 82.72%.

In Group B we have Snute at 8.22% with 1700 WCS Points. For Snute, a 2nd place would mean 2.7% Blizzcon Chances, and a 1st place puts him at 99.93%. A 2nd place in WCS with a 4th place in Dreamhack would put him at 65.35%.

WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Premier Season 3 Ro16 Day 1

Zanster, MarineLorD, elfi, and MaNa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
MarineLorD must win this match!
Zanster is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.6% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
elfi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 43.77% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
MarineLorD is at 4.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 55.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 8.71%, or 0% if they lose.
MaNa is at 0.09% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.1% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.

Sen, Snute, Petraeus, and GunGFuBanDa in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
Snute must win this match!
Sen is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 38.38% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.03%, or 0% if they lose.
Petraeus is at 0.1% Blizzcon Chances, with a 57.08% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.18%, or 0% if they lose.
Snute is at 8.22% Blizzcon Chances, with a 63.22% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 13.01%, or 0% if they lose.
GunGFuBanDa is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 41.32% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.04%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [Ro16 Day 2 Groups] +

Elazer, Hydra, Polt, and viOLet in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
This is the Group of Death!
Elazer is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.34% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.01%, or 0% if they lose.
Polt is at 99.99% Blizzcon Chances, with a 51.88% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 99.99% if they lose.
Hydra is at 100% Blizzcon Chances, with a 71.52% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 100%, or 100% if they lose.
viOLet is at 0.08% Blizzcon Chances, with a 48.26% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.16%, or 0% if they lose.

ForGG, Jaedong, iaguz, and Lilbow in
in WCS Premier Season 3 round of 16.
ForGG, Jaedong, and Lilbow must win this match!
This is the 2nd place Group of Death!
ForGG is at 13.03% Blizzcon Chances, with a 66.09% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 19.71%, or 0% if they lose.
iaguz is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances, with a 28.29% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 0.07%, or 0% if they lose.
Jaedong is at 7.84% Blizzcon Chances, with a 46.59% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 16.83%, or 0% if they lose.
Lilbow is at 12.79% Blizzcon Chances, with a 59.04% chance to win this match.
If they win their Blizzcon Chances go up to 21.66%, or 0% if they lose.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Winning Chances] +

ForGG, Lilbow, Snute, Jaedong, and MarineLorD must win this tournament!

Hydra has a 19.26% chance to win
----going from 100% to 100% if they get 1st, or 100% if they don't.

ForGG has a 12.25% chance to win
----going from 13.03% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 0.89% if they don't.

Lilbow has a 11.06% chance to win
----going from 12.79% to 99.99% if they get 1st, or 1.95% if they don't.

Polt has a 8.65% chance to win
----going from 99.99% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they don't.

Snute has a 7.9% chance to win
----going from 8.22% to 99.93% if they get 1st, or 0.35% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

Jaedong has a 7.49% chance to win
----going from 7.84% to 99.98% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't.

Petraeus has a 5.97% chance to win
----going from 0.1% to 1.72% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

MarineLorD has a 5.81% chance to win
----going from 4.84% to 82.72% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.

MaNa has a 5.67% chance to win
----going from 0.09% to 1.59% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

viOLet has a 4.11% chance to win
----going from 0.08% to 1.92% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Zanster has a 3.52% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

GunGFuBanDa has a 2.66% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.69% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

elfi has a 1.91% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.29% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Sen has a 1.49% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.7% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

iaguz has a 1.38% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 1.41% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

Elazer has a 0.87% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Placements Table] +