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[IEM Season IX] Taipei - Day 1 - Page 2

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17664 Posts
January 28 2015 01:50 GMT
#21
WCS Predictor 2015
(Simulation #1198)
+ Show Spoiler [Matches] +

kr jjakji vs kr Impact in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr jjakji is at 3.15% Blizzcon Chances.
50.1% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.39%.
49.9% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.9%.
kr Impact is at 0.91% Blizzcon Chances.
49.9% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.99%.
50.1% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.84%.

kr Leenock vs kr Sacsri in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr Leenock is at 25.63% Blizzcon Chances.
49.3% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 26.89%.
50.7% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 24.41%.
kr Sacsri is at 3.32% Blizzcon Chances.
50.7% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.6%.
49.3% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 3.03%.

kr TRUE vs kr Soulkey in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr TRUE is at 2.1% Blizzcon Chances.
45.79% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.33%.
54.21% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.91%.
kr Soulkey is at 24.14% Blizzcon Chances.
54.21% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 25.47%.
45.79% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 22.57%.

kr HerO vs tw Has in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr HerO is at 0.75% Blizzcon Chances.
55.33% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.8%.
44.67% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.68%.
tw Has is at 2.59% Blizzcon Chances.
44.67% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.76%.
55.33% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.45%.

kr HyuN vs kr Check in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr HyuN is at 6.33% Blizzcon Chances.
64.36% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.69%.
35.64% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 5.69%.
kr Check is at 0.04% Blizzcon Chances.
35.64% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.05%.
64.36% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.04%.

kr Revival vs kr DongRaeGu in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr Revival is at 0.41% Blizzcon Chances.
48.61% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.45%.
51.39% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.38%.
kr DongRaeGu is at 1.62% Blizzcon Chances.
51.39% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.74%.
48.61% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.49%.

tw Ian vs kr Patience in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
tw Ian is at 0.02% Blizzcon Chances.
34.59% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
65.41% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
kr Patience is at 1.21% Blizzcon Chances.
65.41% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.28%.
34.59% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.06%.

kr Daisy vs no Snute in
in IEM Taipei Stage 1 quarterfinals.
kr Daisy is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances.
37.73% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.
62.27% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.07%.
no Snute is at 36.59% Blizzcon Chances.
62.27% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 37.88%.
37.73% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 34.45%.


IEM Taipei Stage 1 Winning Chances in ~
no Snute has a 43.63% chance to win
----going from 36.59% to 40.67% if they get 1st, or 33.43% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 39.93% chance to win
----going from 6.33% to 7.69% if they get 1st, or 5.43% if they don't.
kr Soulkey has a 33.52% chance to win
----going from 24.14% to 28.57% if they get 1st, or 21.91% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 30.44% chance to win
----going from 1.21% to 1.62% if they get 1st, or 1.02% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 28.52% chance to win
----going from 3.32% to 4.32% if they get 1st, or 2.92% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr Leenock has a 27.08% chance to win
----going from 25.63% to 30.25% if they get 1st, or 23.92% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 26.57% chance to win
----going from 2.1% to 2.82% if they get 1st, or 1.84% if they don't.
kr jjakji has a 25.35% chance to win
----going from 3.15% to 4.16% if they get 1st, or 2.8% if they don't.
kr DongRaeGu has a 23.94% chance to win
----going from 1.62% to 2.22% if they get 1st, or 1.42% if they don't.
kr Impact has a 21.78% chance to win
----going from 0.91% to 1.28% if they get 1st, or 0.81% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 21.6% chance to win
----going from 0.75% to 1.05% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't.
kr Revival has a 20.69% chance to win
----going from 0.41% to 0.61% if they get 1st, or 0.36% if they don't.
kr Daisy has a 17.21% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.11% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
tw Has has a 15.58% chance to win
----going from 2.59% to 3.51% if they get 1st, or 2.42% if they don't.
kr Check has a 14.39% chance to win
----going from 0.04% to 0.08% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
tw Ian has a 9.79% chance to win
----going from 0.02% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.


IEM Taipei Winning Chances in ~
+ Show Spoiler [IEM Taipei Winning Chances] +

kr Rain has a 13.21% chance to win
----going from 74.68% to 86.78% if they get 1st, or 80.64% if they get 2nd.
kr PartinG has a 13.18% chance to win
----going from 71.24% to 83.46% if they get 1st, or 77.36% if they get 2nd.
kr herO has a 10.99% chance to win
----going from 90.76% to 98.06% if they get 1st, or 95.27% if they get 2nd.
kr Life has a 10.67% chance to win
----going from 92.8% to 97.31% if they get 1st, or 92.27% if they don't.
kr ForGG has a 9.69% chance to win
----going from 76.26% to 85.5% if they get 1st, or 80.77% if they get 2nd.
kr Maru has a 6.9% chance to win
----going from 74.56% to 86.16% if they get 1st, or 73.7% if they don't.
kr Hydra has a 5.92% chance to win
----going from 45.75% to 60.39% if they get 1st, or 52.82% if they get 2nd.
kr San has a 5.42% chance to win
----going from 12.74% to 23.06% if they get 1st, or 17.11% if they get 2nd.
kr Polt has a 4.85% chance to win
----going from 38.42% to 55.33% if they get 1st, or 46.26% if they get 2nd.
kr Classic has a 4.47% chance to win
----going from 6.51% to 14.14% if they get 1st, or 9.46% if they get 2nd.
no Snute has a 2.51% chance to win
----going from 36.59% to 57.97% if they get 1st, or 36.04% if they don't.
kr HyuN has a 1.77% chance to win
----going from 6.33% to 14.76% if they get 1st, or 6.18% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 1.76% chance to win
----going from 9.48% to 19.37% if they get 1st, or 13.98% if they get 2nd.
nl Harstem has a 1.32% chance to win
----going from 0.22% to 0.89% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
kr Soulkey has a 1.21% chance to win
----going from 24.14% to 49.01% if they get 1st, or 23.84% if they don't.
kr Sacsri has a 0.97% chance to win
----going from 3.32% to 9.44% if they get 1st, or 3.26% if they don't.
kr Leenock has a 0.85% chance to win
----going from 25.63% to 48.96% if they get 1st, or 25.43% if they don't.
kr jjakji has a 0.81% chance to win
----going from 3.15% to 9.7% if they get 1st, or 3.09% if they don't.
kr Patience has a 0.8% chance to win
----going from 1.21% to 4.42% if they get 1st, or 1.18% if they don't.
kr TRUE has a 0.67% chance to win
----going from 2.1% to 7.09% if they get 1st, or 2.06% if they don't.
kr DongRaeGu has a 0.59% chance to win
----going from 1.62% to 5.85% if they get 1st, or 1.59% if they don't.
kr HerO has a 0.44% chance to win
----going from 0.75% to 3.64% if they get 1st, or 0.73% if they don't.
kr Impact has a 0.39% chance to win
----going from 0.91% to 3.73% if they get 1st, or 0.9% if they don't.

Make sure to get your WCS Wars fantasy teams ready before the start!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
January 28 2015 01:55 GMT
#22
I don't know if I've ever seen five people have too little of a chance of winning to even list before, outside of a Dreamhack. Die4Ever is not kind to the Taiwanese teams or Revival in this breakdown.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17664 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-28 01:59:00
January 28 2015 01:58 GMT
#23
On January 28 2015 10:55 Circumstance wrote:
I don't know if I've ever seen five people have too little of a chance of winning to even list before, outside of a Dreamhack. Die4Ever is not kind to the Taiwanese teams or Revival in this breakdown.

I forgot to weight towards looking at events in this tournament, I'll do it on the next simulation run, although those %s do get pretty low down there lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
feebleFanfare
Profile Joined December 2014
76 Posts
January 28 2015 02:10 GMT
#24
How does the placement of the qualifier winners into the groups work? Is it just random or is it first person through goes into group A, etc?
Rehio
Profile Joined March 2011
United States1718 Posts
January 28 2015 02:17 GMT
#25
God, I hope vods will be up quickly for this, it'll be near impossible to catch this live.

Gogo Snute.~
BroskiDerpman
Profile Joined January 2015
58 Posts
January 28 2015 02:19 GMT
#26
Soulkey better show them who is the Iron Wall.
READY TO ROLL OUT
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:00 GMT
#27
countdown hype!
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
January 28 2015 03:01 GMT
#28
Did anyone else not remember that this was today until you saw it on the sidebar?
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
Topin
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Peru10055 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-28 03:02:28
January 28 2015 03:01 GMT
#29
On January 28 2015 12:01 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
Did anyone else not remember that this was today until you saw it on the sidebar?

yep =(
i would define my style between a mix of ByuN, Maru and MKP
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:02 GMT
#30
haha "tay pie"
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17664 Posts
January 28 2015 03:02 GMT
#31
stream so quiet
"Expert" mods4ever.com
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:03 GMT
#32
Maru Hydra and PartinG
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:05 GMT
#33
I'm surprised that Daisy is still playing.
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Topin
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Peru10055 Posts
January 28 2015 03:06 GMT
#34
On January 28 2015 12:05 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
I'm surprised that Daisy is still playing.

wasnt he in yoe?
i would define my style between a mix of ByuN, Maru and MKP
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
January 28 2015 03:07 GMT
#35
For some reason, this IEM feels like less than 50% hype as other IEMs.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:07 GMT
#36
On January 28 2015 12:06 Topin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2015 12:05 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
I'm surprised that Daisy is still playing.

wasnt he in yoe?

i've never heard of that, i thought he was on wayi. though i'll be honest i know little to nothing about him bar some wcs eu matches
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
January 28 2015 03:08 GMT
#37
Here's a LR preview since the TL one has a notable lack of actual predictions
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Topin
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Peru10055 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-01-28 03:09:31
January 28 2015 03:09 GMT
#38
On January 28 2015 12:07 SetGuitarsToKill wrote:
For some reason, this IEM feels like less than 50% hype as other IEMs.

its because WCS drama is taking all the hype
i would define my style between a mix of ByuN, Maru and MKP
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
January 28 2015 03:11 GMT
#39
On January 28 2015 12:08 The_Templar wrote:
Here's a LR preview since the TL one has a notable lack of actual predictions

RIP terran
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
January 28 2015 03:12 GMT
#40
On January 28 2015 12:11 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2015 12:08 The_Templar wrote:
Here's a LR preview since the TL one has a notable lack of actual predictions

RIP terran

jjakji's going to win the whole damn tournament.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
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