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[DreamHack] Winter Day 2 - Page 126

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 124 125 126 127 128 170 Next
Qbyx
Profile Joined November 2007
Romania210 Posts
November 23 2012 19:14 GMT
#2501
On November 24 2012 04:13 soverRR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:07 Qbyx wrote:
Why did Naniwa advance & not NightEnd? Same score, face to face result preffers NightEnd.

? Am I missing something?


Yeah, but face to face score doesn't matter when it's in fact a 3-way tie. Count in all the statistics in their games agsinst ForGG (Naniwa 2-0, NightEnd 1-2) and NaNiwa comes out on top.


Thx, missed the the fact that is 3 way tie, not two.
Hunterai
Profile Joined October 2010
Thailand842 Posts
November 23 2012 19:14 GMT
#2502
On November 24 2012 04:09 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:04 Hunterai wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:59 TheBB wrote:
Snute vs. TheLittleOne

Snute wins (48.95%):
      3-0: 12.08%
      3-1: 18.33%
      3-2: 18.53%

TheLittleOne wins (51.05%):
      3-0: 12.93%
      3-1: 19.17%
      3-2: 18.96%

Most likely winner: TheLittleOne (51.05%)
Predicted outcome: Snute 2-3 TheLittleOne (18.96%)

Why does the predicted outcome (Snute 2-3 TLO (18.96%)) differ from the most likely outcome (Snute 1-3 TLO (19.17%))?

"Predicted" does not necessarily mean "most likely."


I understand that, but just wondering is there a reason behind it?
i.e. Meaning is that your own prediction? Or some other deeper reason?
Just confused in what scenario that an algorithm would give different predicted outcome that is different from most likely outcome...
speknek
Profile Joined February 2012
758 Posts
November 23 2012 19:14 GMT
#2503
On November 24 2012 04:12 Kilby wrote:
Terran bio. That is something I learned in early 2010. It is very good and with medivacs it beats the opponent. Thorzain was lucky to figure that out that in this game. Hopefully he will be able to do that in the next game as well.

maybe socke will figure out that if he sits on 2 base and makes 3 colossus he wins :o
Disarmed
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria721 Posts
November 23 2012 19:14 GMT
#2504
what uppppppp? was gone the last two hours, anything crazy happened?
Necosarius
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
Sweden4042 Posts
November 23 2012 19:15 GMT
#2505
On November 24 2012 04:09 AlternativeEgo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:07 Necosarius wrote:
On November 24 2012 04:05 AlternativeEgo wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:58 HaXXspetten wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:57 AlternativeEgo wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:50 Kilby wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:42 Kilby wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:32 Necosarius wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:30 Kilby wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:24 Necosarius wrote:
Get some Food for Louis while it's downtime. Surströmming motherfuckers!

And this is by the way the food that Incontrol agreed to eat if it was made available to him but unfortunately Naniwa was not able to get it through customs and bring to US. But now that Incontrol is actually in Sweden I think it would be a good time to make him pay for that promise.

Yeah we should all tweet Naniwa and Incontrol!

If you live near the Dreamhack location and have access to some Surströmming, please bring a can of that to Incontrol. Seriously. He already promised he would eat some in State of the Game if someone could bring it to him so now it's only a matter of someone bringing a can to him and filming the result. Please make it happen. Swedes this is about your national pride. Make it happen.

I guess Surströmming is not really someting you have in every supermarket if it causes some mass evacuations but still, would be awesome if you swedes could actually make this happen.


It's not the season for it and I'm not sure if they even sell it down there in the southern part of the country. Maybe they do, but it's surely not as popular.

.........with good reason


BUT YOU DON'T EVEN HAVE PARISARE!!!

Or Palt.


Oh c'mon, that can't be true.

I'll tell you man, they are weird down there!
WindWolf
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Sweden11767 Posts
November 23 2012 19:15 GMT
#2506
On November 24 2012 04:14 Disarmed wrote:
what uppppppp? was gone the last two hours, anything crazy happened?

DreamHack was being DreamHack with their video's, normal stuff
EZ4ENCE
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10138 Posts
November 23 2012 19:15 GMT
#2507
Vasa = god.
LovE-
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States1963 Posts
November 23 2012 19:15 GMT
#2508
My stream just started lagging very badly
LovE.311 (NA) || @LovE_Sc2
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-23 19:16:52
November 23 2012 19:16 GMT
#2509
On November 24 2012 04:14 Hunterai wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:09 TheBB wrote:
On November 24 2012 04:04 Hunterai wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:59 TheBB wrote:
Snute vs. TheLittleOne

Snute wins (48.95%):
      3-0: 12.08%
      3-1: 18.33%
      3-2: 18.53%

TheLittleOne wins (51.05%):
      3-0: 12.93%
      3-1: 19.17%
      3-2: 18.96%

Most likely winner: TheLittleOne (51.05%)
Predicted outcome: Snute 2-3 TheLittleOne (18.96%)

Why does the predicted outcome (Snute 2-3 TLO (18.96%)) differ from the most likely outcome (Snute 1-3 TLO (19.17%))?

"Predicted" does not necessarily mean "most likely."

I understand that, but just wondering is there a reason behind it?
i.e. Meaning is that your own prediction? Or some other deeper reason?
Just confused in what scenario that an algorithm would give different predicted outcome that is different from most likely outcome...

Well, I just have to pick a good way of "predicting." What I'm doing is choosing the outcome that is least surprising, in the sense that it's equally likely (or as close as possible) that an outcome more extreme in one direction happens, as in the other direction. In a sense I'm picking whatever is in the middle of the bar.

I'm open to other suggestions. I used to use the most likely one but people were complaining that I always predicted 2-0's and not 2-1's.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Schelim
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Austria11528 Posts
November 23 2012 19:16 GMT
#2510
lol it's called "Szenecast"

Szene=scene, cast=cast :D
TY <3 Cure <3 Inno <3 Special <3
HaXXspetten
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Sweden15718 Posts
November 23 2012 19:17 GMT
#2511
On November 24 2012 04:12 Godwrath wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:12 Quateras wrote:
Holy crap, the cast from Vasa (the italian caster) sounds amazingly energetic
Only missing a big "goooooooooooooooooaaaaaal" at some point ^ _ ^

Loving Dreamhack for giving community casters some spotlight.


Is he really casting ? Omgomgomgomg

Never forget
Cereb
Profile Joined November 2011
Denmark3388 Posts
November 23 2012 19:17 GMT
#2512
Fucking well done Nerchio!! finish this nerd!!
"Until the very very top in almost anything, all that matters is how much work you put in. The only problem is most people can't work hard even at things they do enjoy, much less things they don't have a real passion for. -Greg "IdrA" Fields
LovE-
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States1963 Posts
November 23 2012 19:17 GMT
#2513
Alright Thorzain lets see how easy TvP is for you again
LovE.311 (NA) || @LovE_Sc2
Kilby
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland1069 Posts
November 23 2012 19:17 GMT
#2514
Holy shit Apollo and Incontrol are so good. They are totally on the same wavelenght. Rarely do I see that someone can actually realise and be casual with Incontrol's jokes but Apollo is right there. This is a good combo.

We have actually so many good caster duos that it's easily more than enough. If just the players could be as consistent so that the good players could always be good. But unfortunately that doesn't happen in real life. Slump is a real thing.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
November 23 2012 19:18 GMT
#2515
On November 24 2012 04:14 Hunterai wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:09 TheBB wrote:
On November 24 2012 04:04 Hunterai wrote:
On November 24 2012 03:59 TheBB wrote:
Snute vs. TheLittleOne

Snute wins (48.95%):
      3-0: 12.08%
      3-1: 18.33%
      3-2: 18.53%

TheLittleOne wins (51.05%):
      3-0: 12.93%
      3-1: 19.17%
      3-2: 18.96%

Most likely winner: TheLittleOne (51.05%)
Predicted outcome: Snute 2-3 TheLittleOne (18.96%)

Why does the predicted outcome (Snute 2-3 TLO (18.96%)) differ from the most likely outcome (Snute 1-3 TLO (19.17%))?

"Predicted" does not necessarily mean "most likely."


I understand that, but just wondering is there a reason behind it?
i.e. Meaning is that your own prediction? Or some other deeper reason?
Just confused in what scenario that an algorithm would give different predicted outcome that is different from most likely outcome...

Added to my previous post... The fact that a 3-2 is predicted only reflects that the players are close in skill level, not some inherent belief that the match will necessarily take all five games.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
-ForeverAlone-
Profile Joined June 2011
274 Posts
November 23 2012 19:18 GMT
#2516
incontrol being wrong? shockeddd!!!
omg terran is hard to play
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
November 23 2012 19:18 GMT
#2517
Nerchio vs. Fraer

Nerchio wins (74.96%):
      3-0: 29.52%
      3-1: 26.96%
      3-2: 18.47%

Fraer wins (25.04%):
      3-1: 9.52%
      3-2: 15.52%

Most likely winner: Nerchio (74.96%)
Predicted outcome: Nerchio 3-1 Fraer (26.96%)

[image loading]

details, data source, code
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
rems
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands186 Posts
November 23 2012 19:19 GMT
#2518
So far, so good. Go nerchio make my predictions come through!
AlternativeEgo
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden17309 Posts
November 23 2012 19:19 GMT
#2519
On November 24 2012 04:17 HaXXspetten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:12 Godwrath wrote:
On November 24 2012 04:12 Quateras wrote:
Holy crap, the cast from Vasa (the italian caster) sounds amazingly energetic
Only missing a big "goooooooooooooooooaaaaaal" at some point ^ _ ^

Loving Dreamhack for giving community casters some spotlight.


Is he really casting ? Omgomgomgomg

Never forget
+ Show Spoiler +
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HS3Tv6KI_Ao#t=18m00s


I get all teary-eyed within the first 3 seconds. It's just so magnificent.
Mark Munoz looks like Gretorp
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10138 Posts
November 23 2012 19:20 GMT
#2520
On November 24 2012 04:17 HaXXspetten wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 24 2012 04:12 Godwrath wrote:
On November 24 2012 04:12 Quateras wrote:
Holy crap, the cast from Vasa (the italian caster) sounds amazingly energetic
Only missing a big "goooooooooooooooooaaaaaal" at some point ^ _ ^

Loving Dreamhack for giving community casters some spotlight.


Is he really casting ? Omgomgomgomg

Never forget
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HS3Tv6KI_Ao#t=18m00s



Malditzione !!!
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