EPTOn November 11 2012 02:54 -TesteR- wrote:
Is there any hope for a Nani vs Stephano?
Is there any hope for a Nani vs Stephano?
They can meet in Winners bracket final if they keep winning their games
Lone Star Clash 2: $35k SC2 + LoL, Nov 10-11 in TX - Page 56
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WindWolf
Sweden11767 Posts
They can meet in Winners bracket final if they keep winning their games | ||
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
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Demonidze
194 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:54 Shellshock1122 wrote: no Z sound in korean. pronounced as a J ahh, well i see now why they pronounce it like that. still sounds a bit funny tho. | ||
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32755 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 AlternativeEgo wrote: Stephano vs Axslav on B I feel a sign should be placed saying "If you wish to see a murder take place, please move to Stream B" | ||
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AlternativeEgo
Sweden17309 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 Fusilero wrote: Stephano vs iSDeadMeat starting now. wow so bm | ||
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Boucot
France15997 Posts
In fact they will be the next matches casted by Day[9]. I was presuming they would be on main stream but I'm maybe wrong as Day[9] is no longer on main stream. | ||
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Sent.
Poland9335 Posts
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jnd
Czech Republic915 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 TheBB wrote: Currently. + Show Spoiler + Lone Star Clash 2 Most likely winners: Stephano: 40.554% viOLet: 34.816% Polt: 7.568% TheStC: 6.600% CranK: 5.300% Bomber: 3.960% BabyKnight: 0.518% Sheth: 0.224% Hawk: 0.170% ToD: 0.112% GanZi: 0.090% NaNiwa: 0.034% Ret: 0.026% Axslav: 0.014% ThorZaIN: 0.014% qxc: >0.000% Life expectancy: Stephano: 5.562 rounds (top 2) viOLet: 5.101 rounds (top 3) Polt: 3.975 rounds (top 4) CranK: 3.694 rounds (top 4) TheStC: 3.001 rounds (top 6) Bomber: 2.688 rounds (top 6) Hawk: 1.881 rounds (top 8) BabyKnight: 1.845 rounds (top 8) GanZi: 1.817 rounds (top 8) NaNiwa: 1.294 rounds (top 12) Ret: 1.277 rounds (top 12) Sheth: 1.118 rounds (top 12) ToD: 1.027 rounds (top 12) ThorZaIN: 0.917 rounds (top 12) qxc: 0.491 rounds (top 16) Axslav: 0.311 rounds (top 16) /me ducks at least you fixed the qxc :p | ||
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Demonidze
194 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 WindWolf wrote: They can meet in Winners bracket final if they keep winning their games they can also meet at losers finals aswell ;p | ||
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Schelim
Austria11528 Posts
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Coolhwip
Sweden1381 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:54 -TesteR- wrote: Is there any hope for a Nani vs Stephano? Nah, if they both hit the final they decided to not play it and split the money. Instead of the finals they will show reruns of Bananaman. | ||
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
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PhoenixVoid
Canada32755 Posts
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Die4Ever
United States17750 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 TheBB wrote: Currently. + Show Spoiler + Lone Star Clash 2 Most likely winners: Stephano: 40.554% viOLet: 34.816% Polt: 7.568% TheStC: 6.600% CranK: 5.300% Bomber: 3.960% BabyKnight: 0.518% Sheth: 0.224% Hawk: 0.170% ToD: 0.112% GanZi: 0.090% NaNiwa: 0.034% Ret: 0.026% Axslav: 0.014% ThorZaIN: 0.014% qxc: >0.000% Life expectancy: Stephano: 5.562 rounds (top 2) viOLet: 5.101 rounds (top 3) Polt: 3.975 rounds (top 4) CranK: 3.694 rounds (top 4) TheStC: 3.001 rounds (top 6) Bomber: 2.688 rounds (top 6) Hawk: 1.881 rounds (top 8) BabyKnight: 1.845 rounds (top 8) GanZi: 1.817 rounds (top 8) NaNiwa: 1.294 rounds (top 12) Ret: 1.277 rounds (top 12) Sheth: 1.118 rounds (top 12) ToD: 1.027 rounds (top 12) ThorZaIN: 0.917 rounds (top 12) qxc: 0.491 rounds (top 16) Axslav: 0.311 rounds (top 16) /me ducks lol you should'be written QXC for <0.0000000% just to see people go crazy | ||
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Godwrath
Spain10167 Posts
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Toxi78
966 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:41 TheBB wrote: Ah, no, they're just estimates from a large amount of samples (50k). Qxc has a very small probability of winning. It's not zero but it's so small that it might as well be. (Poor guy.) now run the script to see what his chances were to all-kill IM with beating MVP. yet it happend. because sc2 is nothing like chess and ELO rankings don't make a lot of sense in it. sure you did a good job with all this programming, as a statistician i reckon it's a bit of work (though far from being very complicated for anyone that has a bit of knowledge, but you fail to see that the problems come from the method and not the mathematical background. when programming something like this, the question is not what you develop the most in your thread aka the mathematical proof (anyone with some experience in R or python or w/e can do that), but the way you get the probability of player A beating player B. as you say yourself in the thread "if you accept that my Elo model is a perfect predictor". This is hilarious. Making statistics and using the biggest authority argument ever : "elo model is a perfect predictor". I'm just trying to open your eyes, great things could be done (and i'd be very interested to work in this or at least give it a few thoughts). All you need is not a huge perfect ranking of all active players to make such stats, it's the most accurate way to describe a player's chances to beat another player. we both know you and me that starcraft 2 is a not a transitive game so basically basing your whole analysis on ELO which is a ranking that pretty much compares the wins and loses of a player vs everyone against the wins and loses of the other player doesn't make a lot of sense to me. we can further develop by PMs if you want. i'm sorry i was rude at first. ps: why not use R instead of python, i find python terrible. could you also please detail the probability of player A to beat player B based on their ELOs, i'm interested anyways. | ||
Fionn
United States23455 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:55 TheBB wrote: Currently. + Show Spoiler + Lone Star Clash 2 Most likely winners: Stephano: 40.554% viOLet: 34.816% Polt: 7.568% TheStC: 6.600% CranK: 5.300% Bomber: 3.960% BabyKnight: 0.518% Sheth: 0.224% Hawk: 0.170% ToD: 0.112% GanZi: 0.090% NaNiwa: 0.034% Ret: 0.026% Axslav: 0.014% ThorZaIN: 0.014% qxc: >0.000% Life expectancy: Stephano: 5.562 rounds (top 2) viOLet: 5.101 rounds (top 3) Polt: 3.975 rounds (top 4) CranK: 3.694 rounds (top 4) TheStC: 3.001 rounds (top 6) Bomber: 2.688 rounds (top 6) Hawk: 1.881 rounds (top 8) BabyKnight: 1.845 rounds (top 8) GanZi: 1.817 rounds (top 8) NaNiwa: 1.294 rounds (top 12) Ret: 1.277 rounds (top 12) Sheth: 1.118 rounds (top 12) ToD: 1.027 rounds (top 12) ThorZaIN: 0.917 rounds (top 12) qxc: 0.491 rounds (top 16) Axslav: 0.311 rounds (top 16) /me ducks International ELO hasn't been updated in like two months. | ||
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pedrlz
Brazil5234 Posts
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On November 11 2012 02:57 Fionn wrote: International ELO hasn't been updated in like two months. I know. I'd be willing to do it. -_- | ||
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Fusilero
United Kingdom50293 Posts
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