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[M][N] Presidential Election Mini Mafia - Page 76

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
June 28 2016 20:58 GMT
#1501
Because I didn't cast my vote on Damdred yet
I'm adorable.
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10260 Posts
June 28 2016 21:00 GMT
#1502
On June 29 2016 05:57 Tumblewood wrote:
I don't think anyone can be the scum but jealous TBH (tt maybe maybe)
But I'm not wholly convinced jealous is scum

Explain? I'd like to see a case built against me that doesn't involve "feels" or an acronym like TMI with a lack of substance.

This isn't directly towards only you, Tumblewood, but are the veterans really that lazy around here? Almost no one besides Tictock is posting quotes and examining filters publicly. So far, many, people are just stating their reads with a definite lack of substance from within the thread.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10260 Posts
June 28 2016 21:01 GMT
#1503
On June 29 2016 05:58 GlowingBear wrote:
Because I didn't cast my vote on Damdred yet

You're not listed in the non-voting list, is what I meant.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
June 28 2016 21:04 GMT
#1504
On June 29 2016 05:55 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:54 Tumblewood wrote:
Fuck this I can't vote for Damdred this game

Explain?

Tone
The way Damdred reacted to suspicion I don't think could ever come from scum. Imagine he is:
He has to solo through the game and get 4 mislynches. He has four votes on him, all looks lost. You push him hard and he keeps pushing for his preferred lynch and defends himself hard. It felt incredibly genuine to me.
good times for all
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
June 28 2016 21:04 GMT
#1505
On June 29 2016 05:50 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:34 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:29 Jealous wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:16 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Okay, everyone, listen. There's one thing I know for certain. Absolute certain.

Damdred is town.

I'm going to try to explain why. I want everyone to read this post and let it actually sink in. Think about it for half an hour or something to avoid kneejerk/tunnel replies.

People aren't mafia because of inconsistencies. Town tends to be much more inconsistent than scum. People also aren't mafia because they happened to do things that aligned with mafia objectives.

People are mafia because they're mafia.

That sounds incredibly obvious, but it's something we often forget. Lots of these cases on Damdred revolve around proving he's been inconsistent, or doing things that fit mafia objectives, but it doesn't matter because they never asked the fundamental question: Is Damdred capable of playing this way as mafia?

Answer: He is most assuredly not. I've got a decent amount of experience playing with Damdred, including in one of the longest and hardest scumgames there was. We had a team of Damdred, Ritoky, Superbia, Marvellosity and myself and the thread was over 600 pages long, yet there were often moments where it was difficult for any of us to get motivated to play. There were moments where we wanted to resign, and probably would've if it wasn't for each other and the good position we were in. It is my fundamental belief that Damdred would've given up already a long time ago.

On top of this, as I've stated, Damdred is notoriously bad for faking emotion. When he's suspected as mafia, he often becomes trolly/happy because he doesn't like playing scum. This is especially true when his team sucks (which would've been the case here). As town, he becomes emo/unhappy and it either motivates him enough to try harder, or he just gives up and votes himself. In this case given the way the game's been going, it's been the former. We've seen plenty of examples of how Damdred's been unhappy littered throughout the game and they came at the moments you'd expect. Damdred's tried faking emotion before and it wasn't particularly believable. He's just not very good at it.

The Damdred of this game has had an extremely natural progression in terms of emotions and tones that he could not fake. He doesn't like playing scum and surrenders when it's impossible to win.

Damdred is not mafia this game, and I plead for you to believe me on that. I believe Jealous is, though I'm not quite certain on it. I do know Damdred is going to flip green.

Please take a bit of time to take this post in and don't give a kneejerk response to it.

I won't really take the 30 minutes necessary because the majority of your reasoning is meant to appeal to veterans and people with direct experience with Damdred, which means there is no way for me to refute them or support them.

I just want to say that these meta reads are all very lame. Your entire play so far in this game has been meta-based and you pushed the few people you have no background information on (QT, myself). This is really weak in my opinion. You refuse to look at certain people based on God-knows-what, you place weight on prior experience working WITH the person without considering that perhaps they have changed their approach knowing full well that they can't be the same person they were when they were scum with you, because that'd be too obvious. In fact, you are talking down to Damdred about his abilities as a player (even though he is "one of the best" by his own words) if you think his persona is so static and predictable.

Please, look within the confines of the game.

It doesn't really matter whether you think they're lame or not, they're correct. Damdred and I can't both be mafia so either my reasoning is 100% sincere, or he's Town anyway. Since I'm being sincere, you can be certain that I'm not trying to mess you about or fuck with you.

There's certain things you know about a player after playing with them for long enough that they can't change, or are just innate to them. I'm not saying he can't play a great scumgame; I'm saying he can't play this scumgame with this team. I believe that to be entirely impossible.

Furthermore, given I've pushed people that I haven't played with (and also used non-meta reasons), clearly it's not my entire play. It's a major part because all that matters is whether players are capable of playing the game they're currently playing as mafia. If the answer is no, you know their alignment.

1. I agree with this. I do believe your reasoning is sincere in the sense that you truly believe it. I also don't trust your reasoning because I can't trust someone who blindly pockets people (Chezinu).

2. I understand where you're coming from, but “overconfidence precedes carelessness.” You are so confident in your subjective experience and understanding of the people behind the aliases on this site that you are willing to overlook concrete evidence.

Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I'm sorry you can't get your mislynch based on logic. You've got some good logic going on and I'm sure it's frustrating to lose out on a mislynch this way. Not something you don't deserve with the way you're playing but mafia is a cruel game and sometimes people are town for reasons that suck, but make them clear town nonetheless.

I like how you use "your mislynch" to further incriminate me in the eyes of the reader. I am only pursuing this because 1. I've "got some good logic going" and 2. I, like you, and truly sincere in my analysis. This is the clearest scum to me right now so I'm pushing it with tangible evidence at a time when everyone else seems to be dozing besides Superbia and TT. I'm doing this for the good of town. As I mentioned earlier, if I do all of this and Damdred were by chance to flip green, wouldn't that look terrible for me if all I had to do was vote for him and cite my D1 reads? I might not be an experienced player and therefore not a strong player, but I'm not retarded and even I can see cause-and-effect on an a->b level.

Speaking of which, if you were scum and Damdred does get lynched and he is green, that would look great for you, wouldn't it? You made such an impassioned case with pretty formatting and an appeal to the in-circle of TL Mafia. If you were scum and I got lynched and flipped town, that might be a slight hindrance to you but nothing you wouldn't be able to work your way out of considering so many others are also on this wagon and because you have pocket buttbuddies in Chezinu and possibly Damdred (from his posts, at least).

This is an interesting hypothetical, something I'd want to explore if Damdred does indeed flip green, which I doubt. For now, I'm sticking to my guns. It's won one game, it may win another.

Honestly it just feels that you're scum to me because of the... opportunisticness you're displaying? You're lining up my potential mislynch now for if Damdred flips green, which is something I'd expect from scum. You're not taking the super easy things mostly such as people talking to others as if they're confirmed town (TT used it on Damdred) because you know they're cheap shots. I only worded it that way because I feel like everyone else is pretty townie and the way you're going about makes me feel pretty confident that you're mafia.

There was also just some actual sympathy for you, not gloating about it. I sincerely believe you're scum and I am sincerely sorry that you're likely to get lynched because people get townread for stupid reasons. Mafia doesn't necessarily reward those who play the best. I've experienced it plenty myself where people end up with stupid townreads that are correct because they just would never do it as scum; dumbtells were common in that regard.

As for the Chez read, I'm sure you're aware it's obviously a joke. Your frustration regarding it also further fuels my scumread on me, as I believe it's a mislynch that you need as mafia. Rest assured that I won't keep that joke going should it get to LYLO, but I doubt I'll be alive that long.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
June 28 2016 21:05 GMT
#1506
On June 29 2016 05:55 GlowingBear wrote:
Artanis my reasoning behind scumreading damdy is far from his inconsistencies.

It is much more because of his siding with EC and his reaction to my named VT claim

I sided with EC as well in the sense that I thought he was town. We can't both be scum.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
June 28 2016 21:06 GMT
#1507
On June 29 2016 06:00 Jealous wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:57 Tumblewood wrote:
I don't think anyone can be the scum but jealous TBH (tt maybe maybe)
But I'm not wholly convinced jealous is scum

Explain? I'd like to see a case built against me that doesn't involve "feels" or an acronym like TMI with a lack of substance.

This isn't directly towards only you, Tumblewood, but are the veterans really that lazy around here? Almost no one besides Tictock is posting quotes and examining filters publicly. So far, many, people are just stating their reads with a definite lack of substance from within the thread.

Yeah we are pretty lazy but that's hardly an issue. I am on my phone but my computer's only ten feet away so I'll filter dive, etc. soon but as a summary process of elimination.
good times for all
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
June 28 2016 21:07 GMT
#1508
Also, come on GB, you should know Damdred can't be scum this game. If you weren't confirmed town I'd actually be kinda suspicious of you now.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
June 28 2016 21:11 GMT
#1509
Just scrolled through Tumble's filter to make sure. Way too relaxed to be mafia.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
June 28 2016 21:13 GMT
#1510
also scum!damdred d1 should see two things:
a) his scum partners are flopping and highly likely to die d1/d2
b) he is short on town cred
which would lead him to think, "hey, I need to bus moosy and ec so I can get town cred for it and maybe solo the game". thing about that though is that tictock is kinda in the same boat so it's a blanket town point for both of them.
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
June 28 2016 21:18 GMT
#1511
I don't even know where to start casing jealous. there are a ton of things that should be huuuge mafia tells but from what I know about jealous's meta those tells probably don't even apply.
good times for all
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
June 28 2016 21:19 GMT
#1512
Meta is a thing jealous you just kind of live with through the opening portions of the game and later in the game is ignored usually.

There are super strong meta reads in this game, mostly between myself and art. Partially towards gb before the claim.

Besides that meta has been used pretty sparingly besides super as well.

As for what's your play mafia wouldn't try that hard would come to the for front. Do I think your lock scum. Nit really I have some paranoia about someone else as well but meh.
Jean Valjean
Profile Joined April 2015
France216 Posts
June 28 2016 21:20 GMT
#1513
Hey guys, I'm partially unavailable today, and probably tomorrow too. I am sorry for that, I should have more time to contribute on thursday.

I will try to make sense of what is going on in a little while, also I'm not particularly bothered about what we kill today.
In His name my task has just begun, I will see it done!
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
June 28 2016 21:20 GMT
#1514
Gb most people who played assassination mafia with you would be weary of that. I'm just honest here.

I trust you with a gun always though, you are a good night vig.
Skynx
Profile Blog Joined January 2013
Turkey7150 Posts
June 28 2016 21:21 GMT
#1515
I'll be up for some discussion tomorrow irl but Art, as much as i have faith in yout honesty we should stick to facts. I'm sure Damdred is mafia as much as you believe he is town so we're getting nowhere here.

So here is a logical man's way out: if Damdred is going to get lynched, we should try to get as much as info out of it in case he rolls town.
I feel like the remaining mafia (in case its not D) is someone we are not even considering right now. I suggest everyone be active as much as they can tmox cuz scum WILL drop something.

Nn
"When seagulls follow the troller, it is because they think sardines will be thrown into the sea. Thank you very much" - King Cantona | STX 4 eva
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
June 28 2016 21:21 GMT
#1516
On June 29 2016 06:20 Jean Valjean wrote:
Hey guys, I'm partially unavailable today, and probably tomorrow too. I am sorry for that, I should have more time to contribute on thursday.

I will try to make sense of what is going on in a little while, also I'm not particularly bothered about what we kill today.


But posts like this are really what bothers me. Like really badly, so many things bother me.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12970 Posts
June 28 2016 21:24 GMT
#1517
On June 29 2016 06:21 Skynx wrote:
I'll be up for some discussion tomorrow irl but Art, as much as i have faith in yout honesty we should stick to facts. I'm sure Damdred is mafia as much as you believe he is town so we're getting nowhere here.

So here is a logical man's way out: if Damdred is going to get lynched, we should try to get as much as info out of it in case he rolls town.
I feel like the remaining mafia (in case its not D) is someone we are not even considering right now. I suggest everyone be active as much as they can tmox cuz scum WILL drop something.

Nn

I doubt you believe Damdred is scum as hard as I believe he's town. I'm about 99.999% certain he's town. As for if it's not Jealous, there's a few people I think miiiight be scum. Also, I don't want to diss your scumread, but I would like you to take into account the amount of experience I've had playing with him and factor that in. That sounds incredibly egocentric, but please, believe me in it and try to see his play from a town point of view.
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10260 Posts
June 28 2016 21:26 GMT
#1518
On June 29 2016 06:04 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:55 Jealous wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:54 Tumblewood wrote:
Fuck this I can't vote for Damdred this game

Explain?

Tone
The way Damdred reacted to suspicion I don't think could ever come from scum. Imagine he is:
He has to solo through the game and get 4 mislynches. He has four votes on him, all looks lost. You push him hard and he keeps pushing for his preferred lynch and defends himself hard. It felt incredibly genuine to me.

He has 3 votes and I have 4. You unvoted me and revoted me, btw.

On June 29 2016 06:04 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 29 2016 05:50 Jealous wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:34 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:29 Jealous wrote:
On June 29 2016 05:16 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Okay, everyone, listen. There's one thing I know for certain. Absolute certain.

Damdred is town.

I'm going to try to explain why. I want everyone to read this post and let it actually sink in. Think about it for half an hour or something to avoid kneejerk/tunnel replies.

People aren't mafia because of inconsistencies. Town tends to be much more inconsistent than scum. People also aren't mafia because they happened to do things that aligned with mafia objectives.

People are mafia because they're mafia.

That sounds incredibly obvious, but it's something we often forget. Lots of these cases on Damdred revolve around proving he's been inconsistent, or doing things that fit mafia objectives, but it doesn't matter because they never asked the fundamental question: Is Damdred capable of playing this way as mafia?

Answer: He is most assuredly not. I've got a decent amount of experience playing with Damdred, including in one of the longest and hardest scumgames there was. We had a team of Damdred, Ritoky, Superbia, Marvellosity and myself and the thread was over 600 pages long, yet there were often moments where it was difficult for any of us to get motivated to play. There were moments where we wanted to resign, and probably would've if it wasn't for each other and the good position we were in. It is my fundamental belief that Damdred would've given up already a long time ago.

On top of this, as I've stated, Damdred is notoriously bad for faking emotion. When he's suspected as mafia, he often becomes trolly/happy because he doesn't like playing scum. This is especially true when his team sucks (which would've been the case here). As town, he becomes emo/unhappy and it either motivates him enough to try harder, or he just gives up and votes himself. In this case given the way the game's been going, it's been the former. We've seen plenty of examples of how Damdred's been unhappy littered throughout the game and they came at the moments you'd expect. Damdred's tried faking emotion before and it wasn't particularly believable. He's just not very good at it.

The Damdred of this game has had an extremely natural progression in terms of emotions and tones that he could not fake. He doesn't like playing scum and surrenders when it's impossible to win.

Damdred is not mafia this game, and I plead for you to believe me on that. I believe Jealous is, though I'm not quite certain on it. I do know Damdred is going to flip green.

Please take a bit of time to take this post in and don't give a kneejerk response to it.

I won't really take the 30 minutes necessary because the majority of your reasoning is meant to appeal to veterans and people with direct experience with Damdred, which means there is no way for me to refute them or support them.

I just want to say that these meta reads are all very lame. Your entire play so far in this game has been meta-based and you pushed the few people you have no background information on (QT, myself). This is really weak in my opinion. You refuse to look at certain people based on God-knows-what, you place weight on prior experience working WITH the person without considering that perhaps they have changed their approach knowing full well that they can't be the same person they were when they were scum with you, because that'd be too obvious. In fact, you are talking down to Damdred about his abilities as a player (even though he is "one of the best" by his own words) if you think his persona is so static and predictable.

Please, look within the confines of the game.

It doesn't really matter whether you think they're lame or not, they're correct. Damdred and I can't both be mafia so either my reasoning is 100% sincere, or he's Town anyway. Since I'm being sincere, you can be certain that I'm not trying to mess you about or fuck with you.

There's certain things you know about a player after playing with them for long enough that they can't change, or are just innate to them. I'm not saying he can't play a great scumgame; I'm saying he can't play this scumgame with this team. I believe that to be entirely impossible.

Furthermore, given I've pushed people that I haven't played with (and also used non-meta reasons), clearly it's not my entire play. It's a major part because all that matters is whether players are capable of playing the game they're currently playing as mafia. If the answer is no, you know their alignment.

1. I agree with this. I do believe your reasoning is sincere in the sense that you truly believe it. I also don't trust your reasoning because I can't trust someone who blindly pockets people (Chezinu).

2. I understand where you're coming from, but “overconfidence precedes carelessness.” You are so confident in your subjective experience and understanding of the people behind the aliases on this site that you are willing to overlook concrete evidence.

On June 29 2016 05:35 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
I'm sorry you can't get your mislynch based on logic. You've got some good logic going on and I'm sure it's frustrating to lose out on a mislynch this way. Not something you don't deserve with the way you're playing but mafia is a cruel game and sometimes people are town for reasons that suck, but make them clear town nonetheless.

I like how you use "your mislynch" to further incriminate me in the eyes of the reader. I am only pursuing this because 1. I've "got some good logic going" and 2. I, like you, and truly sincere in my analysis. This is the clearest scum to me right now so I'm pushing it with tangible evidence at a time when everyone else seems to be dozing besides Superbia and TT. I'm doing this for the good of town. As I mentioned earlier, if I do all of this and Damdred were by chance to flip green, wouldn't that look terrible for me if all I had to do was vote for him and cite my D1 reads? I might not be an experienced player and therefore not a strong player, but I'm not retarded and even I can see cause-and-effect on an a->b level.

Speaking of which, if you were scum and Damdred does get lynched and he is green, that would look great for you, wouldn't it? You made such an impassioned case with pretty formatting and an appeal to the in-circle of TL Mafia. If you were scum and I got lynched and flipped town, that might be a slight hindrance to you but nothing you wouldn't be able to work your way out of considering so many others are also on this wagon and because you have pocket buttbuddies in Chezinu and possibly Damdred (from his posts, at least).

This is an interesting hypothetical, something I'd want to explore if Damdred does indeed flip green, which I doubt. For now, I'm sticking to my guns. It's won one game, it may win another.

Honestly it just feels that you're scum to me because of the... opportunisticness you're displaying? You're lining up my potential mislynch now for if Damdred flips green, which is something I'd expect from scum. You're not taking the super easy things mostly such as people talking to others as if they're confirmed town (TT used it on Damdred) because you know they're cheap shots. I only worded it that way because I feel like everyone else is pretty townie and the way you're going about makes me feel pretty confident that you're mafia.

There was also just some actual sympathy for you, not gloating about it. I sincerely believe you're scum and I am sincerely sorry that you're likely to get lynched because people get townread for stupid reasons. Mafia doesn't necessarily reward those who play the best. I've experienced it plenty myself where people end up with stupid townreads that are correct because they just would never do it as scum; dumbtells were common in that regard.

As for the Chez read, I'm sure you're aware it's obviously a joke. Your frustration regarding it also further fuels my scumread on me, as I believe it's a mislynch that you need as mafia. Rest assured that I won't keep that joke going should it get to LYLO, but I doubt I'll be alive that long.


I've had Damdred as my scumlean since D1. In a situation where it's me vs. Damdred both getting votes for lynch in the wake of Superbia's play, I'll always choose Damdred. Examining that in a vacuum, that can't be AI because as scum I am doing it to get as a myslynch, as you said, and as town I am doing it because that is the strongest scum case presented so far and the one I can stand behind as town. I'm playing to win in either scenario. Also, as I said before, it would be foolish for me to put in all that effort if I was scum to mislynch 1 player when I have so many more to take care of. I'm fully aware that if he flips green it will look bad for me; rationally, as scum, I would use this as an opportunity to quietly wagon on him and if I am approached about it I would cite my D1 reads. Instead, I'm trying to lead the charge. If you combine all of these things into one, I can't see how you can say I'm playing with an opportunistic mindset.

Thanks for your sentiments.

I'm frustrated because it's bad for town, and I am town. People withholding reads and analysis is always scummy to me. Chezinu contributing so little for so long, your refusal to read this fact, and Damdred constantly trying to butter you two up just all seem like things that townies who are trying to win wouldn't do. As you said, all three of you can't be scum, but all three of you could have mannerisms that are not beneficial to town. I do want to note that I never said that either you or Chez were scum, just that your "house of brown" stuff annoys me.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
June 28 2016 21:28 GMT
#1519
On June 29 2016 06:21 Skynx wrote:
I'll be up for some discussion tomorrow irl but Art, as much as i have faith in yout honesty we should stick to facts. I'm sure Damdred is mafia as much as you believe he is town so we're getting nowhere here.

So here is a logical man's way out: if Damdred is going to get lynched, we should try to get as much as info out of it in case he rolls town.
I feel like the remaining mafia (in case its not D) is someone we are not even considering right now. I suggest everyone be active as much as they can tmox cuz scum WILL drop something.

Nn

this post feels off to me... lacks a sense of direction, as if skynx isn't pushing anything with it (though interestingly it does push a damdred lynch).
there's a contradiction in what I said but underneath it is surely some meaning. not sure how to vocalize it, but it definitely feels weird.
good times for all
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10260 Posts
June 28 2016 21:28 GMT
#1520
On June 29 2016 06:20 Jean Valjean wrote:
Hey guys, I'm partially unavailable today, and probably tomorrow too. I am sorry for that, I should have more time to contribute on thursday.

I will try to make sense of what is going on in a little while, also I'm not particularly bothered about what we kill today.

I was quite honestly looking forward to your input/analysis of the current situation to be honest ): Will you be able to catch up before EoD?
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
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