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OUTLAW MINI MAFIA - Page 225

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
January 08 2016 17:05 GMT
#4481
On January 08 2016 21:16 nooniansoong wrote:
Palmer can you defend the point nm made against you earlier?

You directed checking slam.
You are known to not like checking lynchbait players according to ows.


This isn't exactly what I asked, ftr.
Retired.
nooniansoong
Profile Joined December 2015
1538 Posts
January 08 2016 17:56 GMT
#4482
I'm still on the fence about shining and exo. My next order of business is to look into their filters. There isn't really an urgency to it though since Oo lynch is locked in for tomorrow pretty much.

Nk prediction... Obi duh. Or maybe Damdred to avoid the jk?

So oo, onegu, one of exo and shining. That's where am at right now.
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
January 08 2016 18:34 GMT
#4483
Yeah I wish i could double check my sources but I can't via phone.

Much lameness.
Retired.
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
January 08 2016 18:35 GMT
#4484
Damdred could theoretically be scum ftr.
Retired.
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
January 08 2016 18:37 GMT
#4485
On January 09 2016 02:56 nooniansoong wrote:
I'm still on the fence about shining and exo. My next order of business is to look into their filters. There isn't really an urgency to it though since Oo lynch is locked in for tomorrow pretty much.

Nk prediction... Obi duh. Or maybe Damdred to avoid the jk?

So oo, onegu, one of exo and shining. That's where am at right now.

lol i'd shoot you tongiht if i were mafia, maybe they'll set me up for autolynch if you die today. nothing would give me more pleasure.
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 08 2016 20:07 GMT
#4486
On January 09 2016 03:35 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Damdred could theoretically be scum ftr.


such reasoning much wow
Coagulation
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States9633 Posts
January 08 2016 20:46 GMT
#4487
sup reading thread now
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
January 08 2016 20:53 GMT
#4488
On January 09 2016 05:07 Damdred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 09 2016 03:35 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Damdred could theoretically be scum ftr.


such reasoning much wow


Right?
Retired.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22634 Posts
January 08 2016 21:34 GMT
#4489
we have 1 mislynch left right?
Computer says mafia
The Shining
Profile Joined December 2014
United States2406 Posts
January 08 2016 21:40 GMT
#4490
Without saves

11 left. 8 town 3 scum.
NK 7 town, 3 scum
ML to 6-3
NK to 5-3
LYLO. MISLYNCH here would drop us to 4-3 & we lose if no save
Always and Never are two words you should always remember never to say.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22634 Posts
January 08 2016 21:47 GMT
#4491
yes so

idk

there's probably 3 mafia in:

nm, shining, oo, ritoky, kush, exo

coag obi are mostly confirmed, onegu is not mafia and it's unlikely damdred is (although stepping away from the game seems to have caused all my reads to become weaker)
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22634 Posts
January 08 2016 21:47 GMT
#4492
I feel it's slightly less likely nm is mafia because he's so aggressive and stand-off-ish
Computer says mafia
ExO_
Profile Blog Joined September 2009
United States2316 Posts
January 08 2016 21:56 GMT
#4493
On January 09 2016 06:47 Palmar wrote:
yes so

idk

there's probably 3 mafia in:

nm, shining, oo, ritoky, kush, exo

coag obi are mostly confirmed, onegu is not mafia and it's unlikely damdred is (although stepping away from the game seems to have caused all my reads to become weaker)


interesting. I'm curious to see the night actions after this little list
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 08 2016 22:27 GMT
#4494
I'll post a list to reference in a minute if I dir anyway
ObviousOne
Profile Joined April 2012
United States3704 Posts
January 08 2016 22:59 GMT
#4495
waylanner was / i am the jailkeeper

day 1 he did not cc vivax because he wasn't playing the game
this led to me asking specifically about vivax as soon as i started catching up with the game
On December 30 2015 09:09 ObviousOne wrote:
what happened with vivax? can i get a ten second summary? still reading

vivax was an un-cc'd jk as far as reading the thread was concerned when i jumped in, so i wanted to get the lowdown on

that from someone who had more information. nobody volunteered it, so fuck all you guys for that btw
On December 30 2015 20:44 ObviousOne wrote:
yeah sorry i didn't save rsoul last night my bad, sl. sleeping etc.

i think this crumb speaks for itself

my first jail was n2, on damdred (defensive)

n3 i jailed palmar (defensive)

tonight i'm jailing nooniansong (offensively) so if the kills don't go through lynch him for sure, but if one does i

hope its me that dies

anyone else claiming jk should be lynched immediately im so done with fake claims this game

also there are no notifications this game so i have no idea if any of these went through and scum might already know i'm jk and are/have been blocking me

hopefully this helps people solve the game easier

don't have much drive to continue to solve the game

i feel like kush is likely mafia,if he's truly doing analysis i figure he would recognize the purpose of those two posts of mine i quoted and stop calling me mafia or pushing for my lynch. other two mafia, no idea.

gl
Fear is the only darkness. ~Destiny Fan Club operator~
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 22:59 GMT
#4496
LIST POST AS FOLLOWS

All But Confirmed Town

Coagulation – Mason

ObiWanShinobi – effectively greenchecked, though I felt that way after his filter check

Pretty Damn Town

Damdred – overall approach to thinking, I’d say the read diagram meta pretty much applies here. Approach to how I replaced in was very town-oriented.

The Shining – tone: emotions are present, meta: review of his filter showed posts that paralleled an advancement of the game similar to Dark Tournament, back and forth hashing re: ritoky.

ExO_ - tone: general IDGAF attitude; actions: tunnel on Shining, several posts through day/night 3 that demonstrated a townie thinking process including voting breakdowns

Coinflips/Gut Calls – But I’m Really Thinking Town

ObviousOne – The guy has low activity, big deal, was mentioned as a lynchbait player. Shining mentioned lack of urgency, which is a major towntell. Content per post is high and demonstrates critical thinking. No one in the game has made a meta based argument otherwise. Only argument I’ve seen so far is PoE. That’s not enough in my book to call him mafia when there’s much stronger arguments on other players.

Null – Complete Tossup

Kush – Reconsidered after the bussing Slam argument and hard defence of two mafia. Not outside the possibility that he could have been tricked by Palmar. Reads don’t look organic, and not sure why he’d “ask” for towncred after the Slam lynch. However, interactions with Noon when I replaced in I really felt were townie.

Probably Mafia:

Onegu – Looked at this guy’s filter and actions and several things rubbed me the wrong way:
Fake Claim Day 2: Mind you, Tictock didn’t help himself here but given stage of the game, could have easily drawn out real cop given the very player he had outed with after “checking”, a player was likely to get lynched anyhow based on thread sentiment. Koshi had called outing extremely suboptimal. The effect of redchecking Tictock in reading through Day 2 and looking back, led town down a rabbit hole.

Repeated points that don’t make him town as if he were town: NOT confirmed town after the bussing of GB (as opposed to Slam who flipped subsequently) and he pushed it as a reason to consider him town, made a post where he’d assume he’d be in lylo (Kush had pointed this out), which again doesn’t make him any more town.

Look at the Big Picture Please and LYNCH THESE PEOPLE WITH FIRE
Ritoky:

Tone – opportunistic approach (compared to Damdred) in approaching my replacing in night 2 (see post 4241), similarities to Fullmetal (Newbie 17)

Vote Analysis: Day 1 – soft pushes GlowingBear and starts serious discussion on him but despite including him in a shennanies list, hits Rels despite not mentioning him all cycle and only 1h prior to end of cycle
Night 2 Kill: Several things don’t line up including things that ritoky had to backtrack on: See my original case here, additional arguments here and here, responses to ritoky here, additional here. Kill did not advance information (a shot on either day 2 fakeclaim) at best, and excuse for shooting Moosy is VERY flimsy. (here)
NK WIFOM: Not as strong as is on Palmar but a few things -

Palmar:

NK WIFOM: Four players (rayn, Artanis, Vivax, Koshi), one of which was scumread a bit called him out for various reasons and are dead in two nights.

Misrepresentation: Metas misrepresentation with Vivax/Artanis, clash with ExO_ Day 3 pushed at his emotions as opposed to achieving resolution.

Posting just to post and/or for the sake of defence: Meta arguments aside, Reads given on 3-4 players Day 3 were long, shiny and expansive but did not advance the game and got the townreads needed to survive. Spammed thread Day 4 as I was pushing him and ritoky in priming self for a possible defence, had that wagon gained traction.
Cop check on Slam (flipped GF) – attempted to bait cop to check godfather, was called out by OWS re anti-meta argument, responses given night 3 are either NAI or WIFOM at best.

Voting Day 3 – Voted GlowingBear over Alakaslam, when previous vote was on Alakaslam. Noon’s point on switching from mafia to mafia does nto make him more town, it makes him more mafia as he preserved the GF over the vanilla scum.

MOST PROBABALE SCUM TEAM:

Palmar/ritoky 100% - 100% these two should be lynched.

Onegu >80%
Kush approx. 50%

Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
January 08 2016 22:59 GMT
#4497
Stop posting. Resolving night actions.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
January 08 2016 23:00 GMT
#4498
Day 5






NocturneMage the Vanilla Town has been killed!





until end of day. Remember voting is mandatory.
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
January 08 2016 23:01 GMT
#4499
GGs and that's that. I'll see everyone post-game.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
January 08 2016 23:04 GMT
#4500
That makes life easier slightly. Brave claim
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