EPTAlso due to the bussing argument earlier, and the friendly banter between moosy and kickstart on start of day 2.
I jumped on the kick vote because I thought it would be easier to get kick lynched than moosy.
Newbie Student Mafia XI - Page 96
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
Also due to the bussing argument earlier, and the friendly banter between moosy and kickstart on start of day 2. I jumped on the kick vote because I thought it would be easier to get kick lynched than moosy. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
He said in his last post that a top scumtell was that scum didn't talk to each other, just about each other. Moosy seemed very interested in n00bkings post so I was sure that he picked up on this point. I used the banter between moosy and kick as confirmation bias for this point when they later attacked me together. (IE : they wanted to talk to each other as to not seem suspicious according to n00bkings point) | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
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Rels
France13467 Posts
batsnacks scott ruxxar Damdred Kickstart Trfel So there is a good chance at least 1 mafia is in that list. | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
Oatsmaster Like day 1, he didn't vote neither me nor Sulfurus. In his reasons to vote Kickstart, he expresses suspicion on Sulfu, but never vote him. Suspicious IMO. ruxxar ruxx went on my wagon when it was easy. Then he went on moosy's wagon for weird reasons when I started posting stuff. Then he went on Kickstart's easy wagon for no reason. Then he didnt' go for Sulfu's easy wagon. Not town sign obviously but not that suspicious IMO. Damdred The first to go on Sulfu's wagon (after Kickstart's defense vote). Pretty good sign. batsnacks Started on my per his case, but quickly voted ruxxar. Super weird, as I was super scummy before day 2. WOS First of the day to express real doubts on Sulfu. Good sign. Trfel Explained everything he did. Very logical. Hammered Sulfu with his vote. scott Super suspicious. I will pretend he's mafia and construct a likely narrative for him for day 2. He hoped into my easy train sheeping someone at the very start of the day 2. He had 14 posts between 5 hours before the deadline and the deadline In the first of these 14 posts he soft defended Sulfu, when Sulfu only had one vote (Kickstart's): On June 17 2015 02:44 scott31337 wrote: Then let us discuss Sulfurus - what do you not like about him? He just voted for Oats I see. Then, even though he posted 8 posts in the last 4 hours, he posted this: On June 17 2015 06:38 scott31337 wrote: Yeah Im here had to finish the other game - I fought well let me read and catch up and my vote This post looks like this to me: "Ow I don't have time to think I may do a mistake voting as I only have a few minutes to decides" And mistake he did since he posted this: On June 17 2015 06:43 scott31337 wrote: Grrr I haven't like KS all game - his wall of text isn't that great but it's something....I like who's on Sulfurs better, but the last three times I've used that suggestion, Its because the mafia were on the other side and enough townies on the ML anyway I'm going with KS. At the same time, Sulfu also voted Kickstart. Then scott realized his vote and Sulfu's was not enough to lynch Kickstart, so he salvaged the situation: On June 17 2015 06:49 scott31337 wrote: If Sulf is mafia then I'll look like shit Trfel is my believer and WoS is my believer they want Sulf dead Sulf isn't doing shit Let's go Sulf then fuhq it What does he "if Sulfu if mafia then I'll look like shit". Why care so much. He had the same kind of thinking day 1, when he ninja voted geript for no reason. That reason may be that he wanted to be in the group. So the strongest thing I take from day 2 analysis is a strong scum lean on scott. These reasons especially: - he was part of the group that had an easy jump on me - he tried to hammer kickstart - he changed his mind just after, as it was clear that Sulfu was going to get lynched | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
WOS Trfel Kickstart batsnacks By POE 2 mafia are probably here: ruxxar Oats Damdred scott And I think at least 1 mafia is in here: batsnacks scott ruxxar Damdred Kickstart Trfel So crossing the lists, these people has a good chance being mafia: scott ruxxar Damdred Ordered that last list from most scum to less scum. | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
TODO list when I have time: ruxxar / Sulfu interactions analysis + updating my scott case. | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On June 18 2015 17:56 Rels wrote: Another person is weird. It's Oatsmaster. He did the same thing for his two votes. He jumped on a new train, so he was second vote each time; and each time, his reasons were ... not. Yeah no reasons actually. It's almost as he wanted to be the second in the group, no matter who was the lynch, so he could say after "hey, I was at the beginning of the train, didn't hop in opportuniscally". I'll see if his day 2 votes are the same. Later. This shit takes too long to do. more like im lazy and dont vote lol. | ||
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On June 18 2015 18:55 ruXxar wrote: Shit, sorry for edit. modkill his ass. Ive never actually seen anyone get modkilled for editing lol. | ||
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Onegu
United States9699 Posts
ruXxar has bee warned for editing posts | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
Anyway I have a request for everyone reading: I want you to take a look at voting patterns and tell your thoughts about it. I made voting recap for day 1 and day 2. Or you can use Trfel's analysis if you prefer that style. | ||
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WaveofShadow
Canada31494 Posts
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
As I said before, I dont think any of the votes have been alignment indicative so far this game. Because none of them were to save a mafia. | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
I have cookies for the first three | ||
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Rels
France13467 Posts
On June 19 2015 01:45 Oatsmaster wrote: yeah pretty much what wave said. As I said before, I dont think any of the votes have been alignment indicative so far this game. Because none of them were to save a mafia. I find Scott s vote both day could be in this category | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
Right now my most solid town reads are: Wave: For his reaction to my call out of blue hunting. For his "I want this dead" comment on sulfur. Batsnacks: For the way sulf desperately cried out that bats was scum when people swapped votes from sulf to rels. Kickstart: For ... Reasons. | ||
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On June 19 2015 01:48 Rels wrote: I find Scott s vote both day could be in this category yeah no, day 1 his vote was on you then on geript. last vote on geript. And geript got lynched by a landslide. 2nd day, he was actually on kickstart right before the end of the day where he switched to sulph. and it was like 6-3 sulph at the point he changed. So no, scott's votes do not fit into that catagory. Unless you slipped and you know who is mafia. | ||
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Oatsmaster
United States16628 Posts
On June 19 2015 02:22 ruXxar wrote: So I wanted to start a process of elimination. Right now my most solid town reads are: Wave: For his reaction to my call out of blue hunting. For his "I want this dead" comment on sulfur. Batsnacks: For the way sulf desperately cried out that bats was scum when people swapped votes from sulf to rels. Kickstart: For ... Reasons. hey dude if you are calling bats town because sulph scumread him, why arent you calling me town? sulph scumread me too. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
IT genuinely seende like a dying attempt to stay alive. I also think he had given up at that point because he later says "if I had known you guys wouldn't lynch me I would have come back sooner". So to me that seemed like a genuine attempt to lynch bats. I'll have to reevaluate sulfurs case against you before I make any statements either way: I feel very certain that bats is town though. | ||
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