EPTNewbie Student Mafia XI - Page 83
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Kickstart
United States1941 Posts
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
I'm just bitter that the whole premise on my theory rested on the fact that Sulfur was actually a good player q.q. | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
(note: all vote counts except the final vote count are unofficial, created by me) Vote Count #1 Rels (6): MoosyDoosy, scott31337, ruXxar, Damdred, Kickstart, ruXxar (1): batsnacks Sulfurus (1): WaveofShadow Vote Count #2 (Rels wagon loses votes) Rels (2): MoosyDoosy, ruXxar (1): batsnacks Sulfurus (1): WaveofShadow MoosyDoosy (1): ruXxar Vote Count #3 (Kickstart wagon starts) Kickstart (4): Sulfurus (3): ruXxar (1): batsnacks, Oatsmaster (1): Sulfurus Rels (0): MoosyDoosy (0): Vote Count #4 (Sulfurus wagon) Kickstart (5): Sulfurus (6): ruXxar (0): Oatsmaster (0): Rels (0): MoosyDoosy (0): After this, scott31337 switched from Kickstart to Sulfurus, and then the day ended. The wagon on Rels started fairly quickly in the day. When the wagon lost steam (vote count #2), things looked very open. The Kickstart wagon started, but only reached a maximum of five votes. There were only a few hours where the Kickstart wagon seemed significantly larger than the Sulfurus wagon. Assuming for the moment that Kickstart is scum and Rels is town, that means that mafia had an early mislynch set up, but lost the momentum. And there was about a full day in between when the Rels wagon started to lose steam and when the Sulfurus wagon really started. Looking at the Day 1 voting, Sulfurus was almost always (before the geript push) a top contender to be lynched. Given the frequency I've seen scum lynched on Day 1 (once in my mafia career), I don't feel like scum has that much thread presence. And if Kickstart is scum with Sulfurus, that means that there was only one scum buddy who would have been there in the time in question to create a new push (after the Rels push died down). And even so, this just isn't realistic. So Kickstart is very likely town here. This makes the Sulfurus wagon look really pure. Kickstart (again), Damdred, and WaveofShadow look pretty good. Batsnacks is looking quite towny this game already, and MoosyDoosy's vote is yet another point in his favor. Scott31337 switched after the outcome was clear, so his vote does not count for him. Due to how close the lynch was, it feels like scum had a lot of force on Kickstart. Rels and ruXxar look a little more suspicious here, but Oatsmaster and scott31337 look a lot worse. While it's possible that Damdred and/or WaveofShadow are scum here, it feels very unlikely. I'll be back with more analysis tonight. Good work! | ||
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Trfel
7015 Posts
On June 17 2015 07:47 Trfel wrote: Just caught an error here, whoops. The final vote count is ALSO unofficial. Sorry for any confusion.(note: all vote counts except the final vote count are unofficial, created by me) | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
On June 17 2015 07:50 ruXxar wrote: Btw Scott is mafia 100%. Just read his filter than look at sulfurus actions and posts and you'll understand immediatly. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
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MoosyDoosy
United States4519 Posts
##vote ruXxar | ||
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MoosyDoosy
United States4519 Posts
On June 13 2015 10:30 Fecalfeast wrote: Oh fish ul Votecount Oatsmaster (0): ruXxar (0): Kickstart (0): Sulfurus (4): Kickstart, geript, batsnacks, WaveOfShadow Batsnacks (5): n00bKing, ruXxar, Oatsmaster, sulfurus, Rels scott113133373737131731371313713137 (0): Geript (0): Rels (0): Not Voting (4): MoosyDoosy Damdred scott11331373737373771317371373 Trfel Currently Batsnacks is set to be lynched with 5 votes! Remember to vote in the voting thread Day ends in On June 13 2015 20:33 Onegu wrote: Oh fish ul Votecount Oatsmaster (0): ruXxar (0): Kickstart (0): Sulfurus (5): Kickstart, geript, batsnacks, WaveOfShadow, scott11331373737373771317371373 Batsnacks (5): n00bKing, ruXxar, Oatsmaster, sulfurus, scott113133373737131731371313713137 (0): Geript (0): Rels (0): Not Voting (3): MoosyDoosy Damdred Rels Currently Batsnacks is set to be lynched with 5 votes! Remember to vote in the voting thread Day ends in | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
On June 17 2015 07:59 MoosyDoosy wrote: I don't understand. The whole time he's been suspecting Sulfurus and even votes against him at a critical point between batsnacks and him. It looks to me like you're quickly trying to get a wagon going which makes you more suspicious. You also haven't given any real points. ##vote ruXxar Just like you didn't give any points on your switch off Rel? Either way I'll be the bigger man and make the points on scott for you in my next post. | ||
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MoosyDoosy
United States4519 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
On June 17 2015 08:01 MoosyDoosy wrote: The critical point for anyone wondering. This is great actually. Like really good. I don't want to lynch scott | ||
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MoosyDoosy
United States4519 Posts
Like he's been super shady the last couple of pages, but re-reading his filter knowing that Sulfurus is Mafia just leads me to think he's a townie. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
On June 14 2015 09:49 scott31337 wrote: I want to re-read Sulf and Rels again among others. What would your reasons for this be? + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 05:18 scott31337 wrote: Oatsmaster could be mafia Says he's VT in the first post (which is bad anyway, narrows down the blues) and then defends himself about his VT claim saying "Have you seen it done before?" (BTW, Onegu has done it before in XXX I believe) + Show Spoiler + On June 12 2015 10:26 Oatsmaster wrote: why would you do this. 1. Im vt. 2. Bats is mafia. 3. Chezinu rule. ##vote Bats On June 13 2015 21:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Im sure you read the most recent Ver game where he caught at least one mafia because of a bad opening post. Tell me, why did you vote for the vt claim? You think that mafia somehow claims vt in one of the first few posts? Have you see that happen before? Switches his read on Bats fairly easily, doesn't mention the reason for switching to geript - bails + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 01:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Im going to sleep. Lynch geript. Wants to go after Moosy now, even though he only mentions a joke post about him and nothing else + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 09:14 Oatsmaster wrote: Let's get moosy tmr On June 13 2015 01:12 Oatsmaster wrote: LOL this post. Oh man. I would feel so silly if moose is mafia. Throws out lynching me with no explanation - I and others ask about it but never replies - what happened to Moosy? + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 09:36 Oatsmaster wrote: I quite like lynching Scot. Meta reason for calling Damdred scum - still doesn't explain the reasoning on me + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 15:18 Oatsmaster wrote: Damdred didn't call me town, he's scum. Also that completely pointless list post that has more townreads than scum reads. Sulph / damdred mafia. Scott also maybe. Goes back to Damdred without reason except for the above? + Show Spoiler + On June 16 2015 08:41 Oatsmaster wrote: I really dont like this kickstart lynch, its coming up super fast and everyone is supporting it. What happened to lynching ruxxar? I thought that was pretty good. or damdred. Conclusions - Oats asks a lot of questions without followup Follows the bandwagon of the thread until KS wants to be lynched Shit reasons for wanting to lynch me and Damdred Unsure what direction he wants to go if he's town Oats could be mafia. + Show Spoiler + On June 16 2015 15:32 Sulfurus wrote: K I just realized that Oats is scummy. I looked through his filter and minus the fluff it's just him asking questions (interspersed with attempts to discredit towny posts) Now I'm sure n00b would be quick to remind me that asking questions is actually towny as it provides valuable scum hunting information But even if Oats has gotten anything from his posts he hasn't actually provided any of it to the thread in fact it's likely that his questions are helping mafia more then town. ##Vote: Oatsmaster + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 06:52 Sulfurus wrote: K before I die: 4 lynches Oatsmaster Kickstarter Batsnacks MoosyDoosy If I don't get lynched: Scott31337 Top town Rels + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 06:55 Sulfurus wrote: Also my lynch list is ordered (i.e. oats is top scum) | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
I wouldn't be surprised if Rels is mafia either. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
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scott31337
United States2979 Posts
On June 17 2015 07:54 ruXxar wrote: ##Vote scott31337 The dumbtells are real with this one. | ||
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ruXxar
Norway5669 Posts
Good night everyone. | ||
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MoosyDoosy
United States4519 Posts
On June 17 2015 08:12 ruXxar wrote: + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 09:49 scott31337 wrote: I want to re-read Sulf and Rels again among others. What would your reasons for this be? + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 05:18 scott31337 wrote: Oatsmaster could be mafia Says he's VT in the first post (which is bad anyway, narrows down the blues) and then defends himself about his VT claim saying "Have you seen it done before?" (BTW, Onegu has done it before in XXX I believe) + Show Spoiler + On June 12 2015 10:26 Oatsmaster wrote: why would you do this. 1. Im vt. 2. Bats is mafia. 3. Chezinu rule. ##vote Bats On June 13 2015 21:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Im sure you read the most recent Ver game where he caught at least one mafia because of a bad opening post. Tell me, why did you vote for the vt claim? You think that mafia somehow claims vt in one of the first few posts? Have you see that happen before? Switches his read on Bats fairly easily, doesn't mention the reason for switching to geript - bails + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 01:58 Oatsmaster wrote: Im going to sleep. Lynch geript. Wants to go after Moosy now, even though he only mentions a joke post about him and nothing else + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 09:14 Oatsmaster wrote: Let's get moosy tmr On June 13 2015 01:12 Oatsmaster wrote: LOL this post. Oh man. I would feel so silly if moose is mafia. Throws out lynching me with no explanation - I and others ask about it but never replies - what happened to Moosy? + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 09:36 Oatsmaster wrote: I quite like lynching Scot. Meta reason for calling Damdred scum - still doesn't explain the reasoning on me + Show Spoiler + On June 14 2015 15:18 Oatsmaster wrote: Damdred didn't call me town, he's scum. Also that completely pointless list post that has more townreads than scum reads. Sulph / damdred mafia. Scott also maybe. Goes back to Damdred without reason except for the above? + Show Spoiler + On June 16 2015 08:41 Oatsmaster wrote: I really dont like this kickstart lynch, its coming up super fast and everyone is supporting it. What happened to lynching ruxxar? I thought that was pretty good. or damdred. Conclusions - Oats asks a lot of questions without followup Follows the bandwagon of the thread until KS wants to be lynched Shit reasons for wanting to lynch me and Damdred Unsure what direction he wants to go if he's town Oats could be mafia. + Show Spoiler + On June 16 2015 15:32 Sulfurus wrote: K I just realized that Oats is scummy. I looked through his filter and minus the fluff it's just him asking questions (interspersed with attempts to discredit towny posts) Now I'm sure n00b would be quick to remind me that asking questions is actually towny as it provides valuable scum hunting information But even if Oats has gotten anything from his posts he hasn't actually provided any of it to the thread in fact it's likely that his questions are helping mafia more then town. ##Vote: Oatsmaster + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 06:52 Sulfurus wrote: K before I die: 4 lynches Oatsmaster Kickstarter Batsnacks MoosyDoosy If I don't get lynched: Scott31337 Top town Rels + Show Spoiler + On June 17 2015 06:55 Sulfurus wrote: Also my lynch list is ordered (i.e. oats is top scum) I'm not buying it until you explain why scott31337 went for Sulfurus early in the thread until now. | ||
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