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[M][N]Holy Guardians Chapter 1 - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 04:31 GMT
#1069
If you are town, I apologize, Damdred, Let us go hunt the rest.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 04:39 GMT
#1072
What do you think about VE?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 08:25 GMT
#1110
On June 06 2015 13:40 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
You know I think I've got this game 99% solved

My continued townreads:
Kickstart
Ritoky
Milo
Nydus
Fideu
sicluck(shendel)

Upper-Null:
Chocolate
VE
Damdred

Lower-Null:
Onegu
Scott

Mafia:
Tictock

Honestly I think after we lynch Tictock we just start killing up the list. I am more inclined to believe that my townread on VE was a bit hasty, and I continue to not really have a strong read on chocolate but I just like the vibe I get from reading his posts.

With regards to Scotts vs Damdred's large posts the past couple pages, I actually liked some of Damdred's points and the general direction he pushed. I can't say I got a scummy vibe from Scotts but I didn't get a townie vibe either. Onegu just hasn't done anything.

There is probably one mafia hiding in my town reads//upper null reads.

At this point my priority is getting Tictock lynched. The rest of you should start focusing on Onegu/Scott/Damdred/VE/Chocolate. I believe the rest of the mafia team lies in there.



You do not have this game solved at all - I'm town - and you got town reads on Sch/Fideu that magically appear?

I see Tictock as more lynchbait - He could be mafia, but as I said -He improved his game if he is. Maybe I got confirmation bias, he does not have a coach. I'm honestly not seeing his scum game.

On June 06 2015 13:43 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
I have nothing on VE, he might even be below Damdred at this point. It just seems like he has tunneled Chocolate the entire game TBH for reasons I never really picked up on.

This list is more accurate:

Town:
Kickstart
Ritoky
Milo
Fideu
Sickluck(shendel)
Nydus

Upper-null:
Damdred
Chocolate
VE

Lower-null:
Scott
Onegu

Mafia:
Tictock


What do you want me to think? You failed to vote and I gave you a bit of lea-way over the other two wagons. Would you like to be the wagon again? I'll shit more town rainbows if needed - It's been a long night.

On June 06 2015 13:46 VisceraEyes wrote:
In fact, several people have intimated suspicion that if Chocolate is mafia then GG is mafia with him. Maybe we SHOULD lynch Chocolate today. Nah.


I want VE to expand more on this if he is town - Do you think Chocolate is mafia?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 08:34 GMT
#1111
I just woke up with peeps who do not know what prejudice is -tired of hearing the "N" word and no clue.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 17:37 GMT
#1169
On June 06 2015 19:44 Onegu wrote:
Damdred falls under the Onegu rule also. He goes from I cant read onegu well IDK need more time. To onegu looks really bad, he best lynch for no reason.

GG
S-word
Damdred

Scumteam^


I knew my brotha would come thru -

##Unvote

On June 06 2015 20:47 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
Also Damdred continues to look better than Onegu at this rate.


Did your team get called out?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 17:42 GMT
#1170
If Onegu dies d3 follow his path to victory
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 18:59 GMT
#1177
I'm pretty sure Tic is town after that case. VE is as well.

So if I can get NHM to crap some more town love (or Shen)- That leaves (in order)

GGTemplar
Fidei86
Damdred
Shendelzare
Chocolate

And we can GG it out.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 20:42 GMT
#1180
On June 07 2015 04:56 Fidei86 wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Hey guys

Sorry for having been quiet over the last day or so - I went out with work last night and drank waaay too much, then I've had friends round today and have just caught up with the thread.

I want to talk a little bit about the ritoky night-kill. Someone said earlier that it's mostly circular (WIFOM?) to try and think too much about it. That makes sense to me, because if you say "so and so would have wanted to kill Ritoky because he was on to them", the obvious counter-argument is "well maybe the mafia are trying to set up so and so". On top of that, Ritoky was a relatively easy target because most people had him town-read (or, at least, he had barely taken any criticism apart from very early on regarding his posting style) and he was also really driving discussion in a pro-town way.

However, I'm now going to totally crap on everything I just said above, and say that I think that the two people that Ritoky's night kill reflect badly on are scott and Ticktock.

Ticktock

Early on in day 1, ritoky was all over Ticktock. In particular, look at this. Ritoky was concerned that something was off with the post. (Honestly, I'm not sure I follow what Ritoky was on about, but that's not really the point.) He then later says this, where he says "I think me and this guy are reading separate games". However, he quietened down a bit on Ticktock as we came up to EOD 1, especially as everything turned on the Chocolate/Kickstarter debacle. After the vote, ritoky then said:
TT also seemed overly upset/miffed by the vote for how little he did to try and stop it/get his target lynched. Seems like a bit of a disproportionate response. I guess a lot of people already said that but gonna echo it.
TT ended up as the most yellow on ritoky's final list, which I assume means most scum.

Scott

Ritoky had less to say about scott, probably because scott just hasn't been as active as Ticktock (or, at least, it seems that way). Still, right at the end, in his table, ritoky wrote next to scott's name "very different from previous game".

I've also had a scum read on scott for a while. Reading through his filter, I just don't think he has every contributed much of value. He posts lots of lists, but they generally only refer to vague feelings, rather than anything more substantive. He also has a serious tendency to respond to questions or comments with a "what do you think?" or "what's your list", which I think looks like a tactic to avoid answering questions.

One thing in particular that I didn't like was where, when the Chocolate/Kickstarter thing was getting started, he had his vote on Chocolate. He then posted in the midst of it all here that "I'm starting to think both wagons are town". However, he didn't move his vote off Chocolate. That's a big tell to me. If he had honestly believed that, and was town himself, the logical thing would have been to try and look for a different candidate. In fact, both Chocolate and I were pushing an Onegu policy vote around that time, which would have succeeded if he had come on board and helped us to get one or two more supporters.
+ Show Spoiler +

Why a ritoky NK makes sense

Ticktock is being tunnelled pretty hard by GGTemplar, but he doesn't seem to be on many other lists (I think he drew some fire from Chocolate earlier, but that seems to have died down a little). Scott doesn't seem to be on anyone's list at all - in fact I don't think anyone has really said much of anything substantive about him. Ritoky wasn't pushing either of them to get lynched, but he clearly had suspicions. To me it makes perfect sense for them to lynch him - it wouldn't draw too much fire because ritoky wasn't tunnelling either of them, but he definitely had a sense about both of them that nobody else had, and scott/TT silencing that voice totally makes sense to me.

The other thing to bear in mind, for me anyway, is that Ritoky seemed like he was a really strong player, and since he is confirmed town, we know his views were genuine. It looks to me like these guys were his top targets.

OMGUS

(My understanding of this is that it's where people counter-accuse mafia).

I recognise that scott and Ticktock are the two people who have really said negative things about me. They haven't ever said "oh, he's scum", but they've both just criticised my posts without giving good reasons, and I seem to have made it to the "null" section of their lists. As this is my first game of forum mafia, I accept that all of the above could just be confirmation bias. I'm raising this just so you guys can bear it in mind when you read the above.

What does everyone think?

TL;DR: ritoky was suspicious of scott and TT, so it makes sense for them to NK him


What questions do you have for me? I also posted that I thought both wagons are town because the voting started to feel that way - call it a spidey sense. You are right, I didn't vote for KS because I was more confident on him - and look, I was right. What kind of wagon do you want me to try to start in 20 minutes and at least three people weren't in the thread? I wouldn't have supported an Onegu lynch either, I already gave my meta town read on him that I was confident of for Day 1. I said that because when both wagons are town, mafia could care. The votes were going that way. It's also when I saw very little resistance to GG I started to worry as well - Ritoky made sense here. You follow what I'm saying?

Did you even read my previous game to know what Ritoky was talking about?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 20:47 GMT
#1181
I'll take a page from Damdred's book

If you think I'm scum fucking vote me
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 21:08 GMT
#1182
The reason I think Ritoky died?

Our only blue got lynched so mafia doesn't have to bluehunt any more and he was the most town read guy and is very doubtful he would get mislynched.
[image loading]
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 21:58 GMT
#1183
I see a slight townlean from reading NHM's filter - I know I gave him shit for this post earlier on the coloring -
On June 05 2015 12:52 NydusHerMain wrote:
These are my thoughts on the last couple of pages because I came home late and have to go to sleep soon.

Show nested quote +
On June 05 2015 06:27 Chocolate wrote:
I would have killed myself if there were time lol


Seems like a really weak reaction to me. It doesn't really feel genuine at all. Also, I'm not sure about Chocolate but if I were getting potentially lynched and it was getting close to EoD, I would've constantly refreshed. I call BS on him not noticing the time and saying "I would have killed myself" because he posted his last words before the EoD was over. Also, if he truely had the intent of dying for the blue, he probably would have at least tried to vote even if it was exactly on EoD (which would probably have been too late) just incase but he didn't even try.

TL;DR: Chocolate was there to take the death for the team and he lied about sacrificing himself had he had more time


With respect to Milo, people have already said this but I'm town reading the hell out of him now. Day 1 it was a light town read but his switch to a nonvote when the blue claimed solidifies him to my top town. The only doubt in my mind is if Chocolate flips as scum because the only reason for Milo to nonvote in my opinion is either he was panicking town or he was mafia with Chocolate and just didn't know what to do or knew that the blue was going to die by default anyways. Regardless, I'm tending to lead more super town on Milo and just going with Occam's razor on this.


VE's reaction felt kind of fake to me right now as well BUT he did want to go on Chocolate over the blue AND on top of that, I'm kind of scared because everytime I read his posts, I read it in his voice and if he starts going on me... basically I don't want to see the torrential downpour of VE rage falling on me. (In all seriousness, I'm slightly reading him town for his earlier posts but in the case of my death, I do want people to keep a close eye on him).


I'll have to reread filters when I wake up but for now, I had a scum read on onegu and damdred as well but I don't remember the reasons well enough to confidently explain why.


Show nested quote +
On June 05 2015 06:49 Tictock wrote:
On June 05 2015 06:39 Damdred wrote:
I'm not sure why ritoky and myself should get all the blame? The logical,thing is if you are so scared you are getting lynched claim when there's time to parse the information.

My points had value, he did do questionable,things .

Tick immediately moving to discredit someone who steeped and the leader of the wagon is interesting


Before I head out the door let me respond to this, kus it is pissing me off a little.

First, I'm upset that you guys just got our jailkeep lynched. I stated time and time again that i was against it and tried to go against your push on him.

Maybe you and ritoky aren't scum for starting the wagon on Kick, I get that. However this subtle deflection back to me when I just stated I was about to head out for awhile looks super shitty.

You guys def deserve some blame for that lynch. I wasn't going to scum you for it, but I sure as hell scum you after posting that.

I already thought Choco was scum. Why should I feel any different now?



OHHH and don't get me started on TickTock's reaction. How did I miss that one. The fakest thing I've ever read in my life. I'm almost ready to vote on him instantly when the day starts off that. God, it's because the two letter acronyms are so confusing... TT, GG, SL, KS, VE, blah blah blah....


Templar also feels townier post EoD but I don't know if I can wipe his slate clean mentally after day 1... Actually, that's kind of a lie. He doesn't really feel townier to me but I like his reads so I'm just going to call him leaning town. He doesn't like damdred and onegu, he doesn't like ticktock, I just need him to say his stance on chocolate and I need it to be "chocolate is mafia we should lynch him." I'd say shame on you templar for voting on our blue but if you're town, I would've had you dead so either way one of us would be at fault. (P.S. say chocolate is scum and you'll have me in your pocket for the next 1-2 days)


Honestly, it was kind of hard for me to follow this game and I could feel myself getting lurkier and lurkier but I think this blue kill got me all worked up. Despite how bad it is for us (is jailkeeper dying even that bad? is it a strong role?) it's pretty exciting and I think the game is really starting to move forward.


I see a lot of honesty here for some reason. Admits to being a little lurky (which Scum normally wants to try not to stand out) and how important JK is (could've asked in the mafia QT?) He's a slight town lean. I don't like his Tictock read - with Tic's big case I like him a little more, but he isn't Tunneltock either and if he thinks someone is mafia as town, he will tunnel Unless he's learning his mistake.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 21:59 GMT
#1184
Hmmmm is GGTemplar going to be another mislynch?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:00 GMT
#1185
[image loading]
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:11 GMT
#1186
On June 05 2015 01:46 GGTeMpLaR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2015 17:37 Tictock wrote:
@ scott

My read on you had changed even before you posted your little quote + picture thing. Your a weak town lean for me atm.

My initial read on you was actually kinda null. I mentioned you might be scum since I was noticing a similarity in your posts this game to last game where you were mafia. The whole thing was a pretty weak meta read tbh. In fact having reviewed some of the post game stuff from NSM X I see that you went inactive that game due to internet issues, not anything to do with alignment.

Given that, I do need to give you a fresh read, so here I go.

First I notice you've mentioned this a couple times...
Still worries me no one defending GG much.

I kinda like your thought process here. Your saying that since nobody is even trying to defend him it suggests to you that he is Town yes?

I see one flaw in that thinking and would like to use last game as evidence. Whats to stop scum from bussing their partner? That's what your team did last game when you fell under suspicion and were not around to defend yourself.

Besides, there is one person who has been pretty outspoken about defending GG, and you just spent the last page interacting with him. Not sure how you missed ritoky saying this...
As for what I like, look at his filter. To me he highlights all but maybe 1 or 2 of what I thought were the most important posts in the first 20 pages and gives an opinion/read on them. He comments on kickstart's opening, he comments on SL/TT interactions, he properly reads me town, he comments on kickstart being bullish, he comments on nydus' entry, and then he addresses the questions posed to him after he catches up. It just reads as town reading the thread and commenting on stuff he finds relevant.

The bolded part is just me picking at Nits again. I find it odd that ritoky throws in a subtle "I'm town" in the middle of his read on GG. Still his overall points aren't too bad, and even has me rethinking my own position a little.

I'd still like to hear from GG himself though. It really does bug me that he'd scum me early on then ignore my reactions to it. Him asking me to restate my response didn't help, kus it also tells me that he isn't willing to do his own reading + Show Spoiler +
this is a trend I've noticed in this community that REALLY bugs me. Reading is super important in forum based Mafia, if you can't be bothered to do it, imho, you shouldn't be here. It looks like GG might be new here, so maybe I'm overreacting.


This has me questioning just how much you yourself are paying attn to this game. I'm not going to scum you for not having 100% perfect reading retention or comprehension though.

Actually the whole interaction I saw between you and ritoky looked pretty good. This question to Kick was great,
Who would you be willing to lynch beyond GG, Kickstart?

That tells me that even though you're scumming GG you are looking beyond him as well. That is great town thinking imo, scum would just focus w/e target they pick and try to get others to do the same no?

I also like how you pointed out that my "read" on milo there was kinda bad. I don't really like the term "wishy washy" I think it's one of those political terms that attacks indecisiveness, but w/e you have a point. I was giving milo some benefit of the doubt for being new here and was mostly saying I need to see more from him to get a solid read.

Thus far I'm not super impressed with him. He's a slight scum lean to me. I poked him a little when I was interacting with ritoky to see what he would do. Mostly I saw him deflecting and not wanting to get pulled into the discussion there. I did find it interesting how me mentions that he doesn't agree with GG being a good lynch.

Actually...
@milo
Care to expand on your thoughts on GG?


I really hate Kickstart's play this game if he is town because I think it's like super scummy, but just based on how the game has gone I think there is no way you can both be mafia and this post you made right here reads scummier than Kickstart's which i would have to attribute to misguided town at this point.

You already have Kickstart's support at this point and both want to kill me. Why openly start doubting him now as a town? I think you are worried about losing the 'pocket' you have on him so you are intentionally expressing fake 'distrust' in an attempt to continue projecting town.

You end your post simply concluding again that you continue to like your 'ally' though and think he is town for 'looking elsewhere in the game besides templar' for pushing scum on milo. I think it was all just very fake.

Plus it lines up with the Chezinu Rule (which, again, I feel Scott misused here as Ritoky noted, but that it can be used as an accusation against Ticktock more accurately)


Rereading this post after we know now Ritoky and Kickstart are town is fairly interesting. GG doesn't OMGUS the guy (GG doesn't actually vote so...) I still got my "one of the mafia pocketing me" sense. He doesn't see a KS/Tictock team, and neither do I. I didn't mind KS's playing though. And I said before, Tictock kicked it up if he is mafia. I think I want Fidei gone instead.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:18 GMT
#1187
Oh and I have this magical thing called the Subscribed viewer counter. I know it gets thrown off at times by Observers like myself, but when peeps refresh the thread and no body posts it is noted.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:32 GMT
#1189
Sorry to burst your bubble Nydus buddy.
[image loading]
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:37 GMT
#1191
A bit, I would put it about 60 to 65% town. I could see him trying to switch it up as scum as well, but at this moment, we have bigger fish in my opinion.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:42 GMT
#1192
I've obs'ed more then 20 games of Mafia before I started playing - I want to learn things before I jump into it, just my nature. I've obs'ed at least five games from him and beyond the claiming VT in XXX when he was mafia, he does not change much, and reads inconsistencies well. If we need to light a fire under his ass I have no problem with that, but he's a town read at the moment.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 22:53 GMT
#1196
What stops them is the "Why am I still alive" policy. You can only run that towncred for so long and wonder why that person wasn't shot by the mafia, unless they are mafia. I can get into it more if you would like, but that's the jist of it.
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
scott31337
Profile Joined January 2013
United States2979 Posts
June 06 2015 23:01 GMT
#1197
On June 07 2015 07:52 Fidei86 wrote:
Okay, so I thought I might provoke a reaction here, but woooooooow.

Your first post made no sense. We had plenty of time to get an alternative wagon going. KS only got four votes - two or three thrown somewhere else would have been enough. And moreover, it shouldn't really matter - if you thought Chocolate was town, you shouldn't have been voting for him, period. Looking back at it now, it looks like you could have been just laying the groundwork for reticence after the event.

Your second post comes across horribly, to me anyway. Why would you want me to vote for you? If you're town, you'd want to convince me I'm wrong. I wasn't aggressive in my post, and I don't think I was rude (certainly much less than others have been in this thread). so rather than swearing, why not make a case? and if there is something you think I'd missed (ie the other ritoky game) then you could have at least linked to it and explained why my interpretation is wrong. You didn't do that.

Because if you are town, you would not be lazy enough yourself to build this "case" on me and find out for yourself. TL Mafia Database? profile my name? Unless you type at 120wpm you would have been able to find it in the time you took to write this.


Then you immediately transition to making a more substantive post, but without referencing my accusation that your posts aren't overly detailed. if I was wrong, you could have pointed out previous posts where you did (ie that I was wrong), but you didn't.

Finally, you say that you want me gone. But you don't actually give a reason. The natural town thing, if you want to get a Mafia lynched, is to make an argument that other townies might buy. But you didn't do that either.
*Bolded my replies in your quote so they are not missed*

In my latest posts I think I have shown it enough - your vote switch would stick out at me. If you want me to build a case on you, I'm down for that. I got allllll day.

Overall, your posts come across like you're panicking at having been called out.

The reason I haven't voted on you yet is because I also think TT is Mafia, and it seems like there's more chance of getting a coalition to vote him off for now. But if there isn't much movement in the next 12 hours or so, I'll vote for you - unless you turn it around and make a real case that you're town.


We both may be misguided on Tictock and he is mafia, but I'm really doubtful of it at this time. The only thing that makes me wonder is he is not TunnelTock like our last game, but that's not that important. He still gets a townread.

If you are actually town, beyond me, who would you like to lynch? Who do you see as the scumteam?
THIS WAGON IS HITTING MAFIA FOR SURE BOYS!
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