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Newbie Student Mafia X - Page 75

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Sulfurus
Profile Joined May 2015
United States166 Posts
May 28 2015 06:38 GMT
#1481
I probably should have taken the time to explain my votes earlier.

Remember on D1 the vote was 6 for Scott and 3 for Dis with most people giving no indication of changing so there is nothing I can do to change who dies. But what I can do is give my reads more weight to them by voting my top scum (who unfortunately for me turned out to be cop).

On D2 it is true that I was AFK for the whole Bunnies vs. Murray ordeal however both were on my lynch list so technically I would have been fine with either getting lynch. However I have a feeling that if I was present I would have changed my opinion.

Speaking of changing opinions I realize that the list I linked looks pretty bad in light of recent events (I am pretty certain that BS is legit for reasons others have stated) so it looks like I will have to take some time off to do some rereading and hopefully come up with a list of scum that doesn't make people want to instalynch me.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 07:10 GMT
#1482
I'm really not 100% on who is scum atm, 27nb is still most likely to me.

Even if 27nb is scum, that doesn't mean bats is though.

So here is who I've got a fairly confident town read on atm

Dis
Bara
Plots
SL

I'm not sure about:
Bats
Sul
BF (I'm leaning town, but not sure yet)

Prob the last post from me tonight. I have the day off tomorrow so I'll be around.

@Plots Fine, I expect critical thinking sir!
I can take that responsibility.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 10:21 GMT
#1483
lol @ Tiktok scumreading me and bunnies. Have you been smoking the weed brother?
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 10:29 GMT
#1484
Bats I said it was a slim possibility.

You jumped on BM for no reason, and now offer up Sul as a target for no reason.

I think I have valid reasons to be unsure of you right now.
I can take that responsibility.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 10:29 GMT
#1485
Also what I do on my time is my business ^.^
I can take that responsibility.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 10:36 GMT
#1486
On May 28 2015 19:29 Tictock wrote:
Bats I said it was a slim possibility.

You jumped on BM for no reason, and now offer up Sul as a target for no reason.

I think I have valid reasons to be unsure of you right now.


You just lied four times in 3 sentences.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
May 28 2015 10:38 GMT
#1487
So I was checking this to see if mafia surrendered. Not quite happy with what I found...

Am at work and actually want/have stuff to do today. So I will make this brief.
@ticktoc:
look at his cop checks. Look at his filter.
Do the checks line up with his filter?
Can you see him using the information he got from the barakos N1 check on D2?
There is also a bit of information that can be gained from reading the op again, that you probably missed. This makes it more unlikely that this is a mafia play. Hint: Has to do with him blurting out his check before EoN.

You should be able to see how he is 100% the cop with that...
But I can see how bunnies makes it super hard to think she is town.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 10:45 GMT
#1488
Tiktok sheeped me on BM. Why did Tiktok sheep me on BM if I went after BM for "no reason"???
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 10:51 GMT
#1489
Kus I had my own damned reasons, just kus I used similar language doesn't mean it's a sheep.

You guys need to fucking learn to read.

On May 27 2015 04:09 Tictock wrote:
@27nb

Didn't know you were around.

I've stated plenty of times that I think BM is looking pretty scummy for what he's been posting.

Your first post, where you vote him, in pretty OMGUS.

Then you talk about his one Big post. That post bought him some time, along with some of the other posts he made N1. I agree about all your other points, I'm pretty sure I've said pretty much the same about BM.

So, I totally agree BM is likely scum.

So @27nb if BM is scum, who do you think his last partner would be?

On May 27 2015 04:32 Tictock wrote:
So far I'm liking 27nb's posts. They are super late to the party though...

Like the fact that she tries to start a new wagon on BM rather than going the easy route of pushing for SL is making me reconsider things.

On May 27 2015 04:53 Tictock wrote:
Ok I gotta head to work.

Lets see how this plays out. Have a feeling I might be kicking myself later for swinging this one.

##Unvote
##Vote: Bill Murray


I also talk about BM being shit for not posting thoughts anymore, and that I was thinking he mighta been trying to pocket me with his "hes so smart" comment.

But if you guys never bothered to read me before why now?

Town might deserve to lose this game if I'm the only one trying to solve it.

I can take that responsibility.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
May 28 2015 10:55 GMT
#1490
Also town rb and gf stuff:
Since batsnacks is 100% the cop and we 100% have masons, that makes it extremely unlikely we also have a town rb (that can block mafia kp!). Thus I agree that we have 2 mafia rb. Which makes it a bit more unlikely we have mafia rb/rb/gf.

By taking out the people with claims,checks, etc. the people left are:
ticktoc
boxerfred
Sulfurus
sicklucker
disformation

That is like a 2/5 to lynch mafia. If one of those is the town mason and claims, we are down to basically a 50% chance of hitting mafia.
In my case, if I take myself out (since I know I'm town) and you are the mason. I have only 3 targets left. Look at my huge wall a few pages ago.
Even if there is a GF, one of those 3 is 100% mafia.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 10:58 GMT
#1491
Uh I've read every post in this game at least twice. You voted bill for reasons that 27nb said first, and you voted after I started the wagon.

Going from sheeping 27nb and me to scum reading us both AFTER I claim cop with green check on nb makes absolutely no logical sense.
Barakos
Profile Joined February 2012
Germany358 Posts
May 28 2015 10:59 GMT
#1492
I totally don't get plots... is he actually serious about not voting today, or is he trolling? I can't tell the difference with him and his whole posts have a "nervous-breakdown"-tone in them, if you ask me...

tictock: Solving the game doesn't mean to tinfoilhat a un-cc'ed cop and one of his greenchecks into being mafia. And while I could understand some suspicions towards bunnies (and me, for that matter) because of the godfather-possibility, there is no way, that bats is landing on any scumlists - that's just ridiculous atm. And that is coming from me, who had theories noone else but me believed in, the whole game long... ^^
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 11:04 GMT
#1493
Ok fine, it's wrong 100% that bats could be anything but cop

This was like the least important thing I said in the last few pages and you all are honing in on it

What about the huge post I made looking at Sul are we just going to ignore that?
I can take that responsibility.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 11:07 GMT
#1494
On May 28 2015 20:04 Tictock wrote:
Ok fine, it's wrong 100% that bats could be anything but cop

This was like the least important thing I said in the last few pages and you all are honing in on it

What about the huge post I made looking at Sul are we just going to ignore that?


All you did was play by play his filter. It's like plot's chart in word form.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 11:08 GMT
#1495
What about the point I made about him calling BM mislynch bait?

What about the question WHAT MAKES HIM SCUM?
I can take that responsibility.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 11:13 GMT
#1496
Google what "TMI" means. Sulfur knowing bills alignmrnt before the flip is anything but townie. He has contributed less than anyone in this game he wasted his vote every day.

Like he calls BM mis lynch bait and then wastes his vote instead of helping the mislynch bait how does that make sense from a town pov?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 11:19 GMT
#1497
On May 28 2015 19:59 Barakos wrote:
I totally don't get plots... is he actually serious about not voting today, or is he trolling? I can't tell the difference with him and his whole posts have a "nervous-breakdown"-tone in them, if you ask me...

tictock: Solving the game doesn't mean to tinfoilhat a un-cc'ed cop and one of his greenchecks into being mafia. And while I could understand some suspicions towards bunnies (and me, for that matter) because of the godfather-possibility, there is no way, that bats is landing on any scumlists - that's just ridiculous atm. And that is coming from me, who had theories noone else but me believed in, the whole game long... ^^


I solved the game, you guys can vote Sulfurus for town credits when he flips mafia. I don't need town credits.
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6051 Posts
May 28 2015 11:21 GMT
#1498
Well the quote was from D1 I'm pretty sure, well before BM was an actual target. It doesn't look like he is calling BM town, just commenting on his play style as being very mislynchable (yea that's a word)

Why he wastes his vote is a much better point. I think he mentioned something about it already though.
I can take that responsibility.
batsnacks
Profile Blog Joined April 2014
United States4466 Posts
May 28 2015 11:22 GMT
#1499
On May 28 2015 20:08 Tictock wrote:
What about the point I made about him calling BM mislynch bait?

What about the question WHAT MAKES HIM SCUM?


1 vote could have swung the balance yesterday if sulfur cares so much about BM being mis lynched, why didn't he save him?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 11:25 GMT
#1500
On May 28 2015 19:55 disformation wrote:
Also town rb and gf stuff:
Since batsnacks is 100% the cop and we 100% have masons, that makes it extremely unlikely we also have a town rb (that can block mafia kp!). Thus I agree that we have 2 mafia rb. Which makes it a bit more unlikely we have mafia rb/rb/gf.

By taking out the people with claims,checks, etc. the people left are:
ticktoc
boxerfred
Sulfurus
sicklucker
disformation

That is like a 2/5 to lynch mafia. If one of those is the town mason and claims, we are down to basically a 50% chance of hitting mafia.
In my case, if I take myself out (since I know I'm town) and you are the mason. I have only 3 targets left. Look at my huge wall a few pages ago.
Even if there is a GF, one of those 3 is 100% mafia.


The setup is most likely Town RB, Mason and Cop and Mafia RB, Mafia Godfather, Mafia Goon. You can even see this from the balance that Town RB cancels off with Mafia RB. Mafia Godfather kinda cancels with Cop and yeah Mason maybe add balance to Town RB since it's not that strong in the beginning obviously.
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