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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
On August 24 2014 18:41 Xatalos wrote: I can't understand why yamato would only start to play starting from N1. I don't care. As long as he in fact does start playing. You 2 are both not confirmed from the voteswitch because you both tried to save your own ass but I don't want to lynch either of you so you should maybe not use your time going at each other. | ||
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
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KelsierSC
United Kingdom10443 Posts
On August 24 2014 20:18 justanothertownie wrote: I don't care. As long as he in fact does start playing. You 2 are both not confirmed from the voteswitch because you both tried to save your own ass but I don't want to lynch either of you so you should maybe not use your time going at each other. The vote switch does confirm yamato town to some extent as he was the first person to vote on Robik. Ff he was scum then he had no reason at that point to switch onto his mafia partner. | ||
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
On August 24 2014 20:27 KelsierSC wrote: The vote switch does confirm yamato town to some extent as he was the first person to vote on Robik. Ff he was scum then he had no reason at that point to switch onto his mafia partner. Yeah, maybe. | ||
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Xatalos
Finland9675 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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Xatalos
Finland9675 Posts
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
Anyway, if Robik was really mafia, the probability of mafia being comfortable with those two wagons is high, but not too high. That would put Xatalos and Yamato on the townpile for now. FOR NOW. Checking who Robik called town isn't the best thing IMO. Checking reads on him is more important. Specially if there is someone who scum reads him and then oddly town reads him. We will probably find it in early day1. I'll do that later. By the way, if neither me or turtle dies tonight, night kill will be pretty informative. | ||
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KelsierSC
United Kingdom10443 Posts
On August 24 2014 22:16 GlowingBear wrote: Not hangover today! I can probably drink more. Anyway, if Robik was really mafia, the probability of mafia being comfortable with those two wagons is high, but not too high. That would put Xatalos and Yamato on the townpile for now. FOR NOW. Checking who Robik called town isn't the best thing IMO. Checking reads on him is more important. Specially if there is someone who scum reads him and then oddly town reads him. We will probably find it in early day1. I'll do that later. By the way, if neither me or turtle dies tonight, night kill will be pretty informative. If you read the end of D1 the switch onto Robik by Xata does not clear him in anyway. I don't think he is going to be a lynch target and the best idea is to lynch outside of the people voted on Robik. However I think studying carefully how Xat plays D2 will be highly revealing to me. | ||
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Damdred
15669 Posts
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
On August 24 2014 21:41 Damdred wrote: Xata you listed three people to lynch. since you are trying to give cases this game why those three with scummu reasons/posts please It isn't that complicated really. These people are town: GB, Hapa, turtle These are very likely town: yamato, xatalos I think Kelsier is also town. Leaves us with a pool of: damdred, WoS, Vayne, Rayn, Onegu which includes at least 2 scum and maybe a SK for the lynch day2. | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On August 24 2014 22:44 KelsierSC wrote: If you read the end of D1 the switch onto Robik by Xata does not clear him in anyway. I don't think he is going to be a lynch target and the best idea is to lynch outside of the people voted on Robik. However I think studying carefully how Xat plays D2 will be highly revealing to me. Not a good plan. Last minutes switches are incredibly hard to manage. I guess we are lucky that townies switched to Robik when I brought that up. Anyway, the thing is: if townies had strong scumreads on either Yamato or Xatalos, they won't change their votes at all, specially near deadlines. The probability of lynching a townie if you only consider vote count is extremely high. But it can be used as a secondary argument. It means that if you manage to find the pattern I stated earlier AND the guy is outside the lynch target, go for it. | ||
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
On August 24 2014 22:16 GlowingBear wrote: Anyway, if Robik was really mafia wat On August 24 2014 22:16 GlowingBear wrote: By the way, if neither me or turtle dies tonight, night kill will be pretty informative. I fail to see how it is informative if me or Hapa die but ok. | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On August 24 2014 23:04 justanothertownie wrote: It isn't that complicated really. These people are town: GB, Hapa, turtle These are very likely town: yamato, xatalos I think Kelsier is also town. Leaves us with a pool of: damdred, WoS, Vayne, Rayn, Onegu which includes at least 2 scum and maybe a SK for the lynch day2. Why Kelsen? | ||
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
Seemed quite towny to me all day and if he faked the frustration about the voteswitch/posted that as scum I will be impressed. | ||
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GlowingBear
Brazil12446 Posts
On August 24 2014 23:05 justanothertownie wrote: wat I fail to see how it is informative if me or Hapa die but ok. Phrased it poorly. It was intended to sound like: "now that Robik is confirmed mafia..." I'll explain why it is informative near deadline, when they cannot change their votes. | ||
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justanothertownie
16342 Posts
On August 24 2014 10:01 KelsierSC wrote: that was fucking retarded xat is mafia hapa is probably mafia aswell | ||
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KelsierSC
United Kingdom10443 Posts
On August 24 2014 22:50 Damdred wrote: Hey kel why were you going to switch over to yamato at the last minute even though you felt you were voting scum anyway I felt yamato was scum for a long time I said that quite a lot, some of my top town also found him scummy. | ||
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Xatalos
Finland9675 Posts
On August 24 2014 23:04 justanothertownie wrote: It isn't that complicated really. These people are town: GB, Hapa, turtle These are very likely town: yamato, xatalos I think Kelsier is also town. Leaves us with a pool of: damdred, WoS, Vayne, Rayn, Onegu which includes at least 2 scum and maybe a SK for the lynch day2. This is almost correct except I'd put WOS in the town category too. At least I wouldn't want to lynch him now, his thoughts resonated pretty much with mine during the last deadline. And not really Onegu either... Not as confident in him anymore, but I kind of liked his entrance on D1. Well, he didn't really do much after that. | ||
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