Detention Mafia
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Palmar
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Palmar
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##Vote Ninjabunnies it's because he wrote "XD" | ||
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On May 27 2014 18:36 gobbledydook wrote: ??? Did you become crazy after getting ##Nuked in that other game? Do you not think this is a valid case? At least you have to explain to me why you disagree. I think it's a pretty strong case. I should add that I combine it with the "ugh" from his first post, oh and his plea that "can we now hunt some scum?". Seems pretty ironclad to me. | ||
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On May 27 2014 18:41 gobbledydook wrote: No I don't think that's a valid case, I think you're trolling. I'm not, why do you think I'm trolling. Granted, I'm only about 2 pages or so into the game as we speak, + skimming Ninja's filter. But I feel pretty good about this. Could you elaborate on why you think I'm trolling? Or at least if there is something you don't understand in my case, ask for an explanation? | ||
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##vote jabberwockzerg To put in clear terms what the problem I, and clearly others, have is: On May 27 2014 11:38 jabberwockzerg wrote: I don't quite follow your logic. You put me on mafia last game, and I screwed up about if that was posted or not, but that makes me mafia this game? No comprende The point isn't that you screwed it up. The point is that you brought up an argument that you already know is invalid. I don't see any motivation for someone who is town to do that. On May 27 2014 11:20 jabberwockzerg wrote: Counter point: he could have been super into last game because he was mafia, and isn't as into being vanilla town. Unless you can explain why as town it makes sense for you to throw something you know will not help solve the issue at hand into the mix, we're going to have to lynch you. I'm fine with not doing anything else today. This is better than most day 1 lynch opportunities we get. @jabberwockzerg: if you're somehow town, now is your time to step up. | ||
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On May 27 2014 23:15 sqrtofneg1 wrote: I don't like palmar so far. I do like fuba. Why do you not like me? I am really nice except when I'm not. | ||
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On May 27 2014 23:50 gobbledydook wrote: Palmar I think there is actually a good motivation for him to say those words. If he had not read the last mafia qt to find out who was mafia and only relied on his memory and impressions, he would logically make that comment about differing playstyles. Sure what he said is factually incorrect but I believe it was an honest mistake. He even posted in that QT, so he read it. On May 28 2014 00:21 jabberwockzerg wrote: Just like this I mean, I know this looks bad but this really is a case of Hanlon's razor: "Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity" Well explain to me what your point was meant to accomplish? I'm all ears buddy. | ||
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On May 28 2014 00:36 jabberwockzerg wrote: Keenly, I was trying to think of everything, leaving no stone upturned. I guess I got trapped under one of these stones Why would you look into things you know to be wrong. That'd be like me scumhunting myself. It makes absolutely no sense. | ||
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On May 28 2014 01:24 27ninjabunnies wrote: Help you as town or as generating the lower tabby? And if as town, how would the concealing of this information be helpful to you? I like this guy now. No longer mafia. | ||
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On May 28 2014 01:24 mderg wrote: I don´t like this lynch at all. I don´t see what he did as alignment indicative because it doesn´t really make sense as either town or scum. So why is it more likely to be done by scum than by town? fuba: Weren´t you against this lynch? Why the vote on jabberwockzerg now? We're lynching this guy if this jabber lynch is wrong for not reading the case and defending him anyway. | ||
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On May 28 2014 06:57 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Actually, now that I think of it, it would yield more information to kill off jwz. ##Unvote ##Vote: jabberwockzerg Never lynch for information. Lynch your top scumread. | ||
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On May 28 2014 07:42 sqrtofneg1 wrote: My point is this: Huge bandwagons always seem to be town bandwagons. (cruisette mislynch in liii, cav mislynch in liv, sweetfrost mislynch and yellow suspection in lv, OdinofPergo in golden sun) Jwz is my top scum read so far. I was considering pushing a palmar lynch because he's my second scum read, and huge bandwagons always seem to be wrong. While this is certainly a possibility, it doesn't have to be true. If he is mafia he has two allies in town, and it may well be that the team immediately saw what he did as a scumslip with additional knowledge of it being one, and thus immediately distance themselves from the lynch. A bandwagon that forms with unclear or weak reasons and grows quickly is suspicious. It's very clear why this bandwagon is forming. There is plenty of evidence for any townie to just sheep this wagon. So I would ask you not to use associative evidence to discredit the wagon. | ||
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Welcome to my scum tier. | ||
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On May 28 2014 08:42 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: You've thrown around a lot of suspicions this game. Instead of making a vague statement like this, interpret what it means. If you leave it vague like this, it makes it seem like you're just trying to throw dirt on him without actually having to take a stand. Instead tell us why this is a problem, maybe provide some examples if you're gonna cite his meta. The bolded quote is very much not trying to figure out i's alignment. If MZ thinks there is any chance i is mafia, why is he trying to stop i from digging his own grave under the threat of "if you keep doing this I'll be suspicious of you!!!!". This looks like MZ wants to read i as town, while still looking like he's poking people. | ||
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If you're town, I would have expected this "If you leave it vague like this, you're never going to convince anyone of following your example or agreeing with your read." Because that sentence isn't loaded with agenda, like yours was "If you leave it vague like this, it makes it seem like you're just trying to throw dirt on him without actually having to take a stand." I may be reading too much into this, but it's bad form. If you want to affect his playstyle, don't do it in the same breath as you threaten him with a scumread.. | ||
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On May 28 2014 09:20 jabberwockzerg wrote: 13) Palmar A little scummy, which has been covered but not really at the forefront of my mind. On May 28 2014 10:34 jabberwockzerg wrote: Top Scum: Palamar Just started out weird with the whole ninjabunnies vote and never really did anything top town: any one of the people initially defending me, as most Mafia would want to turn the town against me ASAP What changed? I didn't post anything between those two. | ||
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On May 28 2014 13:55 slOosh wrote: Palmar could you please explain your MZ read more? Which part of it do you not get? "If you leave it vague like this, it makes it seem like you're just trying to throw dirt on him without actually having to take a stand." This is basically saying "If you don't elaborate, you're acting like mafia". When in reality if MZ is town, he shouldn't care whether or not i acts like mafia, but if he is mafia. If MZ is town and thinks i is town his logical explanation should be "If you don't elaborate, you won't convince anyone". Because if MZ thinks i is town, he wouldn't care about i doing something potentially scummy for the sake of it being scummy, and rather because it is not helpful. However if MZ thinks i is mafia, why is he explaining the steps i can take to remove any suspicion MZ might have to him. It's like me saying "hey, you just made a case that is wrong, that is very mafia like. please make another case that is right so I don't have to call you mafia." It's just an absurd way of playing the game. The only reasonable conclusion is that MZ must think i is town, and thus it makes no sense for MZ to point out something i does looks like something mafia does. The reason I created in my head is that MZ knows i is town, and doesn't feel the need to call him mafia right now, but does leave the open-ended suspicion for use later. | ||
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a) I don't care what your perception of me is because I think you're mafia. b) The entire point comes from your interaction with i. Nothing to do with me. So I have no idea what you're on about. | ||
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On May 28 2014 20:37 Chromatically wrote: hue hue hue Palmar, you still feeling good about this lynch? Amiko, I don't see you pushing anything. Who do you want to lynch and what's your read on jabber? I don't know. I think we have to lynch him. He's flailing so much and saying all the wrong things even after coming back to the thread makes it hard to think he will 100% flip mafia. If he is mafia he is not receiving any help from coaches or teammates. On May 28 2014 01:14 jabberwockzerg wrote: Lovely. I was trying to get the game moving along, I was pretty pumped to start interrogating and scum reading, which isn't how I acted last game, when I was scum. Lying about who was scum last game, I was trying to conceal information. I didn't realize that last game's roles were known, it would be beneficial for me if no one knew I was Mafia, just because there would be no real patterns of my play, and I could remain a wild card, which I thought could help me later. This post specifically is so bad. If he is town this game it would have been directly in his benefit to make known he was mafia in the last game and then proceed to play like a townie. There is no benefit in concealing information about your playstyle as a townie. I'm not 100% caught up on the game so I don't know if he elaborated on how being a wild card might help him. But the point is, he's doing that thing where he is almost too scummy to be scum. So if we get a slam-dunk case today I'm all ears. We actually might have one with MZ's overreaction and misinterpretation of my post against him, but we need to let it play out. Thing is, too scummy to be scum is really hard to deal with. To my knowledge he's not providing any useful reads or cases, he sheeped i on the case on me with almost no explanation other than my initial vote being weird. Could he be a deer in headlights? Yes, absolutely. But I'm not sure I want to gamble the game on just thinking he's too bad to be mafia. Maybe the explanation is simple and he is just mafia who fucked up. I haven't really read the setup but if we have a vigi it might be a good thing to not lynch him and shoot him. | ||
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On May 28 2014 21:54 Chromatically wrote: So I agree that he's done absolutely everything wrong, but I don't really get "too scummy to be scum". Like he's done everything I would expect scum to do in his position. What do you think he would be doing differently as mafia? Or what about it makes you doubt that he's mafia as opposed to just sealing the deal? The "too scummy to be scum" concept is a very fragile and shitty, but surprisingly often correct thing that happens. The idea is basically that if he is mafia, his team knows he made a blunder, so they would help him devise a strategy to come back, or bus him. if bus: I'd expect him to just shut up and not try to come back. Now I know I'm town but other people don't so this is weak from everyone else's perspective, but why on earth is he piling shit on me if his team is busing him. That is basically just helping me gain influcence in town. It's just bad play if he's mafia to give credit to a townie. if they try to save him: I'd expect him/his team/mafia coach to have come up with a better plan than what he has posted. His arguments are just straight up awful, If the mafia team can't collectively think up some better defense than this well.. I just don't want to believe that. And thus, he's being soooo awful that it's possible he's too scummy to be scum. He's blatantly wrong. He's hardly trying to cover up how awful his stuff is. But, there's also the chance that he's just acting on his own, he messed up, he's not thinking long term and thought maybe a wagon could be built on me, and in that case he's just mafia who's playing badly. Like I don't really like or see the point in speculating on this thing. If we have a slam dunk case on someone I'll support it, but currently I see no other outcome for today than lynching him. | ||
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On May 28 2014 22:07 mderg wrote: I don´t get how defending jabber like I did would make any sense, if we were both scum. That would be like the worst mafia play ever. Me being scum only makes sense, if jabber flips town. I could see mafia reasons for that. But hard defending a scummate who will almost certainly be lynched anyway doesn´t seem like scum play. *clap clap* I hope you're mafia because if you are this post is amazing. I'm giving you a townread for this. | ||
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Chrom mderp i Ninja Haru I think the following people are sort of scummy fuba MZ Jjabber rest I don't really know cause I haven't really read them enough (sloosh, slam, amiko, gobble). | ||
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This is a newbie game so I'm going to be real nice and explain why your thought process doesn't work. My initial vote on Ninja was based on simply what I perceived to be a slightly different mood/tone from the first game. The "ugh" seemed to be genuine frustration followed just like 3 posts later by a "XD". The last point of my initial case was what she asked "can we now hunt some scum" which I found in her filter and didn't know the context it was written in. I was assuming that she was asking people to scumhunt, instead of just doing so herself. However when I read the game I realized she was trying to shut down a really dumb tangent people were on. If you can't tell by now, this case is obviously very flimsy and more of a prod than an actual case. If you read my interaction with gobble after that, it confirms my intention of opening a talking point. When I came back to the thread, the Jabber thing had gone down, and Ninja made some post (I may have quoted it in myfilter, can't remember) that made me think she's probably town. So I retracted my scumread on her and focused on other things. Does this explanation of events work for you? | ||
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On May 29 2014 07:09 fuba wrote: Looked at gobbledydook first, since his filter is shorter XD His initial reaction to bunnies' case, as well as his follow-up reaction to Palmar seem to indicate that he didn't read the entire case against jabber before disagreeing with it (twice), which I don't feel bodes well for him. I think his jump on the wagon also seems kinda strange, since the reason is kinda lame. I mean, there were plenty of ways in which jabber "admitted guilt", and the fact that he said a stone fell on him is the least of those. It's like he's not really thinking about the game. Problem with this is that it could just be general laziness, rather than him being scum. I'm confused by the bolded. I don't think it makes any sense. I don't think him reacting to my shit on Ninja has anything to do with jabber, but I could be wrong. Please elaborate. This looks off. | ||
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On May 29 2014 09:00 Amiko wrote: Why? If we all have the same primary scum wagon, I think it's good to see how people think on secondary scumwagons. I'll grant the information isn't too reliable (since the secondary wagons don't have much chance of being lynched) but I think it's good to see people making cases on other players. I'm going to sleep and I'm afraid people do stupid stuff. I've seen some shit man, you wouldn't even believe. | ||
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On May 29 2014 09:32 HaruRH wrote: That doesn't to me. In fact, I actually read the whole rules and roles because it may actually be important in the future. He was pushing a strategy with vigi, but failed to realise vigi dont exist. Everyone knows mafia was given the setup. Dont use ignorance as an argument, it is weak. What it simply tells me is that the 2 things on his mind were 'vigi' and 'role setup'. You're just gonna have to take my word for it, but I never really read or pay attention to setups. Usually someone fills me in or I check whatever I need to know. It's sort of my thing. "Palmar doesn't read the OP" | ||
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On May 28 2014 16:49 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: Palmar that's honestly one of the worst posts I've ever seen you make and does nothing to change my opinion on your alignment. It seems as though you called me out, misjudged the thread's perception of me, and are now trying to back out of the read. If I die tonight. MZ is like 95% mafia. His response to me here has nothing to do with what I was saying in the post. Like it's beyond obvious he's not reading the argument at all and all he wants to do is discredit me. What I was doing: Explaining why I thought MZ was mafia What MZ claims I was doing: Trying to back out of the read. The two are mutually exclusive damnit. I was explaining my read to someone who wasn't following it in hopes of convincing them, which is literally the opposite of trying to back out of a read. | ||
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i looks slightly less good, but I still think he's town. Ninja too, I feel like her activity is dropping, or I'm not noticing much useful come out of her. Chrom looked really good yesterday. Amiko looks pretty town for now. He thinks I'm town for the right reasons. (This is important, mafia members know I'm town, he seems to have figured out that I'm town by actually reading the thread and analyzing it). If you ever clear this guy, follow him. He seems to be really good, but I hope he's really good town, not really good mafia ![]() mderg has that one post that screams town (I hope he's mafia so I can be like super impressed ![]() fuba looks better than I initially thought, he's sort of null-ish to me now, but I'd not lynch him tomorrow. I liked how he responded to me erroneously calling him out, so I'm backing slightly off on scumread. But he's still in the bottom half of the table. sloosh is just meh. I have no idea tbh. Slam is also meh. Both of them (sloosh and slam) are good cop checks. This is the first game I've actually thought to myself "slam looks sorta townie here", so that's making me nervous, as I fully admit I can't read the guy. MZ is mafia gobbley I don't know. I thought he was town at first, but he had really low content last time I checked his filter. So idk. Lynch MZ tomorrow, pressure sloosh, fuba, gobbley. Slam or any of the previously mentioned are pretty good checks. Also because most of you haven't played with me before. I usually super miss one mafia. So don't follow my reads blindly even if they give you 1-2 mafia. | ||
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On May 30 2014 08:07 HaruRH wrote: Palmar - you still did not address my point of why did you initially strongly agree with the bandwagon, but fall off later? Stronger cases were put out against him at that point. Uh cause first I thought he was mafia, then I wasn't as sure he was mafia. | ||
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On May 30 2014 08:19 sqrtofneg1 wrote: So are you saying that you think that all of the people who didn't vote on jwz is town? No. | ||
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Do I have to? | ||
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Haru's question towards me is loaded, as you can see: On May 30 2014 08:07 HaruRH wrote: Palmar - you still did not address my point of why did you initially strongly agree with the bandwagon, but fall off later? Stronger cases were put out against him at that point. Unless I'm dumb, he's worried that I had too much information (as mafia), and feels like I was backtracking out of the read as to not be seen responsible for what I would know is a mislynch if I'm mafia. He is right on the facts, I did indeed slowly become less sure about the lynch. But I think I addressed the reasons for that very thoroughly in my "too scummy to be scum" explanations. But in the end I pointed out to him that I was active in shutting down any attempts at counterwagons during the end of the day, so if I'm mafia my plan is very strange. what I did: semi-back out of the read - protect the lynch. mafia option 1: stick with the read - protect the lynch (this way I'm consistent with my thought process) mafia option 2: back out of the read - support alternative wagons (this way I distance myself from a mislynch). I went with a route that doesn't make too much sense as mafia, as it's sort of contradicting. Now this does in no way prove I'm not mafia, but I'm just pointing out that Haru's line of questioning is unlikely to reveal anything about my alignment. In fact I feel like because of precisely the fact that his line of questioning is so misdirected, that there's a chance he's mafia, which also fits because I was having trouble adding up numbers in my previous post with reads. Like I want him to explain what he thinks he can get out of the answer from me, because to me I don't see anything valuable coming out of it, so I think the question is asked for showmanship, not for actual investigation. | ||
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On May 30 2014 08:22 sqrtofneg1 wrote: I'm not forcing you to. But I don't really get what you're saying. You call yourself town b/c you didn't stay on the jwz wagon, and you say that not everyone who went off the jwz wagon is town? I stayed on the wagon so I have no idea what you're talking about. | ||
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And I don't really care. MZ is the lynch tomorrow. | ||
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I have a feeling the mafia team is sloosh, MZ, Gobbley | ||
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Dude's calling me town for thinking he's mafia. Classic scum. | ||
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On May 30 2014 21:41 gobbledydook wrote: My strongest read so far is fuba because of the way he's accusing me. I have skimmed through the sloosh arguments, and I'll come up with a detailed read like this one later. Better idea: find me 5 people tho you strongly consider to be town. | ||
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On May 30 2014 23:34 HaruRH wrote: This is getting worse and worse. Firstly, my reads on palmar was distrupted because he did not read the op, which I assumed everyone to do so. Secondly, much of my reads on MZ is attributed to him forgetting to vote - last minute vote wws what I was banking on, but since it's a mistake now, I have no case against him. I will go with the flow for now until someone else piques my interest again. ## unvote ## vote: slOosh Here, so you can be sure I'm not lying: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=20920619 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17414099 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=19520346 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17362020 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17206041 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16062977 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=15487111 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=14526452 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13756090 | ||
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On May 30 2014 23:51 gobbledydook wrote: Makes good arguments, asks lots of good questions, basically the same reasons Amiko is town. Which arguments in particular did you like and why? | ||
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But you're right. The way the votes are falling, everyone who is town should absolutely move on to MZ. I'll take the blame if I'm wrong. | ||
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On June 01 2014 08:43 Amiko wrote: Please explain this (Palmar & fuba): How do you not vote slOosh when nearly everything suspicious about M_Z also applies to slOosh, plus slOosh is scummier in other ways? @Palmar: You should also join my lynch on slOosh because fuba's play today is weird and he is pushing M_Z - if you don't see that I can argue about it. I think fuba is town, I don't care if his play is weird. This sloosh lynch is going too easily. We should do MZ. | ||
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I'm pretty sure mderg is town and I know I'm town. so at the top of this page the only potential scum according to my reads on the MZ wagon is sloosh himself. Maybe they're both mafia. in that case it's fine. But I'm really sure MZ is mafia, like 95% sure. So why is everyone jumping the sloosh case? | ||
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On June 01 2014 08:57 Amiko wrote: Palmar: Is slOosh "too scummy to be scum" ? Like do you agree slOosh is scummier, but you want to go M_Z because people are voting for slOosh? No, MZ is way more scummy. Like way, way, way more scummy. | ||
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On May 30 2014 16:23 Palmar wrote: I think I could throw my weight behind a sloosh vote. I have a feeling the mafia team is sloosh, MZ, Gobbley Crossing fingers for 3/3 but now I'm not so sure | ||
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I still think he's the correct lynch, I'm just not entirely convinced I'm going to end up being right. It's just normal doubt. "It can't be this easy". | ||
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Every time I try to wifom myself out of this lynch I come back to his ridiculous response to me explaining my suspicions on him back on day 1. | ||
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On June 03 2014 01:29 Amiko wrote: @Palmar: I don't really expect you to push a lynch other than M_Z, and that's fine. But, I don't like that you haven't really offered anything or weighed in on anything unrelated to M_Z for a while. Do you have any thoughts on Haru / Alakaslam / fuba / you would share? To be honest I'm just hoping MZ flips mafia and I don't have to put in any more work. It's really hard for me to motivate myself reading other people when I'm expecting the game to end. So yeah, unless MZ is town, they're all town for now. | ||
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On June 03 2014 09:30 Amiko wrote: @Palmar Are there other games you've played where you are lazy in a way similar to this? Don't think I'm playing lazy. If I'm right on MZ and I think I just might be depending on the fact he isn't even trying to defend himself. I think his "I want to pick the next kill" was his last card. Then doing other stuff is completely pointless. I really don't want to waste time scumhunting a bunch of townies. As I already said, if MZ flips town we'll cross that bridge when we get there. | ||
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On June 04 2014 08:39 Meapak_Ziphh wrote: My advice is look at people who didn't post a lot today, I know that's a lot of people but scum had no reason to do anything because of the easy ML I'm not mafia. If I'm not mafia, who is mafia MZ. I will move this lynch off you if I can if your answer is good enough. | ||
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On June 04 2014 09:40 Amiko wrote: M_Z what did your comment "Palmar is my best bet for scum since that would balance things out with me being town" mean? It means he assumes the host "balanced" the teams. With me and meapak being the most experienced players of the bunch he is assuming that if he is town, I must be mafia. | ||
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On June 04 2014 15:48 Amiko wrote: Btw any thoughts on this post from Palmar? It seemed a little different to me. It wasn't different. It was a last ditch effort to get MZ to actually do something. I was never gonna move off the lynch, that part was a lie. | ||
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Btw, if a blue claims in lylo mafia can counterclaim. So it's probably better to claim one cycle before lylo. I don't know how obvious this is but please make sure we don't waste confirmed townies. | ||
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If someone claims blue, he's confirmed town, unless he gets counterclaimed. If someone counterclaims, one of the two is mafia and we lynch one and then the other in lylo. You don't need any buffers etc. | ||
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To me, Amiko is off the table for now unless this is some massive busplay. However he has been right for the right reasons a lot this game sooo yeah. mderg made that most townie sounding post I've seen back on day 1. so for tomorrow I think he's off the table as far as I'm concerned. I'm looking into the others. | ||
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If my count is right, tomorrow we'll be 6 people alive. mderg HaruRH sqrtofneg1 Amiko Alakaslam fuba Palmar that's 5v1. I would suggest in a 5v1 scenario that town no-lynches, bringing it down to 4v1 (and that's when claims should happen at latest) -> lynch -> nk -> 2v1 (lylo). The reason we should no-lynch is that it gives cop/watcher additional night to work with. Of course mafia might decide to not shoot in the 5v1 scenario forcing us to lynch, but in that case just lynch. | ||
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On June 05 2014 16:37 mderg wrote: I´m VT. Since there are no counterclaims there´s no reason to doubt your claims. With 3 confirmed town and me also being town it only leaves Palmar and fuba. ##vote: Palmar Actually, you and fuba have to make an actual case for why I must be mafia. The other guys are confirmed so there's no point in questioning their motives. So try again please. | ||
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On June 05 2014 10:13 fuba wrote: ##Vote: Palmar I can agree with the first half of the lynch list XD You too. Case please. | ||
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On May 27 2014 18:43 Palmar wrote: I'm not, why do you think I'm trolling. Granted, I'm only about 2 pages or so into the game as we speak, + skimming Ninja's filter. But I feel pretty good about this. Could you elaborate on why you think I'm trolling? Or at least if there is something you don't understand in my case, ask for an explanation? First of all, this conversation alone should be enough to convince you I'm town. There is literally no reason for me to act like an idiot and try to create a case that I have no intention of pushing as mafia. Not to mention the person who actually started arguing with me over it ended up being mafia too. If I was mafia I would probably not randomly attack townies without a good reason, as you need townies on your side. It should be clear to anyone that I did not intend to lynch NB. Hell even if you think I had any intention of killing her, why would I back off later: I joined the jabber lynch for obvious reasons. I still think that was the right thing to do. In fact I think killing MZ for playing awfully was also the right thing to do. It's really annoying to play with townies who don't want to put effort into the game. Also, if I'm mafia I've been basically half-bussing my team for the entire game. What is the end-game here for me? If I'm mafia I'd have known we had a medic and a cop, it's insane for me to start calling my teammates mafia right away. On May 30 2014 05:07 Palmar wrote: Other things. i looks slightly less good, but I still think he's town. Ninja too, I feel like her activity is dropping, or I'm not noticing much useful come out of her. Chrom looked really good yesterday. Amiko looks pretty town for now. He thinks I'm town for the right reasons. (This is important, mafia members know I'm town, he seems to have figured out that I'm town by actually reading the thread and analyzing it). If you ever clear this guy, follow him. He seems to be really good, but I hope he's really good town, not really good mafia ![]() mderg has that one post that screams town (I hope he's mafia so I can be like super impressed ![]() fuba looks better than I initially thought, he's sort of null-ish to me now, but I'd not lynch him tomorrow. I liked how he responded to me erroneously calling him out, so I'm backing slightly off on scumread. But he's still in the bottom half of the table. sloosh is just meh. I have no idea tbh. Slam is also meh. Both of them (sloosh and slam) are good cop checks. This is the first game I've actually thought to myself "slam looks sorta townie here", so that's making me nervous, as I fully admit I can't read the guy. MZ is mafia gobbley I don't know. I thought he was town at first, but he had really low content last time I checked his filter. So idk. Lynch MZ tomorrow, pressure sloosh, fuba, gobbley. Slam or any of the previously mentioned are pretty good checks. Also because most of you haven't played with me before. I usually super miss one mafia. So don't follow my reads blindly even if they give you 1-2 mafia. Another point here: On June 01 2014 08:54 Palmar wrote: I think fuba is town, I don't care if his play is weird. This sloosh lynch is going too easily. We should do MZ. If I'm mafia, why am I defending fuba, who is (at the time and still is) the most likely person for town to get behind lynching. It doesn't make any sense. On May 30 2014 16:23 Palmar wrote: I think I could throw my weight behind a sloosh vote. I have a feeling the mafia team is sloosh, MZ, Gobbley Again the busing thing. Why would I do this if I'm mafia. Knowing we have a cop I'd also know the chances of me being checked are really really high. If I just bus my entire team there is no endgame for me. Also fuck you guys for saying I'm mafia because I actually had 2/3 of the team on day 2. My only problem is that I had an asshole townie who didn't want to play the game and that confused me. Regarding lazy on MZ lynch day I don't see how this has anything to do with my alignment. Hell, if I am mafia I would like to think I'd actually have continued playing on that day, mostly because I'd have known this was a mislynch and I needed some continuation strategy. What I did instead was to fuck off and leave no strategy for myself as mafia. So please, heads out of asses, I'm not the mafia we're looking for. | ||
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On May 28 2014 22:09 Palmar wrote: *clap clap* I hope you're mafia because if you are this post is amazing. I'm giving you a townread for this. To explain why I thought this looks super townie, and I still do. Note the timing of his post. This is at the height of me doubting myself on the jabber lynch. mderg posted this shortly after I wrote my "too scummy to be scum" explanation for my hesitation. This post makes mderg town because of his intentions (note you also have to check him out actually doing the defending). These are the possibilities: 1. mderg mafia/jabber mafia 2. mderg mafia/jabber town 3. mderg town/jabber mafia 4. mderg town/jabber town The ones we're interested in eliminating are 1 and 2, if we want to reduce the chances of mderg being mafia. 1) Mderg explains it in the post himself. If he is mafia and knows jabber will flip mafia, why on earth is he hard defending someone who will almost certainly be lynched anyway. It makes absolutely no sense from a mafia perspective. I don't think mderg is capable of this meta play. Obviously we now know that this scenario also wasn't true, because jabber flipped town. 2) Mderg also addresses this, but he does it in a very particular way, I'll quote him: "Me being scum only makes sense, if jabber flips town. I could see mafia reasons for that." I hope I'm not the only one who noticed that if mderg is mafia, he made a super ballsy play of literally planting the idea that he may be mafia based on something he already knew would come true. Hell townies don't like to claim they might be mafia, mafia absolutely hates doing it. It's really, really hard for me to believe that mderg would be capable of such an advanced mafia play. There is a really good reason I said this: On May 28 2014 22:09 Palmar wrote: I hope you're mafia because if you are this post is amazing. I almost stand by that. This single post would be very, very impressive mafia play if mderg is mafia. I'm writing this to set a baseline. I need to go back and read why I at one point said fuba is town. I don't quite remember that as well as this mderg post. When I know why I called fuba town, I might do their filters, but no idea how much I'll be able to accomplish today. I'll do it before the deadline though. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:04 HaruRH wrote: I doubt we need a case now to choose who is mafia. Given that amiko and sqrt are not lying (no counterclaims by anyone, thus they both shouldn't be lying) and given that amiko proves I am VT, this creates a bubble of town around us 3 and anyone else have the remote chance of being mafia. There is no way that either of us 4 (other than sqrt and amiko) will die this night since unless they kill off both of them, tomorrow will be their funeral. mderg have the chance of being mafia, but we can discuss this tomorrow when we choose between fuba and mderg. So far, even though I recognise that fuba is a better lynch target, we still need to lynch you as more people suspect you as mafia over others. This is incorrect logic. Everyone knows exactly why I wanted to lynch meapak. I repeatedly gave my reasons. Too bad my reasons also applied to a lazy apathetic townie (not reading the thread, making asinine statements etc). If you lynch me today, you will have to decide tomorrow between fuba and mderg, as the rest are confirmed by mechanics. Yes I agree, I could just roll over assuming I'm convinced one of the other two is mafia, but that is accepting a mislynch. I'm not MZ, I don't lay down and die like a good boy. I hate being lynched as town, especially for no reasons at all. Ideally I'd like you all to give reasons, because you're using terrible reasons to lynch me because you guys are refusing to read the thread for some reason. At least that would give me satisfaction post game. Amiko read me 100% correctly on day 1. He decided to just say "well fuck that, palmar thought MZ was mafia". I have no idea why. Even if you guys (the confirmed players) have no intention of doing anything other than lynch me today, you should absolutely force fuba and mderg into doing what I'm doing. It's dumb as hell not to do it. Just threaten them with a lynch. Move your votes to them (especially fuba) until he comes back and actually does anything. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:07 HaruRH wrote: At that point in time, slosh and gobble were the huge suspects for scum. It is wise to quickly cut off all ties with them to protect the remaining scum, that is the mafia rb. It would be a bad mafia play to not do these that you mentioned - if you didn't do them, you're scumread. Almost no one was talking about gobble. So why didn't I bus sloosh then and try to protect gobble? Wouldn't that make more sense? Your logic is awful. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:14 HaruRH wrote: Why would you want to protect gobble? Gobble would certainly be lynched d3 if he did not modkill himself. Why? MZ was up there, fuba was still a possibility. I can't win against a cop I don't know who is if I'm solo. It doesn't work. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:16 mderg wrote: You think fuba would be the best lynch target? If so, you should probably try to push that lynch. It´s not like you have to be in favor of lynching Palmar just because the majority wants to lynch him. From your POV, no matter your actual alignment, you are town. Which way are you leaning? | ||
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On May 30 2014 22:26 Palmar wrote: Better idea: find me 5 people tho you strongly consider to be town. if fuba is mafia sloosh was targeting him early, this thing went both ways. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:22 mderg wrote: Some thoughts on Palmar: I didn´t really like Palmar´s play at the start, he voted bunnies for questionable reasons, it seemed like he was trolling but he said that he wasn´t. The reasons he later gave for that were kinda meh. At the time the reasons were fine. I wasn't trolling, but I also wasn't going to lynch her based on that. She did something different from last game, I pointed it out. Sometimes people do different things because they're in a different mood, or just because they feel like it, it doesn't always make them mafia. Hence, I backed off and called her town reasonably early. I also never brought it up again, because after I actually read the game and the game progressed, that weak read became more and more obsolete. On June 05 2014 19:22 mderg wrote: He was strongly in favor of lynching jwz and MZ and was wrong on every lynch so far. While that in itself is not a big tell, I got the feeling that he didn´t look beyond these two scumreads and just wanted to secure these misslynches. What speaks in his favor is this: He didn´t really push sloosh and gobble, though. Especially going against the sloosh lynch was strange. Amiko´s case on sloosh looked better than Palmar´s case on MZ but Palmar stayed on MZ because his case was "more slam dunk". Yes. To understand this you have to understand few things 1) When meapak wrote the thing about me trying to back out of a read when I was explaining it, I became 100% sure he was mafia. I do not remember any other instance of MZ just saying blatantly wrong things due to lack of actually reading. Clearly I was wrong, but I was quite convinced. 2) Sloosh got lynched anyway. Why on earth did I not try to at least milk some credit for it by switching back or someting, If you think I'm mafia I already brought up that sloosh was scummy and I might throw my weight behind the case. It makes no sense for me to let him be lynched and leave myself in a worse position before. 3) I was honestly skeptical of how easily the case on Sloosh was building traction. It was a strong case, I initially agreed with it, as is apparent by my posting, hell I always agreed with it. I just felt something was off and I also believed strongly MZ was mafia. On June 05 2014 19:22 mderg wrote: The MZ lynch itself isn´t really alignment indicative because about everyone wanted to lynch him and he certainly did look like mafia. This is actually not as much as I thought it would be. I could see scum motivation behind almost everything but calling out sloosh and gobble so early in the game would be really ballsy.[/QUOTE] It's just pointless. It's almost sort of insulting that you guys think I'm mafia because in order to believe that I'm mafia you also have to believe I'm incapable of forming a winning strategy, there is literally no path to victory for me even if gobble hadn't gotten killed. But then again, maybe the reason people think I'm mafia despite it being logically impossible for me to be is because reading is hard. | ||
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On June 05 2014 19:52 mderg wrote: 1) I agree that MZ looked scummy but I still think Amiko´s case on sloosh was stronger than your case on MZ. This may be because you have played much more games with MZ but for me the sloosh case was stronger. 2) That reasoning kinda applies to all 3 possible lynch candidates. I could have changed my vote from sloosh to MZ on day 2 and fuba pressured gobble pretty hard at some point. So that doesn´t work stronger in your favor than for anyone else. 1) I engage in hyperbole to get what I want. I wanted a MZ lynch so I said my case was better. In hindsight obviously Amiko's case was better. 2) Doesn't matter. I'm not mafia. | ||
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1. town 2. mafia 3. mafia instead of you who with the benefit of a cop check actually had mafia at no 1. | ||
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On June 05 2014 23:11 Amiko wrote: First let's talk about why Palmar's points are unconvincing. 1) Palmar's vote on ninjabunnies means nothing Mafia make cases they don't intend to push, and mafia talk to each other. Even if that were not true, I don't think Palmar gets any credit for this given that he didn't actually push or do anything with that case, anyway. Take a look at ninjabunnies' reaction - she's the one being "attacked" and she doesn't care because the case is so obviously meaningless http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/451317-detention-mafia?page=9#175 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/451317-detention-mafia?page=9#177 I haven't played with NB before and I'm not a prophet. There is no way I can predict how she would react to me making a weak case on her. The case is still correct, it just doesn't mean she's mafia. That shit happens all the time in mafia. On June 05 2014 23:11 Amiko wrote: (2) Palmar hasn't actually bussed his team Palmar may have argued with gobble and said he would support a slOosh lynch. However, those words are not consistent with his action. On day 2, Palmar resisted a slOosh lynch in favor of M_Z. Further, look at his discussion that day. Even if Palmar thought M_Z was a better lynch, he doesn't weigh in on slOosh except to say that he would vote for him. He doesn't actually vote for him, doesn't really explain why M_Z is a better lynch. Although he says his lynch on M_Z is a slam dunk (despite it being weak) he doesn't even attempt to push his case. When he tries to convince people to move to M_Z, he doesn't discuss the merits (the "slam dunk") part at all, and only goes with the WIFOM "too easy" argument. Further, after telling people to vote for their top scumread on day 1, he tells people not to vote for the "too easy" lynch on day 2. To me, this all looks like someone who is eager to get votes off a scum partner. If Palmar was town and thought slOosh would be mafia, his day 2 should have spent trying to get reads to distinguish between the players and figure out which was more scummy. He should have at least weighed in on the slOosh case and provided some explanation. Your case on Sloosh wasn't wrong. There is no point for me to argue about the merits of the case. In a world where MZ doesn't exist I would have just sheeped your case. I actually intended to do that until I got cold feet regarding how easy the wagon was. I'm still sort of surprised it was this easy, but I guess gobble actually being mafia explained some of it. My argument was never that your case was wrong, my argument was that my case on MZ was really good. However I reached the wrong conclusions for the right reasons on MZ. I proved that he wasn't reading the thread and wasn't actively trying to solve the game, but I neglected the conclusion that he might be lazy and apathetic town. Just like you (and others) are now using correct arguments (I tried to divert a mafia lynch) to reach the wrong conclusion (I'm mafia). The difference is that unlike MZ I'm going to actually respond and explain until there is nothing left, I am a vengeful bastard and I want you guys to feel bad about not having listened or appreciated the efforts if you end up lynching me anyway. I don't waste time when I'm playing mafia. I see no reason to post when town is doing what I want it to be doing. I was okay with Sloosh getting the lynch until later in the day. If I was mafia and planned to defend him I probably would've done it earlier and not just based on wagon speed. But hey, ignore that. On June 05 2014 23:11 Amiko wrote: If Palmar actually thought the M_Z case was better, why was he so inactive day 2? Why didn't he try to get anyone to join the losing wagon he was so sure about? Why didn't he talk about the merits of slOosh at all? He doesn't even say anything like "If M_Z does flip town, slOosh dies next." He doesn't talk with anyone who begins to townread slOosh to try to convince him otherwise. Palmar may have said he doubted slOosh, but his play reflects a strong desire not to lynch slOosh. On the contrary. Me not doing stuff means exactly that I'm happy with whatever it is town is doing, or at least that I don't really mind it. That's the entire point. Your argument doesn't fit any reasonable mafia strategy. You're saying I initially decided to bus Sloosh and then decided to not do it anymore way later. I'm not this incompetent as mafia dude. When you drop the case I make a decision on what I want to do, and I either bus him for credit or defend him by breaking your case. Your case was good, you KNOW your case was good. If I'm mafia and don't want sloosh to die I would have to dismantle it immediately. Your explanation does not fit. On June 05 2014 23:11 Amiko wrote: (3) Palmar defending fuba doesn't mean anything to me First off, Palmar's point here misreads the situation. At the time we were talking, the wagons were M_Z and slOosh. Fuba was not the most likely person for town to get behind lynching. Second, this isn't really defending fuba at all. It's just admitting someone's play is weird and still calling them town. If anything, it leaves the door open for Palmar to try to mislynch fuba later (because fuba's play is weird). Yes but I didn't really need to call him town. And yes, it was not a strong townread. I haven't still went back and found what triggered the townread, but I made it for some reason. The backtracking strategy you're claiming is actually awful, because if I'm mafia I need two mislynches here, not one. It woul be ok if I needed just one. I can't do the "contemplate my reads" thing twice. On June 05 2014 23:11 Amiko wrote: (4) lol I actually expected scum-Palmar to make this point. Even if it wasn't a terrible point (and it is) it doesn't actually matter because mderg and fuba were lazy too. It also doesn't explain your inactive play on d2, where you should have been quite active since two people you suspected were on the chopping block. More in a bit :3 Again you're saying "you should have done something" that doesn't fit with how I actually think. I'm usually the most active when I think townies are up for a lynch, or I have to fight for something. It isn't a terrible point. What's the point of being active when the people I want to lynch are on the chopping block? That's exactly the time to not do anything because there isn't anything to argue for. I already explained this to you during the MZ lynch. I thought MZ was mafia, what's the point of trying to figure out if Slam is mafia or not. It's a complete waste of time. You're making a huge logical leap here. You assume that people acting how you WANT them to act to be how they WILL act. And you're risking the game on you being cocky. | ||
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On June 05 2014 23:23 Amiko wrote: I'll also mention that I think it's more likely I would be roleblocked or killed D1 since I was playing pretty towny, yet I wasn't. I think townreading Palmar may have helped with that ![]() If you allow yourself to condemn me for the actions of the mafia you're being awful. This is terrible. | ||
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On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: Give a good explanation for your day 2. Ok. On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: You should have been talking about both M_Z and slOosh since you claim you thought both were scum. No I shouldn't. You think I should, but that isn't how everyone thinks. On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: You should have been questioning these players to decide which was the better lynch. Why? Both players had good cases on them. I thought mine was better but clearly it wasn't. I really had no problem with a sloosh lynch initially, and I said as much. On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: Explain how you think your case on M_Z was a slam dunk. He didn't read the thread and instead threw out a random buzzphrase "trying to back out of the read". The main point is here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=21429355 On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: Explain why you didn't push your "slam dunk" case. I was fine with your case on Sloosh. There's a reason I said "I might throw my lynch behind a sloosh lynch". I mean this may be hard for you to understand, but I was actually telling the truth... huh! On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: Explain why you were not upset the "slam dunk" case was not getting traction. Because I was fine with a Sloosh lynch initially. For some reason everyone thinks I'm an egoistical bastard that refuses to listen to anyone but himself (it's half true, I am egoistical), but intelligent sheeping is a strong part of my game. I knew you were town, I liked your case, so I wasn't really in a hurry to lynch MZ. On June 05 2014 23:25 Amiko wrote: Explain why when you started asking people to move to M_Z, you didn't talk about the great case you had. I did, I said it was slam dunk etc. Did you want me to say the same thing again... maybe translate to spanish for slam? I don't see a point in restating my case over and over again. | ||
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On June 05 2014 23:32 Amiko wrote: And no, you are the top lynch because there are three people unconfirmed and (1) you are the scummiest of the three (2) mderg is the least scummy of the three, so it doesn't matter to me a whole lot whether you or fuba dies first. I'd rather kill you first though, since I think if we finish the game tonight probably I don't end the game dead :3 There is also the small possibility that if we leave you alive until tomorrow you will bamboozle Haru into voting for mderg for no good reason. Objection! That's subjective bullshit. | ||
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On June 05 2014 23:49 Amiko wrote: Palmar could have switched until his play at the end of the day. With (I think) less than two hours left, Palmar finally gave some comments that distinguished between the two lynches: he said that the case on M_Z was better (it wasn't) and that the slOosh lynch was "too easy" (it wasn't). After he committed to those comments, he could not switch back to slOosh without looking very scummy or going into my "trap" comment. Given how close the votes were, I don't think he would want to, anyway. Well the bolded just proves my point, you want to lynch me because my list of top scumreads went town, mafia, mafia, and not mafia --- whatever. The sloosh lynch was too easy. In hindsight the reason was that gobbley was afk and mafia had no presence, but I could not possibly have known that. I don't even know what your trap comment is. On June 05 2014 23:49 Amiko wrote: I don't understand this point. Let's say you are scum and gobble didn't get killed. In this case, gobble votes M_Z over his scumpartner. At that point, it'd look like this - we'll assume for the moment ninjabunnies still gets shot: 5) slOosh 6) gobbledydook 7) Palmar 8) mderg 9) fuba 10) HaruRH 11) sqrtofneg1 12) Amiko 13) Alakaslam In what way does that foreclose a winning strategy? You'd be in great shape. No, because we've all sided on the same side. Any competent strategy splits us on day 2 so we have the opportunity to unite for a day 3. Saving sloosh wasn't worth it. I would never do it as mafia. | ||
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I cannot play as much on weekends, I'll provide links to prove it: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=21262920 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=21045213 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=20957916 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=20960223 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=20827739 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=20752441 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=19865612 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=17447313 | ||
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Maybe I don't want to. Only one of them is mafia. First I need to decide which one it is. | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:16 Amiko wrote: You ignore the point of the votes. You don't have to have your votes split d2 because there are still plenty of wagons you can unite behind. You can try to attack the people who swapped for a mislynch (Haru, sqrt, fuba) And, you can bus slOosh the next day if you need to. It doesn't matter if all three of you vote M_Z. Who cares. I'm telling you. I would not do what I did as mafia. I think it's a terrible strategy. | ||
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Then stop calling me mafia for reasons that don't make me mafia. | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:19 Amiko wrote: I think this falls under the subjective category you mentioned earlier. Not persuasive. Yes but I'm an expert on myself. | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:18 Amiko wrote: The "trap" comment was where I encouraged you to move onto slOosh and pretend that you were only voting on M_Z as a trap to try to get mafia to join the M_Z wagon. I didn't expect you to do it and regretted the post. here's a little tidbit. I read your case on sloosh. As for your other posts, I don't really pay attention. You mentioned somewhere in this conversation that you thought i and someone else... (fuba? haru?) could be moved to MZ on day 2. I had not even the slightest clue about these things. When I've decided I think someone is town, I generally stop paying much attention to what they say, unless I think it's very important. I mostly read closely what the people I'm undecided on are posting. | ||
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I'm not mafia because I don't actually act this way when I'm about to get lynched as mafia. | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:34 Amiko wrote: Here is more reason why I want to lynch Palmar- This is a post from Palmar from night one. At this point, Palmar is convinced that M_Z is scum. Palmar quotes the post from day one. At that point, there was still time to push someone other than jabber. So, Palmar had already gone through the things that he felt made M_Z scum on day 1, but he doesn’t push this until after jabber has been mislynched. I already explained that, and I also explained why we had to lynch jabber. | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=21421396 On May 28 2014 17:05 Palmar wrote: Where do you get the feeling I'm backing out of the read? That's super interesting you somehow get the feeling I'm backing out of anything with this post. 2. I wrote several big posts on how I was conflicted about the jabber lynch: On May 28 2014 21:11 Palmar wrote: I don't know. I think we have to lynch him. He's flailing so much and saying all the wrong things even after coming back to the thread makes it hard to think he will 100% flip mafia. If he is mafia he is not receiving any help from coaches or teammates. This post specifically is so bad. If he is town this game it would have been directly in his benefit to make known he was mafia in the last game and then proceed to play like a townie. There is no benefit in concealing information about your playstyle as a townie. I'm not 100% caught up on the game so I don't know if he elaborated on how being a wild card might help him. But the point is, he's doing that thing where he is almost too scummy to be scum. So if we get a slam-dunk case today I'm all ears. We actually might have one with MZ's overreaction and misinterpretation of my post against him, but we need to let it play out. Thing is, too scummy to be scum is really hard to deal with. To my knowledge he's not providing any useful reads or cases, he sheeped i on the case on me with almost no explanation other than my initial vote being weird. Could he be a deer in headlights? Yes, absolutely. But I'm not sure I want to gamble the game on just thinking he's too bad to be mafia. Maybe the explanation is simple and he is just mafia who fucked up. I haven't really read the setup but if we have a vigi it might be a good thing to not lynch him and shoot him. I bolded the parts where I'm explaining why I feel like despite my trepidations I think we have to lynch jabber. On May 28 2014 22:06 Palmar wrote: The "too scummy to be scum" concept is a very fragile and shitty, but surprisingly often correct thing that happens. The idea is basically that if he is mafia, his team knows he made a blunder, so they would help him devise a strategy to come back, or bus him. if bus: I'd expect him to just shut up and not try to come back. Now I know I'm town but other people don't so this is weak from everyone else's perspective, but why on earth is he piling shit on me if his team is busing him. That is basically just helping me gain influcence in town. It's just bad play if he's mafia to give credit to a townie. if they try to save him: I'd expect him/his team/mafia coach to have come up with a better plan than what he has posted. His arguments are just straight up awful, If the mafia team can't collectively think up some better defense than this well.. I just don't want to believe that. And thus, he's being soooo awful that it's possible he's too scummy to be scum. He's blatantly wrong. He's hardly trying to cover up how awful his stuff is. But, there's also the chance that he's just acting on his own, he messed up, he's not thinking long term and thought maybe a wagon could be built on me, and in that case he's just mafia who's playing badly. Like I don't really like or see the point in speculating on this thing. If we have a slam dunk case on someone I'll support it, but currently I see no other outcome for today than lynching him. again bolded the important parts. At the time I didn't think my case against MZ was 100% slam dunk. It wasn't until MZ proceeded to do absolutely nothing that I convinced myself it was. | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:45 Amiko wrote: Point to where you became sure about M_Z. gradually over n1. He already made the posts that I wanted to lynch him for, but the inaction factor doesn't have an exact time on it, it's just a feeling that he isn't really trying. by the time I said he had a 95% chance of flipping mafia I was pretty damn sure ![]() | ||
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Man I'm consistent as fuck when I'm town, I wish I could do this as mafia. | ||
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Don't listen to Palmar, he's an idiot. I get the first point, but man the second point is bad. The one person who has the authority to actually know if I'm playing inside my meta or not is me, because I'm an expert on myself. Honestly though. This isn't a meta thing. You have two ways of explaining my actions, one where I'm mafia and the other where I'm town. I've repeatedly shown it's easier and more consistent to explain them if I'm town. I'm just adding the meta thing for flavor. | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:01 Amiko wrote: This just reflects why the point is good. If the posts confirmed your suspicions, they should have content in them that leads you to read him as scum. If the posts had content that turned your suspicions into a slam dunk, then you should be using them in your case. + Show Spoiler + ![]() I have no idea what you're talking about. The posts did not confirm my suspicions. The posts had no content that turned my suspicions into a slam dunk. So... can you get me up to speed? | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: You misunderstand why I posted bunnies reaction. The post is that your case was not seen as serious, and when you pressed it people responded (as they should) doubting its sincerity. Bunnies' reaction just goes to show how little pressure your case provided. Anyway, you have nothing to lose by making that kind of case as mafia, maybe if you're lucky she OMGUSes you and you use that to try to support the lynch. Yes, this is the logical leap you keep making. You've decided I'm mafia and thus there must be mafia reasons for doing whatever it is I'm doing. I don't know how bunny would react. If I'm right and she's mafia she might overreact to a stupid little case. If she's town she would probably brush it off like she did. There is a reason I posted it, and that reason is a town reason. On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: Part of my case was that slOosh was M_Z, except more scummy. If you thought my case was right, you shouldn't have been on M_Z. If you didn't think that was correct, you didn't agree with me and should have tried to convince me on the merits. Again, stop saying what I "should" have done according to your view of the game. In my opinion townies shouldn't lie but they do it all the time anyway. In my opinion townies shouldn't roleclaim on day 1, and again, they keep doing it. I don't care if you think sloosh was the same as MZ, He did not write the post MZ wrote that made me want to lynch MZ, so by definition they are not the same. But that doesn't mean I didn't think sloosh was mafia and wasn't fine with lynching him early on. I don't know why the idea that someone might actually take a flyer on a good case by a townread is so alien to you. The only reason I ended up actually pushing for MZ instead of sloosh was the lack of resistance to the sloosh lynch (and it was pretty clear, aside from me no one opposed it all that strongly). Put yourself in my shoes for a second. I know I'm town, and no one is questioning this sloosh lynch. There is a reason I was suspicious of it. [QUOTE]On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: [QUOTE]On June 05 2014 23:47 Palmar wrote: I don't waste time when I'm playing mafia. I see no reason to post when town is doing what I want it to be doing. I was okay with Sloosh getting the lynch until later in the day. If I was mafia and planned to defend him I probably would've done it earlier and not just based on wagon speed. But hey, ignore that. ... I'm not this incompetent as mafia dude. When you drop the case I make a decision on what I want to do, and I either bus him for credit or defend him by breaking your case. Your case was good, you KNOW your case was good. If I'm mafia and don't want sloosh to die I would have to dismantle it immediately. Your explanation does not fit. [/quote] I scumhunt even when I think I have caught scum. Anyway, you start pushing for M_Z only after fuba has made a case for people to switch to M_Z. I think you could accurately predict sqrt and Haru could be moved (because I thought they could be moved too). I don't scumhunt when there's one mafia left and I think I know who it is. I don't care if you think I should. I already answered the bolded thing. I can't even remember fuba pushing MZ, in hindsight I was the first person to start person to actively try to change the lynch, and I tried to do it because I felt like there was no resistance to it. [QUOTE]On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: [QUOTE]On June 05 2014 23:47 Palmar wrote: The backtracking strategy you're claiming is actually awful, because if I'm mafia I need two mislynches here, not one. It woul be ok if I needed just one. I can't do the "contemplate my reads" thing twice. [/quote] Why not? You just say "I guess I was wrong, so it must be XYZ" Anyway, for all you know, the cop has no checks. It's possible that the cop checked players who had died. It's possible that you roleblocked the cop on days the cop would check living players. And, you don't know who the cop or medic are. If you are lucky, maybe Slam will flip as one of the blue roles. For all you know, your strategy is a winning strategy because it's possible there will only be one blue (who you could kill tonight). The idea that you didn't make a winning strategy is incorrect because it considers information you did not know. Given the information you did know, your strategy was fine.[/QUOTE] Nope I don't put my money on luck when I'm mafia. But that's subjective. [QUOTE]On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: [QUOTE]On June 05 2014 23:47 Palmar wrote: And you're risking the game on you being cocky.[/QUOTE] If you are town, you certainly risked the game with your play on day 2 and day 3. It doesn't matter. The game is at risk until it's over. That's the nature of the game. (Anyway play has been pretty great, I can't believe you guys didn't roleblock me n2)[/QUOTE] Not sure I would've actually roleblocked you if I'm mafia. I didn't get the feeling you were cop from reading the case on sloosh. It was pretty well disguised. [/b] | ||
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On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: You misunderstand why I posted bunnies reaction. The post is that your case was not seen as serious, and when you pressed it people responded (as they should) doubting its sincerity. Bunnies' reaction just goes to show how little pressure your case provided. Anyway, you have nothing to lose by making that kind of case as mafia, maybe if you're lucky she OMGUSes you and you use that to try to support the lynch. Yes, this is the logical leap you keep making. You've decided I'm mafia and thus there must be mafia reasons for doing whatever it is I'm doing. I don't know how bunny would react. If I'm right and she's mafia she might overreact to a stupid little case. If she's town she would probably brush it off like she did. There is a reason I posted it, and that reason is a town reason. On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: Part of my case was that slOosh was M_Z, except more scummy. If you thought my case was right, you shouldn't have been on M_Z. If you didn't think that was correct, you didn't agree with me and should have tried to convince me on the merits. Again, stop saying what I "should" have done according to your view of the game. In my opinion townies shouldn't lie but they do it all the time anyway. In my opinion townies shouldn't roleclaim on day 1, and again, they keep doing it. I don't care if you think sloosh was the same as MZ, He did not write the post MZ wrote that made me want to lynch MZ, so by definition they are not the same. But that doesn't mean I didn't think sloosh was mafia and wasn't fine with lynching him early on. I don't know why the idea that someone might actually take a flyer on a good case by a townread is so alien to you. The only reason I ended up actually pushing for MZ instead of sloosh was the lack of resistance to the sloosh lynch (and it was pretty clear, aside from me no one opposed it all that strongly). Put yourself in my shoes for a second. I know I'm town, and no one is questioning this sloosh lynch. There is a reason I was suspicious of it. On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: [/b]I scumhunt even when I think I have caught scum. Anyway, you start pushing for M_Z only after fuba has made a case for people to switch to M_Z. I think you could accurately predict sqrt and Haru could be moved (because I thought they could be moved too). I don't scumhunt when there's one mafia left and I think I know who it is. I don't care if you think I should. I already answered the bolded thing. I can't even remember fuba pushing MZ, in hindsight I was the first person to start person to actively try to change the lynch, and I tried to do it because I felt like there was no resistance to it. On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: Why not? You just say "I guess I was wrong, so it must be XYZ" Anyway, for all you know, the cop has no checks. It's possible that the cop checked players who had died. It's possible that you roleblocked the cop on days the cop would check living players. And, you don't know who the cop or medic are. If you are lucky, maybe Slam will flip as one of the blue roles. For all you know, your strategy is a winning strategy because it's possible there will only be one blue (who you could kill tonight). The idea that you didn't make a winning strategy is incorrect because it considers information you did not know. Given the information you did know, your strategy was fine. Nope I don't put my money on luck when I'm mafia. But that's subjective. On June 06 2014 00:07 Amiko wrote: If you are town, you certainly risked the game with your play on day 2 and day 3. It doesn't matter. The game is at risk until it's over. That's the nature of the game. (Anyway play has been pretty great, I can't believe you guys didn't roleblock me n2) Not sure I would've actually roleblocked you if I'm mafia. I didn't get the feeling you were cop from reading the case on sloosh. It was pretty well disguised. | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:35 Amiko wrote: Before I respond, let me get this straight: You suspected M_Z on day 1, but were not sure. You became sure during night 1. You became sure because of M_Z's inactivity. Sort of. Jabber's flip and re-reading MZ's posting also helped. I had become pretty certain when I posted that 95% post, but it was mostly based on earlier evidence. And not inactivity precisely, but rather lack of commitment to solving the game. I don't care how much people post if they post the right things. | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:36 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Well, he is playing right now. I don't like being lynched as town. Also I want to post so much proof that I'm not mafia that I can claim in the post game that the people who lynched me did so with absolutely 0 good reasons. I think I'm almost there. Like I would shut up and let you guys lynch me if you signed a form first that says: "I understand that I'm lynching Palmar based on absolutely nothing because I am afraid of words and my brain hurts when I think. I also don't like winning mafia games. I take full responsibility for my idiocy." sig: __________________________ | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:49 Amiko wrote: (I think you probably realized this, and that's why rereading is a new reason) It isn't new, I said "I gradually became convinced over n1" But hey, fit it to your insane story all you like. | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:49 Amiko wrote: My point on M_Z is pretty simple. On Day 1, you say that you suspect M_Z. At this time, the case is not a slam dunk. This is your excuse for not pushing M_Z on Day 1 as an alternative for jabber. On Night 1, you become certain that M_Z is scum. This suggests that something between your post Day 1 and your post Night 1 made you feel M_Z was confirmed scum. This is where you're wrong. Nothing needs to happen. Who knows. Maybe I glanced at his filter, maybe I took a walk and it cleared my head, maybe I ate mushrooms and had hallucinations, maybe Jesus told me he was mafia. I did not push MZ as an alternative to jabber because I believed that despite my hesitancy in lynching him we had to lynch him as he could never be kept around in the long run, and would be a very dangerous mislynch target later in the game if the game started going sour. There was plenty of evidence against jabber, but as I pointed out, he was just soooo scummy and sooo wrong that it was almost too much (and it was too much). Like it sounds all fine and dandy in hindsight if I'd convinced myself he was 100% and started pushing an alternative lynch, but I'm not mafia so I wasn't sure. There's always that chance he just fucked up and was mafia. On June 06 2014 01:49 Amiko wrote: In other words, your case against M_Z did not raise the points that you claim convinced you he was mafia The bolded is just wrong. My case raised exactly the points against M_Z that did the most to convince me MZ was mafia. The timing is unimportant really. jabber flipping town was sort of expected but his flip confirmed he was town. MZ flipping on my alignment (he had mentioned me being mafia earlier) helped me become more suspicious of him, MZ not doing anything over the night also added to my suspicion. And the case post is posted when I fully expected to be shot, as I expected MZ to be actuallly mafia, and I wanted it absolutely clear that he was my target of choice. | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:54 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Well, here's something that I don't get. If you're not mafia, why aren't you pushing people who you think are mafia? If I were you, I'd be trying to get everyone to vote for fuba. I'm not convinced it's fuba. So if you guys could all be dears and start trying to figure out. Just pretend for the next 24 hours that I'm confirmed town, and go scumhunt the other two. Use reasons and stuff. Then you can come back to me and lynch me. But it's hard to scumhunt when people are constantly pushing me as mafia for awful reasons. | ||
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Do you have a point? | ||
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On June 06 2014 01:54 HaruRH wrote: Wait a minute, I dont want you to shut up. Continue on, your overreaction is fun to watch. And why do you think I'm overreacting? Go find a game where I get lynched as mafia (titanic and championship are recent examples). Compare me. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:02 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Here's the thing. It's either you or fuba. I'm lynching both you and fuba. The only question remaining is who to lynch first. I believe that you're a more competent player, and that if you were mafia, it'd be easier for you rather than fuba to wiggle your way out of a lynch. So you're my target today. If you're not mafia, it's fuba. So you're lynching me out of fear? | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:05 Amiko wrote: To me, the quotes posts are you attempting to squirm new reasons into a lynch (inactivity, rereading) that your posts at the time do not reflect. From now on, assume every point I make could possibly be inspired by rethinking, rereading, observation, events, jesus or various other things I don't tell you about. It's 100% super clear what my thought process was. 1. jabber did super scummy things. 2. MZ did some scummy things 3. MZ did super scummy things. he still might contribute later 4. jabber is so scummy he might not be scum 5. we need to lynch him anyway, in case he's just bad mafia 6. can only lynch 1 person today. 8. jabber dies 10. Mz is still not contributing 11. shit day coming up, better post thoughts | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:07 Amiko wrote: Fuba can have his turn, but you are online now and responding. Oh my bad, I'll go afk then so you can actually focus on someone who might be mafia. You understand that you're now enabling two people to skirt by with absolutely no good reason to lynch me. You're not doing a very good job at being the town leader here. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:28 Amiko wrote: Whether you are town or scum, you have an incentive to stay and respond. If you want to go AFK go for it, but I don't think it'll help you. Well I'm not exactly sure what'll help me. I'm doing my best but you've got your head so firmly up your ass nothing I say is getting through. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:32 Amiko wrote: It's so clear you even skipped 7 and 9. (I don't care much about that but it is funny since it reflects you were reordering the 100% clear thoughts) Why would I assume someone has good reasons for their actions if they don't tell me the reasons? That's basically contrary to the game. I'm certainly not going to give you that benefit. lol, 7 was a copy of 10 but I didn't think it needed to be said twice. 9 was "rethinking/rereading/mushrooms/jesus" but again, that's unimportant. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:30 sqrtofneg1 wrote: This attitude isn't gonna help you. Argue all you want, but insulting won't help. I'm not insulting him. maybe his ass is a real nice place. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:32 Amiko wrote: It's so clear you even skipped 7 and 9. (I don't care much about that but it is funny since it reflects you were reordering the 100% clear thoughts) Why would I assume someone has good reasons for their actions if they don't tell me the reasons? That's basically contrary to the game. I'm certainly not going to give you that benefit. No, you're requesting more than reasons. You're requesting inspiration and timeline. Like that has never been a thing in mafia anywhere. You're stuck in your confirmation bias where if I don't have an exact post MZ posted that made me think he's mafia and I responded immediately to that I must be mafia. In that post I was explaining why I thought he was mafia. Yes I gradually became more convinced over time. I probably did some rereading and even more rethinking. I also noticed his activity wasn't keeping up and his content was very lackluster. You're going to have to accept not everyone plays mafia the same way. If you cannot comprehend that I don't think exactly like you, this conversation is pointless. | ||
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On June 06 2014 02:52 Amiko wrote: You don't have to play mafia the same way as me. If I see behavior that looks scummy, I want to see an explanation. If the explanation doesn't seem to fit your play at the time, I'm more comfortable disregarding it. Timeline is absolutely a thing in mafia. Haven't you seen MS Paint? Timeline is totally a thing. But only when you timetravel. I didn't timetravel. You don't need to tell me, I've used timeline arguments, but only when they actually apply. My play at the time fits everything I've said perfectly. You're wrong if you say it doesn't. Also, I'm going afk 4srs now because I actually need to do rl stuff for a while. | ||
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@fuba: I don't see why not. | ||
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my day 1 reads tend to be solid ##unvote ##vote fuba | ||
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##unvote | ||
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From your post about me that blatantly displays you have at best skimmed the discussion between Amiko and I today and clearly shows you have no idea what the case against me is. | ||
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I wasn't giving you my opinion. You not following the game is a fact, it's right there in the post above. | ||
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On June 06 2014 06:17 mderg wrote: I feel like Palmar´s defense is completely based on 1 point, that he wouldn´t play like this as mafia. His actions would make sense as town but they would also make sense as scum. No it isn't, you're not reading the thread. On June 06 2014 06:17 mderg wrote: His vote on bunnies doesn´t make him town. Slightly pushing a townie for weak reasons doesn´t instantly make one suspicious. It seems like a low risk low reward move to make as scum. Or alternatively, it's a simple "let's poke it and see what happens" move for town. You're clearly working in a mindset where you first have decided I'm mafia and then you apply reasons for my actions based on your foregone conclusion. On June 06 2014 06:17 mderg wrote: Semi-busing sloosh and gobble was without any follow up, so that didn´t actually put them under huge pressure, so it wasn´t very dangerous and could be used to distance himself from these two resulting in him being less suspicious when they flip or the other way around. It would be pretty ballsy but I think Palmar is capable of that. I am easily capable of busing people as mafia, I just don't leave myself without options. On June 06 2014 06:17 mderg wrote: Staying on MZ on day 2 also makes sense from a scum perspective because one more vote would have changed things. Especially with the third mafia not voting this could have ended in a mislynch and put a scumteam of sloosh, gobble, palmar in a good position. Again, you're thinking "Palmar is mafia and here's why" Instead if "This is what Palmar did and it makes him X". There is a perfectly good town explanation for me staying on MZ, I explained it at the time. I've been consistent throughout with my read on him. I quite openly explained why I was doing what I was doing. On June 06 2014 06:17 mderg wrote: So it all kinda comes down to this: The thing about this is that it´s simply a matter of believing him or not believing him. And I don´t believe him. No it doesn't come down to that, that's the tiniest bit of the puzzle. | ||
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On June 06 2014 07:14 mderg wrote: I even said that your play also makes sense as town. I didn´t feel the need to explain the possible town mindset for every point because you already did that shit. If my play makes sense as town, AND the only point against me is that you don't believe I wouldn't play like this as mafia, why are you voting me? | ||
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On June 06 2014 07:42 mderg wrote: I think your play would make sense as both alignments. It´s explainable in either way but I think that play is more likely to come from mafia. You made that huge post explaining why you can´t be scum but I don´t think any of the points you brought up make it impossible for you to be scum. Okay, but does anything make it impossible for me to be town? Why do you think I'm more likely to be mafia. You're being extremely vague. | ||
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On June 06 2014 08:03 mderg wrote: No. The semi bus on sloosh and gobble without any follow up and your day 2 vote on MZ. Both would have strong scum reasons behind them. And both would also have strong town reasons for them. These things don't make me mafia unless you apply yourself really hard to the conclusion I must be mafia. | ||
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You guys are voting the most open, active, outspoken and controversial townie of the possible candidates. You're voting the guy who has actually taken the head and been at the forefront of discussion of lynches instead of just waddling around. I'm the one providing answers, explanations to everything. It is objectively bad play to lynch me without reasons, and the only reason for lynching me seems to be that I'm guilty of the crime of not knowing the scumteam on day 2. I actually was confused by one lazy townie so he was in there with 2 mafia. The problem here is that you guys, as sqrtofneg has admitted, are really afraid that I could be doing this as mafia. If I was any random name who's playing his first or second game, you would absolutely be convinced by my effort today. The mistake you're making is assuming there's some fundamental difference between veterans and newbies in mafia. There really is much less of that than most people think. Almost everyone who has played about 2-3 full games of mafia is fully capable of anything. So please, don't throw a game because you're afraid you might be wrong. | ||
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On June 06 2014 13:07 Amiko wrote: @Palmar: I don't find your defensive posts to be persuasive. I think it comes down to yes, your play might come from scum or it might come from mistaken town. But, the results have always been anti-town and some of the motivations you claim you have seem unsupported at best, inconsistent at worst, with your play at the time. I'd still prefer you start talking about mderg and fuba. I resent the "mistaken town" part. Almost every read I've made this game has been correct. It's just the fact that I got MZ wrong. | ||
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On June 06 2014 13:07 Amiko wrote: @Palmar: I don't find your defensive posts to be persuasive. I think it comes down to yes, your play might come from scum or it might come from mistaken town. But, the results have always been anti-town and some of the motivations you claim you have seem unsupported at best, inconsistent at worst, with your play at the time. I'd still prefer you start talking about mderg and fuba. You can call me mafia, but don't criticize my analytical play. I got ninja, you, i, chrom, haru all right on night 1 or before/after that. I called the too scummy to be scum thing on jabber. My night 1 list of possible mafia candidates/people to be pressured was MZ/gobbley/sloosh/fuba. I added in slam as a possible check because I can't actually read that guy. So no. the fact that I had MZ wrong does not give you any leeway. You're by far the worse offender here, as you're trying to lynch an active townie with no good reasons who is actively explaining himself, whereas meapak just rolled over and got lynched. | ||
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mderg's day 1 post that I found mega-townie Chrom's townread on mderg mderg getting roleblocked day 2. Fuba has played well if he's the mafia. ##Vote fuba I have other reasons. For example someone should count the posts written today by me on one hand and fuba on the other. Then come back with a straight face and say there's even a remote chance I am the mafia. He's not stirring the pot because he doesn't have to. He doesn't really care who gets lynched first me or mderg. That will be hilarious. | ||
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1. No one has any legitimate reason for voting me. It is not a scumtell to be wrong, especially when you're wrong on like 1 player out of the bunch. 2. It is not a scumtell to lead a desperate vote-switch attempt based on paranoia. I put my neck out there, both when I started calling the jabber lynch sketchy, and when I tried to switch to meapak. 3. It is not a scumtell to not have a continuation strategy with 1 mafia left and your target up on the chopping block. In fact the only faction that would have a continuation strategy in that scenario is mafia, because they know the game is not about to end. 4. The most active player in a situation like this, is almost never mafia. Let this be a lesson to you guys. I am posting, responding, actively defending myself. The town leadership, and mostly Amiko, is letting mafia get away with not playing this day because he's too cocky to change his mind. | ||
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Like it's so frustrating to watch this idiocy, that I must be mafia because I made one call wrong on one guy, lead to people sticking their heads so far up their asses any kind of logic or reasoning doesn't get to them. Notice how I can't even do anything about fuba. I asked him a very direct question about a very sketchy place in his filter, and he just doesn't respond. Why? Because you (Amiko) don't want to actually find mafia, you just want to punish people for not being right on everything. | ||
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I'm out for now. | ||
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mderg has 13 palmar has 77 I wonder who is absolutely in no fucking way mafia. | ||
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However, this (the above stats) is what you guys made happen today. By not using your brains you have allowed whoever is mafia among the other two to skimp by because you don't want to win the game, you don't want to think. | ||
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I won't be around forever today, and honestly I'm starting to care less. You probably have to lynch fuba _even_ if it absolutely sucks that mderg isn't even playing the game. If fuba is mafia it's all fine and dandy. If we lose this game, and mderg is mafa, the decision to lynch me against all reasonable evidence and logic is what lost us the game. Thank you Haru for not being a dumbass. | ||
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I don't know what happened. Maybe I dreamt the whole thing. I was having a conversation, quite a heated conversation. Someone wanted to kill me, neither of us was sure for exactly what reason. The last thing I remember is some fading echoes of how I hadn't changed his mind. And now I'm stuck here. It took me a while to fully realize that I'm alone. I'm not quite sure how to proceed from here. I thought I was talking to someone, but only the wind seems to have heard me. | ||
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Somewhere in the past I remember a conversation. It's strange how our past seems to matter. I really didn't want to die, but for some reason I was also sure that someone else needed to die. I remember two faces. Both of them quiet. I can almost not remember their voices. But I remember a conversation. I don't know if I should trust this conversation, but in another place, at another time I remember feeling this conversation was the answer to one of them. Should I trust the past over the present? I've had more time to study it, but the present feels more relevant now. Not that it really matters since I stranded here, alone. | ||
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How far would someone go to deceive me? Back when I was in contact with the others I cared. I kept thinking to myself: "He just doesn't seem to be the deceiving type, and it's too much of a risk". It would be such a bold move. The man I had the conversation with, would he be capable of murdering my friends, and pretend to have locked the doors to his own chamber? It seems unreasonable, and to be perfectly fair, this was the face more angry last time I saw him. But I can never be sure. I could possibly be if I could just have convinced the others before they left me. | ||
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The shadier face of the two is the one I think should die. But I can't know for sure. I overheard him arguing with one of the conspirators, who later got strung up. It sounded like a heated argument at the time. For some reason they both forgot their argument the next day though. The fact that they had this argument is interesting. I think I mentioned it before I got separated from the group, but I never got a response. He was never the talking type. I'm not sure not talking makes him part of the conspiracy, but it seems easier to not say the wrong things if you don't say anything at all. If I ever get out of here I need to notify the others. | ||
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I miss people. It's rough being alone. At first I thought getting away from the others wasn't such a bad idea. I didn't particularly like most of them. Even most of those I knew I could trust weren't always very pleasant to me. But now, I'm talking to myself, thinking to myself. It gets a bit lonely after a while. Even if the conversation wasn't always pleasant, at least there was a conversation. | ||
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On June 07 2014 01:57 Amiko wrote: 1) Reads Mafia can have good reads, doesn't mean much to me. Even if your reads have been legitimate, they mean little given how you acted. Easy example: Your recent post says you "called the too scummy to be scum thing on jabber" - that's nice to say, but your action that day was to try to shut down conversation about any alternate wagons to ensure jabber got lynched. Easy Example: Just saying you suspect slOosh doesn't mean anything when you aren't willing to vote him (or even give an adequate reason why you prefer M_Z). Your posts on slOosh/M_Z showed no analysis You did the analysis on Sloosh, I agreed with it. I did the analysis on MZ. And yes, I did call that he was too scummy to be scum, and I repeatedly said it sucks we had to lynch him. Maybe we didn't have to do it, but I don't know. Mafia sure can have good reads, sooo.... what's your point then. Do you think I did not believe my reasons for lynching Meapak. If you think I was not sincere in that main reason (95% post), then you maybe have a case for me being mafia. Most of my reads were good, not all of them were. On June 07 2014 01:57 Amiko wrote: 2) Activity You weren't active d2 or d3. You are not a highly active player this game. If you are town, I think it's good you are actually playing today, but it doesn't come off as town to me. The attitude you are taking is ironic and to me, fake, given your play. Now you are complaining to town about how it's already set on a lynch and how it won't try to consider anything else. This comes after 2 days where you voted M_Z, sat on your hands, and tried to actively discourage conversation. This whole blame thing is nice and all, but if you flip town I'll be pretty comfortable chalking it up to your anti-town play and hopefully seeing a win tomorrow in spite of your play. The idea only town can make a lot of posts is almost as persuasive to me as M_Z's case on Alakaslam. I've said repeatedly that I don't post when I don't need to post. Do you want me to sit around and quote the case I made on MZ every hour or so, just so it looks like I'm doing something. Like I don't know how blind you are, but notice how my activity coincides perfectly with the points in the game where I want to affect the outcome. huh... I post when I want to say something. Who would've thought? I have not playing anti-town. Fuck you for saying that.. I was wrong on one read, that's not anti town. Don't even pretend that you can be comfortable chalking me flipping town up to that. Not a single thing I've done this game is anti-town. I've been open, I've explained everything I've done. Not everyone has the benefit of a cop check on their target. Do you know what the difference between MZ and me is? I am actively trying to stop myself being lynched. MZ did nothing. Count MZ's posts on the day he was getting lynched on, and compare it to what I've done today. There is no excuse, you're making a terrible play. Far worse than me being wrong on MZ. On June 07 2014 01:57 Amiko wrote: 3) Reasons You keep pretending the reasons for the lynch are different from what they are. First you claim you are only being lynched from fear, but now it's only because you voted wrong on M_Z. I think the second reason is pretty good, actually, but it applies to Fuba as well. Why not both? People being wrong doesn't make them mafia. I guess the only way for you to learn this is to actually get burned. I had clear reasons for lynching MZ, I had clear reasons for trying to affect the lynch on day 2. I was open and honest about my reasons all the way through. However, you're looking at "what" I did, not "how" I did it, which is your downfall. On June 07 2014 01:57 Amiko wrote: 4) Fuba I asked you specifically why Fuba is scummier than you, and the only response I saw was: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/451317-detention-mafia?page=65#1291 Additionally, you raise this point earlier- Did you go after gobble d2? It's counterintuitive that you can think fuba is the most scummy player and that you are a towny player when the grounds apply to both of you. Well I was trying to talk to him. For me to build a case he needs to actually respond. But thanks to you being awful he doesn't have to respond. He can just sit there on his ass and watch this mislynch. I've provided a bunch of other reasons. And while you're obviously too full of fear to believe me, by far the most convincing reason fuba is scummier than I am is that I've made about 12x the posts he has done today. Doesn't even matter what the content is. And there's more, you're just too confirmation biased at the moment to even read what I say. fuba was never at the forefront of anything in this game. On day 1 I was active in pushing the jabber thing while he waffled back and forth on it. I then actively explained and yet shut down discussion on why he could be mafia. I don't even know what fuba was doing at the time. When trying to switch to MZ on day 2, it was MY push. I was the one yelling about how MZ was a better lynch because there was no resistance to the sloosh lynch. Again, fuba was far more in the background. The MZ lynch was my lynch. The case we lynched him on on day 3 was mostly my case. Everything I've done this game I've done while sticking my neck out for it. You just don't understand that mafia doesn't like doing that. | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:02 Amiko wrote: Are they hiding? Or are they trying to get attention? I don't understand how this sentence makes sense on its own, or preceding the statement that fuba is the lynch. I'm assuming that "get" should probably be "not get" or "avoid". And Haru is being the only reasonable enough human being to understand that the guy not saying anything and quietly watching the show is far more likely to be mafia than the guy who's actively participating in the game. Y'know, because Haru seems to be blessed with the ability to think. | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:10 Amiko wrote: Anyway Haru honestly, whether we lynch Palmar first or Fuba first only matters if you think mderg can be scum. It is possible, but I think the likelihood is really remote (and for what it's worth, it seems Palmar and Fuba both are stating the same). If Palmar is lynched and flips town, I think the obvious move is to lynch Fuba tomorrow unless there's any real case on mderg. Take a look at fuba's points on mderg and see what you think of them. I know you suspect fuba, but take a look and see what you think. So lynch fuba first. Between me and fuba, which one do you think is more likely to actually be able to save the town if mderg is the remaining mafia? | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:07 Amiko wrote: By this logic, shouldn't you be scumreading mderg? After all, if fuba was mafia he would be playing more, right, since he has to try to squirm out of getting lynched tomorrow? Fuba hasn't played throughout the game. That's the difference between me and him. I've played when I wanted something done. | ||
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#logic | ||
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Despite being and sounding frustrated, this has actually been fun. It's nice to have an actual challenge in front of you. Trying to move this town in the right direction feels like moving a mountain. So in case I don't get back, sorry if I've gotten a bit mad at times. @Amiko you haven't actually played awful. Your case on sloosh was very well disguised at least from my point of view. I thought it was a regular case and it being a cop-check case didn't even cross my mind. You're just being a bit thick headed today, but I guess it's a learning experience you have to go through. Make sure you realize what you did wrong because you're going to be the one leading the lylo lynch. I think it's fuba but I'm far from 100% convinced. @Chrom, town hero, never forget. @Haru, thanks for being reasonable. The trap thing you did was hilariously useless, but at least pointed to your thought process coming from a townie. You've played this day better than anyone else. Thanks for playing guys. | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:21 Amiko wrote: Yeah M_Z's play was bad. Posting a lot before you die doesn't make you town. Every time you say you agreed with my analysis of slOosh it just makes me feel you are more likely mafia. Part of my analysis was specifically saying that slOosh is scummier than M_Z. If you agreed with me, you would have gone slOosh. You made no attempt to engage on that point or suggest anything specific about your case was better.. I call you anti-town because you attempted to stop discussion d1 (on jabber, by arguing we shouldn't raise other wagons), d2 (on M_Z, by arguing platitudes rather than merits), d3 (on M_Z, with a 'why should i care' attitude). This is what you don't understand. You're 100% wrong on how I play, and I've always played like this. I generally have one thing that is absolute giveaway as either alignment. For example I would've thought mderg's post on day 1 was a giveaway town, and that Haru's trap thing was giveaway town. In fact, your correct analysis of me on day 1 was basically giveaway town, because you were right for the right reasons. Your case on sloosh relied heavily on him not doing anything at all regarding the case on jabber during day 1. That has nothing to do with him being more scummy than MZ. MZ read a post that said one thing and accused that post of saying something completely different. Sloosh didn't do that. So by definition while of course I use things like inactivity, interactivity, voting patterns etc to complement my ideas, your argument that part of your case was that sloosh was specifically more scummy than MZ is bullshit. I agreed with your initial case on sloosh. That's to what I replied I might throw my weight behind it. They are not the same because they cannot be the same because sloosh didn't write that post I basically lynched MZ for. So whatever you're saying doesn't work. And don't call my play anti-town. | ||
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You can only blame yourself. I did not play anti-town no matter how much you want to convince yourself that's the case. The problem here is a) you not reading/thinking and b) me not figuring out how to get you to think. That's my biggest mistake this game. I will eventually figure out how to get through to you, but clearly I didn't do it in time. Don't try to excuse your mislynch that I played anti-town, or you will not improve at the game. If you want to improve you have to understand what you did wrong, because you are doing something wrong. | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:50 Amiko wrote: -- I raised the point that slOosh was scummier than M_Z a few times. Here are two quotes I picked as examples, because they show that two other players (sqrt and mderg) specifically understand that I was raising that point. And I didn't agree. Because unless they post exactly the same stuff at exactly the same time all the game, they aren't the same person. There was a specific post MZ made, and I've pointed to it repeatedly that made me disagree with you. Again, you're arguing that I'm mafia for what I did, and not how I did it. | ||
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I don't have more energy for this. If Amiko wants to be a dumbass he can be one. | ||
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Seriously, if you die with less than at least 60 in the final day and you flip town, I'm going to be really mad at you. | ||
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On June 07 2014 04:49 fuba wrote: I'm not capable of posting that much. Just sayin'. If I'm wrong and you're town I don't care what you're capable of. I don't want to lose this game. You will do it. | ||
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On June 07 2014 05:30 mderg wrote: Interesting... why do you think so? I think in this situation one has to play similar as either mafia or town, both only have to survive in order to win. Yes but you already see how tunneled in amiko is on me. If you're mafia, the optimal strategy for you is to get fuba killed and then go with the explanation that I weaseled myself out of a lynch. | ||
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So, knowing how hard it is to pull out of a tunnel, I decided to basically help Amiko (and others) as much as I possibly could by not acting like MZ. I have posted a fuckton, explained everything I've done in detail, explained why none of my actions make me mafia. At least while I messed up on MZ I'm happy that I at least made sure town had enough information to make an incredibly difficult choice. Sadly it didn't happen, but I tried. I did not play anti-town. It is not anti-town to have opinions and explain them. Everything I've done this game has always been explained very thoroughly. From the jabber lynch, my jabber hesitation, the MZ read, the reason I got suspicious of the sloosh wagon, why I stuck with the MZ read and finally today, I have always explained myself. All I'm guilty of is being wrong on the order of my scumreads. Yes I put MZ number one. My bad. Doesn't make me mafia. Not all of us had a cop check to rely on. Amazing to get lynched for only figuring out 2/3 mafia team on day 2, but such is life. gg guys. | ||
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On June 07 2014 02:47 HaruRH wrote: >.> you're really bent on killing off both fuba and palmar. But I still think that mderg still have the remote chance of being mafia. We should really let palmar live for one more day, lynch fuba who is still unwilling to contribute until now and make mderg and palmar try to convince the remaining of us who is more scummy should it still go on. The order doesn't matter, but having palmar who is willing to talk is better than fuba, who is just hiding. Careful, your head might explode with all that logic. Thanks for using rational thought today. It's not easy to objectively look at a game in a state like this and realize town is doing the wrong thing. | ||
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On June 07 2014 06:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote: *correction: I've been able to pin at least one mafia on D1 if I'm vanilla town, which I'm not this time. I cannot play blue roles. I am incapable of playing them well. Idk you didn't really mess shit up, I think you played fine. being a blue role should in no way impact your scumhunting ability. Also, I look town because I am town. But the whole not lynching townies thing doesn't seem to be in style here. | ||
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I don't really know why. It seems to me that all the same information should be presented to you. Anyway, here's a thing. Tomorrow, you need to look into the response to Slam's roleblock on n1 (it was slam on n1 right?). If people were throwing townreads on him left and right over the next day, it is not out of the realm of possibility that mafia might have gotten an idea that this town would not question roleblocks. I won't have time to do it before the deadline. I still think fuba is more likely to flip mafia, based on number of other factors I've already mentioned. But make sure you at least check how town responded to Slam's roleblock claim and if it might have caused mafia to think not roleblocking would be a good idea. | ||
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I'm alone again. | ||
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(Which means I'm mafia in bizarro-world). So I started writing a diary stranded on a desert island. | ||
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On June 07 2014 09:06 Amiko wrote: On Slam’s roleblock claim- Palmar questions the possibility that if Slam was getting townread for the roleblock, it may make mderg more likely to fake the claim. Alakaslam claimed here (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/451317-detention-mafia?page=35#685) I don’t see any real discussion of Slam or the roleblock in a positive way. Actually, I think the little discussion we had of Slam was a null read from sqrt (http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/451317-detention-mafia?page=36#710). Nobody really seemed to consider the roleblock. So, I still tend to think mafia was more likely to roleblock mderg than not use the block. I agree, hence why I am voting fuba. I'm just not available for filter diving right now and I'll be dead during the night. I wanted it brought up so people can read it during the night. On June 07 2014 09:06 Amiko wrote: @Palmar: I still think the best reasons to suspect fuba being scum is that he makes a case on gobble, basically drops it, then makes a case on sqrt, and again basically drops it. It's hard to say that's scummier than you, though, when I don't feel like you really explored other options. I still feel pretty good about lynching both you and fuba, and I still I think the best way to effect that is lynching you first. Still reading though :3 The best reason to lynch fuba over me is that at every turn I have been at the forefront of discussion, and he has wobbled along. Mafia doesn't like sticking their necks out there. | ||
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But there is a reason he's pretty clean and I've been pretty blatantly dirty at times. One of us has perfect information and it isn't me. Good night, gg. | ||
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On June 07 2014 09:19 fuba wrote: Lol, what part of my play makes you think I have all the information? The part where you are mafia bro | ||
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Because if you're somehow town, which I don't think you are, that means mderg is the remaining mafia. And the chances of you surviving the last day when I flip town are almost none. There's far more chance that I can pull it off. | ||
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QED. | ||
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Day 7. I'm about to die I'm okay with it. Haru will you hold my hand? | ||
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![]() I think I can say pretty sincerely I'm hoping every single player from this game sticks around mafia. | ||
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