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TL Mafia LXIII: Time to Die - Page 21

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 28 2013 20:09 GMT
#6991
Well he showed he was going to bus even if it was silly on BC. That point that you made on it's own might seem like it but coupled with him quickly changing his read to null to town straight after could mean that he knew it was a mistake/too good to point out.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 00:38 GMT
#6996
cba to find the vote thread on phone and change back to risen and doesn't really matter either way so just know that my vote is on him in spirit
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 01:57 GMT
#7016
On November 29 2013 10:06 Pandain wrote:
Cheescake and holyflare and onegu look more suspicious after this.

Esp. Onegu.

Hopeless seems town


what does this mean?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 02:02 GMT
#7017
Votes on thrawn and off thrawn are irrelevant, you want to look at the times of the votes if you do, people that vote thrawn super early after just reading austins case who had no input at all are more suspicious IMO. Case on coag still stands too, he was also on the thrawn lynch, didn't care who we lynched out of those 2 and voted super early. Onegu is still scummy beyond belief.

Cheesecake happy to switch off risen quickly, also switched after risen claimed he had been lying to not get lynched the entire time. Looking into him later too.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 02:04 GMT
#7018
Pandain throwing out reads with no conviction or reasoning is also suspicious as faaaaaark, doesn't use the information gained from a potential switch play as reasoning for cases just says "scummy, town". Tries to reason that onegu is town without looking at entire facts/potential defences before lynching/hopping off a train reasoning later.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 02:26 GMT
#7020
Silly risen, no interest in winning ~_~

Will look at some things over the course of the night so watch out for that! Reasons for voting etc etc. Hope you all had some nice turkey <3
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 05:34 GMT
#7026
because I hammered thrawn and told people to consolidate to thrawn to stop the shenanigans so you wanted to join in for the credit then you realised shenanigans couldn't happen if you did that and so moved off to someone irrelevant but your scum buddy (coag) who was on thrawn refused to move to risen to save thrawns life so you looked silly voting for someone with 2 votes on the same guy as another scum.

Cheesecake also called you town in his giant list for voting thrawn which is also wrong! In fact his whole list just calls people on the thrawn wagon town so it's not actually a very good list and CC looked weird on that last lynch

/paranoid
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 08:46 GMT
#7028
[image loading]
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 20:45 GMT
#7041
=.= "coag is town my gut says so" should be read as "I've ignored all evidence that he might be scum and his filter full of uselessness is totally null at best"
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 21:18 GMT
#7052
On November 30 2013 05:48 Pandain wrote:
Holyflare before I dive, you have posted all your mason logs, right?


all of them apart from the one with mig, also you said he voted earlier than me on thrawn? I was trying to convince people about thrawn all morning and nobody listened to me, I also hammered thrawn and asked people to consolidate onto him to prevent shenans, wifom speculation is fun though!

Did you read my case on him?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 29 2013 23:26 GMT
#7059
On November 30 2013 06:17 Onegu wrote:
Yeah HF coag is town really. Look closer.



This guy, really? He's telling me to look closer at a guy I already made an in depth case on?? Not only that but he calls me a scum read and has pushed my lynch all game but is trying to show to me that a guy is town. This attitude does not make sense from any town player.

He doesn't read at all and is incredibly inconsistent. Posts a case and then disappears every time, no discussion with people really ever.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
November 30 2013 18:48 GMT
#7129
On December 01 2013 03:31 austinmcc wrote:
Oh and I don't really want to lynch Onegu either. In our D3 mason chat, LM asked me to look at Onegu, and I posted as to why I found him town. I will reanalyze that, but his filter looked really townie to me at that point.


I think you're very wrong and I'll show you why later.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 05:57 GMT
#7146
I have pasted them all apart from mig which I'll do when I wake up
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 06:09 GMT
#7148
Actually fuck it here it is with no formatting and phone pasted :p

+ Show Spoiler [mig/hf mason] +
Holyflare
11-26-2013
01:33 PM ET (US)
Well hopefully we don't die! risen into coag is a solid lynch train and yeh i think it's hopeless but we'll see what happens!
24
Mig
11-26-2013
12:41 PM ET (US)
Btw if somehow Grack is alive at LyLo then there is a decent chance he could be mafia. Just the fact that every single mafia member has targeted him and he has killed them. Especially if Risen/Coag are mafia because they have both voted Grack. Could be some ridiculous Grack going on his own plan/targeted by the team for towncred. But this is just kind of a random thought. I doubt grack will be alive then.
23
Mig
11-26-2013
12:25 PM ET (US)
I agree Coag is super scummy. Your stuff combined with my earlier reasons seems like a pretty solid case. Coag is tricky in that it is hard to ever have a super solid case on him but this is probably about as good as you can get.

I also think hopeless is probably the last mafia (if we are right about risen/coag). Hopeless has just said too many nonsensical things/been too unhelpful compared to his normal town play.
22
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-26-2013
04:53 AM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
Coag is scum, holy crap how have I not seen it before. His filter is total garbage. I'm going to make a post on him 100%

He also says this by the way:

On November 24 2013 09:46 Coagulation wrote:
yeah if I check out tonight lynch thrawn or oats



but his pretty much first post of the day is:

On November 24 2013 10:05 Coagulation wrote:
im vt

##vote: Risen

On November 25 2013 13:19 Coagulation wrote:
risen or thrawn.

Im down to vote either one honestly. I dont give a shit cause I dont really have a scum read on either.
Oats is my lynch choice but it doesnt look like hes an option and I dont have the energy to try and get him lynched anyway.
and even if I did try I doubt it would be heard over the risen vrs thrawn debate anyway.

so im just gonna keep following along untill I get a sense of whos town and whos scum or just fucking random vote it at last minute.



he wants to lynch thrawn, votes risen and then says he doesn't give a shit and then ends up lynching thrawn anyway??? How flip floppy can you be?!
21
Holyflare
11-25-2013
07:02 PM ET (US)
Sorry didn't have time yet :'( been at law exams so kinda exhausted, will be able to do it before mason chat ends though so np!
20
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-25-2013
03:05 PM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
Reading up on coag, give me a bit.
19
Mig
11-25-2013
12:07 PM ET (US)
If he wasn't going to push a 2shot vig for sick town cred then why mention him at all. Should just let mocsta fly under the radar.
18
Mig
11-25-2013
12:06 PM ET (US)
What do you think about Coag?
17
Holyflare
11-25-2013
10:59 AM ET (US)
Why would he push a 2 shot vigi that hard :p? Anyway, I'm pretty confident in my list of people!
16
Mig
11-24-2013
09:51 PM ET (US)
Slam could possibly be scum. He seems so random tough to say for sure.

Grack I think it is very unlikely he is mafia. If you see how he pushed mocsta day1 he was hesitant to tell supersoft to lynch him. He didn't push insanely hard and say this guy is definitely scum (which if he were going for a towncred bus he would push stronger so he receives more credit. Then he was also one of the strongest supporters of lynching BC. Just seems unlikely.

I considered what you are saying that BC knows grack is mafia so he had extra information to make the case but I think it is more likely just BC being a retard and forcing a case when there was none, which led to his death.
15
Holyflare
11-24-2013
04:54 PM ET (US)
Also tempted by slam but i haven't read through him yet
14
Holyflare
11-24-2013
04:53 PM ET (US)
I'm thinking grack could also be scum exactly because of those scum pushes by the way. Did you read bc's case and subsequently why i thought bc was scummy? It said that bc had total non towny reasoning, the only way he could come up with something like he did was if it was the truth. I.e. Mocsta was annoyed at grack because he was scum and pushing their vig. I don't think we should sleep on that guy.

My list so far looks like:

Risen, thrawn, hopeless, onegu/grack. Onegu returns to the thread and spends the entirety of his time attacking just me based on something he misinterpreted and doesn't actually participate. His votes were on people with 0 votes (me and austin) and he didn't vote to save rayn or bc who were his top town reads over null reads.
13
Mig
11-24-2013
04:05 PM ET (US)
lol yea they are monkeys
12
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
02:27 PM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
what the actual fuck is going on, is this defend scum till they die day!? everyone has suddenly flipped to thrawn being really towny despite there being lots of evidence that he isn't.................. -.-
11
Mig
11-24-2013
01:01 PM ET (US)
Pandain is definitely not confirmed town. I think the Vet claim makes sense, his change of read about my notes makes sense from a townie and showed he was evaluating new information for his reads and his lie about ss changing the logs brought a lot of pressure onto himself and if he is townie is really pro town. So I lean town on him but he is absolutely not confirmed town.
10
Mig
11-24-2013
12:59 PM ET (US)
Right that post by hopeless is horrible. I just played with hopeless in white flag he seemed very reasonable and logical. That post is a joke. Still ranting about the ss/pandain logs which were explained 5 times.
9
Holyflare
11-24-2013
11:49 AM ET (US)
Pretty much the only contribution hopeless has is a case on pandain which he quoted today again. Effectively useless.

What do you think of pandain? Keep hearing people say he is confirmed town?? Not so sure on that to be honest.
8
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
11:38 AM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
rayn wagon is definitely suspicious people too, I don't think we can count them out
7
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
11:34 AM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
lol I'll be a happy guy if oats/bc/hopeless are scum because that's who I made a giant post on d2 :D:D:D:D:D! I think thrawn is definitely scum, risen is almost definitely scum. Hopeless for the same reasons as day 2. I haven't really looked so much into him as of late but his posts today look quite weird. His last few posts have been having an aggressive tone though which I find a bit suspicious because he hasn't really done anything to help.

This post for example:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessag...urrentpage=302#6022

he is pretty much yelling at us and trying to get us to reason into a risen lynch when everyone is already on him, all it is, is asking questions about people and he swears at us for not playing the game? Last I checked he has done no scum hunting or anything to actually contribute in any way yet here he is telling us how to play. I think that's a scummy mindset to have and feigns actual contribution. Especially as it echo's exactly what we have said (that the bc switch was intentional wifom)
6
Mig
11-24-2013
11:08 AM ET (US)
After that it gets a bit murky. Assuming Risen is mafia that makes Vayne look a lot better. I am actually somewhat suspicious of hopeless now. What are your thoughts on him?
5
Mig
11-24-2013
11:02 AM ET (US)
Right now I think Risen/Thrawn are slam dunks the odds of them being mafia are so incredibly high. They knew SS would not change his opinion (he tunneled oats all game and believed BC all game he is kind of a monkey in that regard). And if he killed one of them and lowered their kp he would be a real bitch to remove so had to get rid of him.
4
Mig
11-24-2013
11:01 AM ET (US)
Hey hey!
3
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
10:47 AM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
Gotta go for a bit but i'll be on later and we will have many chats. Leave me some questions/things you want to discuss though!
2
HolyflarePerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
10:46 AM ET (US)
EDIT
DELETE
HELLO THERE FRIEND
1
marvellosityPerson was signed in when posted
11-24-2013
10:45 AM ET (US)
Holyflare and Mig mason Day 4/Night 4
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 06:10 GMT
#7150
I haven't edited any of them, austin is in my first giant case, artanis was not long ago and i just posted mig
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 06:14 GMT
#7151
Supersoft was just entirely unhelpful in my mason chat as i expressed in the thread/in mason chat
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 22:12 GMT
#7224
What's up! I don't think we should lynch cheesecake today by the way, he has only really been discussed VERY recently and you have had no back and forth, austin you are in agreement (presumably because half the things you said on coag were what I said in my case) on coag and he HAS been discussed and was part of the original lynch plan. I am much more comfortable lynching him over cheesecake unless you can wholeheartedly convince me otherwise.

##Vote Coag
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 22:13 GMT
#7225
I can't get my head around half the people making cases on oats who then subsequently sheeped right into CC either. That's incredibly odd looking to me.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 22:19 GMT
#7226
Original coag case

Now that risen flipped town it looks more scummy that coag mentioned thrawn and oats as lynch targets the night before only to then vote risen when thrawns name popped up as an alternate vote. It wasn't until austin posted a long case that people switched over because they pretty much knew thrawn was fucked at that point IMO.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
December 01 2013 22:31 GMT
#7230
I think the earlier the vote the more suspicious it is tbh, you just take the post that you wrote at face value, he didn't have to read it, risen had WAY more votes and heck who knew if thrawn would get lynched? It would be suspicious as hell if after saying both were null reads (after saying thrawn should be killed next) he switched back to risen. If I didn't switch risen WOULD have been lynched. Alakaslam moved OFF of thrawn which would have completely secured the kill on him right near the deadline, how do you know whether or not there were mafia shenanigans at present? Coag's posting whether he comes back or not are so mediocre I cannot see how you can get any postive read on him at all.

If you refuse to lynch him I would MUCH rather lynch into slam/onegu/LM, LM looks really odd from mason chats and his switch to CC just now was so fucking strange after JUST making a case on oats it baffles me what he is thinking. He spent time to make a case on someone to then NOT push it any further and sheep someone he thinks is town?
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